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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7628

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
May 24 2017 19:22 GMT
#152541
On May 25 2017 03:28 Plansix wrote:
The real question is, where is the US not collecting taxes that the UK/EU are?


I posted a link earlier:

https://usafacts.org/

Here is the broken down detail of what is done with our taxes, the site was created and maintained by Steve Wozniak.
Life?
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12535 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-24 19:30:40
May 24 2017 19:26 GMT
#152542
On May 25 2017 04:22 biology]major wrote:
Ofcourse it's starting, the republicans have a chance and they are going to blow it. Trump isn't helping either, and in a few years the majority will be lost and hopefully we can prevent the US from going full socialist when that happens.


None of the progressive candidates that are fielded are full socialist, so that should help in preventing that. Hopefully you move left enough to restore balance and have berniecrat vs democrat as the main fight of american politics, as it should be.

Also, you say of course it's starting, but the blowback to Trump could have taken many forms, it could have just been any random democrat elected instead of any random republican. When I say it's starting, I mean socdem.
No will to live, no wish to die
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
May 24 2017 19:30 GMT
#152543
On May 25 2017 04:26 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2017 04:22 biology]major wrote:
Ofcourse it's starting, the republicans have a chance and they are going to blow it. Trump isn't helping either, and in a few years the majority will be lost and hopefully we can prevent the US from going full socialist when that happens.


None of the progressive candidates that are fielded are full socialist, so that should help in preventing that. Hopefully you move left enough to restore balance and have berniecrat vs democrat as the main fight of american politics, as it should be.

Well, this is probably what they call "full socialism".
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-24 19:42:40
May 24 2017 19:32 GMT
#152544
On May 25 2017 04:19 Nebuchad wrote:
Pellegrino won in Long Island, Ossoff is ahead in Georgia, Quist is announced as close in Montana for tomorrow.

I think it's starting.


the CBO report on the AHCA should drop in the next couple hours. i wonder how bad it will be, and how much it will be able to percolate before polls close in montana.

here is what i predict them to say:
+ Show Spoiler [shitpost] +

[image loading]
i told you it was a shitpost.


i guess however that the senate republicans will continue insisting "but well we're working on revising it and it'll be totally different so this score doesn't count!".
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9643 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-24 19:36:45
May 24 2017 19:35 GMT
#152545
i certainly don't envy Mulvaney. i wonder if he'll make the same rounds trying to defend it like he did last time. as with most people in the administration that have to see the spotlight, i feel like he got burned last time. far less than some, but Spicey and Kelly Anne knew what they had signed up for ahead of time.

also how long has Kelly Anne been on TV again? i recall seeing her after the Comey firing, i was pretty surprised anyone allowed her back on tv, both from thr administrations side and on the networks side. it just seems like a poor decision for everyone.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
May 24 2017 19:36 GMT
#152546
On May 25 2017 04:30 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2017 04:26 Nebuchad wrote:
On May 25 2017 04:22 biology]major wrote:
Ofcourse it's starting, the republicans have a chance and they are going to blow it. Trump isn't helping either, and in a few years the majority will be lost and hopefully we can prevent the US from going full socialist when that happens.


None of the progressive candidates that are fielded are full socialist, so that should help in preventing that. Hopefully you move left enough to restore balance and have berniecrat vs democrat as the main fight of american politics, as it should be.

Well, this is probably what they call "full socialism".


Considering the fact that Obama was called a socialist...yeah.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-24 19:44:08
May 24 2017 19:42 GMT
#152547
A widely held tenet of the current conventional wisdom is that while President Trump might not be popular overall, he has a high floor on his support. Trump’s sizable and enthusiastic base — perhaps 35 to 40 percent of the country — won’t abandon him any time soon, the theory goes, and they don’t necessarily care about some of the controversies that the “mainstream media” treats as game-changing developments.

It’s an entirely reasonable theory. We live in a highly partisan epoch, and voters are usually loyal to politicians from their party. Trump endured a lot of turbulence in the general election but stuck it out to win the Electoral College. The media doesn’t always guess right about which stories will resonate with voters.

But the theory isn’t supported by the evidence. To the contrary, Trump’s base seems to be eroding. There’s been a considerable decline in the number of Americans who strongly approve of Trump, from a peak of around 30 percent in February to just 21 or 22 percent of the electorate now. (The decline in Trump’s strong approval ratings is larger than the overall decline in his approval ratings, in fact.) Far from having unconditional love from his base, Trump has already lost almost a third of his strong support. And voters who strongly disapprove of Trump outnumber those who strongly approve of him by about a 2-to-1 ratio, which could presage an “enthusiasm gap” that works against Trump at the midterms. The data suggests, in particular, that the GOP’s initial attempt (and failure) in March to pass its unpopular health care bill may have cost Trump with his core supporters.
[...]
So while there’s risk to Democrats in underestimating Trump’s resiliency, there’s an equal or perhaps greater risk to Republicans in thinking Trump’s immune from political gravity.

If you look beneath the surface of Trump’s approval ratings, you find not hidden strength but greater weakness than the topline numbers imply.



Full article at https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-base-is-shrinking/

relevant graphs from article : [image loading][image loading]


GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24354 Posts
May 24 2017 19:49 GMT
#152548
On May 25 2017 04:26 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2017 04:22 biology]major wrote:
Ofcourse it's starting, the republicans have a chance and they are going to blow it. Trump isn't helping either, and in a few years the majority will be lost and hopefully we can prevent the US from going full socialist when that happens.


None of the progressive candidates that are fielded are full socialist, so that should help in preventing that. Hopefully you move left enough to restore balance and have berniecrat vs democrat as the main fight of american politics, as it should be.

Also, you say of course it's starting, but the blowback to Trump could have taken many forms, it could have just been any random democrat elected instead of any random republican. When I say it's starting, I mean socdem.


Then maybe we can introduce the concept to more Americans that Berniecrat vs Democrat is actually a battle between center-left and center-right (I'm aware the Europeans already know this).
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12535 Posts
May 24 2017 19:49 GMT
#152549
On May 25 2017 04:30 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2017 04:26 Nebuchad wrote:
On May 25 2017 04:22 biology]major wrote:
Ofcourse it's starting, the republicans have a chance and they are going to blow it. Trump isn't helping either, and in a few years the majority will be lost and hopefully we can prevent the US from going full socialist when that happens.


None of the progressive candidates that are fielded are full socialist, so that should help in preventing that. Hopefully you move left enough to restore balance and have berniecrat vs democrat as the main fight of american politics, as it should be.

Well, this is probably what they call "full socialism".


Ironically that's what we would call "full socialism", given where our "partis socialistes" stand. But that's not what they mean and so we have to correct it =)
No will to live, no wish to die
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
May 24 2017 20:12 GMT
#152550
I wish we had polling of how these bombings are viewed by musims in the UK, and specifically by location where there are isolated clusters of refugees. From what I'm reading, there is a strong sympathetic reaction to the most recent bombing in the libyan refugee community specifically.
Question.?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 24 2017 20:22 GMT
#152551
On May 25 2017 05:12 biology]major wrote:
I wish we had polling of how these bombings are viewed by musims in the UK, and specifically by location where there are isolated clusters of refugees. From what I'm reading, there is a strong sympathetic reaction to the most recent bombing in the libyan refugee community specifically.

I would never trust polling on an issue like that. There is no way that poll isn’t specific designed to have specific outcome. Just go listen to some interviews of people in the area. Most of them seem to be all about not giving the terrorist what they want and pointing fingers. But that is just what I have heard.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8189 Posts
May 24 2017 20:33 GMT
#152552
On May 25 2017 05:12 biology]major wrote:
I wish we had polling of how these bombings are viewed by musims in the UK, and specifically by location where there are isolated clusters of refugees. From what I'm reading, there is a strong sympathetic reaction to the most recent bombing in the libyan refugee community specifically.

Out of curiosity where did you read that?
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
May 24 2017 20:37 GMT
#152553
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Wulfey_LA
Profile Joined April 2017
932 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-24 20:40:40
May 24 2017 20:40 GMT
#152554
CBO is out.

800bil in medicaid cuts, 270bil in subsidy cuts, mostly to pay for 664bil in tax cuts. Minor reduction in premiums for the healthy, if you have a preexisting condition, then you will pay more over time or just get priced out.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 24 2017 21:08 GMT
#152555
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
May 24 2017 21:12 GMT
#152556
On May 25 2017 06:08 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/samsteinhp/status/867486718148190208


The GOP needs old people. Why would they do this? I don't think the GOP is actually as stupid as this makes them look. I want to understand!!
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 24 2017 21:15 GMT
#152557
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
May 24 2017 21:17 GMT
#152558
[image loading]

Saw this being passed around as the expected premium increases for certain pre-existing conditions
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 24 2017 21:20 GMT
#152559
That isn't terrifying at all. I look forward to bankruptcy under the GOP plan.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Wulfey_LA
Profile Joined April 2017
932 Posts
May 24 2017 21:23 GMT
#152560
On May 25 2017 06:12 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2017 06:08 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/samsteinhp/status/867486718148190208


The GOP needs old people. Why would they do this? I don't think the GOP is actually as stupid as this makes them look. I want to understand!!


Think of the broader Right as two entities.

(1) The Republican party. These guys serve the donor class first and foremost. Capital gains tax cuts, social security/medicare/medicaid cuts, top 1% tax cuts, estate tax cuts, targeted financial deregulation, and a business stacked judiciary are the actual policy goals that happen. Remember Paul Ryan trying to privatize social security in 2006? Check out the Trump budget, stacked with all kinds of capital side tax cuts and social welfare spending cuts in the teeth of Trump's claims not to touch social security, medicare, and medicaid.

(2) The Entertainment wing. Trump, Hannity, O'Reilly, Crowder, Breitbart, lesser FOX hosts, all them dedicate every day to assaulting the evils of pluralism. Wall, Muslim Ban, Affirmative action, Immigration, Terrorism, racial panic, welfare queens, obamaphones, phony Dem scandals. All this crap is just prolofeed rubbish fed to get gullible idiots to vote R. None of these policies actually go anywhere because they aren't real policies.
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