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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7177

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

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Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 22 2017 17:16 GMT
#143521
Someone get the ACLU on this one. Stupid sites made by people figuring out how to code are the cornerstone of the internet. If we are not defending those, why even bother having all of this in the first place?
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43277 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-22 17:21:38
March 22 2017 17:20 GMT
#143522
On March 23 2017 02:10 Trainrunnef wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2017 02:01 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:


Part of me hopes it will pass just so that everyone will be able to experience just how bad this plan is rather than complain about how it would have worked if only....

It's the problem with the modern voter. They have no idea how things got to be as good as they are today. The new default is $4 electronics in Walmart, global peace, breathable air, not dying of smallpox etc etc. So when one party says that trade deficits are bad, that NATO needs to be changed, that the EPA needs to be stopped, that vaccines cause autism and so forth then people somehow fail to connect the things that they like which they assume were always there with the policies that will destroy them.

If the Democrats gave the Republicans support for the Republican wish list, flat taxes, no medicare/medicaid, no environmental regulations, undoing the equal rights act, no social security, no protections for minorities/gays, no labour laws, no minimum wage, no social services, no antitrust laws etc for just one term then we could probably get decades of Democratic domination out of it before the next generation that don't get it decide to try the Republicans again.

It's the Trump voters who depend on benefits who stand around going "well I knew he was going to cut benefits but I didn't think it'd be my benefits".
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
March 22 2017 17:20 GMT
#143523
Guys, if you aren't interested in discussing a topic, that's fine. However, please don't touch the topic when it comes up again unless you plan to actually discuss it. Also, make sure to let the other posters know that you aren't interested anymore so that they can direct their questions to others.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Trainrunnef
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States599 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-22 17:26:22
March 22 2017 17:26 GMT
#143524
On March 23 2017 02:20 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2017 02:10 Trainrunnef wrote:
On March 23 2017 02:01 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/844594031892086784


Part of me hopes it will pass just so that everyone will be able to experience just how bad this plan is rather than complain about how it would have worked if only....

It's the problem with the modern voter. They have no idea how things got to be as good as they are today. The new default is $4 electronics in Walmart, global peace, breathable air, not dying of smallpox etc etc. So when one party says that trade deficits are bad, that NATO needs to be changed, that the EPA needs to be stopped, that vaccines cause autism and so forth then people somehow fail to connect the things that they like which they assume were always there with the policies that will destroy them.

If the Democrats gave the Republicans support for the Republican wish list, flat taxes, no medicare/medicaid, no environmental regulations, undoing the equal rights act, no social security, no protections for minorities/gays, no labour laws, no minimum wage, no social services, no antitrust laws etc for just one term then we could probably get decades of Democratic domination out of it before the next generation that don't get it decide to try the Republicans again.

It's the Trump voters who depend on benefits who stand around going "well I knew he was going to cut benefits but I didn't think it'd be my benefits".


I think democratic voters do the same thing. Only instead of expecting someone to cut "the other guy's benefits" they assume that their key entitlements will be there till kingdom come and never show up at the polls when it counts during midterm elections.
I am, therefore I pee
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 22 2017 17:26 GMT
#143525
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1890 Posts
March 22 2017 17:27 GMT
#143526
I was amazed to learn recently that the USA isn't even in the top 10 of the most litigious companies in the world. Apparently Germany is. Do any Germans here think their country is a litigious hellhole?
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
March 22 2017 17:29 GMT
#143527
On March 23 2017 02:02 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2017 01:41 Sermokala wrote:
On March 23 2017 01:28 LegalLord wrote:
On March 22 2017 18:13 opisska wrote:
To be fair, universal healthcare has its issues as well. In Czech Republic, we have the real and true universal healthcare where essentially everything is free and everyone is mandated to pay "insurance", which is actually a tax (is in percents of income). This really means that all people have access to healthcare, but the system is tragically underfunded and it kinda seems to be on a course to a terrible crash, because the underpaid doctors are getting increasingly pissed, a lot of them leave for the West and we are quite short on manpower nowadays. It's still better in my eyes than the US "die if you're poor and sick" system, but the problem is that it just requires even more money than we are already putting in and it's hard to convince the healthier part of the electorate to vouch for that. I would have no problems personally with increasing taxation just to fund healthcare, but this is a view that might be skewed by the fact that I have a serious condition myself.

Speaking of which, there is another problem with universal healthcare: the case of expensive diseases. There are 17 thousand people with MS in the country and only like a half of them are getting the disease-modifying drugs, because those are quite expensive. Now there is talk about a next generation of drugs that might be much more efficient, but I am wondering how many people are gonna get those at 100k Euro per year ... definitely not everyone, by pure math seeing how much money is there now for the disease. And I am talking about MS, a rather common thing, where public opinion has pushed hard so that at least someone gets the treatment (I luckily do) - the fact that a vice-premier has it might have helped - but for much more rare diseases, the situation is even worse, people are just not getting treatments because they are too costly.

Yes, the biggest fault of a UHC system is that it is constrained by the ability of the government to pay for it. Compared to the problems with the US system, though, that is almost trivial.

As for expensive treatments: I would simply echo Kwark's argument of rationing. Spend money at its most effective first, then move on to matters of secondary importance. Vaccines before experimental $100k treatments for MS. And of course there should be a private option for people who can indeed afford such treatments out of pocket.

The problem with Healthcare isn't a notion of rationing but a notion of the money going to the wrong things. you have people who might be sick paying for tech advances that might save them when they get sick. Medical tech should be funded at a level that the nation can afford given out like the defense industry. I admit thats not the best example but it would be a lot easier to argue academic merits rather then defense merits.

America being a beacon of medical tech should be leveraged throughout the world and we shouldn't be allowing other nations to simply produce generic copies of our drugs. But that would open a pandoras box of international law and IP issues that I'd rather not get into.

That actually sounds like a Pandora's box worth opening. If the US's healthcare has to be shitty to subsidize better healthcare in the rest of the world, perhaps it's time for an arrangement to be opened up that makes other nations contribute more strongly to drugs that help them.

Mind you, proliferation of life-saving inexpensive treatments is probably far more important to general well-being, if not the future of medicine, than expensive high-end treatments. Medicine is a field where preventative treatment massively reduces the overall cost of treatment. As I argued before, I am quite sure if we had a scenario where all low-level treatments are done for free but for anything that can't really be afforded you just die, then we would probably be healthier overall than with the status quo.

I believe this has been brought up before, but proportionally the US does not more on medical R&D than the rest of first world nations. I think the numbers are around 0.8% to 1.2% of GDP for medical research, and the US is somewhere in the upper half of that. And most of those other nations have national healthcare.

Sure, the US contributes a large amount more than the rest of the world, but that's basically because it has a shit ton more money overall.
Average means I'm better than half of you.
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9006 Posts
March 22 2017 17:31 GMT
#143528
On March 23 2017 02:20 KwarK wrote:

It's the Trump voters who depend on benefits who stand around going "well I knew he was going to cut benefits but I didn't think it'd be my benefits".

This. This so fucking much. There needs to be accountability for people who do this kind of shit. You not only harm yourselves by naive voting and below standard knowledge of any given policy, but you literally harm millions more. I don't think I can take hearing someone complain if they get their wish for ACA to be repealed and replace with something worse.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 22 2017 17:37 GMT
#143529
On March 23 2017 02:27 LightSpectra wrote:
I was amazed to learn recently that the USA isn't even in the top 10 of the most litigious companies in the world. Apparently Germany is. Do any Germans here think their country is a litigious hellhole?

It depends on how quickly their cases are resolved and the rules. Lots of things are "litigation". A utility lien is litigation in some states. I would need to see that metric, because court cases on their own are not bad. Small claims cases normally work out fine. Evictions are a necessary evil, but mostly end in repayment plans or settlement of some sort(depending on the state).
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
March 22 2017 17:38 GMT
#143530
On March 23 2017 02:27 LightSpectra wrote:
I was amazed to learn recently that the USA isn't even in the top 10 of the most litigious companies in the world. Apparently Germany is. Do any Germans here think their country is a litigious hellhole?

Those numbers don't actually account for what the court system actually looks like, though. It just counts the number of lawsuits, and doesn't say anything about what kind of lawsuits, time spent in court, costs incurred, etc.
Average means I'm better than half of you.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
March 22 2017 17:38 GMT
#143531
On March 22 2017 20:27 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump's former campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, secretly worked for a Russian billionaire to advance the interests of Russian President Vladimir Putin a decade ago and proposed an ambitious political strategy to undermine anti-Russian opposition across former Soviet republics, The Associated Press has learned. The work appears to contradict assertions by the Trump administration and Manafort himself that he never worked for Russian interests.

Manafort proposed in a confidential strategy plan as early as June 2005 that he would influence politics, business dealings and news coverage inside the United States, Europe and the former Soviet republics to benefit the Putin government, even as U.S.-Russia relations under Republican President George W. Bush grew worse. Manafort pitched the plans to Russian aluminum magnate Oleg Deripaska, a close Putin ally with whom Manafort eventually signed a $10 million annual contract beginning in 2006, according to interviews with several people familiar with payments to Manafort and business records obtained by the AP. Manafort and Deripaska maintained a business relationship until at least 2009, according to one person familiar with the work.

"We are now of the belief that this model can greatly benefit the Putin Government if employed at the correct levels with the appropriate commitment to success," Manafort wrote in the 2005 memo to Deripaska. The effort, Manafort wrote, "will be offering a great service that can re-focus, both internally and externally, the policies of the Putin government."

Manafort's plans were laid out in documents obtained by the AP that included strategy memoranda and records showing international wire transfers for millions of dollars. How much work Manafort performed under the contract was unclear.

The disclosure comes as Trump campaign advisers are the subject of an FBI probe and two congressional investigations. Investigators are reviewing whether the Trump campaign and its associates coordinated with Moscow to meddle in the 2016 campaign. Manafort has dismissed the investigations as politically motivated and misguided, and said he never worked for Russian interests. The documents obtained by AP show Manafort's ties to Russia were closer than previously revealed.

In a statement to the AP, Manafort confirmed that he worked for Deripaska in various countries but said the work was being unfairly cast as "inappropriate or nefarious" as part of a "smear campaign."

"I worked with Oleg Deripaska almost a decade ago representing him on business and personal matters in countries where he had investments," Manafort said. "My work for Mr. Deripaska did not involve representing Russian political interests."

Deripaska became one of Russia's wealthiest men under Putin, buying assets abroad in ways widely perceived to benefit the Kremlin's interests. U.S. diplomatic cables from 2006 described Deripaska as "among the 2-3 oligarchs Putin turns to on a regular basis" and "a more-or-less permanent fixture on Putin's trips abroad." In response to questions about Manafort's consulting firm, a spokesman for Deripaska in 2008 — at least three years after they began working together — said Deripaska had never hired the firm. Another Deripaska spokesman in Moscow last week declined to answer AP's questions.

Manafort worked as Trump's unpaid campaign chairman last year from March until August. Trump asked Manafort to resign after AP revealed that Manafort had orchestrated a covert Washington lobbying operation until 2014 on behalf of Ukraine's ruling pro-Russian political party .

The newly obtained business records link Manafort more directly to Putin's interests in the region. According to those records and people with direct knowledge of Manafort's work for Deripaska, Manafort made plans to open an office in Moscow, and at least some of Manafort's work in Ukraine was directed by Deripaska, not local political interests there. The Moscow office never opened.

Manafort has been a leading focus of the U.S. intelligence investigation of Trump's associates and Russia, according to a U.S. official. The person spoke on condition of anonymity because details of the investigation were confidential. Meanwhile, federal criminal prosecutors became interested in Manafort's activities years ago as part of a broad investigation to recover stolen Ukraine assets after the ouster of pro-Russian President Viktor Yanukovych there in early 2014. No U.S. criminal charges have ever been filed in the case.

FBI Director James Comey, in confirming to Congress the federal intelligence investigation this week, declined to say whether Manafort was a target. Manafort's name was mentioned 28 times during the hearing of the House Intelligence Committee, mostly about his work in Ukraine. No one mentioned Deripaska.

White House spokesman Sean Spicer said Monday that Manafort "played a very limited role for a very limited amount of time" in the campaign, even though as Trump's presidential campaign chairman he led it during the crucial run-up to the Republican National Convention.

Manafort and his associates remain in Trump's orbit. Manafort told a colleague this year that he continues to speak with Trump by telephone. Manafort's former business partner in eastern Europe, Rick Gates, has been seen inside the White House on a number of occasions. Gates has since helped plan Trump's inauguration and now runs a nonprofit organization, America First Policies, to back the White House agenda.

Gates, whose name does not appear in the documents, told the AP that he joined Manafort's firm in 2006 and was aware Manafort had a relationship with Deripaska, but he was not aware of the work described in the memos. Gates said his work was focused on domestic U.S. lobbying and political consulting in Ukraine at the time. He said he stopped working for Manafort's firm in March 2016 when he joined Trump's presidential campaign.


Source


Don't worry folks - nothing to see here! Manafort did not do what he said he did in those memos, he was only a minor advisor to Trump, and he did not receive those secret payments from Ukraine!
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 22 2017 17:55 GMT
#143532
And the reports of arm twisting for the freedom caucus are coming it. Expect to hear about all the promises Trump is going to make to force them to pass this bill. I’ve already seen some reports about holding our relationship with Cuba hostage to switch a vote.

All this for a terrible bill that won’t make it out of the senate.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21963 Posts
March 22 2017 17:57 GMT
#143533
On March 23 2017 02:55 Plansix wrote:
And the reports of arm twisting for the freedom caucus are coming it. Expect to hear about all the promises Trump is going to make to force them to pass this bill. I’ve already seen some reports about holding our relationship with Cuba hostage to switch a vote.

All this for a terrible bill that won’t make it out of the senate.

The more political capital Trump expends over this non-sense the better it is for everyone.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-22 18:03:36
March 22 2017 18:03 GMT
#143534
On March 23 2017 02:57 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2017 02:55 Plansix wrote:
And the reports of arm twisting for the freedom caucus are coming it. Expect to hear about all the promises Trump is going to make to force them to pass this bill. I’ve already seen some reports about holding our relationship with Cuba hostage to switch a vote.

All this for a terrible bill that won’t make it out of the senate.

The more political capital Trump expends over this non-sense the better it is for everyone.


can one borrow political capital and then declare political capital bankruptcy to avoid repayment?
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-22 18:08:11
March 22 2017 18:07 GMT
#143535
On March 23 2017 03:03 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2017 02:57 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 23 2017 02:55 Plansix wrote:
And the reports of arm twisting for the freedom caucus are coming it. Expect to hear about all the promises Trump is going to make to force them to pass this bill. I’ve already seen some reports about holding our relationship with Cuba hostage to switch a vote.

All this for a terrible bill that won’t make it out of the senate.

The more political capital Trump expends over this non-sense the better it is for everyone.


can one borrow political capital and then declare political capital bankruptcy to avoid repayment?

probably. but in general I'd say people are quite wary of loaning political capital; especially as your collateral can become worthless if you become too toxic to be associated with.

you don't declare bankruptcy in a conventional sense, you simply become worthless (or worse) as an ally and are unable to pay anything back.
or you could declare bankruptcy and refuse to pay back political favors, which basically means noone is willing to work with you at all (and you may've acquired a number of powerful enemies).
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
March 22 2017 18:08 GMT
#143536
Bankruptcy comes in the form of blaming Democrats and saying you have a strategy to "let Obamacare die from its own weight".
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
March 22 2017 18:13 GMT
#143537
On March 23 2017 03:07 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2017 03:03 ticklishmusic wrote:
On March 23 2017 02:57 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 23 2017 02:55 Plansix wrote:
And the reports of arm twisting for the freedom caucus are coming it. Expect to hear about all the promises Trump is going to make to force them to pass this bill. I’ve already seen some reports about holding our relationship with Cuba hostage to switch a vote.

All this for a terrible bill that won’t make it out of the senate.

The more political capital Trump expends over this non-sense the better it is for everyone.


can one borrow political capital and then declare political capital bankruptcy to avoid repayment?

probably. but in general I'd say people are quite wary of loaning political capital; especially as your collateral can become worthless if you become too toxic to be associated with.

you don't declare bankruptcy in a conventional sense, you simply become worthless (or worse) as an ally and are unable to pay anything back.
or you could declare bankruptcy and refuse to pay back political favors, which basically means noone is willing to work with you at all (and you may've acquired a number of powerful enemies).


it was a joking comment, but i appreciate the fleshed out analogy of political and financial worth.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
March 22 2017 18:28 GMT
#143538
On March 23 2017 03:03 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2017 02:57 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 23 2017 02:55 Plansix wrote:
And the reports of arm twisting for the freedom caucus are coming it. Expect to hear about all the promises Trump is going to make to force them to pass this bill. I’ve already seen some reports about holding our relationship with Cuba hostage to switch a vote.

All this for a terrible bill that won’t make it out of the senate.

The more political capital Trump expends over this non-sense the better it is for everyone.


can one borrow political capital and then declare political capital bankruptcy to avoid repayment?

I read somewhere that the way this ends is Trump retiring by declaring moral bankruptcy and thinking it will all go away
Neosteel Enthusiast
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-22 18:36:56
March 22 2017 18:31 GMT
#143539
On March 23 2017 03:08 Doodsmack wrote:
Bankruptcy comes in the form of blaming Democrats and saying you have a strategy to "let Obamacare die from its own weight".


well both the CBO and Krugman both think that's not going to turn out so well for them.






really the best way for Trump to handle this is to do what Arnold did in 2005 and give a positive speech about working together and how we need to make things better. Trump has like 0 credibility with that though. Arnold eventually got anti gerrymandering stuff passed and moved on to Climate change. Trump's signature legislation ideas like infrastructure are probably dead now. good luck getting support from anyone on that.
"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1366 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-22 18:37:57
March 22 2017 18:37 GMT
#143540
https://www.yahoo.com/news/gop-lawmaker-trump-communications-may-monitored-172317705--politics.html

So trump was right,more or less. I already found it very unlikely that he would make those accusations without having at least some ground for it.
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