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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7073

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-07 21:10:01
March 07 2017 21:08 GMT
#141441
I shovel this all back on congress being totally unwilling to regulate anything or give a shit.. These “smart” and everything else are consumer protection nightmares. And the tech industry gives literally zero shits and has not been forced to care at all. The BBC was doing a story about child pornography being shared on Facebook. They brought it to Facebook’s attention and Facebook reported the BBC for distributing child pornography. Uber is a living dumpster fire that has somehow managed to convince themselves that they drivers are their own businesses, but can't set their own prices or pick their passengers.

Like I can’t even.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 07 2017 21:11 GMT
#141442
WASHINGTON ― The Republican Study Committee, an influential group of House conservatives, called it “a Republican welfare entitlement.” Conservative advocacy group FreedomWorks, a major force on the right, put it simply: “This is ObamaCare-lite.” Over at Breitbart News, the lodestar of the Trump administration, readers variously dubbed it “Ryancare,” “Obamacare 2.0,” “Soroscare” or, for the wonks, “unEarned Income Tax Credit II.”

The brewing conservative opposition to House Speaker Paul Ryan’s reform of the Affordable Care Act centers on what Ryan calls “advanceable refundable tax credits” that could be used to subsidize the purchase of health insurance.

Conservatives are making the case ― quite accurately ― that such a payment is, in principle, no different than the subsidies already created by the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. For a campaign based on principle, that’s a devastating critique.

The only difference, in the end, is that Ryan’s subsidies are smaller than those in the current health care law. “Writing checks to individuals to purchase insurance is, in principle, Obamacare,” concludes an RSC staff report obtained by The Huffington Post and first reported by Bloomberg.

At its heart, Ryan’s health care plan cuts taxes for the wealthy by hundreds of billions of dollars. It does so by raiding Medicaid, a health care program that is popularly understood to benefit the poor but is also a lifeline to many elderly people. The bill also helps fund the tax cuts by raising the cost of health coverage for those over the age of 55 and those with pre-existing conditions.

But conservatives warn that the Medicaid cuts aren’t real. Ryan’s plan delays unwinding Medicaid expansion by several years, which would put the onus on a future Congress to suffer the pain.

The RSC doesn’t think that will happen.

“The future reduction is premised on a future Congress being willing to endure the political pressure of letting spending cuts go into effect,” the report warns. “It is unlikely that any future Congress will have a stronger political will in terms of reforming Obamacare entitlements than the sitting Congress – thus it is unlikely that the expansion repeal will ever be implemented in reality.”

President Donald Trump offered a less than full-throated endorsement for the plan on Tuesday morning, tweeting that the bill was now out for “review and negotiation.”

Asked how much of the bill Republicans were willing to negotiate over, House Energy and Commerce Chairman Greg Walden (R-Ore.) said it was a “legislative process,” and that Republicans were open to a “thoughtful legislative discussion.”

If the early responses are any indication, Republicans may have to make some changes.

Influential conservative groups spent the early part of Tuesday coming out against the bill. Heritage Action’s CEO, Michael Needham, called it “bad politics and, more importantly, bad policy.”

“In many ways, the House Republican proposal released last night not only accepts the flawed progressive premises of Obamacare but expands upon them,” Needham said.

Club for Growth President David McIntosh said that if this “warmed-over substitute for government-run health care” wasn’t changed, the Club for Growth would key vote against it.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
March 07 2017 21:21 GMT
#141443
Its really freaking weird to be reminded that there are still republicans out there who subscribe to this idea that not everyone gets healthcare and that you have to deserve it by some weird metric. So ancient. The idea that American citizens should die from things our medicine can fix is just sad. We are so much better than that.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
March 07 2017 21:25 GMT
#141444
I am confused by this obsession with metaphysical choices. I saw a video on twitter of some GOP representative claiming that Americans love choices. What kind of choice is it to not have healthcare?
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-07 21:28:13
March 07 2017 21:26 GMT
#141445
I guess the Wikileaks matter won't really be news until someone can parse through it all and get a handle for what it all means. Also they haven't released everything - they have to process many of the documents to redact sources. Still, there is a lot of code in there and a lot of very specific strategies used by American officials for espionage. Even in this Trump era it's likely to be big news.

However, I can't help but feel that this tit-for-tat leaking got out of hand somewhere along the way. Russian hacks are one thing; that's a foreign government doing something that is in their own best interest. But that seemed to have legitimized media leaks against Trump from intelligence. Which probably legitimized leaking in general, such as leaking this Vault 7 info to Wikileaks. Sure, it might not be actually an insider of the CIA, but I haven't been given any reason to doubt it to be so.

I can't help but feel that it was released to make way for a showdown between Trump and his critics in intelligence. Or for any number of other conflicts this could start.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-07 21:31:35
March 07 2017 21:28 GMT
#141446
These are the people who have been arguing against section 8 forever, even those is houses so many elderly people. They subscribe to the outdated idea that proving a safety net will create dependence, like some form of addictive drug. And if you ever talk about how parts of the EU solved this problem, they try to paint it as some dystopian nightmare government oversight.

Kentucky is the promised land, where you a free to die in poverty and without health coverage.

On March 08 2017 06:25 Nyxisto wrote:
I am confused by this obsession with metaphysical choices. I saw a video on twitter of some GOP representative claiming that Americans love choices. What kind of choice is it to not have healthcare?

Because we worship the free market and having a bunch of shitty choices is somehow better than have 3 pretty passable choices.

In my wife’s case, we have shitty healthcare that doesn’t cover bloodwork, or bad healthcare no one accepts. My bet is the Republican plan will add 2-4 more bad options.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-07 21:33:10
March 07 2017 21:31 GMT
#141447
On March 08 2017 06:26 LegalLord wrote:
I guess the Wikileaks matter won't really be news until someone can parse through it all and get a handle for what it all means. Also they haven't released everything - they have to process many of the documents to redact sources. Still, there is a lot of code in there and a lot of very specific strategies used by American officials for espionage. Even in this Trump era it's likely to be big news.

However, I can't help but feel that this tit-for-tat leaking got out of hand somewhere along the way. Russian hacks are one thing; that's a foreign government doing something that is in their own best interest. But that seemed to have legitimized media leaks against Trump from intelligence. Which probably legitimized leaking in general, such as leaking this Vault 7 info to Wikileaks. Sure, it might not be actually an insider of the CIA, but I haven't been given any reason to doubt it to be so.

I can't help but feel that it was released to make way for a showdown between Trump and his critics in intelligence.


Even if true; this feels like a somewhat unhelpful line of thought. I think a leak of this nature is very clearly in the US population's best interest to know about, specifically the parts where the CIA are withholding known zero-day exploits (or even paying for them to stay around) exposing millions of people to unnecessary security risks.

It's tough, I agree with the idea that being partially leaked information can be dangerous if it's to setup a narrative, but at the same time accurate relevant information is still gravely important and an actionable thing even with the questionable motives.
Logo
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
March 07 2017 21:33 GMT
#141448
On March 08 2017 06:25 Nyxisto wrote:
I am confused by this obsession with metaphysical choices. I saw a video on twitter of some GOP representative claiming that Americans love choices. What kind of choice is it to not have healthcare?

the choice is more about whether to have insurance than to have healthcare. whether to choose to take a risk or not.
there are those who oppose mandatory seatbelt laws on similar principles.
There is a streak of extreme choiceness found throughout america, that does have some followers.
ideologies and beliefs are often not particularly rational or well-founded. Most of course have some basis.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
March 07 2017 21:35 GMT
#141449
On March 08 2017 06:28 Plansix wrote:
These are the people who have been arguing against section 8 forever, even those is houses so many elderly people. They subscribe to the outdated idea that proving a safety net will create dependence, like some form of addictive drug. And if you ever talk about how parts of the EU solved this problem, they try to paint it as some dystopian nightmare government oversight.

Kentucky is the promised land, where you a free to die in poverty and without health coverage.


Kentucky has the medicaid expansion, so poor people actually have fairly decent health coverage here.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 07 2017 21:37 GMT
#141450
On March 08 2017 06:31 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2017 06:26 LegalLord wrote:
I guess the Wikileaks matter won't really be news until someone can parse through it all and get a handle for what it all means. Also they haven't released everything - they have to process many of the documents to redact sources. Still, there is a lot of code in there and a lot of very specific strategies used by American officials for espionage. Even in this Trump era it's likely to be big news.

However, I can't help but feel that this tit-for-tat leaking got out of hand somewhere along the way. Russian hacks are one thing; that's a foreign government doing something that is in their own best interest. But that seemed to have legitimized media leaks against Trump from intelligence. Which probably legitimized leaking in general, such as leaking this Vault 7 info to Wikileaks. Sure, it might not be actually an insider of the CIA, but I haven't been given any reason to doubt it to be so.

I can't help but feel that it was released to make way for a showdown between Trump and his critics in intelligence.


Even if true; this feels like a somewhat unhelpful line of thought. I think a leak of this nature is very clearly in the US population's best interest to know about, specifically the parts where the CIA are withholding known zero-day exploits (or even paying for them to stay around) exposing millions of people to unnecessary security risks.

Here's the thing about leaks in general. They're like a highly effective weapon that also has huge collateral damage. Sure, it's absolutely a good thing for people to know some of this stuff. But on the other hand, all this info now leaks to everybody. Rogue hackers, foreign governments, cyber experts, everyone. The result is going to be massive, whether or not the news cycle eats it up. All those nations the US was hacking before? Well they're going to have to come up with an all-new hacking technique because years of work just went down the crapper. Relations with nations that are pissed off about this? Worsened. I could see some clever populists spinning this into an argument against free borders. Most relevant to us, though, is that it sets us up for a war between Trump and intelligence.

And this all seems to be an internal matter, so it's unlikely that there is a foreign devil to blame. Just an "anything goes" willy nilly acceptance of media leaks as a viable tool for political purposes.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
March 07 2017 21:39 GMT
#141451
On March 08 2017 06:35 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2017 06:28 Plansix wrote:
These are the people who have been arguing against section 8 forever, even those is houses so many elderly people. They subscribe to the outdated idea that proving a safety net will create dependence, like some form of addictive drug. And if you ever talk about how parts of the EU solved this problem, they try to paint it as some dystopian nightmare government oversight.

Kentucky is the promised land, where you a free to die in poverty and without health coverage.


Kentucky has the medicaid expansion, so poor people actually have fairly decent health coverage here.


Actually, I'm surprised the GOP didn't pull a Bevin. He just shut down Kynect and forced people to go to healthcare.gov instead and declared victory over Obamacare... even though all he did was make people go to a different URL to find exchange coverage.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 07 2017 21:41 GMT
#141452
On March 08 2017 06:35 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2017 06:28 Plansix wrote:
These are the people who have been arguing against section 8 forever, even those is houses so many elderly people. They subscribe to the outdated idea that proving a safety net will create dependence, like some form of addictive drug. And if you ever talk about how parts of the EU solved this problem, they try to paint it as some dystopian nightmare government oversight.

Kentucky is the promised land, where you a free to die in poverty and without health coverage.


Kentucky has the medicaid expansion, so poor people actually have fairly decent health coverage here.

Damn, I felt sure they had not expanded the coverage.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mysticesper
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1183 Posts
March 07 2017 21:47 GMT
#141453
Exchange coverage is still locked to your zipcode, even if it's cheaper elsewhere, you can't get the cheaper coverage.

It was interesting to enter in different zipcodes / counties in my home state and see the prices change. We only have 1 provider for the whole state and they charge different prices per county.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
March 07 2017 21:48 GMT
#141454
On March 08 2017 06:21 Mohdoo wrote:
Its really freaking weird to be reminded that there are still republicans out there who subscribe to this idea that not everyone gets healthcare and that you have to deserve it by some weird metric. So ancient. The idea that American citizens should die from things our medicine can fix is just sad. We are so much better than that.

I hate being reminded that the debate on health care is so poisoned that nobody can talk about costs, implementation, and structure without resorting to the most base emotional arguments. Some kind of holy grail religious devotion that includes an individual mandate and massive entitlement spending amounting to huge portions of GDP/federal budget. Yeah, you don't like private market plans, we get it. But don't pretend the other choice is this mixed system that kills the good parts of having a market and keeps all the bad parts of having intense government regulatory involvement. But yeah, every time the subject comes up, it's all Republicans wanna kill grandma and the homeless. Absolutely pathetic.

I don't like the bill. Frankly, its just tweaking funding streams and subsidies and does nothing for the millions of unsubsidized Americans that can't find plans they like that previously had options before this disaster. No attention to the causes of rising premiums, all subsidizing the fuck out of it to hide its increase. And talk about shitty tax regime, exempting employer plans to the sky, keeping the cadillac tax + Show Spoiler +


Soak the rich boys!
Puts billions into states, totally inadequate, knowing that the states will later pressure Congress to grant more money since the previous was too little. Yes, we were expecting amending Obamacare by bill to keep too much of the bad, compared to repeal and replace. It kicks the can down the road, and yes, in a way where a wholesale adoption of single payer would be an improvement. Kicking the can down the road solves nothing.

They should've learned by now any good progress on expenses and regulation will be duplicitously attacked anyways, but they're still trying to dodge political fallout rather than craft a good replacement after repeal.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
March 07 2017 21:50 GMT
#141455
On March 08 2017 06:37 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2017 06:31 Logo wrote:
On March 08 2017 06:26 LegalLord wrote:
I guess the Wikileaks matter won't really be news until someone can parse through it all and get a handle for what it all means. Also they haven't released everything - they have to process many of the documents to redact sources. Still, there is a lot of code in there and a lot of very specific strategies used by American officials for espionage. Even in this Trump era it's likely to be big news.

However, I can't help but feel that this tit-for-tat leaking got out of hand somewhere along the way. Russian hacks are one thing; that's a foreign government doing something that is in their own best interest. But that seemed to have legitimized media leaks against Trump from intelligence. Which probably legitimized leaking in general, such as leaking this Vault 7 info to Wikileaks. Sure, it might not be actually an insider of the CIA, but I haven't been given any reason to doubt it to be so.

I can't help but feel that it was released to make way for a showdown between Trump and his critics in intelligence.


Even if true; this feels like a somewhat unhelpful line of thought. I think a leak of this nature is very clearly in the US population's best interest to know about, specifically the parts where the CIA are withholding known zero-day exploits (or even paying for them to stay around) exposing millions of people to unnecessary security risks.

Here's the thing about leaks in general. They're like a highly effective weapon that also has huge collateral damage. Sure, it's absolutely a good thing for people to know some of this stuff. But on the other hand, all this info now leaks to everybody. Rogue hackers, foreign governments, cyber experts, everyone. The result is going to be massive, whether or not the news cycle eats it up. All those nations the US was hacking before? Well they're going to have to come up with an all-new hacking technique because years of work just went down the crapper. Relations with nations that are pissed off about this? Worsened. I could see some clever populists spinning this into an argument against free borders. Most relevant to us, though, is that it sets us up for a war between Trump and intelligence.

And this all seems to be an internal matter, so it's unlikely that there is a foreign devil to blame. Just an "anything goes" willy nilly acceptance of media leaks as a viable tool for political purposes.


The thing is these tools are not a physical good, anyone can eventually find and exploit the same vulnerabilities and the probability of that happening tends to increase with the use of the vulnerabilities. Even more so in the case where the CIA has apparently encourages such vulnerabilities to remain open.

The 'collateral damage' here is that a bunch of companies will patch their software and vulnerabilities we all had to just accept before will be tightened up.

I also don't buy the 'years of work' type argument because technology is constantly changing anyways and there's constantly new challenges anyways (like dealing with device encryption and e2e encryption both of which are on the rise in use).
Logo
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 07 2017 21:51 GMT
#141456
So do we all basically universally think that the proposed healthcare plan is pretty bad?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Mysticesper
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1183 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-07 21:54:43
March 07 2017 21:53 GMT
#141457
I hope its DOA.

But it's more like the republicans reliving the democrats in 2008 without the 60 vote supermajority.

And the dems are having the moderate vs extreme candidate / platform dilemma that the republicans had in 2008/12 with Romney and McCain.

It's like nothing changed at all, just a reversal of positions.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 07 2017 21:54 GMT
#141458
On March 08 2017 06:50 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2017 06:37 LegalLord wrote:
On March 08 2017 06:31 Logo wrote:
On March 08 2017 06:26 LegalLord wrote:
I guess the Wikileaks matter won't really be news until someone can parse through it all and get a handle for what it all means. Also they haven't released everything - they have to process many of the documents to redact sources. Still, there is a lot of code in there and a lot of very specific strategies used by American officials for espionage. Even in this Trump era it's likely to be big news.

However, I can't help but feel that this tit-for-tat leaking got out of hand somewhere along the way. Russian hacks are one thing; that's a foreign government doing something that is in their own best interest. But that seemed to have legitimized media leaks against Trump from intelligence. Which probably legitimized leaking in general, such as leaking this Vault 7 info to Wikileaks. Sure, it might not be actually an insider of the CIA, but I haven't been given any reason to doubt it to be so.

I can't help but feel that it was released to make way for a showdown between Trump and his critics in intelligence.


Even if true; this feels like a somewhat unhelpful line of thought. I think a leak of this nature is very clearly in the US population's best interest to know about, specifically the parts where the CIA are withholding known zero-day exploits (or even paying for them to stay around) exposing millions of people to unnecessary security risks.

Here's the thing about leaks in general. They're like a highly effective weapon that also has huge collateral damage. Sure, it's absolutely a good thing for people to know some of this stuff. But on the other hand, all this info now leaks to everybody. Rogue hackers, foreign governments, cyber experts, everyone. The result is going to be massive, whether or not the news cycle eats it up. All those nations the US was hacking before? Well they're going to have to come up with an all-new hacking technique because years of work just went down the crapper. Relations with nations that are pissed off about this? Worsened. I could see some clever populists spinning this into an argument against free borders. Most relevant to us, though, is that it sets us up for a war between Trump and intelligence.

And this all seems to be an internal matter, so it's unlikely that there is a foreign devil to blame. Just an "anything goes" willy nilly acceptance of media leaks as a viable tool for political purposes.


The thing is these tools are not a physical good, anyone can eventually find and exploit the same vulnerabilities and the probability of that happening tends to increase with the use of the vulnerabilities. Even more so in the case where the CIA has apparently encourages such vulnerabilities to remain open.

The 'collateral damage' here is that a bunch of companies will patch their software and vulnerabilities we all had to just accept before will be tightened up.

I also don't buy the 'years of work' type argument because technology is constantly changing anyways and there's constantly new challenges anyways (like dealing with device encryption and e2e encryption both of which are on the rise in use).

To the extent that this undermines the government's previous use of deliberate software faults for political gain, this is probably a very good thing.

The political fallout is nontrivial though, and I think we're going to have to brace ourselves for it. It's like Snowden but with a more fragile ruling government.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 07 2017 21:55 GMT
#141459
Just to put it to a poll.
Poll: Republican healthcare bill: where do you stand?

I dislike it more than not. (23)
 
85%

I like it more than not. (2)
 
7%

I am neutral about it. (2)
 
7%

27 total votes

Your vote: Republican healthcare bill: where do you stand?

(Vote): I like it more than not.
(Vote): I dislike it more than not.
(Vote): I am neutral about it.

History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 07 2017 22:07 GMT
#141460
On March 08 2017 06:53 Mysticesper wrote:
I hope its DOA.

But it's more like the republicans reliving the democrats in 2008 without the 60 vote supermajority.

And the dems are having the moderate vs extreme candidate / platform dilemma that the republicans had in 2008/12 with Romney and McCain.

It's like nothing changed at all, just a reversal of positions.

They do have this problem that straight up repealing the ACA would likely throw the country into a recession on top of canceling 20 million health care plans. But there is a section of the House who only got elected based on doing that and believe it won’t be that bad. That specific problem did not exist in 2008.

But the political reality is going to catch up with them. I doubt they will even be able to get together on a plan that will force the Democrats to filibuster.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
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