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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6582

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Jaaaaasper
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
United States10225 Posts
January 17 2017 22:05 GMT
#131621
On January 18 2017 07:04 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 06:52 Jaaaaasper wrote:
I can't wait to see how Assange backs out of his promise to turn himself in if Obama pardoned Manning

There's nothing to renege on because Obama did not pardon Manning.

I'm sorry he commuted the sentace down to a mere 4 more months. Of course Assange will stick to the letter but not the spirit on this one, my bad.
Hey do you want to hear a joke? Chinese production value. | I thought he had a aegis- Ayesee | When did 7ing mad last have a good game, 2012?
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
January 17 2017 22:08 GMT
#131622
On January 18 2017 07:05 Jaaaaasper wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 07:04 xDaunt wrote:
On January 18 2017 06:52 Jaaaaasper wrote:
I can't wait to see how Assange backs out of his promise to turn himself in if Obama pardoned Manning

There's nothing to renege on because Obama did not pardon Manning.

I'm sorry he commuted the sentace down to a mere 4 more months. Of course Assange will stick to the letter but not the spirit on this one, my bad.


It's a very big difference. Obama Pardoning Manning would be acknowledging Manning acted in the public good. Reducing the sentence here seem more akin to Obama feeling sorry for Manning's treatment and deciding that it was punishment enough.
Logo
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
January 17 2017 22:16 GMT
#131623
On January 18 2017 06:58 DeepElemBlues wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 06:44 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On January 18 2017 06:29 DeepElemBlues wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:48 farvacola wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:41 xDaunt wrote:
And people wonder why mainstream America has grown so distrustful of the current form of the Civil Rights Movement:

CNN analyst Marc Lamont Hill attacked a fellow panelist Monday for his work on Donald Trump‘s National Diversity Coalition, calling him a “mediocre Negro” being manipulated by Trump.

“I love Steve Harvey and I have respect for Steve Harvey and I think his intentions were appropriate, but my disagreement is the way in which he’s being used by folk like Donald Trump,” Hill said.

“They keep bringing up comedians and and actors athletes to represent black interests. It’s demeaning, it’s disrespectful, and it’s condescending,” he continued. “Bring some people up there with expertise Donald Trump, don’t just bring up people to entertain.”

“You weren’t even there…” responded Bruce LeVell, a member of Trump’s diversity team. “Pastor Darryl Scott, Mike Cohen, they are in the process of bringing all types of people from all over the country, from all different backgrounds. Remember the diversity coalition where we reached out to all different types of people?”

“Yeah, it was a bunch of mediocre Negroes being dragged in front of TV as a photo-op for Donald Trump’s exploitative campaign against black people. And you are an example of that,” Hill shot back.

Unsurprisingly, the conversation immediately devolved into shouting. “I’m not name-calling,” Hill insisted.


Source.
I know this may be surprising to hear, but xDaunt's selective outrage in the face of racially charged language hardly counts as "mainstream America." That's a meaninglessly nebulous thing to refer to, for one, and as for "the Civil Rights Movement," when it comes to pinning people up against movements using their words, it isn't exactly smart for someone who claims to love Milo to veer into that territory.


what is racially charged language though.

it's something that is very easy to define in theory but very hard to define once you get into the weeds. some people will hotly insist that talking about the higher crime rates in non-white non-asian communities is racially charged while others will just as hotly insist they're pointing out facts without casting any aspersions, some people will hotly insist that talk of implicit bias and privilege and such is racially charged language while others will just as hotly insist that they're pointing out facts.


Welcome to upper division Humanties studies.

The truth is worse than the question you're asking--things like this is not something you "define" but is something you "discuss."

What that means is that the dialogue on the topic will shift and evolve, never reaching an answer because there is no answer. They are both right and both wrong at the same time. It is in the dialogue that we are able to glean what the trends are in hindsight, and we use that hindsight to attempt to discern what patterns in the present mean.

A good example of this is the way the dialogue about Neanderthals has evolved.

When neanderthals were first found, scientists argued that neanderthal genes were what made Africans more brutish and aggressive. However, now that DNA studies have shown neanderthals are actually much more synced with Europeans, the dialogue about Neanderthals is that they are actually intelligent, artistic, and communal.

Has this shift in analysis of Neanderthals happened because of racism (Oh, Neanderthals are white? They must be cool folks then.) Or has the shift happened because of better technologies (Oh, it turns out we were wrong about Neanderthals, turns out they are really _____)

The answer is a little bit of both, and we won't ever really know which one has more significance. The same can be said about crime rates. Is there more crime in black communities because they are black or because they are poor? Is there less crime in white communities because they rich or because they are white? The truth to both answers is that its a little bit of both.


complexity doesn't mean truth can't be uncovered. or even directly make it harder to uncover. indirectly, however...

it does make it harder to grab and hold on to power though, so there is little incentive to acknowledge the complexity. which does make uncovering truth harder because...

really what these discussions are about is power. formal and informal, legal and social. who has it, what justifies having it, what justifies keeping it. few who discuss racial issues are discussing them as observers who are simply interested in the details and how they fit together so they can gain an accurate understanding of an engrossing topic. they're interested in wielding power or protecting the power they already wield.



No disagreements here. Just want to point out that, if you look at these types of discussions throughout history, each generation always feels like they've finally figured it out to some degree, only for their world views to be upended a few generations later. Any conclusions we make about things this soft will always be tainted with bias of the present moment.

Questions that are ambiguous like "was it racist that _____" will never have the concreteness of "what is One plus One" because the variables themselves are ambiguous.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
January 17 2017 22:19 GMT
#131624
So Trump promising a healthcare system from heaven. This is in response to him watching the news and seeing Dems warn that people will lose health insurance, while Republicans complain about high premiums. Trump responds by promising healthcare for all at a low price. No Republicans in Congress are amenable to single-payer.

Trump flying by the seat of his pants according to what's in front of him, as he did in business, and as he did in the campaign.

Let's just hope the people around him steward our country well.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-17 22:20:21
January 17 2017 22:20 GMT
#131625
On January 18 2017 07:04 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 06:52 Jaaaaasper wrote:
I can't wait to see how Assange backs out of his promise to turn himself in if Obama pardoned Manning

There's nothing to renege on because Obama did not pardon Manning.


Wait, didn't you claim a week ago or so that you don't care about semantics? Which is it going to be
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18821 Posts
January 17 2017 22:21 GMT
#131626
As much as I hate defending the daunt, there is a legal and rather significant difference between the commutation of a sentence and the pardoning of the commission of a tried crime.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
January 17 2017 22:23 GMT
#131627
On January 18 2017 07:20 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 07:04 xDaunt wrote:
On January 18 2017 06:52 Jaaaaasper wrote:
I can't wait to see how Assange backs out of his promise to turn himself in if Obama pardoned Manning

There's nothing to renege on because Obama did not pardon Manning.


Wait, didn't you claim a week ago or so that you don't care about semantics? Which is it going to be


As much as I would personally enjoy it--arguing semantics about how someone feels about arguing in semantics might not be the best direction for this thread.

However, if no one is against, I am fully onboard.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-17 22:28:02
January 17 2017 22:27 GMT
#131628
On January 18 2017 07:21 farvacola wrote:
As much as I hate defending the daunt, there is a legal and rather significant difference between the commutation of a sentence and the pardoning of the commission of a tried crime.


What meaningful distinction is there in this purely political case? That Manning can't own firearms now? The important thing was getting her out of prison.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18821 Posts
January 17 2017 22:32 GMT
#131629
On January 18 2017 07:27 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 07:21 farvacola wrote:
As much as I hate defending the daunt, there is a legal and rather significant difference between the commutation of a sentence and the pardoning of the commission of a tried crime.


What meaningful distinction is there in this purely political case? That Manning can't own firearms now? The important thing was getting her out of prison.

I agree, which is why I think it was a smart move by Obama. For what it says about this country, there are a great many people in this country who will look a bit more positively on granting Manning leniency because of Obama's symbolic tempering of the remedy.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-17 22:34:52
January 17 2017 22:32 GMT
#131630
On January 18 2017 07:27 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 07:21 farvacola wrote:
As much as I hate defending the daunt, there is a legal and rather significant difference between the commutation of a sentence and the pardoning of the commission of a tried crime.


What meaningful distinction is there in this purely political case? That Manning can't own firearms now? The important thing was getting her out of prison.


A practical example of a difference, beyond the legal differences, is that none of the reasons that Manning were freed applied to Snowden.

From the NYT article:


Asked about the two clemency applications on Friday, the White House spokesman, Josh Earnest, discussed the “pretty stark difference” between Ms. Manning’s case for mercy and Mr. Snowden’s. While their offenses were similar, he said, there were “some important differences.”

"Chelsea Manning is somebody who went through the military criminal justice process, was exposed to due process, was found guilty, was sentenced for her crimes, and she acknowledged wrongdoing,”


Logo
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
January 17 2017 22:39 GMT
#131631
I'm glad that in the last week of his presidency, Obama supported a token gesture to reduce the sentence of a whistleblower after reneging on his earlier promise to be more supportive of whistleblowers.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
January 17 2017 22:41 GMT
#131632
On January 18 2017 07:27 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 07:21 farvacola wrote:
As much as I hate defending the daunt, there is a legal and rather significant difference between the commutation of a sentence and the pardoning of the commission of a tried crime.


What meaningful distinction is there in this purely political case? That Manning can't own firearms now? The important thing was getting her out of prison.


The difference is between saying Manning did no crime (a pardon) and that the punishment for the crime was too harsh (reduction in sentence)

This is not a definition issue, these are literally two different sets of actions.

Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-17 22:45:29
January 17 2017 22:45 GMT
#131633
I'm aware of the technical difference, but it's irrelevant in a case of this scope. The huge threat to whistle-blowers on the Manning scale is to rot in a dungeon, not interference with some of their civil liberties. That's obviously how the opposition will treat it as well. Please show me one Manning opponent who will go

"well a pardon would have been disastrous, but a commutation seems alright!"
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
January 17 2017 22:47 GMT
#131634
On January 18 2017 07:45 Nyxisto wrote:
I'm aware of the technical difference, but it's irrelevant in a case of this scope. The huge threat to whistle-blowers on the Manning scale is to rot in a dungeon, not interference with some of their civil liberties. That's obviously how the opposition will treat it as well. Please show me one Manning opponent who will go

"well a pardon would have been disastrous, but a commutation seems alright!"


Although I am not a Manning opponent by any stretch--I feel that a commutation is fairly disastrous to the overall message as to expectations for whistleblowers.

So you have to be wildly popular, get pressure on the administration from a percentage of the population, and have lost the current election to simply get a shorter sentence?

Not all whistleblowers will have those advantages. And not all whistleblowers will have that safety.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
January 17 2017 22:51 GMT
#131635
On January 18 2017 07:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 07:45 Nyxisto wrote:
I'm aware of the technical difference, but it's irrelevant in a case of this scope. The huge threat to whistle-blowers on the Manning scale is to rot in a dungeon, not interference with some of their civil liberties. That's obviously how the opposition will treat it as well. Please show me one Manning opponent who will go

"well a pardon would have been disastrous, but a commutation seems alright!"


Although I am not a Manning opponent by any stretch--I feel that a commutation is fairly disastrous to the overall message as to expectations for whistleblowers.

So you have to be wildly popular, get pressure on the administration from a percentage of the population, and have lost the current election to simply get a shorter sentence?

Not all whistleblowers will have those advantages. And not all whistleblowers will have that safety.


Not to mention it seems like the 2 suicides attempts & being transgender in a men's prison are also a factor here.

That's the important bit, the communication has nothing to do with acknowledging the value to the American people in what Manning did, but rather excusing the sentence for other reasons.

It's a completely good thing that it happened, but it's only a small step instead of a big one.
Logo
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-17 22:52:22
January 17 2017 22:51 GMT
#131636
On January 18 2017 07:45 Nyxisto wrote:
I'm aware of the technical difference, but it's irrelevant in a case of this scope. The huge threat to whistle-blowers on the Manning scale is to rot in a dungeon, not interference with some of their civil liberties. That's obviously how the opposition will treat it as well. Please show me one Manning opponent who will go

"well a pardon would have been disastrous, but a commutation seems alright!"

If we find a single such person on the internet would you concede the point?
and can we tone it down to a pardon would be bad, but commutation is ok?
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-17 22:56:31
January 17 2017 22:54 GMT
#131637
well good luck finding someone who means it

On January 18 2017 07:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 07:45 Nyxisto wrote:
I'm aware of the technical difference, but it's irrelevant in a case of this scope. The huge threat to whistle-blowers on the Manning scale is to rot in a dungeon, not interference with some of their civil liberties. That's obviously how the opposition will treat it as well. Please show me one Manning opponent who will go

"well a pardon would have been disastrous, but a commutation seems alright!"


Although I am not a Manning opponent by any stretch--I feel that a commutation is fairly disastrous to the overall message as to expectations for whistleblowers.

So you have to be wildly popular, get pressure on the administration from a percentage of the population, and have lost the current election to simply get a shorter sentence?

Not all whistleblowers will have those advantages. And not all whistleblowers will have that safety.


Manning aside I think the general opinion is that the Obama administration was a pretty huge blow back for whistleblowers and that the US is a pretty bad country to leak so much information. Pretty sad but I guess that's what you have to expect. Certainly isn't going to get much better with Trump and I can't even remember Bernie talking a lot about civil liberties. Even after the whole Snowden thing blew up nobody really seemed to care.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-17 22:59:45
January 17 2017 22:57 GMT
#131638
That sounds like you're not willing to actually concede the point if we find such a person, so I shall not look.
nevermind the invetability of being able to find someone, somehwere on the internet who believes such a thing.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-17 23:01:40
January 17 2017 23:01 GMT
#131639
Maybe this is part of why Obama commuted .

LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
January 17 2017 23:03 GMT
#131640
On January 18 2017 06:27 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2017 05:59 LegalLord wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:54 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:45 LegalLord wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:39 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:34 LegalLord wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:31 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:24 LegalLord wrote:
On January 18 2017 05:15 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On January 18 2017 04:39 LegalLord wrote:
[quote]
The benefit to them is not in doubt. I didn't imply as much - but you can absolutely get more out of them for less than you could from Americans.

Would an American engineer work in Shitfuckistan for $20k/year, no benefits? Would a person from a nation with a median income of $500/year do the same? Would Americans who want to live a decent life lose out from that reality? Would the third worlders benefit?


All depends on cost of living ratios vs social status importance.

Lots of people would rather have worse cost of living ratios but live in SF or NY, while others would rather have higher cost of living ratios but live in shitfuckistan.

The lower cost of workers in the Philippines and India has allowed call centers in those locations to actually ask more from its staff than the US. Higher education, better training, etc... Could they get cheaper? Sure they could--but why would they when they can get people with a masters in engineering as the customer support staff helping people with their laptop problems?

Netflix is starting to move its centers to the Philippines--primarily because every time they start a center here in the states the americans keep calling the job shit and start yelling at customers. Because Americans look down at any job without prestige to it.

Just because you have certain worries about globalization does not mean those worries are true, nor does it mean those worries are universal.

$20k in Shitfuckistan is a lot better than $500 in India but worse than even $20k in Bumfuckville, Ohio, much less $60k in SF (still pretty shitty). Guess who is more inclined to take those jobs? Maybe we can require a PhD for our $20k/year workers in Shitfuckistan because there are so many willing Indians. But those prissy Americans just aren't up for it.

It's clear who benefits - and who loses - from that arrangement. And the loser is the American middle class, easily.

Incidentally, I myself am thankfully in a position that I would say would be called a "winner" in globalization. I can't say it feels like victory - I'd be better off overall if the conditions were as they were 40+ years ago - but I definitely make more money this way. But if you don't see the people who lose bigly from this arrangement then you would be delusional.


Which is why, as I said, the only people who lose are the people who don't want to move to urban areas and who want to stay in towns without industry while not actively joining industries that better matches their social class. Just because the middle class are now people who live in the suburbs of the new economic centers of cities does not mean "the middle class" is dead. The middle class is simply different.

It's not "cities" but increasingly so a few key megacities. A lot of urban centers are overall in decline.

I am more inclined to sympathize with people who would rather not move to NY/SF/LA etc. to find work than to say that they're just inflexible fools.


When an industry disappears, then you have to move. That's the nature of the world. Its what the poorest of the poor do in countries outside of the 1st world. Its why 3rd world countries have people emigrating to richer areas to work so they can send money back home. Its what my family has had to do for generations. Its what other families have had to do. And its what my progeny will also have to do. If people don't adapt to the world around them, but expect the world to adapt to their every need--then who really is the petty one?

I see that this isn't going anywhere because your sympathy for the people in the third world whose QOL improves outweighs your concern for the first world people who see a pervasive decline in their own quality of life. But the first worlders who are forced into shittier conditions see their lives get worse and are less inclined to elect a leadership that would have that continue. As far as those people are concerned all third worlders can rot in hell if that is what it takes for them to live a better life.


I am simply pointing out that vilifying globalization will do nothing to solve the problems of social and economic inequality in the US. This is mostly because, globalization is something will happen, has always happened, and will continue to happen ad nausea.

The solution is never to prevent those manufacturing opportunities from leaving--they will leave based on economic realities, not because we will the company to stay. The solution comes from developing new industries, new economic systems, and providing people the ability to become more mobile in order for them to better adapt to a shifting landscape.

Its only a race to the bottom if the only option you leave on the table is the idealized american sweatshops from back before we had regulations.

I see you take the "globalization is inevitable, we just have to adapt" view. I can't say I agree. The next decade or so is going to see a severe backlash from the pro-nation-state groups and we will see where things go from there. If 2016 was any indication we are about to see shit go down in the foreseeable future.


I understand that, from an election standpoint, that the "globalization can't be stopped" message is... deflating at best, horrifying at worse. But no amount of yelling and screaming is going to stop businesses from just going elsewhere.

For example; do you know who will get hurt the most by trade wars? Middle Class and Poor America who will see the price of goods skyrocket as companies try to make up for the cost difference. Is it right of them to up the costs? I don't think so--but will they? Of course they will.

Now, we could establish a governmental body who is in charge of controlling prices--I am sure that worked out well for other communist countries.

Or maybe we could go full "free market" and just let god sort out the bodies? Hmm, that sounds shitty too.

Or, we could face globalization as it is, a realization that we live in a global economy and that we have to adapt in a global, not local, scale.

As people perceive a precipitous decline in their quality of life they tend to be open to increasingly radical solutions. Trump is probably just the first in a long string of such backlashes.

Globalization isn't new. We had the Silk Road, we had centuries of sea-based trade, we had the age of imperialism, and so on. The only real differences now are that we have better transportation technology (doesn't really make all that much of a difference), two countries capable of destroying all other countries in the world in a few hours (and a few capable of killing at least some of the world), and probably most importantly, an automation-based new industrial revolution. But none of that fundamentally changes the fact that this is very reminiscent of the kinds of situations that have, in the past, led to violent revolutions: a working class that has increasingly little, and a wealthy class that is increasingly wealthy.

It probably won't come to that - at least, not in the first world. It might lead to the end of the EU (a very real possibility right now), which has a lot of the same systemic issues as the US, except as a bloc instead of a nation with one leader. But what is true, as whitedoge has argued before, is that if no one has the money to buy your shit, then you're fucked. The third worlders that saw an increase in QOL due to exports are going to have issues, along with all the businesses that sold those exports. Then the financiers that are not going to get their money back, and so on. Looking at how much debt is floating around - and bad debt at that (e.g. Greece), the system really looks quite brittle.

What's the solution? There isn't one that wouldn't be painful. It would probably involve protectionism in the short term, and the ability for a nation-state to establish some degree of self-sufficiency. I honestly don't know, and I don't think anyone knows, how to reverse the trend. But the trend is likely not to lead to a very positive result. The nation-state is still the most important level of government and that is not likely to change in the near future.

I don't expect Trump to fix it. Hopefully he will bury TPP and TTIP and burn the remains. Also it would be nice if he were to be able to prevent a deescalation with Russia because whether or not you like Russia or what it does, no one needs that shit right now. Beyond that, just hoping for the best.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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