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On November 11 2016 01:51 TheYango wrote: The discussion right now about the electoral college is a red herring here. Even if Clinton won the popular vote, it's still true that almost 50% of the country voted for Trump. Whether you disenfranchise slightly more or slightly less than 50%, the problem is still the same.
The electoral map posted by Danglars illustrates the real problem here: we are a country that is living in two different worlds. The way rural America experiences the world is too different from urban America does. Even the urban Trump voter probably voted for Trump for vastly different reasons than his rural counterpart. In the last day since the election, I've been trying to reconcile myself with how so much of the country not only has a different worldview from my own, but one that seems utterly incompatible with my own.
It is easy to dismiss their view as uneducated or illogical, but that doesn't make the problem go away. It's easy to be partisan and blame the other side, when in fact a lot of what's wrong isn't the fault of either party, and is just an inevitable consequence of advancing technology and a shift in economy toward 21st century tech. We need to make a better effort to understand each other as a country, and what we should be doing to help such a massive swath of people who have been left behind by the 21st century. Now we're on to the bigger problem that isn't fixed with rejiggering electors. Incompatible worldviews to the point where millions of Trump voters voted for him with regret, faced with no other option electorally.
The stuff Trump talks about immigrants is one thing, how MSNBC treats midwesterners is quite another. If you like some densely packed coasts and cities ruling over a sea of red--because votes--I salute your unironic endorsement of colonialism because that's a hard thing to do. Everybody knows where your overlords and moral betters live.
And just to remind people that not everybody is committed to understanding the DNC meltdown, CNN is talking about internment camps. Maybe pause the fearmongering on Trump just a bit, guys. + Show Spoiler +
(And weren't we warned the crazy fascists were gonna go crazy after losing the election ... oh wait)
Clinton’s campaign assumed that the Obama coalition, which relied heavily on urban minority and suburban women voters, was permanent. Democrats saw little need to court blue-collar whites in places like western Pennsylvania, as Clinton did in 2008, or even acknowledge what’s happened there over the past 40 years. In a moment of utter tone-deafness back in March, Clinton even said at a town hall in West Virginia, “We’re going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business.”
Voters remembered that. Across eastern Ohio and rural Pennsylvania, political signs in town after town declared some version of, “Elect Trump, stop the war on coal.” Perhaps without fully realizing it, the Clinton campaign conveyed a blunt message to working-class whites across the region: we don’t care about you. Federalist on MidWest
Specifically to TheYango, from the Guardian
She was the Democratic candidate because it was her turn and because a Clinton victory would have moved every Democrat in Washington up a notch. Whether or not she would win was always a secondary matter, something that was taken for granted. Had winning been the party’s number one concern, several more suitable candidates were ready to go. There was Joe Biden, with his powerful plainspoken style, and there was Bernie Sanders, an inspiring and largely scandal-free figure. Each of them would probably have beaten Trump, but neither of them would really have served the interests of the party insiders. And so Democratic leaders made Hillary their candidate even though they knew about her closeness to the banks, her fondness for war, and her unique vulnerability on the trade issue – each of which Trump exploited to the fullest. They chose Hillary even though they knew about her private email server. They chose her even though some of those who studied the Clinton Foundation suspected it was a sketchy proposition. To try to put over such a nominee while screaming that the Republican is a rightwing monster is to court disbelief. If Trump is a fascist, as liberals often said, Democrats should have put in their strongest player to stop him, not a party hack they’d chosen because it was her turn. Choosing her indicated either that Democrats didn’t mean what they said about Trump’s riskiness, that their opportunism took precedence over the country’s well-being, or maybe both. Clinton’s supporters among the media didn’t help much, either. It always struck me as strange that such an unpopular candidate enjoyed such robust and unanimous endorsements from the editorial and opinion pages of the nation’s papers, but it was the quality of the media’s enthusiasm that really harmed her. With the same arguments repeated over and over, two or three times a day, with nuance and contrary views all deleted, the act of opening the newspaper started to feel like tuning in to a Cold War propaganda station. Here’s what it consisted of: - Hillary was virtually without flaws. She was a peerless leader clad in saintly white, a super-lawyer, a caring benefactor of women and children, a warrior for social justice.
- Her scandals weren’t real.
- The economy was doing well / America was already great.
- Working-class people weren’t supporting Trump.
- And if they were, it was only because they were botched humans. Racism was the only conceivable reason for lining up with the Republican candidate.
How did the journalists’ crusade fail? The fourth estate came together in an unprecedented professional consensus. They chose insulting the other side over trying to understand what motivated them. They transformed opinion writing into a vehicle for high moral boasting. What could possibly have gone wrong with such an approach?
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United Kingdom13775 Posts
On November 11 2016 02:20 Buckyman wrote: Okay, GIVEN that rural and small town voters have real problems that aren't being addressed, how do we address those problems? We could literally write multiple textbooks about that topic. It isn't a simple task.
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United States15275 Posts
On November 11 2016 01:57 Doodsmack wrote: You're using a double standard here because did not adhere in his business life to his criticism of politicians and their policies. Unless you also admit that's the case about Trump, which brings us back to the gender double standard.
Trump is just as bad if not worse.
On November 11 2016 01:58 farvacola wrote: Rural folk aren't nearly as mysterious as many in the media are supposing; previously, Democrats had a stronger rural presence because unions used to play a much larger local/state role as an organizing force. With the erosion of manufacturing union power and influence, it has become more difficult for Democrats to communicate with/organize the countryside. Add in Clinton's relative deafness to rural issues of aracial joblessness and lack of services and her loss becomes more and more understandable.
It's true that the decline of unions have severely weakened the Demoracts' connection to the countryside. But they also share some of the blame of that. Starting from the McGovern Commision in '68, they deliberately moved away from organized labor and towards white-collar professionalism and what we could tenuously call the "coastal elite".
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On November 11 2016 02:20 Buckyman wrote: Okay, GIVEN that rural and small town voters have real problems that aren't being addressed, how do we address those problems? In Ohio and Michigan, local municipalities are being forced into levying higher local taxes because the state legislature regularly cuts municipality funding. We could start there.
On November 11 2016 02:24 CosmicSpiral wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 01:57 Doodsmack wrote: You're using a double standard here because did not adhere in his business life to his criticism of politicians and their policies. Unless you also admit that's the case about Trump, which brings us back to the gender double standard. Trump is just as bad if not worse. Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 01:58 farvacola wrote: Rural folk aren't nearly as mysterious as many in the media are supposing; previously, Democrats had a stronger rural presence because unions used to play a much larger local/state role as an organizing force. With the erosion of manufacturing union power and influence, it has become more difficult for Democrats to communicate with/organize the countryside. Add in Clinton's relative deafness to rural issues of aracial joblessness and lack of services and her loss becomes more and more understandable. It's true that the decline of unions have severely weakened the Demoracts' connection to the countryside. But they also share some of the blame of that. Starting from the McGovern Commision in '68, they deliberately moved away from organized labor and towards white-collar professionalism and what we could tenuously call the "coastal elite". Indeed; that was fucking dumb and its time to move back.
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On November 11 2016 02:12 LegalLord wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 02:07 Logo wrote:On November 11 2016 02:04 LegalLord wrote: Trump won by the rules of the current game. If there were different rules, there would be a different game. It wouldn't just be what we have now, but a flipped result. We don't know with any comfortable certainty what would happen. I don't think that's a good deflection of criticisms of the current system though. Like pissed off workers in Michigan have probably been wanting to complain with their vote for a few cycles already (or have been?) but no one bothered paying attention to them because the state was going to go blue anyways. It works both ways for both parties and I'm not really sure anyone is benefiting except the people who end up in office (regardless of party). The core of people's complaints really is just that "the wrong candidate won because the system is BS." And while the system may be BS, we really don't know how it would have gone with a different system. We only have educated guesses. Maybe Michigan workers would get ignored in favor of California liberals who are too lazy to get out and vote unless prodded. We really just don't know. The system we have led to the current results. A different system wouldn't just be "this same thing but different presidents." It would be completely different. And that's fine.
My main question is whether a system that has led to a historic high of 57% of the eligible population voting is really a good democratic system. It doesn't seem so. And FPTP seems to be the main culprit, given that there are only really 10 or so states where voting can make a real difference.
Lets face it, if I were a busy Californian, I wouldn't go and vote. There are clearly better ways of spending my time, because the blue candidate will win anyway (and the polls have been telling me so for months). Whereas with some form of proportional representation, the more votes my candidate gets, the bigger the slice of the pie for that blue candidate: suddenly Californians (or Dakotans if you prefer a red state example) have a fire lit under their ass to go and vote, the same as Floridians or Ohioans (Ohians?)
Re Gorsameth: having some system whereby there are only two candidates left at the final election is fine. That's what primaries, or in France, the double-round (it's only a single runoff) is for. Of course, it would mean that the primaries would become an integral part of the election cycle, and could not be as haphazard as it is now, being organized by two (arbitrary) organizations, with all the problems that GH was insistent on pointing out in the primaries: you could thus kill two birds with one stone (albeit, a rather big stone, having to change the US constitution).
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United Kingdom13775 Posts
On November 11 2016 02:20 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 02:18 LegalLord wrote: I think Mike Pence has the most interesting job in the nation, trying to make the weird stuff Trump said sound palatable. It would be hilarious to have that job. No, the most interesting job in the nation will be Trump's press secretary (though largely for the same reason). Milo joked that he wanted to be Trump's press secretary if Trump won the election. I think that would be glorious. In a way, Pence has been Trump's "establishment counterpart" whose job it has been to reconcile his contradictions with theirs. The most hilarious one for me was when Pence was forced to agree with Trump's "Putin is a strong leader" rhetoric which seems so ridiculously contradictory with how a "generic Republican" would act. Though I suppose when he has a press secretary as president it will be the same.
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The stuff Trump talks about immigrants is one thing, how MSNBC treats midwesterners is quite another. If you like some densely packed coasts and cities ruling over a sea of red--because votes--I salute your unironic endorsement of colonialism because that's a hard thing to do. Everybody knows where your overlords and moral betters live.
You can't just pretend everything is absolute. Rural areas deserving solid representation and the will of the people/cities being undercut are not mutually exclusive ideals.
Let me ask you this, what part of the federal government represents the will of the people based on popular vote? The house doesn't, the senate doesn't, and the presidency doesn't.
Shouldn't it be an issue that no part of the federal government is representing the country wide popular vote?
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United Kingdom13775 Posts
On November 11 2016 02:24 CosmicSpiral wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 01:57 Doodsmack wrote: You're using a double standard here because did not adhere in his business life to his criticism of politicians and their policies. Unless you also admit that's the case about Trump, which brings us back to the gender double standard. Trump is just as bad if not worse. Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 01:58 farvacola wrote: Rural folk aren't nearly as mysterious as many in the media are supposing; previously, Democrats had a stronger rural presence because unions used to play a much larger local/state role as an organizing force. With the erosion of manufacturing union power and influence, it has become more difficult for Democrats to communicate with/organize the countryside. Add in Clinton's relative deafness to rural issues of aracial joblessness and lack of services and her loss becomes more and more understandable. It's true that the decline of unions have severely weakened the Demoracts' connection to the countryside. But they also share some of the blame of that. Starting from the McGovern Commision in '68, they deliberately moved away from organized labor and towards white-collar professionalism and what we could tenuously call the "coastal elite". The unions themselves rallied hard behind Hillary in the primaries. Many union workers expressed reservations about that and ultimately voted for Bernie because they did not believe Hillary would act in their best interests.
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On November 11 2016 02:20 Buckyman wrote: Okay, GIVEN that rural and small town voters have real problems that aren't being addressed, how do we address those problems? Without the context of which discussion you are throwing this question into, I will assume it is about the EC overrepresenting rural areas.
(1) They are already overrepresented in the electoral system, so I guess that is an advantage other minorities already do not have. What makes rural and small town voters more important than black, hispanic or gay voters? Note: I think there is a perfectly good and pragmatic argument to be made for why population density is important to be taken into account in elections, but it's a delicate balancing act between geography and number of people.
(2) Rural and small town voters have the exact same tools available to them as to other constituents. Contact your representatives and make sure your problems are heard. Whether they are addressed or not, you can assess that the next time you have to go and vote.
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Big problem with these rural white communities is that their expectations are unreasonable. The days of raising a family off a single factory wage, and then also buying a house, is straight up madness at this point. It's not even easy for a chemical engineer. WW2 gave people wildly unrealistic expectations.
Does anyone believe there is a path for a factory worker raising a family and buying a house? I really, really don't.
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On November 11 2016 02:20 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 02:18 LegalLord wrote: I think Mike Pence has the most interesting job in the nation, trying to make the weird stuff Trump said sound palatable. It would be hilarious to have that job. No, the most interesting job in the nation will be Trump's press secretary (though largely for the same reason). Milo joked that he wanted to be Trump's press secretary if Trump won the election. I think that would be glorious. Any department press position would work for me. I'd prefer state department given Jen Psaki's previous record in that role. When the press rediscovers its balls a day after Obama leaves office, Trump could use someone with humor and flair to answer questions and give some jazz back.
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On November 11 2016 02:35 Mohdoo wrote: Big problem with these rural white communities is that their expectations are unreasonable. The days of raising a family off a single factory wage, and then also buying a house, is straight up madness at this point. It's not even easy for a chemical engineer. WW2 gave people wildly unrealistic expectations.
Does anyone believe there is a path for a factory worker raising a family and buying a house? I really, really don't. This is where the abject socialist in me thinks that a mandatory year of civil service following high school would do a ton of good; force country folk into the cities and city folks into the country. Mandatory anything here in the states is a pipe dream, but oh well, still something to work towards
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On November 11 2016 02:32 Acrofales wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 02:20 Buckyman wrote: Okay, GIVEN that rural and small town voters have real problems that aren't being addressed, how do we address those problems? Without the context of which discussion you are throwing this question into, I will assume it is about the EC overrepresenting rural areas. (1) They are already overrepresented in the electoral system, so I guess that is an advantage other minorities already do not have. What makes rural and small town voters more important than black, hispanic or gay voters? Note: I think there is a perfectly good and pragmatic argument to be made for why population density is important to be taken into account in elections, but it's a delicate balancing act between geography and number of people. (2) Rural and small town voters have the exact same tools available to them as to other constituents. Contact your representatives and make sure your problems are heard. Whether they are addressed or not, you can assess that the next time you have to go and vote. No he is talking about how you address the problems facing the Rural American. The problems they experience are what caused them to vote Trump. What can the Democrats (and Republicans since Trump has no answer) do to help those people.
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United Kingdom13775 Posts
On November 11 2016 02:26 Acrofales wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 02:12 LegalLord wrote:On November 11 2016 02:07 Logo wrote:On November 11 2016 02:04 LegalLord wrote: Trump won by the rules of the current game. If there were different rules, there would be a different game. It wouldn't just be what we have now, but a flipped result. We don't know with any comfortable certainty what would happen. I don't think that's a good deflection of criticisms of the current system though. Like pissed off workers in Michigan have probably been wanting to complain with their vote for a few cycles already (or have been?) but no one bothered paying attention to them because the state was going to go blue anyways. It works both ways for both parties and I'm not really sure anyone is benefiting except the people who end up in office (regardless of party). The core of people's complaints really is just that "the wrong candidate won because the system is BS." And while the system may be BS, we really don't know how it would have gone with a different system. We only have educated guesses. Maybe Michigan workers would get ignored in favor of California liberals who are too lazy to get out and vote unless prodded. We really just don't know. The system we have led to the current results. A different system wouldn't just be "this same thing but different presidents." It would be completely different. And that's fine. My main question is whether a system that has led to a historic high of 57% of the eligible population voting is really a good democratic system. It doesn't seem so. And FPTP seems to be the main culprit, given that there are only really 10 or so states where voting can make a real difference. Lets face it, if I were a busy Californian, I wouldn't go and vote. There are clearly better ways of spending my time, because the blue candidate will win anyway (and the polls have been telling me so for months). Whereas with some form of proportional representation, the more votes my candidate gets, the bigger the slice of the pie for that blue candidate: suddenly Californians (or Dakotans if you prefer a red state example) have a fire lit under their ass to go and vote, the same as Floridians or Ohioans (Ohians?) And would you be worried that the rural voters wouldn't bother, because they would be concerned that they would never win because the big cities would just outvote them anyways. And removing FPTP leads to runoff elections, which are logistically much less pleasant in the US and could lead to something similar to France, where you can get a runoff election between a Le Pen and a candidate everyone but their core base hates. This is not an easy problem and no other system is so clearly better that switching is justified.
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On November 11 2016 02:37 farvacola wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 02:35 Mohdoo wrote: Big problem with these rural white communities is that their expectations are unreasonable. The days of raising a family off a single factory wage, and then also buying a house, is straight up madness at this point. It's not even easy for a chemical engineer. WW2 gave people wildly unrealistic expectations.
Does anyone believe there is a path for a factory worker raising a family and buying a house? I really, really don't. This is where the abject socialist in me thinks that a mandatory year of civil service following high school would do a ton of good; force country folk into the cities and city folks into the country. Mandatory anything here in the states is a pipe dream, but oh well, still something to work towards 
I'm not understanding the connection between what I said and what you said. Do you think it would give rural people a better understanding? Or are you saying I am misunderstanding?
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On November 11 2016 02:35 Mohdoo wrote: Big problem with these rural white communities is that their expectations are unreasonable. The days of raising a family off a single factory wage, and then also buying a house, is straight up madness at this point. It's not even easy for a chemical engineer. WW2 gave people wildly unrealistic expectations.
Does anyone believe there is a path for a factory worker raising a family and buying a house? I really, really don't.
Is there a path for anyone that doesn't currently own? Most people I know can't afford to own without subjecting themselves to soul crushingly long commutes while people in more rural areas are too screwed economically to afford to buy.
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On November 11 2016 02:35 Mohdoo wrote: Big problem with these rural white communities is that their expectations are unreasonable. The days of raising a family off a single factory wage, and then also buying a house, is straight up madness at this point. It's not even easy for a chemical engineer. WW2 gave people wildly unrealistic expectations.
Does anyone believe there is a path for a factory worker raising a family and buying a house? I really, really don't.
Sounds to me that the chemical engineer earns too little as well though
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On November 11 2016 02:39 Mohdoo wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2016 02:37 farvacola wrote:On November 11 2016 02:35 Mohdoo wrote: Big problem with these rural white communities is that their expectations are unreasonable. The days of raising a family off a single factory wage, and then also buying a house, is straight up madness at this point. It's not even easy for a chemical engineer. WW2 gave people wildly unrealistic expectations.
Does anyone believe there is a path for a factory worker raising a family and buying a house? I really, really don't. This is where the abject socialist in me thinks that a mandatory year of civil service following high school would do a ton of good; force country folk into the cities and city folks into the country. Mandatory anything here in the states is a pipe dream, but oh well, still something to work towards  I'm not understanding the connection between what I said and what you said. Do you think it would give rural people a better understanding? Or are you saying I am misunderstanding? Breaking down the urban/rural divide would do wonders relative to leveling off those unrealistic expectations just as it would help dispel myths like the welfare queen and the stupid white hick.
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On November 11 2016 02:35 Mohdoo wrote: Big problem with these rural white communities is that their expectations are unreasonable. The days of raising a family off a single factory wage, and then also buying a house, is straight up madness at this point. It's not even easy for a chemical engineer. WW2 gave people wildly unrealistic expectations.
Does anyone believe there is a path for a factory worker raising a family and buying a house? I really, really don't. Sure there is if you live in the middle of nowhere. People who live in the coasts and the elite cities have no concept of the difference of the cost of living when you're in small town, rural America. I go to one such town in Arkansas at least once per year. Last year, there was a house for sale across the street from where I was. Instead of having a realtor's for sale sign, there was a plain white sign staked into the ground that said "For sale -- $19,500 cash only." And this was a big house. Granted, this is an extreme example, but the cost of real estate in these types of rural areas can be as little as 10% or less of what you'd be paying in the more prominent urban areas.
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On November 11 2016 02:35 Mohdoo wrote: Big problem with these rural white communities is that their expectations are unreasonable. The days of raising a family off a single factory wage, and then also buying a house, is straight up madness at this point. It's not even easy for a chemical engineer. WW2 gave people wildly unrealistic expectations.
Does anyone believe there is a path for a factory worker raising a family and buying a house? I really, really don't.
There is as long as you're not trying to move into an expensive location. There are definitely low cost of living cities and towns that this dream is totally possible, as was the case for alot of the coal mining population. high hazard pay in remote locations with low land cost and low overhead for the town in terms of taxes etc. I still do agree that the expectations are unreasonable though, because along with that house too many people are expecting to keep up with the Jones' and have all the latest cars, gadgets, and fashion. That is where the american dream has been corrupted. It went from the ability to own a home and be yourself, to living like a millionaire on a pauper's salary, and for that I blame pop culture and reality tv culture.
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