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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6063

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23486 Posts
November 09 2016 04:48 GMT
#121241
On November 09 2016 13:46 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:03 xDaunt wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:02 Clonester wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:00 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Pennsylvania now within 2% with 77% reporting. Down from a 13% deficit at 25%~.


NYTimes says Pennsylvania is going for Trump longer ago. Just look at what still needs to be counted, the rural areas edge out the 2 cities just a little bit and that should be enough.
Wisconson and Michigan follow, Trump will be a over 300 president.

That is unbelievable. I thought it was possible that he could win, though unlikely. But an actual #trumpslide in the electoral college? No way.

Serious polling failures here. Although I still can't believe that anyone would actually support that man.


Not really polling failures, as much as just stubbornly refusing to acknowledge that Hillary wasn't Obama and wouldn't bring out his coalition in larger numbers than Trump.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 09 2016 04:49 GMT
#121242
On November 09 2016 13:42 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:41 IgnE wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:39 xDaunt wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:38 GreenHorizons wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:32 LegalLord wrote:
32% reporting, Washington favors Trump.

Well GH, I have to say that regardless of who wins Washington in the end, even I didn't believe you this far. This general election has thoroughly vindicated you - though I'm not sure that we're all happy with what that will cost us all.


Live drone shot of Kwizach's election party

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]

ROFL.


yoooo what is that picture

Jonestown massacre.


is a mass suicide really a massacre?
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
November 09 2016 04:49 GMT
#121243
On November 09 2016 13:46 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:03 xDaunt wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:02 Clonester wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:00 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Pennsylvania now within 2% with 77% reporting. Down from a 13% deficit at 25%~.


NYTimes says Pennsylvania is going for Trump longer ago. Just look at what still needs to be counted, the rural areas edge out the 2 cities just a little bit and that should be enough.
Wisconson and Michigan follow, Trump will be a over 300 president.

That is unbelievable. I thought it was possible that he could win, though unlikely. But an actual #trumpslide in the electoral college? No way.

Serious polling failures here. Although I still can't believe that anyone would actually support that man.


Seems like mostly problems with considering likely voters and underestimating the effect of new voter ID laws and other efforts to cut down on voting by certain groups of people.

That and dumbass news outlets trying to call something a 1% chance for Trump lulling people into a sense of security.
Logo
RealityIsKing
Profile Joined August 2016
613 Posts
November 09 2016 04:49 GMT
#121244
On November 09 2016 13:47 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Too bad about that bet with Kwizach I suppose


I think he might never show up on this forum again.

He always felt shadily partisan.

User was warned for this post
Mysticesper
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1183 Posts
November 09 2016 04:49 GMT
#121245
if (when) trump gets AZ, its 269, so it means he wins cause of the house.
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3257 Posts
November 09 2016 04:49 GMT
#121246
I'm not really a regular, but I'm here. There's just not much to say. Every indication is that Donald Trump will be not just a bad president but a disastrous one. By his own description at the outset of his presidency he'll tear up trade deals, seize funds from Mexican citizens via the PATRIAT act to bully Mexico into building a wall, and jail his political opponent.

I was really hoping you Trump supporters would never have to face the consequences of your movement. Here I'm torn between asking my job to transfer to England or something, and sticking around in case there's still something I could do to stop it.
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12358 Posts
November 09 2016 04:49 GMT
#121247
So...

I guess I'm learning chinese
No will to live, no wish to die
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 09 2016 04:49 GMT
#121248
I know Tweets are being strictly monitored but this election calls for such a tweet:

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 04:50:35
November 09 2016 04:49 GMT
#121249
On November 09 2016 13:48 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
I'm seeing 265/270 with AZ

where is he getting the last 5 votes from?

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2016/presidential-election-headquarters

AZ is 11

if she gets AZ she'd also get Nevada which is another 6. But there's no way she's getting AZ lol
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
November 09 2016 04:50 GMT
#121250
Where is Trump going to get the last 5 electorates from after AZ?

I still don't see him reaching 270 without another swingstate
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
November 09 2016 04:50 GMT
#121251
On November 09 2016 13:49 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:42 LegalLord wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:41 IgnE wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:39 xDaunt wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:38 GreenHorizons wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:32 LegalLord wrote:
32% reporting, Washington favors Trump.

Well GH, I have to say that regardless of who wins Washington in the end, even I didn't believe you this far. This general election has thoroughly vindicated you - though I'm not sure that we're all happy with what that will cost us all.


Live drone shot of Kwizach's election party

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]

ROFL.


yoooo what is that picture

Jonestown massacre.


is a mass suicide really a massacre?

Debatable, but it's not my term.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
CosmicSpiral
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States15275 Posts
November 09 2016 04:50 GMT
#121252
On November 09 2016 13:48 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:45 Nevuk wrote:
On November 09 2016 13:44 plasmidghost wrote:
Honestly though there is one man that Trump must publicly thank, and his name is Julian Assange

That's a funny way to spell James Comey

Comey is also another person thats fucked after this election.

Shit guys I want to eat and drink the most American thing possible for breakfast now. So do I get a hotdog or a hamburger? Coke or Pepsi?




This should suffice.
WriterWovon man nicht sprechen kann, darüber muß man schweigen.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4358 Posts
November 09 2016 04:50 GMT
#121253
On November 09 2016 13:47 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Too bad about that bet with Kwizach I suppose

He had other bets going aside from the $50 with me?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 09 2016 04:51 GMT
#121254
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
FiWiFaKi
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Canada9859 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 04:52:49
November 09 2016 04:51 GMT
#121255
How the fuck was polling in Ohio off by 10 points anyway, that's like 4 standard deviations in polls lol.

edit: correction, each 1.5% is 1 standard deviation, since polls are +/- 3% with 95% which is roughly 2 standard deviations. So like 6-7 standard deviations off.
In life, the journey is more satisfying than the destination. || .::Entrepreneurship::. Living a few years of your life like most people won't, so that you can spend the rest of your life like most people can't || Mechanical Engineering & Economics Major
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
November 09 2016 04:51 GMT
#121256
On November 09 2016 13:50 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:47 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Too bad about that bet with Kwizach I suppose

He had other bets going aside from the $50 with me?

check out the thread in website feedback.

Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Mysticesper
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1183 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 04:52:35
November 09 2016 04:52 GMT
#121257
[image loading]

unless im missing something, he doesnt need anything else.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
November 09 2016 04:52 GMT
#121258
On November 09 2016 13:50 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:47 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Too bad about that bet with Kwizach I suppose

He had other bets going aside from the $50 with me?

Fiwi weaseled out of a bet with him and is starting to regret doing so.

Oh well, it happens.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
StarStruck
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
25339 Posts
November 09 2016 04:52 GMT
#121259
On November 09 2016 13:49 Toadesstern wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:48 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
I'm seeing 265/270 with AZ

where is he getting the last 5 votes from?

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2016/presidential-election-headquarters

AZ is 11

if she gets AZ she'd also get Nevada which is another 6. But there's no way she's getting AZ lol


Yup, there is zero chance she gets AZ. It's done.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4358 Posts
November 09 2016 04:52 GMT
#121260
So who was the most accurate pollster this time round?
LA Times i think, like in 2012.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
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