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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6064

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Grettin
Profile Joined April 2010
42414 Posts
November 09 2016 04:52 GMT
#121261
On November 09 2016 13:51 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:


4/4 states passed? Plus all the medical legalization.
"If I had force-fields in Brood War, I'd never lose." -Bisu
Ropid
Profile Joined March 2009
Germany3557 Posts
November 09 2016 04:52 GMT
#121262
It's not quite over right now, right? I'm trying to guess by looking at the current numbers and the percentages of precincts reporting their final result, and WI, MI, PA could still flip?
"My goal is to replace my soul with coffee and become immortal."
eviltomahawk
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States11135 Posts
November 09 2016 04:53 GMT
#121263
I guess this is how the conservatives felt back in '08
ㅇㅅㅌㅅ
Mysticesper
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1183 Posts
November 09 2016 04:53 GMT
#121264
http://www.270towin.com/maps/ZXxAo

It's over when he eventually gets AZ
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6343 Posts
November 09 2016 04:53 GMT
#121265
On November 09 2016 13:51 FiWiFaKi wrote:
How the fuck was polling in Ohio off by 10 points anyway, that's like 4 standard deviations in polls lol.

Because they were rigged. It was obvious when the rats started jumping ship last week it was over for Clinton.

User was warned for this post
“What the public criticizes in you, cultivate. It is you.” - Jean Cocteau
HotGlueGun
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1409 Posts
November 09 2016 04:53 GMT
#121266
Doesn't look like WI will flip so Hilary is pretty much dead.
Don't hoot with the Owls at night if you cant soar with the Eagles at dawn.
Hexe
Profile Joined August 2014
United States332 Posts
November 09 2016 04:53 GMT
#121267
On November 09 2016 13:53 eviltomahawk wrote:
I guess this is how the conservatives felt back in '08

oh god no. most knew obama had the momentum.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 09 2016 04:53 GMT
#121268
On November 09 2016 13:52 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
So who was the most accurate pollster this time round?
LA Times i think, like in 2012.


Pretty hard to know that until we have the actual national popular vote, which we won't have for a while
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
November 09 2016 04:53 GMT
#121269
The other big winner tonight? The alt-right. It will be interesting to see how that continues to evolve now that they got their guy. Better get used to Pepe.
StarStruck
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
25339 Posts
November 09 2016 04:53 GMT
#121270
On November 09 2016 13:53 eviltomahawk wrote:
I guess this is how the conservatives felt back in '08


The lovely flip flop. #nevercanbehappy.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 09 2016 04:54 GMT
#121271
this trump threat was always there. i predicted 272 for hrc elsewhere, didnt see the big loss up north.

rural america is kind of mad. too bad this madness wont lead to anything good. the dynamic of systemic decay may yet be in motion.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
November 09 2016 04:54 GMT
#121272
Bloomberg guys talking about my 269 scenario that is WI red, MI blue. I want to see it guys
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
November 09 2016 04:54 GMT
#121273
--- Nuked ---
Mysticesper
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1183 Posts
November 09 2016 04:54 GMT
#121274
its possible. Trump gets 269 with AZ, so the rest of the states dont matter.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
November 09 2016 04:55 GMT
#121275
On November 09 2016 13:53 Hexe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:53 eviltomahawk wrote:
I guess this is how the conservatives felt back in '08

oh god no. most knew obama had the momentum.

None of us liked McCain and none of us thought he was going to win. It was pretty clear that we were going to get crushed in that election by the time that we were though October. No, this election is a uniquely bitter experience for democrats.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
November 09 2016 04:55 GMT
#121276
NBC already predicting 2 recounts
Neosteel Enthusiast
Ropid
Profile Joined March 2009
Germany3557 Posts
November 09 2016 04:55 GMT
#121277
On November 09 2016 13:51 FiWiFaKi wrote:
How the fuck was polling in Ohio off by 10 points anyway, that's like 4 standard deviations in polls lol.

edit: correction, each 1.5% is 1 standard deviation, since polls are +/- 3% with 95% which is roughly 2 standard deviations. So like 6-7 standard deviations off.

The polls were all having a filter named "likely voter" to select who to ask. That term sounds like something where a terrible mistake could happen.
"My goal is to replace my soul with coffee and become immortal."
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14203 Posts
November 09 2016 04:55 GMT
#121278
On November 09 2016 13:53 Hexe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 13:53 eviltomahawk wrote:
I guess this is how the conservatives felt back in '08

oh god no. most knew obama had the momentum.

I mean people knew back in september that it wasn't going to be close. Nothing could have matched the Obama electoral magic plus the bush fallout.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 04:56:03
November 09 2016 04:55 GMT
#121279
On November 09 2016 13:54 Mysticesper wrote:
its possible. Trump gets 269 with AZ, so the rest of the states dont matter.


It looks like he's going to take NH as well though

and MI
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
November 09 2016 04:55 GMT
#121280
On November 09 2016 13:52 Ropid wrote:
It's not quite over right now, right? I'm trying to guess by looking at the current numbers and the percentages of precincts reporting their final result, and WI, MI, PA could still flip?

WI is finished, Hillary has few votes left that are likely to work out in her favor there. Same goes for PA in reverse.

MI is the only one left that is kind of close. 538 now calls 84% chance for Trump. In all likelihood it's over.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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