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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
October 02 2016 20:54 GMT
#105821
Hoover vs Roosevelt is about as close to a landslide victory as a modern presidential candidate could feasibly hope for.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5570 Posts
October 02 2016 20:56 GMT
#105822
I don't think we're judging partisanship right. If you have only one line separating two huge things and you look at it at any random moment, it's going to look like it's dividing the things reasonably evenly. You can get a 50/50 election from both candidates being really, really good. The fact that the long running names of each slice of the pie haven't changed, that doesn't tell you what voters have been doing, especially if you only look at the presidential level. And you wouldn't want people voting against their own motivations just to be able to say the electorate put aside party lines. Or is that what the point is, that people's motivations are such worlds apart?
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Titan107
Profile Joined March 2016
30 Posts
October 02 2016 20:59 GMT
#105823
This thread seems to be a Hillary circle-jerk.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 02 2016 21:10 GMT
#105824
On October 03 2016 05:59 Titan107 wrote:
This thread seems to be a Hillary circle-jerk.

It mirrors the voters views on trump.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 02 2016 21:18 GMT
#105825
On October 03 2016 05:07 WolfintheSheep wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2016 04:01 Danglars wrote:
On October 03 2016 02:34 oBlade wrote:
On October 03 2016 02:17 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On October 03 2016 01:31 oBlade wrote:
On October 02 2016 22:11 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
From firsthand accounts of Trump's models and financial and immigration records... Trump may very well be a human trafficker:

BREAKING: U.S. Senate Moves To Investigate Donald Trump For Human Trafficking (DETAILS)

A United States senator just sent the Department of Homeland Security a letter asking for the immediate investigation of Donald Trump’s modeling agency after an August 30th publication by media outlet, Mother Jones, in which Trump’s company was accused of trafficking illegal immigrants willing to work as models.

The investigation by Mother Jones uncovered countless cases of Trump ignoring immigration laws by employing illegal immigrants to work for Donald Trump’s Model Management. Mother Jones reported that:

“Trump Model Management, has profited from using foreign models who came to the United States on tourist visas that did not permit them to work here, according to three former Trump models, all noncitizens, who shared their stories with Mother Jones. Financialand immigration records included in a recent lawsuit filed by a fourth former Trump model show that she, too, worked for Trump’s agency in the United States without a proper visa.”

By law, people visiting the United States from a foreign land are not allowed to attain employment via an American company. Trump, however, is known for not only hiring illegals, but hiring them for the specific reason of not having to follow US labor laws.

Models hired by Donald Trump’s Model Management have come out against the mogul, saying they were barely able to making ends meet after paying the high cost of rent and fees bestowed on them by the company. Trump profited $2 million dollars in the 17 years the company has been in existence.

In response to the investigation, senator Barbara Boxer sent the following letter to US Citizenship and Immigration’s Leon Rodriguez:

[image loading]

The openly anti-immigrant candidate is being accused of “illegally importing” women to work as models in his agency, and while this makes him look like a giant fool, it could also hold legal ramifications that would leave Trump paying a hefty fine, and possibly even serving jail time for human trafficking. Along with her letter, Boxer also tweeted out:

Trump: tough on illegal immigration unless he’s importing foreign models to exploit. https://t.co/eahs6srlDE
— Barbara Boxer (@BarbaraBoxer) August 31, 2016

This isn’t the first time that Trump has been accused of shipping immigrants in with the sole intention of exploiting them for near slave wages. One woman, in particular, was set to be on Trump’s cancelled MTV show “Girls of Hedsor Hall.” Earlier this summer, she spoke out against Trump, saying that he brought her here for no reason other than to be able to pay her less than minimum wage.

Unfortunately for Republicans, they didn’t know the anti-immigrant Republican they nominated to lead their party was nothing more than a phony, showboating, trafficker of women. Despite the illusions Trump has cast out about his strict immigration policies, his past has proven to be far more telling than his mouth.

http://bipartisanreport.com/2016/09/07/breaking-u-s-senate-moves-to-investigate-donald-trump-for-human-trafficking-details/


When all else fails, the guy you don't like is a human trafficking child rapist.


"When all else fails" is a phrase used only for when other things are failing. Trump is already incredibly guilty in plenty of other scandals. I would recommend replacing "When all else fails-" with "And on top of all the other immoral and illegal bullshit that Trump has done, it might be the case that-".

I mean exactly what I said, we've been spammed with the fact that he's a broke, sexist, racist bully for a year but he still manages to be a viable candidate who keeps the polls tight. The reaction is always to just keep heaping more outlandish stuff.

I'm told he's only a viable candidate because the voting population is too dumb to evaluate Trump's scandals as worse than Clinton's, and too misanthropic to care about his hate. It's a very tight philosophy: It shouldn't be so close because he's so evil, but it is so close because his voters are so despicable.

Honest question here...

If the candidates right here and now were George Washington vs a literal rock, what would the voting percentages look like?

From what I can tell with the entrenched party lines in the US, the only thing needed to have a close election is for the Democrat and Republican labels to be attached to two individuals.

well, a literal rock might not be eligible; but generally speaking, even with an utterly terrible candidate, you're likely to get at least 35-40% of the vote (for presidential elections); that's what people say anyways.
for the less contested senate/house races, you sometimes see larger skews, generally when it's popular incumbent vs some nobody.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
October 02 2016 21:19 GMT
#105826
So is there anything that Trump both says and lives by yet?
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21657 Posts
October 02 2016 21:19 GMT
#105827
On October 03 2016 05:56 oBlade wrote:
I don't think we're judging partisanship right. If you have only one line separating two huge things and you look at it at any random moment, it's going to look like it's dividing the things reasonably evenly. You can get a 50/50 election from both candidates being really, really good. The fact that the long running names of each slice of the pie haven't changed, that doesn't tell you what voters have been doing, especially if you only look at the presidential level. And you wouldn't want people voting against their own motivations just to be able to say the electorate put aside party lines. Or is that what the point is, that people's motivations are such worlds apart?

That point is that Presidential elections (for the most part) are pretty close regardless of which candidates are running or what the policies are. The point is that have a D or R behind your name gets you ~40% of the vote, regardless of what you do and/or say.
Now that doesnt mean that candidates or policies don't matter. Because they are still what makes the difference for the 20% that is left and makes the difference in the end. But it means that the statement 'Why isnt Trump losing harder' is explained by this vote floor.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42607 Posts
October 02 2016 21:20 GMT
#105828
On October 03 2016 05:59 Titan107 wrote:
This thread seems to be a Hillary circle-jerk.

Trump supporters typically don't get online so much and when they do they very rarely leave their safe spaces like /r/The_Donald which ban anyone questioning whatever Trump said most recently (even if that person is quoting Trump from before). They're not too keen on the internet, too many facts floating around which get in the way of how they feel.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 02 2016 21:20 GMT
#105829
On October 03 2016 05:59 Titan107 wrote:
This thread seems to be a Hillary circle-jerk.

people using that phrase generally have skewed perceptions and definitely have nothing useful to add.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6284 Posts
October 02 2016 21:23 GMT
#105830
On October 03 2016 06:20 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2016 05:59 Titan107 wrote:
This thread seems to be a Hillary circle-jerk.

Trump supporters typically don't get online so much and when they do they very rarely leave their safe spaces like /r/The_Donald which ban anyone questioning whatever Trump said most recently (even if that person is quoting Trump from before). They're not too keen on the internet, too many facts floating around which get in the way of how they feel.

Psychological projection

Psychological projection is a theory in psychology in which humans defend themselves against their own unconscious impulses or qualities (both positive and negative) by denying their existence in themselves while attributing them to others.[1] For example, a person who is habitually rude may constantly accuse other people of being rude. It incorporates blame shifting.

According to some research, the projection of one's unconscious qualities onto others is a common process in everyday life.[2]
"If only Kircheis were here" - Everyone
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9189 Posts
October 02 2016 21:26 GMT
#105831
Last poll in this thread (not counting "who won the debate" poll) was like 55-45 in favor of Clinton. Trump supporters just post less, both in posts and in words.
You're now breathing manually
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28654 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-02 21:36:43
October 02 2016 21:31 GMT
#105832
On October 03 2016 05:29 biology]major wrote:
If trump is a child rapist human trafficking failure of a business man who has temperament issues, ask yourself why the polls are so close. The answer has something to do with the opposing party and their candidate, yeah she is a lot worse than this thread would have you believe.


Really? Isn't the issue that Trump supporters just don't believe the more outlandish claims? Like, you accept that he has a big ego, that he's done some shady business deals and screwed some people over, that he might not have the best temperament, but you don't actually think he raped a 13 year old or that he's likely to start a nuclear war. That's what I do with hillary at least- I accept that she's not saintly, that she's a career politician with all that entails, that she has on occasion lied about stuff to make herself look better, but I don't believe in any of the crazier conspiracies. If you actually believe the crazier anti-trump claims and still plan on voting for him, that's absolutely insane imo - but distrusting them because you fundamentally distrust the origins of those claims is a wholly different matter.

I just, I don't believe how good a candidate is is determined by their electability. I think electability in some ways corresponds with bad governing traits, not good ones. All the typical traits of a populist platform fit into this - making promises that you know can't be delivered upon might lead to uneducated voters believing you and voting for you for this reason - but on a long term basis it leads to increased distrust in the political system, which kinda starts (or is part of) a downward spiral. I have no problems understanding how in the american political climate with strongly established party identities, with each candidate being guaranteed 40% of the vote through party allegiance alone, a strategy based around flat out lying about your greatness to the least educated part of the electorate while smearing the other candidate to make people really unhappy about voting for her leads to a close election. It does not however make me believe both candidates are even close to equally good.

edit: To be clear- I'm not saying all or even nearly all Trump voters are uneducated, not more so than democrats anyway. People voting across party lines aren't necessarily more educated just because they agree more with me. I'm just saying that the groups Trump brought in to the republican party, the normally-would-be-sitting-at-home crowd, those are attracted to his populist lies.
Moderator
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 02 2016 21:31 GMT
#105833
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 02 2016 21:32 GMT
#105834
On October 03 2016 06:23 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2016 06:20 KwarK wrote:
On October 03 2016 05:59 Titan107 wrote:
This thread seems to be a Hillary circle-jerk.

Trump supporters typically don't get online so much and when they do they very rarely leave their safe spaces like /r/The_Donald which ban anyone questioning whatever Trump said most recently (even if that person is quoting Trump from before). They're not too keen on the internet, too many facts floating around which get in the way of how they feel.

Psychological projection

Psychological projection is a theory in psychology in which humans defend themselves against their own unconscious impulses or qualities (both positive and negative) by denying their existence in themselves while attributing them to others.[1] For example, a person who is habitually rude may constantly accuse other people of being rude. It incorporates blame shifting.

According to some research, the projection of one's unconscious qualities onto others is a common process in everyday life.[2]

This is a low grade burn that reeks of trying to hard.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Howie_Dewitt
Profile Joined March 2014
United States1416 Posts
October 02 2016 21:34 GMT
#105835
On October 03 2016 06:31 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2016 05:29 biology]major wrote:
If trump is a child rapist human trafficking failure of a business man who has temperament issues, ask yourself why the polls are so close. The answer has something to do with the opposing party and their candidate, yeah she is a lot worse than this thread would have you believe.


Really? Isn't the issue that Trump supporters just don't believe the more outlandish claims? Like, you accept that he has a big ego, that he's done some shady business deals and screwed some people over, that he might not have the best temperament, but you don't actually think he raped a 13 year old or that he's likely to start a nuclear war. That's what I do with hillary at least- I accept that she's not saintly, that she's a career politician with all that entails, that she has on occasion lied about stuff to make herself look better, but I don't believe in any of the crazier conspiracies. If you actually believe the crazier anti-trump claims and still plan on voting for him, that's absolutely insane imo - but distrusting them because you fundamentally distrust the origins of those claims is a wholly different matter.

I just, I don't believe how good a candidate is is determined by their electability. I think electability in some ways corresponds with bad governing traits, not good ones. All the typical traits of a populist platform fit into this - making promises that you know can't be delivered upon might lead to uneducated voters believing you and voting for you for this reason - but on a long term basis it leads to increased distrust in the political system, which kinda starts (or is part of) a downward spiral. I have no problems understanding how in the american political climate with strongly established party identities, with each candidate being guaranteed 40% of the vote through party allegiance alone, a strategy based around flat out lying about your greatness to the least educated part of the electorate while smearing the other candidate to make people really unhappy about voting for her leads to a close election. It does not however make me believe both candidates are even close to equally good.

This election kind of reminds me of the gracchi brothers, with more technology.
Sisyphus had a good gig going, the disappointment was predictable. | Visions of the Country (1978) is for when you're lost.
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
October 02 2016 21:37 GMT
#105836
On October 03 2016 06:31 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/costareports/status/782591080352976898


To "legally paid taxes" he must have actually PAID taxes. He obviously doesn't.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5570 Posts
October 02 2016 21:38 GMT
#105837
On October 03 2016 06:19 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2016 05:56 oBlade wrote:
I don't think we're judging partisanship right. If you have only one line separating two huge things and you look at it at any random moment, it's going to look like it's dividing the things reasonably evenly. You can get a 50/50 election from both candidates being really, really good. The fact that the long running names of each slice of the pie haven't changed, that doesn't tell you what voters have been doing, especially if you only look at the presidential level. And you wouldn't want people voting against their own motivations just to be able to say the electorate put aside party lines. Or is that what the point is, that people's motivations are such worlds apart?

That point is that Presidential elections (for the most part) are pretty close regardless of which candidates are running or what the policies are. The point is that have a D or R behind your name gets you ~40% of the vote, regardless of what you do and/or say.
Now that doesnt mean that candidates or policies don't matter. Because they are still what makes the difference for the 20% that is left and makes the difference in the end. But it means that the statement 'Why isnt Trump losing harder' is explained by this vote floor.

I'm saying that is not independent from the fact that people actually believe in the platforms of what they're voting for. And it's a math mistake to think it's the same 40% each time.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3188 Posts
October 02 2016 21:48 GMT
#105838
On October 03 2016 06:23 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2016 06:20 KwarK wrote:
On October 03 2016 05:59 Titan107 wrote:
This thread seems to be a Hillary circle-jerk.

Trump supporters typically don't get online so much and when they do they very rarely leave their safe spaces like /r/The_Donald which ban anyone questioning whatever Trump said most recently (even if that person is quoting Trump from before). They're not too keen on the internet, too many facts floating around which get in the way of how they feel.

Psychological projection

Psychological projection is a theory in psychology in which humans defend themselves against their own unconscious impulses or qualities (both positive and negative) by denying their existence in themselves while attributing them to others.[1] For example, a person who is habitually rude may constantly accuse other people of being rude. It incorporates blame shifting.

According to some research, the projection of one's unconscious qualities onto others is a common process in everyday life.[2]

TL;DR: "I know you are, but what am I?"
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
October 02 2016 22:06 GMT
#105839
guys... it's a joke. Kwark always does that to troll people he disagrees with for his own enjoyment
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
October 02 2016 22:12 GMT
#105840
On October 03 2016 06:23 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2016 06:20 KwarK wrote:
On October 03 2016 05:59 Titan107 wrote:
This thread seems to be a Hillary circle-jerk.

Trump supporters typically don't get online so much and when they do they very rarely leave their safe spaces like /r/The_Donald which ban anyone questioning whatever Trump said most recently (even if that person is quoting Trump from before). They're not too keen on the internet, too many facts floating around which get in the way of how they feel.

Psychological projection

Psychological projection is a theory in psychology in which humans defend themselves against their own unconscious impulses or qualities (both positive and negative) by denying their existence in themselves while attributing them to others.[1] For example, a person who is habitually rude may constantly accuse other people of being rude. It incorporates blame shifting.

According to some research, the projection of one's unconscious qualities onto others is a common process in everyday life.[2]


67 days since Trump's last press conference. Just thought I'd let you know.
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