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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4731

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 13 2016 00:54 GMT
#94601
Worse we could see large scale post political violence if Trump and his supporters don't get their way, first in history for this country.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
August 13 2016 01:00 GMT
#94602
On August 13 2016 09:54 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Worse we could see large scale post political violence if Trump and his supporters don't get their way, first in history for this country.


its ok operation jade helm will take care of that
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 01:06:39
August 13 2016 01:02 GMT
#94603
On August 13 2016 08:09 TheYango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 07:54 Danglars wrote:
He's gone through quite a transition in quite a short time. He was quite ready to shove his morals down your throat when it made sense in a governor race, and now he's lurched to the political calculus of the national stage. I grant you that Hillary could not hope to attract a principled Democrat, if they exist, to her ticket besides maybe Warren. He's just far from this good guy boring running mate as put forward.

Sure, I'll agree that he pivoted at a point where it was simply politically expedient for him, and that's reasonable to hold against him. But the idea that "personally against abortion but support pro-choice" is somehow a logically indefensible position as is stated by the second article you linked is just wrong in my mind. The first article is much more convincing.

The role of lawmaking is to create rules to maintain a functioning society. It is not to impose certain morals on that society. In some cases, the two are aligned with one another (i.e. a society where people are allowed to kill or steal from each other wouldn't function very well, so laws punishing murder and theft both protect commonly accepted morals as well as maintain society's function), but in places where moral issues do not directly impact society's proper function, or even impede proper function, lawmakers bringing their personal morals into the business of lawmaking is a conflict of interest.

Intelligent lawmakers should recognize where these conflicts arise, and as such, Christian morals should never even enter into the discussion of the legality of abortion. As far as lawmaking is concerned, it should be totally irrelevant. Thus, being "personally against abortion but against making laws against it" is completely reasonable. That people think it's not and are holding it against Kaine detracts from more legitimate arguments against him.

Thank you for allowing that he radically changed his opinions on morals when it made sense in political expediency.

I can't go with you as far as "it should be totally irrelevant," for grounds you might expect. Preserving a lawfully functioning society does mean defending its unborn, just as it used to be "commonly accepted morals" in the past, and ought to be in the future. However, this is the fiercely debated line that neither candidate makes their rallying cry, and so it will remain in the backlines for the 2016 election.

On August 13 2016 09:54 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Worse we could see large scale post political violence if Trump and his supporters don't get their way, first in history for this country.

Lol this guy. Yeah, go back to your cult group, chicken little, and tell us all how the sky is falling. If Trump was the Democratic nominee, he'd say StealthBlue plagiarized.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 01:03:34
August 13 2016 01:03 GMT
#94604
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4864 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 01:06:44
August 13 2016 01:05 GMT
#94605
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


We've had some... aggressive protests from leftists (not as many as I feared may occur), but not any from never Trump people. nevertrump refers to certain people on the right, not just those who oppose Trump generally.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23488 Posts
August 13 2016 01:08 GMT
#94606
I think it's funny all the folks trying to tell themselves Hillary and the Democratic establishment want to go any further left than Garland for the open seat or any future open seat.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5769 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 01:11:55
August 13 2016 01:08 GMT
#94607
On August 13 2016 09:41 TheYango wrote:
I don't believe for a second that Hillary represents the working class but she's at least politically obligated to throw them a bone because of the party she's aligned herself with.

Trump has no such obligation because its the fucking GOP.

So she pretends to care to keep people voting for the blue scam, and meanwhile no Republican would ever be the best choice because, I mean, come on, Republicans, that's just the wrong party.

This is just the silliest political Twitter account:
+ Show Spoiler +






On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol

Don't forget to elect Hillary to make sure those people relax.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
August 13 2016 01:10 GMT
#94608
On August 13 2016 10:05 Introvert wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


We've had some... aggressive protests from leftists (not as many as I feared may occur), but not any from never Trump people. nevertrump refers to certain people on the right, not just those who oppose Trump generally.


I guess I was using a more broad definition of the term 'neverTrumpers' to encompass the violent/destructive riots that happened throughout June
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 01:20:39
August 13 2016 01:19 GMT
#94609
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


Neither Hillary or the Democratic leadership are calling for violence or legitimizing it, and that is the relevant difference. If ten or a hundred people act out on their own that is deplorable, if the candidate actually agitates them, that is quite different.
TMagpie
Profile Joined June 2015
265 Posts
August 13 2016 01:19 GMT
#94610
On August 13 2016 10:10 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 10:05 Introvert wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


We've had some... aggressive protests from leftists (not as many as I feared may occur), but not any from never Trump people. nevertrump refers to certain people on the right, not just those who oppose Trump generally.


I guess I was using a more broad definition of the term 'neverTrumpers' to encompass the violent/destructive riots that happened throughout June


It's always easy to lump together different groups of people you disagree with into one negative slogan so can more easily be hateful to all of them at once.
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
August 13 2016 01:20 GMT
#94611
On August 13 2016 10:02 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 08:09 TheYango wrote:
On August 13 2016 07:54 Danglars wrote:
He's gone through quite a transition in quite a short time. He was quite ready to shove his morals down your throat when it made sense in a governor race, and now he's lurched to the political calculus of the national stage. I grant you that Hillary could not hope to attract a principled Democrat, if they exist, to her ticket besides maybe Warren. He's just far from this good guy boring running mate as put forward.

Sure, I'll agree that he pivoted at a point where it was simply politically expedient for him, and that's reasonable to hold against him. But the idea that "personally against abortion but support pro-choice" is somehow a logically indefensible position as is stated by the second article you linked is just wrong in my mind. The first article is much more convincing.

The role of lawmaking is to create rules to maintain a functioning society. It is not to impose certain morals on that society. In some cases, the two are aligned with one another (i.e. a society where people are allowed to kill or steal from each other wouldn't function very well, so laws punishing murder and theft both protect commonly accepted morals as well as maintain society's function), but in places where moral issues do not directly impact society's proper function, or even impede proper function, lawmakers bringing their personal morals into the business of lawmaking is a conflict of interest.

Intelligent lawmakers should recognize where these conflicts arise, and as such, Christian morals should never even enter into the discussion of the legality of abortion. As far as lawmaking is concerned, it should be totally irrelevant. Thus, being "personally against abortion but against making laws against it" is completely reasonable. That people think it's not and are holding it against Kaine detracts from more legitimate arguments against him.

Thank you for allowing that he radically changed his opinions on morals when it made sense in political expediency.

I can't go with you as far as "it should be totally irrelevant," for grounds you might expect. Preserving a lawfully functioning society does mean defending its unborn, just as it used to be "commonly accepted morals" in the past, and ought to be in the future. However, this is the fiercely debated line that neither candidate makes their rallying cry, and so it will remain in the backlines for the 2016 election.


Just as what, exactly, used to be "commonly accepted morals"? Preserving a lawfully functioning society? How far back are we going? Some might prefer the old Oedipal method of preserving a lawfully functioning society: staking unfit infants' ankles together and exposing them to the elements.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 13 2016 01:27 GMT
#94612
The leader of Islamic State’s branch in Afghanistan and Pakistan has been killed in a US drone strike, the American military has confirmed.

The death of Hafiz Saeed Khan – confirmed by a US defence official on Friday night – is a blow to efforts by Isis to expand its control from its Middle East territory into Afghanistan and Pakistan.

It marks the second US killing of a prominent militant in the region in recent months. In May a US drone killed Mullah Akhtar Mansour, the Afghan Taliban leader, in a strike in Pakistan.

Despite that, Afghanistan’s 15-year-old war grinds on with no clear victory in sight. Taliban fighters have been threatening at least two provincial capitals this summer, in Helmand and Kunduz, and a US government report said Afghan forces have lost 5% of territory this year.

Isis has been largely confined to a handful of districts in Afghanistan’s Nangarhar province – where Khan was killed – which borders Pakistan. Isis militants – mostly defectors from the Taliban – are blamed for raiding villages and government outposts in the area.

However worries that Isis might be expanding its operational reach heightened this week when the group claimed credit for an attack on a hospital that killed at least 74 people in the Pakistani city of Quetta. A Pakistani Taliban faction also claimed responsibility.

Khan had been reported dead before. Last year Afghan intelligence agents claimed he had been killed but the report was never confirmed.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 01:33:13
August 13 2016 01:31 GMT
#94613
On August 13 2016 10:19 TMagpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 10:10 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:05 Introvert wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


We've had some... aggressive protests from leftists (not as many as I feared may occur), but not any from never Trump people. nevertrump refers to certain people on the right, not just those who oppose Trump generally.


I guess I was using a more broad definition of the term 'neverTrumpers' to encompass the violent/destructive riots that happened throughout June


It's always easy to lump together different groups of people you disagree with into one negative slogan so can more easily be hateful to all of them at once.


I don't hate any of them I'm making a point that I'm really not worried at all about violent Trump supporters come November if Clinton wins when most of them are older people with working jobs and families

I don't have any statistics to back this up maybe someone can confirm/refute me here but I'd be willing to bet that more violent crime offenders or destruction of property offenders are democrats than republicans

I'd be much more worried of the riots if Trump wins than if he loses

another positive of Clinton winning I suppose - less violent riots
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
August 13 2016 01:33 GMT
#94614
On August 13 2016 10:31 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 10:19 TMagpie wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:10 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:05 Introvert wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


We've had some... aggressive protests from leftists (not as many as I feared may occur), but not any from never Trump people. nevertrump refers to certain people on the right, not just those who oppose Trump generally.


I guess I was using a more broad definition of the term 'neverTrumpers' to encompass the violent/destructive riots that happened throughout June


It's always easy to lump together different groups of people you disagree with into one negative slogan so can more easily be hateful to all of them at once.


I don't hate any of them I'm making a point that I'm really not worried at all about violent Trump supporters come November if Clinton wins when most of them are older people with working jobs and families

I don't have any statistics to back this up maybe someone can confirm/refute me here but I'd be willing to bet that more violent crime offenders or destruction of property offenders are democrats than republicans

I'd be much more worried of the riots if Trump wins than if he loses

another positive of Clinton winning I suppose - less violent riots


is that because democrats are more likely to be black?
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 01:37:38
August 13 2016 01:35 GMT
#94615
On August 13 2016 10:33 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 10:31 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:19 TMagpie wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:10 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:05 Introvert wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


We've had some... aggressive protests from leftists (not as many as I feared may occur), but not any from never Trump people. nevertrump refers to certain people on the right, not just those who oppose Trump generally.


I guess I was using a more broad definition of the term 'neverTrumpers' to encompass the violent/destructive riots that happened throughout June


It's always easy to lump together different groups of people you disagree with into one negative slogan so can more easily be hateful to all of them at once.


I don't hate any of them I'm making a point that I'm really not worried at all about violent Trump supporters come November if Clinton wins when most of them are older people with working jobs and families

I don't have any statistics to back this up maybe someone can confirm/refute me here but I'd be willing to bet that more violent crime offenders or destruction of property offenders are democrats than republicans

I'd be much more worried of the riots if Trump wins than if he loses

another positive of Clinton winning I suppose - less violent riots


is that because democrats are more likely to be black?


I don't know. If anyone here has stats on it that would be interesting

Is one party more likely to commit violent crimes / destroy property than the other and to what degree

and if the trends exist, do they transcend race

my bet is yes on all accounts for the democrats being more likely, but to what degree I have no idea
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 01:58:00
August 13 2016 01:42 GMT
#94616
On August 13 2016 10:35 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 10:33 IgnE wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:31 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:19 TMagpie wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:10 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:05 Introvert wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


We've had some... aggressive protests from leftists (not as many as I feared may occur), but not any from never Trump people. nevertrump refers to certain people on the right, not just those who oppose Trump generally.


I guess I was using a more broad definition of the term 'neverTrumpers' to encompass the violent/destructive riots that happened throughout June


It's always easy to lump together different groups of people you disagree with into one negative slogan so can more easily be hateful to all of them at once.


I don't hate any of them I'm making a point that I'm really not worried at all about violent Trump supporters come November if Clinton wins when most of them are older people with working jobs and families

I don't have any statistics to back this up maybe someone can confirm/refute me here but I'd be willing to bet that more violent crime offenders or destruction of property offenders are democrats than republicans

I'd be much more worried of the riots if Trump wins than if he loses

another positive of Clinton winning I suppose - less violent riots


is that because democrats are more likely to be black?


I don't know. If anyone here has stats on it that would be interesting

Is one party more likely to commit violent crimes / destroy property than the other and to what degree

and if the trends exist, do they transcend race

my bet is yes on all accounts for the democrats being more likely, but to what degree I have no idea


poking around some online; there doesn't appear to be good or reliable data. There's a lot of confounding factors which make it hard to tell.
most of the effects that are detected are the result of confounding factors from what I can tell.

and I decline to bet, as there is insufficient information; and the risk of bias making you think the other side commits more crimes seems high.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
August 13 2016 02:00 GMT
#94617
On August 13 2016 10:42 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 10:35 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:33 IgnE wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:31 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:19 TMagpie wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:10 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:05 Introvert wrote:
On August 13 2016 10:03 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
-Everyone acting like the Trump supporters being violent if Hillary wins will be a problem when we've already had violent and destructive riots at Trump rallies from neverTrumpers and he hasn't even won yet

Lol


We've had some... aggressive protests from leftists (not as many as I feared may occur), but not any from never Trump people. nevertrump refers to certain people on the right, not just those who oppose Trump generally.


I guess I was using a more broad definition of the term 'neverTrumpers' to encompass the violent/destructive riots that happened throughout June


It's always easy to lump together different groups of people you disagree with into one negative slogan so can more easily be hateful to all of them at once.


I don't hate any of them I'm making a point that I'm really not worried at all about violent Trump supporters come November if Clinton wins when most of them are older people with working jobs and families

I don't have any statistics to back this up maybe someone can confirm/refute me here but I'd be willing to bet that more violent crime offenders or destruction of property offenders are democrats than republicans

I'd be much more worried of the riots if Trump wins than if he loses

another positive of Clinton winning I suppose - less violent riots


is that because democrats are more likely to be black?


I don't know. If anyone here has stats on it that would be interesting

Is one party more likely to commit violent crimes / destroy property than the other and to what degree

and if the trends exist, do they transcend race

my bet is yes on all accounts for the democrats being more likely, but to what degree I have no idea


poking around some online; there doesn't appear to be good or reliable data. There's a lot of confounding factors which make it hard to tell.
most of the effects that are detected are the result of confounding factors from what I can tell.

and I decline to bet, as there is insufficient information; and the risk of bias making you think the other side commits more crimes seems high.


I'm not on the 'other side' I'm fairly moderate and even want the democrats to completely take the senate/house

I think it just makes intuitive sense for that trend to exist
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 13 2016 02:02 GMT
#94618
I also find that relying on intuitive sense for social assessment things is unreliable; and I tend to be cautious in my judgments.
There are certainly certain cofactors which are associated with various sorts of crimes. I'm focusing more on whether there would be a difference once you remove the cofactors.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 02:35:24
August 13 2016 02:34 GMT
#94619
I think people worried about election day violence are more worried about him telling individuals both the polls and the election are rigged than anything. That's edging pretty close to asking them to distrust the democratic process, which can coax people down a slippery slope pretty quickly.

I mean, if people believe that polls are rigged and the election is rigged...they pretty much should take to the streets unless they just want to sit at home and take it (which is the antithesis of the rest of his machismo/strength message).

The second amendment flub didn't help, of course.
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-13 14:59:57
August 13 2016 02:50 GMT
#94620
On August 13 2016 10:08 oBlade wrote:
So she pretends to care to keep people voting for the blue scam, and meanwhile no Republican would ever be the best choice because, I mean, come on, Republicans, that's just the wrong party.

I'll consider a Republican the "best choice" when he isn't clearly paying his dues to the party elite by choosing an insanely socially backward VP.

If Trump had done that, I'd at least be somewhat convinced that he's going to distance himself from the general GOP shittiness of the last decade+, but since Pence basically represents the worst of that to me, then nope.

On August 13 2016 10:02 Danglars wrote:
I can't go with you as far as "it should be totally irrelevant," for grounds you might expect. Preserving a lawfully functioning society does mean defending its unborn, just as it used to be "commonly accepted morals" in the past, and ought to be in the future. However, this is the fiercely debated line that neither candidate makes their rallying cry, and so it will remain in the backlines for the 2016 election.

Sure, I agree that there's social good to be gained from protecting a society's unborn, and there are merits to that way of thinking, which can be discussed rationally. You can have a legitimate discussion whether the pro-life or pro-choice position represents greater social benefit to society. It's just appealing to religion in particular is a lazy, cop-out answer, because it doesn't represent any logical thought process and nobody can debate you on it. That's why I think it should be left out of the discussion.
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