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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
August 12 2016 21:30 GMT
#94561
On August 13 2016 06:13 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 06:05 Danglars wrote:
On August 13 2016 05:03 zlefin wrote:
On August 13 2016 04:49 Danglars wrote:
On August 13 2016 03:34 zlefin wrote:
Which culture war are you referring to Danglars?

The one we're presently in, naturally. Look at my first two links for what I'm talking about ... shifting positions on social issues that affect the cultural paradigm. Some in line with the Democratic party's shifted positions, some very much out of line for any political candidate claiming integrity (of course if you're running with Clinton you'll look like a saint on that score regardless.)

thing is there's multiple alleged culture wars going on at once, hence my seeking clarification; you're talking about the so-called one between "islam" and the West?

That's a backdrop one, you're right, that might be relevant if Caine had strong opinions with burkas and niqabs on driver's licenses. Some European nations are having a bigger debate on that aspect. My concerns were of a more typical fare. You show interest in the other side, did you give any a read?

of your links, only a cursory glance. mostly still just trying to figure out which culture war you were referring to.

Well, we can take this to PMs when you do. As said,
He's had a questionable transition on the social issues (gay marriage and abortion), though Trump is not an ounce better.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12533 Posts
August 12 2016 21:32 GMT
#94562
On August 13 2016 05:52 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2016 17:53 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't really understand what a fetishization of experts is supposed to be. Is it to trust that the people whose job it is to know stuff on a subject tend to have more informed opinions on said subject than the people who have different jobs? I find the people who distrust and discard experts when they disagree with them much more concerning than the people who take their word for granted a little too easily.


the problem is not as simple as you present it. yes people should defer to experts when they are out of their depth. the tricky part is knowing when to defer, to whom, about what.

what i mean by "fetishizing expertise" is using an expert opinion written towards a specific purpose, by one expert among many, at a specific time and place as a totem against counter-argument in a discussion that is not identical with the original context in which the opinion was written. it's not as if we had the expert here to craft a particular response to a particular person/argument in this thread.

so in a very real sense it is impossible to rely on expertise in this thread except insofar as it is possessed first-hand by thread participants: the context here will always be different. we have to rely on things like analogy, deduction, induction, etc., to apply any "expert" opinion to the discussion at hand. and that's where people who aren't rigorous thinkers have problems. they root around on google for an expert opinion that has the vague contours they want, turn it into a fetish/totem, and then they brandish it against opponents without sufficient thought about whether they and their opponent should be deferring to the expert, in this particular instance, about this particular thing. to appreciate that you have to find out what the expert is saying but also what he/she is not saying.

its obviously important to be able to defer to expert opinion, especially when you are not familiar with the subject matter, but i would argue it's more important to know when not to defer, wholesale, to "expert opinion" that may be inapposite. that requires some rigorous thinking on multiple levels. kwark, for example, was very rigorous in his application of logic at the arguably idiotic level, in hindsight, of what an individual sub sighting means for one aspect of his argument, while missing the bigger picture about his dubious premises. so its more than just rigorous logical analysis, its also a healthy skepticism, strong sense of curiosity, and a developed intuition for which aspects of the argument matter and which are less relevant.


When you put it in this abstract way, it makes sense, but I don't think the comparison holds up to what happened in the discussion and as such I'm not sure how relevant it is. The characterization of "one expert among many", especially, is more than a little dubious in context. I'm still not sure what someone who doesn't "fetishize experts" is supposed to do differently.
No will to live, no wish to die
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 21:35:54
August 12 2016 21:34 GMT
#94563
you think that the article kwark cited was the only one written since the fall of the ussr on russian nuclear capabilities or?

i dont really think you not knowing how to "not fetishize expert opinion" after reading my post is an issue on my end
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24341 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 21:48:57
August 12 2016 21:34 GMT
#94564
2016 Presidential Election Forum (Live on APIAVote)

Gary Johnson is on now.

This stream seems to be working better

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 21:40:32
August 12 2016 21:39 GMT
#94565
Meh, Kwark's argument was quite consistent with popular opinion of the early 2000s. It was wrong but it's so much easier to see that in hindsight. The biggest fault is that it was a decade old and somehow Kwark didn't know that things changed since then. I thought it was common knowledge that Russia modernized its army around 2010; am I wrong about that?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 21:44:39
August 12 2016 21:43 GMT
#94566
ok well we know it was quite consistent with at least one expert writing in 2006, thats pretty obvious. it wouldnt have been an interesting dispute if he was just making shit up. context is everything -> see all my posts about this

edit: ok i see maybe what you were getting at legalord: "one expert among many" can refer both to one among many individuals and one among many times. this should be obvious. kwark picked an expert opinion from the wrong historical context
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12533 Posts
August 12 2016 21:44 GMT
#94567
On August 13 2016 06:34 IgnE wrote:
you think that the article kwark cited was the only one written since the fall of the ussr on russian nuclear capabilities or?

i dont really think you not knowing how to "not fetishize expert opinion" after reading my post is an issue on my end


No, I don't think that. I also don't think that asking for different sources and immediately updating your position once the required sources are provided is very honestly characterized as "using one expert amongst many" to wall off other positions.
No will to live, no wish to die
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 21:47:27
August 12 2016 21:46 GMT
#94568
ok well its my personal opinion that if kwark had been more disinterested he would have backed off his aggressive tone and cocksure responses much earlier based only on the less-than-perfect evidence offered by legalord and m4ni.

the whole thing was just an interesting exchange guys.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 21:49:00
August 12 2016 21:48 GMT
#94569
On August 13 2016 06:30 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 06:13 zlefin wrote:
On August 13 2016 06:05 Danglars wrote:
On August 13 2016 05:03 zlefin wrote:
On August 13 2016 04:49 Danglars wrote:
On August 13 2016 03:34 zlefin wrote:
Which culture war are you referring to Danglars?

The one we're presently in, naturally. Look at my first two links for what I'm talking about ... shifting positions on social issues that affect the cultural paradigm. Some in line with the Democratic party's shifted positions, some very much out of line for any political candidate claiming integrity (of course if you're running with Clinton you'll look like a saint on that score regardless.)

thing is there's multiple alleged culture wars going on at once, hence my seeking clarification; you're talking about the so-called one between "islam" and the West?

That's a backdrop one, you're right, that might be relevant if Caine had strong opinions with burkas and niqabs on driver's licenses. Some European nations are having a bigger debate on that aspect. My concerns were of a more typical fare. You show interest in the other side, did you give any a read?

of your links, only a cursory glance. mostly still just trying to figure out which culture war you were referring to.

Well, we can take this to PMs when you do. As said,
Show nested quote +
He's had a questionable transition on the social issues (gay marriage and abortion), though Trump is not an ounce better.

ah, I see; I didn't see that those two had links in them.
didn't much care for the tone of those articles, nor do the points dissuade me from anything. not interesting reading.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
August 12 2016 22:11 GMT
#94570
I don't buy into the idea that "Tim Kaine being 'personally against abortion while supporting pro-choice' is intellectually/morally inconsistent". Quite frankly I think its a crock of shit.

You can live strongly by your own personal morals without feeling they need to be imposed on everyone else. That's not being wishy-washy, thats called not being an asshole and being respectful of other people's own morals.

The idea that Christian values need to be forcefully imposed on a secular society is the kind of lunacy that drives me away from the Christian right in the first place. Kaine being a personally devout Christian while also not feeling like his morals have to be shoved down other people's throats is honestly a breath of fresh air.
Moderator
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28892 Posts
August 12 2016 22:33 GMT
#94571
I think regarding like, 'deferring to experts', there are some different situations that require different approaches. One is the 'expert writes an opinion piece about something'. In this case, I am inclined to think that the experts opinion is somewhat irrelevant, because I am almost certain I can find another alleged expert - certainly someone whose competence exceeds mine in virtually any subject - whose opinion differs significantly from the first expert. There are fields where this is not the case, but regarding politics, there will be experts with serious credentials making an extremely wide range of arguments.

Then on the other hand, we can look at for example climate change. In this area, I willingly defer to aspects of expert opinion, ones where virtually all the experts are in agreement. I agree with experts stating that man made climate change is real because the experts themselves all seem to agree. But if one expert projects a 70% chance of an increase of 1.5 degrees over the next 100 years while another expert projects a 70% chance of an increase of 2.5 degrees over the next 100 years, I have no idea which experts mathematical projection I should believe more in.

Then there's also the 'look at this, this expert agrees with my opinion', which I think does grant legitimacy to a statement. It doesn't necessarily make it true - but it at least makes it non-absurd.
Moderator
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44285 Posts
August 12 2016 22:38 GMT
#94572
Tax return for Clinton and Kaine released btw
https://m.hrc.onl/secretary/10-documents/01-health-financial-records/Clinton_2015_Form_1040_with_Signature_Page.pdf
https://m.hrc.onl/secretary/10-documents/01-health-financial-records/2015.pdf
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
PassiveAce
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States18076 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 22:44:07
August 12 2016 22:43 GMT
#94573
Super on edge to see if trump tries to hit them on anything.
I'm sure the Clinton rapid response team is too
Call me Marge Simpson cuz I love you homie
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44285 Posts
August 12 2016 22:54 GMT
#94574
Given he is still refusing to release his own I don't know how much he can really say.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 12 2016 22:54 GMT
#94575
On August 13 2016 07:33 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I think regarding like, 'deferring to experts', there are some different situations that require different approaches. One is the 'expert writes an opinion piece about something'. In this case, I am inclined to think that the experts opinion is somewhat irrelevant, because I am almost certain I can find another alleged expert - certainly someone whose competence exceeds mine in virtually any subject - whose opinion differs significantly from the first expert. There are fields where this is not the case, but regarding politics, there will be experts with serious credentials making an extremely wide range of arguments.

Then on the other hand, we can look at for example climate change. In this area, I willingly defer to aspects of expert opinion, ones where virtually all the experts are in agreement. I agree with experts stating that man made climate change is real because the experts themselves all seem to agree. But if one expert projects a 70% chance of an increase of 1.5 degrees over the next 100 years while another expert projects a 70% chance of an increase of 2.5 degrees over the next 100 years, I have no idea which experts mathematical projection I should believe more in.

Then there's also the 'look at this, this expert agrees with my opinion', which I think does grant legitimacy to a statement. It doesn't necessarily make it true - but it at least makes it non-absurd.

In this case, Igne's point about having the intuitive judgment to know whether or not your claim is absurd comes into play. If you know what you're talking about, you can usually look at what someone is saying and know whether or not it passes a basic plausibility test. If not, you can look at something that appears to be from an expert but is actually completely wrong (e.g. out of date, out of context, biased expert, proven wrong, known shill, etc.) and not even realize it. If it's a complicated matter and you don't know, it's best not to assume.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
August 12 2016 22:54 GMT
#94576
On August 13 2016 07:11 TheYango wrote:
I don't buy into the idea that "Tim Kaine being 'personally against abortion while supporting pro-choice' is intellectually/morally inconsistent". Quite frankly I think its a crock of shit.

You can live strongly by your own personal morals without feeling they need to be imposed on everyone else. That's not being wishy-washy, thats called not being an asshole and being respectful of other people's own morals.

The idea that Christian values need to be forcefully imposed on a secular society is the kind of lunacy that drives me away from the Christian right in the first place. Kaine being a personally devout Christian while also not feeling like his morals have to be shoved down other people's throats is honestly a breath of fresh air.
So you disagree with Caine, then. You're fine with personal morals if they aren't imposed, as your characterize it. His campaign for governor chose ads that said,
The truth is, I cut taxes as mayor of Richmond. I’ll enforce the death penalty as governor, and I’m against same-sex marriage. I’m conservative on personal responsibility, character, family and the sanctity of life. These are my values, and that’s what I believe

He's gone through quite a transition in quite a short time. He was quite ready to shove his morals down your throat when it made sense in a governor race, and now he's lurched to the political calculus of the national stage. I grant you that Hillary could not hope to attract a principled Democrat, if they exist, to her ticket besides maybe Warren. He's just far from this good guy boring running mate as put forward.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 12 2016 22:55 GMT
#94577
As I said, he's basically another Hillary. I wanted more but I don't think I could have expected more in this case.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 23:23:20
August 12 2016 23:09 GMT
#94578
On August 13 2016 07:54 Danglars wrote:
He's gone through quite a transition in quite a short time. He was quite ready to shove his morals down your throat when it made sense in a governor race, and now he's lurched to the political calculus of the national stage. I grant you that Hillary could not hope to attract a principled Democrat, if they exist, to her ticket besides maybe Warren. He's just far from this good guy boring running mate as put forward.

Sure, I'll agree that he pivoted at a point where it was simply politically expedient for him, and that's reasonable to hold against him. But the idea that "personally against abortion but support pro-choice" is somehow a logically indefensible position as is stated by the second article you linked is just wrong in my mind. The first article is much more convincing.

The role of lawmaking is to create rules to maintain a functioning society. It is not to impose certain morals on that society. In some cases, the two are aligned with one another (i.e. a society where people are allowed to kill or steal from each other wouldn't function very well, so laws punishing murder and theft both protect commonly accepted morals as well as maintain society's function), but in places where moral issues do not directly impact society's proper function, or even impede proper function, lawmakers bringing their personal morals into the business of lawmaking is a conflict of interest.

Intelligent lawmakers should recognize where these conflicts arise, and as such, Christian morals should never even enter into the discussion of the legality of abortion. As far as lawmaking is concerned, it should be totally irrelevant. Thus, being "personally against abortion but against making laws against it" is completely reasonable. That people think it's not and are holding it against Kaine detracts from more legitimate arguments against him.
Moderator
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 23:18:22
August 12 2016 23:18 GMT
#94579
On August 13 2016 07:54 KwarK wrote:
Given he is still refusing to release his own I don't know how much he can really say.

I don't think he'll say anything. Right now, Democrats are fighting to have taxes be an actual issue. Republicans need taxes to not be an issue at all costs. I truly believe Trump won't budge under any circumstances and I think that's because they would be very damaging. It's a free attack for Democrats.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-12 23:18:57
August 12 2016 23:18 GMT
#94580
Ugh...

Top Senate Democrats are pushing Hillary Clinton to renominate Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court, a move party strategists argue would give her an early advantage against Republicans if she wins the presidency.

They're not waiting until Election Day — or a lame-duck session of Congress — to define the first major decision of a Clinton presidency.

“In her first 100 days, does she want a Supreme Court fight?” asked a senior Democratic aide.

The calls follow months of chatter among Democrats on both sides of Pennsylvania Avenue that Clinton’s smartest political play if she takes the White House would be, essentially, calling the Republicans bluff: they’ve praised Garland, but insisted on a principle that President Barack Obama shouldn’t get to put anyone on the high court in his final year in office.

By sticking with Garland, the thinking goes, Clinton would save herself some of the political capital inherent in making a court nomination, as well as the stress on what would be a brand new White House staff to vet nominee and promote them on the Hill and in the media.

“He’s somebody who the voters clearly think should be confirmed and has the kind of resonating background that would be broadly appealing to voters,” said Geoff Garin, a prominent Democratic pollster. “There are obvious advantages but presidents also like to have the opportunity to make their own choices as well.”

Some Democrats have even mulled the possibility that, if Democrats retake control of the Senate in November, they might move on Garland in the two weeks after the new Senate is in session but before Inauguration Day. That might take on more steam if, despite recent polls showing him far behind, Donald Trump is elected president.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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