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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3279

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
March 11 2016 20:46 GMT
#65561
Unexpected thread ownage
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
March 11 2016 20:49 GMT
#65562
On March 12 2016 05:34 Lord Tolkien wrote:
As foreign policy is my pet subject, and what I've studied extensively, there is a great deal of truth to past criticisms of US foreign policy, most notably through the Cold War era. Though it should be noted many of the underlying problems we're dealing today in the Middle East, Maghreb, and Africa have much more to do with the aftermaths of decolonization and European imperialism as to any form of American bellicosity, for instance.

Really, one of the chief foreign policy errors of the United States in the past 70 years was a failure to adhere to our past anti-imperialist policies in favor of indigenous communities in the face of "communism". The long history of conflicts in Indochina and Vietnam for instance was Eisenhower's failure to recognize the anti-imperialist and, initially, pro-American outlook of Ho Chi Minh and the Vietnamese communists, and instead siding with the French as opposed to the Vietnamese. From that point onwards, we had essentially fashioned ourselves as the defenders of the old, European empires and spheres of influences, and set indigenous communist and socialist movements as the primary mover for "liberation", which of course we had to contain, even at the expense of liberal democracies abroad. The failure to differentiate between Soviet-controlled movements and more explicitly anti-imperial "socialist" or other liberation movements is the hallmark of our Cold War policies in Guatemala, Chile, Iran, Argentina, and Vietnam, to name a few.

In regards to the intervention in Libya, I maintain the intervention there was absolutely necessary and warranted (as was a full intervention in Syria at the onset), even with its current woes, as without going to hell in a hand-basket. The failure in Libya was one of insufficient post-intervention institution-building: new democracies are especially fragile, especially in states where no such legacy exists: where civil society is weak and disorganized after decades of repression and state control, the government had been staffed by appointees of the old autocracy, and political parties entirely nascent. Without adequate support, such regimes are torn apart by internal political forces.

The other option would be to have supported the Gaddafis or Assads on the onset as the best means of keeping the region stable (as Russia contends, and which with the state of the conflict and the consistent weakening of the liberal rebel groups in Syria we may have to do there given our earlier failure to intervene), or to have tacitly accept their victories in crushing their oppositions. This is unappealing for obvious reasons.

And as some Europeans in this thread have mentioned Russia: make no mistake. From a policy perspective, what happens in Ukraine does not really affect the United States in any tangible fashion, and indeed our current focus on it makes things very, very awkward for us, given we've been trying to pivot our strategic focus onto East Asia for some time (to manage the myriad crises surrounding China's ascent as a major regional actor). The primary reason we're involved is due to Eastern Europeans in NATO raising alarm bells (the Ukraine situation is solid evidence for their two-decade-long argument that NATO must focus on Russia first as opposed to overseas expeditions), and moreover, our NATO allies in Europe having consistently cut their defense budgets (with Poland being one of the few exceptions), and widening the capabilities gap (and putting even more of the burden on us).


The shift away from "anti-imperialist" foreign policy started before Vietnam and was directly related to the need to create/maintain markets in view of the Marshall Plan and Bretton Woods, but it had its roots even before that in American schoola of economic thought that emphasized the importance of exports for the growing nation, which had surpassed UK and Germany as the industrial center of the world even before WWI. Vietnam's "anti-imperial" socialism was never going to fly not only because of some wrong-headed and overriding anti-soviet ideology but because it was anti-American capital.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
ErectedZenith
Profile Joined January 2016
325 Posts
March 11 2016 20:53 GMT
#65563
On March 12 2016 04:40 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
Donald Trump on Friday defended supporters who hit back at protesters at his events, saying that's "what we need a little bit more of."

During a press conference in which he announced the endorsement of former rival Ben Carson, Trump was pressed about his comments during a February rally in Las Vegas in which he said of a protester, "I'd like to punch him right in the face, I tell ya."

“It’s politics. And it’s fact. Let me tell you, we’ve had some violent people as protesters. These are people that punch. These are people that are violent people," Trump said.

Alluding to the incident in Las Vegas, Trump said it was "a guy who was swinging, very loud, and then started swinging at the audience."

"And you know what? The audience swung back. And I thought it was very, very appropriate. He was swinging. He was hitting people. And the audience hit back. And that's what we need a little bit more of," he declared.

"Now I’m not talking about just a protester, this was a guy who should not have been allowed to do what he did. And frankly, if you want to know the truth, the police were very, very restrained. The police have been amazing. But the police were very, very restrained.”

The latest remarks come as the Republican presidential candidate prepared to travel to St. Louis in the afternoon and Chicago later in the evening, where thousands of fans and throngs of protesters in both cities were ready to greet him. It also happens to be a day after a North Carolina man was charged with assaulting a protester being led out of a Wednesday night Trump rally.


Source


YES TRUMP!
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12482 Posts
March 11 2016 20:53 GMT
#65564
On March 12 2016 05:30 Sermokala wrote:
Saving the world from hitler and/or stalin is worth a lot of gratitude. Also wheres our money from the marshall plan?


That sentence was obviously in jest as someone called Europeans ingrates on the last page. My gratitude doesn't expand to lying on your behalf. I'll continue to call it as I see it. If you want to argue the facts, that's one thing, if you want to argue whether I should call you out on the facts based on where I'm from, that's another. One of the two is not very constitutional.

On March 12 2016 05:30 Sermokala wrote:
Ironically Dick "The guy I shot I made apologize to me" was for gay marriage a lot sooner then other politicians.


Really? What a fascinating story. Let's forget about this illegal war business then.
No will to live, no wish to die
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22472 Posts
March 11 2016 20:54 GMT
#65565
I don't think Russia's aggressive actions into Eastern Europe is the result of falling EU defense budgets but more a problem of the current EU leaders not having a spine.
While the EU is no where near a military powerhouse we are strong enough to make sure that Russia does not want to take us on. What we lack is a leader who says "No, play nice" and that is allowing Putin to probe the edge of acceptable action and put little steps across the line.

The middle east is mainly about long term commitment and how the West is unwilling to follow through on its actions. Bringing democracy is something that takes decades to grow and needs to be protected during that time but you try selling decades of military assistance
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12482 Posts
March 11 2016 20:55 GMT
#65566
On March 12 2016 05:46 ticklishmusic wrote:
Unexpected thread ownage


You do realize he agrees with everything I've said right?
No will to live, no wish to die
ErectedZenith
Profile Joined January 2016
325 Posts
March 11 2016 20:58 GMT
#65567
On March 12 2016 05:55 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 12 2016 05:46 ticklishmusic wrote:
Unexpected thread ownage


You do realize he agrees with everything I've said right?


Probably didn't even read.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-11 20:58:40
March 11 2016 20:58 GMT
#65568
On March 12 2016 05:55 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 12 2016 05:46 ticklishmusic wrote:
Unexpected thread ownage


You do realize he agrees with everything I've said right?


It was a good post that coherently summarizes everything stated thus far.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 11 2016 21:01 GMT
#65569
During an appearance on MSNBC this afternoon, Hillary Clinton credited President Reagan and his wife Nancy with starting a “national conversation” on HIV/AIDS:

It may be hard for your viewers to remember how difficult it was for people to talk about HIV/AIDS back in the 1980s and because of both president and Mrs. Reagan — in particular Mrs. Reagan — we started a national conversation, when before nobody would talk about it, nobody wanted to do anything about it, and that too is something I really appreciate with her very effective low-key advocacy. It penetrated the public conscience and people began to say, hey, we have to do something about this too.

Clinton’s telling of HIV/AIDS history doesn’t align with the facts. President Reagan waited seven years to address the HIV/AIDS crisis, even as thousands of Americans died from the disease. Dr. C. Everett Koop, the administration’s surgeon general, said the president dragged his feet on the issue “because transmission of AIDS was understood to be primarily in the homosexual population and in those who abused intravenous drugs.” Koop said their position was that AIDS victims were “only getting what they justly deserve.”

In 1985 the Reagans’ friend Rock Hudson, then dying of AIDS, traveled to Paris in a desperate attempt to be treated by a French military doctor. As Buzzfeed’s Chris Gender reported last year, Hudson’s publicist sent the Reagan White House a telegram begging for help in getting Hudson moved to a French military hospital where the doctor could treat him. Nancy Reagan personally saw and rejected the request.

Nancy Reagan may have played a role in encouraging her husband to push for more funding for AIDS research, which Congress did appropriate. However, says Kevin Cathcart, executive director of Lambda Legal, “Shameful is not even strong enough a word for the record of the Reagan administration on this. Did she try and fail, or not try very hard? I really don’t know.”

In fact, the Reagan White House even laughed off questions about the epidemic as it was spreading across America, which is the subject of the new documentary When AIDS Was Funny. That is hardly the conversation the victims of HIV/AIDS needed.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
March 11 2016 21:03 GMT
#65570
On March 12 2016 05:34 Lord Tolkien wrote:
In regards to the intervention in Libya, I maintain the intervention there was absolutely necessary and warranted (as was a full intervention in Syria at the onset), even with its current woes, as without going to hell in a hand-basket. The failure in Libya was one of insufficient post-intervention institution-building: new democracies are especially fragile, especially in states where no such legacy exists: where civil society is weak and disorganized after decades of repression and state control, the government had been staffed by appointees of the old autocracy, and political parties entirely nascent. Without adequate support, such regimes are torn apart by internal political forces.


So what do you do when you have to build a "new democracy" in a country that's too fragile for it, like Libya (or Iraq, or Syria) was? How do you prevent them to be "torn apart by internal political forces"? Do you occupy the country for years and years? Or do you spend your citizens' money to help them?
And more importantly, why do you consider that a foreign country is legitimate to intervene in a civil war?
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 11 2016 21:08 GMT
#65571
How do you build "new democracies" in countries with no democratic tradition or study? You can't just take cultures that have lived under dictators and drag them to respect balance of power and the system. They have spent their entire lives living under an unfair, corrupt system, it won't work.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22472 Posts
March 11 2016 21:14 GMT
#65572
On March 12 2016 06:08 Plansix wrote:
How do you build "new democracies" in countries with no democratic tradition or study? You can't just take cultures that have lived under dictators and drag them to respect balance of power and the system. They have spent their entire lives living under an unfair, corrupt system, it won't work.

That is why I think the only way to 'build democracies' is through decades long assistance where you keep guardian the fragile democratic institute until it is securely in place.
Now you can question if it is worth the effort or if we should even impose our culture onto others like that but then we should imo stay the hell away and let them sort it out themselves.
This half arsed stuff we have been pulling in the middle east has only made things worse. Do it properly or dont do it at all.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
March 11 2016 21:17 GMT
#65573
On March 12 2016 05:49 IgnE wrote:The shift away from "anti-imperialist" foreign policy started before Vietnam and was directly related to the need to create/maintain markets in view of the Marshall Plan and Bretton Woods, but it had its roots even before that in American schoola of economic thought that emphasized the importance of exports for the growing nation, which had surpassed UK and Germany as the industrial center of the world even before WWI. Vietnam's "anti-imperial" socialism was never going to fly not only because of some wrong-headed and overriding anti-soviet ideology but because it was anti-American capital.

While yes, the shift was ongoing (Guatemala and Iran occurred at roughly the same time period), the decision on Vietnam publicly solidified our opposition to the burgeoning anti-imperial, nationalist movements of the decolonization period, despite numerous overtures from Minh for US intercession on behalf of Vietnam from WWII onwards.

Anti-imperialism by itself implies nothing for the creation of new markets. At the time, states and national groups were attempting to find new modes of development in the effort to reverse the undeniable accumulation of the world's wealth in the hands of a few Western nations. Import-substitution had not yet gained its (disastrous) popularity among "developing" nations, and indeed if we look at second-wave developmental states (the Asian Tigers, and South Korea), the path to prosperity in the period would require a strong state-capitalist approach coupled with explicit integration with Bretton Woods and the free trade regime, which does not conflict with the need to develop large consumer economies overseas at all.

In terms of anti-American capital, then we'd have to look at Latin America, and the main case for that would be Guatemala and Cuba. Outside of Latin America, though, our interventions were either purely pragmatic or ideological in scope as opposed ones couched in economics.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6312 Posts
March 11 2016 21:19 GMT
#65574
On March 12 2016 06:03 OtherWorld wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 12 2016 05:34 Lord Tolkien wrote:
In regards to the intervention in Libya, I maintain the intervention there was absolutely necessary and warranted (as was a full intervention in Syria at the onset), even with its current woes, as without going to hell in a hand-basket. The failure in Libya was one of insufficient post-intervention institution-building: new democracies are especially fragile, especially in states where no such legacy exists: where civil society is weak and disorganized after decades of repression and state control, the government had been staffed by appointees of the old autocracy, and political parties entirely nascent. Without adequate support, such regimes are torn apart by internal political forces.


So what do you do when you have to build a "new democracy" in a country that's too fragile for it, like Libya (or Iraq, or Syria) was? How do you prevent them to be "torn apart by internal political forces"? Do you occupy the country for years and years? Or do you spend your citizens' money to help them?
And more importantly, why do you consider that a foreign country is legitimate to intervene in a civil war?

If there's a civil war going on in a country, I submit that such a situation shows the country is already too unstable for there not to be international intervention. But yes, it's frequently necessary to occupy countries and spend money on their reconstruction.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
March 11 2016 21:33 GMT
#65575
Err... so if I remember correctly there were all sorts of atrocities going on and Qaddafi had an armored convoy headed over for what was probably not a picnic and probably involved killing 10's of thousands of civilians/ rebels who really couldn't fight back. Were we supposed to just sit on our hands and let that happen?
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
March 11 2016 21:41 GMT
#65576
If we're talking about appeals to emotion, the right answer is to make sure more atrocities occur, more killings, and bring chaos to many more millions of people. I swear y'all will dream up arguments for outright colonialism and taking sides in every civil war if this continues.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-11 21:43:54
March 11 2016 21:42 GMT
#65577
On March 12 2016 06:17 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 12 2016 05:49 IgnE wrote:The shift away from "anti-imperialist" foreign policy started before Vietnam and was directly related to the need to create/maintain markets in view of the Marshall Plan and Bretton Woods, but it had its roots even before that in American schoola of economic thought that emphasized the importance of exports for the growing nation, which had surpassed UK and Germany as the industrial center of the world even before WWI. Vietnam's "anti-imperial" socialism was never going to fly not only because of some wrong-headed and overriding anti-soviet ideology but because it was anti-American capital.

While yes, the shift was ongoing (Guatemala and Iran occurred at roughly the same time period), the decision on Vietnam publicly solidified our opposition to the burgeoning anti-imperial, nationalist movements of the decolonization period, despite numerous overtures from Minh for US intercession on behalf of Vietnam from WWII onwards.

Anti-imperialism by itself implies nothing for the creation of new markets. At the time, states and national groups were attempting to find new modes of development in the effort to reverse the undeniable accumulation of the world's wealth in the hands of a few Western nations. Import-substitution had not yet gained its (disastrous) popularity among "developing" nations, and indeed if we look at second-wave developmental states (the Asian Tigers, and South Korea), the path to prosperity in the period would require a strong state-capitalist approach coupled with explicit integration with Bretton Woods and the free trade regime, which does not conflict with the need to develop large consumer economies overseas at all.

In terms of anti-American capital, then we'd have to look at Latin America, and the main case for that would be Guatemala and Cuba. Outside of Latin America, though, our interventions were either purely pragmatic or ideological in scope as opposed ones couched in economics.


Latin America, being within America's own "sphere of influence" during the imperialist craze of the late 19th and early 20th centuries was obviously also the site of its burgeoning dollar-imperialism in the post-war period, for sure. I wasn't trying to imply that the actual value of markets in Vietnam were significant, but that the US made a stand over Vietnam because of the threat it posed to future capital flows in the region and throughout the world. The US had had a free hand to do whatever they wanted in the Southern American states for a long time already. Castro and the socialist influences in Latin America certainly influenced that. Vietnam was certainly a focal point for the contradictions between the decolonizing position of a US hegemon pioneering a new brand of imperialism that didn't rely on explicit territorial control.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-11 21:47:20
March 11 2016 21:44 GMT
#65578
On March 12 2016 06:03 OtherWorld wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 12 2016 05:34 Lord Tolkien wrote:
In regards to the intervention in Libya, I maintain the intervention there was absolutely necessary and warranted (as was a full intervention in Syria at the onset), even with its current woes, as without going to hell in a hand-basket. The failure in Libya was one of insufficient post-intervention institution-building: new democracies are especially fragile, especially in states where no such legacy exists: where civil society is weak and disorganized after decades of repression and state control, the government had been staffed by appointees of the old autocracy, and political parties entirely nascent. Without adequate support, such regimes are torn apart by internal political forces.
So what do you do when you have to build a "new democracy" in a country that's too fragile for it, like Libya (or Iraq, or Syria) was? How do you prevent them to be "torn apart by internal political forces"? Do you occupy the country for years and years? Or do you spend your citizens' money to help them?

And you've now hit one of the critical questions of international development. How do we strengthen weak and failing states (not just democracies) and improve internal governance practices? This has been something that we've been trying to answer for decades, really, and as the slow progress of Africa highlights, one we've still not found any easy answers to that. Slowly and with much patience is what we've come up with. It takes time to acclimate populations to peacefully voicing their concerns, to develop functioning political coalitions, to institute good governance practices, etc.

But for your questions, it may certainly require a peacekeeping force, though not always. Yes, it does require international aid, but this is usually multifaceted and involves a combination of IGO, NGO, and government assistance. Additionally, most countries give but a pittance towards international developmental aid as opposed to, say, defense spending or mandatory spending. Most developed countries spend below even 1% of their budget on it as opposed to the size of their mandatory and discretionary spending. For the US, we spend ~0.7% of the budget on developmental aid (or ~1% on international aid if you factor in military assistance into it). Other countries tend to have slightly higher, but relatively similar figures.

Post-genocide Rwanda is a decent case study, and one that you should look at. Very few would predict Rwanda, after a genocide, the fleeing of many thousands of Hutus (causing conflict spillover into the Congo, which should be noted is a reason for intervention), and the utter decimation of the former political structure could rebuild either a functioning government, or one of the fastest growing economies in Africa.
And more importantly, why do you consider that a foreign country is legitimate to intervene in a civil war?

Several reasons really, ranging from the pragmatic (protecting economic interests, ensuring regional stability, promoting our political ideology, values, and influence in the region) to the humanitarian (need I point to past "civil wars" such as Rwanda and the former Yugoslavia, or even Syria right now, as damning evidence as to why a military intervention can be entirely necessary, if only to mitigate the scale of human catastrophe). It should also be noted that the rebels in Libya asked for Western assistance (as did Syrian rebels), so it wasn't as if it was unilateral in the slightest: the Libyan intervention was carried with the express approval of the Arab League and the UN, among others and, despite the mess it is currently in, the scale of human suffering it would be in had we done nothing is incomparable.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 11 2016 21:47 GMT
#65579
I like the amount of substantial arguments I'm now seeing in this thread.

As for interventionism. It's interesting that the US was isolationist until the first world war, and at the end of it in 1917 the democratic progressive president Woodrow Wilson made the historic choice to project US influence globally for what can be considered the first time by declaring war on the central powers. You could still make the case that the US was holding back in WW II as well, albeit its influence in drafting the Treaty of Versailles and its unabashed supply-side support of at least the UK if not all the allies in the WW is a pretty clear sign against such a thesis.

While you could say that the US has had isolationist tendencies since the Korean war or Vietnam war, or due to the famous Chomsky/Buckley debates, I don't think one should take it too seriously. The US has been the foremost country projecting its power globally for many years, with many interventions even under "isolationist" presidents (including the current POTUS: Libya, but also in Somalia, etc).

What has been lacking with respect to Iraq and Libya (less so with Afghanistan) is what's called nation building, i.e., strengthening state institutions after the crisis so as to create a stable and sustainable political situation. Albeit, the reasons why this is are still too contentious for anyone to have hope to purport them without this thread exploding with criticism and counter-criticism.

But the whole idea that the US is isolationist is manifestly false. If anyone wishes to make this sharp U-turn, the onus falls on them to provide a clear vision of what the world looks like when all of US power projection suddenly vanishes. You could see the chaos that erupted when US and the UK blinked in 2013 and let Assad get away with breaking a red line. Now, three years later the situation has escalated as various players are vying for vacated positions on the great chess board. Iran is extending its influence, Iraq is seeking regional deals as US safeguards have lost value. Israel is the best example of a US ally that has started to build an semi-independent and less dependent security network.

And in all of this, against many prominent strategist on either side of the US political spectrum, there's still a tenuous but growing acceptance that the US might be forced to intervene, but they shouldn't commit enough to actually succeed, and definitely not enough to do any kind of nation building. What this amounts to is accepting that the US can intervene in other countries, but not take responsibility for what happens afterwards. This is clearly morally questionable, and goes contrary to US interests, as they are basically wagering that things will turn out OK.

So my prediction is that after the next presidential election, all candidates (yes, even Sanders and Trump) will continue to be interventionist. The real question is, which of them will cut the most corners afterwards.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 11 2016 21:50 GMT
#65580
Clinton has managed to piss even her supporters off with that Nancy Reagan tribute speech and AIDS.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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