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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Sadist
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States7328 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:10:09
January 15 2016 16:08 GMT
#54921
On January 15 2016 21:24 DickMcFanny wrote:
That place seems like a proper mess. What is it about Michigan that makes it such a shithole? A crumbling automobile industry?



The automobile industry is booming right now and Michigan is far from a shithole. A lot of the cities have gone down hill due to urban sprawl and a declining tax base. People have left the urban cities to move into the neighboring towns/suburbs. The cities are left with less money and infrastructure they cannot afford with their current revenues.
FWIW Michigan is home to some of the nicest suburbs in the country so calling it a shithole I'd ridiculous.


A lot of the problems are because politicians kept kicking the can down the road instead of cutting things when they started to take in less revenue. Its a terrible cycle because the worse or more expensive the city services become the more people leave leading to even less revenues and shitty services.

Some cities are starting to get a bit of a resurgence because of cheap property and incentives for business to come back. Part of it is also that the younger generation seems to be going back to more urban centers.

People just fucked up in flint with the water thing. It was probably an error on someone's part or something that was overlooked. With tight deadlines an lots of political pressure it's easy for things to get missed. The real tragedy is the lack of response on complaints about the water for the past year and that people got sick. I think it was just engineers/politicians/managers trying to cover their ass instead of taking the political hit and admitting they fucked up from the beginning. It's a big issue in the society we live in today
How do you go from where you are to where you want to be? I think you have to have an enthusiasm for life. You have to have a dream, a goal and you have to be willing to work for it. Jim Valvano
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24367 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:16:22
January 15 2016 16:12 GMT
#54922
The real tragedy is the lack of response on complaints about the water for the past year and that people got sick.


They responded, it was just with propaganda and telling people it was fine to drink the poison they were selling them.

Edit: Also watch out establishment tier candidates Lindsey Graham has just endorsed Jeb!
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
January 15 2016 16:12 GMT
#54923
On January 16 2016 00:49 Deathstar wrote:
Hillary Clinton is current losing to Ted Cruz in polls, and barely beating Trump, and Sanders beats both Cruz and Trump by almost 20 points.

It's probably more of a case of "I wouldn't vote for her/him, so I'd pick the other one," right now. I think, when push comes to shove, any current Democrat candidate vs any current Republican, Democrat wins. Scandals and brilliant campaigning could swing that, of course, but that's where I see it now, especially if we get an "anti-establishment" candidate from the Republicans.
DickMcFanny
Profile Blog Joined September 2015
Ireland1076 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:24:59
January 15 2016 16:24 GMT
#54924
What kind of person would vote for Ted Cruz?

He's such a vile creature and so transparently evil...
| (• ◡•)|╯ ╰(❍ᴥ❍ʋ)
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:26:35
January 15 2016 16:24 GMT
#54925
On January 16 2016 01:12 aksfjh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2016 00:49 Deathstar wrote:
Hillary Clinton is current losing to Ted Cruz in polls, and barely beating Trump, and Sanders beats both Cruz and Trump by almost 20 points.

It's probably more of a case of "I wouldn't vote for her/him, so I'd pick the other one," right now. I think, when push comes to shove, any current Democrat candidate vs any current Republican, Democrat wins. Scandals and brilliant campaigning could swing that, of course, but that's where I see it now, especially if we get an "anti-establishment" candidate from the Republicans.


Hillary is a ticking time bomb of scandals. If Hillary becomes the Democratic nominee, Republicans have a chance at winning.
rip passion
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46471 Posts
January 15 2016 16:27 GMT
#54926
On January 16 2016 00:42 Doublemint wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2016 00:27 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Quite the opposite. The Republicans have no chance of winning the election. The winner of the Democratic primary- either Bernie or Hillary- will become the next president of the United States.


hillary - yes. she's just pro and knows how to play the game - for better and worse.

bernie, no way. I would even go so far as to say Trump with his atrocious polling numbers could beat him in the general. why? negative campaigning.
republicans are paramount at that, they made kerry, a decorated war veteran look horrible next to bush - who had basically had a vacation at home.

and bernie is the easiest target imaginable. let's just put it that way. republicans would rather have bernie to run against, than the correct numbers on the current superball. and I am only half joking.


Pretty much every poll has Sanders way ahead of the Republicans. Here's one of many (which is a conservative underestimate of the difference, compared to others);

[image loading]

Other polls show the range to be even greater, and all of them also show Bernie's lead to be greater than Hillary's, when head to head against Republicans.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
ragz_gt
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
9172 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:29:30
January 15 2016 16:27 GMT
#54927
Meanwhile Trump has more scandal already exploded than everyone else combined. What a world we live in.

A university poll shows Dem leading without any sample base or size, how unexpected!
I'm not an otaku, I'm a specialist.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24367 Posts
January 15 2016 16:29 GMT
#54928
On January 16 2016 01:24 Deathstar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2016 01:12 aksfjh wrote:
On January 16 2016 00:49 Deathstar wrote:
Hillary Clinton is current losing to Ted Cruz in polls, and barely beating Trump, and Sanders beats both Cruz and Trump by almost 20 points.

It's probably more of a case of "I wouldn't vote for her/him, so I'd pick the other one," right now. I think, when push comes to shove, any current Democrat candidate vs any current Republican, Democrat wins. Scandals and brilliant campaigning could swing that, of course, but that's where I see it now, especially if we get an "anti-establishment" candidate from the Republicans.


Hillary is more of a ticking time bomb of scandals. If Hillary becomes the Democratic nominee, Republicans have a chance at winning.


Seriously they have well over a decade of dirt digging they planned just for a general against Hillary. They planned on letting it rip during the primaries (where the losers could say the worst stuff) but as Bernie gained traction they laid off a bit.

I rarely agree with Ann Coulter, but she was right about Romney and she's right about Republicans losing to Bernie in a general.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:31:33
January 15 2016 16:30 GMT
#54929
[QUOTE]On January 16 2016 01:27 ragz_gt wrote:
Meanwhile Trump has more scandal already exploded than everyone else combined. What a world we live in.

A university poll shows Dem leading without any sample base or size, how unexpected![/QUOTE
What's your point? Quinnipiac isn't doing a poll of their students if that's what you're thinking.
rip passion
ragz_gt
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
9172 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:35:32
January 15 2016 16:32 GMT
#54930
It doesn't matter what they are polling, it doesn't mean anything unless it actually state what exactly they are polling and the sample size. For all I know they could polled 1000 cats and more than half of them put their paws on Bernie's picture because he looks more like a goldfish.
I'm not an otaku, I'm a specialist.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24367 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:38:40
January 15 2016 16:37 GMT
#54931
On January 16 2016 01:32 ragz_gt wrote:
It doesn't matter what they are polling, it doesn't mean anything unless it actually state what exactly they are polling and the sample size. For all I know they could polled 1000 cats and more than half of them put their paws on Bernie's picture because he looks more like a goldfish.


This isn't their first rodeo, have you looked for that information? Not sure that graphic is accurate, but as was said it's not just one poll saying Sanders beats the republicans especially Trump.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
ragz_gt
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
9172 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:40:19
January 15 2016 16:39 GMT
#54932
I'm sure the poll itself is fine, I just hate stupid graphics that looks like it means something important when actually it's pure hogwash. When someone post something like that, it's either because they are dumb or they think whoever reading is dumb, and I can't take that person seriously.
I'm not an otaku, I'm a specialist.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
January 15 2016 16:42 GMT
#54933
I think Rubio would likely beat Sanders. As others have said, current head-to-head polling is not very indicative of what the actual confrontation would be like. Republicans have been spending the vast majority of their time attacking Clinton, not Sanders.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
DickMcFanny
Profile Blog Joined September 2015
Ireland1076 Posts
January 15 2016 16:47 GMT
#54934
Not sure the USA would seriously elect a twelve year old as their leader. That's like having that six year old prince of Azerbaijan give a speech at the UN.
| (• ◡•)|╯ ╰(❍ᴥ❍ʋ)
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24367 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-15 16:58:56
January 15 2016 16:48 GMT
#54935
On January 16 2016 01:42 kwizach wrote:
I think Rubio would likely beat Sanders. As others have said, current head-to-head polling is not very indicative of what the actual confrontation would be like. Republicans have been spending the vast majority of their time attacking Clinton, not Sanders.


Well they've said everything they have to say about him, they've tried the socialism thing, the old rape piece from the 70's, and that he'll raise your taxes to 90%, etc.

The only difference is in a general they will be saying them more frequently(not that "socialist" isn't said 100% of the time Bernie's name is mentioned already). No one who knows who Bernie Sanders is, is unaware of the standard republican attacks on him.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20255 Posts
January 15 2016 17:06 GMT
#54936
On January 16 2016 01:08 Sadist wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 15 2016 21:24 DickMcFanny wrote:
That place seems like a proper mess. What is it about Michigan that makes it such a shithole? A crumbling automobile industry?



The automobile industry is booming right now and Michigan is far from a shithole. A lot of the cities have gone down hill due to urban sprawl and a declining tax base. People have left the urban cities to move into the neighboring towns/suburbs. The cities are left with less money and infrastructure they cannot afford with their current revenues.
FWIW Michigan is home to some of the nicest suburbs in the country so calling it a shithole I'd ridiculous.


A lot of the problems are because politicians kept kicking the can down the road instead of cutting things when they started to take in less revenue. Its a terrible cycle because the worse or more expensive the city services become the more people leave leading to even less revenues and shitty services.

Some cities are starting to get a bit of a resurgence because of cheap property and incentives for business to come back. Part of it is also that the younger generation seems to be going back to more urban centers.

People just fucked up in flint with the water thing. It was probably an error on someone's part or something that was overlooked. With tight deadlines an lots of political pressure it's easy for things to get missed. The real tragedy is the lack of response on complaints about the water for the past year and that people got sick. I think it was just engineers/politicians/managers trying to cover their ass instead of taking the political hit and admitting they fucked up from the beginning. It's a big issue in the society we live in today


Yea and if you talk to a lot of people in and around Detroit there is a lot of "we will rebuild and become good again" type attitudes. A lot of cash is being shoveled into certain areas of Detroit and its already attracting younger gen hipster crowd. The large ass amount of land Detroit has is a problem and will be for a while because while they are trying to get people to relocate so they can place most people in a small area some people refuse. I know someone who even suggested that Detroit perform triage and cut loose some land lol. And yea people have a view of Detroit and Mi that its some kind of wasteland but not really. Most people who visit are surprised because there is def parts of the city that look/feel very nice and a lot of the cities/suburbs surrounding Detroit are pretty good. Royal Oak and Ferndale come to mind.
Never Knows Best.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
January 15 2016 17:08 GMT
#54937
On January 16 2016 01:07 xDaunt wrote:
There's a little too much emphasis being placed on the hypothetical, head-to-head match-up polls. They have about as much meaning as the primary polls that were taken back in August. There will be a significant re-settling of the political landscape in the wake of the party conventions this summer.


I agree that polls right now don't mean too much.

Thing is, is Bernie actually scandal free? He's campaigning on being morally upright, correct, etc. a single real scandal could kill his image. There's the bit about him and his wife doing some sketchy shit with $$$, which hasn't gotten a ton of exposure yet but I think could be a little iffy. Is there more though?
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
January 15 2016 17:15 GMT
#54938
bernie is a 60's radical out of cryostasis
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24367 Posts
January 15 2016 17:31 GMT
#54939
On January 16 2016 02:08 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2016 01:07 xDaunt wrote:
There's a little too much emphasis being placed on the hypothetical, head-to-head match-up polls. They have about as much meaning as the primary polls that were taken back in August. There will be a significant re-settling of the political landscape in the wake of the party conventions this summer.


I agree that polls right now don't mean too much.

Thing is, is Bernie actually scandal free? He's campaigning on being morally upright, correct, etc. a single real scandal could kill his image. There's the bit about him and his wife doing some sketchy shit with $$$, which hasn't gotten a ton of exposure yet but I think could be a little iffy. Is there more though?


I don't think there's anything in there about Bernie doing anything remotely sketchy. I guess you could say that Jane's stuff at Burlington College was questionable, but considering it's starts with trying to make Bernie look bad for paying his wife for work she did I think there's a reason it hasn't gone anywhere.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States5029 Posts
January 15 2016 17:59 GMT
#54940
On January 16 2016 02:15 oneofthem wrote:
bernie is a 60's radical out of cryostasis


He doesn't look like he was frozen very well.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
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