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Loonie Bull

Blogs > DigiGnar
Post a Reply
GnarlyArbitrage
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
575 Posts
July 26 2012 09:42 GMT
#1
Another prediction. This time for USD/CAD.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


4H

Sometime next week, price will reach 1.0100, setting price up for a bullish breakout on a descending channel. This is about a 75% pullback, and since 76% is a fib level, there's added probability. Also, price will be below the 50 EMA by around 50 pips, while the 50 EMA will be about 25 pips below the 200 EMA. Price almost made a new high, but failed to do so. Since there was a new low made before, the volatility needed to make a new low is substantial. It will be easier to make a new high.

Once price hits this level, there will be an inversed head-and-shoulders pattern. Price will shoot up to 1.0220 (neckline) then breakout.

Note: Don't take this as investing advice. I could be totally wrong.

**
GnarlyArbitrage
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
575 Posts
July 26 2012 10:42 GMT
#2
Holy shit, it's already there. Ten pips off, but damn. Let's see if it goes down twenty more pips. (I want price to touch that white line, the bottom one, but it's going up.)
Aerisky
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States12129 Posts
July 26 2012 13:28 GMT
#3
This blog just went way way way way over my head but I wanted to show my appreciation of your apparent stock analysis/prediction skills.

All I got was that there was a bullish trend at some point.
Jim while Johnny had had had had had had had; had had had had the better effect on the teacher.
Carson
Profile Joined September 2010
Canada820 Posts
July 26 2012 13:29 GMT
#4
I've been watching this as well, but currency trading is the riskiest, no?
"You have to remember something: Everybody pities the weak; jealousy you have to earn." Arnold Schwarzenegger
TimmyMac
Profile Joined December 2008
Canada499 Posts
July 26 2012 15:43 GMT
#5
Not to be too off-topic, but you seem like you know what you're talking about. If I have a bunch of GBP I need to change to CAD sometime in the next 3-6 months, when should I do it?
GnarlyArbitrage
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
575 Posts
July 26 2012 19:51 GMT
#6
Such a weird week. So much volatility! USD/CAD did manage to make a new low with such volatility this morning, so that complicates things.

Hmm, price made a 38% pullback on the big drop down, which is a fib level. (google fibonnaci) Price is sitting at 1.0100. There was a big jump up just before last week ended, and there was a big drop down this morning, so that price instability should be over with. The new low is barely a new low, meaning that the pullback is losing a lot of steam. Price is also about 50 pips below the 50 EMA, while the 50 EMA is below the 200 by about 25 pips.

Gold seems to be hitting a resistance level. It's been on a descending triangle for the longest time, and this could be the last time it tests the resistance level.

If I get into a bull position, I'll have a risk of about 45 pips. So my risk:reward is going to be 1:2.2. Let's see if we can reduce the risk to about 30 pips by waiting for price to go down a little. (Might already be there as we speak!) That would bring me to a 1:4 r:r ratio! Looking for about 120 pips profit.


I've been watching this as well, but currency trading is the riskiest, no?


Yes, it's been said currency trading is the riskiest. That, and future's can be supe risky. Yet, the bigger the risk, usually, the bigger the reward.

Not to be too off-topic, but you seem like you know what you're talking about. If I have a bunch of GBP I need to change to CAD sometime in the next 3-6 months, when should I do it?


Probably never. Then again, don't take my advice!
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