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On March 05 2015 12:33 fezvez wrote:Show nested quote +On March 05 2015 11:22 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor 2015 Stats vs Maru in in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances. 42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%. 57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%. Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances. 57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%. 42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%. Life vs Dream in in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%. Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances. 33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%. 66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%. StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 39.05% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 31.3% chance to win ----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 15.97% chance to win ----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 13.67% chance to win ----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd. I don't get your predictions. How can Maru have "99.14%" chance to win SSL1 if he gets 2nd. What does it mean? If he gets 2nd, he has 0% chance of winning SSL1. Those are blizzcon chances. It's the odds that Life will have enough WCS points to be invited to blizzcon at the end of the year.
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On March 05 2015 12:51 hborrgg wrote:Show nested quote +On March 05 2015 12:33 fezvez wrote:On March 05 2015 11:22 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor 2015 Stats vs Maru in in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances. 42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%. 57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%. Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances. 57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%. 42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%. Life vs Dream in in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%. Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances. 33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%. 66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%. StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 39.05% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 31.3% chance to win ----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 15.97% chance to win ----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 13.67% chance to win ----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd. I don't get your predictions. How can Maru have "99.14%" chance to win SSL1 if he gets 2nd. What does it mean? If he gets 2nd, he has 0% chance of winning SSL1. Those are blizzcon chances. It's the odds that Life will have enough WCS points to be invited to blizzcon at the end of the year. Correct. WCS Predictor shows how different events affect a player's chances of qualifying for Blizzcon/WCS Global Finals at the end of the year (and some other things too). Here's the FAQ on the website http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=faq and my thread is here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/471444-wcs-predictor-2015
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Maru 4-1 Stats Dream 4-2 Life
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so much hype. Hoping Dream can make it happen tonight!
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Maru vs Stats is looking the scariest at the moment and is probably going to be pretty close. Maru hasn't really been looking to hot against protoss lately and there's a chance he could still be tilted from losing to PartinG again in GSL
Life vs Dream though, yeah, I think Dream's only hope right now is if practice against Flash has somehow completely wrecked Life's ZvT.
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hyped! gotta take my nap now, hopefully I'll get to watch the whole thing but 2 bo7s might be tough
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Canada2764 Posts
Stats 4-2 Maru, Life 4-2 Dream
Hype as fuck though!
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Time for NSL semifinal predictions:
Life 4-3 Dream: On any other day, I would say that 4-0 in favour of Life. I think Dream can manage to cheese Life out of a few games and catch him off guard. Life has a tendency to get caught off guard, hence his loss against Bbyong. That or he is starting a slump phase again. I will give Life the benefit of the doubt and say that he is not slumping, he just got caught off guard. He is still the best player in the world and no Terran other than Bbyong can stop him.
Maru 1-4 Stats: Maru has been on losing streaks. He lost against Life at IEM then a few days ago he loses to another Protoss in Proleague. If that does not scream slump then I do not know what does. Stats winning would not be an upset. In fact, with the way Maru has been playing lately, I would say that Maru winning would be an upset. Remember when Flash was on a huge losing streak? Well I think that will be Maru these next series. Hoping for the best, but after seeing his play in Proleague, I sort of doubt he will put up much of a fight. His one win will probably be a proxy two barracks.
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On March 05 2015 14:08 swag_bro wrote: Time for NSL semifinal predictions:
Life 4-3 Dream: On any other day, I would say that 4-0 in favour of Life. I think Dream can manage to cheese Life out of a few games and catch him off guard. Life has a tendency to get caught off guard, hence his loss against Bbyong. That or he is starting a slump phase again. I will give Life the benefit of the doubt and say that he is not slumping, he just got caught off guard. He is still the best player in the world and no Terran other than Bbyong can stop him.
Maru 1-4 Stats: Maru has been on losing streaks. He lost against Life at IEM then a few days ago he loses to another Protoss in Proleague. If that does not scream slump then I do not know what does. Stats winning would not be an upset. In fact, with the way Maru has been playing lately, I would say that Maru winning would be an upset. Remember when Flash was on a huge losing streak? Well I think that will be Maru these next series. Hoping for the best, but after seeing his play in Proleague, I sort of doubt he will put up much of a fight. His one win will probably be a proxy two barracks. swag_bro man you have to stop. your logic is just too flawless and perfect for meer mortals to handle.
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Holy shit... this combination of new info for me is makin' me crazy (1) Re-schedule for double-feature (2) Bo7 not Bo5 as I thought
and the old news (3) possibility of Life vs Maru finals in KR-land
so hyped. lehgo
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United Kingdom31935 Posts
Come on Dream do your best!
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yo when is this, calender says 4:30 but OP says 5:00
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United States97274 Posts
schedule thread Seeker posted says 4:30
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with Stats, you can prove anything. For instance, Maru is 100% going to lose, because it's the R04 after all
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On March 05 2015 15:57 Noonius wrote: with Stats, you can prove anything. For instance, Maru is 100% going to lose, because it's the R04 after all
Maru won't lose until he meets Life.
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Maru vs Life would be an amazing final
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Maru comes in like a WREEEEECKING BALLLLLL He doesn't care for Stats at allllll
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Maru 4-2 Stats (a close one) Life 4-2 Dream
Both mostly based on experience in higher levels of leagues and being a blind and foolish fan
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