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On January 15 2015 18:53 sicklucker wrote: Marv where are you. Im really going to kill you if you dont go all out on mylo got to work recently, got some pages to catch up on
fair warning to everyone btw, I have a chess match this evening and my dad's birthday tomorrow, so will try play hard at work where i can
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On January 15 2015 08:44 Vivax wrote:Show nested quote +On January 15 2015 08:41 KelsierSC wrote: Ugh...i don't see that as him calling you town then mafia Then give us a better interpretation. townies call themselves town for shit they do all the time, and the trolliness thing you mentioned is meh, it fits sl's general profile just fine
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On January 15 2015 08:49 Artanis[Xp] wrote:Show nested quote +On January 15 2015 08:47 Vivax wrote:On January 15 2015 08:45 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On January 15 2015 08:43 Vivax wrote:On January 15 2015 08:42 Artanis[Xp] wrote: GB prob town for effort alone. Thought that too but I think he's wrong on Dam If we eliminate Dam I'm left with Marv/Kelsier/LM/maybe SL. I guess I need to stop procrastinating from that SL stuff. Here we go. Welcome to the club. So let's club them. Question: Did you see marv try to solve the game with the new information tonight? He seems to have a clear suspicion of LM which he's not been pushing much yet. It is troubling. ????????????
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On January 15 2015 09:12 Vivax wrote:Ok, so here we go: I don' think LM is lying when he says he has exams and can't play properly. But he's scum, which is why we witnessed so much brain farting when I questioned him. He told his scumbuddies that he's scum, and that he won't have time to play and said "Pls, bus me cause I can't try harder than this". Now I go into a hypothetical world where SL is town. He's just a town who says a ton of dumb shit that makes me scumread him everytime. Kels softed cop D1, and he was actually right when he said that LM scumslipped he was scum with super. But the Vivax I am, who doesn't care about filter size and has trouble distingishing bad from scum, I keep pushing him thinking he's scum while in fact he's just the next JAT. So marv and Kelsier agreed. They would push the wagon on him, grab a shitton of cred, and carry their team to victory. Now it's night. I found another load of reasons to push SL with. But scum can't push him. They can't push him cause they will need an ally tomorrow, after they NK Artanis and push the lynch on me. GB is somewhat doing his own thing with Damdred, and Damdred is basically my ally. Plenty of room for the next mislynch. They can push Damdred, they can push me. That's why Kelsier shows absolutely zero suspicion on SL, and instead tries to win his favour by defending him and trying to discredit me. That's why marv keeps silent. He doesn't need to do a thing if SL is indeed town. He just sits back and enjoys, waiting for the opportunity to strike while I keep pushing a townie. They will probably lose LM at some point, probably tomorrow, but afterwards, Chez will side with Kelsier and marv cause of the palmar lynch he didn't want, and GB will probably accept the theory that I'm scum with Damdred and be willing to lynch either of us. Capiche? That's basically a possible scenario. I guarantee you. Marv will never die on a night this game. Marv isn't trying to solve this game. He's just setting up the stage to win the game for scum. So, according to this theory where I assume SL is scum. The team left is: Kelsier, marv, LM I'm going to humour you a bit here Vivax, because, well, it's lylo and I guess I should.
"that's why marv keeps silent" - silent on what? I think I've been abundantly clear on sl's alignment, so silent on what?
Actually that's literally all that I can quibble from the entire post. Why? Because it's speculation that can both have no confirmation, nor retort.
I mean, "That's basically a possible scenario". You can invent any possible scenario. This is like Artanis' "definitely possible" earlier in the game, it's meaningless because it's unsubstantiated in any regard
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to add, perhaps Kelsier says sl is town because he has a townread on him for fairly obvious reasons.
That's basically a possible scenario, right?
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On January 15 2015 09:13 KelsierSC wrote:Show nested quote +On January 15 2015 09:09 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Which leaves me squarely at a Marv/Kelsier/LM team by POE. Where Marv and I vote lm last night and afk? hold me
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On January 15 2015 09:24 Vivax wrote: Now it's up to Chez, GB, Damdred and SL to do the rest.
I don't count myself cause I don't have the marv wizardry to be able to begull the thread, which earns him a 90 % scum winrate
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On January 15 2015 09:47 KelsierSC wrote: Ok answer this, what scummy thing have I done ?
I read sl as town, you ask me why I don't instantly scumread him and I tell you why. Because right now your theory is that two mafia voted on the third and then left and that everyone who voted on palmar was town. Top theory, isn't it?
I literally explicitly say shortly before I sleep that I don't want to have to vote Palmar to save myself and tell people to get on LM instead, when I could easily have left the Palmar wagon trundling along without taking a stance like that. I'm playing with some bloody unnecessary fire if sl actually followed through on my advice
Sense, make it not does.
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I should probably try consolidate or i'll be here all day
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On January 15 2015 10:41 Artanis[Xp] wrote:Show nested quote +On January 15 2015 10:37 KelsierSC wrote:On January 15 2015 10:28 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On January 15 2015 10:24 KelsierSC wrote: So just to Math this out.
In this situation where a town got mislynched. Tomorrow its 5 vs 3 and mafia can win that day with a mislynch.
If lazer was lynched yesterday and he is mafia. Then tomorrow it is 6 town vs 2 mafia. If mislynch then it goes to 4 town and 2 mafia and mafia will require another mislynch and a day to win the game.
If you want to explain why mafia adds an extra day and tries to get 2 mislynches in a row with less people then go ahead. There's a few bobs and screws left that I don't fully understand myself. That is one of them. My best guess is that you felt the bus would get you enough cred to make this argument. Had Lazer lynched Marv, Lazer would have a great chance of surviving the entire game. Same goes to a lesser extent for you and Marv on LM. It's sacrificing time for a better shot at winning at endgame. You think mafia do all this, have an extra day make extra night kills to give town info all for vote cred, and have to get 2 mislynches. When instead they can just get a town lynched and then win the next day by convincing 1 member of town to vote with them. Like I said, I'm not entirely happy with the explanation, but eh. Marv not leading a lynch on mafia throughout this game would get to him, so I can see him trying, and at that point you may as well join in to add to the cred. Basically Marv would be super screwed if he led/was part of a wagon that lynched town today if he were scum. It'd be possible to sac Marv and just go full on Palmar, but he's had a 38 page game so I doubt he'd be willing to do so. This is all wrong and isn't how I think about playing mafia at all. As mafia I pretty much always expect to die soon. I remember Hero Mafia that Vivax brought up as some silly argument about something at some stage - go read the scumQT there and see how often I prophesize my own demise. I would *absolutely*, as mafia, put myself in a terrible spot to lynch Palmar and leave the rest of my team with only one more ML to secure between them after I die. That's basic, good strategy and probably my absolute best asset as scum is strategising.
Palmar and I basically both agree that the only way high profile players can play mafia is to try to secure as many ML as possible before inevitably dying. Me and you have talked a lot about how I think about/play scum, Artanis. You know this!
What actually happened is, I didn't want to vote Palmar to save myself, I explicitly said so, and I explicitly told people to vote for mafia instead. Fin.
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So marv do you agree with artanis that vivax is town. Or can he be a tryhard mafia here?
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Marv alot has happened in terms of peoples reads. Whats your mafia team its freakin lylo not a good time for excuses you gotta be somewhat active
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active? what do you think i'm doing right now bbygrl. i can't be active when i'm not here though ^^
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On January 15 2015 20:23 sicklucker wrote: So marv do you agree with artanis that vivax is town. Or can he be a tryhard mafia here? he should be town, but then again one of my main tasks for today needs to be to find the mafia in amongst my townreads
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On January 15 2015 10:54 GlowingBear wrote: Ok I'm convinced.
I'm voting LM tomorrow.
One thing is certain: they wanted to keep ritoky alive. And if they wanted to keep ritoky alive, is that because they would want to try to keep his cop claim untouched.
It means they didn't know who the cop was.
It means they thought someone else was the cop.
I have to figure out who. none of this makes sense, only one or two idiots at most thought that ritoky could plausibly be cop. Everyone else knew he wasn't
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On January 15 2015 10:38 GlowingBear wrote:Show nested quote +On January 15 2015 10:37 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On January 15 2015 10:33 GlowingBear wrote:On January 15 2015 10:29 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On January 15 2015 10:27 GlowingBear wrote:Also, this needs to be explained, if you believe LM is part of the scum team. On January 08 2015 14:50 liancourt wrote:I Count this vote sons ritoky (5): sicklucker, marvellosity, sicklucker, vivax, glowingbear, palmar, lazermonkey, vivax, Marvellosity, GlowingBear, IAmRobik, Palmar, Lazermonkeyvivax (0): sicklucker, Chezinu, GlowingBear, Ritokymarvellosity (): Palmar Lazermonkey (): KelsierSC, vivaxSuperbia (6): KelsierSC, Artanis[Xp], Chezinu, sicklucker, Damdred, Lazermonkey sicklucker (): GlowingBear, vivax, vivaxglowingbear (): IAmRobikPalmar (): IAmRobik, GlowingBearDamdred (): Palmar, lazermonkeyIAmRobik (2): ritoky, Superbia
Superbia is lynched.
I see two scum wagons. What needs to be explained about this? If they knew Robik was the cop, why keeping ritoky alive just to be auto lunched the next day? I don't know if they knew Robik was the cop. After his hard claim?? C'mon.
On January 15 2015 10:54 GlowingBear wrote: Ok I'm convinced.
I'm voting LM tomorrow.
One thing is certain: they wanted to keep ritoky alive. And if they wanted to keep ritoky alive, is that because they would want to try to keep his cop claim untouched.
It means they didn't know who the cop was.
It means they thought someone else was the cop.
I have to figure out who. ehhhhhhhhhh
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GB pretty much fitting arguments as convenient there.
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Alright here is the case against vivax.
D1 - The main push comes from Koshi, a lot of people agree with the read but vivax is never up for discussion really. Here is the case.
On January 02 2015 18:27 Koshi wrote:Show nested quote +On January 02 2015 08:55 Vivax wrote: The list doesn't make him look any better to me. If anything it makes me wonder why he feels defeated so quickly. Looking at his scumreads I don't really grasp how he can tell apart people like geript and Koshi from the rest of his null/scummy-pile, they only appear rarely in his filter. This is a 100% bullshit post from Vivax. There is no way town Vivax thinks like this. Vivax also slipped in his own bullshit by saying the red bolded. That's enough to read Vivax 100% scum. The entire post is such bullshit. VIVAX IS SMART. Yet "he wonders why" or "he can't grasp" very simple stuff. This is not town Vivax
Other reason to why Vivax is scum: Show nested quote +On January 02 2015 06:47 Vivax wrote: Hi. I still have to read a fair lot but I'm currently keen on what batsnacks wrote and agree with him on LM. The post looks extremely formulaic and I have no idea why he would talk so much about Chyz when he's going for geript anyway. The first paragraph just should looks like a soup of looking agreeable but not really. You have to understand Vivax posted this on page 59. While the batsnacks thing happened on page 57. So Vivax is 2 pages behind. Yet he says this: Show nested quote +On January 02 2015 10:32 Vivax wrote: Might be I'm just bad at the game or simply cause I'm not caught up but I don't feel as strongly about lynching geript as the majority here seems to. When I asked Artanis it didn't convince me, when I looked at that geript-marv interaction it didn't click either, although it seemed to be of great importance to DrH even though his fav. lynch is still Cyhz which to me makes more sense. This is 4 hours later. HOW IS VIVAX NOT CAUGHT UP YET? Vivax is bullshitting you people. He is playing you with this entire "I am not caught up" bullshit. He is using it to not draw too much attention to him. Or that people expect him to participate in the ongoing lynch. Vivax did not touch geript immediately when entering the thread. Vivax is a town leader. Vivax is smart. Vivax is the true detective. Vivax was in this thread for multiple hours and did not touch geript. There is no excuse for a townplayer who was "contributing" to not touch geript. He quoted something from batsnacks and Lazermonkey on page 57. Everything around geript happened already. Why is he not participating in the moment? But he has time to to ask marv 2-3 times why marv wanted Vivax to come to the thread. But Vivax never does anything with marv ignoring him. Or explain why it is important. WHY is it important marv wondered if Vivax would come back? Do you think Vivax would have produced some sick meta read on marv if marv replied? Nope. It was a bullshit random question.
Show nested quote +On January 02 2015 11:54 Vivax wrote:On January 02 2015 11:49 justanothertownie wrote:On January 02 2015 11:43 DoctorHelvetica wrote: Is the whole vivax thing because he looks bad for kinda defending geript? Or is koshi gonna systematically tunnel every1 who voted chyz today No, it is because the reasoning Vivax gave was horrendous. Maybe in your opnion it's horrendous but hif it's horrendous it doesn't make me mafia and you're free to talk up to me, I've made it clear enough that I prefer the reasoning on the Chez than the reasoning on geript and I don't feel like lying about it. Mostly I just see Koshi repeating to lynch me even though I still don't know why except that I was afk during a festivity. Koshi evidently doesn't have friends to party with at NYE bwhahaha Dat adhom. Ok. Now you can die. I made it pretty obvious that my suspicion wasn't because Vivax was inactive on NYE. This is the second or third post in which Vivax says "that he doesn't understand" why people are thinking he might be scum. Even if he disagrees with the reason why people read Vivax as scum. He should at least have a grasp on why it is. Or at least question it. Look it up. But no. This game Vivax is from Barcelona and he knows nothing.
Also notice how he leaves the thread making 4-5 joke posts and making himself popular? If Vivax really was catching up this entire time, he would leave the thread with some sort of -final reads after catching up-. Or at least something concrete. Not make 5 joke posts and fuck off. Nope. Never. Vivax was lurking guys. A real not caught up Vivax who was catching up would not be posting so much in the moment stuff. He was caught up and lurking the entire time he was here.
Then comes EOD. If you look at the way Viv voted D1 he just leaves his vote on chyz and doesn't do anything. If the vote is between two towns then there is no need for him to put his vote anywhere. Other people who waste their vote..Superbia and Ritoky. Hmm
So then N1 and the main suspect of Vivax is Koshi. Who dies in the night.
When D2 rolls around the main suspect of his is JAT, who he proceeds to push on despite basically everyone telling him the push isn't very good. This fits the pattern of when under heat Viv just pushes on random townies.
Now in the day I remember being uncomfortable with the way people just voted vivax/pushed vivax and then didn't do anything but if I look at that list of people
On January 03 2015 14:26 IAmRobik wrote: ##vote: vivax
On January 03 2015 14:36 sicklucker wrote: To vote vivax or to vote gerit it is a decision but a win win.
On January 03 2015 20:35 marvellosity wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 11:30 Artanis[Xp] wrote: I find it weird how Palmar/Robik/Vivax all jumped on JAT at pretty much the same time. I have a retarded theory about that that I can only share post-night. Agreed with Marv that especially Vivax' case was reaching. Palmar's feels genuine. I remember him making a post about making no shenannies at night. Unfortunately, I'm a bad boy.
ya. they're all pretty terrible but it's a Palmar-type read so I'm eliminating him. if Robik is town I'm gonna have to adjust my expectations for him down accordingly, but it may just be possible that he's town given Vivax. 1/3 pushing jat like a weirdo seems more likely than 2-3. anyway, we need to kill vivax and not falter. 2 basic reasons 1.a different reaction to basically everyone bar DrH on Chyz 2.the terrible push on jat, particularly twisty shit like jat already demonstrated of cherrypicking his filter 3.koshi will be mad and he's a qt if you're not gonna vote vivax, you need to explain *extremely* clearly why ##vote: Vivax
On January 04 2015 00:10 justanothertownie wrote: ##Vote: Vivax
On January 04 2015 01:59 Artanis[Xp] wrote: ##Vote Vivax #Teamkoshi
On January 04 2015 02:07 VisceraEyes wrote: Vivax your D1 scumhunting method can be categorized as "hands-off". For this reason, I VOTE THEE!
This array of people who all vote/push on Vivax , they are basically all town. In which case the pressure on him d2 isn't from a scum perspective and it is likely that a whole bunch of town actually found the mafia yet the pressure got away from him
Incidentally someone who doesn't want to vote him..
On January 03 2015 22:41 Lazermonkey wrote: My objection to kill Vivax at this point is that he is still refusing to talk about all other lynch targets and keeps on defending himself and/or pushes for people who aren't getting lynched this decade. Couldn't scum Vivax try to hop on some easy target instead of Eden/jat?
Though I don't think this is a super strong argument for Vivax either since it still would mean his town play is garbage.
Anyway so he pressures JAT with a poor argument then EOD2 happens. If we look at the votes.
On January 05 2015 14:12 Alakaslam wrote:I Count this vote sons Vivax (3): IAmRobik, marvellosity, Palmar, justanothertownie, artanis[xP], VisceraEyes, DoctorHelvetica, Sicklucker, geript, ritoky Superbia (4): artanis[xP], sicklucker, Damdred, Artanis[XP], sicklucker, marvellosity, justanothertownie IAmRobik (1): geript, Superbia sicklucker (0): ritoky, superbiaTheChyz (0): Palmargeript (6): Vivax, Artanis[xP], DoctorHelvetica, Lazermonkey, palmar, VisceraEyes, justanothertownie, Artanis[XP] Geript is lynched. Deadline is in
We see in these votes that we have 3 real options. Geript,Vivax and super. Now end of day there is not quite enough to top to Super or Vivax and once again town gets lynched. We see again that Vivax doesn't want the lynch to be him or super with this.
On January 05 2015 09:25 Vivax wrote:If we shenannie we shenannie onto Robik, like Palmar wants, and cause of this: Currently rereading geript as I tend to second guess myself as deadline approaches, but the part where he doesn't put Chyz into his PoE no-lynch-pool just looks too bad for my taste. He doesn't argue by scumreading people for reasons, he argues by townreading some with reasons and scumreadin the rest. But he found a reason to townread TheChyz previously and somehow decided to simply not talk about him again and try to put him into the townpile with his former reasoning. Instead he just throws away his opinion of him being town which he had during D1 with no mention why.
Ok n3. Vivax goes back to his usual strategy of attacking towns when under pressure and goes after Robik, you know the cop. This time we hit on superbia. The votes are interesting we have 2 mafia wagons and where does Vivax park his vote
On January 08 2015 06:26 Vivax wrote: ##Unvote ##Vote Siclucker
Again a total and complete waste.
Alright so then we have an auto day where we end up lynching Ritoky and finally we come to the day we lynch palmar.
Let's look at this post from me
On January 14 2015 21:24 KelsierSC wrote:Reasons why Vivax is scum, you can see it EOD Show nested quote +On January 14 2015 11:30 Vivax wrote: Artanis, I'd lynch GB before I lynch Palmar at this point.
Although the information argument would be tempting, but I prefer to sheep DP than lynch a guy for information. I think this is a critical post Show nested quote +On January 14 2015 10:59 Vivax wrote: Artanis, if we can't get marv lynched, I'll sheep you, but I won't sheep marv, so you are not allowed to vote the same target as him. A summary He doesn't really want to lynch palmar and he scum reads GB&SL. Yet he decides to vote on the same person as his two scum reads? Then he basically gives himself a way to sheep artanis, unless artanis votes on the same person as marv...hmm I wonder who that is. oh wait it is his scum partner LM. and now apparently marv is def mafia...he doesn't give a shit about the people who just fucking voted on town. Lynch this dude We see that he apparently is "giving up his vote" but it comes with a condition, surprise m surprise the condition means that viv doesn't have to vote on LM. This is my main point about him. Then we get to the night and all of a sudden he has his amazing theory of me/LM/Marv. I already explain why bussing is terrible.
On January 15 2015 10:24 KelsierSC wrote: So just to Math this out.
In this situation where a town got mislynched. Tomorrow its 5 vs 3 and mafia can win that day with a mislynch.
If lazer was lynched yesterday and he is mafia. Then tomorrow it is 6 town vs 2 mafia. If mislynch then it goes to 4 town and 2 mafia and mafia will require another mislynch and a day to win the game.
If you want to explain why mafia adds an extra day and tries to get 2 mislynches in a row with less people then go ahead.
And his main reason for pushing me is because I townread Superbia d3, despite giving all my legitimate reasons for doing so. No push on GB his old scum read.
Then when we both want to lynch LM, he suddenly decides he would lynch me over LM despite this being a terrible play. We can clearly see Vivax going for the mafia win today.
As a final point I want to point to this.
On January 14 2015 10:10 KelsierSC wrote:So just did this to help me out in my brain. Essentially if you have a red that person scum read you before they died. , if you have a green that person town read you before they died. If you feel that I didn't put a read on then that is ok. I haven't included replacements because I just don't count their reads Artanis being universally town read means that his reads will give a +/- 1 either way when he gives his list. To me there is no way that SL is mafia in this game. we have to lynch vivax at some point.
For vivax to be town and me to be mafia, the 4 confirmed town all have to be wrong on vivax and of those JAT and Robik have to be wrong on me aswell.
Sorry if this is long and wordy but this should be enough to convince you vivax is mafia alongside LM
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Edit *because I townread SL d3
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So hes a thought about vivax. He played so poorly and pushed by so many towns. Did mafia never hammer him? Is he just playing a really tryhard game artanis?
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