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On January 03 2015 11:29 IAmRobik wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 11:28 DoctorHelvetica wrote:On January 03 2015 11:26 IAmRobik wrote:On January 03 2015 06:19 sicklucker wrote: Name a few people who should be checked. This is an interesting question and one of the only reasons I'm not jumping on the "lets kill SL immediately" train Why Cause it's an interesting question which I thought about posing earlier and it shows that he's thinking about the game and that he might be the cop -.- I thought of it too but I think the cop is pretty useless until millers and the framer start dying. It feels more like pointless filler at this point.
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On January 03 2015 11:29 IAmRobik wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 11:28 DoctorHelvetica wrote:On January 03 2015 11:26 IAmRobik wrote:On January 03 2015 06:19 sicklucker wrote: Name a few people who should be checked. This is an interesting question and one of the only reasons I'm not jumping on the "lets kill SL immediately" train Why Cause it's an interesting question which I thought about posing earlier and it shows that he's thinking about the game and that he might be the cop -.-
A big NOPE to this post
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Artanis, I'll point it out tomorrow and make a case on why he's scum. I am on my phone and quoting is no fun and neither is filter diving. It's possible I'm wrong on him and everything else. Whatevs
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On January 03 2015 11:31 Artanis[Xp] wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 11:29 IAmRobik wrote:On January 03 2015 11:28 DoctorHelvetica wrote:On January 03 2015 11:26 IAmRobik wrote:On January 03 2015 06:19 sicklucker wrote: Name a few people who should be checked. This is an interesting question and one of the only reasons I'm not jumping on the "lets kill SL immediately" train Why Cause it's an interesting question which I thought about posing earlier and it shows that he's thinking about the game and that he might be the cop -.- I thought of it too but I think the cop is pretty useless until millers and the framer start dying. It feels more like pointless filler at this point. I mean, checking marv seems dumb cause he will be framed regardless or alignment. Maybe they'll frame geript. I think getting green checks on people the cop TRs who will be alive for a long time is probably the right strat in this game.
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On January 03 2015 11:30 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Is there a reason for scum Geript not wanting to lynch Bats though? It's just weird, not alignment indicative. No clue. It's why I wish he would answer this question so I could stop having to think about it. It's not alignment-indicative in itself but it basically leaves him in my lynch pile until he says something I can actually believe.
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On January 03 2015 11:08 Eden1892 wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 11:04 Lazermonkey wrote: Wait a minute, if SL is scum then geript kinda has to be as well. Why the fuck would he do that retarded vote switch otherwise? I still have reservations about sicklucker. His 4 town reads thing actually checks out pretty good if you read carefully. That's why I took time to ask him specifically about Artanis -- he very clearly said well before any of me/Damdred/Doc switched to batsnacks that he townread all of us, and while he didn't explicitly say as much with Artanis, his answer checked out when I questioned him on that earlier. "Biggest" townreads might have been a stretch, but if sicklucker is mafia and voted batsnacks to save geript, that's one rather powerful act of divine providence to have 4 people he had previously called town all decide to kill a townie over his partner in the last hour of the game to give him a plausible excuse.
This is why im not the kill. Lynch me later if I dont scum hunt but you have nothing now. Im not the first person to sheep my entire town circle in a last minute change before.
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On January 03 2015 09:14 Lazermonkey wrote: Not finished reading so prehaps someone already picked up on this. Anyway, take a look at Damdreds filter after the lynch. I think its really wierd to the point where I think its scummy. I feel the targets he is trying to push have been wierd and get the feeling that he is posting more to seem to be contributing than actually trying to figure out scum.
First, he talks about how he needs to get some sort of meta read on Superbia because he seems to see a connection. He then makes two posts about how he is looking at various games and then comes back with the conclusion that no connection was found. Why is it that he needs to SAY this in thread? Couldn't you just look it up and comment later on if he finds something interesting.
Then he talks about how SL and Eden looked bad but also that DH looked wierd. Maybe its just me but its seems really wierd that he proceeds to post more about DH than about SL and Eden. I have a hard time to understand WHY you would choose to focus DH here instead of SL or Eden.
I'm still catching up from work but I just had to stop at this post to correct what is being said.
The second post shows that hes not really reading my filter since I explained twice at least to the thread. Koshi asked me what I found similar and to show what games I looked at, I took the time went to all of the documented games and showed what I looked at. Because I said something and was asked in response some questions that I delivered on.
The last point however I think isa misrepresentation of what I said
+ Show Spoiler +On January 03 2015 03:35 Damdred wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 03:30 KelsierSC wrote:On January 03 2015 03:18 Damdred wrote: Ok i've went over the games of superbia, the two newbie games, fanfic and two mafia games ffl2 and 2p2. (And ate some yummy chinese)
My initial premise is incorrect when I go over the other games.
After some consideration I decided to throw out ffl2 for a couple of reasons, it was not normal for superbia in the sense that he replaced in during the night phase of d1 after batsnacks had gotten lynched for being unrememberable and a few other things (bats was scum here) and had a good many pages to catch up on. Rayn got killed during the night and robik and myself got mod killed (I was mafia) so super really did not have time to spam up the game in any way.
In the newbie games and fanfic it was about the same length, mostly consisting on one liners and some insightful thoughts. Usually came out to 3 pages or so a day besides the 2nd newbie where he averaged 4 pages or so. Which is right in line with his town play but always put his thoughs out their from what i read.
I did notice that even in the game i think isn't good for analysis amount of posts that super likes to bus a bit and make list posts that generally are scum reading all the team mates so if we lynch superbia at any point and he flips scum ritoky is a good place to look, but now isn't the time for associative reads.
The other thing was that besides ffl2 the posting was about on the same pace as the town games but mostly going with the flow.
Soon as super starts posting more I can determine better but I haven't seen in any games super play the lurky role. right... so whats the point? dam who are the scum who voted on bats The point is that, I told Koshi (as I said before) that I was goin to check out superbias past games and try to find if this sort of lurking and sticking votes is alignment indicative because of a past experience I had in ffl2. And I posted the results I found and I was wrong. Batsnacks (7): Justanothertownie, Eden1892, DoctorHelvetica, Artanis[XP], Damdred, sicklucker, IAmRobik These are the people who voted bats. I think that SL, Robik had the least amount of reasons to jump on bats. Some of the reasons that they posted were that they were sheeping basically. Eden and myself look the worst because we told everyone who was thinking about jumping to sit and wait for the flip. SL I think would be the scum there especially since he was the hammer vote I believe and even though he stated he wanted to hammer geript he didn't do it then sounded pretty smug after the flip.
I put a spoiler there to condense my post, the only time I mentioned Eden was that Eden and myself looked the worst for telling people to not jump and sit and wait for the flip. So its a bit of a twisting of what I said in my post. I have Eden as town, just pushing mislynches and telling people to stay makes you look bad.
It is true that I talked the most about Dr H because I got caught up in a question and went on a filter diving questioning him for a bit then I left for work. So there is that.
anyway catching up a bit and
@SL, I looked at the four documented games in he database on superbia. Only has 2 mafia games and three town games posted I believe i'm not sure what game he was mafia in that you were in if you want to link me to that one i could expand my thoughts on that a bit but otherwise I just went with what I had.
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It's terrible if he's anything other than scum. If he's scum he's doing it to potentially get a future mislynch on bats but that doesn't make sense either unless he's certain he can live through a lynch.
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United Kingdom10443 Posts
On January 03 2015 11:36 IAmRobik wrote: Artanis, I'll point it out tomorrow and make a case on why he's scum. I am on my phone and quoting is no fun and neither is filter diving. It's possible I'm wrong on him and everything else. Whatevs
lol
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SL I have no issues with the switch but I'm curious why you put Marv up in your top town list with Palmar over your previous strong townreads. What'd Marv do before that post that made you read him as strong town?
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On January 03 2015 11:30 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Plenty of decent arguments on SL but I think sicklucker's reasoning for voting with his townreads is fine. I can understand it. I've been in plenty of situations near crunch time where I was doubting a lot myself. Hell, even Dr.H switched from his strongest reads to Bats. Feels like a double standard. Yhea, but the argument is not that he was voting with his townreads but how he did it. He went from being SUUUPER confident in his geript read to voting batsnacks solely based on the fact that 4 of his town reads did that.
DH on the other hand, was clearly suspicious of batsnacks long before he actually voted him. He clearly states what he disliked about batsnacks at all times as well. I really don't think this comparison is very good.
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Also, regarding keiser, he seems to be contradicting himself a lot. He's making posts asking why I'm town and he makes a post saying that I'm playing like shit but that he TRs me. Like wtf?
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sicklucker please get back to me on this. It's really important to me:
On January 03 2015 10:52 Eden1892 wrote:Oops missed this. Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 09:47 sicklucker wrote: Yes I was confident in the original lynch. I was confident in the other one too because of who was voting OK, I'm running into a problem here. I know people have already brought this up, but I need you to go over this for me one more time. You said here that you switched your vote because you weren't confident in your d1 reads, but it seems to me that your switch is entirely because of confidence in your d1 reads, and you say as much here. Why the discrepancy between the post I linked and the post I quoted?
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I town read marv because he was the first person to understand me voting my 4 town reads is not that scummy. My first game I subbed in day 2 and was in final 3 with subia and some donkey who voted me all game. While not a total lurker sub tacticly checked out of the game at convient times. No idea what hes doing here hes probably medic actually. This is way too much lurk even for him.
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On January 03 2015 11:39 Damdred wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 09:14 Lazermonkey wrote: Not finished reading so prehaps someone already picked up on this. Anyway, take a look at Damdreds filter after the lynch. I think its really wierd to the point where I think its scummy. I feel the targets he is trying to push have been wierd and get the feeling that he is posting more to seem to be contributing than actually trying to figure out scum.
First, he talks about how he needs to get some sort of meta read on Superbia because he seems to see a connection. He then makes two posts about how he is looking at various games and then comes back with the conclusion that no connection was found. Why is it that he needs to SAY this in thread? Couldn't you just look it up and comment later on if he finds something interesting.
Then he talks about how SL and Eden looked bad but also that DH looked wierd. Maybe its just me but its seems really wierd that he proceeds to post more about DH than about SL and Eden. I have a hard time to understand WHY you would choose to focus DH here instead of SL or Eden. I'm still catching up from work but I just had to stop at this post to correct what is being said. The second post shows that hes not really reading my filter since I explained twice at least to the thread. Koshi asked me what I found similar and to show what games I looked at, I took the time went to all of the documented games and showed what I looked at. Because I said something and was asked in response some questions that I delivered on. The last point however I think isa misrepresentation of what I said + Show Spoiler +On January 03 2015 03:35 Damdred wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 03:30 KelsierSC wrote:On January 03 2015 03:18 Damdred wrote: Ok i've went over the games of superbia, the two newbie games, fanfic and two mafia games ffl2 and 2p2. (And ate some yummy chinese)
My initial premise is incorrect when I go over the other games.
After some consideration I decided to throw out ffl2 for a couple of reasons, it was not normal for superbia in the sense that he replaced in during the night phase of d1 after batsnacks had gotten lynched for being unrememberable and a few other things (bats was scum here) and had a good many pages to catch up on. Rayn got killed during the night and robik and myself got mod killed (I was mafia) so super really did not have time to spam up the game in any way.
In the newbie games and fanfic it was about the same length, mostly consisting on one liners and some insightful thoughts. Usually came out to 3 pages or so a day besides the 2nd newbie where he averaged 4 pages or so. Which is right in line with his town play but always put his thoughs out their from what i read.
I did notice that even in the game i think isn't good for analysis amount of posts that super likes to bus a bit and make list posts that generally are scum reading all the team mates so if we lynch superbia at any point and he flips scum ritoky is a good place to look, but now isn't the time for associative reads.
The other thing was that besides ffl2 the posting was about on the same pace as the town games but mostly going with the flow.
Soon as super starts posting more I can determine better but I haven't seen in any games super play the lurky role. right... so whats the point? dam who are the scum who voted on bats The point is that, I told Koshi (as I said before) that I was goin to check out superbias past games and try to find if this sort of lurking and sticking votes is alignment indicative because of a past experience I had in ffl2. And I posted the results I found and I was wrong. Batsnacks (7): Justanothertownie, Eden1892, DoctorHelvetica, Artanis[XP], Damdred, sicklucker, IAmRobik These are the people who voted bats. I think that SL, Robik had the least amount of reasons to jump on bats. Some of the reasons that they posted were that they were sheeping basically. Eden and myself look the worst because we told everyone who was thinking about jumping to sit and wait for the flip. SL I think would be the scum there especially since he was the hammer vote I believe and even though he stated he wanted to hammer geript he didn't do it then sounded pretty smug after the flip. I put a spoiler there to condense my post, the only time I mentioned Eden was that Eden and myself looked the worst for telling people to not jump and sit and wait for the flip. So its a bit of a twisting of what I said in my post. I have Eden as town, just pushing mislynches and telling people to stay makes you look bad. It is true that I talked the most about Dr H because I got caught up in a question and went on a filter diving questioning him for a bit then I left for work. So there is that. anyway catching up a bit and @SL, I looked at the four documented games in he database on superbia. Only has 2 mafia games and three town games posted I believe i'm not sure what game he was mafia in that you were in if you want to link me to that one i could expand my thoughts on that a bit but otherwise I just went with what I had. Fair enough. But my point about you focusing on DH stands, as you pointed out yourself.
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Im never very confident in any day 1 reads is more what im saying especially my own. As far as day 1 reads tho I was pretty confident
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SL, what do you think of proper cop play since you asked
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United Kingdom10443 Posts
On January 03 2015 11:41 IAmRobik wrote: Also, regarding keiser, he seems to be contradicting himself a lot. He's making posts asking why I'm town and he makes a post saying that I'm playing like shit but that he TRs me. Like wtf?
when did I ask why you are town.
you are playing like shit,
i don't town read you I dont scum read you
apparently you start palying good at some point and I am waiting for that.
If you really think I am top scum this game I just dont get you
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On January 03 2015 11:47 KelsierSC wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 11:41 IAmRobik wrote: Also, regarding keiser, he seems to be contradicting himself a lot. He's making posts asking why I'm town and he makes a post saying that I'm playing like shit but that he TRs me. Like wtf? when did I ask why you are town. you are playing like shit, i don't town read you I dont scum read you apparently you start palying good at some point and I am waiting for that. If you really think I am top scum this game I just dont get you You asked twice I believe. Once was to SL if I remember correctly
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On January 03 2015 11:41 Lazermonkey wrote:Show nested quote +On January 03 2015 11:30 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Plenty of decent arguments on SL but I think sicklucker's reasoning for voting with his townreads is fine. I can understand it. I've been in plenty of situations near crunch time where I was doubting a lot myself. Hell, even Dr.H switched from his strongest reads to Bats. Feels like a double standard. Yhea, but the argument is not that he was voting with his townreads but how he did it. He went from being SUUUPER confident in his geript read to voting batsnacks solely based on the fact that 4 of his town reads did that. DH on the other hand, was clearly suspicious of batsnacks long before he actually voted him. He clearly states what he disliked about batsnacks at all times as well. I really don't think this comparison is very good. I've done something similar once. I tunneled Vivax for a while, Vivax tunneled me and eventually I started reading Vivax strongly as town. Then Promethelax came along and made an emotional appeal on me. I hammered Vivax.
People can be influenced even from their strongest reads. Though Dr.H was suspicious of Bats, he clearly favoured a Chyz or Geript lynch as well.
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