@everyone from Newbie Mini Mafia XIV: Sorry guys, could not get the win

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ShiaoPi
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@everyone from Newbie Mini Mafia XIV: Sorry guys, could not get the win ![]() | ||
ShiaoPi
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I'll be rereading everything and post tomorrow just saying hello for now! | ||
ShiaoPi
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To me there are several people kind of suspicious: First of I am really wary of Vivax: His play seemed really solid and townielike until ange posted her case on suki. He states that he believes 100% in his townread on suki and goes to great length to try to defend him and secure the lynch on ange, when his reasons to vote her were only lurking. It does seem scummy as we all know that suki flipped scum. On the other hand his tunneling could also be a sign of bad townie, I am kind of torn about him, what really strikes me out is that he does not seem to want to face the critique which is for sure going to come his way at Day 2, but on the other hand going by the first half of day 1 and his playstyle it could just as well be a bad townie. eishi_ki is slightly suspicious, he kind of lurked (although with RL complications, so not making a fuss out of it) but what struck me was the soft-defense suki gave him: + Show Spoiler + In any case, I don't think Eishi is scum, but he hasn't contributed that much to the thread as of yet. and I wasn't piling suspicion on Eishi_ki. Eishi was under fire by Cattivik, so I was posting my read on him, and my read was that, based on his posts thus far, Eishi had not contributed anything, but I did not feel he was scum. This makes it slightly suspicious, especially as these posts came before he came under pressure prior to lynch. Superouman: I guess everybody can agree that he is a huge mystery right now, wishy-washy non-committal posts, refusal to play according to win-con and a random vote on sciberbia. Until he starts posting again not much to make of, but seriously this guy is sooo confusing. Xatalos would be my last on this list of kind of suspicion. He seemed to take quite a good moderating role on in day 1 directing discussion etc. But the content within his posts is not too much if you look at them closely. Furthermore in the phase just before lynch he presses really hard for a lynch on unforgiven, given the fact that suki flipped scum it could have been a deflecting manoveur, this would kind of link him up with heist , but heist reads as pretty townie to me. | ||
ShiaoPi
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ShiaoPi
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On June 03 2012 07:19 Vivax wrote: And guess who his case was: heist. -_- That is something to consider but also keep in mind that everyone should read through the case and form his own opinion. He is dead which makes him a confirmed townie, but not everything he said should be taken for granted as that is trying to decipher Mafia's intentions which ends in WIFOM | ||
ShiaoPi
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The first topic of the case depends heavily on the town-read solstice got from Vivax. Furthermore it is worth to note that heist's suspicions of Vivax stem from his "100%-townread" he got on sciberbia. This is something which seems highly suspicious to me as well. I do not deny that sciberbia is a high townread for me too, but NOBODY is confirmed town until the flip. Naturally you can put that on a case of bad townie, but still it is weird. I can understand why he kind of tunnels Vivax from this point on. Furthermore it deals with his general playstyle in the first half of day 1. I do not see inconsistencies there. He scumhunts Vivax and (to a lesser degree) Unforgiven as well as pointing out the totally useless guy in superouman. Solstice's case continues with the lynch: He claims to see inconsistency and scummotivation in his play. I frankly said do not agree. Heist enters as soon as ange returns and wants to see more from her (like pretty much everyone) and then plays the waiting game. Unforgiven does weird posts in that time so I can see him jumping on him as he was suspicious of him anyway. His voting pattern seems pretty clear. His vote on superouman was part-pressure, part-incentive for other people to vote him off instead of ange, as he switches he simply goes to unforgiven as his next best scumread. He even states that he does not vote for suki as he reads as town to him, his "yelling" at vivax is something totally conceivable, take a look at vivax' post it screams stupidity he still does not believe that suki is scum but votes him anyway?! The so called "uselessness" of the counter-case on unforgiven can be put into doubt from my point of view. Until suki's flip everyone had reservations of unforgiven due to his play and therer was momentum building on it as well. And his "late" voting can be explained that he simply did not believe suki is scum, which he stated several times. He stuck by his reads, which seems okay to me. So much for my townread on heist. | ||
ShiaoPi
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I can actually agree with a lot of that and Vivax' behaviour just before the lynch and after it until now really do not translate as townie to me...You all seem to have a high townread on Vivax, mind elaborating why? I really do not share that sentiment. | ||
ShiaoPi
TAIWAN NUMBAH WAN5955 Posts
![]() While we are discussing our lynchtarget come the next deadline we obviously have vivax/heist/Xatalos on the list right now. I would also consider our resident lurkers eishi and superouman. Both have not contributed much yet and superouman has disappeared completely after his wtf-vote on sciberbia... If you two are here, gogo start posting! | ||
ShiaoPi
TAIWAN NUMBAH WAN5955 Posts
Let's start of with an overview of suki's filter, who is confirmed scum: I already pointed out that he soft-defends eishi, which coupled with his absence makes me suspicious of him. He also went against vivax a bit before dropping it and strongly pushed on unforgiven, while keeping his suspicions on Milton. This is in summary his interactions with the thread. In my mind (as vivax reads as a possible scum) it involves a slight bus on vivax and some bits of taking off pressure of eishi. Coupling it with pushing the two people who were most in doubt (besides lurkers) at the beginning of day 1. If you now take a look at vivax's filter, I encourage you all to take a good look on Ange's case against him. There are a lot of good points in there and I'll add some more (while repeating others) in order to: -Weirdness of seeing sciberbia as confirmed town, simply by virtue of posting first -Flawed logic in regards of scum-attributes (activity=town, lurking=scum). Although there is some merit to it he takes it to ridiculous extremes and keeps mentioning it. -The entire all-out-defense of suki screams scum in regards of the flip. But what is even weirder is his last votepost. He switches from ange to suki, although he is 100% sure that suki is town. Can anyone explain that logic to me? If you claim to have a sure read, stick with it. It just makes him look ridiculously bad, why go to such lengths to defend him and then just drop it, when you see that he will get lynched. Reads to me as trying to distance yourself last minute from your scumbuddy. -Vivax's actions since the lynch was to state, that he will ignore any accusations in regards of his defense of suki and some bandwagoning on heist after solstice stated his suspicions. Oh and he also calls out a lurker (me in that case), who just got replaced. Pretty safe bet don't you think? Also his refusal to explain himself is outright retarded. As a townie why wouldn't I try to explain myself? Even his direct defense post to ange's case is weird: + Show Spoiler + On June 03 2012 08:14 Vivax wrote: + Show Spoiler + On June 03 2012 07:00 Ange777 wrote: 3. TLDR I think Vivax is scum because: - His best argument in hunting scum has repeatedly been lurking=scum, active=town. Very flawed logic! Maybe to show that by his own standard and his own high activity he should be considered town? - He only made "safe" cases until now. Case against Eishi was easy to start, so was his case against me and now heist, Golden/ShiaoPi - When arguing with him about Suki, he never once talked about the content of Suki's post but always emphasized that my lurking play hurt town and therefore I should be lynched - Even without once explaining his Suki town read he defended Suki till the end and only switched when there was no chance of getting me lynched - Odd posts implying that one should not lynch him as he is townie (without being in danger), odd post of claiming I can't flip blue, a lot of flawed logic (two mafia can't vote each other), .... I know that right now it might look like I am tunneling Vivax but he IS my top scum read. There might be a 1% chance of him playing an awful awful town play but I just can't see it. If Vivax you seriously want to convince me of you being town, then please start defending yourself. (Good chance I missed something in my post as I was really crammed for time when typing this! Please bear that in mind and read Vivax' filter yourself!) Unforgiven's play still doesn't strike me as townie even though he sided with the right vote .... don't know what to do with that right now. And please don't forget the lurkers! Argument 1: Yes, I should have totally ignored the lurkers and let them lurk to not force them to post something which might give us reads on them, that's an awesome idea for early game town. The lurker lynching policy is general consensus here, as you might have noticed before your arrival. Now that pretty much everyone has posted something, you know that it's cause there are people favoring lurker lynches. Argument 2: Case against Eishi was the least supported case there has been so far, the only one stirring distrust against him was suki initially, but then he told me to put him and sciberbia aside to talk about other players. Suki kept pushing cases against me more heavily than against Eishi_Ki. The case against you wasn't safe either. There are enough inconsistencies in your play, one of them being you suspecting unforgiven but supporting his case (I think Milton disagreed and mentioned that it might have been bussing by unforgiven_ve, but so early?No way. you said I should look at the times of the posts, I did that: + Show Spoiler + On June 02 2012 06:25 Ange777 wrote: What exactly is your so-called scumtell? That I side with Unforgiven on the case against Suki? If you read correctly, I changed my opinion on Unforgiven after his recent posts and only after my case on Suki. I don't understand the problem. On June 02 2012 06:19 Ange777 wrote: I would consolidate on a Unforgiven lynch as I have posted my concerns about his recent play. Still I believe Suki to be more scummy. On June 02 2012 06:16 Ange777 wrote: Would you mind explaining who is deflecting attention away from me? I think I made a pretty good case and took a clear stance in my gameplay, that is why people are switching their votes off of me and start voting Suki or Unforgiven. Yes, Suki was active for a far longer way than me but activity alone should not be a reason to not suspect someone or not lynch someone. You never discharged unforgiven, and that's where I saw the lie, especially given the close posting times contradicting themselves so clearly. Argument 3: Indeed, I wanted to lynch you for the sudden appearance throwing FoS at active townies after the votes on you started, and just then. You had the worst possible timing to appear, by your own choice to focus on the other game, you acknowledged the points that the behavior was bad for the town, so I don't see how the lynching shouldn't have been justified. Argument 4: What's suspicious about switching when I'm trying by all means to get a day1 lynch? I was last to vote before heist. This is an argument like argument 1, every townie here would have voted for suki to get the day 1 lynch, Eishi was afk, so was Golden, and suki just remained silent while I was unfortunately defending him already. tl dr ; At the moment you are blind to the scumreads that suki's death offers. You didn't even adress the two posts I've made about heists and golden based on sukis' stances in connection with them, and that together with the guy who just got killed. S0lstice was ready to push the case along with me, and he's the least suspected townie here. Why should I kill the guy who's gonna support me in the case on heist and formerly Golden, the case I'm pushing with strong reads? After a mafias' death, you first analyze their filter, then you might start attacking those who defended the dead mafia, and only bad mafia would defend their teammate directly (instead of deflecting to other players), the chain reaction after flipping mafia is obvious, so the defenders might be noob or misled townies like in my case. On the other hand, I think heist and the O.Golden replacement will be screwed once i flip town in case of a lynch. They will have one more kill at their disposal however. This is all I have to say in my defense, be aware that I will ignore more accusations and just answer them with more reads from scumhunting, who are especially focused on sukis' ties. In his first paragraph he completely disregards the argument of ange about his scumhunting criteria and just goes on about lurker policy. In his 2nd he keeps up his weird logic of townies not being able to follow more than one suspicion and again does not answer to the accusation directly. 3rd paragraph is the same thing, he appears to be defending but in the end he ignored the accusation (defending suki that heavily without being able to show, where he got his townread from). This pattern continues before he finishes his defense up with a ton of WIFOM about mafia motivations. Does this really look like a solid defense to you (all the people with townreads on Vivax) ? Regarding my suspicions of eishi. It mainly stems from suki's filter and his lack of posts until now, therefore I cannot be sure about my read on him. The main points would be the interactions between him, suki and vivax. They had some slight suspicions going against each other with rather weak arguments, so it could be concluded that there might have been bussing involved. I would love to see some more posts from him though. If eishi is not scum I would tend to read Xatalos as third scumteammember now. Going through his filter there were a lot of "moderating" posts, which make him look as if he is contributing but do not have a lot of content to be honest, e.g. + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2012 21:32 Xatalos wrote: s0Lstice, I'm impressed with your recent posts (especially compared to your earlier posts). Keep up the good work. Unforgiven_ve, I'm still waiting for you to post something useful. Same with Superouman. Ange777, Suki, you two need to step up and do something. Your filters are pretty much empty. Cattivik, Eishi_Ki, could you two look outside of each other and tell some other Mafia reads? It's distractive to get succumbed into a duel, especially this early. One of you might be Mafia (probably not both), but even so, it's more useful to not just tunnel one player. sciberbia, Heist, O.Golden_ne, I also want to hear some more from you. Just before lynch on Day 1 as ange pops back into the thread he gets a heavy townvibe from her but does not vote for suki, seeing him as a townie (without explicitly stating why) and pressures hard for a lynch on unforgiven. He is actually the first to vote on unforgiven after ange dropped the FOS. His votechange was also after heist's which was number 7 to bring on the hammer (arguably the posts were 1 minute apart but I would believe it to be natural to keep hitting that F5 button so close to lynch). Also this post post-lynch is weird to me, look at the bolded part: On June 02 2012 08:15 Xatalos wrote: --snipped--- I'm not so sure about Heist. You haven't done much in the game so far, except when Suki had pressure on him. On the other hand, you were very active in the lynch discussion and focused on ensuring the lynch. I want to see you push an original case sooner rather than later. Not much to say about s0Lstice, he has been active and helpful after the suboptimal start. Not likely Mafia. All in all, I'm most concerned about Heist among us who opposed lynching Suki. But I'm also concerned about those who stayed out of the spotlight as we went closer to the deadline, such as Eishi_Ki, Miltonkram, sciberbia and Superouman. I want to hear your explanations for avoiding (or mostly avoiding) the most important event in the game so far, and I want some substance to make up for it. I'm really tired right now and I'm going to sleep. I feel confident there's enough material to find the remaining Mafia already, so I'll have to read a lot of filters when I get back. Ange777, you're pushing for Vivax, and although you were already right about Suki, I'm not convinced about Vivax at the moment. I'll have to read through his filter next to search for the signs you're seeing. He disregards the fact that he was also one of the opponent against the suki-lynch (besides the, wow I was wrong earlier) and goes on to attack heist. Also his support for the case against heist seems really weak to me. He adds a post about vivax's voteswitch as highly suspicious, which in fact it is not as vivax was simply defying logic in his vote. After heist defends himself from that argument all Xatalos has to fall back on his suspicions is the case of solstice. Bandwagoning? Maybe, conclusively said Xatalos has not contributed much and his behaviour surrounding the lynch and his follow up play right now have been off ( to me at least) and if eishi starts contributing and convincing me that he is town-aligned Xatalos is for sure number 2 on my list right after Vivax. ##Vote: Vivax | ||
ShiaoPi
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On June 04 2012 20:00 Xatalos wrote: Small correction to my previous post: then there's also Miltonkram's doubt towards me, which is an improvement over having no original opinions (with the exception of a safe lurker vote). Still, it came only after I put pressure on him, WITHOUT addressing any of my accusations. That means it's just a reactionary deflection from himself, not a genuine suspicion towards me. ShiaoPi, I agree that my initial case on Heist wasn't that strong. However, his comment on Vivax "bussing" raised so many red flags that I focused on finding additional evidence and saw some Mafia slips that weren't actual slips. s0Lstice had a good case on him, how is it suspicious to use some of the stuff s0Lstice already mentioned? As a sidenote, I addressed the lynch situation and my actions during it a bit earlier to Miltonkram. I don't know how this thread became so dead since Day 1. It's really hurting the discussion that a couple of active posters do all the talking, while the rest just stay silent. We need more contribution from almost everyone right now (with the exception of those who have now been active). I really do not understand all your reactions to the "bussing" comment from heist. Vivax took a total 180 degree turn from his 100%townie read on suki into voting him... Also I already addressed some weak points in s0lstice's case, which simply do not convince me that heist is scum. | ||
ShiaoPi
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On June 04 2012 21:53 Vivax wrote: @ Miltonkram: I'm pretty sure Xatalos is townie, simply cause he adresses suki, heist and O.Golden_ne in the last part you've quoted. I know I'm being stubborn again on my suspicions, but face it: suki never tried to rise attention towards heist, he never adressed him directly, same goes for O.Golden_ne. In his filter, if you search for the word heist, you will find it once in a part where he tries to make Eishi_Ki look suspicious based on heist's and O.Golden_ne's attacks on me, cause that makes Eishi_Ki looks bandwagon-y, which I thought too, frankly. Look for O.Golden_ne, you will get to suki's first post, where he suspects sciberbia and milton, who i both read as townie. That's it, they kept the activity between each other to a minimum, but suki pretty much adresses everyone else directly, except for the two. If that's not a safe scumtell, I don't know. @ Xatalos No, I didn't give up on my defense, I've already written it down, and my best defense atm is good offense/scumhunting. If you really look at your posts and then go through mine, you will find my defense anyway, I'm just tired of repeating it over and over when people ignore points I've already made, it's a waste of time. Also, look at suki's first post concerning miltonkram and you'll know that it's nonsense to think miltonkram might not be town. To me, it looks like you're too focused on the last posts and making the same mistake as Ange777. There are so many early posts from a confirmed mafia which hold so much more information, yet you prefer to look in a stage where every post is hard to contextualize. This is a point I've been making the entire time, and I would bet that everyone would agree on the logic. It's choosing the safe over the unsafe method, which you are not doing since you even suspect miltonkram when suki's first post disproves him being mafia. And ShiaoPi doesn't even consider heist being mafia, wtf? There's so much evidence, you simply ignore it to push a case against me? Also, i prefer to not go through your offensive posts. Calling someone stupid and retarded isn't a good way to make reads, but I think the host might remind you of that at some point. My list of scum remains the same: heist, ShiaoPi ##Vote heist I stated my reasons for my townread on heist, I also adressed all the cases against him and they simply do not convince me, heist's actions can also be explained by townmotivation, something which I am severely doubting from your side. Just for the record I was calling your logic retarded/stupid not you, if you take offense from that I apologize, but in those phrases you can find my not-understanding of your viewpoint. Furthermore I have stated already that my cases have been based mostly from suki's filter. Whom he accused, whom he defended. It is much more telling than a fact of no-interaction in my opinion. And again you just disregard critique of you completely, if you would take your time to really write up a solid defense I might be inclined to believe you but your squirming under pressure just screams scum to me. My vote stays. | ||
ShiaoPi
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ShiaoPi
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On June 05 2012 01:27 Vivax wrote: Regarding suki: How is the reasoning odd? Suki posted more, that's all. What made me so suspicious about Ange777 is her timing when she posted something substantial for the first time. Read on. Ange: Look at Ange's posts before her comeback, she even announced she would contribute and didn't do so until there was a real danger of being lynched cause town was about to lynch the most lurking person in that game. Here she suddenly appeared, saying that we might hit blue as only inital defense, and apologized for the absence saying what kept her busy. Then I was just pretty sure that it's mafia behavior to be silent all game and just show up when you're about to get killed, throwing accusations at three different players (me, unforgiven and suki). I was fearing that through town's confusion it wouldn't come to a day 1 lynch, so I preferred to stick with my initial target cause I believed it was more likely to get a lynch on Ange777. It was Xatalos who made the first vote on her, I was third after miltonkram. You are making such a big deal out of the fact that I believed that suki was town, most of the town did (except for Eishi_Ki and unforgiven and later Ange777). She admitted having a bad impact on that game with the sudden return reading scum to me. Town was about to set the vote, and I didn't want to vote for someone I didn't believe to be mafia unless it was the only possible way to get a Day 1 lynch, which I announced from the beginning. Then heist: Wtf, you mention what you believe without even saying what should be wrong about that scumslip, he says he doesn't believe suki to be mafia and 12 minutes later he contradicts himself by saying it looks like I'm bussing. Also, bad redefinition, my entire response was: 'Your word choice is strange cause it contradicts your official beliefs'. Also, you completely ignore the time of the post, i posted that before s0lstice died, but you say I use that to push after s0lstice's death. I understand you don't have a good overview of my actions cause you just joined the game, but you should really read everything if you plan on going for such accusations of single players. You will find all kind of suspicious things about other players if you go with the premise that they are guilty and look close enough. Eishi_Ki: Contributing and boost my filter? You realize I was the first to push the case and barely anyone believed Eishi to be scum? How exactly should that help me as mafia? Taking a hard stance?Going against the grain? None of these helps mafia. Eishi joined in against me after two posts from heist and O.Golden, accusing me for townreading sciberbia too early. Now that you know that sciberbia is town with very high probability, why should I defend him as mafia? Townreading him actually was against the mafia's interest, as you see with suki's next post doubting my read. Then heist and O.Golden attacked me. I do not understand this post. You keep trying to discredit ange, you keep to your flawed logic in regards of scum-criteria to explain your read on suki (who was not that active anyway) and nobody was as "sure" as you that suki was town, that is the thing standing out not that others had a townread on him as well. Regarding your paragraph about heist: I still do not see a "scumslip" in that particular single post. And your response cannot really be counted as "pushing" a case. You actively started to pursue heist only after solstice's post after the lynch. You will have to do better than that to convince me of your innocence. What about actually looking at the cases against you and try to explain your stances and actions in regards to them instead of just random mudthrowing? | ||
ShiaoPi
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If superouman fails to vote, will we get another replacement or a modkill? | ||
ShiaoPi
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On June 05 2012 04:22 Vivax wrote: Show nested quote + On June 05 2012 03:04 austinmcc wrote: He's NOT misusing that term though if he's saying what he seems to be saying. That it is a bad idea to vote for someone you think is town. If making a comment about X bussing Y when you think Y is town is a scumslip, then what should we make of actively placing your vote on Y when you think Y is town? If you read it this way, it makes sense and it looks plenty townie. He's calling Vivax out on voting a townread, and then giving a possible explanation for Vivax's behavior. In all honesty, while some may find the last sentence of his post scummy, I'm more inclined to focus on the first couple sentences, where he's reprimanding Vivax for voting a townread. I placed the vote on Y cause we needed a day 1 lynch and there were two votes left, in the end those were from me and heist as last vote. I could have kept suki alive if I wanted to. And i could have voted after heist. I know my defense of suki looks scummy, but no mafia would defend one of theirs directly, then vote for them and reveal the information. It's a loss-loss situation for scum. Show nested quote + I'll just play the scenario through with the assumption i'm scum: I could have defended suki, then stop the lynch, get a night 1 kill and 1 more day to try and get another lynch target than us two. Heist wouldn't have voted for him anyway without my vote. His main suspect was superouman at that point, so he was playing into my hands. Instead I decided to get him killed, not just bussing one of my faction, but also ensuring that all would suspect me upon that. Then I would try to incriminate heist and O.Golden, alongside with s0lstice, just to decide and get him killed, my ally in these cases??? S0lstice would have helped me push the case further and i would have been able to deflect attention from me, and then me and another mafioso just kill him? GG Mafia Could you please stop with WIFOM and defend yourself instead? | ||
ShiaoPi
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Some minor stuff on heist is especially his lastpost, he claims to add more to the case on vivax, but it is pretty much sheeping what was outlined in ange's huge case. The other thing would be the voting pattern prior day1lynch, but I believe Xatalos more fishy in that regard as he was the first to switch to unforgiven while agreeing with ange. If you only look at vivax' first half of day 1 it actually reads as pretty townie, but come the lynch-discussion he just goes totally off the charts. So maybe there is a slight chance of him being a bad townie. | ||
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