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TL Mafia LII: JubJub Mafia

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 09 2012 16:30 GMT
#107
/in

I have less time than usual though so don't expect spam posting Curu!
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 09 2012 21:35 GMT
#112
Well your view is that the daygame is the most important, all the special Mafia powers besides Flip Hider only affect nightgame anyways.

More reason not to rely on blues to win the game!
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 11 2012 20:43 GMT
#211
I wouldn't mind a jaybrundage lynch right about now.

I would suggest everyone keeping at least 1 PM target unused for now so if we get a confirmed Townie we can set up a Town circlejerk.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 11 2012 21:38 GMT
#214
It was instrumental to Town winning PYP:I and has played a big role in almost all PM-enabled games. Once you get several competent Town players to form a circle where they can coordinate and bounce ideas off each other Town becomes exponentially more productive.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 11 2012 22:04 GMT
#217
lol you are asking him if an idea he proposed is something he believes in. Pretty pointless question. Ultimately no one is going to listen to any convoluted plans we make for PMs anyways so discussing it too in depth is pretty useless. Towns have proven time and time again that they refuse to be part of a complex majority-driven plan, believing that how they personally choose to use their roles/PMs/whatever is the right way. And in a way I agree, the effort and time wasted trying to set up these plans that have little merit anyways usually fail. We can make general suggestions and tips on how we think the PM system's benefits can be maximized but trying to establish and enforce something strict and complex is a waste of time.

I agree with your idea of lynching jaybrundage though layabout but could you give your reasoning behind it?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 11 2012 22:16 GMT
#219
Role Reverser: does this last only one cycle? Or for one action? Or is it permanent?
Hide Flip: Can this be used on lynch targets? Is there a period of time in which the target must die after use of the ability in order for his flip to be hidden or, once designated, does the target, regardless of whatever time they die, have their flip hidden no matter what?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 11 2012 23:19 GMT
#229
I wish you'd waited a bit longer to post a real case to get some more information but I agree with Caller here, albeit for different reasons.

Take a look at how Town Jackal posts:
+ Show Spoiler [Town Jackal] +
On February 21 2012 11:42 Jackal58 wrote:
Dear redFF and WBG
You both suck.
Sincerely,
Jackal58



On February 22 2012 04:19 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 22 2012 03:44 layabout wrote:
On February 22 2012 02:39 Dirkzor wrote:
I'll give my honest opinion so far...

I can't wrap my head around this game. Right now I not certain of anything and thus is posting meek and useless shit. I know this. Been reading through filters but nothing really stands out to me (other then the stuff i posted earlier). I went to bed just as the games started last night and woke up to 8 pages of mudslinging.

If I had to point at one player to lynch it would be chaoser. His post are just a wee bit to "jumping whoever everyone else think is scum" for me. He seems overly defensAive. Can't make a real case since I'm at work.

I honestly cannot beleive that we are a good 20 hours into the game and you have not even found 3+ scum. These excuses are beyond weak, and are far from what i have come to expect from Dirkzor the townie.

In other news if anyone has any more shit to fling i would ask that you hold it like a man, or fling it quick so that we can clean ourselves up and catch scum.

I am curious about Jackals apparent attempt to "start a bandwagon" by calling toad scum and not elaborating. For me the the town motivation for doing that would be to provoke reactions from players that he could analyse and perhaps find scum. For instance if somebody were to sheep him for no real reason, they would be more likely to be scum (since a townie shouldn't do that but getting away with a sheep vote would be good for mafia). I think that such an action is unnecessary as town but beneficial as Mafia.

My problem with this play is that + Show Spoiler +
I hate calling people scum for no reason, since it can convince players that people are mafia despite the complete absence of evidence.

It is comparable to publicly announcing your town reads on day1, giving mafia additional reasons to shoot at players that you think are town or exploit your read(s) to manipulate you

He could have been trying to get Toad lynched based off of nothing, by attempting to create a dumb bandwagon when the game had barely begun. This is all jackal has done (although we are not far in and he has a tendency to lurk) other than add to the childish bickering/insult hurling so far.

People expect me to tunnel on day 1. So why not through some shit against the wall and see what sticks? And I made no attempt to start any thing. I called Toad scum and gave no reasons for it. I never voted him. I never made a case on him.
I threw some shit against the wall. Some stuck to redFF.



On March 02 2012 09:33 Jackal58 wrote:
Didn't realize this had started.




Show nested quote +
On March 02 2012 09:19 deconduo wrote:
On March 02 2012 02:09 Paperscraps wrote:
Probulous is town
Palmar is null
rg is town

deconduo is scum for his horrible reads so far

Vote: deconduo


Scumslip much? I might have bad reads, but the only way you could know they were bad is if you're scum. Especially seeing as neither read was about you.

On March 02 2012 06:45 Probulous wrote:
On March 02 2012 01:18 deconduo wrote:
On March 02 2012 01:14 Palmar wrote:
There is nothing wrong with making a list, you guys are insane.


Do you want me to show you how often scum make pointless lists in games? Its the most obvious filler you can make, because it a massive important looking post that adds absolutely nothing to the game.

On March 02 2012 01:15 Palmar wrote:
On March 02 2012 01:14 deconduo wrote:
On March 02 2012 01:12 Palmar wrote:
I think that analysis is surprisingly bad deconduo. Why is it so bad? Can you explain that to me?


Dunno I'm going through filters so I might be missing the order in which things were posted. I'm just reading the game for the first time now.


So you agree it's bad?


No, I have no idea why YOU think its bad.


Decon, are you seriously saying that my list was the only thing I contributed to this game? Because that is the only way it could be used to drive an agenda. To make it look like I was contributing while actually posting nothing. Well so far I pointed out Pandain's scummy attempt to undermine me, Palmar's "scumslip" (I don't believe it, just needed a response) and I had the discussion with Misder which convinced you he was scum. How can you cast suspicion on me for hiding?

It should be clear to everyone that the list was made early game to help people be aware of timezones. That is all. How that is scummy I will never know.


I never said the list was the only thing you contributed, I said the complete opposite. The list didn't contribute, which is why I found it scummy. Compared to your other posts it stands out. Everyone who's played mafia before understands that people are in different timezones, and even people in the same country can be on at different times. After Adam posted this:

On March 01 2012 12:29 Adam4167 wrote:
3:30am in Iceland and Ireland right now, probably a bit hopeful that Palmar and deconduo are on. The other two may be around, depending on which US states they're in.

Welcome back Misder, second wiggles game for both of us. If you're town again, do you plan on playing out the whole game this time?


There was no need for your post, as it added nothing to the game. However your posting since has been good, so I'm not as suspicious of you anymore. I think you are wrong about teacup though.


I rarely agree with Decon but when I do we lynch scum.



On March 02 2012 10:14 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 02 2012 10:02 deconduo wrote:
On March 02 2012 09:53 Jackal58 wrote:
On March 02 2012 09:44 Probulous wrote:
I have magic powers! I summon a Jackal and here he appears

Seriously though just for clarity's sake, what exactly do you agree with from deconduo? That paperscraps is scum?

Yes and also that your location list serves no purpose. And no, sorry, you have no magic powers.


What do you think of misder, for a vet his posts have been pretty lacklustre.

He's picking a fight over an issue that really has no bearing on the game. I've seen other scum do that before. Choose a side on a LaL or lurker argument and beat it to death. Oh wait, that was you!
I'd have no problem lynching either of them.



On August 18 2011 04:06 Jackal58 wrote:
My vote is on you Nisani and it's not coming off this time. You can fucking claim to be the goddamned Pope if you want to.



On August 18 2011 21:14 Jackal58 wrote:
No mystery at all. The only thing you'll be checking is your shorts.



On September 08 2011 10:11 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 08 2011 08:10 sandroba wrote:
Also let's get to posting people, more than half the players in this game are completely inactive. Unfortunatelly we have no info on the setup, so I don't think discussion on roles will take us anywhere as of now. Let me just say that if I think you are good and you start making ridiculous acusations and being unreasonable you will not be excused =P

We're trying to read the last 2 pages without having our brains fall out. I have never seen a game start like this before.
The first 5 posts contained a vote. The next 10 were a pissing contest between a bunch of 13 year old brats. And it went down hill from there. I wish I was as good as you guys. My first post with any substance to it will be made after I've had another 12 beers. You guys won't make any sense to me until I'm damn near unconscious.



On August 14 2011 03:37 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2011 03:23 Curu wrote:
On August 14 2011 03:18 Jackal58 wrote:
I'm town


Well you just cleared whoever has the Bill Murray role as likely Town then. No way a Townie gets a win condition to get a specific Mafia lynched.

Possibility that Bill Murray a 3rd Party, but doubtful unless it's a Survivor or something.

I have no specific wincon. I win with town. I'm simply compelled to spend all my efforts into getting BM killed. I have no idea what BMs alignment is or what if any wincon he has. He must die though. I had hoped it would be quite some time before he made himself apparent. I don't like this any more than you guys do. But BM must die. Lynch him now.



Compare that to how scum Jackal posts:
+ Show Spoiler [Scum Jackal] +
On August 24 2011 02:27 Jackal58 wrote:
I never believe Palmar is a townie. At least not on day 1 or 2. Unless he starts quoting Shakespeare.
So ya Palmar made a joke at my expense. I wouldn't use that as a basis to get him killed. At least not yet anyways.



On August 24 2011 06:06 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2011 05:54 TheFerryman wrote:
On August 24 2011 05:47 Jackal58 wrote:
Who are you Smurfing for Ferryman?

Lol, not smurfing, I just actually took the time to read the guides and previous games before jumping in and playing a game.

What do you think of my accusation of wiggles? Am I off base?

If it wasn't Wiggles I'd say you're spot on. But Wiggles is the only one here that I'm aware of that has won a game as the SK before. But I also used this rationale to talk myself into believing Wiggles couldn't be scum once when the scum team was playing like 2 year old kids on Valium. I don't believe Wiggles to be the 3rd party atm. I would say Palmar has more likelihood of that but that isn't saying much right now either. If you're right kudos to you. I'd rather wait a bit and see what develops. If Mr. Wiggles is town he is probably the best player we have.



On August 25 2011 08:46 Jackal58 wrote:
If anybody ever accuses me of tunneling again I'm going to bitch slap them.
Ferryman we get it. You think Wiggles is the EH. You may very well be right. Guess what? Right now I don't care about the EH. But you sure as hell do. You are either the psych or scum. I know you have a very good grasp on how this game works. You are also on the opposite end of the brilliance spectrum from
Cyber_cheese. Put your efforts into something other than tunneling your EH suspect. Please.
I'm filtering all of you from most to least interesting so I'm going to be a while.



On December 04 2011 23:57 Jackal58 wrote:
Good morning. Role confirmed. Game on.

Random lynch on day 1 seems counterproductive to me. On day anything really. What would you perceive as a benefit to doing that Palmar?

Posting lists right out of the box about players who are likely on the scum team due to the hosts balancing reminds me a bit of Zodiac lists that have been posted in previous games. More often than not those lists were posted by scum. At least in the games I've seen them used in. You scum Palmar?

The only way to 100% establish your innocence is to die.


On December 06 2011 09:14 Jackal58 wrote:
V7 asked and I'm going to answer. Without having played in at least a dozen or more games with Palmar to date, without using meta as a tool for analysis, I would call Palmar's play so far at best - terrible. But ya I'd see him as scum.
I have a history of seeing Palmar as scum. Seems like most games if I'm not busy calling him scum he's busy calling me scum. But his ploy with you today he pulled on me just a couple games ago. However instead of killing some random person I blew him up. So ya I've seen him do this exact same thing before as town. So it is hard for me to call him scum.


Show nested quote +
On December 06 2011 08:40 Palmar wrote:
Someone is going to notice this sooner or later, so I might as well claim it anyway.

I have an extra vote, (the role name is floridian) that means the anonymous vote that will show up on the voting chart is mine. I don't see any reason as for why I should not claim this role, as an anonymous vote will probably confuse people more than it helps to keep it concealed.


Of course that was until he told us he has a vote rigging role. That's a scum role. Palmar,why does a townie have a scum role?



It's a complete difference in tone and style of posting when Jackal is Town vs when he is scum. When he's Town his posts are blindly aggressive, calling out everyone and everything he latches onto as scum whereas when he's scum his posts are much more reasonable, mild, gently probing sort of posts.

The sample size is still very small this game but the cat's out of the bag essentially. It's small things in Jackal's posts that tip it off but things such as "You have my vote sir" really read like scum Jackal.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 11 2012 23:21 GMT
#230
lol by the time I compiled all my quotes prplhz posted something along the same lines.

##Vote Jackal58
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 11 2012 23:30 GMT
#234
Guess it's just that obvious.

I haven't talked to anyone in PMs yet, no.

This is something I've had on Jackal for a while. My posts that I made in the endgame of a scum Jackal game played in December 2011:

On December 19 2011 09:57 Curu wrote:
@Jackal
Your opening posts were so cautious and careful (whereas you are like super kamikaze man when you are Town) that I was screaming at syllo that you were scum as soon as the game started. I was going to ask him to shoot you but he went with annul instead.



On December 19 2011 13:22 Curu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2011 13:05 Jackal58 wrote:
Thank you for putting the time and effort into putting this together Incognito. Unlike some of my red brethern I don't feel like we were at any extreme disadvantage. And ya the Annul claim was less than optimal. I believe I asked him "wtf are you thinking" .
A question on your analysis regarding my day 1 play - Am I really that aggressive as town?


Yes lol. Do you remember Werewolves? I was so sure you were scum because you had rabid blind aggression towards Nisani who was quite obviously Town. You flipping Town blew my mind. Likewise in Kurumi's game, you were attacking people and pushing them hard.

After seeing you attack Palmar so mildly and so timidly in this game I was sure after your first post in this game you were scum.


I wasn't in this game but I talked to syllo (a Vig in the game) and kept telling him to shoot Jackal from his first post. I don't have quite the same level of confidence in the read this game but it's close.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 02:03 GMT
#251
On March 12 2012 09:41 Jitsu wrote:
Hmmm, looking at it again, I think prphlz's reason to vote for Jackal is a much larger amount of bullshit then Caller's. For instance, you point out that he is using things such as

Show nested quote +
Instead he is pushing it in a very meek way with his "forgive me" and "sir".


That yells sarcasm to me a lot more then it screams scum.

Wiggles brings up a good point. prphlz is a player that wouldn't just happen to miss the name of someone that posted. It's almost like prphlz was waiting for Curu to post something, realized he fucked up, then tried to cover it.

It's not surprising that prphlz mistakes Curu for Caller, and then 10 minutes later, Curu ACTUALLY comes out with a small little case against Jackal as well.

Shit reeks.

##vote prphlz



Also,
LayAbout, are you still looking at jaybrundage?


Yeah great thinking there captain. The whole Mafia team decided we need to kill Jackal so we all posted about it.

Go read Werewolves I (Jackal Town), Storm Mafia (Jackal Town), then Cosmic Horror (Jackal Mafia) and TL Mafia XLVIII (Jackal Mafia). Compare the posting style between Jackal in those games. If you look at all his games actually this same style is consistent through every game without fail depending on if he rolled Town or Mafia. I tried to illustrate this with random quotes I took from a bunch of his games.

In the last game especially, using the exact same standard that's set in this game I was able to identify Jackal as Mafia from day 1. Here's the link:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=291212

It is an argument purely based on meta but on day 1 meta is one of the best indicators. If you read this game:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=266305

We also used meta to establish Palmar as scum on day 1 and get him lynched.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 02:10 GMT
#252
The votes on Mattchew are also incredibly bad. Asking questions and forcing opinions is fine on day 1 when there's nothing else to work off and his assertion that day 1 should revolve around strong meta reads is absolutely correct. There is nothing dumb about the post like Katina would have you believe, certainly nothing even close to scummy.

Sentinel's vote is even worse, there are different merits and failures for sharing/not sharing who you are PMing. Neither option is inherently pro Town or pro Mafia, wanting a lynch on him because he advised sharing who you PM with is absurd.

That said Mattchew you on board with the Jackal case? You advocated strong meta reads on day 1. This is a strong meta read on day 1 with precedents. Take a look at Jackal's games/posts and tell us what you think.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 16:21 GMT
#298
Get off Jitsu. There is no reason for Mafia to spew something stupid like that if him and Jackal are opposite alignments.

1. Jackal Town Jitsu Mafia = why protect Jackal with something dumb right now, should just go with it and let us case formers take the fall after flip

2. Jackal Town Jitsu Town = can explain his actions

3. Jackal Mafia Jitsu Town = can explain his actions

4. Jackal Mafia Jitsu Mafia = can explain his actions

There's also the possibility that Jitsu is softly setting us up for the fall afterwards but still intending a Jackal lynch to happen, which would fall under scenario 1, but that's like Ace-level scum planning so I think pretty unlikely.

It does look weird that we all came to the conclusion so simultaneously but I've provided links to posts in post-game discussion where I came to the same conclusion in a game from 4 months ago. Since the get-go I've drawn the same feeling from Jackal this game but I wanted to wait a bit to see him post more. When I saw Caller had already thrown down a case, though, I thought time was good to add in my thoughts. prplhz is someone who has also played many games with Jackal.

There are two people I would say I have played enough with enough/recognize enough signs from to call Mafia based on meta tells and those are Jackal and Palmar.

I also don't buy this "don't lynch him yet, he's a good player etc etc" there is only one person I would extend this rule to and that is Mig because he is a crushing Town player and an awful scum player. You lynch based on who you think has the highest probability to flip scum, way back in the day when I was on the scumteam we were able to pull out a dominating victory because people kept pushing "don't lynch Curu/chaoser/Mig/etc yet because they are good players (we were all scum)," ended up constantly lynching newbies and Palmar, who was the one pushing pretty hard for all 3 of us. was then killed. Palmar's cases faded from memory and we cruised through the rest of the game.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 16:23 GMT
#299
Oh to explain my decision thingy above, the situations in which Jitsu is Mafia are 1 and 4, 1 is a highly unlikely outcome so if we were to determine Jitsu scummy for a chainsaw defense for Jackal it would make more sense to flip Jackal first.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 20:38 GMT
#331
Hm, with Jackal's claim it might be best to leave him alive for now. He's claimed something that's easily confirmable. We can have Jackal shoot and either post his target in the thread right before night ends or claim in a PM to someone. If his target and Jackal are still alive that means that one of them is Mafia.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 20:46 GMT
#339
That's fine, it's a poor role to RB anyways unless they know his target. I think we should leave him for now, it's a very tough role for Mafia to fakeclaim (as opposed to something like DT) and there was no absolute guarantee he was going to be lynched.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 21:02 GMT
#344
Hold on a second.

This is a normal game.

Dreamflower does not belong in a normal game. It's a themed role.

HMMMM
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 21:06 GMT
#348


Original Message From Foolishness:
Hey, you're next in line to be hosting a normal game. This is a reminder to get your setup balanced and to get a cohost. There are two games that will be posted before yours so don't make a thread yet, I'll let you know when to do so.

Also, in case you weren't aware, I'm being very strict on what constitutes a "normal" game. Since your game is listed as normal all the roles in your game must be standard, and your game rules must be standard as well (1 or maybe 2 gimmicks is okay though). If you have any questions about what is allowed and what isn't just let me know. If it turns out your game is themed and not normal we will put you at the head of the themed queue and get your game going asap (so do not fret too much).

Let me know if you got any questions. I'm also incredibly busy over the next week so I will go ahead and pass on balancing your game if you were thinking about asking me.


PM I got from Foolishness. 1-2 gimmicks, I would say the Mafia role system is a special gimmick but my understanding of normal games is that all roles must be normal iterations with nothing too crazy.

Dreamflower has been used by the hosts in every game hosted by them so far that was themed but in their normal games Vigilantes have always been the basic version of the role without this special gimmick.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 21:12 GMT
#355
Especially in a normal game I highly doubt the role would be named Dreamflower. That was something used for the highly themed Personality Mafia and Pick Your Power Mafias, the also highly themed Responsibility Mafia had Vigilantes that were versions of Dreamflower but under different names. I really doubt Ver/Incog/Qatol would put such a themed role into a normal game.

I don't think there's any possibility of suicidal Vigilante in a normal game. Let's kill Jackal.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 21:22 GMT
#361
I'm in two minds cause I'm convinced Dreamflower is not under any way shape or form a Normal role especially with the new strict standards that govern what constitutes a Normal game. But on the other hand the claimed role still makes no sense for Mafia. The only thing I can think of is that there may be an odd number of Mafia and leaving Jackal alive for a day gives Mafia an additional KP going into the night.

If we leave Jackal alive he is going to have to shoot tonight and claim his shot right before the deadline. I'll re-read the thread to see if there's anything else that sticks out but I doubt I would like a lynch better than Jackal. Even in the offchance he is Town losing the role is not a huge loss because it's such a double sided sword. Especially given the circumstances since a rushed shot is far more likely to hit a Town (resulting in 2 anti Town KP).
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
March 12 2012 21:33 GMT
#368
I don't like this Node wagon one bit. His posts are fine and there is a super quick wagon forming on him based on pretty much nothing.
wat
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