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Newbie Mini Mafia XXX - Page 89

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Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-08 19:30:47
November 08 2012 19:29 GMT
#1761
On November 09 2012 04:04 Alsn wrote:
Anyone have any tips for just how I'm supposed to filter all my reads? I tend to always wind up at "null" or slight reads in either direction because I seem to sum up all of a players actions and then conclude "well, both scummy and townie at times! I obviously can't be too confident about either direction!".


That's a sign that you're thinking the right way. You want to be considering both town and scum motivations for players and weighing them against each other, as well as the entire context of someone's play. It's very dangerous to come to definitive conclusions early, as you can find yourself relying too much on "gut-reads" rather than substance. Well that probably didn't help at all, so I'll just talk about my own thought process a bit.

In the early game, my mentality is much the same as yours (a lot of slight reads in either direction). If I do make strong reads early (usually town reads), it's often for one of a few reasons:
1) Someone has a clear meta-tells towards their town play.
2) If I feel someone is clearly being honest, active, and open.
3) Super-activity.
4) Random townie idiosynchracies (My read on DP in GSL III is an example: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=376602&currentpage=6#107). Try and avoid these though - you pick these up with experience, and they can backfire at times (see Clothes Mini Mafia).

It's rare to have strong reads on D1, and your major decision as a townie needs to be how to narrow down your suspicions. Barring a huge scumslip by someone, here's my priority list:
1) People making logical contradictions. Tunnel them to gauge their honesty.
2) People I can't read on meta. Tunnel them to get an emotional response then decide from their defense.
3) People that haven't given me any reason to think they're town (often pure null reads). Tunnel them until they give me something to work with.
4) People that when I look at the player-list, I go "oh wait why am I not considering this player again?" Tunnel wooooo!

Basically, when in doubt, I tunnel relentlessly. The way you move a read from "null" to "town/scum" is by getting information. Tunneling is a great way to do this, and let's you gauge very important things such as a player's frustration (are they legitimately frustrated that you're tunneling an innocent guy?), openness (are they saying things they don't need to? are they responding quickly and emotionally?), honesty (what are their excuses? are they trying to dodge them? are they openly acknowledging them?), etc.

On D2 and beyond, you should have more things to work with to form some more definitive reads. If you don't, I suggest being more aggressive. If that doesn't suit your temperament, just try and pay more attention to contextual reads. Always ask yourself general questions:
1) Is this player scumhunting?
2) Is this player acting townie? (Being open/honest/engaged/showing-effort)
3) Does this player have extra info?

At least for me, when I start asking the general questions, it gives me a better way to sort out my reads on a player. All those "slightly scummy" actions are usually townie when you look at them in a broader context.

Uhhhh... let me know if that made sense.
Rambleramblerambleramble.


a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
November 08 2012 19:32 GMT
#1762
Thoughts on players

I figured I'd help Hapa and Marv out with this. Not amazing stuff on my part but a few thoughts.

Scum

1) Sylver - The most consistent problem for you was that your posts were not from a townie mindset most of the time. Here's the case I was making before I died. Take a look at the reasoning and you should be able to see what I mean

+ Show Spoiler +
Alright, so, for this case on Sylver, which I believe is a very strong one, I want to point out that I haven't gone over Clarity's actions d1 and n1 so far. That is because I believe that Sylver has scumtells(not scumslips).

1) His voting before the lynch and his reasoning

During the claim confusion, Sylver stated multiple times that he thought I was scum. when asked, he said that I was his top scum read, yet he didn't vote me. Why?

On November 05 2012 10:03 sylverfyre wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2012 10:02 debears wrote:
Didn't you say you found me more scummy than CC?

Yes, I jumped on you pretty early after your call for claim. And I still think you're bad. But everyone else is tunneling cheese so hard and there's negative time left now.


On November 05 2012 10:40 sylverfyre wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2012 10:23 Djodref wrote:
On November 05 2012 10:01 sylverfyre wrote:
My chance following cheesecake voting debears?

If cheese flips town, it's clarity or debears. Probably both.


If that is not a big scumtell

Huh? I didn't think ANYONE would follow me. And cheese voting debears basically cemented nobody following a debears lynch, regardless of what cheese true alignment was. I was starting to consider if it was wrong is all.

You seriously need to stop trying to pull up one sentence, take it out of context, and call it a scumtell. You did it last game to me too. Maybe something about my writing style? I don't know.


Alright, so because he thought CC was scum, he didn't vote me, his top scumread.

What I would like to point out is that he thought I would be scum no matter what CC flipped, yet he had his doubts about CC

About me:

On November 05 2012 09:10 sylverfyre wrote:
Scumteam Cheese Debears? Trying to call out for all VT to roleclaim... ANY kind of mass roleclaim on day 1... no. Just no. No no no no. No way is that something a townie would ask for.


On November 05 2012 09:25 sylverfyre wrote:
Well, as I said, I'm willing to vote cheese too. I think it's cheesecake debears, and that debears might be trying to get out of this by bussing CC.
##Unvote
##Vote Cheese


On CC doubts:

On November 05 2012 10:01 sylverfyre wrote:
My chance following cheesecake voting debears?

If cheese flips town, it's clarity or debears. Probably both.


Notice how, no matter what the flip for CC, I was scum. Why wouldn't he vote for the person he sure is scum?
Not reading the thread at a crucial moment

Here was another excuse for not voting me

On November 05 2012 10:00 sylverfyre wrote:
Where was my chance? O.o


This post was referring when the bandwagon flipped on me pretty quickly, pulling me and CC close.

What does this show? Sylver was not reading the thread at a moment of great confusion right before the lynch

Who wants to sort out whether CC is town or not by reading the thread carefully? Town
Who wants to act like they are paying attention but really aren't? Scum

I want to point out the end voting for everyone to see how close it was between me and CC

Mr. Cheesecake (6) - Alsn, debears, Djodref, debears, sylverfire, Clarity_nl, Obzy, Rad
Clarity_nl (0) - Djodref, debears, Obzy, Mr. Cheesecake
debears (3) - Clarity_nl, sylverfyre, da0ud, sylverfyre, Alsn, da0ud, Mr. Cheesecake, Rad, Mr. Cheesecake
Djodref (0) - sylverfyre, Mr. Cheesecake
da0ud (0) - Clarity_nl, debears, debears
sylverfyre (0) - djodref, debears, debears

Had Sylver actually voted for his top scumread, the voting would have been 5-4 CC-me. Also, consider Clarity and Alsn had considered me scummy the whole d1. A lynch of me was a very real possibility. Why wouldn't Sylver jump on it since I'm his top scumread?

Motivations
1) Town - There isn't
2) Scum - Lynch a townie (CC) in an easy, confusion lynch while being able to keep your top scumread alive, so that you can tunnel him the next day and not find a new target

Spreading Suspicion during the Lynch

A townie's top priority right before lynch is to determine whether or not the leading candidates are scum, unless they are absolutely scum, especially on d1.

What did Sylver focus on during the lynch? Spreading suspicion on me and Clarity.

He didn't even comment on CC's claim

Look at his posts in order from here. Also, look at the time difference between his posts.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16802154

Almost all of his posts mentioned me or my actions in them. That's very weird.
There's a 25 minute gap in there from his vote on CC to his next post. Isn't that weird right before lynch? What was he doing?

Notice how all his posts are painting suspicion on me and Clarity at this time. He did not know what CC was, yet he seemed to not care to find out.

A huge contradiction

I want to point out 2 back to back posts that completely contradicted each other.

On November 05 2012 10:01 sylverfyre wrote:
I'm not going to sheep a scum.


This was a response to CC's vote here:

On November 05 2012 10:01 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
##Unvote
##Vote: Debears


right there


So he is certain CC is scum right?
What did Sylver say in the exact same minute

On November 05 2012 10:01 sylverfyre wrote:
My chance following cheesecake voting debears?

If cheese flips town, it's clarity or debears. Probably both.


Wowowowowowowow. Scum alert here boys. He calls CC certain scum the second after this. Why would he all of a sudden put up a "if cc is town" scenario right before he calls CC certain scum?

Because he knows CC is town and is acting like he thinks CC is scum.


2) Clarity - You got screwed over by the extra information the blues had. However, I feel you would have been caught eventually anyways. Your day 1 wasn't horrible, but it didn't establish townieness

Instead of making posts with a bunch of reads, pick out two targets and dig up as much as you can on them. Move on if you don't find anything/you're being called out for being unreasonable.

Town

1) Djo - MVP for sure. A few things though.

1. Try to be a little more level headed early day 1 (I suppose I'm guilty of the same thing). You're attack on Cheese made me suspicious of you a little bit (luckily your reads spot on with mine = town).
2. Try not to claim so early unless you need it to get the scum lynch
3. As jk, I don't think you should have pressured clarity so hard during the night if you truly believed he was scum, considering that you coulnd't protect yourself. Don't make yourself a target as that important of a role. Luckily, they killed me so you could claim.

That said, nice reads (I believe both scum were in your d1 reads)

2) Alsn - Be more aggressive d1. Other than that, good game. You were logical, showed your analysis skills.

Also, if I were you, with your analytical skills, I wouldn't give too much respect to the scum play of others (I recall day one you kept bringing up my scum meta). Have faith that you can read active players as the game goes on. It's your strength

3) Rad - Although I thought you were scummy early on, you made some posts (a meta post on me) that showed a townie mindset. At the very least, you made yourself less scummy than the scum, so you did your job

4) Obzy - Very impressive first game! You were the first town read I had, and that didn't change the whole game. Keep it up!

5) CC - You got screwed over, but it happens. Be more aggressive

6) Dau0d - You were showing a townie mindset when you were active. If you could have found more time to invest, I feel you would have been much more townie

debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
November 08 2012 19:33 GMT
#1763
On November 09 2012 04:20 Rad wrote:
Debears, I'm curious why you kept pushing the fluff percentage thing on me. I never told you I thought you had a lot of fluff, that was someone else (alsn I think?). My thing on that was questioning why you'd want anyone to waste time on it since at that point, no conclusion could be made one way or the other since it's just subjective.


My reasoning was to get you to realize the amount of content in my filter
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 08 2012 19:34 GMT
#1764
On November 09 2012 04:18 debears wrote:
Thoughts on reads

I feel there were a few mistakes this game in terms of how people appraoch reads

1) Fluff - A few guys kept screaming "fluff!" at my filter, yet failed to realize the content that was in there. Even if there a bit of fluff in a filter, a townie can just scroll through it to look at the long posts.

Remember, look for content first. If there is no content, then look at the amount of fluff

2) Bullying - I feel that guys like (Rad and Clarity I believe) cited bullying as a scum tell. First, don't take someone using strong wording (unless its like "you absolutely suck and should quit playing mafia") as scummy. Look at their reasoning for using that wording. Also, if it's true, then how is it bullying?

Don't get too emotional when playing mafia

3) Outing Blues - The problem with this is that, most of the time, mafia will hide among the semi-lurkers, where blues hide. Also, don't rely too heavily on blues. We didn't win this game because of blues. We won it because everyone that was townie looked townie (or townier than the scum).

Outing mafia, out of the cost of outing a blue or two, isn't necessarily a bad thing. There are usually a similar amount of mafia and blues. There are usually around 3 townies to 1 mafia. If you can out one mafia per blue, you usually win the game


I 100000% agree with this.

Tells 1 and 2 are incredibly subjective, and it was frustrating to see some players going after debears for "fluff" when his 13-something page filter by nature will have fluff in it. This was especially strange since he posted by far the most analysis on D1.

I have never seen a mafia player get caught with Tell #3. Mafia want to hide - the LAST thing they want to do is look like they're hunting for blues. In my experience, those who talk about blues a lot are either blues or townies who don't understand the implications of what they're saying.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
November 08 2012 19:35 GMT
#1765
On November 09 2012 04:21 Clarity_nl wrote:
You have to realize that the fluff argument/bullying, from my perspective, was to cause interference. Same goes for blue hunting. =]


I can see why you would want to use it, but honestly you made yourself way more suspicious to me since that was the only reasoning you could find on me.

Never make yourself that suspicious to the most active player at that time.

Also, although your goal is interference, interference does little when you out yourself in the process.

You still have to use good reasoning and a townie mindset as scum when making cases. The difference is pushing your agenda while doing that (which is incredibly hard later in the game)
Rad
Profile Joined May 2010
United States935 Posts
November 08 2012 19:39 GMT
#1766
Haha SDM, confirmation bias on me much? (just skimmed through the QT)
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
November 08 2012 19:43 GMT
#1767
On November 09 2012 04:29 Hapahauli wrote:
1) Is this player scumhunting?
2) Is this player acting townie? (Being open/honest/engaged/showing-effort)
3) Does this player have extra info?

At least for me, when I start asking the general questions, it gives me a better way to sort out my reads on a player. All those "slightly scummy" actions are usually townie when you look at them in a broader context.

Uhhhh... let me know if that made sense.
Rambleramblerambleramble.




Hapa, add one more to the list

4) Does this player care about who is getting lynched?
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
November 08 2012 19:46 GMT
#1768
@Clarity

Clarity_nl
11-03-2012
05:59 AM ET (US)
I think this post will basically cover us for the day, also gives us an opportunity to jump on people's mistakes, but hopefully townies do that for us.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessag...¤tpage=16#303

Yep. Exactly everyone's point about a list of null reads lol.....
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
November 08 2012 19:55 GMT
#1769
=] I think my problem wasn't the list, it was my defense of the list. If I had just said: "okay, whatever" woulda been fine.

I generally thought out loud in the mafia QT even though me and sylver were on different schedules so hopefully you guys find some interesting stuff.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 08 2012 19:55 GMT
#1770
On November 09 2012 04:43 debears wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2012 04:29 Hapahauli wrote:
1) Is this player scumhunting?
2) Is this player acting townie? (Being open/honest/engaged/showing-effort)
3) Does this player have extra info?

At least for me, when I start asking the general questions, it gives me a better way to sort out my reads on a player. All those "slightly scummy" actions are usually townie when you look at them in a broader context.

Uhhhh... let me know if that made sense.
Rambleramblerambleramble.




Hapa, add one more to the list

4) Does this player care about who is getting lynched?


I group that into #2 - it's one of the things I factor (heavily factor) into a player's honesty and engagement.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
November 08 2012 19:59 GMT
#1771
Clarity_nl
11-06-2012
05:03 AM ET (US)
It's like I'm playing jenga and all the pieces will make the tower fall.


So funny^^
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
November 08 2012 20:07 GMT
#1772
And accurate!
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Keirathi
Profile Joined May 2012
United States4679 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-08 20:24:09
November 08 2012 20:23 GMT
#1773
I guess I'll comment too:

On Fluff

The reason people view fluff as "anti-town" is because its posting just for the sake of posting, which townies don't have a "reason" to do. Doesn't mean townies don't do it (obviously), but if your post isn't furthering town's goals, then why are you posting it? Scum doesn't share town's goals, and they actually have a good reason to post "fluff". IE, cluttering the thread with mostly irrelevant things is a valid strategy.

Fluff isn't strictly anti-town, but it is definitely not pro-town. And by itself, it's not even a scumtell. The key with making an argument about someone being "fluffy" is about the mindset of the person, and if they are intentionally trying to be active without actually participating. It's a valid argument, but really hard to discern. Which is why, IMO, its a supporting argument in an overall case against someone, and never something that you should use as a main point.

Bullying

Same principle. Not strictly anti-town, but not pro-town (unless you're right ). Putting someone on the defensive using strong language doesn't further town's goals. It makes them see red, or get frustrated and want to quit. You can get t he info you want out of the person without calling them useless/worthless/stupid/idiot/etc (and I know I've done it too...it's hard not to get too emotionally invested in the argument, rather than the game).

Again, really just an emotional player tell. Only if you can clearly show scum motive of it, as supporting evidence of a solid scum case, can it really be used as a scum tell.

Blue hunting

Hapa was spot on about this. Very, very, very rarely is a scum going to go out of their way to try to trick and/or straight out ask for blues to claim. Of course, now that I say this, its going to start happening
My dear friend if I have gone pants on head, you have gone socks on ears!!! -ShiaoPi
Promethelax
Profile Joined February 2012
Canada7089 Posts
November 08 2012 20:27 GMT
#1774
Bullying is in fact Hapa's favourite town play. Although he has gotten better about it when he was a newbie he made me hate him by bullying everyone. I think for townie players using Bullying as a style you have to find a good balance so that you don't get people calling you scum simply because they hate your play style. Pressure is good. Bullying, in most cases, needs to be kept in check for town to work well together otherwise the VTs who were bullied early will be unwilling or less willing to cooperate with town.
TL Mafia. Love it. Play it. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 I find Kennigit really attractive. If anyone has a picture of him please feel free to PM it to me.
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
November 08 2012 20:28 GMT
#1775
So did anyone at any point of this game feel Djo was bullying me? Obviously I can't be subjective about this.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Promethelax
Profile Joined February 2012
Canada7089 Posts
November 08 2012 20:30 GMT
#1776
I absolutely did but I wasn't fully reading. My instinct is to distrust the loudest guy who confirms himself as town by being loud, people are too quick to believe the tunnely loudness.
TL Mafia. Love it. Play it. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 I find Kennigit really attractive. If anyone has a picture of him please feel free to PM it to me.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 08 2012 20:31 GMT
#1777
On November 09 2012 04:59 debears wrote:
Clarity_nl
11-06-2012
05:03 AM ET (US)
It's like I'm playing jenga and all the pieces will make the tower fall.


So funny^^


rofl
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 08 2012 20:37 GMT
#1778
On November 09 2012 04:39 Rad wrote:
Haha SDM, confirmation bias on me much? (just skimmed through the QT)


+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-08 20:44:52
November 08 2012 20:44 GMT
#1779
On November 09 2012 03:56 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:
Being scum in this game must've been fucking miserable btw :p

Why do you think I conceded ._.

The misinformation about the flavor that we got as scum kinda sucked, a lot. I think we would have been in a very different situation if flavor couldn't be used as a weapon this game. Djo and Alsn had pinned us using entirely the role PM without actually ever utilising the POWER of their roles. (Had the game gone on and I done my planned night move, there would be 0 useful blue actions all game.) We were basically beaten by 2 named townies who just happened to be named "Cop" and "Jailkeeper"
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
November 08 2012 21:01 GMT
#1780
Honestly, that entire thread explsion confused the royal fuck out of me. I didn't know what to do, but I couldn't do nothing. I probably ended up doing something that looked real bad for myself in the process.

I WAS reading the thread during that whole clusterfuck. Saying I wasn't and labeling me scummy for that is actually 100% dead wrong. You don't think when the thread explodes and theres only a few minutes before lynch time that some people are going to make mistakes and miss things?
I guess I just fucking suck at this game.
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