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Korea Weekly - July 23rd - IEM Shanghai

Forum Index > SC2 General
13 CommentsPost a Reply

Korea Weekly - July 23rd - IEM Shanghai

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byshiroiusagi
July 23rd, 2017 15:35 GMT
  • Korea Weekly
  • Weekly Focus


The Weekly Preview

by TheOneAboveU
[image loading] - TheOneAboveU

Time for a little breather after last week’s marathon schedule. With IEM Shanghai and GSL vs. the World coming up there are plenty of reasons to take a step back and enjoy the calm before the next storm. Only SSL Premier is following the regular schedule next week, with the other tournaments hitting the breaks until after the next few weekend competitions are done. With that said, let’s use the opportunity and take a more detailed look at the standings in SSL Premier.



The Frontrunner

Week 3 enabled (P)Classic to take the pole position away from his former team mate and all-dominating Machine INnoVation in a surprising turn of events. The Protoss player overcame Dear, who had his first disappointing week after his steady rise over the last few months, and thus stayed undefeated in series. INnoVation on the other hand had to accept his first defeat, as the third of the former SK Telecom T1 players in SSL Premier, Dark, was able to put a stop to the Machine’s reign of terror. This outcome mixed the cards anew.

Classic is now the only undefeated man left standing and leads the ranking. However, his pursuers are only one series victory and two to three map wins behind him—a lead which can melt quickly.


The Pursuers I: The ex-Telecom Gang

Right behind the new pack leader are the dethroned (T)INnoVation and (Z)Dark. While INnoVation had to concede defeat last week for the first time this season, he did sell himself dearly against his Zerg opponent, making Dark put in some work for his money. With his team’s victory in the VSL Team League, to which INnoVation contributed immensely, the hype train carrying the Machine has easily overcome the short-lived slowdown. What we expect for his match against (P)Dear is nothing other than to bounce back in impressive fashion, especially because the Protoss player had to face some setbacks himself in the last week. He was eliminated from GSL by Bunny, conceding a map to Chinese Terran TIME in the process, and lost his first series in SSL Premier. Just a bad week, or the beginning of another slow descent into oblivion for him?

For Dark the victory over INno was the bounce-back from his loss to herO the week before. The Zerg will face ByuL in a ZvZ, so a rather messy affair is to be expected. The former CJ player had no luck so far in this season and is still waiting for his first series win, even though he only has this league to prepare for, since he didn’t even qualify for GSL. His situation is not as bad as the one of aLive, who couldn’t even take a single map yet, but a loss to Dark would put him at a 0-4 score—and that’s a deep and dark hole, from which climbing out is going to be extremely hard. Dark, of course, can only be happy about his rivals’ misery: An easy 2-0 win would get him that much closer to Classic and the pole position, and we all know how important this first place is, as it leads directly into the Grand Final.


The Pursuers II: The Splyce Gang

Like the sneaky snakes their team logo represents, (P)Stats and (Z)Solar have taken up positions right behind the former SK Telecom T1 players, waiting for the right moment to strike and bring down their prey. After their team duel in Week 1, which Stats could decide in his favour, Solar has taken two victories in a row, beating ByuL and herO. In Week 4 another win is in reach, as the Zerg will meet poor, win-less (T)aLive, who just doesn’t seem to be able to do anything right at the moment. His situation is even more dire than ByuL’s and a comeback would be miraculous.

Stats took one loss at the hands of Dear in Week 2, but has stabilized again in Week 3 against aLive, the league’s punching bag. A much greater challenge awaits him now, though: Classic himself. This PvP might turn the tides again, as it could mean the end of Classic’s leadership after only one week at the top of the rankings, or it might solidify Classic’s position. Those two Protoss players are connected by a deep rivalry, of course, as they played for the two Telecom giants back in the day: Overall Classic leads their personal record by a single map, while Stats has won more series against his rival, including their last duel. This should be the closest and most important match of the week!


The Catch-Ups

The two competitors with a 1-2 score, (P)HerO and (T)Maru, will confront each other directly next week, creating another very important duel. While the victor may be able to catch up with the middle field and join the pursuers for the first place, the loser will be in a precarious position—in danger to fall to the depths of ByuL and aLive. While both players have equal statistics so far, perhaps Maru’s records are a bit more worrying going into this TvP: He’s lost to both Dear and Classic so far, with the loss to Classic being especially rough, as he had a great streak going against the Protoss beforehand. With enough preparation, herO stands a good chance to profit from the Terran player’s recent losses…


Weekly Schedule

MON – SSL Premier – (P)Dear vs. (T)INnoVation / (T)Maru vs. (P)herO / (Z)Solar vs. (T)aLive / (Z)ByuL vs. (Z)Dark / (P)Classic vs. (P)Stats




IEM Shanghai

by Mizenhauer
[image loading] - Mizenhauer

The Defense

February 16, 2014. Since that day (Z)soO has repeated as a GSL Finalist three times. (P)Classic and (T)INnoVation have won the trifecta of IEM, GSL and SSL. (P)Zest won a trio of GSL’s, two being proper seasons and one Global Championship. (Z)ByuL made simultaneous Starleague finals and (T)Maru earned an SSL trophy to pair with his OSL title, becoming the first dual Starleague champion. For all these towering achievements, over the last 1253 days, no one has been able to replicate the feat performed by (P)herO in the winter of 2014: successfully defend as an IEM champion.

(T)TY will be next in line to get his chance when his group kicks off IEM Shanghai. His victory over (P)Stats at Katowice may not have been the most convincing performance, but in the end, he was the one standing when the dust settled. His campaign to return to those heights will start when he opens the tournament against underdog (Z)PenguiN, before taking on the winner of in-form (T)Bunny and perpetually stout (Z)Dark. It’s a winnable group for TY, but he’s been largely absent as of late, his sole appearance being his GSL group in which he finished second among four players with far less success within Korea throughout 2017. On paper, TY seems far from the most dangerous player at IEM Shanghai, but it’s his tireless tenacity, not his current form, that makes the first title defense in over three years a distinct possibility.


Two Champs and The Upstart

Group B features the two most recent GSL champions; Stats and (T)GuMiho, but it’s quite possible that the most threatening member is (Z)Rogue. After a difficult 2016, Rogue is finally putting the pieces together. Unlike Stats or GuMiho, he doesn’t have tangible proof of his success, but his win rate and MMR on ladder indicate that Rogue should have every reason to be confident.

Known to stumble on the brightest stage, Rogue’s dismemberment of GuMiho in GSL could be a shifting of the winds. GuMiho’s trip to Krefeld has given fans little insight into his current form, leaving them asking questions following his unspectacular GSL performance. Stats may have looked extremely solid in doing away with ByuN in his GSL group, but he has struggled mightily against Zergs as of late. His sub 50% record since the beginning of June paints a grim picture. As expected, (Z)iAsonu is on the outside looking in. The most likely result is that he is eliminated without any fanfare, but he’ll be eager to play the role of spoiler and send one of the three groupmates back to Korea empty handed.


Running Out Of Time

It’s almost frightening to think that the 2017 WCS Season is nearly over. It seems like just yesterday the community was clashing heads over the WCS announcement or discussing the first event, IEM Gyeonggi. With only a GSL, SSL and IEM Shanghai yet to be decided, the eight who will represent Korea at the WCS Global Finals are nearly determined. While soO is all but locked in for BlizzCon, herO and (Z)Solar are very much in the thick of things. herO sits tied in the final qualifying position with 4700 points. Maru and (T)aLive are within 300 points of him and still have the opportunity to earn points in two of the three remaining events. Solar is hanging a big further down, 875 points behind the current cutoff. If he’s to make a return trip to California he’ll have to make some major strides in the latter portion of the season.

Solar and herO are both alive in GSL, SSL and IEM, a truly enviable position. Participation is no guarantee of results, however, and they will need to play to their utmost to punch a ticket to the year end event. The race for spots three and four in the WCS Korea Standings is nearing the finish line and no less than seven players have a chance to claim them. Unlike a Starleague which requires a player to maintain excellence over the course of many weeks, herO and Solar need only to capture lightning in a bottle to vault themselves into a safer stratosphere of the WCS Standings. IEM could play a crucial role this late in the game, but they will need to make the most of it if they want to keep their dreams of becoming the next world champion alive.


When King Ghidorah Only Needs One Head

[image loading]

Earlier this year, casters dubbed the Terran quartet of INnoVation, (T)ByuN, Maru and TY the Four Horsemen. Since then ByuN hasn’t put up any remarkable results, Maru has fallen flat with shocking regularity and TY has virtually disappeared. All the while, INnoVation keeps getting stronger. Stumbles in GSL disguised a slow return to dominance, but his dual final victories over Solar and soO have dispelled any question of who the best player in the world is.

The hype around INnoVation is reaching a fever pitch as the universe seems to align to his whim. INnoVation may have been placed in a group with two of his supposed equals, but Maru and ByuN have done little to give the community reason to believe they are on the same level. With TY missing, the three remaining members of the Four Horseman would be better described as the monstrous recreation of the seemingly invincible space monster, King Ghidorah. With three heads, each of them exemplifying the best attributes of the Terran race, it’s extremely possible that the winner of the tournament comes out of Group D. One wonder if it’s not a foregone conclusion, though. This time the Terran amalgam may only need its strongest representative, INnoVation to get the job done.

But for every seemingly invincible space monster, there is a Godzilla barring its path. For INnoVation that is TvT making his group a significant hurdle. He will have to fight off his rival heads if he’s to continue his quest to stomp out all resistance in Shanghai. With ByuN and Maru out of the way, it might be a leisurely walk to the finish line for the unassuming Korean who plays Starcraft like a lightning bolt wielding, gravity beam firing dragon.





Korea Weekly: TheOneAboveU
Focus: Mizenhauer
Graphics: shiroiusagi
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TL+ Member
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7311 Posts
July 23 2017 16:23 GMT
#2
The Catch-Ups has a typo, ",will be confront each other"

and praise be to Dark and Classic
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
ByuuN
Profile Joined November 2016
Poland678 Posts
July 23 2017 17:48 GMT
#3
4am CEST R.I.P sleep.
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55550 Posts
July 23 2017 17:49 GMT
#4
Why isn't IEM in the schedule though?
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
pvsnp
Profile Joined January 2017
7676 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-07-23 20:15:14
July 23 2017 20:09 GMT
#5
Excellent article as always. The pre-Blizzcon narratives are really coming together quite nicely. Stats, TY and Gumiho are officially locked in, but I believe soO and Inno are mathematically guaranteed as well? There simply aren't enough WCS points left for five players to surpass them (might be theoretically possible, I guess, if we assume soO and Inno immediately drop out of every tournament and #6-11 get a perfect allotment of points).

Well said about INnoVation. TvT has been his final obstacle throughout 2017. If he can surmount the mirror matchup, he will be dangerously close to completely invincible.

"Now I am become Death, the Destroyer of Worlds."


Of course, that's what everyone said about him at 2015 Blizzcon. Then again, Life isn't around anymore....
Denominator of the Universe
TL+ Member
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
July 23 2017 20:24 GMT
#6
soO, Inno, TY, Gumi, and Stats are garanteed

The remaining 3 spots are gonna be split between herO, Dark, Maru, aLive. ByuN, Solar, and maybe sOs/Rogue/Classic if any of them get a good GSL result
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
pvsnp
Profile Joined January 2017
7676 Posts
July 23 2017 21:21 GMT
#7
On July 24 2017 05:24 Fango wrote:
soO, Inno, TY, Gumi, and Stats are garanteed

The remaining 3 spots are gonna be split between herO, Dark, Maru, aLive. ByuN, Solar, and maybe sOs/Rogue/Classic if any of them get a good GSL result

Maru is out of GSL tho. aLive is not in great form, nor is ByuN. If I had to guess I would go for Dark, herO, and Solar.
Denominator of the Universe
TL+ Member
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-07-24 00:22:27
July 24 2017 00:21 GMT
#8
On July 24 2017 06:21 pvsnp wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 24 2017 05:24 Fango wrote:
soO, Inno, TY, Gumi, and Stats are garanteed

The remaining 3 spots are gonna be split between herO, Dark, Maru, aLive. ByuN, Solar, and maybe sOs/Rogue/Classic if any of them get a good GSL result

Maru is out of GSL tho. aLive is not in great form, nor is ByuN. If I had to guess I would go for Dark, herO, and Solar.


Maru is still in the top 8 WCS though. And if ByuN/aLive lose in GSL ro16 (which they prob will) he's gonna stay there. Solar/Classic/ByuL would need a ro4 or high to kick him out
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
starkiller123
Profile Joined January 2016
United States4030 Posts
July 24 2017 01:24 GMT
#9
I'm very glad I decided to watch homestory cup this weekend, passion for Starcraft totally reignited
ghostmaster93
Profile Joined July 2017
155 Posts
July 24 2017 12:15 GMT
#10
On July 24 2017 09:21 Fango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 24 2017 06:21 pvsnp wrote:
On July 24 2017 05:24 Fango wrote:
soO, Inno, TY, Gumi, and Stats are garanteed

The remaining 3 spots are gonna be split between herO, Dark, Maru, aLive. ByuN, Solar, and maybe sOs/Rogue/Classic if any of them get a good GSL result

Maru is out of GSL tho. aLive is not in great form, nor is ByuN. If I had to guess I would go for Dark, herO, and Solar.


Maru is still in the top 8 WCS though. And if ByuN/aLive lose in GSL ro16 (which they prob will) he's gonna stay there. Solar/Classic/ByuL would need a ro4 or high to kick him out


Byul is out of GSL. He's pretty run out of chance to go to blizzcon, since he only have SSL and Super Tournament to go for.

Alarak'smanservant
Profile Joined May 2017
35 Posts
July 24 2017 21:19 GMT
#11
In the ssl roundup the link of herO links to liquid hero, not the guy in ssl.
BitbyBit is mathematically the greatest player of all time
ghostmaster93
Profile Joined July 2017
155 Posts
July 25 2017 02:09 GMT
#12
On July 25 2017 06:19 Alarak'smanservant wrote:
In the ssl roundup the link of herO links to liquid hero, not the guy in ssl.


Nah, TL made that mistake several time in the past.
Mizenhauer
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
United States1876 Posts
July 25 2017 10:31 GMT
#13
On July 25 2017 11:09 ghostmaster93 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 25 2017 06:19 Alarak'smanservant wrote:
In the ssl roundup the link of herO links to liquid hero, not the guy in ssl.


Nah, TL made that mistake several time in the past.


The liquipedia link defaults to HerO. It used to default to the Zerg, hero. You have to manually change it and sometimes when you're focusing on other things, like creating a decent article, you forget.
┗|∵|┓Second Place in LB 28, Third Place in LB 29 and Destined to Be a Kong
beepbeeeeeeep
Profile Joined February 2017
145 Posts
July 25 2017 12:14 GMT
#14
Will there be liquibetting for this tourney?
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