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Canada13388 Posts
On April 16 2015 02:10 digmouse wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 02:01 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:On April 16 2015 01:58 digmouse wrote: At this point I'm not sure about the purpose of these kind of thread any more. To let people know that they're watching a fixed sport, which some people actually don't care to do. Some like pro-wrestling, and others like actual competition Sure, maybe, but are we really getting solid evidence/reasoning, constructive discussion or whatever in here now?
Just a bunch of rabble rabble usually.
The alternative involves accusations of "coverup" though.
:/
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On April 16 2015 02:17 ZeromuS wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 02:10 digmouse wrote:On April 16 2015 02:01 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:On April 16 2015 01:58 digmouse wrote: At this point I'm not sure about the purpose of these kind of thread any more. To let people know that they're watching a fixed sport, which some people actually don't care to do. Some like pro-wrestling, and others like actual competition Sure, maybe, but are we really getting solid evidence/reasoning, constructive discussion or whatever in here now? Just a bunch of rabble rabble usually. The alternative involves accusations of "coverup" though. :/ I don't see how closing discussion on something that basically invalidates the entire scene is anything but a cover-up.
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On April 16 2015 02:16 maGicc wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 02:05 Popkiller wrote:On April 16 2015 01:58 digmouse wrote: At this point I'm not sure about the purpose of these kind of thread any more. it's true, the discussion doesn't seem to serve much purpose. TL could do a weekly update on all the voided bets and suspicious games from that week. Or a page on liquipedia that keeps track of it. There could even be a leader board for the players involved in the most matches with voided bets. The purpose is to educate as much people as possible. Problem is, community is still being treated as clueless sheeps. I am sorry but when Wolf says on air that "its best we all just forget about it" after the most blatant case of the matchfix - its pretty freaking offensive to any intellegent viewer out there.
I'm surprised wolf even commented on it on air, I really doubt his employer approves of that.
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One day evidence that drg vs innovation was fixed is going to be released and I'm going to cry many tears.
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On April 16 2015 02:15 phil.ipp wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 01:50 maGicc wrote:On April 16 2015 01:48 LongShot27 wrote:On April 16 2015 01:46 maGicc wrote:On April 16 2015 01:39 LongShot27 wrote:On April 16 2015 01:29 sitromit wrote: This sounds like bullshit to me, sorry.
Soulkey is a player who has a legitimate chance at a high finish when he's on form. Why would he throw away not only his chance to get into Code S, but also at making WCS top 16 and going to Blizzcon? That's because it is bullshit I am not sure why you so emotionally invested in this, but all your posts very weak when it comes to arguments. Its a battle of simple data vs emotions, and its clear on which side you are on. Its not an issue of "trusting a bunch of gamblers", its trusting the data. The data is out there, its neutral, its just facts. You are choosing to ignore it, but it doesnt make it less true. Your "data" is betting lines, that does not constitute evidence. Data isn't neutral when it is provided by someone with a staked interest in it. What the hell is wrong with you? Yes it is neutral. Unless you are implying that Pinnacle is fixing/faking the betting lines to void the match before it even started. Is that what you are implying? Are you serious? Also, "a betting line does not constitute evidence" when it comes to matchfixing? Really? You are a joke, or a troll. Sorry but, these "data" are not facts, you didnt collect them yourself, you dont even know how they are collected, they are just presented to you, and you, because of reasons unknown to me, believe in them. the only fact here is that you believe these data to be true, you dont know anything. a bit of reservation would do you pretty good. of course all this doesnt mean the data isnt correct. and you are of course free to draw any conclusion you want from it. but lashing out to people who say these data are maybe not neutral, is i think far more than you should ever do, when all your information is just a press release of a gambling site.
THIS^^^^
No one is saying that there isn't matchfixing. LITERALLY NO ONE. The point is there is no solid proof that any of what has been called matchfixing is. You are making accusations that are damning to peoples careers and lives and you lose nothing by doing that while they stand to lose EVERYTHING
the data may be correct, but alone it means nothing
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On April 16 2015 02:18 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 02:17 ZeromuS wrote:On April 16 2015 02:10 digmouse wrote:On April 16 2015 02:01 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:On April 16 2015 01:58 digmouse wrote: At this point I'm not sure about the purpose of these kind of thread any more. To let people know that they're watching a fixed sport, which some people actually don't care to do. Some like pro-wrestling, and others like actual competition Sure, maybe, but are we really getting solid evidence/reasoning, constructive discussion or whatever in here now? Just a bunch of rabble rabble usually. The alternative involves accusations of "coverup" though. :/ I don't see how closing discussion on something that basically invalidates the entire scene is anything but a cover-up. It's fine when it's a discussion, SGTK. The problem is what it usually devolves to.
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On April 15 2015 21:51 lichter wrote: can we take bets on how long it takes for this thread to become too terrible to live?
LOL.......This is so sad, I hope SoulKey isn't involved in this, one of my favorite players from BW.
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On April 16 2015 01:35 maGicc wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 01:24 Exstasy wrote:On April 16 2015 01:02 maGicc wrote:On April 16 2015 00:56 Exstasy wrote:On April 16 2015 00:44 maGicc wrote:On April 16 2015 00:33 royalroadweed wrote: I'm not sure how this constitutes as proof that soulkey was match fixing. Maps have a huge impact on bo1s in sc2. So I don't its that unusual to bet that x player will win on x map but not win the series. For example, if Cure was playing herO in a bo3 and the first map is catellena, I don't think it would be strange for people to bet that cure wins the first map but loses the series.
I'll concur that I don't know PvZ well enough to determine if Protoss is that favored enough on King Sejong Station with zergs having nerfed swarmhosts for Creator to be a 3 to 1 favourite. We are talking about 25% underdog to win a series becoming 75% favorite to win map1. I am not sure how good you are with the %'s and stuff, but implying that blizzard's maps are THAT imbalanced is kind of silly. Also, the betting was done way before the map info became availible, i am pretty sure. Why would anyone bet on a match without map info. If you were smartly betting you would need map info or sc would be pointless to bet on. You dont get to know the map info, because as far as i know the players ban/pick maps just before start of the match. Also, you are greatly exaggerating the importance of maps. If you look at the stats there is a barely a tiny % of difference in winrates, its not a huge deal. We are not in WoL beta anymore, its not like suddenly the map1 is Steps of War and everything is going out of a window when it comes to odds. You're right that the balance of the game doesn't make it impossible for any player to win on any map. But maps have a huge impact if you're trying to guess who will win, taking into account map specific strategies in the mu as well as player styles in relation to the map. What makes it unlikely that people look at the favourable odds for SK overall and say creator might try to all in game 1. This is pretty much as good a guess as you can have. The map discussion is not really relevant here, with the current tourney system's, the players get to pick/ban, which results in a balanced map pool for both parties. Additionally, no one can know who gets to pick/ban first. Its not like in Cs:Go, where you can often see map right in the betting line. In Sc2 betting, map 1 is just map 1, you will almost never know which map will it be. I know, what I'm saying is without map info it makes it a less informed guess. All you have as someone betting is : soulkey vs creator bo5, you then look at the odds that soulkey is favourite for the series and then its not unreasonable to guess that creator would all in map 1
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One productive thing that has come out of repeated threads is that more and more people are at least willing to open their minds to the possibility that this is happening. In the first thread, it felt like 75% of the posts were something along the lines of "I know nothing about betting, but bettors are evil and their evidence is presented in a way that I don't fully understand so I disagree with it" whereas only about a quarter of the posts in this thread are like this. (I'm being partially facetious but it is really progress)...
On that note, it really is strange to me how incredibly untrusting many people on here are of people from the betting community and the information they provide as it relates to SC2. The idea that so many people here buy into the stereotype that all bettors are addicted to gambling, all betting sites are shady and just after their own interests, etc. etc. is crazy, considering that we're all here on a website discussing people who devote their lives to playing video games. It's no secret that we deal with many of the same or similar preconceived notions, that people who play video games all day are lazy, shut-ins, addicted to video games, and so on. Clearly, we know how frustrating and untrue those stereotypes can be. So you would think that we as a community would be able to look past preconceived notions of a similar community more easily than most. It doesn't feel like that though.
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On April 16 2015 02:15 phil.ipp wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 01:50 maGicc wrote:On April 16 2015 01:48 LongShot27 wrote:On April 16 2015 01:46 maGicc wrote:On April 16 2015 01:39 LongShot27 wrote:On April 16 2015 01:29 sitromit wrote: This sounds like bullshit to me, sorry.
Soulkey is a player who has a legitimate chance at a high finish when he's on form. Why would he throw away not only his chance to get into Code S, but also at making WCS top 16 and going to Blizzcon? That's because it is bullshit I am not sure why you so emotionally invested in this, but all your posts very weak when it comes to arguments. Its a battle of simple data vs emotions, and its clear on which side you are on. Its not an issue of "trusting a bunch of gamblers", its trusting the data. The data is out there, its neutral, its just facts. You are choosing to ignore it, but it doesnt make it less true. Your "data" is betting lines, that does not constitute evidence. Data isn't neutral when it is provided by someone with a staked interest in it. What the hell is wrong with you? Yes it is neutral. Unless you are implying that Pinnacle is fixing/faking the betting lines to void the match before it even started. Is that what you are implying? Are you serious? Also, "a betting line does not constitute evidence" when it comes to matchfixing? Really? You are a joke, or a troll. of course all this doesnt mean the data isnt correct. and you are of course free to draw any conclusion you want from it. but lashing out to people who say these data are maybe not neutral, is i think far more than you should ever do, when all your information is just a press release of a gambling site.
Its not a "press release of a gambling site", its the movement of the betting lines. The info was publicly availible to anyone and updated in real time. People observed it.
There is no rational reason to assume that the movement is not legit. If you do - then please provide atleast a reasonable hypothetis on why on earth Pinnacle would "fake" the movement of the betting lines to justify a void of the match before its even started.
Unless someone will do that - its more than reasonable to trust their data.
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On April 15 2015 22:06 KrazyTrumpet wrote: Until you show me money being put in players hands, and/or conversations recorded/logged you don't have real proof, imo. Nothing that would stand up to any sort of legal matter involving accusing a player of matchfixing.
So you think Aaron Hernandez should be free, right? All the evidence was circumstantial.
You don't need to show that a guy showed up at the bank, pulled out a gun, told the teller he wanted money, then took the money and ran to prove he robbed the bank. Otherwise, big banks and the mafia would never go to jail.
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At this point kespa,gsl,whoever needs to put a year/even life time ban on players that are doing this. Sadly I don't think they care or are taking there sweet time to gather all the evidence before they go and do something as drastic as a ban,which if they are then I'll understand, if not SMH. Honestly this is going to be sad to say cause I'm a huge fan of MKP but he needs a ban to be made an example same with SK if true didn't watch the games. Really something should be done but bitching on TL will do nothing.
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On April 16 2015 02:20 LongShot27 wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 02:15 phil.ipp wrote:On April 16 2015 01:50 maGicc wrote:On April 16 2015 01:48 LongShot27 wrote:On April 16 2015 01:46 maGicc wrote:On April 16 2015 01:39 LongShot27 wrote:On April 16 2015 01:29 sitromit wrote: This sounds like bullshit to me, sorry.
Soulkey is a player who has a legitimate chance at a high finish when he's on form. Why would he throw away not only his chance to get into Code S, but also at making WCS top 16 and going to Blizzcon? That's because it is bullshit I am not sure why you so emotionally invested in this, but all your posts very weak when it comes to arguments. Its a battle of simple data vs emotions, and its clear on which side you are on. Its not an issue of "trusting a bunch of gamblers", its trusting the data. The data is out there, its neutral, its just facts. You are choosing to ignore it, but it doesnt make it less true. Your "data" is betting lines, that does not constitute evidence. Data isn't neutral when it is provided by someone with a staked interest in it. What the hell is wrong with you? Yes it is neutral. Unless you are implying that Pinnacle is fixing/faking the betting lines to void the match before it even started. Is that what you are implying? Are you serious? Also, "a betting line does not constitute evidence" when it comes to matchfixing? Really? You are a joke, or a troll. Sorry but, these "data" are not facts, you didnt collect them yourself, you dont even know how they are collected, they are just presented to you, and you, because of reasons unknown to me, believe in them. the only fact here is that you believe these data to be true, you dont know anything. a bit of reservation would do you pretty good. of course all this doesnt mean the data isnt correct. and you are of course free to draw any conclusion you want from it. but lashing out to people who say these data are maybe not neutral, is i think far more than you should ever do, when all your information is just a press release of a gambling site. THIS^^^^ No one is saying that there isn't matchfixing. LITERALLY NO ONE. The point is there is no solid proof that any of what has been called matchfixing is. You are making accusations that are damning to peoples careers and lives and you lose nothing by doing that while they stand to lose EVERYTHING the data may be correct, but alone it means nothing
The data means a hell of a lot, the movement was clear and observed by multiple people. But please continue to keep your head in the sand and keep using the "LA LA LA NOT LISTENING" defence
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On April 16 2015 02:30 starslayer wrote: At this point kespa,gsl,whoever needs to put a year/even life time ban on players that are doing this. Sadly I don't think they care or are taking there sweet time to gather all the evidence before they go and do something as drastic as a ban,which if they are then I'll understand, if not SMH. Honestly this is going to be sad to say cause I'm a huge fan of MKP but he needs a ban to be made an example same with SK if true didn't watch the games. Really something should be done but bitching on TL will do nothing. I wouldn't mind a temporary ban only for these 5 cases. So forgiveness this one time, just to get them to talk.
I'm a dreamer
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On April 16 2015 02:28 BronzeKnee wrote:Show nested quote +On April 15 2015 22:06 KrazyTrumpet wrote: Until you show me money being put in players hands, and/or conversations recorded/logged you don't have real proof, imo. Nothing that would stand up to any sort of legal matter involving accusing a player of matchfixing.
So you think Aaron Hernandez should be free, right? All the evidence was circumstantial. You don't need to show that a guy showed up at the bank, pulled out a gun, told the teller he wanted money, then took the money and ran to prove he robbed the bank. Otherwise, big banks and the mafia would never go to jail.
Uh, yes you fucking do
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On April 16 2015 02:20 LongShot27 wrote:
The point is there is no solid proof that any of what has been called matchfixing is.
1. What proof is "solid" in this case, in your opinion?
2. Did you see a MKP-Byul match, do you think that the the betting line + the way the match looked is enough to say that match was 99% fixed?
I suspect that "solid proof" in your opinion would be something like skype logs of a player accepting the bribe.
In this case, the only way to get a solid proof is pressure the Kespa to investigate the accused players. Its not going to magically appear to us out of nowhere.
"Just forgetting about it" and "stopping accusing players" while waiting for this "solid evidence" would never get us anywhere, you will just keep seeing bets getting voided every week. I am not really ok with this.
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On April 16 2015 02:35 LongShot27 wrote:Show nested quote +On April 16 2015 02:28 BronzeKnee wrote:On April 15 2015 22:06 KrazyTrumpet wrote: Until you show me money being put in players hands, and/or conversations recorded/logged you don't have real proof, imo. Nothing that would stand up to any sort of legal matter involving accusing a player of matchfixing.
So you think Aaron Hernandez should be free, right? All the evidence was circumstantial. You don't need to show that a guy showed up at the bank, pulled out a gun, told the teller he wanted money, then took the money and ran to prove he robbed the bank. Otherwise, big banks and the mafia would never go to jail. Uh, yes you fucking do
until now i thought that you're just really angry for whatever reason and are too emotionally invested to discuss anything rationally
but with this post you have proven that you don't have the slightest single clue what the fuck you are talking about.
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I don't think you should bother replying. The guy is probably baiting to get a thread lock.
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On April 16 2015 02:27 Darthsanta13 wrote: One productive thing that has come out of repeated threads is that more and more people are at least willing to open their minds to the possibility that this is happening. In the first thread, it felt like 75% of the posts were something along the lines of "I know nothing about betting, but bettors are evil and their evidence is presented in a way that I don't fully understand so I disagree with it" whereas only about a quarter of the posts in this thread are like this. (I'm being partially facetious but it is really progress)...
On that note, it really is strange to me how incredibly untrusting many people on here are of people from the betting community and the information they provide as it relates to SC2. The idea that so many people here buy into the stereotype that all bettors are addicted to gambling, all betting sites are shady and just after their own interests, etc. etc. is crazy, considering that we're all here on a website discussing people who devote their lives to playing video games. It's no secret that we deal with many of the same or similar preconceived notions, that people who play video games all day are lazy, shut-ins, addicted to video games, and so on. Clearly, we know how frustrating and untrue those stereotypes can be. So you would think that we as a community would be able to look past preconceived notions of a similar community more easily than most. It doesn't feel like that though. Well, do you honestly find that surprising when bettors are the ones behind matchfixing to start with? It's quite ironic to say people should be more trusting about people betting on the game that's under scrutiny due to betting gone wrong. ~~
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