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On September 25 2014 05:18 The_Templar wrote:Show nested quote +On September 25 2014 05:13 Die4Ever wrote:On September 25 2014 05:09 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: Is there a chance that Snute, Scarlett and Bunny could all make it? technically yes lol ~ 0.49 % chance of 3+ foreigners ~ 0.01 % chance of 4+ foreigners ~ 0 % chance of 5+ foreigners 3 foreigners: Scarlett wins WCS AM, Bunny wins WCS EU, Snute does really well at Dreamhack. 4 foreigners: That, and Dayshi also does really well at Dreamhack as well as winning a placement tournament. keep in mind those stats are from before Dayshi losing today, so he could've still gotten 2nd in WCS EU at that time, now he's around 0% chances though
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WCS Predictor 2014GSL S3 Code SStarts in INnoVation must win this!INnoVation, Cure in GSL S3 Code S- INnoVation is at ~ 31.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 54.78 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.99 %. ~ 45.22 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 45.22 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 54.78 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Winning Chances soO has a ~ 42.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 100 % INnoVation has a ~ 31.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.77 % to ~ 99.31 % Cure has a ~ 25.85 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %+ Show Spoiler [Related Events] + ~ 45.22 % of the time Cure wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.72 % to ~ 69.42 %
~ 54.78 % of the time INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.72 % to ~ 51.72 %
~ 45.22 % of the time Cure wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.9 % to ~ 52.41 %
~ 54.78 % of the time INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.9 % to ~ 38.7 %
~ 45.22 % of the time Cure wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 91.34 %
~ 54.78 % of the time INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 83.84 %
~ 45.22 % of the time Cure wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.1 % to ~ 97.87 %
~ 54.78 % of the time INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.1 % to ~ 92.81 %
~ 45.22 % of the time Cure wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Life's Blizzcon chances from ~ 96.68 % to ~ 98.67 %
~ 54.78 % of the time INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Life's Blizzcon chances from ~ 96.68 % to ~ 95.03 %
~ 45.22 % of the time Cure wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 99.64 %
~ 54.78 % of the time INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 97.55 %
~ 45.22 % of the time Cure wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.48 % to ~ 99.83 %
~ 54.78 % of the time INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.48 % to ~ 99.19 %
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WCS Predictor 2014DreamHack Stockholm Day 1Group Stage 1 Previews+ Show Spoiler [Group Stage 1 Previews] +Starts in + Show Spoiler [HaNfy, Socke, JayPower, köttplockarn i…] +DreamHack Stockholm- HaNfy is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 70.31 % of the time HaNfy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 29.69 % of the time HaNfy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Socke is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 69.86 % of the time Socke wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 30.14 % of the time Socke loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - JayPower is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 30.21 % of the time JayPower wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 69.79 % of the time JayPower loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - köttplockarn is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 29.61 % of the time köttplockarn wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 70.39 % of the time köttplockarn loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [TargA, PtitDrogo, MaddeLisk, thejoniz…] +DreamHack Stockholm- TargA is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 91.01 % of the time TargA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 8.99 % of the time TargA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - PtitDrogo is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 45.44 % of the time PtitDrogo wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 54.56 % of the time PtitDrogo loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MaddeLisk is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 40.76 % of the time MaddeLisk wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 59.24 % of the time MaddeLisk loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - thejoniz is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 22.79 % of the time thejoniz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 77.21 % of the time thejoniz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [MarineLord, DeMusliM, MrBadExample, Bu…] +DreamHack Stockholm- MarineLord is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 79.67 % of the time MarineLord wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 20.33 % of the time MarineLord loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - DeMusliM is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.03 % of the time DeMusliM wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 36.97 % of the time DeMusliM loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MrBadExample is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 45.17 % of the time MrBadExample wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 54.83 % of the time MrBadExample loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bubbas is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 12.14 % of the time Bubbas wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 87.86 % of the time Bubbas loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Zanster, SolO, Goldhead, Ghost in Drea…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Zanster is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 91.5 % of the time Zanster wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 8.5 % of the time Zanster loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - SolO is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.42 % of the time SolO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 60.58 % of the time SolO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Goldhead is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 34.73 % of the time Goldhead wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 65.27 % of the time Goldhead loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Ghost is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 34.35 % of the time Ghost wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 65.65 % of the time Ghost loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [SortOf, Namshar, Hantypen, QueenE in D…] +DreamHack Stockholm- SortOf is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 80.11 % of the time SortOf wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 19.89 % of the time SortOf loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Namshar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 66.18 % of the time Namshar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 33.82 % of the time Namshar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Hantypen is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 45.24 % of the time Hantypen wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 54.76 % of the time Hantypen loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - QueenE is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 8.47 % of the time QueenE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 91.53 % of the time QueenE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [uThermal, Ignite, Crowbar, Zervas in D…] +DreamHack Stockholm- uThermal is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 88.24 % of the time uThermal wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 11.76 % of the time uThermal loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Ignite is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 52.78 % of the time Ignite wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 47.22 % of the time Ignite loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Crowbar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 32.8 % of the time Crowbar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 67.2 % of the time Crowbar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Zervas is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 26.17 % of the time Zervas wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 73.83 % of the time Zervas loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Blysk, StarNaN, Jona, Groet in DreamHa…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Blysk is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 73.17 % of the time Blysk wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 26.83 % of the time Blysk loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarNaN is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 56.31 % of the time StarNaN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 43.69 % of the time StarNaN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jona is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 49.52 % of the time Jona wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 50.48 % of the time Jona loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Groet is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 20.99 % of the time Groet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 79.01 % of the time Groet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Lilbow, BreakYa, rainCzar, Autumn in D…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Lilbow is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 93.94 % of the time Lilbow wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 6.06 % of the time Lilbow loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - BreakYa is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.74 % of the time BreakYa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 57.26 % of the time BreakYa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - rainCzar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.32 % of the time rainCzar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 63.68 % of the time rainCzar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Autumn is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 27.01 % of the time Autumn wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 72.99 % of the time Autumn loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [MorroW, Skinky, aGaham, Livibee in Dre…] +DreamHack Stockholm- MorroW is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 82.63 % of the time MorroW wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 17.37 % of the time MorroW loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Skinky is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 46.6 % of the time Skinky wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 53.4 % of the time Skinky loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - aGaham is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.47 % of the time aGaham wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 62.53 % of the time aGaham loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Livibee is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 33.3 % of the time Livibee wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 66.7 % of the time Livibee loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Ret, SpaceDuck, MilLoRd, Wanji in Drea…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Ret is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 83.14 % of the time Ret wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 16.86 % of the time Ret loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - SpaceDuck is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 46.48 % of the time SpaceDuck wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 53.52 % of the time SpaceDuck loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MilLoRd is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.11 % of the time MilLoRd wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 62.89 % of the time MilLoRd loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Wanji is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 33.27 % of the time Wanji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 66.73 % of the time Wanji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Kane, DieStar, Gowerly, Webby in Dream…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Kane is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 84.32 % of the time Kane wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 15.68 % of the time Kane loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - DieStar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.07 % of the time DieStar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 42.93 % of the time DieStar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Gowerly is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Gowerly wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Gowerly loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Webby is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 16.96 % of the time Webby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 83.04 % of the time Webby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [PiG, SpaceMarine, Mellanmjolk, Bloop i…] +DreamHack Stockholm- PiG is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 85.32 % of the time PiG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 14.68 % of the time PiG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - SpaceMarine is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.34 % of the time SpaceMarine wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 58.66 % of the time SpaceMarine loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Mellanmjolk is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.24 % of the time Mellanmjolk wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 60.76 % of the time Mellanmjolk loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bloop is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 34.1 % of the time Bloop wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 65.9 % of the time Bloop loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Group Stage 2 Previews+ Show Spoiler [Group Stage 2 Previews] +Starts in + Show Spoiler [Jaedong, MaNa in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- Jaedong is at ~ 59.7 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 78.3 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 64.86 %. ~ 21.7 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 41.05 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MaNa is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 65.52 % of the time MaNa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 34.48 % of the time MaNa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in soO has the #2 headband! This is a match for the #2 headband! + Show Spoiler [soO, Golden in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- soO is at ~ 98.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 81.01 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.82 %. ~ 18.99 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 97.1 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 6.76 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 71.16 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.96 %. ~ 28.84 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.25 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Polt, Dayshi in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 83.3 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 16.7 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dayshi is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 71.07 % of the time Dayshi wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 28.93 % of the time Dayshi loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [HerO, Welmu in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- HerO is at ~ 7.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 71.77 % of the time HerO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.79 %. ~ 28.23 % of the time HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.6 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 68.16 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 31.84 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Solar, ToD in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- Solar is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 85.06 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 14.94 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ToD is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 53.04 % of the time ToD wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 46.96 % of the time ToD loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Ryung in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 82.51 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 17.49 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Ryung is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 67.58 % of the time Ryung wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 32.42 % of the time Ryung loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for Snute!+ Show Spoiler [Bunny, Snute in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- Bunny is at ~ 11.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 80.92 % of the time Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 11.79 %. ~ 19.08 % of the time Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.64 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 44.88 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 75.44 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.92 %. ~ 24.56 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.1 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Classic, Miniraser in DreamHack Stockh…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Classic is at ~ 99.48 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 82.43 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.58 %. ~ 17.57 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 98.99 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Miniraser is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 53.46 % of the time Miniraser wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 46.54 % of the time Miniraser loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, HuK in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- ForGG is at ~ 19.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 81.26 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.02 %. ~ 18.74 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.5 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 2.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 68.46 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.53 %. ~ 31.54 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.19 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Sacsri, Leenock in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- Sacsri is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 80.46 % of the time Sacsri wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 19.54 % of the time Sacsri loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Leenock is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 75.11 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 24.89 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [herO, Grubby in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- herO is at ~ 95.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 85.29 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.19 %. ~ 14.71 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 88.79 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Grubby is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 60.25 % of the time Grubby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 39.75 % of the time Grubby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in YoDa must win this!+ Show Spoiler [YoDa, jjakji in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- YoDa is at ~ 9.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 82.88 % of the time YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 11.38 %. ~ 17.12 % of the time YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.74 %. ------------------------------------------------- - jjakji is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 80.78 % of the time jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %. ~ 19.22 % of the time jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.99 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Life, First in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- Life is at ~ 96.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 81.22 % of the time Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 97.47 %. ~ 18.78 % of the time Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 93.36 %. ------------------------------------------------- - First is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 75.51 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 24.49 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [MMA, TLO in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- MMA is at ~ 87.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 80.34 % of the time MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 89.75 %. ~ 19.66 % of the time MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 76.93 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TLO is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 66.71 % of the time TLO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 33.29 % of the time TLO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [TRUE, Oz in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- TRUE is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 78.91 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 21.09 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 61.56 % of the time Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 38.44 % of the time Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Patience, MC in DreamHack Stockholm] +DreamHack Stockholm- Patience is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 79.35 % of the time Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 20.65 % of the time Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 73.13 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 26.87 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Winning Chances YoDa has a ~ 7.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 18.7 % herO has a ~ 6.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.1 % to ~ 100 % jjakji has a ~ 5.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Polt has a ~ 5.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Life has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 96.69 % to ~ 100 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + HyuN has a ~ 4.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Solar has a ~ 4.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Sacsri has a ~ 4.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % ForGG has a ~ 4.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.73 % to ~ 42.37 % Bunny has a ~ 4.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.38 % to ~ 40.64 % Classic has a ~ 3.98 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.48 % to ~ 100 % soO has a ~ 3.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 100 % Patience has a ~ 3.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MMA has a ~ 3.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 3.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Snute has a ~ 2.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 100 % Leenock has a ~ 2.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MC has a ~ 2.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 2.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.7 % to ~ 100 % TRUE has a ~ 2.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Lilbow has a ~ 2.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Golden has a ~ 1.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.76 % to ~ 7.67 % Dayshi has a ~ 1.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % HerO has a ~ 1.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 59.01 % HuK has a ~ 1.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.11 % to ~ 4.88 % TargA has a ~ 1.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Welmu has a ~ 1.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Ryung has a ~ 1.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MaNa has a ~ 0.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % TLO has a ~ 0.75 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % uThermal has a ~ 0.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % PiG has a ~ 0.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Oz has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Grubby has a ~ 0.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MarineLord has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Kane has a ~ 0.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Blysk has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Zanster has a ~ 0.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % SortOf has a ~ 0.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % ToD has a ~ 0.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MorroW has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Miniraser has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Ret has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Socke has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Winning Gains Snute would gain ~ 55.12 % if they win, with a ~ 2.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 100 % HerO would gain ~ 51.83 % if they win, with a ~ 1.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 59.01 % Jaedong would gain ~ 40.3 % if they win, with a ~ 2.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 59.7 % to ~ 100 % Bunny would gain ~ 29.26 % if they win, with a ~ 4.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.38 % to ~ 40.64 % ForGG would gain ~ 22.64 % if they win, with a ~ 4.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 19.73 % to ~ 42.37 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + MMA would gain ~ 12.77 % if they win, with a ~ 3.57 % chance to win, going from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 100 % YoDa would gain ~ 8.96 % if they win, with a ~ 7.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 18.7 % herO would gain ~ 4.9 % if they win, with a ~ 6.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.1 % to ~ 100 % Life would gain ~ 3.31 % if they win, with a ~ 4.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 96.69 % to ~ 100 % HuK would gain ~ 2.77 % if they win, with a ~ 1.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.11 % to ~ 4.88 % soO would gain ~ 1.51 % if they win, with a ~ 3.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 100 % Golden would gain ~ 0.91 % if they win, with a ~ 1.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.76 % to ~ 7.67 % Classic would gain ~ 0.52 % if they win, with a ~ 3.98 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.48 % to ~ 100 % Solar would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 4.61 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % TRUE would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.22 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Welmu would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 1.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % TLO would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 0.75 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % jjakji would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 5.54 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % PiG would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Oz would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Grubby would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MarineLord would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Socke would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Kane would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.33 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Blysk would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Zanster would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.23 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % SortOf would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % ToD would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.18 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MorroW would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Miniraser would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Ret would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % uThermal would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MaNa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Ryung would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % TargA would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Dayshi would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.64 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Lilbow would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % MC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.51 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Leenock would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.52 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % First would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 3.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Patience would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 3.57 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Sacsri would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.68 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/R6LVQdy.png?1)
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oh wow so herO's chances are actually only 88% currently!
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your Country52797 Posts
On September 26 2014 02:09 sharkie wrote: oh wow so herO's chances are actually only 88% currently! They're 88% if he doesn't get any points from Dreamhack.
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Some interesting things...
---------------- Jaedong ~ 21.69 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 41.05 %
~ 6.93 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 15.35 %
~ 1.82 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Pigbaby gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 7.92 %
~ 3.69 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 14.89 %
~ 1.18 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.03 %
~ 0.68 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 % + Show Spoiler [More] + ~ 0.75 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and Cure loses their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 and Bomber wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8 This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 %
~ 0.53 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Golden gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 %
~ 0.42 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 %
~ 0.58 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Pigbaby gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 %
~ 0.41 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Pigbaby gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 %
~ 0.35 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Golden gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and Snute gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 %
~ 0.28 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Golden gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 %
~ 0.34 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and Pigbaby gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.69 % to ~ 0.04 %
---------------- Snute ~ 24.56 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 17.1 %
~ 4.18 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.23 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Bunny wins their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 1.89 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Golden gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.53 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.06 %
~ 1.45 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Pigbaby gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.06 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] + ~ 4.06 % of the time Snute gets 32nd in DreamHack Stockholm and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and ForGG loses their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.06 % of the time Snute gets 32nd in DreamHack Stockholm and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and MMA wins their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.23 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and San loses their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.23 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Bunny wins their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.23 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and Bunny wins their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 and INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.23 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and Cure loses their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 and Bunny wins their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.23 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and San loses their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 and INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 4.23 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and Cure loses their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro4 and San loses their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 5.41 % of the time Snute gets 32nd in DreamHack Stockholm and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and San loses their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
~ 5.41 % of the time Snute gets 32nd in DreamHack Stockholm and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Bunny wins their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 0.05 %
---------------- ForGG ~ 18.73 % of the time ForGG loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.74 % to ~ 18.51 %
~ 40.5 % of the time ForGG loses their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.74 % to ~ 0.01 %
---------------- Yoda ~ 18.72 % of the time YoDa gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 51.96 %
~ 81.28 % of the time YoDa doesn't get 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 0.01 %
---------------- Liquid Hero ~ 1.35 % of the time HerO gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 59.03 %
~ 5.6 % of the time HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 100 %
~ 9.36 % of the time HerO gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 9.13 %
~ 0.13 % of the time HerO gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm and HerO gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 100 %
~ 0.49 % of the time HerO gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm and HerO wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8 This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 99.81 %
~ 0.45 % of the time HerO gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm and Snute gets 32nd in DreamHack Stockholm This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 68.26 %
~ 0.25 % of the time HerO gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm and Bomber gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 67.53 %
---------------- MMA ~ 31.97 % of the time INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 78.5 %
~ 17.03 % of the time Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 78.86 %
~ 11.09 % of the time Jaedong gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 79.41 %
~ 11.32 % of the time Snute gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 79.6 %
~ 21.5 % of the time Jaedong gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 81.06 %
~ 20.93 % of the time Snute gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 81.19 %
~ 14.19 % of the time San gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 94.27 %
~ 24.56 % of the time Snute loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 92.63 %
~ 21.69 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 92.52 %
~ 19.5 % of the time Polt gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 92.17 %
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I should add soO as well Innovation winning GSL is a double whammy since it means soO can't win and also Innovation passes soO, Cure winning isn't as bad for him.
~ 31.97 % of the time INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 95.78 %
~ 68.03 % of the time INnoVation doesn't get 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 99.76 %
~ 25.86 % of the time Cure gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 99.37 %
Cure winning the GSL actually improves soO's chances since it means Innovation can't win even though it means that soO only gets 2nd.
~ 11.09 % of the time Jaedong gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 96.05 %
~ 17.04 % of the time Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 96.3 %
Grouped events with soO losing in Dreamhack, gaining no points from it, that bring soO's chances down the lowest ---------- double events
~ 6.07 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 91.88 %
~ 2.14 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Jaedong gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 92.55 %
~ 3.24 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 92.84 %
---------- triple events
~ 0.69 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Jaedong gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 79.94 %
~ 0.7 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Snute gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 80.21 %
~ 1.04 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 80.56 %
---------- quadruple events
~ 0.12 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and Jaedong gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 58.18 %
~ 0.06 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 58.79 %
---------- quintuple events
~ 0.05 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and herO gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm and Life gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 50.33 %
~ 0.01 % of the time soO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 and Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm and Pigbaby wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8 This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 54.42 %
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Looks like it's crunch time for Snute and Jaedong. Although, this tournament is quite stacked. It would probably be viewed as an upset if either wins.
Intuitively, it seems quite likely that the players looking to secure their places (MMA, herO, Life, soO, etc.) will get top 16. MMA is the most at risk, but he is also on a roll.
The #9-16 seedings are probably what will be affected the most by this tournament. Until Stardust (at #8 with 4800), almost all players below can make up a lot of positions.
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DreamHack Stockholm Group Stage 2
Changes so far this tournament Biggest Winners
INnoVation went up by ~ 26.28 %, going from ~ 31.75 % to ~ 58.03 %
ForGG went up by ~ 0.47 %, going from ~ 19.74 % to ~ 20.21 %
Biggest Losers
Jaedong went down by ~ 13.24 %, going from ~ 59.7 % to ~ 46.46 %
MMA went down by ~ 3.45 %, going from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 83.78 %
herO went down by ~ 3.2 %, going from ~ 95.1 % to ~ 91.89 %
Life went down by ~ 1.52 %, going from ~ 96.69 % to ~ 95.17 %
soO went down by ~ 0.91 %, going from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 97.57 %
Heart went down by ~ 0.91 %, going from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 3.71 %
Pigbaby went down by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 8.1 % to ~ 7.42 %
Snute went down by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 44.24 %
Golden went down by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 6.75 % to ~ 6.25 %
HuK went down by ~ 0.45 %, going from ~ 2.11 % to ~ 1.65 %
YoDa went down by ~ 0.4 %, going from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 9.33 %
HerO went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 6.82 %
Classic went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 99.48 % to ~ 99.13 %
Bunny went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 11.37 % to ~ 11.22 %
WCS Point Cutoffs ~ 0 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 5.21 % of the time 2,925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 21.64 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 51.39 % of the time 3,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 78.78 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Starts in This match is important for Jaedong! + Show Spoiler [Jaedong, MaNa, PiG, PtitDrogo in Dream…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Jaedong is at ~ 46.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 68.41 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 55.07 %. ~ 31.59 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 27.79 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MaNa is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.43 % of the time MaNa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 37.57 % of the time MaNa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - PiG is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 53.81 % of the time PiG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 46.19 % of the time PiG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - PtitDrogo is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 15.35 % of the time PtitDrogo wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 84.65 % of the time PtitDrogo loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [soO, Golden, uThermal, ZhuGeLiang in D…] +DreamHack Stockholm soO has the #2 headband! This is a match for the #2 headband! - soO is at ~ 97.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 83.15 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.04 %. ~ 16.85 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 95.29 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 6.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.65 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.61 %. ~ 36.35 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.61 %. ------------------------------------------------- - uThermal is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 49.48 % of the time uThermal wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 50.52 % of the time uThermal loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ZhuGeLiang is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 3.72 % of the time ZhuGeLiang wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 96.28 % of the time ZhuGeLiang loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [Polt, Dayshi, Namshar, Revolver in Dre…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 82.25 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 17.75 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dayshi is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 71.54 % of the time Dayshi wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 28.46 % of the time Dayshi loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Namshar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 23.67 % of the time Namshar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 76.33 % of the time Namshar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Revolver is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 22.54 % of the time Revolver wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 77.46 % of the time Revolver loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [HerO, Welmu, Ret, DieStar in DreamHack…] +DreamHack Stockholm- HerO is at ~ 6.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 64.52 % of the time HerO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.49 %. ~ 35.48 % of the time HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.6 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 55.85 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 44.15 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Ret is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 49.07 % of the time Ret wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 50.93 % of the time Ret loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - DieStar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 30.56 % of the time DieStar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 69.44 % of the time DieStar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [Solar, Lilbow, ToD, Hotspur in DreamHa…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Solar is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 85.87 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 14.13 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Lilbow is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 72.93 % of the time Lilbow wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 27.07 % of the time Lilbow loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ToD is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.55 % of the time ToD wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 62.45 % of the time ToD loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Hotspur is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 3.65 % of the time Hotspur wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 96.35 % of the time Hotspur loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Ryung, MarineLord, Jona in Dream…] +DreamHack Stockholm- HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 77.62 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 22.38 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Ryung is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.48 % of the time Ryung wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 41.52 % of the time Ryung loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineLord is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 49.21 % of the time MarineLord wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 50.79 % of the time MarineLord loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jona is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 14.69 % of the time Jona wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 85.31 % of the time Jona loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [Bunny, Snute, MaFarazZo, SolO in Dream…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Bunny is at ~ 11.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 91.61 % of the time Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 11.38 %. ~ 8.39 % of the time Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.55 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 44.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 89.86 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.08 %. ~ 10.14 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.17 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MaFarazZo is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 9.28 % of the time MaFarazZo wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 90.72 % of the time MaFarazZo loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - SolO is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 9.24 % of the time SolO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 90.76 % of the time SolO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [Classic, Miniraser, MorroW, HaNfy in D…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Classic is at ~ 99.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 74.44 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.37 %. ~ 25.56 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 98.44 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Miniraser is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 45.82 % of the time Miniraser wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 54.18 % of the time Miniraser loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MorroW is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.98 % of the time MorroW wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 57.02 % of the time MorroW loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HaNfy is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.77 % of the time HaNfy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 63.23 % of the time HaNfy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, HuK, Socke, aGaham in DreamHack…] +DreamHack Stockholm- ForGG is at ~ 20.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 83.91 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.43 %. ~ 16.09 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.06 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 1.65 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.87 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.16 %. ~ 36.13 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.76 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Socke is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.45 % of the time Socke wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 57.55 % of the time Socke loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - aGaham is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 9.77 % of the time aGaham wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 90.23 % of the time aGaham loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [Sacsri, Leenock, Zanster, ViBE in Drea…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Sacsri is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 72.53 % of the time Sacsri wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 27.47 % of the time Sacsri loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Leenock is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 69.82 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 30.18 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Zanster is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.19 % of the time Zanster wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 62.81 % of the time Zanster loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ViBE is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 20.45 % of the time ViBE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 79.55 % of the time ViBE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [herO, Grubby, StarNaN, DeMusliM in Dre…] +DreamHack Stockholm- herO is at ~ 91.89 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 79.72 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 94.19 %. ~ 20.28 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 82.87 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Grubby is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 47.94 % of the time Grubby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 52.06 % of the time Grubby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarNaN is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 38.12 % of the time StarNaN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 61.88 % of the time StarNaN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - DeMusliM is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 34.22 % of the time DeMusliM wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 65.78 % of the time DeMusliM loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in YoDa must win this! + Show Spoiler [YoDa, jjakji, Autumn, Lillekanin in Dr…] +DreamHack Stockholm- YoDa is at ~ 9.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 88.1 % of the time YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.47 %. ~ 11.9 % of the time YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.87 %. ------------------------------------------------- - jjakji is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 85.99 % of the time jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %. ~ 14.01 % of the time jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.99 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Autumn is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 14.62 % of the time Autumn wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 85.38 % of the time Autumn loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Lillekanin is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 11.29 % of the time Lillekanin wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 88.71 % of the time Lillekanin loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [Life, First, Kane, MilLoRd in DreamHac…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Life is at ~ 95.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 82.66 % of the time Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.22 %. ~ 17.34 % of the time Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 90.14 %. ------------------------------------------------- - First is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.54 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 36.46 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Kane is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 45.98 % of the time Kane wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 54.02 % of the time Kane loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MilLoRd is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 7.82 % of the time MilLoRd wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 92.18 % of the time MilLoRd loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [MMA, TLO, SortOf, Reynor in DreamHack…] +DreamHack Stockholm- MMA is at ~ 83.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 83.29 % of the time MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 86.56 %. ~ 16.71 % of the time MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 69.88 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TLO is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.38 % of the time TLO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 41.62 % of the time TLO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - SortOf is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.11 % of the time SortOf wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 48.89 % of the time SortOf loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Reynor is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 7.22 % of the time Reynor wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 92.78 % of the time Reynor loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [TRUE, Oz, Mekar, Zervas in DreamHack S…] +DreamHack Stockholm- TRUE is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 90.46 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 9.54 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 71.33 % of the time Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 28.67 % of the time Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Mekar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 28.04 % of the time Mekar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 71.96 % of the time Mekar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Zervas is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 10.16 % of the time Zervas wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 89.84 % of the time Zervas loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [Patience, MC, SpaceMarine, MaddeLisk i…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Patience is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 84.95 % of the time Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 15.05 % of the time Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 80.87 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 19.13 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - SpaceMarine is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 23.06 % of the time SpaceMarine wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 76.94 % of the time SpaceMarine loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MaddeLisk is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 11.12 % of the time MaddeLisk wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 88.88 % of the time MaddeLisk loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
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Thanks for the update die4ever <3
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HerO is officially in full hail-mary.
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On September 27 2014 02:11 Circumstance wrote: HerO is officially in full hail-mary.
HerO is now out of DreamHack and out of Blizzcon.
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On September 27 2014 02:14 KillerDucky wrote:Show nested quote +On September 27 2014 02:11 Circumstance wrote: HerO is officially in full hail-mary. HerO is now out of DreamHack and out of Blizzcon. not quite 35.51 % of the time HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.61 %. he still has a chance....
~ 1.99 % of the time HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and HerO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.82 % to ~ 100 %
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What is the deal with HuK's % actually decreasing slightly when he does better than Ro4?
Is it a sample size thing, even with 50 million tests?
Is it better for him to let through someone that is already a lock, like Hyun, to maybe keep other peoples point totals down?
Is it just a bug?
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On September 27 2014 02:23 justdmg wrote: What is the deal with HuK's % actually decreasing slightly when he does better than Ro4?
Is it a sample size thing, even with 50 million tests?
Is it better for him to let through someone that is already a lock, like Hyun, to maybe keep other peoples point totals down?
Is it just a bug? That screenshot was taken earlier when it was at like 2 million samples, now at 50 million samples it looks like this Player, Currently, 32nd, 16th, 8th, 4th, 2nd, 1st HuK ~ 1.66 % ~ 0.75 % ~ 2.8 % ~ 4.66 % ~ 4.81 % ~ 4.81 % ~ 4.78 %
So 1st place gives him very slightly lower chances than 2nd or 4th. The extra points don't seem to help him much, since he needs to win WCS AM anyways, I think the 8th place just means that he probably won't have to play a tie breaker if he also wins WCS AM ~ 0.17 % of the time HuK gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and HuK gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.66 % to ~ 99.99 %
~ 0.37 % of the time HuK gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and HuK gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.66 % to ~ 97.27 %
~ 0.8 % of the time HuK gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and HuK gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.66 % to ~ 58.47 %
~ 0.05 % of the time HuK gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm and HuK gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.66 % to ~ 100 %
I think 0.03% is within margin of error, especially considering the random events that can happen in the 1% chance placeholder tournament. The event for Huk winning Stockholm has a ~ 1.09 % chance, meaning ~545,000 samples for it, so an 0.03% difference on that means a difference of about 163 samples. 545,000 samples would be enough except the placeholder tournament raises the margin of error a bit since it has so many possibilities.
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On September 27 2014 02:17 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On September 27 2014 02:14 KillerDucky wrote:On September 27 2014 02:11 Circumstance wrote: HerO is officially in full hail-mary. HerO is now out of DreamHack and out of Blizzcon. not quite 35.51 % of the time HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.61 %. he still has a chance.... ~ 1.99 % of the time HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and HerO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro64 This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.82 % to ~ 100 %
Oops.
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DreamHack Stockholm Group Stage 3Changes so far this tournament Biggest Winners INnoVation went up by ~ 25.67 %, going from ~ 31.75 % to ~ 57.42 % ForGG went up by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 19.74 % to ~ 20.54 % Scarlett went up by ~ 0.3 %, going from ~ 17.04 % to ~ 17.34 %Biggest Losers Jaedong went down by ~ 4.77 %, going from ~ 59.7 % to ~ 54.92 % Snute went down by ~ 3.39 %, going from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 41.49 % herO went down by ~ 2.97 %, going from ~ 95.1 % to ~ 92.13 % MMA went down by ~ 2.76 %, going from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 84.47 % Life went down by ~ 2.74 %, going from ~ 96.69 % to ~ 93.95 % soO went down by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 96.38 % Heart went down by ~ 1.71 %, going from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 2.91 % HerO went down by ~ 1.55 %, going from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 5.63 % YoDa went down by ~ 1.48 %, going from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 8.25 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 8.1 % to ~ 7.01 % Classic went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 99.48 % to ~ 98.52 % Golden went down by ~ 0.73 %, going from ~ 6.75 % to ~ 6.02 % HuK went down by ~ 0.49 %, going from ~ 2.11 % to ~ 1.62 %WCS Point Cutoffs~ 0 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 5.03 % of the time 2,925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 15.85 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 45.06 % of the time 3,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 68.17 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Starts in soO has the #2 headband! This is a match for the #2 headband! + Show Spoiler [Classic, soO, Leenock, HuK in DreamHac…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Classic is at ~ 98.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 60.45 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %. ~ 39.55 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 96.27 %. ------------------------------------------------- - soO is at ~ 96.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 55.96 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.98 %. ~ 44.04 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 91.81 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Leenock is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 43.8 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 56.2 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 1.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.79 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.16 %. ~ 60.21 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.6 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Polt, TRUE, First, TLO in DreamHack St…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 64.31 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 35.69 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TRUE is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 50.55 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 49.45 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - First is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 49.95 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 50.05 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TLO is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 35.19 % of the time TLO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 64.81 % of the time TLO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Sacsri, ForGG, Golden, MorroW in Dream…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Sacsri is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 67.58 % of the time Sacsri wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 32.42 % of the time Sacsri loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ForGG is at ~ 20.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 67.01 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.15 %. ~ 32.99 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.3 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 6.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 46.22 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.35 %. ~ 53.78 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.87 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MorroW is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 19.21 % of the time MorroW wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 80.79 % of the time MorroW loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for Jaedong!+ Show Spoiler [Jaedong, Ryung, Welmu, Grubby in Dream…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Jaedong is at ~ 54.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.7 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 74.31 %. ~ 41.3 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 27.37 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Ryung is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 52.21 % of the time Ryung wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 47.79 % of the time Ryung loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 47.05 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 52.95 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Grubby is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.04 % of the time Grubby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 57.96 % of the time Grubby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for herO!+ Show Spoiler [herO, HyuN, MaNa, Ret in DreamHack Sto…] +DreamHack Stockholm- herO is at ~ 92.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 65.24 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.43 %. ~ 34.76 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 78.43 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.35 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 41.65 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MaNa is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 38.24 % of the time MaNa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 61.76 % of the time MaNa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Ret is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 38.17 % of the time Ret wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 61.83 % of the time Ret loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for MMA!+ Show Spoiler [Life, MMA, Dayshi, Oz in DreamHack Sto…] +DreamHack Stockholm- Life is at ~ 93.95 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 64.19 % of the time Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.88 %. ~ 35.81 % of the time Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 83.33 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MMA is at ~ 84.47 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.23 % of the time MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.32 %. ~ 37.77 % of the time MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 64.97 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dayshi is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.55 % of the time Dayshi wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 58.45 % of the time Dayshi loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 32.04 % of the time Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 67.96 % of the time Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in YoDa must win this!+ Show Spoiler [YoDa, Bunny, Patience, Lilbow in Dream…] +DreamHack Stockholm- YoDa is at ~ 8.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 59.21 % of the time YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.36 %. ~ 40.79 % of the time YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.85 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bunny is at ~ 11.39 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 54.27 % of the time Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 12.5 %. ~ 45.73 % of the time Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.07 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Patience is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 47.42 % of the time Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 52.58 % of the time Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Lilbow is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.1 % of the time Lilbow wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 60.9 % of the time Lilbow loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for Snute!+ Show Spoiler [jjakji, Solar, Snute, SpaceMarine in D…] +DreamHack Stockholm- jjakji is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 75.45 % of the time jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 24.55 % of the time jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.99 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Solar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 60.35 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 39.65 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 41.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 55.32 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 66.54 %. ~ 44.68 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - SpaceMarine is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 8.88 % of the time SpaceMarine wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 91.12 % of the time SpaceMarine loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
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Yoda's down to 0.84% now that he lost in the 3rd stage
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