WCS Predictor 2014 - Page 36

Die4Ever

United States17671 Posts

September 27 2014 00:13 GMT

#701

On September 27 2014 09:09 The_Templar wrote:

OMG, that was so annoying. Thanks for fixing that >.>

There was also "HuK wins WCS America" and "HuK wins their next match in RO8, Heart finishes 4th place, Bomber finishes second place" type stuff. Glad to see this is fixed.

Yea I agree it was super annoying, I just randomly had the idea for the easy way to fix it lol. Idk why I never thought of it before, never did put much thought into removing those.

Although "HuK wins their next match in RO8, Heart finishes 4th place, Bomber finishes second place" is very different from just Huk winning WCS America, and I believe it's good that it's listed and tracked separately.

Die4Ever

United States17671 Posts

September 27 2014 00:13 GMT

#702

On September 27 2014 09:08 William paradise wrote:

Show nested quote +

On September 27 2014 09:01 Die4Ever wrote:
Sorry about the delay guys, I was just making an improvement to remove duplicate events such as Player A wins their next match (against Player B), and then also showing Player B loses their next match (against Player A). For example we can look at Huk.

Before, using the event filters "single positive notor", Huk had events like this
+ Show Spoiler [examples] +

~ 40.33 % of the time
HuK wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 2.47 %

~ 59.67 % of the time
HuK loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0 %

~ 40.33 % of the time
HyuN loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 2.47 %

~ 59.67 % of the time
HyuN wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0 %

and events like this
+ Show Spoiler [More Examples] +

~ 43.57 % of the time
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 2.29 %

~ 43.57 % of the time
INnoVation loses their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 2.29 %

~ 56.43 % of the time
INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0 %

~ 56.43 % of the time
soO loses their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0 %

But now it's fixed to favor the current player like Huk winning and Huk losing, so it removes the events for Hyun winning and Hyun losing against Huk, and then after that it favors the winning event so it has soO winning and Innovation winning but it ditches the events for them losing. This works just by finding events that have the same exact number of occurances in the initial block (the first 500,000 samples) and also result in the exact same Blizzcon chances for that player, and then it picks the one with the highest score.

This should make it much easier to read especially with the grouped events. I hope you like the change! Will be writing a bit to preview Dreamhack Stockholm Day 2 soon.

Can i just say your awesome. Really great how much time you put into this and how nice and easy it is to understand the standings.

thanks

Die4Ever

United States17671 Posts

September 27 2014 00:58 GMT

#703

The top 11 spots are secured with Hyun, Zest, MC, Polt, San, Taeja, Bomber, Stardust, jjakji, Classic, and soO at ~ 100 %.
The next 3 spots are over 90% with Life, herO, and MMA.
We have essentially 2 spots open with 12 players (over 0.01% chances) fighting (or praying) for them - Jaedong, Innovation, ForGG, Scarlett, Bunny, Snute, Pigbaby, Liquid Hero, Golden, Heart, Yoda, and Huk.

Life
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 43.37 % of the time
Life wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 100 %

~ 56.63 % of the time
Life loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 98.88 %

~ 6.95 % of the time
Life gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 100 %

~ 93.05 % of the time
Life doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 99.32 %

~ 0.07 % of the time
Life loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm and
MMA wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 0 %

~ 0.12 % of the time
Life loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 22.23 %

~ 0.04 % of the time
Life loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
MC gets 2nd in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 22.52 %

~ 0.09 % of the time
Life loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Jaedong gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 40.18 %

~ 0.22 % of the time
Life loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 41.84 %

~ 0.06 % of the time
Life loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Jaedong gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm and
Bomber wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.36 % to ~ 39.92 %

CJ herO
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 43.37 % of the time
herO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 95.71 %

~ 56.63 % of the time
herO wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 100 %

~ 10.14 % of the time
herO gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 100 %

~ 89.86 % of the time
herO doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 97.93 %

~ 24.6 % of the time
herO gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 100 %

~ 0.05 % of the time
herO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm and
MMA wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 0 %

~ 0.02 % of the time
herO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
Pigbaby gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Jaedong gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 14.78 %

~ 14.68 % of the time
herO gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 100 %

~ 44.74 % of the time
Jaedong wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 96.69 %

~ 0.09 % of the time
herO loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Solar gets 8th in DreamHack Stockholm and
Jaedong wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 15.94 %

MMA
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 58.15 % of the time
MMA wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 94.64 % to ~ 100 %

~ 41.85 % of the time
MMA loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 94.64 % to ~ 87.18 %

~ 24.62 % of the time
MMA loses their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro8 and
MMA loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 94.64 % to ~ 78.22 %

~ 19.23 % of the time
ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 94.64 % to ~ 83.48 %

~ 55.26 % of the time
Classic wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 94.64 % to ~ 98.22 %

Jaedong
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 44.74 % of the time
Jaedong wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 73.24 % to ~ 86.42 %

~ 55.26 % of the time
Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 73.24 % to ~ 62.56 %

~ 43.54 % of the time
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 73.24 % to ~ 91.91 %

~ 11.23 % of the time
Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 73.24 % to ~ 100 %

~ 56.46 % of the time
INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 73.24 % to ~ 58.83 %

~ 17.24 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 73.24 % to ~ 45.02 %

~ 19.23 % of the time
ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 73.24 % to ~ 50.35 %

~ 31.2 % of the time
Jaedong loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16 and
INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 73.24 % to ~ 42.95 %

Innovation
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 43.54 % of the time
INnoVation loses their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 50.79 % to ~ 0 %

~ 56.46 % of the time
INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 50.79 % to ~ 89.96 %

~ 36.84 % of the time
INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2 and
Polt wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 50.79 % to ~ 91.75 %

~ 36.34 % of the time
INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2 and
Bomber wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 50.79 % to ~ 91.59 %

~ 31.2 % of the time
INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2 and
Classic wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 50.79 % to ~ 95.51 %

ForGG
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 42.86 % of the time
ForGG loses their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 21.03 % to ~ 19.22 %

~ 57.14 % of the time
ForGG wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro16
This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 21.03 % to ~ 22.38 %

~ 19.23 % of the time
ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 21.03 % to ~ 100 %

~ 24.83 % of the time
ForGG gets 4th in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 21.03 % to ~ 1.53 %

~ 14.8 % of the time
ForGG gets 2nd in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 21.03 % to ~ 9.58 %

Scarlett
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 17.24 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.24 % to ~ 100 %

~ 12.47 % of the time
Scarlett gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.24 % to ~ 0 %

Bunny
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 10.55 % of the time
Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Bunny's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.72 % to ~ 100 %

~ 10.71 % of the time
Bunny gets 2nd in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Bunny's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.72 % to ~ 13.58 %

~ 34.08 % of the time
Bunny gets 4th in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Bunny's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.72 % to ~ 2.11 %

~ 7.26 % of the time
Bunny gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Bunny's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.72 % to ~ 31.22 %

~ 8.27 % of the time
Bunny gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Bunny's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.72 % to ~ 14.84 %

Snute
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 43.54 % of the time
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.67 % to ~ 26.79 %

~ 56.46 % of the time
INnoVation wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.67 % to ~ 0 %

~ 19.23 % of the time
ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.67 % to ~ 0 %

~ 17.24 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.67 % to ~ 0 %

Pigbaby
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 6.11 % of the time
Pigbaby gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 100 %

~ 8.49 % of the time
Pigbaby gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 12.56 %

~ 21.04 % of the time
Pigbaby gets 4th in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 0 %

Liquid HerO
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 4.85 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 4.85 % to ~ 100 %

~ 8.99 % of the time
HerO gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 4.85 % to ~ 0 %

Golden
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 7.73 % of the time
Golden gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Golden's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 4.5 % to ~ 58.26 %

~ 12.36 % of the time
Golden gets 2nd in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Golden's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 4.5 % to ~ 0 %

Heart
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 7.89 % of the time
Heart gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Heart's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 25.47 %

~ 12.39 % of the time
Heart gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Heart's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 0 %

~ 0.47 % of the time
Heart gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
San gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change Heart's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 100 %

~ 0.38 % of the time
Heart gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
MMA gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change Heart's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 95.78 %

Yoda
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 16.23 % of the time
YoDa gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.64 % to ~ 10.11 %

~ 15.18 % of the time
YoDa gets 2nd in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.64 % to ~ 0 %

~ 0.65 % of the time
YoDa gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Bomber gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2 and
Heart wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.64 % to ~ 41.84 %

~ 1.33 % of the time
YoDa gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Bomber gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.64 % to ~ 41.74 %

~ 1.42 % of the time
YoDa gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Polt gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.64 % to ~ 41.71 %

Huk
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

~ 5.15 % of the time
HuK gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.01 % to ~ 19.46 %

~ 11.99 % of the time
HuK gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.01 % to ~ 0 %

~ 0.08 % of the time
HuK gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
MMA gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Bomber gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.01 % to ~ 95.92 %

~ 0.04 % of the time
HuK wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro8 and
MMA gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Bomber gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Heart gets 4th in WCS AM S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.01 % to ~ 95.91 %

~ 0.1 % of the time
HuK gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
San gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Bomber gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.01 % to ~ 94.99 %

~ 0.06 % of the time
HuK gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
San gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Pigbaby gets 4th in WCS AM S3 Premier and
soO wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro2
This would change HuK's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 1.01 % to ~ 94.79 %

Die4Ever

United States17671 Posts

September 27 2014 01:00 GMT

#704

WCS Predictor 2014
DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16

Changes so far this tournament (and Innovation vs Cure)
+ Show Spoiler [Changes] +

Biggest Winners

INnoVation went up by ~ 19.05 %, going from ~ 31.75 % to ~ 50.8 %

Jaedong went up by ~ 13.53 %, going from ~ 59.7 % to ~ 73.23 %

MMA went up by ~ 7.4 %, going from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 94.63 %

herO went up by ~ 3.04 %, going from ~ 95.1 % to ~ 98.14 %

Life went up by ~ 2.67 %, going from ~ 96.69 % to ~ 99.37 %

soO went up by ~ 1.51 %, going from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 100 %

Bunny went up by ~ 1.36 %, going from ~ 11.37 % to ~ 12.72 %

ForGG went up by ~ 1.3 %, going from ~ 19.74 % to ~ 21.04 %

Classic went up by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 99.48 % to ~ 100 %

Scarlett went up by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 17.04 % to ~ 17.23 %

Biggest Losers

Snute went down by ~ 33.21 %, going from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 11.67 %

YoDa went down by ~ 8.09 %, going from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 1.64 %

Heart went down by ~ 2.61 %, going from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 2.01 %

HerO went down by ~ 2.33 %, going from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 4.85 %

Golden went down by ~ 2.24 %, going from ~ 6.75 % to ~ 4.51 %

HuK went down by ~ 1.1 %, going from ~ 2.11 % to ~ 1.01 %

Pigbaby went down by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 8.1 % to ~ 7.18 %

WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 13.3 % of the time 2,925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 16.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 46.7 % of the time 3,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 46.7 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.48 % of the time 3,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
(3125 and 3100 currently have exactly the same chances since no one can get 3125 points now)

Current Top 25 By Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] +

HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 6050
Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5800
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5500
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5125
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5050
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4800
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3475
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3325
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3275
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 99.37 %, Min WCS Points: 3250
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 98.14 %, Min WCS Points: 3225
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 94.63 %, Min WCS Points: 3150
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 73.23 %, Min WCS Points: 3075
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at ~ 50.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2225
ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 21.04 %, Min WCS Points: 2100
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 17.23 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 12.72 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.67 %, Min WCS Points: 2925
Pigbaby, is at ~ 7.18 %, Min WCS Points: 2500
HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 4.85 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
Golden (Ai), is at ~ 4.51 %, Min WCS Points: 1600
Heart (Axiom), is at ~ 2.01 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
YoDa (TCM), is at ~ 1.64 %, Min WCS Points: 1425

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [jjakji, Patience in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

jjakji is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 52.17 % of the time

jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 47.83 % of the time

jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Patience is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 47.83 % of the time

Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 52.17 % of the time

Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [soO, Ryung in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm

soO has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #2 headband!
-

soO is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 59.81 % of the time

soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 40.19 % of the time

soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Ryung is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 40.19 % of the time

Ryung wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 59.81 % of the time

Ryung loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [ForGG, Polt in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

ForGG is at ~ 21.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.16 % of the time

ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 22.39 %.
~ 42.84 % of the time

ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.23 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 42.84 % of the time

Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 57.16 % of the time

Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [MMA, MaNa in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

MMA is at ~ 94.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 58.16 % of the time

MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 41.84 % of the time

MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 87.16 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

MaNa is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 41.84 % of the time

MaNa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 58.16 % of the time

MaNa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [herO, Life in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

herO is at ~ 98.14 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 56.66 % of the time

herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 43.34 % of the time

herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 95.7 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Life is at ~ 99.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 43.34 % of the time

Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 56.66 % of the time

Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 98.88 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Sacsri, TRUE in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

Sacsri is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 54.75 % of the time

Sacsri wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 45.25 % of the time

Sacsri loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

TRUE is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 45.25 % of the time

TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 54.75 % of the time

TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
This match is important for Jaedong!
+ Show Spoiler [Classic, Jaedong in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

Classic is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 55.27 % of the time

Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 44.73 % of the time

Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Jaedong is at ~ 73.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 44.73 % of the time

Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 86.41 %.
~ 55.27 % of the time

Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 62.56 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Bunny, Solar in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

Bunny is at ~ 12.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.22 % of the time

Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.63 %.
~ 46.78 % of the time

Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.55 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Solar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.78 % of the time

Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 53.22 % of the time

Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Winning Chances

herO has a ~ 10.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 100 %

ForGG has a ~ 8.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.04 % to ~ 36.98 %

jjakji has a ~ 8.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

soO has a ~ 7.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Sacsri has a ~ 7.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

Bunny has a ~ 7.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.72 % to ~ 31.18 %

Life has a ~ 6.95 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.37 % to ~ 100 %

MMA has a ~ 6.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 94.63 % to ~ 100 %

Polt has a ~ 6.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Patience has a ~ 6.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Classic has a ~ 6.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Solar has a ~ 5.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Jaedong has a ~ 3.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 73.23 % to ~ 100 %

TRUE has a ~ 3.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Ryung has a ~ 2.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

MaNa has a ~ 2.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Winning Gains

Jaedong would gain ~ 26.77 % if they win, with a ~ 3.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 73.23 % to ~ 100 %

Bunny would gain ~ 18.45 % if they win, with a ~ 7.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.72 % to ~ 31.18 %

ForGG would gain ~ 15.95 % if they win, with a ~ 8.81 % chance to win, going from ~ 21.04 % to ~ 36.98 %

MMA would gain ~ 5.37 % if they win, with a ~ 6.81 % chance to win, going from ~ 94.63 % to ~ 100 %

herO would gain ~ 1.86 % if they win, with a ~ 10.15 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.14 % to ~ 100 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

Life would gain ~ 0.63 % if they win, with a ~ 6.95 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.37 % to ~ 100 %

jjakji would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.04 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

soO would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 7.82 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Sacsri would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 7.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 6.51 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Patience would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 6.33 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Classic would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 6.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Solar would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

TRUE would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 3.54 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Ryung would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.31 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

MaNa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

iHirO

United Kingdom1381 Posts

September 27 2014 01:22 GMT

#705

Can you calculate the overall odds of a foreigner making it to BlizzCon?

Die4Ever

United States17671 Posts

September 27 2014 01:23 GMT

#706

On September 27 2014 10:22 iHirO wrote:
Can you calculate the overall odds of a foreigner making it to BlizzCon?

yea it's on the website actually
~ 40.63 % chances of 1+ foreigners making it to Blizzcon
~ 1.99 % chances of 2+ foreigners making it to Blizzcon

Jazzman88

Canada2228 Posts

September 27 2014 03:47 GMT

#707

Dat soO helping hand that Snute needs so badly. soO can kill two players' hype trains with one shot if he loses (counting his own of course).

sharkie

Austria18401 Posts

September 27 2014 11:37 GMT

#708

show me that 100% for herO ^_^

[PkF] Wire

France24193 Posts

September 27 2014 11:44 GMT

#709

On September 27 2014 12:47 Jazzman88 wrote:
Dat soO helping hand that Snute needs so badly. soO can kill two players' hype trains with one shot if he loses (counting his own of course).

soO was already in ? I don't get what you meant.

SNSeigifried

United States1640 Posts

September 27 2014 11:47 GMT

#710

he means that soo can eliminate forgg and innovation for snute to keep him alive

[PkF] Wire

France24193 Posts

September 27 2014 11:48 GMT

#711

On September 27 2014 20:47 SNSeigifried wrote:
he means that soo can eliminate forgg and innovation for snute to keep him alive

Thanks.

digmouse

China6329 Posts

September 27 2014 11:52 GMT

#712

Innovation needs to win GSL, Pigbaby needs to win WCS AM, ForGG needs to place very high in both WCS EU and Dreamhack, I think if soO wins GSL Snute will be safe.

Die4Ever

United States17671 Posts

September 27 2014 13:52 GMT

#713

WCS Predictor 2014
DreamHack Stockholm

Biggest changes this tournament so far (and Innovation vs Cure)
+ Show Spoiler [Changes] +

Biggest Winners

Jaedong went up by ~ 24.73 %, going from ~ 59.7 % to ~ 84.42 %

MMA went up by ~ 12.77 %, going from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 100 %

INnoVation went up by ~ 7.25 %, going from ~ 31.75 % to ~ 39.01 %

herO went up by ~ 4.9 %, going from ~ 95.1 % to ~ 100 %

ForGG went up by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 19.74 % to ~ 21.51 %

soO went up by ~ 1.51 %, going from ~ 98.49 % to ~ 100 %

Classic went up by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 99.48 % to ~ 100 %

Scarlett went up by ~ 0.33 %, going from ~ 17.04 % to ~ 17.37 %

Biggest Losers

Snute went down by ~ 32.72 %, going from ~ 44.88 % to ~ 12.16 %

YoDa went down by ~ 8.04 %, going from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 1.7 %

Golden went down by ~ 4.71 %, going from ~ 6.75 % to ~ 2.04 %

Heart went down by ~ 2.45 %, going from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 2.17 %

HerO went down by ~ 2.37 %, going from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 4.81 %

HuK went down by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 2.11 % to ~ 0.91 %

Pigbaby went down by ~ 0.91 %, going from ~ 8.1 % to ~ 7.19 %

Life went down by ~ 0.86 %, going from ~ 96.69 % to ~ 95.83 %

Bunny went down by ~ 0.48 %, going from ~ 11.37 % to ~ 10.89 %

WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 13.85 % of the time 2,925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 17.6 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 21.81 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 44.1 % of the time 3,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.25 % of the time 3,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [Full] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 13.85 % of the time 2,925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 14.76 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 16.49 % of the time 2,975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 17.6 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 17.6 % of the time 3,025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 19.77 % of the time 3,050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 19.77 % of the time 3,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 21.81 % of the time 3,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 21.81 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 21.81 % of the time 3,150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 21.81 % of the time 3,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 44.1 % of the time 3,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 70.94 % of the time 3,225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 95.83 % of the time 3,250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.25 % of the time 3,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.25 % of the time 3,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

Top 25 Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] +

HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 6050
Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5800
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5500
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5125
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5050
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4800
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3525
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3475
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3350
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3325
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3275
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 95.83 %, Min WCS Points: 3250
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 84.42 %, Min WCS Points: 3200
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at ~ 39.01 %, Min WCS Points: 2225
ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 21.52 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 17.37 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 12.17 %, Min WCS Points: 2925
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 10.88 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
Pigbaby, is at ~ 7.19 %, Min WCS Points: 2500
HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 4.81 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
Heart (Axiom), is at ~ 2.17 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
Golden (Ai), is at ~ 2.04 %, Min WCS Points: 1600
YoDa (TCM), is at ~ 1.69 %, Min WCS Points: 1425

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [herO, Sacsri in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

herO is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 52.66 % of the time

herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 47.34 % of the time

herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Sacsri is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 47.34 % of the time

Sacsri wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 52.66 % of the time

Sacsri loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
This match is important for Jaedong!
+ Show Spoiler [Jaedong, Solar in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm
-

Jaedong is at ~ 84.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.55 % of the time

Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 48.45 % of the time

Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 67.85 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Solar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.45 % of the time

Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 51.55 % of the time

Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [soO, ForGG in DreamHack Stockholm] +

DreamHack Stockholm

soO has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #2 headband!
-

soO is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 55.06 % of the time

soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 44.94 % of the time

soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

ForGG is at ~ 21.51 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 44.94 % of the time

ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.16 %.
~ 55.06 % of the time

ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.71 %.

Winning Chances

soO has a ~ 26.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

ForGG has a ~ 20.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.51 % to ~ 32.6 %

herO has a ~ 18.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Sacsri has a ~ 13.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Solar has a ~ 11.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Jaedong has a ~ 10.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 84.42 % to ~ 100 %

Winning Gains

Jaedong would gain ~ 15.58 % if they win, with a ~ 10.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 84.42 % to ~ 100 %

ForGG would gain ~ 11.09 % if they win, with a ~ 20.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 21.51 % to ~ 32.6 %

soO would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 26.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

herO would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 18.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Sacsri would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

Solar would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 11.35 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [Other Events] +

Using filters "single other positive notor"

~ 48.45 % of the time
Solar wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro8
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 39.01 % to ~ 50.87 %

~ 51.55 % of the time
Jaedong wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro8
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 39.01 % to ~ 27.87 %

~ 25.38 % of the time
Solar gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 84.42 % to ~ 67.95 %

~ 29.33 % of the time
Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 39.01 % to ~ 27.95 %

~ 25.38 % of the time
Solar gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 39.01 % to ~ 50.91 %

~ 11.72 % of the time
Solar gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 84.42 % to ~ 66.24 %

~ 48.45 % of the time
Solar wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro8
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.83 % to ~ 100 %

~ 51.55 % of the time
Jaedong wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro8
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.83 % to ~ 91.91 %

~ 44.94 % of the time
ForGG wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro4
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.15 % to ~ 9.91 %

~ 29.33 % of the time
Jaedong gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.83 % to ~ 91.9 %

~ 55.06 % of the time
soO wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro4
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.15 % to ~ 13.98 %

~ 25.38 % of the time
Solar gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.83 % to ~ 100 %

~ 11.72 % of the time
Solar gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.83 % to ~ 100 %

~ 11.92 % of the time
Jaedong gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.83 % to ~ 91.94 %

Ctone23

United States1839 Posts

September 27 2014 14:02 GMT

#714

Die4Ever this is incredible work thank you so much.

kyomezzo

57 Posts

September 27 2014 14:08 GMT

#715

But if both ForGG and PigBaby/HerO get 1st place in WCS, JaeDong will be out even though he gets 1st place in Dreamhack (max 3700), so I don't think it's 100% chance for JD

Die4Ever

United States17671 Posts

September 27 2014 14:15 GMT

#716

On September 27 2014 23:08 kyomezzo wrote:
But if both ForGG and PigBaby/HerO get 1st place in WCS, JaeDong will be out even though he gets 1st place in Dreamhack (max 3700), so I don't think it's 100% chance for JD

If all that happens then Jaedong is in, other players fall out instead.

~ 0.55 % of the time
Pigbaby gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
ForGG gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and
Jaedong wins their next match in DreamHack Stockholm ro8
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.82 % to ~ 0 %

It would knock out Life and whoever is below Life (Innovation if he wins GSL).

kyomezzo

57 Posts

September 27 2014 14:17 GMT

#717

On September 27 2014 23:15 Die4Ever wrote:

Show nested quote +

Ah, I forgot that ^^

Die4Ever

United States17671 Posts

September 27 2014 15:33 GMT

#718

with Solar beating Jaedong, Life is now at ~ 100 % Blizzcon chances!

digmouse

China6329 Posts

September 27 2014 15:40 GMT

#719

Now with JD finalize his WCS points at 3200, the last two spots falls back to the performance of Pigbaby, ForGG, HerO, Innovation, Bunny, Scarlett, Golden and Heart. If Pigbaby reaches the finals of WCS AM then Snute is out, if two of the above guys wins their WCS regions, both JD and Snute are out.

Ovid

United Kingdom948 Posts

September 27 2014 15:41 GMT

#720

So if Innovation wins we are very unlikely to see Jaedong at blizzcon?

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