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WCS Predictor 2014 - Page 21

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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
September 12 2014 20:16 GMT
#401
so serious question... with the recent announcement about Blizzcon http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/466881-first-round-of-wcs-finals-1-week-before-blizzcon
do I have to change all the text on my website? what should it even be changed to? "Blizzcon chances" is just so catchy, maybe WCS chances is ok....
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
September 12 2014 20:31 GMT
#402
On September 13 2014 05:16 Die4Ever wrote:
so serious question... with the recent announcement about Blizzcon http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/466881-first-round-of-wcs-finals-1-week-before-blizzcon
do I have to change all the text on my website? what should it even be changed to? "Blizzcon chances" is just so catchy, maybe WCS chances is ok....


Since every player in the Top 16 still plays at Blizzcon, I think you're OK.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
September 12 2014 20:33 GMT
#403
On September 13 2014 05:31 Circumstance wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 05:16 Die4Ever wrote:
so serious question... with the recent announcement about Blizzcon http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/466881-first-round-of-wcs-finals-1-week-before-blizzcon
do I have to change all the text on my website? what should it even be changed to? "Blizzcon chances" is just so catchy, maybe WCS chances is ok....


Since every player in the Top 16 still plays at Blizzcon, I think you're OK.

nice loophole with the exhibition matches! thanks lol, I might still need to change the text for this though
~ 20.75 % chance to see Life vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon.
maybe to
~ 20.75 % chance to see Life vs MC as a first match at WCS Finals.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Koerage
Profile Joined April 2012
Netherlands1220 Posts
September 13 2014 08:24 GMT
#404
for Flash to make it to the finals he probably would also have to go to and do well @DH Stockholm, because even if he wins KespaCup he "only" hits 14th in the current rankings (because Bomber didnt win against herO, so herO now has more point than Flash can get), but Snute still has Moscow (and prolly Stockholm) to get some more points and quite alot of people from 15-25 are still in WCS and could knock him out quite easily.
There is no playerlist known yet for Stockholm, is there? Do you guys think that Flash will go to Stockholm should he win Kespa?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-09-13 08:51:05
September 13 2014 08:49 GMT
#405
On September 13 2014 17:24 Koerage wrote:
for Flash to make it to the finals he probably would also have to go to and do well @DH Stockholm, because even if he wins KespaCup he "only" hits 14th in the current rankings (because Bomber didnt win against herO, so herO now has more point than Flash can get), but Snute still has Moscow (and prolly Stockholm) to get some more points and quite alot of people from 15-25 are still in WCS and could knock him out quite easily.
There is no playerlist known yet for Stockholm, is there? Do you guys think that Flash will go to Stockholm should he win Kespa?

yea I think he would go to Stockholm, but only if he wins the KeSPA Cup, certainly he would know how close he would be and I'm sure he can convince KeSPA (it's Flash...) to let him go to Dreamhack so he can go to Blizzcon lol
"Expert" mods4ever.com
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 13 2014 09:02 GMT
#406
+ Show Spoiler +
Flash has like no chance now >.>
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18772 Posts
September 13 2014 09:07 GMT
#407
herO is my champion!!!

Once again he does the impossible, PvT to the finals when the meta is T favoured! =)
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
September 13 2014 09:43 GMT
#408
Biggest Winners During KeSPA Cup
kr herO went up by ~ 54.51 %, going from ~ 44.51 % to ~ 99.02 %
kr Classic went up by ~ 36.57 %, going from ~ 63.36 % to ~ 99.93 %
kr jjakji went up by ~ 13.6 %, going from ~ 72.68 % to ~ 86.28 %
kr sOs went up by ~ 4.72 %, going from ~ 74.31 % to ~ 79.03 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 2.37 %, going from ~ 4.93 % to ~ 7.3 %

Biggest Losers During KeSPA Cup
kr soO went down by ~ 43.59 %, going from ~ 81.64 % to ~ 38.05 %
kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 19.48 %, going from ~ 27.16 % to ~ 7.68 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 16.45 %, going from ~ 33.3 % to ~ 16.85 %
kr viOLet went down by ~ 4.94 %, going from ~ 23.55 % to ~ 18.61 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 4.08 %, going from ~ 97.65 % to ~ 93.58 %
kr Flash went down by ~ 3.67 %, going from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 0.02 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Solar went down by ~ 3.41 %, going from ~ 14.27 % to ~ 10.86 %
no Snute went down by ~ 3.08 %, going from ~ 34.68 % to ~ 31.6 %
kr MMA went down by ~ 2.47 %, going from ~ 18.27 % to ~ 15.8 %
mx MajOr went down by ~ 2.09 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 0 %
ca HuK went down by ~ 1.36 %, going from ~ 4.76 % to ~ 3.4 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 12.91 % to ~ 11.58 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.81 %, going from ~ 4.41 % to ~ 3.61 %
kr YoDa went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 9.87 %
kr Life went down by ~ 0.74 %, going from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 99.19 %
kr DongRaeGu went down by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 4.06 % to ~ 3.38 %
pl MaNa went down by ~ 0.49 %, going from ~ 2.66 % to ~ 2.17 %
fr Dayshi went down by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 1.12 % to ~ 0.73 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 19.11 % to ~ 18.74 %
dk Bunny went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 12.15 % to ~ 11.8 %
ru Happy went down by ~ 0.32 %, going from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 1.99 %
kr ForGG went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 11.93 % to ~ 11.73 %
kr Cure went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0.82 %
kr Dear went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 0.16 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr Golden went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 4.98 % to ~ 4.83 %


WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.31 % of the time 2,550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 11.05 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 50.9 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 74.75 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Koerage
Profile Joined April 2012
Netherlands1220 Posts
September 13 2014 10:20 GMT
#409
what's the 0.02% scenario where flash still qualifies? im just curious how he can get high enough to even get current top-16
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 13 2014 10:44 GMT
#410
On September 13 2014 19:20 Koerage wrote:
what's the 0.02% scenario where flash still qualifies? im just curious how he can get high enough to even get current top-16

Something along the lines of: wins placeholder tournament, wins dreamhack stockholm, and everyone else does really badly
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
GumBa
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
United Kingdom31935 Posts
September 13 2014 10:47 GMT
#411
So if INno wins GSL he is almost garantueed atleast top 16 right? He would have like 3.7k points
To all the haters: you deserve to witness many, many more Serral victories, worthy of the godlike player he is.
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 13 2014 10:51 GMT
#412
On September 13 2014 19:47 GumBa wrote:
So if INno wins GSL he is almost garantueed atleast top 16 right? He would have like 3.7k points

This happens
~ 18.46 % of the time
INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.75 % to ~ 99.99 %

Yes. There's just a little bit at stake though…
This happens
~ 81.54 % of the time
INnoVation doesn't get 1st in GSL S3 Code S
This would change INnoVation's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.75 % to ~ 0.36 %
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
GumBa
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
United Kingdom31935 Posts
September 13 2014 11:18 GMT
#413
Ooooo even more reasons to cheer for INno then!
To all the haters: you deserve to witness many, many more Serral victories, worthy of the godlike player he is.
mechengineer123
Profile Joined March 2013
Ukraine711 Posts
September 13 2014 11:27 GMT
#414
There are 4 Terrans that play in GSL in the WCS points top50! And they're ranked 17, 37, 41, 48 at the moment. Think about that for a second, people.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
September 13 2014 14:24 GMT
#415
WCS Predictor 2014
DreamHack Moscow Group Stage 2

Starts in
ru Happy must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Happy, Golden, Adonminus, ludasha in D…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- ru Happy is at ~ 2.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 74.51 % of the time ru Happy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.64 %.
~ 25.49 % of the time ru Happy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.23 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Golden is at ~ 4.84 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 74.04 % of the time kr Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.97 %.
~ 25.96 % of the time kr Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.49 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- il Adonminus is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 35.48 % of the time il Adonminus wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 64.52 % of the time il Adonminus loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru ludasha is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 15.97 % of the time ru ludasha wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 84.03 % of the time ru ludasha loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [YoDa, First, elfi, ZhuGeLiang in Dream…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr YoDa is at ~ 9.14 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 68.62 % of the time kr YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 11.32 %.
~ 31.38 % of the time kr YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.37 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr First is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 67.52 % of the time kr First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.
~ 32.48 % of the time kr First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi elfi is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.66 % of the time fi elfi wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 42.34 % of the time fi elfi loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi ZhuGeLiang is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 6.21 % of the time fi ZhuGeLiang wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 93.79 % of the time fi ZhuGeLiang loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [TargA, Welmu, Kas, Bly in DreamHack Mo…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- no TargA is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.88 % of the time no TargA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 46.12 % of the time no TargA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi Welmu is at ~ 3.76 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.88 % of the time fi Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.01 %.
~ 48.12 % of the time fi Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.48 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ua Kas is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.83 % of the time ua Kas wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 51.17 % of the time ua Kas loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ua Bly is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 45.41 % of the time ua Bly wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 54.59 % of the time ua Bly loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
This match is important for kr jjakji!
+ Show Spoiler [jjakji, MMA, sLivko, Revolver in Dream…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr jjakji is at ~ 86.76 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 76.96 % of the time kr jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 93.55 %.
~ 23.04 % of the time kr jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 64.12 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr MMA is at ~ 15.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 68.79 % of the time kr MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 19.3 %.
~ 31.21 % of the time kr MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.1 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru sLivko is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 28.7 % of the time ru sLivko wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 71.3 % of the time ru sLivko loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Revolver is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 25.55 % of the time ru Revolver wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 74.45 % of the time ru Revolver loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [LiveZerg, BBoongBBoong, Oz, KpeHgeJlb…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- ru LiveZerg is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 64.61 % of the time ru LiveZerg wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 35.39 % of the time ru LiveZerg loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr BBoongBBoong is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.69 % of the time kr BBoongBBoong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 36.31 % of the time kr BBoongBBoong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Oz is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 56.76 % of the time kr Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 43.24 % of the time kr Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru KpeHgeJlb is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 14.94 % of the time ru KpeHgeJlb wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 85.06 % of the time ru KpeHgeJlb loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Patience, fraer, DMC, KingCobra in Dre…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr Patience is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 82.21 % of the time kr Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 17.79 % of the time kr Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ua fraer is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 72.51 % of the time ua fraer wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 27.49 % of the time ua fraer loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru DMC is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 33.64 % of the time ru DMC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 66.36 % of the time ru DMC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru KingCobra is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 11.64 % of the time ru KingCobra wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 88.36 % of the time ru KingCobra loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [TRUE, Daisy, Serral, Couguar in DreamH…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr TRUE is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 74.25 % of the time kr TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 25.75 % of the time kr TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Daisy is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 65.23 % of the time kr Daisy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 34.77 % of the time kr Daisy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi Serral is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.69 % of the time fi Serral wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 50.31 % of the time fi Serral loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Couguar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 10.82 % of the time ru Couguar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 89.18 % of the time ru Couguar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
no Snute must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [HyuN, Snute, Creed, MindelVK in DreamH…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 94.08 % of the time kr HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 5.92 % of the time kr HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- no Snute is at ~ 37.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 92.02 % of the time no Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 40.42 %.
~ 7.98 % of the time no Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.72 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Creed is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 7.46 % of the time ru Creed wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 92.54 % of the time ru Creed loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru MindelVK is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 6.44 % of the time ru MindelVK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 93.56 % of the time ru MindelVK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Winning Chances
kr HyuN has a ~ 12.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr jjakji has a ~ 10.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 86.76 % to ~ 100 %
kr YoDa has a ~ 9.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.14 % to ~ 13.38 %
no Snute has a ~ 8.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 37.57 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr Patience has a ~ 7.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr First has a ~ 6.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.17 %
ru Happy has a ~ 6.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.03 % to ~ 8.14 %
kr MMA has a ~ 5.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.8 % to ~ 58.86 %
kr Golden has a ~ 4.75 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.84 % to ~ 7.59 %
kr TRUE has a ~ 4.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.16 %
no TargA has a ~ 2.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Daisy has a ~ 2.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi Welmu has a ~ 2.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.76 % to ~ 10.28 %
fi elfi has a ~ 2.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua fraer has a ~ 1.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua Kas has a ~ 1.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Oz has a ~ 1.8 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.33 %
kr BBoongBBoong has a ~ 1.73 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua Bly has a ~ 1.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi Serral has a ~ 1.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru LiveZerg has a ~ 1.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru sLivko has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru Revolver has a ~ 0.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru DMC has a ~ 0.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
il Adonminus has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


Winning Gains
no Snute would gain ~ 62.43 % if they win, with a ~ 8.76 % chance to win, going from ~ 37.57 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr MMA would gain ~ 43.05 % if they win, with a ~ 5.64 % chance to win, going from ~ 15.8 % to ~ 58.86 %
kr jjakji would gain ~ 13.24 % if they win, with a ~ 10.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 86.76 % to ~ 100 %
fi Welmu would gain ~ 6.53 % if they win, with a ~ 2.76 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.76 % to ~ 10.28 %
ru Happy would gain ~ 6.12 % if they win, with a ~ 6.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.03 % to ~ 8.14 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr YoDa would gain ~ 4.24 % if they win, with a ~ 9.61 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.14 % to ~ 13.38 %
kr Golden would gain ~ 2.75 % if they win, with a ~ 4.75 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.84 % to ~ 7.59 %
kr Oz would gain ~ 0.32 % if they win, with a ~ 1.8 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.33 %
kr First would gain ~ 0.16 % if they win, with a ~ 6.74 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.17 %
kr TRUE would gain ~ 0.15 % if they win, with a ~ 4.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.16 %
kr Patience would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 7.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
fi Serral would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
il Adonminus would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru LiveZerg would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru sLivko would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru Revolver would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.23 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru DMC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.23 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 12.52 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ua Bly would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr BBoongBBoong would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.73 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua Kas would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.89 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua fraer would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.94 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi elfi would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.15 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Daisy would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.76 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
no TargA would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.86 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Boucot
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
France15997 Posts
September 13 2014 14:44 GMT
#416
On September 13 2014 02:11 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 02:09 Boucot wrote:
On September 13 2014 02:01 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 13 2014 01:57 The_Templar wrote:
I want to know under what conditions there can be 4 foreigners at blizzcon.

it probably requires that Placeholder Tournament to happen, with Snute winning DHMoscow, Scarlett winning Red Bull, and then Bunny and Vortix winning DH Stockholm and the Placeholder Tournament, maybe something like that. Also Huk can still win WCS AM and make it, Scarlett too.

On September 13 2014 01:58 lastride wrote:
If flash wins kespa cup,does he make it to blizzcon?

~ 20.57 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 24.9 %

~ 14.86 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 0.51 %

What is the Placeholder Tournament ? o_o

it's a tournament that exists in the simulation 25% of the time with randomized players, just in case another tournament is announced, it mostly prevents premature 0% or 100% chances, I will probably remove it completely at the end of this month

Thanks !
Former SC2 writer for Millenium - twitter.com/Boucot
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18772 Posts
September 13 2014 16:50 GMT
#417
jjakji and snute both already gained points from IEM wow
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
September 13 2014 16:58 GMT
#418
On September 14 2014 01:50 sharkie wrote:
jjakji and snute both already gained points from IEM wow

I think you mean Dreamhack
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
September 14 2014 03:31 GMT
#419
WCS Predictor 2014
DreamHack Moscow Day 2
+ Show Spoiler [Changes During This and KeSPA Cup] +

Biggest Winners
kr herO went up by ~ 54.3 %, going from ~ 44.51 % to ~ 98.81 %
kr Classic went up by ~ 36.54 %, going from ~ 63.36 % to ~ 99.9 %
kr jjakji went up by ~ 19.25 %, going from ~ 72.68 % to ~ 91.93 %
no Snute went up by ~ 6.31 %, going from ~ 34.68 % to ~ 40.99 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 2.15 %, going from ~ 4.93 % to ~ 7.08 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr sOs went up by ~ 1.57 %, going from ~ 74.31 % to ~ 75.88 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 11.66 %
ru Happy went up by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 2.57 %


Biggest Losers
kr soO went down by ~ 50.64 %, going from ~ 81.64 % to ~ 30.99 %
kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 20.19 %, going from ~ 27.16 % to ~ 6.97 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 16.65 %, going from ~ 33.3 % to ~ 16.65 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 6.42 %, going from ~ 97.65 % to ~ 91.23 %
kr viOLet went down by ~ 6.17 %, going from ~ 23.55 % to ~ 17.38 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Solar went down by ~ 3.69 %, going from ~ 14.27 % to ~ 10.58 %
kr Flash went down by ~ 3.68 %, going from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 0.01 %
mx MajOr went down by ~ 2.09 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 0 %
ca HuK went down by ~ 1.81 %, going from ~ 4.76 % to ~ 2.96 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 1.59 %, going from ~ 12.91 % to ~ 11.32 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 4.41 % to ~ 3.19 %
kr DongRaeGu went down by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 4.06 % to ~ 3.04 %
kr Life went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 98.96 %
dk Bunny went down by ~ 0.95 %, going from ~ 12.15 % to ~ 11.2 %
pl MaNa went down by ~ 0.89 %, going from ~ 2.66 % to ~ 1.77 %
kr Golden went down by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 4.98 % to ~ 4.29 %
fr Dayshi went down by ~ 0.59 %, going from ~ 1.12 % to ~ 0.53 %
kr ForGG went down by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 11.93 % to ~ 11.43 %
es VortiX went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 6.1 % to ~ 5.75 %
kr MMA went down by ~ 0.33 %, going from ~ 18.27 % to ~ 17.94 %
kr Cure went down by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0.68 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 19.11 % to ~ 18.9 %
kr Dear went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 0.16 % to ~ 0.01 %
de TLO went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 1.46 % to ~ 1.35 %


WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon (a week ago 2,275 points was the highest with 0% chances)
~ 1.83 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 7.02 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon (was at ~ 23.52 % a week ago)
~ 45.83 % of the time 2,925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 70.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon (was at ~ 89.1 % a week ago)
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,600 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
The point cuttoffs are moving up!

Current Top 25 By Chances
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5750
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5200
  3. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5000
  4. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4875
  5. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4850
  6. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4825
  7. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4300
  9. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 99.9 %, Min WCS Points: 3200
  10. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 98.96 %, Min WCS Points: 3125
  11. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 98.81 %, Min WCS Points: 3100
  12. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 91.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2975
  13. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 91.23 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  14. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 75.88 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  15. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 40.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2675
  16. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 30.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  17. kr INnoVation, is at ~ 18.9 %, Min WCS Points: 1725
  18. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 17.94 %, Min WCS Points: 2100
  19. kr viOLet, is at ~ 17.38 %, Min WCS Points: 2275
  20. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 16.65 %, Min WCS Points: 2075
  21. kr YoDa (TCM), is at ~ 11.66 %, Min WCS Points: 1125
  22. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 11.43 %, Min WCS Points: 1675
  23. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 11.32 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  24. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 11.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  25. kr Solar (Galaxy), is at ~ 10.58 %, Min WCS Points: 1775



Match Previews
Starts in
This match is important for kr MMA!
This match is important for no Snute!
This match is important for kr jjakji!
ru Happy must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Match Previews] +

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Patience, Adonminus in DreamHack Moscow] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr Patience is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 66.03 % of the time kr Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 33.97 % of the time kr Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- il Adonminus is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 33.97 % of the time il Adonminus wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 66.03 % of the time il Adonminus loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
This match is important for kr MMA!
+ Show Spoiler [YoDa, MMA in DreamHack Moscow] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr YoDa is at ~ 11.66 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 55.48 % of the time kr YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.83 %.
~ 44.52 % of the time kr YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.96 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr MMA is at ~ 17.94 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 44.52 % of the time kr MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.57 %.
~ 55.48 % of the time kr MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.02 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Daisy, TargA in DreamHack Moscow] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr Daisy is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.64 % of the time kr Daisy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 48.36 % of the time kr Daisy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- no TargA is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.36 % of the time no TargA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 51.64 % of the time no TargA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
This match is important for no Snute!
+ Show Spoiler [Snute, LiveZerg in DreamHack Moscow] +
DreamHack Moscow
- no Snute is at ~ 40.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 67.9 % of the time no Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 52.4 %.
~ 32.1 % of the time no Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.85 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru LiveZerg is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 32.1 % of the time ru LiveZerg wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 67.9 % of the time ru LiveZerg loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [HyuN, BBoongBBoong in DreamHack Moscow] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 65.48 % of the time kr HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 34.52 % of the time kr HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr BBoongBBoong is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 34.52 % of the time kr BBoongBBoong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 65.48 % of the time kr BBoongBBoong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [TRUE, Welmu in DreamHack Moscow] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr TRUE is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.86 % of the time kr TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.
~ 46.14 % of the time kr TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi Welmu is at ~ 3.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.14 % of the time fi Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.15 %.
~ 53.86 % of the time fi Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.51 %.


Starts in
This match is important for kr jjakji!
+ Show Spoiler [jjakji, First in DreamHack Moscow] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr jjakji is at ~ 91.93 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 52.55 % of the time kr jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.15 %.
~ 47.45 % of the time kr jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 85.05 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr First is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 47.45 % of the time kr First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.
~ 52.55 % of the time kr First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Starts in
ru Happy must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Happy, fraer in DreamHack Moscow] +
DreamHack Moscow
- ru Happy is at ~ 2.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 65.4 % of the time ru Happy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.73 %.
~ 34.6 % of the time ru Happy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.39 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ua fraer is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 34.6 % of the time ua fraer wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 65.4 % of the time ua fraer loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.



Winning Chances
kr YoDa has a ~ 12.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.66 % to ~ 14.73 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 11.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr jjakji has a ~ 10.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 100 %
no Snute has a ~ 9.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr Patience has a ~ 9.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

ru Happy has a ~ 7.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.57 % to ~ 8.44 %
kr First has a ~ 7.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.13 %
kr MMA has a ~ 6.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.94 % to ~ 59.32 %
kr TRUE has a ~ 5.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.15 %
no TargA has a ~ 4.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Daisy has a ~ 3.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi Welmu has a ~ 3.73 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.8 % to ~ 9.31 %
kr BBoongBBoong has a ~ 2.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua fraer has a ~ 1.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru LiveZerg has a ~ 1.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
il Adonminus has a ~ 0.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


Winning Gains
no Snute would gain ~ 59.01 % if they win, with a ~ 9.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr MMA would gain ~ 41.38 % if they win, with a ~ 6.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.94 % to ~ 59.32 %
kr jjakji would gain ~ 8.07 % if they win, with a ~ 10.6 % chance to win, going from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 100 %
ru Happy would gain ~ 5.87 % if they win, with a ~ 7.9 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.57 % to ~ 8.44 %
fi Welmu would gain ~ 5.51 % if they win, with a ~ 3.73 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.8 % to ~ 9.31 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr YoDa would gain ~ 3.07 % if they win, with a ~ 12.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.66 % to ~ 14.73 %
kr TRUE would gain ~ 0.14 % if they win, with a ~ 5.71 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.15 %
kr First would gain ~ 0.12 % if they win, with a ~ 7.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.13 %
kr Patience would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 9.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 11.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
no TargA would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.76 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Daisy would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 3.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr BBoongBBoong would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua fraer would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.67 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru LiveZerg would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
il Adonminus would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.54 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


+ Show Spoiler [Top 20 Simple Events] +

(you can see these in the Events tables by using the keyword "simple" to filter with)
~ 9.01 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 86.8 %

~ 29.75 % of the time
Snute gets 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 25.11 %

~ 70.25 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 47.71 %

~ 19.49 % of the time
Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 54.55 %

~ 90.35 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 34.68 %

~ 6.95 % of the time
MMA gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.94 % to ~ 31.64 %

~ 90.99 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 36.45 %

~ 13.56 % of the time
jjakji gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 99.98 %

~ 80.51 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 37.7 %

~ 7.46 % of the time
jjakji gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 99.99 %

~ 93.01 % of the time
MMA doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.94 % to ~ 14.83 %

~ 20.94 % of the time
jjakji gets 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 95.38 %

~ 7.53 % of the time
Happy gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Happy's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.57 % to ~ 7.05 %

~ 8.74 % of the time
YoDa gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.66 % to ~ 14.18 %

~ 89.4 % of the time
jjakji doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 90.98 %

~ 93.05 % of the time
MMA doesn't get 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.94 % to ~ 16.92 %

~ 86.44 % of the time
jjakji doesn't get 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 90.67 %

~ 79.06 % of the time
jjakji doesn't get 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 91.02 %

~ 92.54 % of the time
jjakji doesn't get 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 91.28 %

~ 35.08 % of the time
Happy gets 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Happy's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.57 % to ~ 1.77 %

+ Show Spoiler [Top 20 Events] +

~ 9.01 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 86.8 %

~ 28.5 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 64.74 %

~ 27.58 % of the time
LiveZerg gets 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 16.71 %

~ 29.75 % of the time
Snute gets 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 25.13 %

~ 19.31 % of the time
LiveZerg gets 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 16.93 %

~ 26.72 % of the time
Daisy gets 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 58.85 %

~ 24.22 % of the time
TargA gets 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 59.95 %

~ 21.03 % of the time
Daisy gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 21.78 %

~ 19.38 % of the time
TargA gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 21.68 %

~ 19.49 % of the time
Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 54.55 %

~ 14.96 % of the time
Daisy gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 21.4 %

~ 13.43 % of the time
TargA gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 21.3 %

~ 70.25 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 47.7 %

~ 8.27 % of the time
LiveZerg gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 16.17 %

~ 90.35 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 34.69 %

~ 6.95 % of the time
MMA gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.94 % to ~ 31.66 %

~ 41.96 % of the time
jjakji gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.93 % to ~ 97.69 %

~ 73.28 % of the time
Daisy doesn't get 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 34.47 %

~ 43.02 % of the time
YoDa gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.94 % to ~ 10.99 %

~ 14.37 % of the time
Patience gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.99 % to ~ 53.74 %

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
September 14 2014 03:37 GMT
#420
WCS Predictor 2014
KeSPA Cup Finals
+ Show Spoiler [Changes During This and DreamHack] +

Biggest Winners
kr herO went up by ~ 54.3 %, going from ~ 44.51 % to ~ 98.81 %
kr Classic went up by ~ 36.54 %, going from ~ 63.36 % to ~ 99.9 %
kr jjakji went up by ~ 19.25 %, going from ~ 72.68 % to ~ 91.93 %
no Snute went up by ~ 6.31 %, going from ~ 34.68 % to ~ 40.99 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 2.15 %, going from ~ 4.93 % to ~ 7.08 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr sOs went up by ~ 1.57 %, going from ~ 74.31 % to ~ 75.88 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 11.66 %
ru Happy went up by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 2.57 %


Biggest Losers
kr soO went down by ~ 50.64 %, going from ~ 81.64 % to ~ 30.99 %
kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 20.19 %, going from ~ 27.16 % to ~ 6.97 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 16.65 %, going from ~ 33.3 % to ~ 16.65 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 6.42 %, going from ~ 97.65 % to ~ 91.23 %
kr viOLet went down by ~ 6.17 %, going from ~ 23.55 % to ~ 17.38 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Solar went down by ~ 3.69 %, going from ~ 14.27 % to ~ 10.58 %
kr Flash went down by ~ 3.68 %, going from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 0.01 %
mx MajOr went down by ~ 2.09 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 0 %
ca HuK went down by ~ 1.81 %, going from ~ 4.76 % to ~ 2.96 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 1.59 %, going from ~ 12.91 % to ~ 11.32 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 4.41 % to ~ 3.19 %
kr DongRaeGu went down by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 4.06 % to ~ 3.04 %
kr Life went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 98.96 %
dk Bunny went down by ~ 0.95 %, going from ~ 12.15 % to ~ 11.2 %
pl MaNa went down by ~ 0.89 %, going from ~ 2.66 % to ~ 1.77 %
kr Golden went down by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 4.98 % to ~ 4.29 %
fr Dayshi went down by ~ 0.59 %, going from ~ 1.12 % to ~ 0.53 %
kr ForGG went down by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 11.93 % to ~ 11.43 %
es VortiX went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 6.1 % to ~ 5.75 %
kr MMA went down by ~ 0.33 %, going from ~ 18.27 % to ~ 17.94 %
kr Cure went down by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0.68 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 19.11 % to ~ 18.9 %
kr Dear went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 0.16 % to ~ 0.01 %
de TLO went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 1.46 % to ~ 1.35 %


WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon (a week ago 2,275 points was the highest with 0% chances)
~ 1.83 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 7.02 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon (was at ~ 23.52 % a week ago)
~ 45.83 % of the time 2,925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 70.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon (was at ~ 89.1 % a week ago)
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,600 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
The point cuttoffs are moving up!

Current Top 25 By Chances
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5750
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5200
  3. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5000
  4. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4875
  5. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4850
  6. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4825
  7. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4300
  9. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 99.9 %, Min WCS Points: 3200
  10. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 98.96 %, Min WCS Points: 3125
  11. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 98.81 %, Min WCS Points: 3100
  12. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 91.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2975
  13. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 91.23 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  14. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 75.88 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  15. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 40.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2675
  16. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 30.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  17. kr INnoVation, is at ~ 18.9 %, Min WCS Points: 1725
  18. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 17.94 %, Min WCS Points: 2100
  19. kr viOLet, is at ~ 17.38 %, Min WCS Points: 2275
  20. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 16.65 %, Min WCS Points: 2075
  21. kr YoDa (TCM), is at ~ 11.66 %, Min WCS Points: 1125
  22. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 11.43 %, Min WCS Points: 1675
  23. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 11.32 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  24. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 11.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  25. kr Solar (Galaxy), is at ~ 10.58 %, Min WCS Points: 1775



Match Preview
Starts in
Zest, herO in KeSPA Cup
kr herO has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #2 headband!
- kr Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 59.41 % of the time kr Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 40.59 % of the time kr Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr herO is at ~ 98.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 40.59 % of the time kr herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 59.41 % of the time kr herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 97.99 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

If herO wins....
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.96 % to ~ 98.04 %
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 99.9 % to ~ 99.81 %

If Zest wins....
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 98.96 % to ~ 99.59 %

"Expert" mods4ever.com
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