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--------UPDATE Saturday, Sep 06 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) KeSPA Cup and DreamHack Moscow Previews!
In this update I also made it so that the Placeholder Tournament 1 only has a 25% chance of it happening, so most of the samples don't include this tournament at all, because I feel it is unlikely that we will have another tournament announced.
I will post the GSL Quarterfinals previews after KeSPA Cup is completed, since that will have big impact on many of those players, but you can already look at those previews on the website.
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
-
  HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
-
 MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
 TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5000
- StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
- Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
- San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
- Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4300
- Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
- Life (StarTale), is at ~ 99.92 %, Min WCS Points: 3125
- Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 97.65 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
- soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 81.54 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
- sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 77.17 %, Min WCS Points: 2450
- jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 69.88 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
- Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 62.94 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
- herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 44.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
 Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 36.03 %, Min WCS Points: 2550
- Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 33.44 %, Min WCS Points: 2075
- Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 26.51 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
- viOLet, is at ~ 22.21 %, Min WCS Points: 2275
- MMA (Acer), is at ~ 19.62 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
- INnoVation, is at ~ 19.18 %, Min WCS Points: 1725
- Solar (Galaxy), is at ~ 13.9 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
- YoDa (TCM), is at ~ 13.45 %, Min WCS Points: 1000
-
 Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 12.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
- ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 12.05 %, Min WCS Points: 1675
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 23.52 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 39.1 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 71.53 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 89.1 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,600 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
2,850 WCS Points has over 30% better chances than 2,825 WCS Points!
Biggest Winners Since 3 Days Ago
soO went up by ~ 22.66 %, going from ~ 58.88 % to ~ 81.54 %
Rain went up by ~ 6.67 %, going from ~ 26.77 % to ~ 33.44 %
Solar went up by ~ 6.02 %, going from ~ 7.87 % to ~ 13.9 %
ForGG went up by ~ 4.32 %, going from ~ 7.72 % to ~ 12.05 %
DongRaeGu went up by ~ 2.21 %, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 4.08 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] + Golden went up by ~ 1.86 %, going from ~ 2.73 % to ~ 4.59 % MaNa went up by ~ 1.24 %, going from ~ 0.83 % to ~ 2.07 % INnoVation went up by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 18.87 % to ~ 19.18 % Dayshi went up by ~ 0.3 %, going from ~ 0.85 % to ~ 1.15 % Jaedong went up by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 97.38 % to ~ 97.65 %
Biggest Losers Since 3 Days Ago
Flash went down by ~ 19.45 %, going from ~ 23.17 % to ~ 3.72 %
sOs went down by ~ 6.52 %, going from ~ 83.69 % to ~ 77.17 %
jjakji went down by ~ 2.69 %, going from ~ 72.57 % to ~ 69.88 %
TRUE went down by ~ 2.31 %, going from ~ 2.32 % to ~ 0.01 %
Classic went down by ~ 2.09 %, going from ~ 65.03 % to ~ 62.94 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] + Bunny went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 12.43 % to ~ 10.65 % viOLet went down by ~ 1.74 %, going from ~ 23.95 % to ~ 22.21 % Snute went down by ~ 1.54 %, going from ~ 37.57 % to ~ 36.03 % herO went down by ~ 1.54 %, going from ~ 46.18 % to ~ 44.64 % HerO went down by ~ 1.14 %, going from ~ 5.83 % to ~ 4.69 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 27.6 % to ~ 26.51 % MMA went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 20.61 % to ~ 19.62 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 8.8 % to ~ 8.24 % Nerchio went down by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 0.37 % to ~ 0 % Scarlett went down by ~ 0.34 %, going from ~ 12.94 % to ~ 12.6 % Welmu went down by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 4.14 % to ~ 3.84 % YoDa went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 13.66 % to ~ 13.45 % MajOr went down by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 2.47 % to ~ 2.29 % Happy went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 1.2 % Jim went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 0.63 % to ~ 0.45 % Dear went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 0.3 % to ~ 0.15 % TLO went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 2.03 % to ~ 1.9 %
KeSPA Cup Match Previews
Starts in
This match is important for Classic!
+ Show Spoiler [Classic, Rogue in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Classic is at ~ 62.94 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 56.88 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.78 %. ~ 43.12 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.68 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Rogue is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 43.12 % of the time Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %. ~ 56.88 % of the time Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [San, ByuL in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 64.26 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 35.74 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ByuL is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 35.74 % of the time ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 64.26 % of the time ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in
This match is important for Pigbaby!
+ Show Spoiler [Zest, Pigbaby in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 65.89 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 34.11 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 26.51 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 34.11 % of the time Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 56.56 %. ~ 65.89 % of the time Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.96 %.
Starts in
This match is important for sOs!
+ Show Spoiler [sOs, Reality in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- sOs is at ~ 77.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.24 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 95.56 %. ~ 36.76 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 45.55 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Reality is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.76 % of the time Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 63.24 % of the time Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in
Flash must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Flash, StarDust in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Flash is at ~ 3.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 59.43 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.26 %. ~ 40.57 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 40.57 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 59.43 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
Starts in
This match is important for soO!
soO has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #2 headband!
+ Show Spoiler [soO, Super in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- soO is at ~ 81.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.21 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.67 %. ~ 42.79 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 57.29 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.79 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 57.21 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in
herO must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [herO, Sorry in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- herO is at ~ 44.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 73.86 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 59.51 %. ~ 26.14 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.59 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Sorry is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 26.14 % of the time Sorry wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 73.86 % of the time Sorry loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in
This match is important for Rain!
+ Show Spoiler [Rain, Bomber in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Rain is at ~ 33.44 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 60.62 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.33 %. ~ 39.38 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.22 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.38 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 60.62 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
KeSPA Cup Winning Chances
Zest has a ~ 13.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
Rain has a ~ 12.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.44 % to ~ 99.99 %
Flash has a ~ 12.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.72 % to ~ 30.35 %
herO has a ~ 10.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 100 %
sOs has a ~ 8.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 77.17 % to ~ 100 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] + San has a ~ 8.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % soO has a ~ 5.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 81.54 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 5.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 4.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Classic has a ~ 4.97 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 100 % ByuL has a ~ 3.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Pigbaby has a ~ 2.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 26.51 % to ~ 100 % Super has a ~ 2.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Rogue has a ~ 2.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.32 % Reality has a ~ 2.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Sorry has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
KeSPA Cup Winning Gains
Pigbaby would gain ~ 73.49 % if they win, with a ~ 2.6 % chance to win, going from ~ 26.51 % to ~ 100 %
Rain would gain ~ 66.56 % if they win, with a ~ 12.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 33.44 % to ~ 99.99 %
herO would gain ~ 55.36 % if they win, with a ~ 10.33 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 100 %
Classic would gain ~ 37.06 % if they win, with a ~ 4.97 % chance to win, going from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 100 %
Flash would gain ~ 26.63 % if they win, with a ~ 12.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.72 % to ~ 30.35 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] + sOs would gain ~ 22.83 % if they win, with a ~ 8.83 % chance to win, going from ~ 77.17 % to ~ 100 % soO would gain ~ 18.46 % if they win, with a ~ 5.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 81.54 % to ~ 100 % Rogue would gain ~ 0.31 % if they win, with a ~ 2.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.32 % Reality would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 2.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % ByuL would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 3.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Super would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.67 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Sorry would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.44 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
KeSPA Cup Top 21 Events (cause Flash)
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +
~ 87.94 % of the time
Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 3.72 % to ~ 0.07 %
~ 40.75 % of the time
Rogue gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 15.55 %
~ 36.38 % of the time
Rogue gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 15.76 %
~ 59.25 % of the time
Rogue doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 95.54 %
~ 48.09 % of the time
Classic doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 24.39 %
~ 51.91 % of the time
Classic gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 98.66 %
~ 45.02 % of the time
Classic gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 98.46 %
~ 54.98 % of the time
Classic doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 33.87 %
~ 63.62 % of the time
Rogue doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 89.92 %
~ 26.35 % of the time
Rogue gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 15.72 %
~ 29.27 % of the time
Classic gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 62.94 % to ~ 97.84 %
~ 8.9 % of the time
herO gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 99.06 %
~ 25.46 % of the time
herO gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 88.05 %
~ 24.42 % of the time
Sorry gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 2.58 %
~ 4.44 % of the time
Pigbaby gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 26.51 % to ~ 96.1 %
~ 25.7 % of the time
Sorry gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 2.59 %
~ 19.79 % of the time
Sorry gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 2.56 %
~ 34.55 % of the time
Reality gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 77.17 % to ~ 45.45 %
~ 30.03 % of the time
Reality gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 77.17 % to ~ 45.41 %
~ 23.65 % of the time
Rain gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 79.15 %
~ 16.57 % of the time
herO gets 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.64 % to ~ 82.14 %
DreamHack Moscow Winning Chances
YoDa has a ~ 11.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.45 % to ~ 16.84 %
Life has a ~ 9.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 100 %
HyuN has a ~ 8.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
Solar has a ~ 7.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.9 % to ~ 31.35 %
Dear has a ~ 7.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 1.56 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] + Snute has a ~ 6.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 99.98 % First has a ~ 5.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.38 % Patience has a ~ 5.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % MMA has a ~ 5.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.62 % to ~ 69.47 % Happy has a ~ 4.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.2 % to ~ 4.16 % Golden has a ~ 3.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.59 % to ~ 8.79 % TRUE has a ~ 3.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.33 % Welmu has a ~ 2.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.84 % to ~ 12.38 % Stork has a ~ 2.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % TargA has a ~ 2.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Daisy has a ~ 2.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Kas has a ~ 1.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % elfi has a ~ 1.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Serral has a ~ 1.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.59 % Bly has a ~ 1.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Oz has a ~ 1.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.44 % BBoongBBoong has a ~ 1.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Socke has a ~ 0.8 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % LiveZerg has a ~ 0.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % sLivko has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Brat_OK has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % fraer has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Adonminus has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Revolver has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % DMC has a ~ 0.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Noname has a ~ 0.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
DreamHack Moscow Winning Gains
Snute would gain ~ 63.96 % if they win, with a ~ 6.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 99.98 %
MMA would gain ~ 49.85 % if they win, with a ~ 5.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 19.62 % to ~ 69.47 %
Solar would gain ~ 17.46 % if they win, with a ~ 7.74 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.9 % to ~ 31.35 %
Welmu would gain ~ 8.55 % if they win, with a ~ 2.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.84 % to ~ 12.38 %
Golden would gain ~ 4.2 % if they win, with a ~ 3.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.59 % to ~ 8.79 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] + YoDa would gain ~ 3.4 % if they win, with a ~ 11.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.45 % to ~ 16.84 % Happy would gain ~ 2.96 % if they win, with a ~ 4.83 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.2 % to ~ 4.16 % Dear would gain ~ 1.4 % if they win, with a ~ 7.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 1.56 % Serral would gain ~ 0.57 % if they win, with a ~ 1.61 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.59 % Oz would gain ~ 0.43 % if they win, with a ~ 1.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.44 % First would gain ~ 0.36 % if they win, with a ~ 5.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.38 % TRUE would gain ~ 0.32 % if they win, with a ~ 3.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.33 % Life would gain ~ 0.08 % if they win, with a ~ 9.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 100 % Patience would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 5.35 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Stork would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Noname would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.04 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % sLivko would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Brat_OK would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % LiveZerg would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.72 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % fraer would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.35 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Adonminus would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Revolver would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % DMC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.04 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Socke would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.8 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % BBoongBBoong would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.22 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Bly would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.51 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % elfi would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.64 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Kas would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Daisy would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % TargA would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.79 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
DreamHack Moscow Top 20 Events
+ Show Spoiler [Events] +
~ 5.52 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 96.92 %
~ 15.6 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 89.37 %
~ 10.08 % of the time
Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 85.24 %
~ 32.96 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 64.1 %
~ 67.04 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 22.23 %
~ 27.44 % of the time
Snute gets 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 57.49 %
~ 28.54 % of the time
Snute gets 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 21.97 %
~ 38.5 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th or 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 22.41 %
~ 61.5 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd or 4th or 8th or 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 44.55 %
~ 72.56 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 27.91 %
~ 71.46 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 41.64 %
~ 84.4 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 26.17 %
~ 4.87 % of the time
MMA gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 19.62 % to ~ 38.57 %
~ 45.91 % of the time
Snute gets 8th or 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 29.31 %
~ 54.09 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 8th or 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 41.72 %
~ 10.08 % of the time
Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 69.88 % to ~ 52.08 %
~ 93.53 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 31.6 %
~ 89.92 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 30.51 %
~ 14.05 % of the time
MMA gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 19.62 % to ~ 32.76 %
~ 94.48 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 36.03 % to ~ 32.47 %
Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------
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I know lots of Flash fans want to know so I wanna highlight this part
~ 87.94 % of the time
Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 3.72 % to ~ 0.07 %
|
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
On September 07 2014 07:08 Die4Ever wrote:
I know lots of Flash fans want to know so I wanna highlight this part
~ 87.94 % of the time
Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 3.72 % to ~ 0.07 %
3.72% chance. That's 1.5x Dear's chances, Dear the real god.
|
Looking at the most likely first matches of Blizzcon, almost all of them are big rematches or rivalries, I guess that's the main benefit of rewarding players for going to many tournaments lol.
~ 22.27 % chance to see HyuN vs jjakji as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 14.71 % chance to see MC vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 14.65 % chance to see Life vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 14.65 % chance to see TaeJa vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 14.56 % chance to see Life vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 14.13 % chance to see Life vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 13.66 % chance to see Life vs Polt as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 13.5 % chance to see Life vs Bomber as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 13.01 % chance to see Life vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 12.6 % chance to see Polt vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 12.43 % chance to see Jaedong vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 11.68 % chance to see Life vs TaeJa as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 11.43 % chance to see San vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 11.31 % chance to see Bomber vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 10.6 % chance to see HyuN vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 10.55 % chance to see MC vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 10.16 % chance to see sOs vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 10.01 % chance to see Bomber vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.78 % chance to see MC vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.78 % chance to see soO vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More] +~ 9.65 % chance to see Polt vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.65 % chance to see soO vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.64 % chance to see TaeJa vs jjakji as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.54 % chance to see Jaedong vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.45 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.39 % chance to see Polt vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.3 % chance to see San vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.08 % chance to see MC vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 9.02 % chance to see San vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.99 % chance to see sOs vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.86 % chance to see TaeJa vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.66 % chance to see TaeJa vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.63 % chance to see HyuN vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.51 % chance to see HyuN vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.33 % chance to see Bomber vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.15 % chance to see HyuN vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.11 % chance to see Polt vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 8.08 % chance to see Polt vs jjakji as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 7.89 % chance to see StarDust vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 7.88 % chance to see San vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 7.65 % chance to see jjakji vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 7.56 % chance to see HyuN vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 7.38 % chance to see HyuN vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 7.29 % chance to see jjakji vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 6.72 % chance to see Rain vs Bomber as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 6.45 % chance to see Rain vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 6.39 % chance to see Bomber vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 6.34 % chance to see Classic vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 5.99 % chance to see jjakji vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 5.92 % chance to see jjakji vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 5.58 % chance to see Bomber vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 5.44 % chance to see Bomber vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 5.36 % chance to see herO vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 5.3 % chance to see TaeJa vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 5.29 % chance to see TaeJa vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.93 % chance to see Polt vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.93 % chance to see StarDust vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.77 % chance to see San vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.58 % chance to see HyuN vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.55 % chance to see Polt vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.45 % chance to see Snute vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.32 % chance to see San vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.3 % chance to see MC vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 4.23 % chance to see MC vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.84 % chance to see MC vs INnoVation as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.78 % chance to see Rain vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.59 % chance to see viOLet vs Bomber as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.57 % chance to see viOLet vs HyuN as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.39 % chance to see Rain vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.29 % chance to see Bomber vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.25 % chance to see Rain vs Polt as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.08 % chance to see TaeJa vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.07 % chance to see Snute vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.05 % chance to see Polt vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.04 % chance to see HyuN vs MMA as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 3.03 % chance to see San vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.98 % chance to see Bomber vs MMA as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.94 % chance to see INnoVation vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.89 % chance to see TaeJa vs INnoVation as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.89 % chance to see StarDust vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.85 % chance to see Bomber vs jjakji as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.81 % chance to see Zest vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.81 % chance to see Polt vs INnoVation as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.76 % chance to see MC vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.55 % chance to see TaeJa vs viOLet as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.54 % chance to see INnoVation vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.52 % chance to see MMA vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.46 % chance to see viOLet vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.45 % chance to see TaeJa vs Rain as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.44 % chance to see Rain vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.39 % chance to see viOLet vs Polt as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.38 % chance to see Zest vs Solar as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.33 % chance to see MMA vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.3 % chance to see viOLet vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.23 % chance to see viOLet vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.15 % chance to see viOLet vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.12 % chance to see ForGG vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.1 % chance to see Polt vs MMA as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.1 % chance to see Bomber vs Solar as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.08 % chance to see MMA vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.04 % chance to see HyuN vs YoDa as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.02 % chance to see TaeJa vs MMA as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.01 % chance to see Bomber vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 2.01 % chance to see INnoVation vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.99 % chance to see Bomber vs Scarlett as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.98 % chance to see Bomber vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.96 % chance to see Life vs HyuN as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.94 % chance to see MC vs YoDa as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.94 % chance to see ForGG vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.88 % chance to see San vs Solar as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.87 % chance to see TaeJa vs YoDa as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.82 % chance to see StarDust vs Solar as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.78 % chance to see Zest vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.78 % chance to see ForGG vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.77 % chance to see San vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.77 % chance to see Polt vs YoDa as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.76 % chance to see YoDa vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.75 % chance to see Bomber vs ForGG as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.75 % chance to see Bomber vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.71 % chance to see Polt vs Scarlett as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.7 % chance to see Polt vs Solar as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.65 % chance to see Rain vs HyuN as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.63 % chance to see San vs YoDa as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.62 % chance to see MMA vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.58 % chance to see MC vs VortiX as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.54 % chance to see Polt vs ForGG as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.54 % chance to see Scarlett vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.52 % chance to see StarDust vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.52 % chance to see Scarlett vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.52 % chance to see TaeJa vs Scarlett as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.52 % chance to see Scarlett vs San as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.47 % chance to see Scarlett vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.44 % chance to see MC vs Solar as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.42 % chance to see VortiX vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.41 % chance to see TaeJa vs Solar as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.31 % chance to see ForGG vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.31 % chance to see Bomber vs INnoVation as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.27 % chance to see San vs VortiX as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.21 % chance to see Polt vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.13 % chance to see TaeJa vs VortiX as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.12 % chance to see YoDa vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 1.01 % chance to see Polt vs VortiX as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.86 % chance to see Bomber vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.84 % chance to see Bomber vs Polt as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.7 % chance to see TaeJa vs ForGG as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.44 % chance to see Bomber vs YoDa as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.26 % chance to see MC vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.12 % chance to see TaeJa vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.06 % chance to see HyuN vs Scarlett as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.03 % chance to see HyuN vs Solar as a first match at Blizzcon.
~ 0.03 % chance to see sOs vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon.
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WCS Predictor 2014KeSPA Cup Day 1Starts in This match is important for Classic!+ Show Spoiler [Classic, Rogue in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Classic is at ~ 63.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 56.86 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.82 %. ~ 43.14 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.56 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Rogue is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 43.14 % of the time Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %. ~ 56.86 % of the time Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [San, ByuL in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 64.27 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 35.73 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ByuL is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 35.73 % of the time ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 64.27 % of the time ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for Pigbaby!+ Show Spoiler [Zest, Pigbaby in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 65.87 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 34.13 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 27.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 34.13 % of the time Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.58 %. ~ 65.87 % of the time Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.45 %. Starts in This match is important for sOs!+ Show Spoiler [sOs, Reality in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- sOs is at ~ 74.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.28 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 91.03 %. ~ 36.72 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 45.54 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Reality is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.72 % of the time Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 63.28 % of the time Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in Flash must win this!+ Show Spoiler [Flash, StarDust in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Flash is at ~ 3.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 59.34 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.21 %. ~ 40.66 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 40.66 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 59.34 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in This match is important for soO!+ Show Spoiler [soO, Super in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup soO has the #2 headband! This is a match for the #2 headband! - soO is at ~ 81.61 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.22 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.68 %. ~ 42.78 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 57.45 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.78 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 57.22 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in herO must win this!+ Show Spoiler [herO, Sorry in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- herO is at ~ 44.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 73.88 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 59.38 %. ~ 26.12 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.56 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Sorry is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 26.12 % of the time Sorry wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 73.88 % of the time Sorry loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for Rain!+ Show Spoiler [Rain, Bomber in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Rain is at ~ 33.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 60.58 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.37 %. ~ 39.42 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.17 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.42 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 60.58 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. has a ~ 13.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Rain has a ~ 12.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.43 % to ~ 99.99 % Flash has a ~ 12.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 30.19 % herO has a ~ 10.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 100 % sOs has a ~ 8.85 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 74.33 % to ~ 100 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + San has a ~ 8.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % soO has a ~ 5.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 5.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 5.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Classic has a ~ 4.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 100 % ByuL has a ~ 2.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Pigbaby has a ~ 2.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 100 % Super has a ~ 2.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Rogue has a ~ 2.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.31 % Reality has a ~ 2.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Sorry has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Pigbaby would gain ~ 72.81 % if they win, with a ~ 2.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 100 % Rain would gain ~ 66.57 % if they win, with a ~ 12.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 33.43 % to ~ 99.99 % herO would gain ~ 55.46 % if they win, with a ~ 10.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 100 % Classic would gain ~ 36.67 % if they win, with a ~ 4.96 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 100 % Flash would gain ~ 26.5 % if they win, with a ~ 12.02 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 30.19 % sOs would gain ~ 25.67 % if they win, with a ~ 8.85 % chance to win, going from ~ 74.33 % to ~ 100 % soO would gain ~ 18.39 % if they win, with a ~ 5.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 100 % Rogue would gain ~ 0.3 % if they win, with a ~ 2.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.31 % Reality would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % ByuL would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Super would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Sorry would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 0.44 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.86 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.68 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % (over 99%) Pigbaby would gain ~ 72.81 % if they win, with a ~ 2.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 100 % Rain would gain ~ 66.57 % if they win, with a ~ 12.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 33.43 % to ~ 99.99 % herO would gain ~ 55.46 % if they win, with a ~ 10.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 100 % Classic would gain ~ 36.67 % if they win, with a ~ 4.96 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 100 % sOs would gain ~ 25.67 % if they win, with a ~ 8.85 % chance to win, going from ~ 74.33 % to ~ 100 % soO would gain ~ 18.39 % if they win, with a ~ 5.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 100 %Flash is the only one who falls below 1% chances if he doesn't win, even with a 2nd place ~ 87.98 % of the time Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 0.07 % ~ 7.35 % of the time Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 0.66 % ~ 12.02 % of the time Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 30.19 % + Show Spoiler [Other Stats] +~ 48.1 % of the time Classic doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 25.17 % ~ 51.9 % of the time Classic gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 98.7 % ~ 45.02 % of the time Classic gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 98.51 % ~ 54.98 % of the time Classic doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 34.53 % ~ 40.77 % of the time Rogue gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 16.43 % ~ 36.38 % of the time Rogue gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 16.68 % ~ 59.23 % of the time Rogue doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 95.62 % ~ 63.62 % of the time Rogue doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 90.01 % ~ 26.34 % of the time Rogue gets 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 16.62 % ~ 25.43 % of the time herO gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 87.92 % ~ 29.28 % of the time Classic gets 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 97.91 % ~ 8.89 % of the time herO gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 99.1 % ~ 48.23 % of the time soO doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 62.26 % ~ 51.77 % of the time soO gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change soO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 99.65 % ~ 24.41 % of the time Sorry gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 2.55 % ~ 4.42 % of the time Pigbaby gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 96.41 % ~ 22.62 % of the time Classic gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 99.74 % ~ 31.54 % of the time Pigbaby gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 54.09 % ~ 25.69 % of the time Sorry gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 2.56 % ~ 19.77 % of the time Sorry gets 8th in KeSPA Cup This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 2.52 % More here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=41
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Wow, that is seriously make-or-break for Classic.
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On September 11 2014 02:34 Circumstance wrote:
Wow, that is seriously make-or-break for Classic.
haha yea that first match is absolutely HUGE for Classic, after that he's ok though even with just an 8th place.
~ 29.28 % of the time
Classic gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 97.91 %
~ 43.14 % of the time
Classic loses their next match in KeSPA Cup ro16
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 16.56 %
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What happened to how much the other players are affected by the outcome of each match? I really liked that about last year's simulation.
Example: "If Classic wins over Rogue, jjakji goes from ~72% to X%"
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On September 11 2014 15:07 Elite_ wrote:
What happened to how much the other players are affected by the outcome of each match? I really liked that about last year's simulation.
Example: "If Classic wins over Rogue, jjakji goes from ~72% to X%"
you mean like this?
~ 56.88 % of the time
Classic wins their next match in KeSPA Cup ro16
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 72.68 % to ~ 64.01 %
You can see it on jjakji's page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=29
Or on the KeSPA Cup page here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=41
Look at the bottom in the Events table, you might want to use the search filters cause there are many events that it tracks
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On September 11 2014 15:09 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On September 11 2014 15:07 Elite_ wrote:
What happened to how much the other players are affected by the outcome of each match? I really liked that about last year's simulation.
Example: "If Classic wins over Rogue, jjakji goes from ~72% to X%" you mean like this? ~ 56.88 % of the time Classic wins their next match in KeSPA Cup ro16 This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances from ~ 72.68 % to ~ 64.01 % You can see it on jjakji's page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=29Or on the KeSPA Cup page here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=41Look at the bottom in the Events table, you might want to use the search filters cause there are many events that it tracks
Thanks! I didn't see anything involving other player's statistics when I checked tournament and player pages earlier on in the year. Probably should have checked now that every WCS Season 3 is past the Ro32.
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I think you accidently put in Neeb winning against Heart instead of Heart winning against Neeb in WCS NA.
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WCS Predictor 2014KeSPA Cup Day 2+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +Biggest Winners Classic went up by ~ 35.52 %, going from ~ 63.36 % to ~ 98.89 % sOs went up by ~ 14.68 %, going from ~ 74.31 % to ~ 88.99 % Flash went up by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 4.34 %Biggest Losers Pigbaby went down by ~ 17.84 %, going from ~ 27.16 % to ~ 9.32 % jjakji went down by ~ 6.58 %, going from ~ 72.68 % to ~ 66.1 % Heart went down by ~ 4.93 %, going from ~ 4.93 % to ~ 0.01 % Snute went down by ~ 4.44 %, going from ~ 34.68 % to ~ 30.24 % herO went down by ~ 4.39 %, going from ~ 44.51 % to ~ 40.12 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + soO went down by ~ 2.13 %, going from ~ 81.64 % to ~ 79.51 % MajOr went down by ~ 2.09 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 0 % Rain went down by ~ 1.58 %, going from ~ 33.3 % to ~ 31.72 % viOLet went down by ~ 1.43 %, going from ~ 23.55 % to ~ 22.12 % MMA went down by ~ 1.18 %, going from ~ 18.27 % to ~ 17.09 % Jaedong went down by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 97.65 % to ~ 97.01 % Solar went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 14.27 % to ~ 13.76 % YoDa went down by ~ 0.48 %, going from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 10.17 % HerO went down by ~ 0.42 %, going from ~ 4.41 % to ~ 3.99 % Scarlett went down by ~ 0.32 %, going from ~ 12.91 % to ~ 12.59 % HuK went down by ~ 0.25 %, going from ~ 4.76 % to ~ 4.52 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 1.12 % to ~ 0.88 % Cure went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0.76 % Happy went down by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 2.12 % Bunny went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 12.15 % to ~ 11.99 % ForGG went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 11.93 % to ~ 11.78 % DongRaeGu went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 4.06 % to ~ 3.93 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 19.11 % to ~ 18.99 % ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 14.98 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 64.94 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 86.05 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,600 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Starts in This match is important for soO!+ Show Spoiler [soO, Super in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup soO has the #2 headband! This is a match for the #2 headband! - soO is at ~ 79.51 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.21 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.58 %. ~ 42.79 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 52.68 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.79 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 57.21 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in herO must win this!+ Show Spoiler [herO, Sorry in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- herO is at ~ 40.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 73.85 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.5 %. ~ 26.15 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.33 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Sorry is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 26.15 % of the time Sorry wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 73.85 % of the time Sorry loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for Rain!+ Show Spoiler [Rain, Bomber in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Rain is at ~ 31.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 60.22 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 41.01 %. ~ 39.78 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.66 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.78 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 60.22 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [San, Classic in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 53.23 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 46.77 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Classic is at ~ 98.89 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 46.77 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.81 %. ~ 53.23 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 98.08 %. Starts in This match is important for sOs!+ Show Spoiler [Zest, sOs in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.74 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 42.26 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 88.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.26 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.1 %. ~ 57.74 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 81.6 %. has a ~ 19.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Flash has a ~ 18.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.34 % to ~ 22.57 % sOs has a ~ 11.7 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 89.02 % to ~ 100 % Rain has a ~ 11.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.7 % to ~ 99.99 % San has a ~ 10.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + herO has a ~ 8.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 40.11 % to ~ 100 % Classic has a ~ 7.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.89 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 4.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % soO has a ~ 4.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 79.5 % to ~ 100 % Super has a ~ 2.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Sorry has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Rain would gain ~ 68.3 % if they win, with a ~ 11.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 31.7 % to ~ 99.99 % herO would gain ~ 59.89 % if they win, with a ~ 8.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 40.11 % to ~ 100 % soO would gain ~ 20.5 % if they win, with a ~ 4.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 79.5 % to ~ 100 % Flash would gain ~ 18.23 % if they win, with a ~ 18.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.34 % to ~ 22.57 % sOs would gain ~ 10.98 % if they win, with a ~ 11.7 % chance to win, going from ~ 89.02 % to ~ 100 % Classic would gain ~ 1.11 % if they win, with a ~ 7.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.89 % to ~ 100 % Super would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 19.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 10.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Sorry would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % (over 99%) Rain would gain ~ 68.3 % if they win, with a ~ 11.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 31.7 % to ~ 99.99 % herO would gain ~ 59.89 % if they win, with a ~ 8.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 40.11 % to ~ 100 % soO would gain ~ 20.5 % if they win, with a ~ 4.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 79.5 % to ~ 100 % sOs would gain ~ 10.98 % if they win, with a ~ 11.7 % chance to win, going from ~ 89.02 % to ~ 100 % Classic would gain ~ 1.11 % if they win, with a ~ 7.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.89 % to ~ 100 %Flash is the only one who falls below 1% chances if he doesn't win, even with a 2nd place + Show Spoiler [Flash Details] +
~ 13.71 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 4.34 % to ~ 0.46 %
~ 18.91 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 4.34 % to ~ 22.57 %
If soO wins his match against Super, then he's basically secured his Blizzcon spot! + Show Spoiler [Other Stats] +
Top 20 Events
~ 26.85 % of the time
herO gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 85.01 %
~ 9.63 % of the time
herO gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 98.87 %
~ 47.24 % of the time
soO doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 57.14 %
~ 52.76 % of the time
soO gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 99.54 %
~ 46.22 % of the time
soO gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 99.48 %
~ 53.78 % of the time
soO doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 62.35 %
~ 23.5 % of the time
Rain gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 76.66 %
~ 36.85 % of the time
Super gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 52.04 %
~ 40.66 % of the time
Super gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 52.45 %
~ 38.17 % of the time
herO gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 20.37 %
~ 24.5 % of the time
Sorry gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 2.31 %
~ 17.22 % of the time
herO gets 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 77.25 %
~ 59.34 % of the time
Super doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 98.05 %
~ 25.73 % of the time
Sorry gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 2.32 %
~ 19.76 % of the time
Sorry gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 2.31 %
~ 73.15 % of the time
herO doesn't get 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 23.59 %
~ 61.83 % of the time
herO doesn't get 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 40.08 % to ~ 52.26 %
~ 32.96 % of the time
soO gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 99.33 %
~ 27.99 % of the time
Super gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 52.17 %
~ 63.15 % of the time
Super doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 79.51 % to ~ 95.54 %
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On September 12 2014 00:36 Xoronius wrote:
I think you accidently put in Neeb winning against Heart instead of Heart winning against Neeb in WCS NA.
thanks, I will fix this today
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Yes I will also add that today when I fix the WCS AM thing. They're not seeding anyone into group stage 2 this time? I guess it's just gonna be group stage 1 to 2 and then to brackets.
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On September 12 2014 03:40 Die4Ever wrote:Yes I will also add that today when I fix the WCS AM thing. They're not seeding anyone into group stage 2 this time? I guess it's just gonna be group stage 1 to 2 and then to brackets.
Yes, Dreamhacks with people in group stage 2 had 96 players, this one has 64. So the old group stage 1 vanishes.
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ok time to redo this with WCS AM fixed (sorry Heart) and Dreamhack Moscow groups in
WCS Predictor 2014KeSPA Cup Day 2+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +Biggest Winners Classic went up by ~ 33.99 %, going from ~ 63.36 % to ~ 97.36 % sOs went up by ~ 13.29 %, going from ~ 74.31 % to ~ 87.6 % jjakji went up by ~ 13.18 %, going from ~ 72.68 % to ~ 85.86 % Heart went up by ~ 2.28 %, going from ~ 4.93 % to ~ 7.21 % Flash went up by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 3.89 %Biggest Losers Pigbaby went down by ~ 19.28 %, going from ~ 27.16 % to ~ 7.88 % herO went down by ~ 8.63 %, going from ~ 44.51 % to ~ 35.88 % Jaedong went down by ~ 5.31 %, going from ~ 97.65 % to ~ 92.34 % soO went down by ~ 4.89 %, going from ~ 81.64 % to ~ 76.75 % Snute went down by ~ 4.17 %, going from ~ 34.68 % to ~ 30.51 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + viOLet went down by ~ 3.67 %, going from ~ 23.55 % to ~ 19.88 % Solar went down by ~ 2.71 %, going from ~ 14.27 % to ~ 11.56 % Rain went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 33.3 % to ~ 30.76 % MajOr went down by ~ 2.09 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 0 % MMA went down by ~ 1.55 %, going from ~ 18.27 % to ~ 16.72 % HuK went down by ~ 1.44 %, going from ~ 4.76 % to ~ 3.33 % Scarlett went down by ~ 1.34 %, going from ~ 12.91 % to ~ 11.57 % YoDa went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 9.78 % HerO went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 4.41 % to ~ 3.63 % Life went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 99.17 % MaNa went down by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 2.66 % to ~ 2.05 % DongRaeGu went down by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 4.06 % to ~ 3.67 % Bunny went down by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 12.15 % to ~ 11.84 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.3 %, going from ~ 1.12 % to ~ 0.82 % Cure went down by ~ 0.29 %, going from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0.7 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 19.11 % to ~ 18.92 % ForGG went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 11.93 % to ~ 11.75 % Happy went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 2.15 % Dear went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 0.16 % to ~ 0.01 % ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 13.83 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 48.64 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 73.7 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Starts in This match is important for soO!+ Show Spoiler [soO, Super in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup soO has the #2 headband! This is a match for the #2 headband! - soO is at ~ 76.76 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.23 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.96 %. ~ 42.77 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 47.04 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.77 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 57.23 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in herO must win this!+ Show Spoiler [herO, Sorry in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- herO is at ~ 35.87 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 73.93 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 47.73 %. ~ 26.07 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.24 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Sorry is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 26.07 % of the time Sorry wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 73.93 % of the time Sorry loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Starts in This match is important for Rain!+ Show Spoiler [Rain, Bomber in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Rain is at ~ 30.76 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 60.29 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 39.57 %. ~ 39.71 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.38 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.71 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 60.29 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [San, Classic in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 53.22 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 46.78 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Classic is at ~ 97.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 46.78 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.86 %. ~ 53.22 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 95.17 %. Starts in This match is important for sOs!+ Show Spoiler [Zest, sOs in KeSPA Cup] +KeSPA Cup- Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.77 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 42.23 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 87.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.23 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 97.7 %. ~ 57.77 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 80.21 %. has a ~ 20.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Flash has a ~ 18.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.89 % to ~ 20.68 % sOs has a ~ 11.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 87.6 % to ~ 100 % Rain has a ~ 11.27 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 30.76 % to ~ 99.99 % San has a ~ 10.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + herO has a ~ 8.95 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 100 % Classic has a ~ 7.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 97.37 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 4.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % soO has a ~ 4.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 100 % Super has a ~ 2.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Sorry has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Rain would gain ~ 69.24 % if they win, with a ~ 11.27 % chance to win, going from ~ 30.76 % to ~ 99.99 % herO would gain ~ 64.13 % if they win, with a ~ 8.95 % chance to win, going from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 100 % soO would gain ~ 23.24 % if they win, with a ~ 4.54 % chance to win, going from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 100 % Flash would gain ~ 16.79 % if they win, with a ~ 18.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.89 % to ~ 20.68 % sOs would gain ~ 12.4 % if they win, with a ~ 11.69 % chance to win, going from ~ 87.6 % to ~ 100 % Classic would gain ~ 2.63 % if they win, with a ~ 7.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 97.37 % to ~ 100 % Super would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 20.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 10.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.69 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Sorry would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % (over 99%) Rain would gain ~ 69.24 % if they win, with a ~ 11.27 % chance to win, going from ~ 30.76 % to ~ 99.99 % herO would gain ~ 64.13 % if they win, with a ~ 8.95 % chance to win, going from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 100 % soO would gain ~ 23.24 % if they win, with a ~ 4.54 % chance to win, going from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 100 % sOs would gain ~ 12.4 % if they win, with a ~ 11.69 % chance to win, going from ~ 87.6 % to ~ 100 % Classic would gain ~ 2.63 % if they win, with a ~ 7.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 97.37 % to ~ 100 %Flash is the only one who falls below 1% chances if he doesn't win, even with a 2nd place + Show Spoiler [Flash Details] +
~ 13.61 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 3.89 % to ~ 0.42 %
~ 18.5 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 3.89 % to ~ 20.68 %
If soO wins his match against Super, then he's basically secured his Blizzcon spot! And remember he still has the #2 headband! + Show Spoiler [Other Stats] +
~ 9.66 % of the time
herO gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 97.41 %
~ 47.3 % of the time
soO doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 52.12 %
~ 52.7 % of the time
soO gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 98.88 %
~ 26.78 % of the time
herO gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 71.32 %
~ 45.99 % of the time
soO gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 98.71 %
~ 0.01 % of the time
soO doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 58.06 %
~ 36.81 % of the time
Super gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 46.31 %
~ 40.65 % of the time
Super gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 46.81 %
~ 59.35 % of the time
Super doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 97.27 %
~ 27.88 % of the time
Super gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 46.63 %
~ 63.19 % of the time
Super doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 94.49 %
~ 32.51 % of the time
soO gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 98.22 %
~ 23.51 % of the time
Rain gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 67.89 %
~ 24.47 % of the time
Sorry gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 2.21 %
~ 38.2 % of the time
herO gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 18.93 %
~ 25.69 % of the time
Sorry gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 2.23 %
~ 19.75 % of the time
Sorry gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 2.19 %
~ 61.8 % of the time
herO doesn't get 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 46.34 %
~ 73.22 % of the time
herO doesn't get 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 35.87 % to ~ 22.9 %
~ 67.49 % of the time
soO doesn't get 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 76.76 % to ~ 66.42 %
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4ever.tv has 500 Internal server error. WHY NOW?!
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All I am getting is Internal Server Error D:
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EPT
