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WCS Predictor 2014 - Page 20

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Salient
Profile Joined August 2011
United States876 Posts
September 12 2014 13:10 GMT
#381
Artosis cursed Rain so much by talking him up as the best player in the world in Twitch chat during the Kespa Cup. Yet another victim.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17718 Posts
September 12 2014 13:47 GMT
#382
On September 12 2014 20:58 opisska wrote:
4ever.tv has 500 Internal server error. WHY NOW?!

sorry, my server has like no ram and so mysql crashed while I was sleeping
"Expert" mods4ever.com
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
September 12 2014 14:40 GMT
#383
On September 12 2014 22:47 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2014 20:58 opisska wrote:
4ever.tv has 500 Internal server error. WHY NOW?!

sorry, my server has like no ram and so mysql crashed while I was sleeping


You are the last person to be sorry about anything Now that the run for points is heading towards the finish line, the Predictor absolutely rocks!
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17718 Posts
September 12 2014 15:21 GMT
#384
On September 12 2014 23:40 opisska wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2014 22:47 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 12 2014 20:58 opisska wrote:
4ever.tv has 500 Internal server error. WHY NOW?!

sorry, my server has like no ram and so mysql crashed while I was sleeping


You are the last person to be sorry about anything Now that the run for points is heading towards the finish line, the Predictor absolutely rocks!

I have ensured this problem should not happen again! (while [ 1 ]; do service mysql start ; sleep 60 ; done)
working on KeSPA Cup Day 3 previews and Dreamhack Moscow Day 1 previews now
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17718 Posts
September 12 2014 15:53 GMT
#385
WCS Predictor 2014
KeSPA Cup Day 3
+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +

Biggest Winners
kr Classic went up by ~ 36.61 %, going from ~ 63.36 % to ~ 99.98 %
kr jjakji went up by ~ 18.56 %, going from ~ 72.68 % to ~ 91.24 %
kr herO went up by ~ 13.18 %, going from ~ 44.51 % to ~ 57.69 %
kr sOs went up by ~ 9.68 %, going from ~ 74.31 % to ~ 83.99 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 3.03 %, going from ~ 4.93 % to ~ 7.96 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Flash went up by ~ 1.53 %, going from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 5.22 %
kr INnoVation went up by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 19.11 % to ~ 19.22 %
ru Happy went up by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 2.42 %


Biggest Losers
kr soO went down by ~ 36.94 %, going from ~ 81.64 % to ~ 44.7 %
kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 18.09 %, going from ~ 27.16 % to ~ 9.07 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 15.49 %, going from ~ 33.3 % to ~ 17.81 %
kr Solar went down by ~ 2.69 %, going from ~ 14.27 % to ~ 11.58 %
kr viOLet went down by ~ 2.27 %, going from ~ 23.55 % to ~ 21.28 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

mx MajOr went down by ~ 2.09 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 0 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 12.91 % to ~ 11.82 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 97.65 % to ~ 96.73 %
ca HuK went down by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 4.76 % to ~ 4.07 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.49 %, going from ~ 4.41 % to ~ 3.93 %
kr YoDa went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 10.24 %
kr Life went down by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 99.56 %
kr DongRaeGu went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 4.06 % to ~ 3.85 %
no Snute went down by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 34.68 % to ~ 34.49 %
dk Bunny went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 12.15 % to ~ 11.99 %
kr Dear went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 0.16 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr Cure went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 0.84 %
pl MaNa went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 2.66 % to ~ 2.56 %


WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.24 % of the time 2,550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 19.86 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 58.38 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 85.94 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Match Previews
Starts in
kr Flash must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Flash, Super in KeSPA Cup] +
KeSPA Cup
kr Super has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #2 headband!
- kr Flash is at ~ 5.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.84 % of the time kr Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.17 %.
~ 36.16 % of the time kr Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Super is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.16 % of the time kr Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 63.84 % of the time kr Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
This match is important for kr herO!
+ Show Spoiler [herO, Bomber in KeSPA Cup] +
KeSPA Cup
- kr herO is at ~ 57.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.21 % of the time kr herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 84.61 %.
~ 48.79 % of the time kr herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 29.44 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.79 % of the time kr Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 51.21 % of the time kr Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Zest, Classic in KeSPA Cup] +
KeSPA Cup
- kr Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.19 % of the time kr Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 36.81 % of the time kr Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Classic is at ~ 99.98 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.81 % of the time kr Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.
~ 63.19 % of the time kr Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.97 %.


Winning Chances
kr Zest has a ~ 34.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Flash has a ~ 20.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 24.94 %
kr Classic has a ~ 16.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.98 % to ~ 100 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 12.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr herO has a ~ 11.75 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 100 %
kr Super has a ~ 5.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

kr herO would gain ~ 42.31 % if they win, with a ~ 11.75 % chance to win, going from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 100 %
kr Flash would gain ~ 19.72 % if they win, with a ~ 20.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 24.94 %
kr Classic would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 16.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.98 % to ~ 100 %
kr Super would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 5.15 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 34.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Bomber would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 12.31 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %


Players Who Secure Their Blizzcon Spot By Winning (over 99%)
kr herO would gain ~ 42.31 % if they win, with a ~ 11.75 % chance to win, going from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 100 %

Flash is the only one who falls below 1% chances if he doesn't win, even with a 2nd place
+ Show Spoiler [Flash Details] +

~ 14.85 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 0.5 %

~ 20.59 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 24.94 %


+ Show Spoiler [More Stats] +

~ 14.27 % of the time
herO gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 98.23 %

~ 36.48 % of the time
Bomber gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 28.11 %

~ 39.46 % of the time
herO gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 80.02 %

~ 60.54 % of the time
herO doesn't get 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 43.13 %

~ 25.11 % of the time
Bomber gets 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 25.71 %

~ 63.52 % of the time
Bomber doesn't get 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 74.68 %

~ 10.41 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
Bomber gets 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 15.16 %

~ 74.89 % of the time
Bomber doesn't get 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 68.41 %

~ 8.31 % of the time
herO gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
Flash gets 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 98.24 %

~ 85.73 % of the time
herO doesn't get 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 50.94 %

~ 25.19 % of the time
herO gets 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 69.71 %

~ 79.41 % of the time
Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 0.11 %

~ 11.37 % of the time
Bomber gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 33.41 %

~ 48.79 % of the time
Bomber wins their next match in KeSPA Cup ro8
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 83.99 % to ~ 90.04 %

~ 48.79 % of the time
herO loses their next match in KeSPA Cup ro8
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 83.99 % to ~ 90.04 %

~ 51.21 % of the time
herO wins their next match in KeSPA Cup ro8
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 83.99 % to ~ 78.23 %

~ 51.21 % of the time
Bomber loses their next match in KeSPA Cup ro8
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 83.99 % to ~ 78.23 %

~ 28.4 % of the time
Flash gets 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 68.36 %

~ 88.25 % of the time
herO doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.69 % to ~ 52.06 %

~ 43.25 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 0.19 %

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Koerage
Profile Joined April 2012
Netherlands1220 Posts
September 12 2014 16:03 GMT
#386
im surprised Zest has such a massive lead in the win% - is it because there are so many toss left but none are great at PvP?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17718 Posts
September 12 2014 16:12 GMT
#387
WCS Predictor 2014
DreamHack Moscow Day 1

Match Previews
no Snute must win this!
ru Happy must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Match Previews] +

Starts in
no Snute must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Snute, Increase, zerg, ludasha in Drea…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- no Snute is at ~ 34.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 92.9 % of the time no Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 36.73 %.
~ 7.1 % of the time no Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.88 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Increase is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 40.03 % of the time ru Increase wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 59.97 % of the time ru Increase loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru zerg is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 39.99 % of the time ru zerg wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 60.01 % of the time ru zerg loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru ludasha is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 27.07 % of the time ru ludasha wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 72.93 % of the time ru ludasha loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Bly, enigma, SpellSinger, KingCobra in…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- ua Bly is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 89.43 % of the time ua Bly wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 10.57 % of the time ua Bly loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru enigma is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 43.81 % of the time ru enigma wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 56.19 % of the time ru enigma loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru SpellSinger is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 39.92 % of the time ru SpellSinger wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 60.08 % of the time ru SpellSinger loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru KingCobra is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 26.84 % of the time ru KingCobra wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 73.16 % of the time ru KingCobra loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Patience, TargA, MefiSTo, outbreak in…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr Patience is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 87.13 % of the time kr Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 12.87 % of the time kr Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- no TargA is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 79.27 % of the time no TargA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 20.73 % of the time no TargA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru MefiSTo is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 19.08 % of the time ru MefiSTo wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 80.92 % of the time ru MefiSTo loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru outbreak is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 14.52 % of the time ru outbreak wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 85.48 % of the time ru outbreak loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [HyuN, Adonminus, omni, antik in DreamH…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 93.02 % of the time kr HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 6.98 % of the time kr HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- il Adonminus is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 60.61 % of the time il Adonminus wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 39.39 % of the time il Adonminus loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru omni is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 25.84 % of the time ru omni wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 74.16 % of the time ru omni loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru antik is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 20.52 % of the time ru antik wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 79.48 % of the time ru antik loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [TRUE, elfi, delilah, bazz in DreamHack…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr TRUE is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 83.9 % of the time kr TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 16.1 % of the time kr TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi elfi is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 77.33 % of the time fi elfi wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 22.67 % of the time fi elfi loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru delilah is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 19.42 % of the time ru delilah wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 80.58 % of the time ru delilah loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru bazz is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 19.35 % of the time ru bazz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 80.65 % of the time ru bazz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [First, Brat_OK, AvaTaR, Couguar in Dre…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr First is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 91.79 % of the time kr First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.
~ 8.21 % of the time kr First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Brat_OK is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.45 % of the time ru Brat_OK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 36.55 % of the time ru Brat_OK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru AvaTaR is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 22.73 % of the time ru AvaTaR wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 77.27 % of the time ru AvaTaR loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Couguar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 22.03 % of the time ru Couguar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 77.97 % of the time ru Couguar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [YoDa, Serral, gsom, sambotto in DreamH…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr YoDa is at ~ 10.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 87.81 % of the time kr YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.85 %.
~ 12.19 % of the time kr YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.91 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi Serral is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 62.05 % of the time fi Serral wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 37.95 % of the time fi Serral loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru gsom is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 25.99 % of the time ru gsom wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 74.01 % of the time ru gsom loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru sambotto is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 24.14 % of the time ru sambotto wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 75.86 % of the time ru sambotto loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Kas, DMC, Noname, RusZerg in DreamHack…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- ua Kas is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 78.37 % of the time ua Kas wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 21.63 % of the time ua Kas loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru DMC is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.27 % of the time ru DMC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 42.73 % of the time ru DMC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Noname is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 43.61 % of the time ru Noname wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 56.39 % of the time ru Noname loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru RusZerg is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 20.74 % of the time ru RusZerg wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 79.26 % of the time ru RusZerg loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Oz, Revolver, elmatador, Easy in Dream…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr Oz is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 80.2 % of the time kr Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 19.8 % of the time kr Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Revolver is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 66.97 % of the time ru Revolver wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 33.03 % of the time ru Revolver loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru elmatador is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 26.6 % of the time ru elmatador wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 73.4 % of the time ru elmatador loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Easy is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 26.24 % of the time ru Easy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 73.76 % of the time ru Easy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [jjakji, hades, rose, quasar in DreamHa…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr jjakji is at ~ 91.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 94.42 % of the time kr jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 92.25 %.
~ 5.58 % of the time kr jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 74.4 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ua hades is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 42.05 % of the time ua hades wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 57.95 % of the time ua hades loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru rose is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.96 % of the time ru rose wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 63.04 % of the time ru rose loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru quasar is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 26.57 % of the time ru quasar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 73.43 % of the time ru quasar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [MMA, LiveZerg, huligan, Hotspur in Dre…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr MMA is at ~ 18.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 90.3 % of the time kr MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 19.19 %.
~ 9.7 % of the time kr MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.21 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru LiveZerg is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 75.39 % of the time ru LiveZerg wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 24.61 % of the time ru LiveZerg loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru huligan is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 22.85 % of the time ru huligan wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 77.15 % of the time ru huligan loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- by Hotspur is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 11.46 % of the time by Hotspur wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 88.54 % of the time by Hotspur loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Daisy, kolobok, LuckyGnom, ZhuGeLiang…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr Daisy is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 91.68 % of the time kr Daisy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 8.32 % of the time kr Daisy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru kolobok is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 56.64 % of the time ru kolobok wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 43.36 % of the time ru kolobok loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru LuckyGnom is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 25.86 % of the time ru LuckyGnom wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 74.14 % of the time ru LuckyGnom loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi ZhuGeLiang is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 25.82 % of the time fi ZhuGeLiang wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 74.18 % of the time fi ZhuGeLiang loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Welmu, fraer, lomany, enlessstorm in D…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- fi Welmu is at ~ 3.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 81.17 % of the time fi Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.01 %.
~ 18.83 % of the time fi Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.5 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ua fraer is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 74.83 % of the time ua fraer wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 25.17 % of the time ua fraer loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru lomany is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 22.58 % of the time ru lomany wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 77.42 % of the time ru lomany loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru enlessstorm is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 21.41 % of the time ru enlessstorm wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 78.59 % of the time ru enlessstorm loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [BBoongBBoong, sLivko, lefort, woolenfi…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr BBoongBBoong is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 77.83 % of the time kr BBoongBBoong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 22.17 % of the time kr BBoongBBoong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru sLivko is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 66.28 % of the time ru sLivko wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 33.72 % of the time ru sLivko loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru lefort is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 29.04 % of the time ru lefort wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 70.96 % of the time ru lefort loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru woolenfish is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 26.85 % of the time ru woolenfish wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 73.15 % of the time ru woolenfish loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
ru Happy must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Happy, hobot, wnight, MindelVK in Drea…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- ru Happy is at ~ 2.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 92.77 % of the time ru Happy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.59 %.
~ 7.23 % of the time ru Happy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.3 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru hobot is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.17 % of the time ru hobot wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 50.83 % of the time ru hobot loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru wnight is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 34.16 % of the time ru wnight wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 65.84 % of the time ru wnight loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru MindelVK is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 23.9 % of the time ru MindelVK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 76.1 % of the time ru MindelVK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Golden, aling, evilnw, Creed in DreamH…] +
DreamHack Moscow
- kr Golden is at ~ 4.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 92.6 % of the time kr Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.98 %.
~ 7.4 % of the time kr Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.7 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru aling is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 45.57 % of the time ru aling wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 54.43 % of the time ru aling loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru evilnw is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 34.52 % of the time ru evilnw wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 65.48 % of the time ru evilnw loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Creed is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 27.31 % of the time ru Creed wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 72.69 % of the time ru Creed loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.



Winning Chances
kr jjakji has a ~ 10.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 10.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr YoDa has a ~ 10.63 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.24 % to ~ 13.54 %
kr First has a ~ 7.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.31 %
no Snute has a ~ 7.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 99.99 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Patience has a ~ 6.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
ru Happy has a ~ 6.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.42 % to ~ 8.01 %
kr MMA has a ~ 6.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 65.76 %
kr Golden has a ~ 4.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.96 % to ~ 8.7 %
kr TRUE has a ~ 4.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.28 %
no TargA has a ~ 3.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi Welmu has a ~ 3.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.92 % to ~ 12.1 %
kr Daisy has a ~ 2.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua Bly has a ~ 2.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua Kas has a ~ 2.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi elfi has a ~ 2.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Oz has a ~ 1.77 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.39 %
kr BBoongBBoong has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi Serral has a ~ 1.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua fraer has a ~ 1.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru LiveZerg has a ~ 0.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru sLivko has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru Brat_OK has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru Revolver has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru DMC has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
il Adonminus has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru Noname has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru SpellSinger has a ~ 0.03 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua hades has a ~ 0.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

no Snute would gain ~ 65.53 % if they win, with a ~ 7.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr MMA would gain ~ 47.53 % if they win, with a ~ 6.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 65.76 %
kr jjakji would gain ~ 8.75 % if they win, with a ~ 10.83 % chance to win, going from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 100 %
fi Welmu would gain ~ 8.18 % if they win, with a ~ 3.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.92 % to ~ 12.1 %
ru Happy would gain ~ 5.59 % if they win, with a ~ 6.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.42 % to ~ 8.01 %
kr Golden would gain ~ 3.74 % if they win, with a ~ 4.81 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.96 % to ~ 8.7 %
kr YoDa would gain ~ 3.3 % if they win, with a ~ 10.63 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.24 % to ~ 13.54 %
kr Oz would gain ~ 0.38 % if they win, with a ~ 1.77 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.39 %
kr First would gain ~ 0.29 % if they win, with a ~ 7.67 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.31 %
kr TRUE would gain ~ 0.26 % if they win, with a ~ 4.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.28 %
kr Patience would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 6.86 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
ru SpellSinger would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.03 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru LiveZerg would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru sLivko would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.56 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru Brat_OK would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru Revolver would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru DMC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
il Adonminus would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ru Noname would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua hades would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.02 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua fraer would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.33 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi Serral would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.33 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr BBoongBBoong would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
fi elfi would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua Kas would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.18 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ua Bly would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Daisy would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.79 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
no TargA would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 3.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 10.71 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %


Players Who Secure Their Blizzcon Spot By Winning (over 99%)
no Snute would gain ~ 65.53 % if they win, with a ~ 7.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr jjakji would gain ~ 8.75 % if they win, with a ~ 10.83 % chance to win, going from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 100 %

+ Show Spoiler [More Stats] +

~ 49.51 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 16th or 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 58.7 %

~ 50.49 % of the time
Snute gets 16th or 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 10.7 %

~ 17.16 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 84.71 %

~ 6.18 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 94.61 %

~ 23.62 % of the time
Snute gets 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 4.87 %

~ 10.98 % of the time
Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 79.14 %

~ 26.87 % of the time
Snute gets 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 15.83 %

~ 76.38 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 43.62 %

~ 20.3 % of the time
jjakji gets 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 74.22 %

~ 82.84 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 24.05 %

~ 48.48 % of the time
MMA doesn't get 16th or 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 25.92 %

~ 51.52 % of the time
MMA gets 16th or 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 10.99 %

~ 73.13 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 41.31 %

~ 37.29 % of the time
jjakji gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 99.12 %

~ 25.1 % of the time
MMA gets 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 9.26 %

~ 5.57 % of the time
MMA gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 35.96 %

~ 62.71 % of the time
jjakji doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 86.57 %

~ 30.32 % of the time
jjakji gets 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 98.92 %

~ 92.64 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 29.26 %

~ 49.51 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 16th or 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.71 % to ~ 51.89 %

~ 50.49 % of the time
Snute gets 16th or 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.71 % to ~ 63.42 %

~ 15.66 % of the time
MMA gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 29.2 %

~ 89.02 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 28.95 %

~ 79.7 % of the time
jjakji doesn't get 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 95.59 %

~ 18.98 % of the time
jjakji gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 99.98 %

~ 93.82 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 30.5 %

~ 26.42 % of the time
MMA gets 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 12.63 %

~ 69.68 % of the time
jjakji doesn't get 4th or 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 87.92 %

~ 23.62 % of the time
Snute gets 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.7 % to ~ 51.57 %

~ 18.31 % of the time
jjakji gets 8th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 98.23 %

~ 17.16 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 83.99 % to ~ 74.7 %

~ 6.97 % of the time
jjakji gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 100 %

~ 74.9 % of the time
MMA doesn't get 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 21.23 %

~ 12.01 % of the time
jjakji gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 99.98 %

~ 26.87 % of the time
Snute gets 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.71 % to ~ 63.22 %

~ 23.62 % of the time
Snute gets 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.71 % to ~ 63.64 %

~ 93.92 % of the time
MMA doesn't get 1st in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 15.15 %

~ 10.98 % of the time
Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 83.99 % to ~ 74.81 %

~ 10.09 % of the time
MMA gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 25.46 %

~ 10.98 % of the time
Snute gets 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.7 % to ~ 36.58 %

~ 73.58 % of the time
MMA doesn't get 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change MMA's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 20.23 %

~ 47.46 % of the time
Happy doesn't get 16th or 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Happy's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.42 % to ~ 4.59 %

~ 52.54 % of the time
Happy gets 16th or 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Happy's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.42 % to ~ 0.46 %

~ 18.37 % of the time
YoDa gets 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.24 % to ~ 5.94 %

~ 6.18 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 83.99 % to ~ 74.51 %

~ 73.13 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 16th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 57.71 % to ~ 55.69 %

~ 76.38 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 32nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.7 % to ~ 42.58 %

~ 5.78 % of the time
Happy gets 2nd in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Happy's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.42 % to ~ 7.55 %

~ 16.25 % of the time
Happy gets 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change Happy's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.42 % to ~ 6.69 %

~ 81.02 % of the time
jjakji doesn't get 2nd or 4th in DreamHack Moscow
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 91.25 % to ~ 89.21 %

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17718 Posts
September 12 2014 16:13 GMT
#388
On September 13 2014 01:03 Koerage wrote:
im surprised Zest has such a massive lead in the win% - is it because there are so many toss left but none are great at PvP?

it's mostly because him and Classic are already in the semifinals while the rest of the players are only in the quarterfinals
"Expert" mods4ever.com
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-09-12 16:55:02
September 12 2014 16:51 GMT
#389
So in principle, we could still have three foreigners in Blizzcon. Only three simple conditions need to be met:

- Snute wins DH
- Scarlett wins AM
- Bunny/Vortix/Welmu wins EU

Snute really screwed up big time by getting eliminated from WCS EU, otherwise he in a pretty great spot courtesy of our dear friend Classic

edit: also, every Snute fan is an instant Bomber fan as of now.
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17718 Posts
September 12 2014 16:54 GMT
#390
On September 13 2014 01:51 opisska wrote:
So in principle, we could still have three foreigners in Blizzcon. Only three simple conditions need to be met:

- Snute wins DH
- Scarlett wins AM
- Bunny/Vortix/Welmu wins EU

Snute really screwed up big time by getting eliminated from WCS EU, otherwise he in a pretty great spot courtesy of our dear friend Classic



~ 63.69 % chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon
~ 15.1 % for 2+
~ 0.93 % for 3+
~ 0.01% for 4+
~ 0 % for 5+
"Expert" mods4ever.com
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
September 12 2014 16:56 GMT
#391
On September 13 2014 01:54 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 01:51 opisska wrote:
So in principle, we could still have three foreigners in Blizzcon. Only three simple conditions need to be met:

- Snute wins DH
- Scarlett wins AM
- Bunny/Vortix/Welmu wins EU

Snute really screwed up big time by getting eliminated from WCS EU, otherwise he in a pretty great spot courtesy of our dear friend Classic



~ 63.69 % chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon
~ 15.1 % for 2+
~ 0.93 % for 3+
~ 0.01% for 4+
~ 0 % for 5+


Yeah, I was never saying that fulfilling said conditions is somehow likely
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
September 12 2014 16:57 GMT
#392
I want to know under what conditions there can be 4 foreigners at blizzcon.
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
lastride
Profile Joined April 2014
2390 Posts
September 12 2014 16:58 GMT
#393
If flash wins kespa cup,does he make it to blizzcon?
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-09-12 16:59:57
September 12 2014 16:59 GMT
#394
On September 13 2014 01:58 lastride wrote:
If flash wins kespa cup,does he make it to blizzcon?


Increases probbality from 5 to 25 percent, still a long shot. It's in the last update.

edit: +1 for Templar's question
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
lastride
Profile Joined April 2014
2390 Posts
September 12 2014 17:01 GMT
#395
Damn it flash.that cc misplacement is going to hunt us for years
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17718 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-09-12 17:06:27
September 12 2014 17:01 GMT
#396
On September 13 2014 01:57 The_Templar wrote:
I want to know under what conditions there can be 4 foreigners at blizzcon.

it probably requires that Placeholder Tournament to happen, with Snute winning DHMoscow, Scarlett winning Red Bull, and then Bunny and Vortix winning DH Stockholm and the Placeholder Tournament, maybe something like that. Also Huk can still win WCS AM and make it, Scarlett too.

On September 13 2014 01:58 lastride wrote:
If flash wins kespa cup,does he make it to blizzcon?

~ 20.57 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 24.9 %

~ 14.86 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 0.51 %
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Boucot
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
France15997 Posts
September 12 2014 17:09 GMT
#397
On September 13 2014 02:01 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 01:57 The_Templar wrote:
I want to know under what conditions there can be 4 foreigners at blizzcon.

it probably requires that Placeholder Tournament to happen, with Snute winning DHMoscow, Scarlett winning Red Bull, and then Bunny and Vortix winning DH Stockholm and the Placeholder Tournament, maybe something like that. Also Huk can still win WCS AM and make it, Scarlett too.

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 01:58 lastride wrote:
If flash wins kespa cup,does he make it to blizzcon?

~ 20.57 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 24.9 %

~ 14.86 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 0.51 %

What is the Placeholder Tournament ? o_o
Former SC2 writer for Millenium - twitter.com/Boucot
Xoronius
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany6362 Posts
September 12 2014 17:11 GMT
#398
On September 13 2014 02:09 Boucot wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 02:01 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 13 2014 01:57 The_Templar wrote:
I want to know under what conditions there can be 4 foreigners at blizzcon.

it probably requires that Placeholder Tournament to happen, with Snute winning DHMoscow, Scarlett winning Red Bull, and then Bunny and Vortix winning DH Stockholm and the Placeholder Tournament, maybe something like that. Also Huk can still win WCS AM and make it, Scarlett too.

On September 13 2014 01:58 lastride wrote:
If flash wins kespa cup,does he make it to blizzcon?

~ 20.57 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 24.9 %

~ 14.86 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 0.51 %

What is the Placeholder Tournament ? o_o

The placeholder for a tournament giving out WCS points, that could theoretically get announced and get played between now and Blizzcon.
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
September 12 2014 17:11 GMT
#399
On September 13 2014 02:09 Boucot wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 02:01 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 13 2014 01:57 The_Templar wrote:
I want to know under what conditions there can be 4 foreigners at blizzcon.

it probably requires that Placeholder Tournament to happen, with Snute winning DHMoscow, Scarlett winning Red Bull, and then Bunny and Vortix winning DH Stockholm and the Placeholder Tournament, maybe something like that. Also Huk can still win WCS AM and make it, Scarlett too.

On September 13 2014 01:58 lastride wrote:
If flash wins kespa cup,does he make it to blizzcon?

~ 20.57 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 24.9 %

~ 14.86 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 0.51 %

What is the Placeholder Tournament ? o_o


A tournament that wonderful Mr. 4Ever has been using to simulate any additional unannounced tournaments that may be popping up. He had 2 for most of the year, but cut it down to 1 now that we're so close to the end.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17718 Posts
September 12 2014 17:11 GMT
#400
On September 13 2014 02:09 Boucot wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 02:01 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 13 2014 01:57 The_Templar wrote:
I want to know under what conditions there can be 4 foreigners at blizzcon.

it probably requires that Placeholder Tournament to happen, with Snute winning DHMoscow, Scarlett winning Red Bull, and then Bunny and Vortix winning DH Stockholm and the Placeholder Tournament, maybe something like that. Also Huk can still win WCS AM and make it, Scarlett too.

On September 13 2014 01:58 lastride wrote:
If flash wins kespa cup,does he make it to blizzcon?

~ 20.57 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 24.9 %

~ 14.86 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 0.51 %

What is the Placeholder Tournament ? o_o

it's a tournament that exists in the simulation 25% of the time with randomized players, just in case another tournament is announced, it mostly prevents premature 0% or 100% chances, I will probably remove it completely at the end of this month
"Expert" mods4ever.com
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