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[October] TLPD Race Winrate Graphs - Page 2

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
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Lord_J
Profile Joined April 2011
Kenya1085 Posts
November 06 2011 19:29 GMT
#21
That poor zealot just keeps getting sadder.
No relation to Monsieur J.
juicyjames *
Profile Joined August 2011
United States3815 Posts
November 06 2011 19:29 GMT
#22
On November 07 2011 04:23 TerlocSG wrote:
The Y-axis kind of makes the graphs misleading. :/ It makes the difference in win % look a lot bigger than it really is. It's good information, and I'm not saying it isn't true, just making the view from 40 to 60% makes a 5% difference look huge.

Finally someone else points this out! After learning about statistics I have begun to look at graphs and polls more carefully for this kind thing, and am very surprised at how misleading these can be due to the Y-axis alone.
This Week in SC2Find out what happened 'This Week in Starcraft 2': http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=278126
Joseph123
Profile Joined October 2010
Bulgaria1144 Posts
November 06 2011 19:30 GMT
#23
This looks logical. After next patch they will "maybe" fix lategame PvT. However, they made ZvP from slightly favored for zerg -> favored now due to blink nerf and protoss not having a real answer to mutalisks. I'm really curious what is going to be the next patch to balance ZvP since the upgrade one obviously isn't going to do anything.
Fusilero
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United Kingdom50293 Posts
November 06 2011 19:30 GMT
#24
Why is PvZ so bad for toss? I thought that with the NP nerf it'd be more even or perhaps in favour of toss perhaps someone more enlightened could explain this to me?
Glorious SEA doto
ZenithM
Profile Joined February 2011
France15952 Posts
November 06 2011 19:30 GMT
#25
On November 07 2011 04:27 DTK920 wrote:
A lot of protoss players have been complaining about losing to terran lately, but this graph clearly shows that ZvP is even worse. Don't know why all the hate is focused on terrans when zergs are clearly ahead.


Probably because Terran are also dominating their other matchup. It comforts Protoss to know that Zerg have troubles in at least a matchup.
andis35
Profile Joined May 2011
Latvia346 Posts
November 06 2011 19:31 GMT
#26
On November 07 2011 04:30 Fusilero wrote:
Why is PvZ so bad for toss? I thought that with the NP nerf it'd be more even or perhaps in favour of toss perhaps someone more enlightened could explain this to me?


infestor broodlord
pPingu
Profile Joined September 2011
Switzerland2892 Posts
November 06 2011 19:31 GMT
#27
On November 07 2011 04:29 Ctuchik wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 04:23 Complete wrote:
What does a moving average entail?


If you look at the lines in the graphs, they don't follow the data points (shown by the bars) perfectly. They actually take into account the previous 2 months as well, averaged. This is done to smooth them out a bit and try to graph a trend.

I got a ton of feedback from the community and this was what was recommended. Not sure if I am completely happy with them, but they are much better than they were before.


Hey man, love what you do, it's really great from you to do that every month.
Zeon0
Profile Joined September 2010
Austria2995 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-06 19:31:48
November 06 2011 19:31 GMT
#28
On November 07 2011 04:22 Nemireck wrote:
I don't understand why Protoss is so low. I lose to toss all the time

same here^^
Hater of MKP since GSL Open Season 2 | Fanboy of: NesTea Stephano IdrA DIMAGA MorroW ret DongRaeGu Snute SaSe Mvp ThorZaIN DeMusliM
canikizu
Profile Joined September 2010
4860 Posts
November 06 2011 19:31 GMT
#29
Can we have an international chart and korean one?
sekritzzz
Profile Joined December 2010
1515 Posts
November 06 2011 19:32 GMT
#30
out of curiosity what was introduced around april/may in PvZ to cause the big divergence? was it the infestor buff ?
GhostFall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States830 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-06 19:33:15
November 06 2011 19:33 GMT
#31
The winrates were 50/50 in March for PvT before it diverged. It diverged coincides with patch 1.3.0.
The winrates were 50/50 in April for PvZ before it diverged. It diverges coincides with patch 1.3.3.
The winrates for TvZ has never been 50/50. Zerg's rise in March tho coincides with patch 1.3.0.
Amui
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada10567 Posts
November 06 2011 19:33 GMT
#32
On November 07 2011 04:31 andis35 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 04:30 Fusilero wrote:
Why is PvZ so bad for toss? I thought that with the NP nerf it'd be more even or perhaps in favour of toss perhaps someone more enlightened could explain this to me?


infestor broodlord


That and counter attack/basetrade based styles. Without an easy, safe 3rd, almost every GSL protoss I've seen just 2base all-ins to avoid having to attempt to take a 3rd.
Porouscloud - NA LoL
SoKHo
Profile Joined April 2011
Korea (South)1081 Posts
November 06 2011 19:35 GMT
#33
Zergs still give me shit and cry all the time for playing toss. I always refer them to these graphs, but they are blind from rage ^^
"If you don't understand my silence, you won't understand my words"|| Big Nal_rA fan boy!! Nal_rA, Bisu, Huk, MC, Hero fighting! SKT1---->
Noocta
Profile Joined June 2010
France12578 Posts
November 06 2011 19:35 GMT
#34
These graphs are nice and all, but there are getting use for whining prupose way too much.
" I'm not gonna fight you. I'm gonna kick your ass ! "
Striding Strider
Profile Joined February 2011
United Kingdom787 Posts
November 06 2011 19:36 GMT
#35
Protoss players are just bad.

User was temp banned for this post.
I have a beard. I'm unprofessional.
SwirlQ
Profile Joined February 2011
United States148 Posts
November 06 2011 19:36 GMT
#36
Statistics don't tell you anything imo, I play zerg and I win almost 100% of my ZvTs on ladder where as I win like maybe 33% of my ZvPs. People play diffrent matchups at diffrent levels. I think blizzard should have a diffrent MMR for each match up instead of all 3 in one.
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
November 06 2011 19:37 GMT
#37
On November 07 2011 04:22 Nemireck wrote:
I don't understand why Protoss is so low. I lose to toss all the time

I win as toss against terran -all the time-. The thing is that some people are specifically good against protoss and some aren't. However, according to the graph, many people have positive win-rates and few don't.
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
pzu
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden287 Posts
November 06 2011 19:37 GMT
#38
Btw, why are there so few games played in october relative to all earlier months? I tought october was STACKED, not enough time to watch all tourneys. :o
freetgy
Profile Joined November 2010
1720 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-06 19:44:45
November 06 2011 19:37 GMT
#39
On November 07 2011 04:30 Fusilero wrote:
Why is PvZ so bad for toss? I thought that with the NP nerf it'd be more even or perhaps in favour of toss perhaps someone more enlightened could explain this to me?


well notice that Blink was nerfed significantly (may be people did not realize this fully during the whole outcry of infestor balance changes), and prior to this the warpgates.
(This are both huge changes, and the reason why Mutas become popular again)
It is funny that protoss gets everything removed/nerfed that has any good utility.

While things like 1-1-1 stay in almost untouched.

The Metagame for protoss right know is 7-8 gate all-ins vs. Zerg. because protoss has nothing solid left to fall back on in a macrogame (unless the zerg screws up big time)

PS:
I thank every Zerg for trying to cheese me (and making it so much easier for me to win)
Than playing to your races strenghts.
SeaSwift
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Scotland4486 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-06 19:41:35
November 06 2011 19:38 GMT
#40
On November 07 2011 04:35 Noocta wrote:
These graphs are nice and all, but there are getting use for whining prupose way too much.


Exactly. While this is really useful for balance at the pro level (where it really matters), to all of us n00bs it doesn't change much at all. Anywhere apart from high masters and GM is completely unaffected by this - so, while it's sad to watch the pro Protoss players lose games you think they shouldn't, bear in mind that this is most likely irrelevant to your own win/losses.

On November 07 2011 04:36 SwirlQ wrote:
Statistics don't tell you anything imo, I play zerg and I win almost 100% of my ZvTs on ladder where as I win like maybe 33% of my ZvPs. People play diffrent matchups at diffrent levels. I think blizzard should have a diffrent MMR for each match up instead of all 3 in one.


This is for pro matches only, not ladder. If you want ladder stats go to Blizz directly, and good luck with that.

And saying statistics don't tell you anything is bollocks - it's like those preachers from the bible belt who come out with "science is just a theory". You just have to know how to interpret the statistics and understand what they mean.
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