EPTThere have been so many upsets this season, my TL vs iG liquibet seemed like such a no brainer but it could have ended badly :x
[WTL 2021] Winter - Week 10 - Page 2
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Poopi
France12889 Posts
There have been so many upsets this season, my TL vs iG liquibet seemed like such a no brainer but it could have ended badly :x | ||
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dbRic1203
Germany2655 Posts
On December 15 2021 23:09 VladSlymor wrote: Valiant effort by Clem - but this year again, that was probably the one point TL could not afford to lose. Seems they now have to pray for GGG to take some points off Pistorm, at the very least. Not 100%sure, about it, but I think Psistorm can gurantee their Playoff spot with 3 points tomorrow | ||
digmouse
China6329 Posts
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swarminfestor
Malaysia2449 Posts
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tigera6
3409 Posts
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VladSlymor
80 Posts
On December 16 2021 00:03 dbRic1203 wrote: Not 100%sure, about it, but I think Psistorm can gurantee their Playoff spot with 3 points tomorrow Most likely, but not 100% I think. 3 points for Psistorm tomorrow would guarantee that they end up above TL, for sure, but they could still be eliminated by Afreeca and TGP in a few weird scenarios. | ||
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WardiTV
578 Posts
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Nakajin
Canada8989 Posts
If they do so, the best GP can do is 17 point and a +2 ratio (tl can drop 1 map to GP and end up in front of them no matter what because of tie braker) If AF goes to ace vs IG the best they will have is 17 point and a +1 ratio, so TL could pass them, if they win without the ace they go to 18 point. Psi can go as high as 21 point and as low as 15. If they can get to 17 (2 ace loss or 1 ace win + 1 loss), the best ratio they can have is +2, ergo TL would pass them if they beat GP and lose no more than 1 map since they hold the tie braker. AX cannot go under 17 point and a -2 ratio. TL can pass them if AX lose their two match and win no more than 4 maps. (3 maps win would tie them at +4 and TL has the tie bracker) So there's still a few way for TL to squeze through but they made it considerably harder on themselves, psi losing the next two is probably their best path. | ||
Waxangel
United States33425 Posts
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Crocolisk Dundee
870 Posts
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dbRic1203
Germany2655 Posts
Its going to be rough for Psistorm now | ||
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digmouse
China6329 Posts
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dbRic1203
Germany2655 Posts
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tigera6
3409 Posts
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Nakajin
Canada8989 Posts
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Waxangel
United States33425 Posts
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VladSlymor
80 Posts
So, assuming that - Afreeca does the job against IG - with equal points and goal average, we favour the winner of the direct match Then the scenarios are, if I'm correct: - if Psi wins against NV (clean or ace), they're in - if Psi fully loses to NV, they're out and the winner of TL/TGP is in - if Psi takes one point against NV, then: - they're in if TL/GP split the points - they're out otherwise | ||
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MarianoSC2
Slovakia1855 Posts
On December 17 2021 01:01 VladSlymor wrote: Exciting! So, assuming that - Afreeca does the job against IG - with equal points and goal average, we favour the winner of the direct match Then the scenarios are, if I'm correct: - if Psi wins against NV (clean or ace), they're in - if Psi fully loses to NV, they're out and the winner of TL/TGP is in - if Psi takes one point against NV, then: - they're in if TL/GP split the points - they're out otherwise Afreeca just has to beat iG without ace and they are in, they are at 7th place a point above TL and GP, so in case they get 3pts against iG there is no way any of these teams will surpass them | ||
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VladSlymor
80 Posts
On December 17 2021 01:42 MarianoSC2 wrote: Afreeca just has to beat iG without ace and they are in, they are at 7th place a point above TL and GP, so in case they get 3pts against iG there is no way any of these teams will surpass them Yes, that was my assumption too - my scenarios are discussing which other team qualifies, along with Afreeca. Sorry if that was unclear. | ||
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