EPTTL Mafia 3 [Night 5]
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
On November 01 2008 13:03 Chezinu wrote: Give me mine! edit: ill wait if you are going in some order The mafia are being saved for last. So you haven't gotten yours yet huh.... | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
It was a joke. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
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I like the idea of lynching an inactive, although we'll probably just kill a green towny that saw his role and immediately stopped caring. At least the blues will probably be active, although that didn't hold true at the beginning of last game... | ||
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ShadowDrgn
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## I vote to lynch Ace. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
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On November 04 2008 09:34 Bockit wrote: At the moment the fact that you are a detective or not is worthless. If you are a detective, you are going to die before you can use your ability again. The mafia will have to use more of their killing power to take him down if he's a DT because of potential paramedics, and he may even live. I think it's extremely unlikely that the suicide bomber would take himself out of the game on the first night, even if it makes strategic sense to take the risk. I still think outing himself as a DT on the first day was a bad decision, but at least it has given us a ton of posts to analyze for later on. This is much better than taking a shot in the dark on day 1 clues. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
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ShadowDrgn
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ShadowDrgn
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ShadowDrgn
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ShadowDrgn
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On November 07 2008 15:44 fanatacist wrote: Lol... You start a sentence with "Ace said..." and you expect me to believe anything that follows? Exactly. If Ace "knows" I'm a detective, why'd I live through the first night? I've posted absolutely nothing besides a vote for him since then so it's not like I left any clues. Ace is good at this so trying to reason through his posts to glean any information is a crap shoot that isn't worth risking. Don't believe anything he says. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
On November 09 2008 20:33 Scorch wrote: That would be ZBiR Artanis[Xp] HeRoS)Pink Lenwe BloodyC0bbler So we have a great 2 mafia out of 5 (40%):
Artanis[Xp] HeRoS)Pink Lenwe BloodyC0bbler What doesn't make sense is why the mafia would kill 2 people on that list. Mandalor was making some good posts, but Amber? How about this scenario: Mafia claims he's a DT and messages Mynock about the decaf list. Mynock posts the information he received and becomes an obvious target, hopefully drawing medic protection. Mafia takes a risk with the suicide bomber to get some medics. Now, how much of a risk is claiming to be a detective when you're going to kill the person you told the next night? It's extremely unlikely that Mynock was going to out the informant, and now he's dead. Although they're obviously hoping that Mynock doesn't just PM someone now. If I were mafia, I wouldn't take that chance. It would make sense that nemy suicided himself as part of a plan and not just as an opportunity, but perhaps the mafia thought the alliteration clues were going to nail him? | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
## I vote for MidnightGladius | ||
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ShadowDrgn
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On November 10 2008 12:40 fanatacist wrote: Here is what I suspect is happening: DT PMs fusionsdf, tells him he is DT. Tells him the roles of people he has checked. Whether he checked me or not is unimportant, fusionsdf knows that I am definitely green/blue because HE is Mafia. fusionsdf makes this post claiming that I am a Mafia. Everyone supports it because OH MA GAWD BANDWAGON BASED ON FUSIONS' WORD LAWL. I get lynched, turn up green. fusionsdf can't be blamed by the town, since he was just the mouthpiece, right? So, fusionsdf reveals the name of the DT, DT gets lynched. Turns up blue. The town realizes they have been fucked in the ass because they lost a DT and a townie in exchange for 1 Mafia, over a (probably, assuming no vigi intervention) 2 day period. Mafia has the same KP this whole time, whittling down the town. In the end, the town has wasted 2 lynches and killed only 1 Mafia. Mafia wins, gg no re. I don't think there's a DT involved at all. Fusionsdf is mafia, makes up the DT story (real original since it's already been used for real this game), and we're supposed to lynch the person he chose. After fanatacist turns up green/blue, we lynch the supposed DT, which is going to be another name fusionsdf makes up. Three days later, we kill him. Doing this makes perfect sense if MidnightGladius is actually mafia and fusionsdf is covering for him to buy time (and kills). I realize this is going to look really bad for me if fanatacist gets lynched and turns up red.  | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
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ShadowDrgn
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On November 12 2008 11:55 fusionsdf wrote: not based off DTs or anything, but what do you guys think about wurm? for wurm = dragon a set of foot prints but only one mafia. 4 legs of a dragon? They do meet with a pair of mafia, but why would chuiu say only one mafia in the first sentence? Didn't we decide that one of those hits was a vigilante? That would explain only one mafia but two footprints. Trying to connect wurm to fire is fairly weak too. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
 We thought the alliteration clues being the first letter of mafia names was too obvious, but now we've killed an A, N, and I. All we're missing is an M, and Mikeymoo and MTF are the only ones still alive. Of course, Ace and iNfuNdiBuLuM might not have actually been the A and I mafia members... Also interesting is that the two people who were first to suggest this interpretation were decafchicken and fanaticist, both mafia members. Intentionally trying to throw the town off? I'm assuming that MidnightGladius was a vigilante kill. Oops. 8 Green townies alive so don't be surprised when mafia hits blues. We actually got lucky again tonight. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
If Plexa comes up red, that leaves 2 people from the above list, our M mafia, and 1 other (which could be the A or I member). ## I vote for Plexa. Edit: bold tags | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
On November 13 2008 01:50 ~OpZ~ wrote: Nevermore can indicate a raven, or something that flies....like a dragon....Narrowed nukes nearer? Fired fire blasts closer? Those clues were for nemy. Nuke = suicide bomber. My biggest reservation for Plexa being mafia was that I didn't think they could possibly be losing this game so badly with him, but now that we know he hasn't been playing, I think it's more likely he's mafia. Sorry for your family problems, but red=dead. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
On November 12 2008 16:10 BloodyC0bbler wrote: As it looks like that someone with an M in their name is indeed mafia, i would suggest MTF as he has kind of faded from the game and activeness Also in the alley fight with bockit and azn, bockit fights someone who just defends, and doesnt seem phased by it. (see picture of turtle hiding in its shell in his profile, which is how it defends itself) the mafia then trips him and finishes him off while hes on the ground. (see his quotation: The self-righteously ignorant are the only ones who ever truly believe they've got everything figured out.) this to mean makes it sound like bockit was ignorant to the threat he was fighting then paid the price for it. Quoting this to re-emphasize the case against MTF. Mikeymoo seems very unlikely to be mafia, MTF is the only other M, and the clues match up against him well. Voting to lynch ZBIR is taking a chance (even if that's a good chance). If you guys don't want to lynch Plexa, let's do MTF instead. ## I change my vote from Plexa to MTF Edit: I should really preview first | ||
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ShadowDrgn
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On November 13 2008 06:30 fusionsdf wrote: lynch MTF? are you guys fucking crazy? I went through his posts, and all his clue analysis implicates townies and deflects suspicion from known dead mafia members. He and Plexa also agree with each other, which isn't a good thing considering the clues pointing to Plexa. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
On November 13 2008 06:47 fusionsdf wrote: lol if they got ace, plexa and mtf this is officially the most imbalanced mafia game ever And the best part is that if we lynch a mafia today, their killing power is down to 2 and we've all but won. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
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On November 13 2008 07:12 ZBiR wrote: Yeah, lynch me ... then get owned after 4/10 of the mafia were handed to you. GL This makes you sound even more like a mafia. Are the 4/10 mafia handed to us the alliteration clues? Even more reason to lynch MTF.  | ||
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ShadowDrgn
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ShadowDrgn
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On November 13 2008 08:44 MTF wrote: Now, just looking at the numbers alone, how likely do you think it is that Chuiu would hand us this information, presuming that the alliteration is based off of the first word of a persons name? There were only two people with the letter I, and just one (or three if you make the exception, but even still) in the letter N. If it feels at all logical to conclude that the alliteration has this meaning, then I'd like to hear why, without the post hoc reasoning involving the currently dead mafia representing letters so far present. Personally, I don't think Chuiu thinks we are dumb enough to need that sort of help. If you feel like lynching me based off of clues, that's fine, if ironic for me. But please don't do it because my name starts with the letter M. :p Last game, any clue that seemed too obvious was wrong so we didn't expect that the alliteration was that easy. However, since 3 mafia have been killed that match that idea, I have to wonder whether Chuiu intentionally picked those letters as clues or if it just happened that 3 of them were the same as 3 mafia members' first letters. The latter would also assume that he either didn't notice or didn't care that the clue could be interpreted that way. At this point I'm just going with Occam's razor, plus I like the clues against you too. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
On November 14 2008 16:02 Chezinu wrote: What if Bombs can be moved. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
On November 14 2008 16:17 ulszz wrote: vigi should hit heros)pink probably. if hits any have hits left... His profile pic does look like it could fit the headbutt clue... ![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/userfiles/17000.jpg?1203987144) | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
If there's another Jack out there, please please PM me. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
Looks solid to me. I still like Plexa and MTF for the last two. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
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ShadowDrgn
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ShadowDrgn
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ShadowDrgn
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On November 18 2008 23:13 FakeSteve[TPR] wrote: props to XCetron for being instrumental to several mafia kills similar props to fusionsdf and mikeymoo and me for nailing fanatacist! take that, sucker! So I'm guessing that you and XCetron dying in the same night was a coincidence? Mikeymoo asked if I knew any medics that day, I told him about you because I knew he was already in contact with XCetron as well, then you both died. It seemed really suspicious. | ||
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ShadowDrgn
United States2497 Posts
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