TL Mafia 2 [GG]
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randombum: He showed his skills in the previous game (one of the vigilantes who did an amazing job), his voting pattern was good (according to a quote earlier in the thread, I haven't checked maybe I should) and I actually liked the mass PM, not because of the content but because of the effort involved in actually doing that. It shows he's dedicated, and that's something we need for the mayor. Empyrean: Experience as mafia, knows how they think also if he is a detective a detective mayor would be incredibly devestating against the mafia. araav: Basically I was impressed by how quickly he came up with the numbers. I had thought of doing something like that myself but never got around to it cos I'd have to do a lot of learning along the way. Massive props for that. Also someone mentioned "why would you pick a mayor because they can program c++?", my answer is for the bodyguards, because information like that is deadly to the mafia, we will be able to pick up trends and a lot more through smart use of his skills. Also, it's all well and good to say "but I can do that too", but you haven't posted results, araav has. Based off this, I think randombum should be mayor because imo he has proven himself to be capable of picking out mafia and will be useful in the leadership position, and araav as pardoner (I know we don't get to vote for this, but we should organise the vote to cover this) purely for the protection of bodyguards. The reason I pick araav over empyrean is purely because we know araav can provide the results and they are checkable, whereas empyrean, we are not 100% positive he is a detective, and it would be difficult to determine this, maybe not until it is too late. | ||
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On March 19 2008 18:08 Ghar wrote: No love for Ghar? =[ Well, it'd be harder to get you into office ![]() | ||
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On March 19 2008 11:58 Ace wrote: Needless to say I'm very,very uncomfortable with Empyrean even being Pardoner nevertheless Mayor. Seriously people that are voting for Empyrean what exactly are you basing this vote off of? The fact that he played well last round even though he was Mafia? The wrong thinking that since he was Mafia last round that he surely can't be Mafia this round? Those 2 points are clearly not going to help choose a Good Mayor. But that isn't my problem with his candidacy - this is: He role claimed Detective. This one action brings out a major problem. At this point we can't verify that Empyrean is legit as a DT. We pretty much have to go on blind trust, and I'm begging those of you who have played this game before to recall what happens when we act on blind faith. Nothing good will come out of it. Why would someone claim a key role like that early, saying that they fear they would be killed at night? If he really was acting in the best interest of the town, he would realize that as a key target the Medics would protect him and how that simple action puts a spin on the Mafia killing power. But he went the selfish route. Even more so, Empyrean never had a plan until myself and Ghar put plans up. He never even read the original plans and even got qsr's plan analyzed WRONG. How can this guy be a good candidate even though he didn't read many of the posts that are the main focus of discussion right now? But besides all of that, the final nail in the coffin is the fact that everyone says Empyrean is a good player. As any good mafia player will tell you, role claiming is a great strategy - only when done at the right time. The very beginning of the game when nothing can be proved, Empyrean an acclaimed good player role claims. He even admits that it can't be proved but we should just trust him. Think this out guys. A GOOD player that has not acted on logic, has not posted a plan till later in voting, and is running on a platform of "trust me based on my actions last game" which have no bearing on his status this game. HOW is this going to help us survive? He has not done anything so far that shows me or many others he is capable of acting in the best interest of the town and has even admitted it. Empyrean is smart - and he certainly isn't running on a platform that shows that. It's a trust platform, and right now the best thing we can do is vote based on plans of action and leadership NOT trust - because that can't be proven until later. Stop voting for him. I may have a slight lead right now, but by tomorrow who knows how the voting will stack up. I may even never get the Mayor position. I'm not comfortable with a guy who's acting selfishly and irrationally on Day 1 in any position of power. Even if he is Pardoner I'd be worried. Once I again I'm begging you guys to reconsider. I feel this needs emphasis.. | ||
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Though I'm not suggesting we should kill of a detective to confirm, OR that the plan is massively flawed, I'm just pointing out. That is unless I'm missing something... | ||
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On March 21 2008 10:45 ~OpZ~ wrote: But I don't believe you can hide your voting power. You can't spread your votes out so your vote would always be higher than other townies IF he wasn't roleblocked, meaning he would actually be roleblocked WITHOUT a DT confirming this would show he was targeted by a mafia member. So we wouldn't need a DT to confirm mafia targeted him, which would imply his innocence also. I believe Ace now. 100%. In day, when he votes we will see him only having 1 vote and that should show us his true face regardless of a DT stepping forward. Thank you Saboteur. Unless he's lying about being roleblocked? Not that I think that's the case, I'm just pointing out that the logic you applied there isn't perfect. We already have our methods to confirm he's a townie (bodyguards, dts), I'm giving detectives until day then I'll be pretty confident he's a townie and I'll be pming my role. | ||
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You will know who your fellow mafia members are and get the ability to kill townies each night. | ||
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During the night mafia will collectively decide on and send in their hits to me, who they want dead (its a good idea to discuss them during day so you know ahead of time). Casts doubt on the "each mafia is directly related" deal.. Chuiu (or anyone), can you clear this up? Does each mafia need to vote for townies to kill? | ||
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On March 23 2008 21:45 BWdero wrote: I dont know, I assumed that mafia just sent in a list. You cant have mafia individually hit someone since there are 20 mafia and only 9 kills. Gotta love logic... haha probably should have applied this earlier, well as you(Plexa) said it looks more daming with that in mind. For now though I'll wait for ace to tell us something. | ||
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On March 23 2008 22:22 Empyrean wrote: Heh. In the first game, I feigned ignorance about how the mafia operated. If you're mafia, don't think that this trick'll save you :O I was genuinely unsure.. Ugh looking at what I just typed makes me realise anything I say can be interpreted as me being mafia. I think I'm just gonna drop it haha. | ||
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![]() That head clues was used twice, it almost seemed as if he was TRYING to kill ghar.. | ||
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Not cool ![]() | ||
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Thank god we have plexa and fusion working through the clues, I haven't been able to follow this as much as I had hoped, I wanted to be analysing everything setting up huge excel tables and shit, but uni kills all my time, so thanks guys for all the effort you're putting in! | ||
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On April 11 2008 16:49 Plexa wrote: As we are looking for an Electricity connection, the Storm (and hence ID) don't really apply to this aspect of Taipan. Also, the juxtaposition of the name is also lacking from Taipan - hence it is fairly safe to assume that TranceStorm is not Taipan Snake and hence Trancestorm is not mafia. While I agree with pretty much all your methodology I don't think you can make the claim "because the juxtaposition doesn't exist then it increases his chance of not being mafia" and for proof I bring quesadilla, whose *only* connection to the clues was his signature, his name wasn't relevant but it was still him. Fair enough it turned out TranceStorm was townie, and the rest of his stuff doesn't match up as well as it seems people were thinking, as you've pointed out. I'm just trying to avoid us falling into the trap of saying "This clue fits X but Y doesn't fit therefore it can't be him" when we've seen that this can be the case. But yeah I agree with pretty much everything else you've been saying. Let's see some red by nightfall. | ||
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On April 11 2008 17:33 Plexa wrote: fair enough, i would argue that the juxtaposition isn't a central argument but is something which increases the chance of him being innocent. But the clue should match pretty seamlessly to one particular profile trait of the mafia Cool, yeah I was just clarifying I guess. You're right it definitely has to be a good match. | ||
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On April 14 2008 20:08 MTF wrote: Stalled myself out for a moment to retrieve BlindAlbino's voting record: BlindAlbino Mayoral Vote: Randombum Day 2: str Day 3: str Day 4: araav Day 5: EvilMonkey and Siefu. Interesting to note: Both Queasy and BlindAlbino originally voted for Ace, and then switched over to randombum near the end of the vote count. People that did similar moves: Clazziquai Hollander Crazie-penguin (though for good enough reasons) GeneralStan LTT Unforgiven_ve 0cz3c Myself (I seem to get caught in suspicious places constantly. XD) People of suspicion who also voted randombum: Suresh0t GrayArea (Just have a sort of feeling, dunno if there's anything to it.) BWdero Ninja4ever. Lysithea L Just throwing it out there, particularly because the day 1 post mentioned the "right mayor" being elected and randombum also being on the Mandalor list. What did Mandalor do? EDIT: So deciding not to be so lazy I just went and had a look, Mandalor originally voted for ghar and then swapped to Ace. EDIT2: And d.arkive he voted for Last Romantic Damn I was really hoping we had something there ![]() | ||
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On April 14 2008 20:54 MTF wrote: Yeah, I hoped the same. There's still a lot of suspects in the randombum group, though. Also, check out my first post on page 216. I compiled all the Mandalor list/known Mafia votes right after Evilmonkey got lynched. It doesn't help much, but it's a quick reference for now. :p Oh thanks, awesome ![]() Yeah there is the suspicious people list, but atm 1(2) / 3 (4) mafia.. I dunno it doesn't solidify anything for me yet. EDIT: Trying to put myself in their mindset, Mafia would have to be pretty slack/stupid to stack votes like that at the last second. If that was the case, it would be extremely suspicious, and judging by the amount of blues we've lost I think it would be a mistake to treat them as that stupid in their movements. | ||
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On April 14 2008 20:54 Plexa wrote: haha MTF is a machineeeee I've been trying to crack Mr Red for daysssss ![]() Yeah I reckon, this has been some crazy detective work. | ||
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On April 22 2008 12:52 MTF wrote: I can guess at one of a few scenarios to pass the time. 1: The most paranoid suggestion, that Mafia were waiting for L to get in and tell them who he's on tonight. 2: Crazie and/or Blind were the ringleader(s) and now with them gone, Mafia has become a chicken without a head. 3. They're just taking their time. Personally, number 2 appeals to me the most. : x #1 isn't possible because L has been posting for the past few days. On this note: the fact that L has been so active recently and mafia didn't even send in a hitlist tonight, makes me doubt the strength of the convictions against him. I'm not saying it makes him a confirmed innocent or anything, just that to me it is by no means set in stone anymore. #2 Out of these possibilities, this is most likely imo. #3 is also possible, but the length of time makes it improbable imo. The fact that mafia *haven't sent in a hitlist* makes me think we should be looking at the completely inactive no-vote-no-post people for some mafia. | ||
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On April 25 2008 21:36 MTF wrote: As a general side-note, we now have EVERYBODY who is playing and isn't dead/innocent in a list, whether Mandalor, Showtime!, or Non-Mandalor. This means, no matter who Mafia kills from now on, they up our chances of finding them systematically. ![]() Heh.. I hate to burst your bubble but that is something that happens regardless of lists ![]() ie. with mafia killing people, they increase the % of townies that are mafia, because more innocents are dying than mafia. That aside, I'm loving the work you guys are putting in ![]() | ||
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On May 11 2008 19:05 Plexa wrote: i've been over the profiles so many times and im so certain about this - like d.arkive sure Wasn't d.arkive the suicide bomber? Or did we have suspicions on him before he blew up.. | ||
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On May 14 2008 21:28 Camlito wrote: That's interesting because when i read the people who voted for ninja, your name just didn't stand out as suspicious, rather kf91 and araav, and ofcourse unforgiven. Edit: Plexa who is this UNOforgiven person... hmm... I was preempting ![]() | ||
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On May 22 2008 21:22 Plexa wrote: i feel confident in; The Wolf = jtan Mr Black = jimtudor (mandalor) Copperhead = 0cz3c (mandalor) somewhat confident in; Mr Pink = Rowdierbob Californian Mountain Snake = Bockit this in addition to the list a couple pages back pretty much sums up my thoughts Woah what? Sorry if I'm a bit lost here but when did I become a suspect? | ||
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EDIT: Ok I found it, Scorches post a little while back. Hm, tbh I don't think it's that strong a connection, or at least not stronger than any of the other suspects that have been named to Cali Mt Snake. I have spinning circles in my profile, about as strong as the rotor blades on the hat which seem to have been discounted? | ||
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Ok well it seems your whole case against me is based on this list deal (What the hell, why was a list like this posted on the Forums?). To debunk, You seem to have a crazy notion of what the staff function allows. It allows you to search through the post histories of specific posters, not "give me all mafia relevant posts in teamliquid in order of relevance" or anything. For me to have found a list, if I was mafia, (And I still can't believe such a thing was posted... just wow) I would have to have looked through the post histories of any people I could tell from the thread seemed important. Which is 100x more time consuming than if mandalor, as has been alleged, searched for his name on the forums and looked through posts, or anyone else for that matter searching for their names in the forums. I hope this clears up this weird idea that because I became blue I could suddenly find a list that shows all the people or that you think I would abuse the power I have (Not that I need to, as a player with a boring role I don't even check this thread all the time and when I do I generally vote with the general consensus). I don't believe any mafia behaviours can be associated with me either, and after catching up with the thread I can see a few people (Thanks Camlito!) have said they find my picture's connection with the disc weapon not nearly as strong as some of the other connections we have. Hope that clears things up about me. | ||
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![]() And I'm sorry, I missed the proof (or even conjecture, unless you count the accusation that somehow me being staffed mid-game made me the only person possible to have found that list) that I was mafia. And I'm pretty sure my voting pattern matches that of any of the inactive townies/veterans. I implied to Ace in my original role-revealing pm that I was kind of disappointed in my role and couldn't see myself being of much help, and after finding out that I couldn't do anything to influence the game anyway I kind of became disheartened (explaining my no votes as I cbb keeping up with the thread). It's actually a shock to see randombum turn up red, I hadn't picked up anything like that from what I had read of his posts in the thread. Yes I voted for randombum, I think I was one of the first few? I think we should be looking at the back of the randombum voting train that has people that we are sure are mafia (And on the mandalor list, which is what, 50% chance of mafia hits atm?) before we start hitting out at random townies (And vets it seems..). | ||
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As for L.. that's a fair call. Looking back at that time On May 27 2008 09:06 L wrote: Because I dont' want anyone thinking that mafia cheated this game. We've had the entire irc hacker incident, multiple instances of townies pming info around after being dead. Mafia's tried its best to keep playing by the rules, and I don't want anyone thinking we've bent the rules and broken into PMs or cheated to find the list. Mandalor was searching for threads with his name in it, and he got the entire list. The IRC incident was another fluke that we'll explain after the game. There's a few other things, but when we write up what happened on our side you'll see what i'm talking about. None of the living members can up and reveal themselves to explain that we aren't cheating, so that forces one of the dead ones to act as a representative. It looks like he was doing it out of a sense of honour. I dunno.. I can't explain that and I guess that puts me in a 'bad light' but looking at the list Ace posted (through unsoundlogic it seems) I'm not even confirmed mafia, can we at least kill confirmed before we hit up suspected? If clues come up strongly linking me to mafia then sure, kill me, as I know this isn't possible I'm happy to make that call as I know it's not gonna happen. | ||
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On June 05 2008 20:18 nemY wrote: It's cool. Personally I'm all for lynching Bockit then going with 0cz3z essentially following what Plexa & Ace gave us, then moving on from there ![]() Ok, let me put it this way. You've been accused on this potential list. You know you're 100% innocent (this is assuming you're a townie), and yet when other people on the list make the same claims, you're happy to ignore their claims and lynch them? I 100% know there are issues with the list as I am 100% positive of my own innocence. Normally this would be discounted (and has earlier on in this recent game), however we've basically had 3 or 4 people all go.. uhh wtf? myself, you, shallow, jtan. That's 4 of these 'potential' mafia. I really, really distrust this list and urge people not to blindly vote for me, we'll be wasting a lynch. EDIT: Or on the others, I think it needs some scrutiny before we act on it. | ||
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On June 24 2008 14:01 suresh0t wrote: you guys take shit so personally Truth. Remember this is a game people ![]() | ||
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On June 28 2008 15:07 Chuiu wrote: In the dark shed in ShaLLoW[baY]'s backyard Mr. Blonde gleefully waiting in silence clutching his weapon. ShaLLoW[baY] made his way to the shed slowly inspecting his petunias after the storm had passed. He was shocked to say the least when he opened the door. Mr. Blonde swatting ShaLLoW[baY] with the front end of the yard tool causing him to stumble backward into a trap Mr. Blonde had set of several nails on the ground. Having punctured his foot on a rather rusty one ShaLLoW[baY] began hopping frantically trying to pry the devil from his foot as he screamed in pain. Mr. Blonde used this opportunity to maneuver himself behind his victim and he killed ShaLLoW[baY] in one swift vengeful blow by shoving the rake up his ass. Vengeance, it is sweet. | ||
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On July 06 2008 13:34 Plexa wrote: oh if only i was living But you're not. ![]() | ||
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It's just gonna take far too long for either side to kill the other. Take that from someone who knows both sides atm. Just call it a draw and have it over. | ||
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--------------------------------------------- This got really out of hand about halfway through and I cbb proof reading, so if it doesn't make sense... w/e --------------------------------------------- Mafia MVPs imo: LTT, sucks that he disappeared, would have played out a lot differently imo) and L, managing to make town hold off on lynching him when it was clear he was mafia. Randombum too for being a pretty solid player and also for keeping the mafia together when people had died and nobody cared enough to make lists anymore (I think that was RB who organised that). For Town: Plexa, MTF and Camlito. They did all the groundwork in clue analysis, everyone else was basically working from their stuff. Especially Plexa, without Plexa I doubt the others would have done half as much, and we would have had a mafia victory a long time ago. Biggest mafia mistake I think was to leave plexa alive thinking (hoping) that if we didn't kill him his guesses would lose credibility. In our defense, this seemed to work at the beginning when Shallow managed to name just about every mafia in a single post (That had me scared for a bit). Luckily he was ignored ![]() I'm not gonna comment on balance, the game was what it was and really, if we had wanted to win we could have. By this I mean that if we had put a legitimate attempt into creating our own 'Plexa' we could have replaced him at his death and lead the town to their defeat after building some credibility. But we didn't, so we lost. IRC incident, first up LTT is a genius. Not at hacking or cheating or anything like that (Though I wouldn't be surpised if he could) but at fooling the 'elite' group of townies. Ace too. The way we found the channel was by pretending to change our nicknames to pretty outspoken townies as a joke, imagining if a townie somehow entered our passworded, private channel. Funnily enough we couldn't change our names to hittegods and empyrean (Turns out we were all on gamesurge) so LTT picked araav out and pretended to be him in the townie channel. Logged the chat for a bit and then got kicked when Ace returned from AFK. I know that he wanted to apologise to Araav for all the shit that he copped from the town after that. Oh and that wasn't the only IRC incident. It seems the elite townie group don't know much about IRC channels, because a week later we realised it was still public and still unpassworded. So LTT infiltrated it again, but this time as Lenwe. Held a few conversations with Ace as Lenwe, helped us learn a lot of the remaining blues, also helped in the downfall of decaf iirc. Around this time LTT disappeared off the face of the earth and nobody has heard from him/seen him since, If you read these chat logs then you might agree with me when I say that if he didn't disappear I'm pretty confident the game would have been completely different. But yeah. There is more about the beginning of the game (LTT and L were gonna do a writeup on that), other than that you guys know everything else by now pretty much. After the mandalor list thing I think a lot of the mafia stopped caring really, which proved to be our downfall, nobody was willing to put in the effort to be the next town saviour and clue guy, and so all of our defenses turned out to be 'lawlz im not mafia!!11' Oh also, the the bodyguard plan isn't perfect. If the mayor turns out to be mafia, town is royally fucked. You don't get your 'safe' person to pm your roles to, you don't get your double lynches and you don't get your pardoner (Everyone involved with the election is going to be killed pretty quickly) It is definitely worth the sacrifice of a mafia to make your acceptance speech "I'm mafia lawlz" and then that night kill off all the bodyguards. And that's if you want to be cocky about it. You could try and muck around with bodyguard lists and screw around with the town for a day or two and even further fuck things up. And there's really no way to tell if a person is mafia or not prior to the election. For example, I think after this game Plexa could make a pretty convincing campaign for mayor in the next game, and a lot of people would vote him in on performance from this game, but there is as much chance of him being mafia in the next game as anyone else. That's not a problem with the plan as such, just keep that in mind for the next game. We would have had RB as mayor, if two of the members had been online to change their votes in the dying minutes. PS: BlindAlbino was the funniest poster in this thread. He was even posting properly in other threads on TL and people never seemed to realise he was posting normally in this thread. PPS: Detective lists are crazily useful. Even with us using spreadsheets to make sure our votes were evenly distributed amongst diff lynch suspects it was still the 2nd reason you guys ended up winning (First being Plexa) Keep your detectives safer next game. Ie don't ask one detective to rolecheck another detective when you're trying to find out who the imposter detective is. We chucked mandalor into the fake detective position for a few reasons, one because we were worried about the power of the townie machine and we wanted to try and disrupt that and two because we reasoned that the role he'd have to check would be a bodyguard (it'd be the only thing that Ace would know for sure) or someone who reported in as a townie. We just didn't contemplate the situation that occurred because it brought unnecessary attention to the townie role with the most potential. Thanks to the IRC logs we found out that one detective had checked another detective and well, the rest is history. GG. Oh and how could I forget: A massive thankyou to Chuiu for running this game, sticking through it and putting up with 1203103123 pms from mafia asking for specifics on how roles worked. | ||
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On August 05 2008 19:41 Ace wrote: bockit how the hell did you know WHERE the channel was? thats the part I dont get. Even if the channel was unpassworded how did you knew it existed? and even though Plexa gets a lot of credit, Camlito was the genius behind a lot of stuff. Really there were a lot of people that did much. very good game though. Even though I don't think Mafia would have won if you killed plexa early (Camlito was still alive) it is what it is. good game. Whois edit: I think. And yeah, fair point about others behind the scenes. | ||
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On August 05 2008 19:55 Ace wrote: also about the DT thing: I was actually shocked myself. I was hoping I didn't have to resort to having more than 4 DTs so early to have to pick out. And of course I couldn't exactly go "hey whats empyrean's role" so that was moot. Mandalor tipped me off though in a reply PM that he knew what New104 was, like I figured he would putting 2 and 2 together, and I just scratched the role check plan. I think it was Caller that was like lets go ahead with the mass vote checking plan. Ahh ok, stuff makes a lot more sense now. When the IRC incident happened I was like thank god not all my bodyguards were ever in that channel so I just figured we could live a bit long. Also that IRC thing DID kill decaf. I had a plan with Plexa about how to figure it out and it turned out Kh101 was ALSO a legit blue. We were hoping that the worst case scenario didn't happen and it did. Haha awesome ;P As for randombum being elected Mayor, I do remember saying hey townies lets not fuck me over. If RB got Mayor the game would have been chaotic. I could see him saying fuck your BG plan and shitting on everyone asap. As fo is it worth it for Mafia to take mayor and sacrifice themselves: at the beginning I said no. Just checking the vote list would incriminate a lot of people. But now I have mixed feelings. There were a lot of things I did as Mayor that probably seemed questionable - but I have no choice. As Mayor you pretty much have to be the "leader" and the person "in charge". Have to take a lot of shit from retarded townies, have to try an sift through bullshit PMs (I think LTT sent me something), and also try and keep people focused and on the right track. After this game I think if a Mafioso gets Mayor the town is in some shit. The fact that I was protected and pretty much confirmed innocent let a lot of people speak through me and keep themselves alive for a long time. I think it's worthwhile, if you don't make your saboteur the dude running for mayor :S. That was a fuckup on our parts and just shows why you shouldn't have people pre-running for mayor (Not blaming RB, just for future reference ![]() It will be interesting to see what happens in the next game (Chuiu hinted somewhere in the last 300 pages that next game won't involve a mayor iirc). | ||
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When LTT found the channel he only went in after changing his irc client, nickname and hostmask from what he normally used. After going to all this trouble to hide who he was and after he'd been in for 10 mins and pasting stuff back to us, clazziquai thought it would be a good idea to just join the channel too. His hostmask was clazz@something, and then he immediately left. We figured he'd be dead the next day but it looks like nobody made the connection. Those PMs are a good read, I never knew there were that many heh (Hell I didn't even know there were that many mafia pming you haha). | ||
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