Dark Tournament Mini Mafia
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On November 28 2015 08:44 Fecalfeast wrote: /replace | ||
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I just felt like nobody noticed me | ||
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On December 03 2015 08:08 Damdred wrote: LS has basically mod confirmed himself as town. That's pretty shitty but we have to work with it I guess. I only read the end of day what are you talking about | ||
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On December 03 2015 08:11 Damdred wrote: LS freaked out after deadline thinking he got lynched and said GG i'm VT. It was as deadline hit or a few seconds after, so he thought he was lynched. mneeehhhh.... I was reading it as an outsider, had time to check the vote thread and came back to a vote count I'm not sure it was close enough to deadline | ||
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On December 03 2015 08:10 Trfel wrote: Everything about his play says town except for the thing that I quoted. I actually think that the thing that I quoted is extremely scummy, such that he can't be town. Do you think otherwise, and if so can you please explain it to me so that I can be comfortable with my LightningStrike townread? Also, NocturneMage, I apologize for you having replaced into a mafia slot. At least I have a fair opportunity for revenge. I'm also looking at rels' thing so maybe I'm being biased | ||
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On December 03 2015 08:17 LightningStrike wrote: Okay Damdred I really sorry for calling you a idiot. Like I feel terrible about it T_T So kush flipping town reverses your scumread on damdred completely? | ||
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On December 03 2015 08:18 LightningStrike wrote: So FF how much of the game you had read? Just curious. hardly any, just the end of day. I had the thread subbed from my /replace post and when I got the PM saying I may need to replace there were 560 posts or so unread. I skipped all of those and read from there | ||
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I misunderstood my bad | ||
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On December 03 2015 08:24 Trfel wrote: Damdred? winner winner brb | ||
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I sure can read, yup... | ||
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On December 03 2015 07:56 Fidei86 wrote: Switch to kush On December 03 2015 07:57 The Shining wrote: Fuck it. I'm down. Shenanny onto kush. Let's do it. I'd say since fid's post didn't really get talked about while shining's seemed to trigger the floodgates that shining is more responsible for the voteswitch. Damdred you "voted" fid (not in the vote thread) when you came back to the thread today what's your read on him now that the dust has settled? I think shining asks you this pre deadline but with him trying to start the train does that change anything? Also I'm still a little perplexed by your LS townread. You were hard scumming him and him making a post saying he's VT while people are switching votes 1 min before an active deadline makes him lock town? IDK maybe I operate on another level but 1 minute is a long time when you're at a computer and he could have seen the votes switching. | ||
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On December 03 2015 08:51 Trfel wrote: Does anyone actually enjoy playing with me any more? Because if not, there's really no reason for me to play. I'd rather not waste my time trying to reread all of that End of Day stuff. I like playing with everyone man what's up? | ||
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On December 01 2015 16:42 Trfel wrote: Wait a second, disformation... You've only rolled town on TL, correct? So if you were town and someone questioned you for a "constructed" post, then why would you ask someone else about this? What did you hope to get out of your question? Based on Damdred's answers, do you have a conclusion now? Not a bad point on disform at face value but if disform wasn't sure of his play before and has since learned that constructed posts are scummy, what's the problem calling out something he has learned to be generally scummy? On December 02 2015 01:27 Trfel wrote: Under normal circumstances, I'd be suspicious of The Shining here and would be maybe willing to lynch him Day 1. However, since The Shining probably won't be able to play much today, and wasn't 100% there yesterday, I think that giving him a Day 1 pass is probably best. Sorry that wasn't clear in my initial posts. Is anyone else kind of suspicious of Rels? The way that he has been throwing suspicions at everyone feels like he's trying to keep his options open to lynch anyone he chooses. I don't recall him posting a single townread (which isn't that important), but the way he's been pressuring so many people without follow through or without a serious push seem so strange. The vote on DoYouHas feels extremely opportunistic, as well. I was really hoping that DoYouHas wouldn't be brought up for a while, I wanted to see what he did if he wasn't bothered. I remember checking the exact same thing that Rels mentioned earlier, and I'm not entirely on board, but I'll let DoYouHas speak for himself. Now that day 1 is over and his pass expired, what is your opinion of shining? Keeping in mind he was a main instigator of the final kush switch. On December 02 2015 02:40 Trfel wrote: Off to class for a while. Town lean on disformation. Would really appreciate answers from LightningStrike and Damdred, questions asked previously. I'm not reading in context, what changed your mind from your earlier suspicions? On December 03 2015 03:17 Trfel wrote: I'm going to eat lunch, I'll get to Rels and Fidei86 after. Fidei86 is probably an okay lynch, but I need to read his filter first. Putting off reading Damdred until he answers my question, it would help me to read him greatly. Otherwise, I could lynch MoosyDoosy today. I don't want to lynch Onegu today for stupid reasons. Why was fidei a good lynch before you read his filter? What is your opinion on him now? EoD Your switch from moose to LS seemed a little off to me as I read it from outside the game. You even said On December 03 2015 04:18 Trfel wrote: I was thinking about it over lunch. MoosyDoosy is nearly guaranteed scum. There's everything you could ask for except for baby seals. Voting for MoosyDoosy. You should, too. So LS making one inconsistency means that moose, who you think could claim mafia and still be just as scummy, is no longer a better lynch than LS? Can you run me through that? | ||
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On December 03 2015 09:21 Trfel wrote: MoosyDoosy wasn't being lynched at End of Day. The lynch was between LightningStrike and kushm4sta. My preferred lynch was always MoosyDoosy, and I was going to keep my vote on him as protest assuming that it didn't matter. When the lynch started shifting from MoosyDoosy to kushm4sta, LightningStrike made two posts that I thought nearly confirmed him as mafia. I didn't have a read on kushm4sta, and I decided that it was more likely that I was stupid and wrong on LightningStrike, so I changed my vote to lynch him instead of kushm4sta. And sorry I closed your filter before the very end did you comment on the 'confirmed town' thing? What do you make of it? | ||
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On December 03 2015 10:57 NocturneMage wrote: yo, at work, on mobile, finishing work late tonight, need to go to bed right after though and I have seminars all damn day tomorrow. I've not read dick all or followed the game for d1 quite yet, but I'm VT and I'm ready to fuck up some dirty dirty scummers. reading from end of cycle, I'm pretty suspicious of trfel again (I say again because he was scum the last game) but that's mainly because of how he played last game. of course he'd push moosydoosy, he's unreadable as fuck as either alignment. same desperation emotions when no one is listening to him. unless he does this as town. cool story bro, try harder because I'm not scum. IDK maybe I'm being a shitlord but why do you need to mention twice that you're town? Let alone claiming VT in a setup where, from what I can tell, mafia doesn't know the roles in the game. On December 03 2015 11:08 NocturneMage wrote: hts is a sleazeball as mafia, I love her to death, but I'll pretty much know immediately if she's mafia because I obviously know her in real life and if she's out of bounds with her personality, she is almost certainly mafia. obviously if I think she's mafia, I will case her in a way that doesn't require you to know her in real life. unless her dota friends want to argue they have some feels on her from external behaviour. rels, fidei? I'm looking at you two. although seeing doyouhas' post, if hts got someone lynched who was scumreading her, that is a major red flag in my book. that is routine mafia play for her. dani as mafia will absolutely push the lynches of the people who want her dead. so dyh, what was her role in the lynch? This is also reading like you already have a read on her. You even tell someone to give you information about her regarding the lynch in the context that she got someone lynched strategically yet don't actually know? Feels like you're already aware of what you want to read HTS but you're also talking like you haven't read anything. Throwing you in the suspicious pile | ||
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On December 03 2015 12:26 LightningStrike wrote: I here now guys(gotten some ice cream with my dad) and NM posted. Seems okay for now. Wondering if it was triple town that were up for lynch today in terms of the big wagons that had happened at EoD. Hmmm Can you point out anything that specifically seems towny? Both trfel and I have expressed concerns about NM's posts do you have anything to say there? | ||
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On December 04 2015 04:14 Trfel wrote: I don't understand. This is basically a 99.9% scumread with extremely few possible holes, if any. I've explained it in basically as much detail as possible and explained why all of the counterarguments are wrong. Why does no one care?!?! Calm your testicles bro. Shit's got spoilers and words all over the place unless you expect that everyone saw it the second you posted it just be patient. I just woke up so I haven't even started to read it. I've skimmed the stuff I missed but honestly didn't retain much. Haven't had any coffee yet | ||
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On December 04 2015 03:31 Trfel wrote: Why NocturneMage is Mafia Warning: this case will probably be extremely long. I tried a short case with only the essentials, but no one believed me. So I am trying this instead. Warning 2: this case will probably include a lot of meta. I did not want it to be that way. My first case included minimal meta. However, meta has been used to defend MoosyDoosy/NocturneMage, so I must first demonstrate why that meta defense is incorrect and then demonstrate why meta shows that NocturneMage is mafia. Warning 3: as careful as I try to be, there's probably at least one typo/formatting error somewhere. And I'm not going to proofread this as I would be here all day. If you have any questions, please feel free to ask. Note: I will be using MoosyDoosy's filters from the following three games to describe his town meta. I have only read one of the three games mentioned (Newbie Student Mafia XVII). This means that some of the meta reads used may have flaws, however I do not think this is the case. It is noteworthy that in Newbie Student Mafia XVII (the latest game), MoosyDoosy said that meta reads on him do not apply because he's played so many games on another site and his meta has changed. Newbie Student Mafia XVII is very recent, is the game that I'm familiar with, and strongly supports my point, so this cannot hurt the strength of my read (and may help it). Part 1: For those who say MoosyDoosy is unreadable + Show Spoiler + MoosyDoosy often plays very differently as town than most people do. And many people are not used to this. Saying that MoosyDoosy is unreadable as town is a very false statement, however. There have been other players in the past who have been sometimes considered "unreadable". Alakaslam and Chezinu are two examples of this, I might also consider LightningStrike (arguable). In truth, no one is unreadable. Everyone has tells on some level, reasoning that can be applied to their play on some level, because mafia knows that they are mafia and is trying to survive while town knows that they are town and is trying to catch scum/isn't playing to survive. In the past, people have demonstrated an acceptable ability to read Alakaslam, Chezinu, and LightningStrike. People have also demonstrated an ability to read MoosyDoosy, as shown by geript in Newbie Student Mafia XVII. Also, geript can be a very good player as town; this read on MoosyDoosy was not caused by luck. In this game, geript caught two of the three scum members with extreme confidence by the end of Night 1 (at least, pretty sure it was even earlier, but whatever). On November 18 2015 02:24 geript wrote: The read that geript used on MoosyDoosy here is somewhat specific to that game, however my point is that it can be done. It can't be approached the same way every game, but if you pay attention and look for things that you wouldn't look for from a more "normal" player, you can read MoosyDoosy on Day 1.Moosey 5.5/7--I think Moosy might be town. It's kinda impossible to tell, but I liked his Farah read. I don't think the read is good, but Moosy tends (as town) to be staunch on some really out there read that no one else sees. Yes, he does the same thing as scum. Yes, IMO he'll do anything he'd do as town as scum including acting like an ass. I don't have a super strong read on him that I can make a town case on him, but I feel about as strong about the read on him as I did in the last game (where I was tracker and was trying to decouple him and scumdred). The thing that really makes me think he's town isn't just his outburst around the Farah thing; more importantly it's how he comes back to it later on. The bounce back on was really, really towny I think. It's this, "I want to fuck people over and I don't want to fuck people over" dissonance that I don't think he can really fake as mafia. Part 2: Essential facts about MoosyDoosy's play (meta) + Show Spoiler + 1. MoosyDoosy hates playing as town Don't think that this should need to be explained, but here we go anyway. On November 17 2015 11:57 MoosyDoosy wrote: I am assuming that he is referring to hatred of playing town as opposed to hatred of the town in this game.Because I hate town. Next quesiton, yes. On October 16 2015 20:48 MoosyDoosy wrote: I guess... /in I swear if I roll VT again tho... On November 30 2015 03:22 MoosyDoosy wrote: Ignoring the WIFOM in this post, it's pretty obvious that he hates playing town Day 1 and often will not do so.pregame excuse: i said i'll play d1 but remember that i only play d1 as mafia but then again i like playing w/ damdred which might make me try but then i have bias towards damdred so if i'm town that's a negative spiral and btw if i do roll mafia idk if i'll actually play or not for mindgames but idk if i'll be able to muster the decision to play if i'm town but guys i've rolled town in every one of blazinghand's games so ofc i'll roll town but maybe this time it's time to break the chain... And hm, I think that's all of the meta that is required for this case to actually work. Which is great because it's adequately described in MoosyDoosy's pregame posts this very game. Part 3: An example of a similar read to the one that will follow + Show Spoiler + For this, I turn to one of the very best. Ver. If you're not familiar with Ver, he's one of the best mafia players of all time. He (I believe) was one of the mafia players who played at the start of TL Mafia, and he won nearly every game he played. He doesn't play any more, but for the past while, every so often he's hosted a game where he didn't know anyone's alignments, and let the cohost handle all of the alignment-relevant hosting like flips, night actions, etc. Ver analyzed the game, and at the end of the game, he shared his thoughts and how he went about catching the scum team. I believe he caught or basically caught the scum team by the end of Day 2 at the latest, generally sooner. Point being, he's an extremely good player and knows what he's doing. The following is from Ver's analysis of Assassination Mafia. I played in this game, so I have a decent idea of what I'm talking about. 1. Ver's scumread of Bill Murray + Show Spoiler + In this game, Bill Murray was mafia. He started by nuking (basically an in-thread vigilante shot that hits at the end of the cycle) Trfel, and then nuking marvellosity (the latter being a fake nuke) for questionable reasons. He later started playing the game more seriously and many people thought he was town (some reasons being that he was too scummy to be scum, he was extremely crazy, randomly nuking was a bad play from mafia that wouldn't be beneficial, etc). Ver wrote: There's some additional reasoning to this scum read, but it's not important to the point I'm trying to make; feel free to read it for yourself, it's a great read. The bold emphasis is my own, this is the idea that I'm trying to get across: if there is a post that cannot come from a town mindset/perspective, it makes the poster mafia. Note that this is often unrelated to whether the post is objectively good or bad ("objectively good" play is explained reads, explained changes in reads, everything makes sense, etc... "objectively bad" play is the opposite, however these things are both not so helpful for catching mafia).Right now Bill Murray is relaxed, he is not double checking his posts and make sure his stance is consistent with a townie ideology; he messed up. If you notice Bill Murray’s posting improves greatly over time, enough that he even made quite a few people believe he was innocent and even get pardoned. Remember all you need to do as town is to find one post or context where they have an action/words that cannot come from a townie frame, and you found a mafia. You do not need them to keep posting!! Bill Murray looked innocent the more he posted but it was irrelevant because his early posts and actions made him mafia. Case Closed. Next. Ver said this to further explain the scum read: Ver wrote: Bill Murray's story didn't match for two reasons.[Written postgame] For the people who defended Bill or were uncertain of him being mafia, I think this happened because they were focusing on the wrong things, like the possibility of him being an insane townie. But the idea that crazy people are more likely to be town (because of lack of fear) is not a rule, it is a heuristic. Thus it can be wrong. In order to confirm your heuristic usage, you need to bring in other factors. The best pairing with the “he wouldn’t do something crazy as mafia” is the congruence heuristic. Are his actions/words aligned? Does he keep his story straight? Is he coming from the same base point each post? If you apply that to Bill, it should be quite obvious he fails the test hard. Several people noted that his posts were all over the place and not consistent at all. Just because he’s trying doesn’t mean anything. Thus the “insane townie” heuristic gets overruled because congruence is more important. The best mafia cases all come from when multiple quality heuristics converge. Some are more accurate than others, and in such cases where they conflict you have to go with the most precise ones first. Those are generally congruence and “he can only do/post that from a mafia mindset.” Both those apply to Bill. 1. He nuked Trfel for having a small filter and low activity. Right after that, he something like "Wow, I should have nuked Palmar. Guy has even less activity than Trfel." Then, he later nuked marvellosity. First, this is bad play because he didn't consider all of his options before using his nuke and the reason he used his nuke is awful (play so bad that it's a bit scummy, but doesn't make him scum). Second, he was suspicious enough of Trfel to nuke him, then he said that Palmar was even worse. But didn't nuke Palmar. And nuked marvellosity later. If he actually had two nukes, why did he not nuke Palmar, if that was more than enough suspicion to justify a nuke? This again doesn't completely make him mafia IMO, there's an extremely small chance that Bill Murray would be town with two nukes and is willing to fire off one of them at random and actually cares to save the second for the best moment. He's very scummy, but not confirmed scum. 2. After firing two nukes and playing poorly/insanely for the reasons described above, Bill Murray calmed down, apologized, and then started playing seriously. His reads and play were actually "objectively good" as described before. However, this is what actually makes him 100% mafia. Town can play badly, town can nuke people at random. Town can also play well and try to solve the game to the best of their ability. But town can NOT play badly and use their role to shoot people at random, nonsensically, and then stop and try to play seriously and solve the game. These two things do not line up and cannot possibly come from the same person. The contradiction makes Bill Murray 100% mafia. One final note, while I didn't say quite what Ver said, it's in the same spirit: Ver wrote: even if you ignore my evidence, other people like Marv Sandro and a couple I forget bring up quite accurately that his motivations/posts are inconsistent over the course of the day 2. Ver's scumread of marvellosity (excerpt) + Show Spoiler + Marvellosity was the last catch for Ver. Here's some of his scumread on marvellosity: Ver wrote: If you see something that makes no sense from a town mindset, then the person is probably mafia.In my reassessment [on marvellosity] with my focus more narrowed, I went over the day 1 nuke shenanigans and I noticed something strange: I automatically assumed BM’s first nuke was fake and second was real since a) he knows town has anti nukes b) that is just common sense, but what if it wasn’t? trfel certainly reacted to BM’s nuke, and Marv reacted to BM’s nuke on trfel. But why did Marv not care a bit about BM’s nuke on him? That is a gaping hole that extremely likely indicates mafia. Part 4: Why MoosyDoosy's play shows that he was mafia (only the above meta) + Show Spoiler + 1. Pregame, MoosyDoosy stated that he might not play Day 1 as town. He clearly showed that he wouldn't be happy about rolling town. Once the game started, MoosyDoosy still said that he wouldn't be happy about rolling town. + Show Spoiler + On November 29 2015 05:56 MoosyDoosy wrote: /confirm Looks like I have to play D1 now. :/ On November 30 2015 03:22 MoosyDoosy wrote: pregame excuse: i said i'll play d1 but remember that i only play d1 as mafia but then again i like playing w/ damdred which might make me try but then i have bias towards damdred so if i'm town that's a negative spiral and btw if i do roll mafia idk if i'll actually play or not for mindgames but idk if i'll be able to muster the decision to play if i'm town but guys i've rolled town in every one of blazinghand's games so ofc i'll roll town but maybe this time it's time to break the chain... On December 01 2015 08:14 MoosyDoosy wrote: Scared to check role pm -> scared of rolling townniiiice, I didn't even check my role PM yet lol. I'm actually scared to. 2. MoosyDoosy claims to check his role pm and says that he rolled town, and is upset about it + Show Spoiler + On December 01 2015 08:37 MoosyDoosy wrote: i just checked my pm. i'm vt tournaent attendee asd;flkjasdf 3. Through the rest of the game, MoosyDoosy shows no complaints about rolling town at all, and is very happy + Show Spoiler + Here is MoosyDoosy's filter. To be complete, I should quote every post after he checks his role pm, but that's stupid. Here are a few posts that best describe my point. On December 01 2015 08:40 MoosyDoosy wrote: This post was made three minutes after MoosyDoosy checked his role pm. Given how big of a deal he made over checking his role pm (took him 23 minutes between first mentioning it and checking his role pm), how much he hates playing town, and that he was upset when he claimed to have read his town role pm, he should still be upset three minutes later. Instead, he's happily talking about the game.Rels speak more so i can soul read you as usual. On December 01 2015 08:43 MoosyDoosy wrote: In case there's any doubt, three minutes later.aight imma do this: wait until rels speaks more. if he's mafia, we lynch him. if he's town, imma do the opposite of what he says as he gets everything wrong ofc. On December 01 2015 08:57 MoosyDoosy wrote: I think I like you two fighting. :D Plzerino continue~~ On December 02 2015 09:07 MoosyDoosy wrote: His last post of Day 1. Very interesting, he did a bunch of work (as he claims) and is happy? Not expected from a person who hates playing town.whew i did too much work there. will be back after a rest. ![]() This very strongly suggests that MoosyDoosy is mafia. I cannot see these posts coming from the same perspective/mindset as MoosyDoosy showed pre-game and at the start of the game through reading his role pm, so the only option is that MoosyDoosy rolled mafia. 4. MoosyDoosy displays no desire to solve the game + Show Spoiler + I know, you're saying "but MoosyDoosy is useless as town, he never displays any desire to solve the game! This is NAI!" First, you're wrong. But second, remember this is the "minimal meta" section, and having no desire to solve the game is almost always mafia indicative. Here are all of MoosyDoosy's posts in the game that can possibly be seen as trying to solve the game. Being very nice here. + Show Spoiler + On December 01 2015 08:40 MoosyDoosy wrote: Rels speak more so i can soul read you as usual. On December 01 2015 08:43 MoosyDoosy wrote: aight imma do this: wait until rels speaks more. if he's mafia, we lynch him. if he's town, imma do the opposite of what he says as he gets everything wrong ofc. On December 01 2015 08:57 MoosyDoosy wrote: I think I like you two fighting. :D Plzerino continue~~ On December 01 2015 12:42 MoosyDoosy wrote: o/ Hi Shining. What was with the burst of emotion earlier? Ya feeling alright there buddy? On December 01 2015 12:43 MoosyDoosy wrote: Really? No one pointed this post out? hm...would like to see Palmar and Damdred's take on this. On December 01 2015 12:45 MoosyDoosy wrote: hm...help me understand your Fidei read. Do you think the basis behind Fidei's reads are bad or the reads themselves? On December 01 2015 12:50 MoosyDoosy wrote: I find it interesting that you acted that way because A. I'm genuinely concerned for your mental state in Mafia as I know it's a high stress game. B. I do feel that you overreacted a bit with your sudden outburst and I disliked the way you try to use your meta to defend yourself. So. I just want to know your thoughts. What was the basis behind your Fidei read? On December 01 2015 12:54 MoosyDoosy wrote: I really want Rels to speak up. Rels bby speak~~ On December 01 2015 13:05 MoosyDoosy wrote: i like this post because i feel the same way tbh On December 02 2015 09:03 MoosyDoosy wrote: hey rels bb are you okay? You seem a bit too angry. :c Talk to me if you need to vent a bit. What's with your angry attitude m8? On December 02 2015 09:03 MoosyDoosy wrote: The way to find out disformation's alignment is to shade a ton of suspicion on him and a ton of votes then see what he does afterwards. On December 02 2015 09:05 MoosyDoosy wrote: hey damdy, who you looking to kill tonight? ![]() On December 02 2015 09:06 MoosyDoosy wrote: Can someone go back and list the twooo sides right now? I get the impression there's the Rels camp and the anti Rels camp or something like that. Anyone who makes that list for me is a bb. These kind of statements are always very subjective, but I personally feel that MoosyDoosy does nothing at all to move the game forward and shows no desire to solve the game at all. The posts about Rels are completely useless. Excluding those, and taking only the best of MoosyDoosy's comments, along with why they show no desire to solve the game: On December 01 2015 12:43 MoosyDoosy wrote: Criticizing this post is a perfectly valid thing to do. MoosyDoosy doesn't have any push, however. There is no followup on anything else about me (Trfel). He doesn't come to a conclusion about me, he basically just says "here, yours!" and throws it at Damdred and Palmar. Basically making suspicion and letting someone else do the work while waiting in the corner and watching.Really? No one pointed this post out? hm...would like to see Palmar and Damdred's take on this. On December 01 2015 12:50 MoosyDoosy wrote: Suddenly MoosyDoosy is talking about The Shining. Okay. No conclusion about this either.I find it interesting that you acted that way because A. I'm genuinely concerned for your mental state in Mafia as I know it's a high stress game. B. I do feel that you overreacted a bit with your sudden outburst and I disliked the way you try to use your meta to defend yourself. So. I just want to know your thoughts. What was the basis behind your Fidei read? On December 01 2015 13:05 MoosyDoosy wrote: So he has a lot of townreads and doesn't want to say them. They haven't been mentioned at all yet. Okay...i like this post because i feel the same way tbh On December 02 2015 09:03 MoosyDoosy wrote: What does MoosyDoosy think about disformation's alignment? I assume that he thinks disformation is town because of the "lots of townreads" post and the fact that he doesn't actually do the advice that he suggests here, however why doesn't he say that disformation is town and/or why he thinks so?The way to find out disformation's alignment is to shade a ton of suspicion on him and a ton of votes then see what he does afterwards. On December 02 2015 09:05 MoosyDoosy wrote: He said that he liked Damdred's earlier post, here he suggests that Damdred is scum. Either this is a joke (and therefore not solving the game) or he's not caring to explain or investigate his read at all (not solving the game).hey damdy, who you looking to kill tonight? ![]() It's not that MoosyDoosy is not being very useful, it's that even for having just a few posts that can actually be maybe seen as doing something, they're all focused on different people. There's no followup, no conclusions at all, nothing that requires thinking, nothing that seems to be solving the game. You can read his filter for yourself. This also extremely strongly suggests that MoosyDoosy is mafia. Again, most meta arguments will be addressed later. If you're looking for mafia motivation as well, it's fairly obvious (this point is not as strong as the other points, so I won't spend a lot of time on it, but mafia motivation is important so this is here in principle). MoosyDoosy didn't try to solve the game (mafia doesn't need to solve the game). MoosyDoosy's activity died down once it seemed like people weren't going to lynch him (mafia only posts to survive). MoosyDoosy relied on WIFOM and meta to survive instead of scumhunting. Part 5: Why MoosyDoosy's meta suggests that he is mafia, not that he is town + Show Spoiler + I have previously explained why MoosyDoosy's play this game displays no desire to solve the game. Looking at three of his past games, the question is if he has a desire to solve the game as town. If he does, then MoosyDoosy is almost certainly mafia in this game; if he does not, then MoosyDoosy may be town in this game (the previous point about MoosyDoosy being scum for not trying to solve the game would be much weaker). Game 1: Newbie Student Mafia XVII + Show Spoiler + For this game, I'll be taking only Day 1 quotes. Two reasons. First, MoosyDoosy only played Day 1 in the current game. Second, MoosyDoosy was nearly lynched on Day 1 in Newbie Student Mafia XVII, and his Day 2 play was much more involved and useful. On November 16 2015 15:53 MoosyDoosy wrote: This post came quite early in Day 1, later clarified to be his mafia list. Before this, MoosyDoosy voted for FarahBlackwing, and asked questions to disformation and The Shining. However, his reads are still almost entirely unexplained. I note that this post alone shows more desire to solve the game than MoosyDoosy's entire filter in this game.It's not necessarily improved but: Farah disformation Shining geript On November 17 2015 08:11 MoosyDoosy wrote: Instead of asking other people what they think about a post, he makes his own conclusion and pushes it.Posts like this make Farah Mafia. And NM is town. On November 17 2015 08:30 MoosyDoosy wrote: Yes I will explain. Farah is serious player and does not take gambits especially as noob as shown in previous game. This is extremely out of place. + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2015 05:04 FarahBlackwing wrote: Hello. I think the proper use of our time is ##vote shining Statistically it has to be time When people point it out and call bS on his "boring thread" excuse, he backs out of it immediately by saying he's "gathering reads" while whining at thread. + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2015 05:58 FarahBlackwing wrote: ##unvote Ok I have my read now. Why shouldn't I dos something earlto try to obtain any type of formative reads or understanding when everyone was just saying hi. Free town reads based on nothing. \o/ + Show Spoiler + On November 17 2015 00:05 FarahBlackwing wrote: I'm awake, Anyway I probably will be mostly afk today so I'll try to be concise about my feelings. 1) I am super sure that Shining is town, based on meta and his posts give me a good feeling about them. They are pointed even if you disagree with what he is doing this is an excellent showing of his day one town play. Just a pity we won't see him again until wensday. 2) NocturneMage recent flurry of postings have giving me a good feeling, it felt like he was interacting with the thread as he was catching up instead of trying to be useless and lurking. He also instead of giving excuses is being proactive and trying to get thoughts out there. Good townlean, or at least not lynching today. 3) I'm not sure how people are so sure of VE so early? I probably don't get it because I never have played with him, but the town case on him seemed good and simplistic. So I suppose I will throw him into my town pile and then re-evaluate later. 4) I am not super confident in my eversince read, but I feel like she is town this game. I also think ritoky is town, but i'm probably the least confident in this, and some of geripts postings have giving me good feelings but i'm not super sure about either. And this post is very mechanical yes and has no emotion. Very much like Damdred yes. + Show Spoiler + On November 17 2015 08:23 FarahBlackwing wrote: No Moos you are just an someone who refuses to play in any game I've signed up with you in. If you can't be assed to explain your one scum read to the thread when people are trying to evaluate you whats the point. So frustrating On November 17 2015 08:41 MoosyDoosy wrote: This game clearly shows that MoosyDoosy is actually trying to solve the game and that he's invested in it. He's still martyring and still being obnoxious, but that doesn't stop him from pushing his reads and trying to solve the game. It's completely different from the play MoosyDoosy showed in this game.Yes, that explanation was terrible. It was a wrongly applied meta read as there is differentiation between a**hole Shining and truly emotional Shining. It was free town read for no reason. She is Oprah of town reads. And saying that the read came from other people is excuse for read later on. On November 17 2015 08:47 MoosyDoosy wrote: He acknowledge this himself.shit I am becoming too invested into this game already. I will now go to prevent this. Goodbye and lynch me please. There are a bunch more quotes, you can see for yourself. I think that this is really obvious. Conclusion: MoosyDoosy was trying to solve the game. Game 2: Student Mafia XVI + Show Spoiler + MoosyDoosy was lynched on Day 2 in this game. Therefore, I will attempt to separate his investment and desire to solve the game for Day 1 and Night 1-Day 2 to show the comparison to his filter this game and also the part that resulted in him getting lynched. On October 18 2015 06:15 MoosyDoosy wrote: aight this post was pretty awkward tbh. On October 18 2015 06:16 MoosyDoosy wrote: - Awkwardly inserts VT claim - Pretends to be angry - Pretense of answering a question. On October 18 2015 06:20 MoosyDoosy wrote: All of these posts came in the first 1 hour 20 minutes of the game. And they already show way more desire to solve the game than MoosyDoosy showed this game.To be completely serious, I do like to generate a little discussion in games. So far what conclusions have I drawn? Well, one is that boxerfred's post just now is super awkward and I don't really like it. Another is that you are pretty probably town for coming in with a townie mindset and without addressing the possibility of what Mafia would do. So you are a town read and boxerfred is a scum read. The other dude is a town lean and GB is a null right now. When questioned, he pushed his suspicion of boxerfred. On October 18 2015 06:25 MoosyDoosy wrote: Then there's a townread on Rels, and then he continues to push boxerfred.Really? Read it again. He could have just answered that he was annoyed at the spam but he feels the need to give an excuse of having no time as well as claiming VT all in one. It's very awkward to cram it into one post hm...? Also, while I realize that he normally does have real life obligations, it is still something to note that he feels it is necessary to claim that he won't be posting much. On October 19 2015 01:55 MoosyDoosy wrote: As far as Day 1 goes, MoosyDoosy is clearly invested and trying to solve the game. Huge contrast to the current game. From this point I will start looking to see what changed, and what resulted in him getting lynched (using only his filter).Again, boxerfred is really weird. In his opening post he crammed a VT claim, a complaint, and a scum read. In his next post, he tries to place blame on me for posting gif's when I didn't. He even tries to scum read me for it which is lol-worthy. Just scum reading me here is also super surface level because he's not looking into how I operate and more about my outwards appearance. His attempt to say he knows my meta is terrible because he was only in the game where I was Mafia and he's not making any effort to check my others game where I literally do the same thing as I did in that game. I mean...What is there to like? - Awkward first opening - Says I started gif wars when I didn't even participate - Scum reads me for gif's which I didn't even post - Applies appearance reads - Makes no attempt to support his supposed “meta” read ##unvote ##vote boxerfred In general, on Day 1 it's clear that MoosyDoosy cares about the lynch. His filter is centered on his biggest suspect, boxerfred (discussing and pushing his read), but he's also discussing townreads and other suspects. He ended up sheeping other people for the Day 1 lynch, but it's obvious that he was invested in the game. He didn't yell and scream, but you can tell that he cared despite not voting for his biggest suspect. If you don't believe me, compare it to his play in this game; it's still night and day. MoosyDoosy's sheeping (seems like he had his own reasons to think it was a good lynch though) led him to lynch scott31337, and he flipped town. On October 20 2015 05:02 MoosyDoosy wrote: LoneMeow comes off looking gross from this but I don't know why he voted for scott and not Eversince in this situation unless they're scum buddies or if both scott and Eversince were town. On October 20 2015 05:03 MoosyDoosy wrote: Still trying to solve the game.Or LoneMeow is town and really is clueless. hm...Eversince, I'll have to hold you to your promise on participating in the following phases as you look really weird off of this. On October 20 2015 21:52 MoosyDoosy wrote: I'm guessing that this is where people start wanting to lynch him...I like the bf tunnel. I'd like to volunteer for D2 lynch willingly. On October 22 2015 00:53 MoosyDoosy wrote: Here's the post he makes after being gone for a while. He's definitely trying to solve the game. He ends up getting lynched, and to be honest I actually don't know why. His play didn't completely make sense, but that's not scum indicative and it seems really clear that he was trying to solve the game and was invested.Okay, I am back but had too much to catch up on so I just started from the night flip because that’s most interesting and did quick reads through filters. Rels/sicklucker is a situation I don’t want to touch right now because it’s dumb and it’s NAI for both players. It’ll be a lot better to just find the other Mafia and figure out alignments from there. So taking them out of the surviving list, it’s this: Vonthin FarahBlackwing Eversince GlowingBear boxerfred FecalFeast The Shining - boxerfred is probably town for thinking that my shitty posts during N1 were good and giving me the credit for that when it came from someone else’s line of questioning (lol). He pulls reads out for some strange and/or misguided reasoning as town. So probs town. - The Shining is acting like shitty Shining when he’s being tunneled. Although he should start posting more soon. But he’s probs town. - Farah’s thoughts are logical and good. So he’s probs town. If we take these people out, it leaves us with a pool of: Vonthin Eversince GlowingBear FecalFeast - GlowingBear is hard to read, but his reaction to flip and afterwards shenanigans seems townie. But I’ll have to go check, so he’s a null. - FecalFeast is hard to read until I look at him properly so he’s a null. - Vonthin’s last posts is something I’ll have to look at. He was a scum lean before but I didn’t really look at his play since then so scum lean still. - Eversince is reaaally different from her last game. In the last one she was obstinate and refused to listen to others and pursued her reads to no end. Seeing her here being waffly about her reads is not something that I normally see her do. So scum lean. ##Vote: Eversince Like, actually what the heck. I'm pretty sure that I was told that this was a game to look at to see one of MoosyDoosy's worst games? On October 23 2015 05:13 MoosyDoosy wrote: Without the context, I'm not sure if I can agree or disagree, but from MoosyDoosy's perspective this statement is 100% correct; he was trying to solve the game and putting in a lot of effort.gg~~ was fairly obvious I'm town lmao. Conclusion: this is extremely different from MoosyDoosy's play in this game. MoosyDoosy demonstrated a desire to solve the game throughout. Game 3: Student Mafia XV + Show Spoiler + On October 11 2015 00:20 MoosyDoosy wrote: First post of the game has some actual reads.Hi people. I actually kind of agree with sentiment that we need a lot less spam so I'll work on it. I know I've been a problem in the past so hopefully I won't be terrible this game. It's quite a problem though as I've promised to post Part 2 of my analysis of Crime & Punishment but now I feel like I can't post it in this game. ): Also, as a note, I realized that no emoji will show up if you do the reverse like I did above. It was actually pretty mind blowing when I found out as it works on a bunch of other sites and gets rid of the annoying little faces. Just a bit of a pet peeve. Also, while I'm at it, I may as well state that I currently don't like either of ObviousOne or Stoicism_. ObviousOne for obvious reasons that he's giving excuses for not posting much and Stoicism_ for taking Obvious's sarcastic post a bit too personally. On October 11 2015 04:02 MoosyDoosy wrote: As a note, Eversince actively prodding at things that move this early in the game makes me think he's town. On October 11 2015 04:21 MoosyDoosy wrote: It's a tone read. Everyone else entered by saying they were town and going to do something useful with their time. Gumdrop comes in all Kumbaya-like and happy, then says he wants to catch scum but disappears. On October 11 2015 04:53 MoosyDoosy wrote: Already, he's shown much more desire to solve the game than he showed in the current game. They are completely different, there is really no comparison.0pps, kSC, Vivax, and Onegu*. Sorry bb ): You're important to me but not that important. Mixture of tone and other things. kSC for being right in that there was some unnecessarily serious reading into some posts, Vivax for behaving like a dick, and Onegu for good tone read earlier that was in line with my own thoughts. On October 11 2015 10:57 MoosyDoosy wrote: Before I leave here's a list on where I'm at right now: Town: Eversince kSC -Celestial- Onegu Fecalfeast Null: Vivax marvellosity sicklucker Scum: Gumdrop ObviousOne Stoicism_ Inactive: Shining On October 12 2015 01:39 MoosyDoosy wrote: okie since Onegu is a bum and won’t entertain me, I guess I’ll have to just explain my thought process on ObviousOne. 1. On face value it just looks like I was questioning kSC on something rather simple. I actually had suspicions on ObviousOne at that point which is why I was asking kSC while also obtaining a read on kSC. And to let you know, being involved and actively answering my questions made me read him as town. Also because he’s hella h0t but that’s not the point. 2. Then there’s this weird read on me. + Show Spoiler + On October 11 2015 10:08 ObviousOne wrote: Just gonna pop through four filters in order on the list. Onegu: liking how comfortable he seems with the thread. Can possibly agree with gumdrop lynch but willing to extend benefit of the doubt regarding gumdrop to see what is said. Would not lynch. Gumdrop: waiting for the return of the jedi. Could lynch. Eversince: I understand the confusion with vivax she has. Vivax has seemed to finally switched off his troll mode from speed reading the thread. Thinking that Vivax was intentionally trying to disrupt things by saying nothing is natural for someone not familiar with him. Let's see where Vivax goes from here. Would not lynch. TheShining: AWOL Okay, I guess I'll do a few more this is easy. Kelsiersc: Sheeping Onegu on the gumdrop thing entirely. Gumdrop would definitely be a convenient target for scum in this scenario and sheeping keeps any potential backlash off KSC. Also the Moosy feel for his other scum read is basically a reply to my post regarding activity. Seems picked out at random and the post overall has very little conviction. Potential lynch candidate. Celestial: voting the AWOL guy. Has a big paragraph by my name that could have just said NAI. [association based on unflipped players ahead ![]() Fecal: unremarkable at this moment other than the obvious vivax stuff. Probably not a lynch candidate. Marv: being marv, not ready to say anything just yet. Sicklucker: seems pretty happy with himself and situation. Spouting off. I like it. Not a lynch candidate. Stoicism: seemed pretty interested in me, really wanted to interact with me but hasn't shown up since our little scuffle. Seemed like he was trying to have a conversation about nothing with me. Potential lynch candidate. Moosy: actually some good feels, though potential helpful-townie-scummer vibe but not really likely. Not a lynch candidate. So there you go. Scumreads: KSC/Celestial and one of stoic/shining/gumdrop. If I were to vote right now it would be KSC so I will do just that. ##vote KelsierSC Okay that's what I got. Gonna watch some TV now. You're welcome. On face value, my posts and filter look decent-ish because it seems like I’m participating. But in reality I’m not doing much and am actively lurking by only sharing easy thoughts and not acting on much. I was a bit surprised that others didn’t pick up on this. + Show Spoiler + -Celestial-, but there are other reasons to townread her, and sicklucker Only way he didn’t pick up on it is if he’s not carefully reading the thread. 3. Then there’s also the fact that he’s concentrating on lynching the people that have already scum read him so far. Also heightened by the fact that I didn’t actually post my scum read on him when he posted his long list post which is why he probably didn’t scum read me lol. 4. If you actually care to look at my filter, you can see my line of thought concerning ObviousOne is actually there so don’t say I’m jumping on popular wagons for no reason. ![]() He has a 10 page filter. I'm at page 4. He didn't get lynched this game. I don't need to read any more, he's already shown that he's trying to solve the game and it's completely different play from this game. Reading the two games that I hadn't read yet actually blew me away. MoosyDoosy's play as town in these three games is completely different from his play in this game that I am not even sure if I can describe it. He's making reads and is trying to solve the game in all three of the above games, even if he goes about it in his own MoosyDoosy way. I've already described how there is none of that in this game. It's not an activity thing, either. MoosyDoosy was fairly active Day 1 in this game, he just chose to do nothing of value. He made comments about three people, but never posted any conclusions at all (even conclusions without reasons). Compare this to Student Mafia XVI, where he had a strong scum read 1 hour and 20 minutes into the game. Meta clearly shows that MoosyDoosy is mafia in this game. 6. NocturneMage's play thus far + Show Spoiler + On December 03 2015 10:57 NocturneMage wrote: Okay, so he's busy. Fine.yo, at work, on mobile, finishing work late tonight, need to go to bed right after though and I have seminars all damn day tomorrow. I've not read dick all or followed the game for d1 quite yet, but I'm VT and I'm ready to fuck up some dirty dirty scummers. reading from end of cycle, I'm pretty suspicious of trfel again (I say again because he was scum the last game) but that's mainly because of how he played last game. of course he'd push moosydoosy, he's unreadable as fuck as either alignment. same desperation emotions when no one is listening to him. unless he does this as town. cool story bro, try harder because I'm not scum. He hasn't read anything, but he's really suspicious of me. The tone is extremely dismissive, and how is he this convinced that I'm scum if he hasn't actually read anything? Looking at the reasons, he mentions:
Other people have expressed concerns with NocturneMage's play (the rest of his posts are fairly scummy as well). I won't re-quote them. But there are two more things I will mention. NocturneMage's entire series of posts showed extreme confidence and kept saying that scum should be scared of him. On December 03 2015 10:57 NocturneMage wrote: yo, at work, on mobile, finishing work late tonight, need to go to bed right after though and I have seminars all damn day tomorrow. I've not read dick all or followed the game for d1 quite yet, but I'm VT and I'm ready to fuck up some dirty dirty scummers. On December 03 2015 11:30 NocturneMage wrote: Here are two examples.back to work, end of cycle gives me a good starting point as to where to go when I can really sink in. scummers, I'm coming for you. be scared. and daniele, if you are mafia, I love you to death and that will never change, but as far as this game is concerned, consider yourself fucked. if you are town, you better start working with me (and maybe our joint town reads?) and we can take down the mafia together. got it? good. ![]() This doesn't line up at all with two things from NocturneMage's posts. 1. He said he hasn't read anything and is really busy. Then he's not ready to catch scum, he's not coming for scum, not for a considerable amount of time, anyway. This doesn't match. As Fecalfeast said, he's putting on a show. 2. Look at all of the main points (with regards to reads) that he said.
Note that this point is not as strong because it depends on NocturneMage's perception of his own play, not what his own play actually is like. There is a chance that NocturneMage considers this play to be extremely effective scumhunting, though I don't think this is the case because NocturneMage was very reasonable and capable as town last game. The first point stands regardless, though. In conclusion, NocturneMage is mafia. This is primarily shown through MoosyDoosy's play, as his play has seemingly conflicting mindsets that can only be explained by him being mafia, and he clearly did not try to solve the game. Furthermore, using meta makes the scumread of MoosyDoosy significantly stronger, as opposed to weakening it. NocturneMage's play is also very suspicious on its own, with an important mindset contradiction. I apologize that this post is so long (~19 pages of text, including quotes and code). I have already provided the essential version of this case, which is complete by itself. This explanation appears to be required for people to understand the case. Reading the entire case is not required, only the parts in question. But the conclusion is undeniable. First off I'm not quite sure I understand the connection to Ver's reads and moose. The first seems to be like a general message of "if you find a mafia post, that person is mafia no matter how towny they look later" which isn't a bad sentiment but it technically ha nothing to do with moose. I don't even really understand what you're specifically referring to in the context of, to quote ver, "one post or context where they have an action/words that cannot come from a townie frame." That being said, I really like your points about moose's mood and obvious knowledge of his own meta. Looking back I don't see the same moose that martyred and complained because he rolled town. The points about his not trying to solve the game are ok but I don't think that can be used as the proof to ver's heuristic. It validates your meta read really well but I keep coming back to that part about ver. There's no real solid thing you present that cannot come from a townie frame. I agree with your analysis of nocturnemage's early posts and am glad you expanded upon the early suspicions we had so I didn't have to. I agree with the conclusion of this post. I'll read the damdred stuff after flip i guess | ||
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On December 04 2015 08:20 Trfel wrote: NocturneMage is right, Fidei86 should be added to this list. I really don't know about Half the Sky. It's very hard for me to separate the play from the cold/sickness/whatever. I'll definitely take another look, though. Tempted to lynch one of Half the Sky/NocturneMage and then the other if they flip town, but that seems bad; the scum should be able to be found without having to do that. I'm going to assume for now that NocturneMage is good enough as town that he wouldn't get this wrong, for simplicity's sake, but I'll re-evaluate this assumption when he makes his case. wtf is this post lol what happened to 99.9% scum?? | ||
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On December 04 2015 08:44 The Shining wrote: Trfel: MD is 100% scum. NM is scum. NM: your case is bad. Trfel: list post. NM is scum. Damdred(flipped town) is scumlean. Discuss Damdred in list post, + fear reads on Palmar and Rels. One line response to NM about "explaining to Trfel(his strongest scumread) why his case is bad.". In case there is any doubt. Trfel: pretty sure the game is solved. Damdred is NKd. Trfel: DYH Shining Disfo FF are scum.(NM read goes poof) NM: Fidei and HtS are probably scum. Trfel: NM is right on Fidei, might be right on HtS. ?????????????? yeah pretty much this | ||
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On December 04 2015 08:43 Trfel wrote: Was waiting for someone to ask that. Was hoping that no one asked that ![]() I'm town. I'm the most vocal person in the thread (by number of posts, not thread influence). My second strongest scum read is Damdred, who mafia knows is town, and I've been suspicious of him throughout the game. Mafia ought to know that I'm not going to reverse my read on Damdred. So why does mafia shoot Damdred? (first of all, I know that Damdred is a great player, please don't misunderstand; but being a great player doesn't really help you when there's some bull-headed moron who is going to get you lynched or stop town from progressing at all while trying to do so) I looked through Damdred's filter, and I didn't see any scum reads. I checked for scum reads on DoYouHas and Half the Sky, two players who I thought might be particularly inclined to shoot Damdred if they were scum; he basically didn't mention them at all. Thus, the only really noteworthy read in Damdred's filter is his not wanting to lynch NocturneMage (not exactly sure if it was a townread or a not wanting to lynch read, but it's the same for this purpose). If NocturneMage is mafia, there's no way he shoots Damdred here. And the night kill for WIFOM reasons is bad because mafia would have been in an extremely good position with me scumreading Damdred. To be honest, the night kill suggests to me that mafia messed up. Not Damdred's fault at all, my fault, but I really don't think that mafia should kill Damdred. I would be first think of being suspicious of Palmar and Rels, two players who I might have considered for the night kill above Damdred, but I think they would just let me mislynch Damdred or lose the game for town by trying. Perhaps Palmar is an exception, since I don't think he was here when I pushed my case on Damdred, but still, Damdred was strongly townreading Palmar. That's why my tentative conclusion is that mafia is more likely to be in the less active group that I mentioned. The Shining is included in that group partially because Damdred has an extremely good read on The Shining, and so despite Damdred townreading The Shining for now, I can see The Shining as mafia wanting to get rid of Damdred. But the biggest reason for the night kill is probably that Damdred didn't think that NocturneMage is mafia. Which is extremely strong. That combined with me being wrong on Damdred (partially association, partially doubting my read accuracy) makes me think that it's more likely that NocturneMage is town. So, how do you explain your case? I'm confused, how do you know that mafia killed damdred because of his nm read? | ||
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On December 04 2015 09:07 Trfel wrote: Because they're really darn accurate. Night kill analysis is amazing. @Fecalfeast, why else would Damdred be killed? The NocturneMage read seems to be by far the most likely. And that wasn't the only reason that I mentioned that the night kill makes me want to lynch NocturneMage less. I don't know why damdred was killed and I'm saying that you don't either | ||
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ˌkəlpəˈbilədē/ noun noun: culpability responsibility for a fault or wrong; blame. "a level of moral culpability" synonyms: guilt, blame, fault, responsibility, accountability, liability, answerability; More | ||
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dani = hts alex = ? | ||
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On December 04 2015 09:24 Fidei86 wrote: Hey, I was surprised as everyone else that you all followed me into that shitty lynch. But technically Palmar was the first mover, I was just the first one to urge everyone to switch. Why did I scowl so hard after reading this post? That was weird | ||
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On December 04 2015 09:29 Fidei86 wrote: Jesus H Christ Trfel how are you generating this much content this quickly. I was just about to say... Maybe the reason you feel like you're being ignored is because your walls of text are critting the fuck out of everyone's brains | ||
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I'm not going to read the thread from the start so someone make me do something because work is boring as fuck | ||
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On December 04 2015 09:46 NocturneMage wrote: The LS filter is trash but the main argument I'm reading is that could he have intentionally tried that? Someone was saying he was getting coaching from the mafia QT on that shit? I think he has enough games he could pull it off? Thank you! Someone else who understand that a minute is a long time in the context of a shenanigan eod | ||
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On December 04 2015 09:48 LightningStrike wrote: Why you have to be lazy feast right now ![]() + Show Spoiler + We had MD into DYH/Me as the main wagons until we shannied to Kush because of his over explanation for voting me lol.... [active game] took a lot of my energy and playing as town makes me less worried about doing enough work to look good lol What do you think of the shenanigan? fidei/shining/palmar/hts were all early switchers with the first two being instigators. Have you weighed in on that? | ||
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Am I not giving trfel enough credit? | ||
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On December 04 2015 09:27 Fidei86 wrote: maybe because it sort of reads like I (a) say you all followed me into the lynch and (b) it actually wasn't my fault. I'm sort of trying to have my cake and eat it. You're right. I wasn't the first person to have the idea, but I probably was the one that caused it. I was wrong and I'm sorry. Then this pandering to me when I call out the post, without actually voicing any concern. Fidei doesn't ask me to explain he knows he looks bad because he's thinking about his image. He even apologizes to me when I literally said nothing of value about his post. The shining, I haven't read his filter tbh but he's got a decent tone in his recent posts that makes me think he's town but I skim a lot lol. HTS was really pushing hard that you(LS) were town and switched to kush pretty easily from what I recall following the EoD before I replaced in. Another filter I'll have to look at. OK so I only have strong feelings on fidei (scummy) right now I will check out HTS and shining | ||
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On December 04 2015 10:32 Fecalfeast wrote: I think fidei's passive 'switch to kush' wasn't actually trying to start shenanigans but the way he's playing it off now makes it suspicious. Like he says here (in the nested quote) that he didn't think people would follow him ontoi that shitty lynch. If it was shitty... Why was he there? Then this pandering to me when I call out the post, without actually voicing any concern. Fidei doesn't ask me to explain he knows he looks bad because he's thinking about his image. He even apologizes to me when I literally said nothing of value about his post. The shining, I haven't read his filter tbh but he's got a decent tone in his recent posts that makes me think he's town but I skim a lot lol. HTS was really pushing hard that you(LS) were town and switched to kush pretty easily from what I recall following the EoD before I replaced in. Another filter I'll have to look at. OK so I only have strong feelings on fidei (scummy) right now I will check out HTS and shining This is in response to LS | ||
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On December 04 2015 10:24 disformation wrote: I don't think I can compete with Trfel. ![]() This HtS thing is super confusing to me right now, so I was trying to find something in the EoD1. Like Trfel is sending mixed signal, NocturneMage replaced into a super shady looking slot with some shady looking entry posts and the guy I have a scum read on (DYH) hesitates not a second to vote with NM... though after rereading DYH's case on HtS it isn't bad... which brings me to the next point: If I ignore HtS's sickness, she doesn't good either. Can't even hope that Damdred comes in, drops three one liners, and drops some of his logic... ![]() Btw, do you have a read on DYH? not yet no | ||
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On December 04 2015 10:34 The Shining wrote: I think you had the same issues with Trfels d1, too. Did you definitely lean either way on him? I'm not sure if I ever put a read in thread but I had him as strong town until his abandonment of his NM/moose read. I'm currently weighing the town feels I got from him against the scummy feels I'm getting from him. It's kinda like he realizes that NM is going to be a much harder sell than MD because NM is playing. So was strong town, now ???????????????????? | ||
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One thing I remember that I'll dig up is On December 04 2015 22:59 Palmar wrote: You're overthinking (possibly suspiciously?) You said it best yourself, now we kill hts. On December 04 2015 23:02 Fidei86 wrote: Lets leave it there and see what everyone else has to say. Don't want to hijack the thread totally. Which looks a little too much like he's trying to avoid palmar expanding further on his possible suspicions and/or not wanting to slip up and further those suspicions. additionally I don't like this On December 04 2015 22:00 Fidei86 wrote: Wow you actually do have four pages of filter. Okay. But I do disagree with you viz you "being towny" enough. It's actually not. When you get mislynched its almost always 50% on the idiots who lynched you and 50% on you for being scummy town. That's a really important thing that lots of people forget as town. this comes after fidei said "can we lynch you for not playing the game palmar?" and palmar retorted with his filter length. It looks like fidei saw a potential lynch option down the road and made a post without even checking palmar out. Could possibly indicate that fidei's not really reading since I remember at least seeing a number a palmar posts. I was going to comment on a possible overexplanation by fidei on why he is ok lynching hts because hts is probably aware of NM's ability to read her since they're married iirc but that's getting a little wifomy even for me | ||
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On December 05 2015 08:17 disformation wrote: Hmmm... I think her last post was at start of N1 when kush flipped? So possible. Currently looking at Fidei86's filter. Any questions for me while I am around? Have you looked at DYH, yet? Right, no, on it chief. | ||
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On December 05 2015 08:35 NocturneMage wrote: Checking end of cycle or close to it... This post strikes me as towny, he is laying his agenda out there but then here he goes later: So that post and "I have no good reason to call LS town, so fuck it" and then that follows into the post where he said that kushmasta scumreading LS for shitty meta (or similar) was overexplanation, and (1) I disagreed with the reason and (2) I can't understand his move to kush when kush echoed a reason that, given Palmar's previous comments about LS, should have IMO resonated with Palmar. I cannot grasp at all between posts 728 and 738 why he switched the votes the way he did. that still looks really bad. posts after list posts and deciding to lynch hts because of his read on me and the whole sexy filter thing just come off as lazy town, like he's taking some sort of shortcut without reading the filter. then palmar says the overthinking possibly suspiciously? I don't understand where there was a basis to suggest Fidei's last response as possibly mafia motivated. overall, tough call. end of cycle voting looks really bad but looking hard at timestamps when he switched (2 minutes) he could have flubbed because he might have been lazy. I disagree that his progression is easy to follow though. Hm I didn't think of the bolded from that angle. | ||
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On December 04 2015 10:51 disformation wrote: Too make my argument a bit more readable:
Wat? I have pointed this problem out, Rels has pointed this out, but nothing happens. can you flesh out why you think this progression is scummy any further? I'm looking at this filter and while it's a little short on portion size it's looking pretty well explained. Not to mention the fact that if HTS flips red here the fact remains that he brought her up as a potential target before NM + Show Spoiler + On December 03 2015 11:08 NocturneMage wrote: hts is a sleazeball as mafia, I love her to death, but I'll pretty much know immediately if she's mafia because I obviously know her in real life and if she's out of bounds with her personality, she is almost certainly mafia. obviously if I think she's mafia, I will case her in a way that doesn't require you to know her in real life. unless her dota friends want to argue they have some feels on her from external behaviour. rels, fidei? I'm looking at you two. although seeing doyouhas' post, if hts got someone lynched who was scumreading her, that is a major red flag in my book. that is routine mafia play for her. dani as mafia will absolutely push the lynches of the people who want her dead. so dyh, what was her role in the lynch? | ||
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Classic stuff, save me as a 'maybe' until later | ||
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On December 05 2015 10:15 LightningStrike wrote: Ya I was wanting to know if you gotten anything from filter diving that the people you said you were going to? didn't do it, who again? | ||
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On December 05 2015 10:14 disformation wrote: okay? Can I be a planar dragon, too? I've always wanted to be a planar dragon! ![]() Well, that post will take a while to properly read and write an answer to. Will take a shower, get myself something to drink and try to write something up before I fall asleep (it is already 2 am here). olol wait we have basically the exact same description and yet the post is addressed to you and not me | ||
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On December 05 2015 10:18 LightningStrike wrote: I forgot you said you had 150 posts you catch up on I mean that. Did you get anything from those 150 posts that you were catching up on? i only really commented on the palmar/fidei interaction but I think the lack of HTS + the lack of any real resistance to the HTS lynch means this is probably a full-steam-ahead bus situation. I think that trfel has been acting strange but outside of what I've already said I've not read much further into him. I think you're a little to focused on yourself, LS and would like to see sme reads from you. | ||
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On December 05 2015 10:18 Trfel wrote: Oof, didn't realize that. It's not urgent, pretty sure Half the Sky is getting lynched today anyway, and I'd be pretty darn happy if scum shoots me in the night. Though I guess scum might shoot you in the night, which would make me really sad ![]() Can I take this one, or did you want disformation to answer? no traps or secret plans everyone is free to answer | ||
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Black Friday and Cyber Monday purchases have generated record parcel volumes this week. We've devoted extra resources to serve Canadians on what could be our busiest delivery weekend yet. We apologize to anyone who experiences a delay. I just want my solid state drive canada post don't give me this shit | ||
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On December 05 2015 10:29 Trfel wrote: I'm clearly not playing this game right because I actually really, really like what disformation says here. But I didn't care that much when he first said it ![]() Basically, DoYouHas (in the middle of Day 1 ish) stated that he was going to take a look at the people in the "middle" (because he felt that the most active/vocal people were town). Fair enough. He looked at Fidei86, Half the Sky, LightningStrike, and disformation, and didn't get anything out of it. I'm not sure if this means he didn't get any scumreads out of this or if he didn't get any reads at all from this, if I can catch DoYouHas sometime I'd like to ask this. From this, two things happened. First, he came up with a townread on disformation (because he was sheeping the wagon of his townreads, and mentioned disformation). Second, he got a scumread and case on Half the Sky Night 1, despite not getting much scummy (presumably) from her filter earlier. Hm, I guess this makes sense. Maybe I need to look more closely but let's assume there's no shenanigans tomorrow and HTS flips red. What does that make you think of DYH? | ||
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On December 05 2015 11:01 Trfel wrote: I'm fairly suspicious of DoYouHas. I'm not really sure what implications a Half the Sky scum flip would have on DoYouHas. Do you have any thoughts about NocturneMage or anyone else that you want to talk about? DYH brought up HTS as possibler scum before NM and NM referenced DYH in his post calling HTS scummy. I think NM's entrance set a bit of a scummy tone initially but his recent postings have been pointed and he seems to be following a logical thought progression. He's obviously very confident in his HTS read which is why I'm sheeped all over that. I think NM is towny though I'm pretty allergic to deep reading right now. also he has 5 pages after replacing in night 1, is NM known to be a high effort scum? | ||
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On December 05 2015 11:02 LightningStrike wrote: Plus disformation being town he contributed a good amount and brought up stuff that people had overlooked or no one was willing to. could you expand upon your DYH read since we're talking about him right now? | ||
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On December 05 2015 11:13 Trfel wrote: By "pointed", what do you mean? NocturneMage isn't known to be high effort as mafia, but that is off of only one game. My first mafia game was terrible and my second mafia game was somewhat high effort and good. there is a point to the things he says rather than posting for the sake of posting. I'll admit I'm using that word without fully knowing what it means and basing it off the context that others have used it in | ||
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On December 06 2015 09:02 The Shining wrote: I don't want screenshots. Give me a reaction instead? There's 1 or 2 scum bussing HtS. Do you have any thoughts? Anyone who You think voted HtS too easily? Thoughts on disfo? re: scum busing hts yep, scum bused hts. NM had her number and she would know that from the get go, especially with her being sick. Which leads into disform, the WIFOM here is strong but I don't think scum would put themselves out there like a sore thumb like that. re: people voting hts too easily everyone? DYH at least had a case but most people referenced NM when they voted from what I remember | ||
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just slept for 12 hours this song speaks to me on a deep level. Did we ever establish the setup based on hts' flip? Do I have to write a last will in case we have a patient vig? | ||
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what a good towny. Who should I sheep? | ||
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##vote trfel consider me a gullible extra vote bot for now i guess | ||
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On December 09 2015 07:41 Trfel wrote: I thought you prided yourself in being an unexpectedly hard mislynch? As I recall from last game, "it's encouraging that this is all the scummer has to push on". I just spent 2 full days playing fallout and tinkering with my PC. I just caught up on the entire day phase now. If I die I don't have to read and mafia is never going t shoot me | ||
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OK then throw me around like a cute boy in prison or tell me where to vote. I'm not filtering people with 15 mins left | ||
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At first I got thevibe you were coasiting along but then your case dropped and I forgave you LS is honestly probably not scum but I think I have missed a few games with LS lately maybe he's changed? As scum he usually just shuts down from what I remember. Rels seems to be slowly dropping off but I can't really say my words hold much weight in that department NM is ignoring anyone who mentions me which is weird as I'm fairly aware of how scum likes to treat me when I'm town Trfel has the same icon as rels now and I've been mixing their posts up and am thinkning I need to reread lol but I have no time | ||
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On December 09 2015 07:45 Trfel wrote: Wait, but you just caught up.... So why are you now wanting to die? I really think that Fecalfeast is the best lynch. you grossly overestimate the comprehension I get from 'catching up' | ||
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1. Posting after death. You may have one polite goodbye post, but it may not contain any potentially game-changing information. GG | ||
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