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On December 04 2015 02:51 Trfel wrote: Rels, when you said that Student Mafia XV was MoosyDoosy's worst game, did you mean Student Mafia XVI?
MoosyDoosy wasn't lynched in Student Mafia XV, that game ended after the Day 1 lynch on Stoicism_. Yep.
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I'm at the middle of your case Trfel. Gotta stop for now 'cause my GF prepared me some diner p:
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On December 04 2015 05:06 disformation wrote:Show nested quote +On December 04 2015 03:42 Trfel wrote: Oh, I forgot to address Damdred's argument that MoosyDoosy enjoys playing in the game if Damdred is in the game.
MoosyDoosy says pre-game that he may not play Day 1 even though Damdred is in the game. MoosyDoosy also shows that he's upset when he rolls town. If MoosyDoosy is town, he wouldn't lie about being upset to roll town. Then he is never upset ever again in the game, which contradicts the earlier portion, regardless of Damdred's presence and its affect on his town play. Furthermore, MoosyDoosy doesn't actually play at all on Day 1. It's assumed that MoosyDoosy would be happy playing on Day 1 with Damdred, or not happy and not playing. These are the two town options. Happy and not playing is not an option.
Like, that's a poorly worded explanation. If you have any questions, let me know. Dude, chill. The case is long and hard (to read). Am also a bit lightheaded. @Part1: You remember that MoosyDoosy actually did post a few town looking posts D1 in NSM17? Which made it a lot easier for geript to read MoosyDoosy. But I don't think he was the only one to realize that, I remember more ppl were getting unsure/dropping the vote after that. geript was a total baller and had incredible reads that game though. So yeah, MoosyDoosy is readable, but it depends a bit on what he actually does. This game I don't remember any posts from him that aren't "lol wtf banana boat, I am a coinflip, yo". @Part2: I can agree to this. @Part3: Okay, Ver's reads sound pretty good... but I am not sure what you want to say with this? Can you summarize the important points and apply them to MoosyDoosy/NM? @Part4: Well, that is Part2 with the relevant quotes added. No wait there is a bit more stuff added. Well, yeah these posts aren't the epitome of town and could easily come from scum. Still feel coinflippy about that though. But yeah the town suggests he is having great fun. Ah yes his comment on me is pretty strange. In NSM17 he was pushing me kinda hard and decided I was even more scummy for defending myself (we were both town). So no idea what he was trying to say... @Part5: This one is interesting. I might have to check those games myself, if I get some time. @Part6: Yes, NocturneMages entry had some odd stuff on it. Actually upon rereading I agree with your post here: + Show Spoiler +On December 03 2015 12:25 Trfel wrote:Show nested quote +On December 03 2015 10:57 NocturneMage wrote: yo, at work, on mobile, finishing work late tonight, need to go to bed right after though and I have seminars all damn day tomorrow.
I've not read dick all or followed the game for d1 quite yet, but I'm VT and I'm ready to fuck up some dirty dirty scummers.
reading from end of cycle, I'm pretty suspicious of trfel again (I say again because he was scum the last game) but that's mainly because of how he played last game. of course he'd push moosydoosy, he's unreadable as fuck as either alignment. same desperation emotions when no one is listening to him. unless he does this as town. cool story bro, try harder because I'm not scum. This post is extremely scummy. Makes me more convinced that I'm right. NocturneMage didn't acknowledge any of the differences between my play this game and last game, which is drastic in the way that I pushed my reads and the method of the reads themselves. NocturneMage also scumreads me for pushing MoosyDoosy, and I have no clue why that's suspicious to him when he just saw me push the strongest players in the game as mafia last game, so he knows that I don't resort to "easy targets" as mafia... The extremely dismissive tone without having read the thread is very uncharacteristic. Last game as town, NocturneMage was very reasonable and methodical, and people said that he was much more aggressive tonally as mafia. The tone used here would perhaps be justified if he had actually read the thread or had actual reasons. I thought of some new ways to try to explain/evaluate my MoosyDoosy read, I'll give that a try after I catch up with some stuff. Have you looked at NocturneMage's scum game in NSM13? Scum lean? Sure, but the 99% is a bit excessive imo. I think the slot is more likely to be scum now, but I am not sure I agree on the 99% slamdunk mafia. MD still feels a bit coinflippy and while the NM posts don't match his town game in NSM17 they don't fit the scum game in NSM13 either... on the other hand his game wasn't really strong NSM13... maybe I should look at NSM13 again, too. But I am still quite confident that NM will be a lot easier to read D2. OK I'm convinced. I liked the part about his play on Newbie XVI. It's true that it is actually extremely different.
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On December 04 2015 06:04 Damdred wrote: Its pretty obvious no matter what I say that your conclusion I'm mafia gor bad reasons are going to stick.
And you really haven't moosey hasn't done anything this game and is 100% a coin flip, nm will be more readable. But your case is founded on bad meta basically. Can you answer his post about your read on LS ?
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On December 04 2015 06:09 Damdred wrote: My axum read is in my filter, if it was so bad at the time why did people hop on?
if the only reason that I posted was ls had no scum reads I could understand it but that's a gross misrepresentation of the points against ls.
Also lol to me and moosey on a team together, damdred the scum partner who will get himself scum read to save his team mates. That's the reputation I have boys Man I really hope we have a cop and he checks you.
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On December 04 2015 03:27 Palmar wrote: I actually like Rels right now Can you answer this ?
On December 03 2015 22:25 Rels wrote:Show nested quote +On December 03 2015 22:19 Palmar wrote: And my alignment is obvious because I just don't play this way as mafia. Even if it isn't obvious to you right now, just try to lynch me later in the game and it will become.
If you haven't played much with me before: I do not like being lynched, I will generally put a lot of effort into not being lynched because I consider whoever gets lynched to be the worst player in the game. This means that I am usually very, very active in defending myself when people want to lynch me. I should never, ever be vigi shot, it is objectively a bad play. What way do you play as mafia then ?
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Good night folks. I hope to see you tomorrow (=
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On December 04 2015 07:31 Damdred wrote: Kinda silly saying I've been malicious when I've been pretty nice this game. Kinda more robotic than nice /rsoultin
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On December 04 2015 08:01 Blazinghand wrote: Damdred the Tournament Attendee has been shot!
WTF It doesn't make sense. Gotta go lunch, will think about it 'cause it bothering me very much.
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NK analysis is WIFOM. But Damdred's kill points at Trfel being scum. Any scum team without Trfel would let Trfel pushes at Damdred. Now I'm catching up the 10 pages I didn't read.
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On December 04 2015 08:12 NocturneMage wrote: ##vote Half the Sky
I am also pretty sure Fidei is mafia because he is playing nothing like his previous games, but I am so confident in Dani being mafia I am willing to get mislynched to prove my point. This is part meta, part (anti-)personality, part voting analysis (her end of cycle behaviour was really bad), and part psychological (motive-based). I'll try and put together a case as best as I can though so that you can understand it. Well, that simplifies the day. One of NM and HTS is mafia; maybe both (but unlikely). Cool stuff (=
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On December 04 2015 08:47 Fidei86 wrote: I actually think an LS Dani team makes a hell of a lot of sense here. LS has given us no reason post lynch to think he's anything other than town (deadline thing is terrible). Dani is in the thread desperately trying to open the door to his non-lynch, for no apparent reason, and despite the fact SHE IS VOTING FOR HIM. The deadline thing is great. LS is almost confirmed town.
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On December 04 2015 23:13 Fidei86 wrote:Show nested quote +On December 04 2015 23:08 Rels wrote:On December 04 2015 08:12 NocturneMage wrote: ##vote Half the Sky
I am also pretty sure Fidei is mafia because he is playing nothing like his previous games, but I am so confident in Dani being mafia I am willing to get mislynched to prove my point. This is part meta, part (anti-)personality, part voting analysis (her end of cycle behaviour was really bad), and part psychological (motive-based). I'll try and put together a case as best as I can though so that you can understand it. Well, that simplifies the day. One of NM and HTS is mafia; maybe both (but unlikely). Cool stuff (= Great minds, Rels. Good to see you posting (=
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On December 04 2015 08:51 The Shining wrote:Show nested quote +On December 04 2015 08:43 Trfel wrote:On December 04 2015 08:35 The Shining wrote:On December 04 2015 08:20 Trfel wrote:On December 04 2015 08:08 Trfel wrote: Hrm.
My initial reaction is that this means that less active players / "under the radar" players are mafia.
DoYouHas The Shining disformation Fecalfeast NocturneMage is right, Fidei86 should be added to this list. I really don't know about Half the Sky. It's very hard for me to separate the play from the cold/sickness/whatever. I'll definitely take another look, though. Tempted to lynch one of Half the Sky/NocturneMage and then the other if they flip town, but that seems bad; the scum should be able to be found without having to do that. I'm going to assume for now that NocturneMage is good enough as town that he wouldn't get this wrong, for simplicity's sake, but I'll re-evaluate this assumption when he makes his case. But you think NM/MD slot is scum...NM called your case bad and you had no response to it except to list NM as scum once more, in what would've been your legacy post had you been shot. You left a super wifomy post laying around since you weren't NKd. The fact only Damdred died makes me think there is no Vig but you expected to be Vig shot. Now you're "tempted" to lynch one of HtS and NM. And your had a list of 4 including me when all of those were your town reads/leans. What about the Damdred NK makes your NM read null enough to change your entire tone and scumreads? Was waiting for someone to ask that. Was hoping that no one asked that  I'm town. I'm the most vocal person in the thread (by number of posts, not thread influence). My second strongest scum read is Damdred, who mafia knows is town, and I've been suspicious of him throughout the game. Mafia ought to know that I'm not going to reverse my read on Damdred. So why does mafia shoot Damdred? (first of all, I know that Damdred is a great player, please don't misunderstand; but being a great player doesn't really help you when there's some bull-headed moron who is going to get you lynched or stop town from progressing at all while trying to do so) I looked through Damdred's filter, and I didn't see any scum reads. I checked for scum reads on DoYouHas and Half the Sky, two players who I thought might be particularly inclined to shoot Damdred if they were scum; he basically didn't mention them at all. Thus, the only really noteworthy read in Damdred's filter is his not wanting to lynch NocturneMage (not exactly sure if it was a townread or a not wanting to lynch read, but it's the same for this purpose). If NocturneMage is mafia, there's no way he shoots Damdred here. And the night kill for WIFOM reasons is bad because mafia would have been in an extremely good position with me scumreading Damdred. To be honest, the night kill suggests to me that mafia messed up. Not Damdred's fault at all, my fault, but I really don't think that mafia should kill Damdred. I would be first think of being suspicious of Palmar and Rels, two players who I might have considered for the night kill above Damdred, but I think they would just let me mislynch Damdred or lose the game for town by trying. Perhaps Palmar is an exception, since I don't think he was here when I pushed my case on Damdred, but still, Damdred was strongly townreading Palmar. That's why my tentative conclusion is that mafia is more likely to be in the less active group that I mentioned. The Shining is included in that group partially because Damdred has an extremely good read on The Shining, and so despite Damdred townreading The Shining for now, I can see The Shining as mafia wanting to get rid of Damdred. But the biggest reason for the night kill is probably that Damdred didn't think that NocturneMage is mafia. Which is extremely strong. That combined with me being wrong on Damdred (partially association, partially doubting my read accuracy) makes me think that it's more likely that NocturneMage is town. Your last scum game, you scummed, cased and shot Geript N1. This game you scummed, cased Damdred N1 and now he's NKd. This is such am obvious similarity that I'm almost inclined to think it's too bad to be scummy but this explanation is a bit long and contradictory, too. The NM not wanting to shoot Damdred logic is flawed. Especially if he had him as a townread, I'll have to go back to that. I personally as scum have shot Damdred before after he townread me to keep that read immortal, and I know others have NKd people that were TRing them before they had time to revisit that read. You also think that Damdred has an extremely good read on me, and towned me, so I'd kill him for it? This is a contradiction because you say its exactly why NM WOULDNT kill him for it. Are you saying I'm scum and scared he'd flip his read on me so I shot him before he could? Then why does that same situation make me scum but makes NM town? Yes! Yes yes yes.
On December 04 2015 08:43 Trfel wrote: Thus, the only really noteworthy read in Damdred's filter is his not wanting to lynch NocturneMage (not exactly sure if it was a townread or a not wanting to lynch read, but it's the same for this purpose). If NocturneMage is mafia, there's no way he shoots Damdred here. [...] The Shining is included in that group partially because Damdred has an extremely good read on The Shining, and so despite Damdred townreading The Shining for now, I can see The Shining as mafia wanting to get rid of Damdred. This is contradictory. Furthermore, this is false:
On December 04 2015 08:43 Trfel wrote: I looked through Damdred's filter, and I didn't see any scum reads. [...] Thus, the only really noteworthy read in Damdred's filter is his not wanting to lynch NocturneMage (not exactly sure if it was a townread or a not wanting to lynch read, but it's the same for this purpose). If NocturneMage is mafia, there's no way he shoots Damdred here. Damdred said:
On December 04 2015 06:04 Damdred wrote: Its pretty obvious no matter what I say that your conclusion I'm mafia gor bad reasons are going to stick.
And you really haven't moosey hasn't done anything this game and is 100% a coin flip, nm will be more readable. But your case is founded on bad meta basically.
On December 04 2015 06:04 Damdred wrote: I'm not saying that slot can't be scum but I don't think its as lock as you portray it. So on the contrary, scum!NM has no reason to no shoot Damdred. He has no reason to particulary shoot him too; but "f NocturneMage is mafia, there's no way he shoots Damdred here." is false.
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On December 04 2015 23:24 disformation wrote:Show nested quote +On December 04 2015 23:21 Rels wrote:On December 04 2015 08:47 Fidei86 wrote: I actually think an LS Dani team makes a hell of a lot of sense here. LS has given us no reason post lynch to think he's anything other than town (deadline thing is terrible). Dani is in the thread desperately trying to open the door to his non-lynch, for no apparent reason, and despite the fact SHE IS VOTING FOR HIM. The deadline thing is great. LS is almost confirmed town. actually: can you explain that to me? i dont understand it?
On December 04 2015 23:26 NocturneMage wrote:Show nested quote +On December 04 2015 23:21 Rels wrote:On December 04 2015 08:47 Fidei86 wrote: I actually think an LS Dani team makes a hell of a lot of sense here. LS has given us no reason post lynch to think he's anything other than town (deadline thing is terrible). Dani is in the thread desperately trying to open the door to his non-lynch, for no apparent reason, and despite the fact SHE IS VOTING FOR HIM. The deadline thing is great. LS is almost confirmed town. No. I thought this at first but I have a reasonable argument against this. I realise it is pre flip association but this becomes more critical once Dani flips. I think you're both wrong. fidei, there is nothing to explain really; rsoultin and HTS both said that LS has a super hard time lying. Knowing this, it's super unlikely the "mod confirm" thing is WIFOM.
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Trfel thinks LS could have shoot Damdred:
On December 04 2015 08:55 Trfel wrote: I'll check his filter later. I guess LightningStrike also counts as a "lower activity / under the radar" player ever since the deadline, and I could see him shooting Damdred. Damdred thought that of LS:
On December 03 2015 08:08 Damdred wrote: LS has basically mod confirmed himself as town.
That's pretty shitty but we have to work with it I guess.
On December 03 2015 08:15 Damdred wrote: Either way its nto worth talking about its over my opinon was hes basically confirmed himself town.
Oh well Trfel does not think NM could have shot Damdred:
On December 04 2015 08:43 Trfel wrote: I looked through Damdred's filter, and I didn't see any scum reads. [...] Thus, the only really noteworthy read in Damdred's filter is his not wanting to lynch NocturneMage (not exactly sure if it was a townread or a not wanting to lynch read, but it's the same for this purpose). If NocturneMage is mafia, there's no way he shoots Damdred here. Damdred thought about LS:
On December 04 2015 06:04 Damdred wrote: Its pretty obvious no matter what I say that your conclusion I'm mafia gor bad reasons are going to stick.
And you really haven't moosey hasn't done anything this game and is 100% a coin flip, nm will be more readable. But your case is founded on bad meta basically.
On December 04 2015 06:04 Damdred wrote: I'm not saying that slot can't be scum but I don't think its as lock as you portray it.
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On December 04 2015 23:39 LightningStrike wrote: Rels: Que pensez-vous de NM et James en ce moment? fidei is super likely town. NM I have a super hard time seeing him attacking HTS heads on if he's not town. But his tone is super not analytical, which is super suspicious to me.
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On December 04 2015 23:41 Fidei86 wrote:Show nested quote +On December 04 2015 23:37 Rels wrote:On December 04 2015 23:24 disformation wrote:On December 04 2015 23:21 Rels wrote:On December 04 2015 08:47 Fidei86 wrote: I actually think an LS Dani team makes a hell of a lot of sense here. LS has given us no reason post lynch to think he's anything other than town (deadline thing is terrible). Dani is in the thread desperately trying to open the door to his non-lynch, for no apparent reason, and despite the fact SHE IS VOTING FOR HIM. The deadline thing is great. LS is almost confirmed town. actually: can you explain that to me? i dont understand it? On December 04 2015 23:26 NocturneMage wrote:On December 04 2015 23:21 Rels wrote:On December 04 2015 08:47 Fidei86 wrote: I actually think an LS Dani team makes a hell of a lot of sense here. LS has given us no reason post lynch to think he's anything other than town (deadline thing is terrible). Dani is in the thread desperately trying to open the door to his non-lynch, for no apparent reason, and despite the fact SHE IS VOTING FOR HIM. The deadline thing is great. LS is almost confirmed town. No. I thought this at first but I have a reasonable argument against this. I realise it is pre flip association but this becomes more critical once Dani flips. I think you're both wrong. fidei, there is nothing to explain really; rsoultin and HTS both said that LS has a super hard time lying. Knowing this, it's super unlikely the "mod confirm" thing is WIFOM. Rels that is just dumb. His "lie" was to say "I'm town". If you can't do that as Mafia then ... And actually I would say your analysis is EVEN MORE likely to make him Mafia. It's easy to lie and say you're Mafia, but it's hard to lie on reads you don't believe in. LS has no reads. That's what I'm saying. Well I think it makes him confirmed town.
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On December 04 2015 23:43 LightningStrike wrote:idk why google translate put en instead of à for what I was trying to ask you  Maybe because "en" is the correct word in this case ? =D
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On December 04 2015 09:03 DoYouHas wrote: BTW, this is the second time everyone ends up agreeing with me and I'm still on most of the scumlists. -_- This is not true and this is not a townie thought.
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