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Doctor Who Mafia 2 - Page 114

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 19:19 GMT
#2261
THIS IS ANOTHER JUMBLE AND I'M GOING TO CLEAN IT UP AND WHATNOT AND THEN THERE WILL BE A MORE CONCISE POST GOOD LORD I AM NOT GOOD AT CONCISE POSTS. CONSIDER THIS A BUNCH OF THOUGHTS AND THEN WE'RE GOING TO SIFT THROUGH THEM AND MAYBE POKE KUSH OR VOTE HIM OR VOTE WHOEVER ELSE AND YEAH GO TOWN. ALSO YOU CAN READ THIS BUT IT'S KIND OF LENGTHY AND MAYBE WAIT UNTIL I PARE IT DOWN A BIT KK?


Anyway, here is where I sit in my currently unhelpful spot (because holy crap we need to lynch scum and we're all sort of dawdling while "waiting" on crap, which btw is scummy in its own right)

I don't trust this check in the slightest. Here's previous stuff on Kush -+ Show Spoiler +
On April 05 2014 04:26 austinmcc wrote:
kush has weird posts on Kita, real weird. Think of kita as a person, his thought process is transparent, hopeless is tooscummytobescum and lynchbait. Lots of like...very randomly sure stuff on people he hasn't discussed TOO much. His comments on kita are strange throughout. REALLY WEIRD. JJD attacks kita, kush says JJD is "underestimating the fluidity of [kita's] reads D1."

Despite saying he doesn't know kita well, hasn't played with the guy much.

Just...look through kush's filter for kita and follow the trail. CURIOUS MAXIMUS.

Kush ALSO fails to comment at all on hopeless/vivax/JJD, even though he's been pushing Vivax during the day and is scummy on vivax and voting him. But then he drops off Vivax for being "engaged and shit" on D2, and says he's overestimating Vivax's town game. (KUSH DID NOT POST WITHIN LIKE 4:30 OF LYNCH, THIS IS NOT THE SAME AS HOPELESS POSTING BUT NOT COMMENTING ON THINGS. BUT THE VIVAX STUFF IS ODD, THE WAY HE JUST DUMPS HIS READ)

Kush tonight is possible scum on THRAWN, JJD, DJODREF, AMIKO, and POOFTER. Half the game is possible scum with no real reasoning. Then he jumps on Amiko for having "weak shit" to back up reads.

Some of this play is just kush. I don't have a good meta grasp, have not gone back and read games, should do that if alive D3. Kush's townieness essentially just stems from the claim and shot, and I don't like sorting people's alignments based on roles, I have used that to great effect as scum in themed games myself. KP + sekrit voting are questionable town powers.


Blah blah blah. Does anyone believe kush town/supertown based on NOT his role? We should chat! Because his filter raises some flags between his magically appearing N2 reads, all his stuff on Kita, and ... actually those are the biggest things for me.
Most of that is just rambling. I do that too much. Open Kush's filter and follow along. Here are salient points:

Kush's Early Game
Kushmasta is super logical and active at the beginning of the game. Boom, slam is scum for writing sentences normally. Boom, kita is random voting for info --> and that means that kush is concerned about thrawn's response. Questions about mass claims, thoughts on slam being survivor/mafia, "catching" rayn for his actions and comparing them to past games, comments on past crossfire games being solvable with mass claims, comment on toad's case on hopeless (unconvincing) --> using that case to make a read on toad (probably town).

Take that. Take that D1. He's making reads on people, he's posting in response to things happening, toad makes a case? Kush talks about the case AND makes a read on toad. Kita random votes? Kush talks about random voting AND asks questions of thrawn about his response. Yes yes good good.

Now, couple of things.
  • Compare that D1 to N1/D2/N2/D3. The engagement drops off HEAVILY. The posting drops off. Commenting on just...THINGS drops off. Reading people, going that extra step drops off. There's very, very little "AND" in his D2 and D3 so far. Kita checks town AND..... Vivax is scummy then townie THE END, NO AND. JJD is wrong about Kita AND.....

    NOPE. NO ANDS. NO FOLLOW THROUGH. JUST LITTLE DRIPS OF INFO. NO AND. HOW MANY AND? ZERO AND. A LACK OF AND.

  • Compare Kush's posting this game to recent games. I chopped off VIVAX420 hydras, and Normal Mini. Game ended at the end of D2, Kush ~15 pages filter, TL Mafia LXIV: The Restart. Kush dies N2, ~ 10 pages, Super Mario Brothers Mini, Kush is NKed on N1, ~12 pages filter. All town games. However, mafia Kush gets lynched on D4 in Default Suspicions Mafia. ~7 total pages, and is endgamed D5 in Witchcraft, ~14 pages.

    Some of that will be pre/postgame banter. But kush's town posting LOOKS more voluminous in most of this town games. He appears to post LESS as scum. This game we're just into a 7th page of filter, almost halfway through D3. That, to me, is MORE similar to scum games, although it's not AS little as Default Suspicions. It's not, however, the double digits he's normally cranking out in 2 days as town.

  • Look at Kush <--> Kita, below.


Kush and Kita, Suspected of Sitting in a Tree. The Tree is Scummy. More at 11

Kush --> Kita
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 30 2014 12:45 kushm4sta wrote:
What kita did is referred to as RVS. Basically randomly voting someone for a bullshit reason at the beginning of the game to spur discussion. It is a tactic of dubious merits in my opinion, but it is very popular on other sites, especially mafiascum.

I am also concerned about thawn's response to kita.
Thrawn have you never experienced RVS before?
It seems fake that you would press kita for his reasoning for a vote that is obviously based on nothing.

A treatise on RVS, and what kita is doing.

On March 31 2014 22:08 kushm4sta wrote:
I think toads case on hopeless is unconvincing but it probably comes from town, unless toad stepped it up hard core since his last scum game.

Gotta read Raines newest stuff still.

I think there is evidence that kita has too much information.
Kita has too much evidence

On April 01 2014 21:43 kushm4sta wrote:
Questions for Kita


Show nested quote +
On March 31 2014 03:39 kitaman27 wrote:
On March 31 2014 03:30 raynpelikoneet wrote:
For someone who is supposed to be good at this game you say a lot of stupid stuff kita.


Hey, I'm not the guy pushing a mass claim in a recruiter setup.

On a side note, it's quite possible that mafia numbers are going to be nerfed on day one if there is a alignment changing mechanic. We could very well be dealing with 1-2 at the start.

why do you think this?

Show nested quote +
On April 01 2014 01:54 kitaman27 wrote:
Going after difficult targets is the last thing I'd want to do as mafia on day one. When I accuse a player, I want them to think I'm town or not put up a fight. I almost always go after the newbies because they will let me get away with it. I know rayn and kush are the types of players who will have a fit if I do so, so I'd simply pick someone like jarjar, poofter, or the easy slam vote today.

The biggest thing about rayn right now is how sure he is. I know that even with the case I have made, I'm not completely confident. He is sharing his reads with certainty with no evidence that he has looked at my past mafia games or questioned me at any point prior to me presenting the case. The biggest thing to address for him regarding my alignment is the shadow connection that I tried to make. Yet rather than suggesting that I tried to duplicate the town meta so that he would develop a town read on me, he ignores it completely.

Onto hopeless:

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 31 2014 21:50 Hopeless1der wrote:
nothing personal slam
##Vote: Alakaslam


On March 30 2014 06:25 Hopeless1der wrote:
because the alternative means i need to be a dick to kita and i dont wanna do that right now.


On March 30 2014 06:31 Hopeless1der wrote:
whered you go kita? do i need to go through the motions of "totes serious voting" to get a response?


I didn't really think too much of the post that Toad/Foolishness pointed out. Hopeless shows signs of guilt with his slam vote. As a town player, I'd expect annoyance from slam's play, yet this comes off as slightly apologetic. His defense of rayn at the start I found scummy and these posts sound as if he is writing them as mafia to sound town, but I admit that is a weak line of reasoning here.

On March 31 2014 23:47 Hopeless1der wrote:
kita, rayn wants to 1v1 you. do you accept?


On April 01 2014 00:02 Hopeless1der wrote:
p.s. rayn revoted kita


On March 31 2014 23:56 Hopeless1der wrote:
In my currently preferred scenario, we lynch rayn. If he flips town, hope a vig can get you or slam and probably end up lynching the other one.


These posts seem like the ideal mafia scenario if rayn is indeed town, which would be opportunistic from his perspective. He makes the assumption that if rayn flips town, I must be mafia. This is scummy because up until this point, he hasn't hinted at having a mafia read on me or having a problem with my case. In fact, he defends me explaining how I could coast along with the slam lynch. So there is a gap in logic here if he would be so open to my death.

At first, I really thought that rayn and hope could be scum buddies. rayn exploded with anger about Toad's post. He then showed a defeated attitude, as if he had no choice but to vote hope for an incredibly, incredibly weak reason. As buddies, he would have to anticipate a huge wagon on hope at that point and I wasn't feel the sentiment at that time. Since then it seems less likely that they are both mafia, with a shifting read on hope to town from rayn and an attack on rayn from hope after my case.

I would say that hope is scummy to me, but the discussion about the town vs town is all speculative, pre-flip analysis, which I'd want to avoid. The biggest point is how open he would be to see me die to enforce the 1v1 trade, without making any argument as to why we must be of opposite alignments.

There wasn't enough here to make me move off of rayn here. I'd like to do vivax/djo next and see if austin's points have any merits. austin himself I've ignored for the most part and I'll likely continue to do so until a red flag pops up.

Why is the boldified relevant?
Have you ever played with town rayn before? I'm sure you have. In that game, was he not super sure about his reads d1?
Why do you write more about how hopeless is scum, yet you push the rayn lynch? In your last post about rayn, which is not quoted, half of it is saying why you think he might be town. So basically, what made rayn a better lynch than hopeless yesterday?
Questioning Kita's loyalties, and why he voted rayn. Keep in mind kush doublevoted rayn. It's okay to question someone else's motives for voting your target, that's super sexy. But kush never does this until AFTER the lynch.

On April 02 2014 01:50 kushm4sta wrote:
is kita a guy who hates playing scum?

Hi I am 12 and how does kita play scum?

AFTER KUSH POSTS THOSE QUESTIONS TO KITA, KITA RESPONDS --->
On April 01 2014 22:16 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 01 2014 21:43 kushm4sta wrote:
Questions for Kita


On March 31 2014 03:39 kitaman27 wrote:
On March 31 2014 03:30 raynpelikoneet wrote:
For someone who is supposed to be good at this game you say a lot of stupid stuff kita.


Hey, I'm not the guy pushing a mass claim in a recruiter setup.

On a side note, it's quite possible that mafia numbers are going to be nerfed on day one if there is a alignment changing mechanic. We could very well be dealing with 1-2 at the start.

why do you think this?


Scum numbers need to be balanced. If you start with the max scum numbers for a 14 player setup and then add a changing alignment mechanic on top of it your would need to compensate somehow. Having a scum - > town conversation makes no sense since they would simply post the scum list, so a nerfed starting number makes the most sense.

Show nested quote +
On April 01 2014 21:43 kushm4sta wrote:
Why is the boldified relevant?


Was trying to show my mindset as mafia, but it probably makes more sense to me than anyone else. Wasn't really necessary I suppose.

Show nested quote +
On April 01 2014 21:43 kushm4sta wrote:
Have you ever played with town rayn before? I'm sure you have. In that game, was he not super sure about his reads d1?


Yes, though I don't recall him ever going after myself actually. The fact that he was willing to call me 100% confirmed mafia I found incredibly scummy because he essentially took that stance based on my post on him. I can't imagine myself ever acting like he did as town, but I guess he runs hotter. When I posted my case on him, I gave him several opportunities to justify his scum read on myself and essentially he gave a "I don't care"/"I'm too lazy" response even though he suggested that I was mafia several times. That didn't sit well with me so I went after him and he blew up.

Show nested quote +
On April 01 2014 21:43 kushm4sta wrote:
Why do you write more about how hopeless is scum, yet you push the rayn lynch? In your last post about rayn, which is not quoted, half of it is saying why you think he might be town. So basically, what made rayn a better lynch than hopeless yesterday?


I wrote about hopeless because I wanted to look at a few other people before deciding that he was my preferred lynch. At the point where I wrote the rayn case, I hadn't looked at anyone else with much depth yet. I did explain in my post why I felt rayn was a better lynch due to admitting the weakness of the case based on the few quotes I picked out and that his relationship with rayn was based on post-flip analysis. I was making assumptions about his alignment based on rayn flipping a certain way, which wasn't what I wanted to base a day one lynch on. The biggest point against hope was that he seemed to suggest that he wanted to follow through with the 1:1 trade if rayn flipped town, even though he seemed to agree with my case and had not mentioned any suspicion of myself prior to rayn suggesting the deal.

I'll likely be spending more time reading than posting this night cycle, but I may pop in from time to time.
This post leads kush to find Kita townie

On April 02 2014 03:30 kushm4sta wrote:
my thoughts on massclaim = retarded as ever
dont know what you mean about "pure supposition about toad" but he looks town to me for various reasons.

kitaman looking townie.


On April 02 2014 13:40 kushm4sta wrote:
im kind of busy with shit now so I'm not going to filter dive at this second, which is what I really need to do.

about kita having too much information.. since then i pretty much 180ed on that. It was how he said this game only has 1 or 2 scum, when i was approaching the game thinking there were 3 or 4.
But in actuality, if kita were scum, he probably wouldn't have said that at all because he would be extra careful not to reveal he has too much information.
kita slipped and was scummy for it.

But actually, if kita were scum, HE WOULDN'T HAVE SLIPPED AND BEEN SCUMMY.


THIS IS A TERRIBLE TERRIBLE TERRIBLE POINT AND I NEED TO REMEMBER IT FOR CONCISE POSTING. LOOK AT KUSH'S COMMENT HERE. "Kita slipped and gave out information that made him look like he was scum with info on scum numbers. Kita has extra information (that town does not." ---> "Kita is not scummy for this, because scumKita would not slip and give out extra information."

The conclusion is HORRIBLY HORRIBLY wrong. "Scum are careful and don't do scummy things. Therefore, people doing scummy things are probably town."

Seriously. I'm not exaggerating. If I'm twisting those words, it's BARELY. Kita revealed info town shouldn't have, but he's townie for that because scum would be careful and not reveal this information. ALSO ALSO, small contrast with kush asking how kita plays scum....MAYBE KITA IS THE WORST SCUM PLAYER ON EARTH OR ALWAYS SLIPS OR WHATEVER, KUSH HAS BASICALLY NO IDEA HOW CAREFUL KITA IS AS SCUM BUT WILL TOWNREAD KITA FOR DOING SOMETHING SCUMMY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! and another ! for good measure


Kush --> Kita, Act 2
+ Show Spoiler +
Now he's called Kita town. Kita is under pressure D2. Look at kush's kita-talk.

On April 02 2014 13:43 kushm4sta wrote:
jjd sorry bro i dont follow your kita case at all.

yes his plan to copy his own meta and reaction test was dumb and complicated. Dumb and complicated things usually come from townies though.

Okeedoke, fine. Explained reason to find kita townie. Townies do dumb and complicated stuff, scum generally don't want to look dumb/strange.

On April 02 2014 13:49 kushm4sta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 02 2014 13:46 JarJarDrinks wrote:
On April 02 2014 13:43 kushm4sta wrote:
jjd sorry bro i dont follow your kita case at all.

yes his plan to copy his own meta and reaction test was dumb and complicated. Dumb and complicated things usually come from townies though.
Did you not just read my last post? He defended rayn after rayn supposedly fell into his trap. Later on he made a whole case based on stuff that happened before the post where he defended him.


1 i would not call that a defense
2 if you look at kita's case, he is quite open about having doubts that rayn is scum, and he points out things about rayn that look townie.

i am not seeing inconsistency.
Kita is open about having doubts that rayn is scum. But pushed his lynch, and together Kita and Kush are 60% of the non-rayn votes on Kush.

IF KUSH IS TOWN, I WOULD EXPECT HIM TO GO "WELL GEE GOLLY, KITA DOUBTED RAYN WAS SCUM, BUT WHO CARES BECAUSE RAYN WAS REALLY SCUMMY, I SHOULD KNOW, I PUT TWO VOTES ON HIM MYSELF, AND IT'S OKAY TO HAVE DOUBTS BUT LYNCH SCUMMY BROS.

On April 02 2014 23:06 kushm4sta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 31 2014 08:33 kitaman27 wrote:
hopeless vs slam is more appealing to me than rayn vs slam at the moment.

Even if I disagree with some of thing things he is saying, he is taking more stances and following through with them. hope on the other hand is kinda just there responding when he is called upon.


jjd, you are misunderstanding this post I think. Basically the important part is at the moment. Then a combination of two things happened. Rayn did some shit kita found scummy AND kita reconsidered the scumminess in rayn's play.

To me, Kita's thought process is VERY transparent. He wrote at least two long ass posts dealing with his reads and the thought process behind them. His play would be extremely hard to pull off as scum I think.

Furthermore, think of Kita as a person. I don't know him that well, but from what I've seen, I seriously doubt he would be the kind of flashy scum player to try to get rayn mislynched D1. I see kita as being a less confrontational scum player.
Yes that meta is based on complete assumption.
Now kush is really going deep TO EXPLAIN SOMEONE ELSE'S ACTIONS AND THOUGHT PROCESSES.

THIS IS A GUY WHOSE SCUM GAME HE DOESN'T KNOW. HE HASN'T CLAIMED ANY MEGA KITA KNOWLEDGE. HE HASN'T EXPLAINED WHAT OTHER PLAYERS WERE THINKING AT ANY GIVEN TIME. HE DOESN'T KNOW KITA WELL, BUT WANTS JJD TO "THINK OF KITA AS A PERSON"

THIS MAKES NO SENSE AT ALL

HE DOESN'T KNOW KITA'S SCUM PLAY. HE ASSUMES THAT KITA'S SCUM PLAY ISN'T FLASHY. HE ASSUMES KITA IS LESS CONFRONTATIONAL. BUT JUST EARLIER, INSTEAD OF MAKING ASSUMPTIONS, HE WAS ASKING HOW KITA PLAYS SCUM.

DOES NOT COMPUTE. DOES NOT COMPUTER. #ANGRYSQUAWK.

SERIOUSLY THOUGH KUSH IS BENDING OVER BACKWARDS TO EXPLAIN WHAT KITA WAS DOING AND HOW KITA THINKS AND THAT IS REALLY ODD.

On April 03 2014 00:36 kushm4sta wrote:
jjd did you see what i said about kita?
i tihnk you are underestimating the fluidity of his reads d1.
NO JJD. YOU UNDERESTIMATE THE FLUIDITY OF KITA'S READS. KUSH HAS A DEGREE IN KITANOMICS. A PHD IN ANCIENT ARCHAKITAEOLOGY. KUSH HAS TRACKED KITA THROUGH THE BUSH USING NOTHING BUT BROKEN BRANCHES AND TRACES OF PARTICULAR BERRIES LEFT IN KITA'S FECES. KUSH KNOWS EXACTLY WHAT KITA WAS THINKING AND HOW HE PLAYS AND THIS REMAINS REALLY FUNKY.

On April 04 2014 07:19 kushm4sta wrote:
austinmcc - hella town
kitaman27 - hella town
Hopeless1der - probably town
thrawn2112 - possible scum
JarJarDrinks -possible scum
Vivax - probably town
Djodref - possible scum
Amiko - possible scum
Tehpoofter - possible scum
Kitaman is HELLA TOWN during N3

On April 05 2014 18:23 kushm4sta wrote:
ok so i just read kita. d1 is really townie but then his activity falls off a lot. I wasn't really thinking about scum that could have been converted but yeah both kita and tehpoof look like possible conversions.
I'm checking kita.
Now kita might have been converted. NOT starting scum. Strong D1, weaker other days.

(Note: I didn't post the full blurb in this game, but I swear I've posted it in 1-2 others. Probably Shadow. I made some minor mention here about how Kita was looking town D1, but I needed to wait, and last time I "caught" him I got NKed N1 and it was too late to push him as a sure thing. But scumKita, when I've seen him play scum, looks REALLY townie for most of D1, then just coasts. He stops pushing things, doing work, giving large reads, making cases, etc. He just builds up that cred and glides. That is EXACTLY what I remember of Kita's scum play and EXACTLY what has happened this game and EXACTLY what kush is saying)

On April 05 2014 18:45 kushm4sta wrote:
cause rayn had a power role directly relating to conversions. So does kita probably since he mentioned conversions d1. So it's very likely that there have already been conversions.
READ THIS READ THIS READ THIS

(1) Rayn had a power role related to conversion
(2) Kita mentioned conversions D1 (too much info, remember?)
(3) Kita probably has a role relating to conversions
(4) _____________________

KITA MENTIONED CONVERSIONS. TOWN HAD A SHRINK WHO IS DEAD. DOES KUSH THINK TOWN HAD TWO SHRINKS? THAT'S KIND OF A LOT. DOES KUSH THINK KITA CAN UNCONVERT SOMEONE? THAT'S A GAME-BREAKING POWER. DOES KUSH THINK KITA CAN DI THE CONVERTING? HE NEVER SAYS.

FOR ALL KUSH'S THOUGHTS ON KITA AND HIS PLAY AND HIS LONG, FLOWING HAIR, AND FOR ALL HIS D1 READS "AND", KUSH MAKES A SERIOUS OBSERVATION ABOUT KITA AND 100000% DECLINES TO FOLLOW THROUGH WITH IT. KITA KNOWS TOO MUCH ABOUT CONVERSIONS, RAYN FLIPPED TOWN WITH A ROLE DEALING WITH CONVERSIONS, KITA LIKELY HAS A ROLE THAT CONCERNS CONVERSIONS, AND ______________????? IS KITA TOWN/SCUM....WHAT!?

Gets the check back. Kita is town THE END. No questions asked. No suspicion of Godfatherness. Nothing.


Kita --> Kush
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 30 2014 15:54 kitaman27 wrote:
kush is someone who usually gets on my nerves early and hasn't done so yet, which is a concern. I seem to remember him playing mafia and acting completely reasonable, but I'll have to look back to familiarize myself with some of his more recent games. In my opinion, thrawn and hope both overreacted to the random vote, yet kush doesn't draw the same conclusion by only expressing suspicion of thrawn. If slam is a survivor, then kush being the first one to defend him may make sense as mafia if he knows his alignment.

Kita will look into Kush's mafia play. Kush's defense of slam seems POSSIBLE scummy.

On April 01 2014 04:31 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 01 2014 04:23 Vivax wrote:
On March 31 2014 22:08 kushm4sta wrote:
I think toads case on hopeless is unconvincing but it probably comes from town, unless toad stepped it up hard core since his last scum game.

Gotta read Raines newest stuff still.

I think there is evidence that kita has too much information.



What do you think was he referring to kita?


If I had to guess it would be based on my speculation of mafia numbers maybe? Anything to add kush?
Kush doesn't respond, again this is kita talking about low numbers and conversions.

On April 02 2014 05:27 kitaman27 wrote:
I'm looking at some combination of vivax, djo and hopeless at the moment.

I've been running into a lot of town reads myself. At least if the mafia pulls off a conversation, it might be easier to find mafia! XD

austin, do you think toad's "foolishness" read was simply an attempt to throw us off early? Does his no vote mechanic seem like a way to make up for the mafia conversion balance wise or does it seem more like a town role to you?

Kita asks me about suspects, I say kush/toad/gumshoe, kita does not have kush as a scum suspect despite - (1) the slam response maybe being scummy and (2) kush calling him out for extra information, AND THEN THERE'S NO FOLLOWUP ON THIS FROM KITA OR ANYTHING, HE JUST DON'T CARE

On April 02 2014 09:47 kitaman27 wrote:
You still think kush is sketchy?

When I went to look at him originally, I found these quotes from persona and golden sun where he was town, which seems to match the same mentality this game.

Show nested quote +
On September 16 2013 20:56 kushm4sta wrote:
OP might not be survivor but he is probably 3p of some type. All the scum are going to be dying to kill him because he is an easy lynch with obvious reasons for wanting to lynch him.


Show nested quote +
On September 17 2013 23:05 kushm4sta wrote:
If i was cop I would defend a survivor in TWO SECONDS because it's a dumb lynch if he's a survivor.


Show nested quote +
On August 21 2013 03:48 kushm4sta wrote:
yawn, boring discussion about survivors. scum love this shit.


It lines up with his position of not lynching slam and suggesting that we look at those that do since mafia are likely to go after third party targets. His post length seems to be what I would expect from a town kush as well.
Kita defends kush here, kush likely town because his opinion on survivors is the same as in the past. This isn't....really substantive? Someone's opinion on survivors, ESPECIALLY IF EXPRESSED OVER AND OVER AS TOWN, is probably not the BEST reason to townread them. What about actual PLAY? Does Kita like Kush's vote? Don't know.







OKAY NOW I NEED TO CLEAN THIS UP SORRY ABOUT POSTING A BIG BLOB BUT YOU CAN KIND OF FOLLOW MY THOUGHTS AND NOW I/WE NEED TO NARROW DOWN WHAT'S DUMB AND TUNNEL-Y AND WHAT IS SCUMMY
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 19:25 GMT
#2262
Something I SHOULD say is that Kush likes to bus as mafia, especially just hammering on one teammate.

In Witchcraft, filter above, he's scumbuddies with djodref and he's all up in djodref's grill. In Default Suspicions, he doesn't really comment on his buddies much, although he says he's okay vigging one.

But I swear he's got a reputation for liking to bus.


That kind of weakens the case, but if you tunnel in hard enough, you see Kush talking about Kita having too much information D1, maybe starting to create distance. Then possibly because of low numbers, or Kita's role, or WHATEVER, kush backs off and is super defendy.

THIS DOES NOT FIT WHAT I KNOW OF KUSH'S META, THAT IS TRUE.

But i think the posts and the mindset and where he goes with things is scummy, regardless of meta.
Fe fi fo fum.
Tehpoofter
Profile Joined October 2013
United States2911 Posts
April 05 2014 19:25 GMT
#2263
At amiko I don't read the lore as I really haven't seen dr who. Also don't shoot me.

This game doesn't make sense. I'm honestly surprised Kita is green. One of our claimed roles is mafia because it can't be just thrown. Maybe multiple roles.

What are pEoples theOrieS if I'm town (I know I am but let's venture there)? I like Austin as town I feel like role teams would be vivax/hope or Kush/Kita because they confirm each other but if it's just one fake role it's amiko (I believe he has a shot though)

Someone explain how my reads make sense for someone converted and by whom. I was advocating n1 reads and did my own same with n2 I have been very open. So idk why people think I'm converted minus activity drop.

I gotta head to work ill post from there.

I wasn't converted and am still lame ass vt. Content is down cause I'm in three games. This being the most progressed and least amount of posts.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 19:33 GMT
#2264
When you say you're surprised Kita is green, you trust the veracity of the check and kushmasta pretty heavily?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 19:50 GMT
#2265
Pared down Kush stuff.

(1) Kush's D1 involves a decent amount of posting, some casual posting, and an extension of his thoughts. "Kita is doing random voting ---> thrawn why did you respond like you did to the random voting?" "toad your case on hopeless is meh ---> toad is likely town for that case" "past crossfire games solveable with claims ----> claims probably no good here"

Kush's N1/D2/N2/D3 does not involve the same sort of posts. I do not see this as conversion-y, more just tailing off or getting comfortable with being scum in this particular game. But the feel of his posts shifts.

(2) Kush's filter is not as large as his filters in recent towngames. It is closer to the length of his filter in recent-ish scumgames. Specifically, even on games that end in 2 days, Kush's filter is generally double digits.

(3) This particular set of posts on kita.
On March 31 2014 22:08 kushm4sta wrote:
I think toads case on hopeless is unconvincing but it probably comes from town, unless toad stepped it up hard core since his last scum game.

Gotta read Raines newest stuff still.

I think there is evidence that kita has too much information.
Kita has too much information. This is in relation to Kita thinking scum started with low numbers and will convert people. This was before rayn's flip, we weren't SURE we had conversion mechanics in the game, just alignment-switching SOMEHOW.

On April 02 2014 13:40 kushm4sta wrote:
im kind of busy with shit now so I'm not going to filter dive at this second, which is what I really need to do.

about kita having too much information.. since then i pretty much 180ed on that. It was how he said this game only has 1 or 2 scum, when i was approaching the game thinking there were 3 or 4.
But in actuality, if kita were scum, he probably wouldn't have said that at all because he would be extra careful not to reveal he has too much information.
This conclusion. Kita slipped and had too much information. HOWEVER, a scum kita would be careful and not reveal too much information. Therefore, implicitly, kita is town.

This post, particularly, is super duper duper scummy to me. Regardless of kita's carefulness, Kush thinks kita has too much information. If Kita is town, where does he get this information? Kush does not explain, think about this, anything. He simply assumes Kita would be careful scum, and so Kita is implicitly town. That is butt, because it gives no reason why kita would have information in the first place, and Kush is basically saying that scum would be careful and not do scummy stuff, so people who do scummy things are implicitly town. Absolutely a scummy conclusion, it's not logical, it makes no sense, it doesn't explain the game, not just this game but it's a bad conclusion ALWAYS.

(4) Contrast that with Kush appearing to not know Kita's scum game
On April 02 2014 01:50 kushm4sta wrote:
is kita a guy who hates playing scum?
Kush doesn't know if kita likes/hates playing scum. Appears not to know scumKita.

Furthermore, think of Kita as a person. I don't know him that well, but from what I've seen, I seriously doubt he would be the kind of flashy scum player to try to get rayn mislynched D1. I see kita as being a less confrontational scum player.
Yes that meta is based on complete assumption.
This is kush in response to JJD attacking Kita. Kush doesn't know Kita's scumplay at all. But yet he'll assume how kita plays scum, and above he assumes that scum kita is super careful. He's just making stuff up about scum kita, in part to justify kita doing scummy stuff.

(5) Kush's check
On April 05 2014 18:23 kushm4sta wrote:
ok so i just read kita. d1 is really townie but then his activity falls off a lot. I wasn't really thinking about scum that could have been converted but yeah both kita and tehpoof look like possible conversions.
I'm checking kita.
Kush has been townie on kita before, "hella townie" during N3. Now he's worried about Kita, will check.

On April 05 2014 18:45 kushm4sta wrote:
cause rayn had a power role directly relating to conversions. So does kita probably since he mentioned conversions d1. So it's very likely that there have already been conversions.
As part of explaining why kita might be suspicious (or something), he mentions conversions.

This is THE EXTRA INFO THAT KITA HAD D1. Kush doesn't mention that, forgets it maybe? Kush also fails to follow through this thought process.
  • Rayn had a power role related to conversion
  • Kita mentioned conversions D1 (too much info, remember?)
  • Kita probably has a role relating to conversions
  • _____________________
Personally, I would go "It's unlikely town has multiple roles that stop conversions. So other convert-y roles seem likely scum." Or "Rayn was a shrink. Town probably doesn't have 2 shrinks. Maybe kita does x." Or at the very least, ANY NEXT STEP IN THE THOUGHT PROCESS. Kita has too much information, kita seems to know the game involves conversions, _________________ . Nothing.

(6) Super speculation! In a game in which town has a heavy numbers advantage and scum needs conversions, scum needs a little bit of protection in the early game. SOME of that can come from town mission votes --> see toad. Less town votes mean scum less likely to get blown up on D1. Another way is MORE scum votes --> see Kush. An extra scum vote for a day means maybe extra control of the D1 lynch, and some confusion added. Kush's role also balances that out nicely for scum. You guys get an extra vote, but can exchange it for a single shot (posted in thread). Scum can continuously dick with votes, but only in exchange for giving up KP.




Anyway, I really don't trust this check right now. I could easily see Kush and Kita being mafia. The only townie thing in Kush's corner is his role/shooting gumshoe, and ALL WE KNOW ABOUT THAT IS THAT KUSH DROPPED AN EXTRA VOTE WITHOUT SAYING IT, THEN SHOT SOMEONE FOR CLAIMING HIS SPECIFIC ROLE. THAT JUST TELLS US KUSH HAD AN EXTRA VOTE AND KP. SCUM OR TOWN, WOULDN'T YOU SHOOT SOMEONE WHO WAS LYING ABOUT THEIR ROLENAME? IF YOU'RE TOWN, THEY ARE LYING SHOOT EM. IF YOU'RE SCUM, THEY AREN'T SCUM, SHOOT EM. EZPZ LEMON SQUEEZY.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 19:51 GMT
#2266
I would like to hear from kita on kush.

I would like to hear kita fully roleclaim.

I would like to see people discuss what I've posted about kush. SPECIFICALLY, I'm extra interested in him not knowing kita's scumplay and making wild assumptions about kita, and I'm interested in his defense of Kita having too much information (scum would be careful), and I'm interested in his thinking kita might know about conversions and doing nothing with that.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 19:58 GMT
#2267
But I think we likely lynch one of those two, although I super need to look back over Hopeless. I think those are the likely candidates for starting out mafia, possibly/probably both (depending on hopeless). More speculation on how kush gets the invention (given to kush? killer gets items, and his activity goes through before the giving of the item?) is not as useful as talk about his actual play.

But this whole thing really kinda smells to me.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 19:59 GMT
#2268
As far as the nuke goes, I dunno about using it during the day.

If you can use it at night, it would be nice to hold it during the day and fire at night, because we'll have a little more information with a flip and possible role information. You also can't get converted BEFORE night, based on what we know, and that seems nice.

THERE'S ALSO THE POSSIBILITY THAT YOU'RE A MEANIE AND YOU GET NEW POWERS BECAUSE YOU BECAME MAFIA BUT THAT'S KIND OF GOING TO BURN US ANYWAY, SO WE DON'T NEED TO DEAL WITH THAT SCENARIO.

I think with 2 roleblocks, given that I believe Vivax to still be town, and a nuke, we're in an okay spot if we lynch scum.
Fe fi fo fum.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
April 05 2014 20:12 GMT
#2269
austin are you shipping both kita/kush as original scum?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21972 Posts
April 05 2014 20:16 GMT
#2270
Kita why do you only talk about 1 of your scumreads like during D1 when you posted suspicion on multiple people then only became interested into pushing the rayn lynch?

On April 05 2014 08:03 Vivax wrote:
Another thing I mentioned earlier is this post. I said it looked more like it was designed to look good and not hunt scum. Especially the "people of interest" part. Like, he mentions a fuckload of people doing potentially scummy things but doesn't move his attention to them afterwards, he prefers to stick to the rayn lynch.

Show nested quote +
On March 30 2014 15:54 kitaman27 wrote:
On March 30 2014 15:06 raynpelikoneet wrote:
In case it's unclear. It's like normally people give you a puzzle to solve and slowly give you pieces to the puzzle along the way. Then they assume townies complete the puzzle and mafia tries to force the pieces in wrong order. kitaman gives you a puzzle, then he gives you pieces to 10 different puzzles and i don't even know if he wants you to try to solve the original puzzle.


lol you amuse me.

But you have it backwards. I'm simply trying to gather the pieces for myself. The puzzle is mine to solve.

As for your "web of disruption" post, it has a catchy name, but I'll respond once you come to an actual conclusion.

thrawn is off my naughty list for the moment.

People of interest:

Tehpoofter seems to be asking questions that I don't find all that interesting. His initial vote of slam seems a bit forced.

Amiko asking me or hope for the clarification doesn't seem scummy to me. We were probably just around. His lack of opinion and direction does appear scummy however.

Hopeless with his "do i need to go through the motions of totes serious voting to get a response?" conveys a kind of "look at me doing someone" without actually coming to a conclusion other than that I'm useless

slam...generally I try to ignore him and the last time I did so I believe he was mafia. Day one survivor claims are usually someone I would lynch, even if I thought they might be a survivor. My biggest worry is that he might be a trolly town who is willing to get lynched and doesn't care, but he wasn't willing to role claim when asked and shows signs of over frustration that doesn't appear genuine. I'll probably leave my vote on him, though we need to avoid the scenario where nobody is under pressure because the lynch is already decided.

kush is someone who usually gets on my nerves early and hasn't done so yet, which is a concern. I seem to remember him playing mafia and acting completely reasonable, but I'll have to look back to familiarize myself with some of his more recent games. In my opinion, thrawn and hope both overreacted to the random vote, yet kush doesn't draw the same conclusion by only expressing suspicion of thrawn. If slam is a survivor, then kush being the first one to defend him may make sense as mafia if he knows his alignment.



I would like to hear your other alternatives for mafia + reasons.

If you don't get lynched today cause of that check I find hard to believe then I'm going for thrawn or poofter. What do you think of those?
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 20:20 GMT
#2271
On April 06 2014 05:12 thrawn2112 wrote:
austin are you shipping both kita/kush as original scum?
Right now, yeah.

I like your D1.
I like amiko's D1.
I'm town.
I have thought Vivax is townie, and he hasn't done anything to really worry me about that yet.

I hate poofter's D1 but like him since, and I don't think that fits for someone who's been scum fo evah.

That leaves me hopeless/kita/kush.

Again, I need to focus harder on hopeless, but his role appears confirmable (either Vivax and JJD both needed to be scum (impossible), or Vivax scum and one of them knows where JJD targeted (strange), or he's lying (BIG RISK WTF NOT POSSIBLE)). He's done scummy stuff, but so have kita and kush, and kush's interactions with kita are STRANGE.

Like

VERY STRANGE

VERY ODD

PARTICULARLY CURIOUS

Kush talks a good bit about kita, defending him in odd ways, talking about him and not coming to conclusions, and in comparison to
On April 06 2014 03:13 kushm4sta wrote:
not ashamed to admit i haven't read their filters. Hard to motivate yoruself in a game where all your reads have been shit. That is pure PoE.

(not reading half the game's filters), he knows a LOT about kita's filter during the game and is always willing to talk about kita.

Fe fi fo fum.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21972 Posts
April 05 2014 20:21 GMT
#2272
I dunno austin, did I attempt townreading kush for the wrong reasons there?

Was scum simply on the rayn wagon D1, would it be that simple?
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 20:28 GMT
#2273
On April 06 2014 05:21 Vivax wrote:
I dunno austin, did I attempt townreading kush for the wrong reasons there?

Was scum simply on the rayn wagon D1, would it be that simple?
I don't know that things are simple or not. Last time I saw townrayn get lynched, it was a 100% town wagon.

I personally felt that rayn was NOT scummy on D1, he was too much like townrayn --> throw accusations everywhere and call austinmcc scummy

I think that IF kita knows something about conversions, it is VERY ODD that when rayn claims shrink, he doesn't try to push people off, or doesn't really comment on that and question rayn about this. Presumably, kitaman knows that this is a conversion game. Rayn claims a role related to conversions. Kitaman should be interested in this, it's not just a claim but a claim that is either fake or confirms mechanics not specifically in the OP which kitaman also knows about.

I would personally, as scum, like to see townRayn die. It's not reason enough to say "SCUM KILLED RAYN BOOM BOOM GAME OVER," but it's not a BAD decision for them to lynch townies, and lynch active townies, and lynch vocal townies.


It's more about process of elimination and actual play. These are the people with some pewpy play. Some questionable trains of thought, or questionable final destinations of trains of thought (kitaman with rayn's claim, kush with kitaman's too much info).
Fe fi fo fum.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21972 Posts
April 05 2014 20:30 GMT
#2274

about kita having too much information.. since then i pretty much 180ed on that. It was how he said this game only has 1 or 2 scum, when i was approaching the game thinking there were 3 or 4.
But in actuality, if kita were scum, he probably wouldn't have said that at all because he would be extra careful not to reveal he has too much information.


Kush can you comment on this. You say "x does scummy thing. But if x were scum he wouldn't do scummy thing" . That is no proper reason.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
April 05 2014 20:32 GMT
#2275
austin.

kush's meata changes a lot. he doesn't always buss. but as scum he pretty consistently as this air of confidence that he doesn't as town due to him not knowing alignments as town. so I think you can sweep aside your meta doubts because imo this does actually look like scum kush.

I do like what you posted near the top of the page regarding kush/kita, but honestly I am more convinced by this

On April 06 2014 05:20 austinmcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2014 05:12 thrawn2112 wrote:
austin are you shipping both kita/kush as original scum?
Right now, yeah.

I like your D1.
I like amiko's D1.
I'm town.
I have thought Vivax is townie, and he hasn't done anything to really worry me about that yet.

I hate poofter's D1 but like him since, and I don't think that fits for someone who's been scum fo evah.

That leaves me hopeless/kita/kush.


I'll do my own read of kush and tell you what I think. But for now I am glad that my vote is still on him.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2014 20:32 GMT
#2276
Also, to some extent, we know there are fake claims and it's likely we've had people fake claim already. We can't 100% sort out actions right now without a little more, just make a couple basic assumptions.

A lot of what kush has done is not scummy because of roles / actions / flavor / etc, but just actually general town/scum play.


Town doesn't say people are town for doing scummy things because scum wouldn't do scummy things.
Town is worried about people who have too much information, especially when a townie with that information flips, they worry a little more about an unknown player who had that information.
Town doesn't tell people they are underestimating "the fluidity" of someone's reads.

If kush is scum, I just want to policy lynch anyone who talks about fluidity in any game.
Fe fi fo fum.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
April 05 2014 20:33 GMT
#2277
except that I love poofter's D1 and don't like him too much since
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21972 Posts
April 05 2014 20:39 GMT
#2278
If there are 3 scum we're basically at LYLO btw (there can't be 4 or it would be gg unless the converter is 3p). We are 8 and if we mislynch scum kills me at night cause I can't jail myself and it's gg.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21972 Posts
April 05 2014 20:44 GMT
#2279
On the other hand we also have a nuke so chance to take out 2 scum at once. Today the game is decided.

Amiko and austin are supatown for me. Everyone else not so much, that means that among the remaining 5 people I can't eliminate from my scumreads there must be 3 scum (not more cause in case of 4 it would be gg already).

kush
hopeless
kita
thrawn
poofter

Going to spend the next hours going through all of them and trying to give a final verdict.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
April 05 2014 21:17 GMT
#2280
Ok. Sneak peak of the result of my kush filter-dive is that I think he's mafia.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 31 2014 22:15 kushm4sta wrote:
I disagree with foolishness hydra. I know exactly what is going on with slam. Third party with a specific win condition. Terrible lynch and that is a fact not an opinion.


As austin mentioned, kush is too quick to come to the conclusion that slam can only be survivor. And this post is a perfect example of the kush scum meta I mentioned.


+ Show Spoiler +
So Austin pointed out some weirdness with the interactions between kush and kita but there is more weirdness I just found that austin didn't touch on.

On April 01 2014 21:43 kushm4sta wrote:
Questions for Kita
Why is the boldified relevant?
Have you ever played with town rayn before? I'm sure you have. In that game, was he not super sure about his reads d1?
Why do you write more about how hopeless is scum, yet you push the rayn lynch? In your last post about rayn, which is not quoted, half of it is saying why you think he might be town. So basically, what made rayn a better lynch than hopeless yesterday?


Notice how formal kush is being when talking to kita? Now go look at kush's filter, he pretty much acts like an ass most of the time. When he questions other people is more aggresive and... needlessly antagonistic than he is with kita.


+ Show Spoiler +
On April 02 2014 23:06 kushm4sta wrote:.
Furthermore, think of Kita as a person. I don't know him that well, but from what I've seen, I seriously doubt he would be the kind of flashy scum player to try to get rayn mislynched D1. I see kita as being a less confrontational scum player.
Yes that meta is based on complete assumption.


and yeah this is just really awkward and bad.


+ Show Spoiler +
OK. So here is an event that bought kush a lot of town cred.

On April 03 2014 04:34 kushm4sta wrote:
eh we arne't wasting this day talking about gumshoe
##kill gumshoe


The line "eh we arne't wasting this day talking about gumshoe" seems... a bit off considering kush is supposed to be shooting gumshoe becuase gumshoe claimed kush's flavor name. Like if player x says he's flavor z, and player y is actually flavor z, and player y decides that player x's claim is worth insta-shooting him for... I'd expect player y to be much more... enthusiastic about the kill? This is hard to describe, basically I'm saying that if kush was shooting gumshoe for the reasons he is supposed to be shooting gumshoe, he would have had a completely different attitude about it than "eh we arne't wasting this day talking about gumshoe."


+ Show Spoiler +
On April 05 2014 18:23 kushm4sta wrote:
ok so i just read kita. d1 is really townie but then his activity falls off a lot. I wasn't really thinking about scum that could have been converted but yeah both kita and tehpoof look like possible conversions.
I'm checking kita.


So I do not know why kush decided to check kita. It doesn't make sense considering kush's earlier kita super town read. He includes the bit about kita being a possible conversion... and that small bit is enough to convince kush that he should use his OP instant cop check on a player he's been defending all game, instead of one of his scum suspects? So kush's use of this scumometer does not make sense.

And as Austin said.. kush came in and announced the green result.... and nothing else. No "oh I was right all along you dumbasses" or "hmm that's interesting this means that X is probably mafia." I guarantee that if a I had the scumometer, checked kita, and a town result then I would definietly start drawing conclusions about other players alignments.


SOOOOOOOOOO..... yes I think kush is mafia. and he is probably mafia with kita and they were both probably mafia on D1.

i'll read kita and post my thoughts later today (austin and vivax gonna be so happy)

"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
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