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Chrono Trigger Mafia - Page 6

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 00:23 GMT
#3814
Until Oats confirms he got a gift I don't see how we can expect this as the outcome for each event.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 00:26 GMT
#3817
On November 27 2012 09:23 Promethelax wrote:
oh, and ## Vote: Dieno
Gk, be a smart sheep.


Lol

I'm guessing this has something to do with how we assume gifts work, which is completely unconfirmed at this point...

You're right. If there are in fact gifts each cycle maybe syllo isn't the best choice. But neither is a deino who is confirmed to be wittled down a sizable chunk of HP.


##Unvote
##Vote: Clarity
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 00:27 GMT
#3822
On November 27 2012 09:26 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 09:26 goodkarma wrote:
On November 27 2012 09:23 Promethelax wrote:
oh, and ## Vote: Dieno
Gk, be a smart sheep.


Lol

I'm guessing this has something to do with how we assume gifts work, which is completely unconfirmed at this point...

You're right. If there are in fact gifts each cycle maybe syllo isn't the best choice. But neither is a deino who is confirmed to be wittled down a sizable chunk of HP.


##Unvote
##Vote: Clarity

Not me?


You stated clearly in thread that your participation lowers the party's success rate. Otherwise I would...
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 00:31 GMT
#3827
On November 27 2012 09:28 TheChronicler wrote:
Why does Keir's modifier matter? We just keep using a winning team.


Since we have absolutely no idea how success rate is determined, why take any unnecessary risks?

Until such a time where the actual mechanics for determining success are revealed, I prefer to take what Keir has told us at face value...
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 00:38 GMT
#3834
On November 27 2012 09:33 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 09:31 goodkarma wrote:
On November 27 2012 09:28 TheChronicler wrote:
Why does Keir's modifier matter? We just keep using a winning team.


Since we have absolutely no idea how success rate is determined, why take any unnecessary risks?

Until such a time where the actual mechanics for determining success are revealed, I prefer to take what Keir has told us at face value...

You do realize I was in the night 1 party, right?


But we don't know if our chance of success was lowered by your presence that night. If your low success modifier as described in your PM is to be trusted, then bringing you this time around might not be the best idea.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 00:42 GMT
#3839
On November 27 2012 09:40 Promethelax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 09:37 Keirathi wrote:
On November 27 2012 09:34 Promethelax wrote:
On November 27 2012 09:33 Keirathi wrote:
It doesn't really matter to me, either. But, since we can have a full team of people that are confirmed successful parties, I'll say that unless I get invited to parties, I am nothing more than a VT. I get 0 abilities to use without being included.


are your abilities worth your low modifier? Objectively and not "oh man look at this cool thing I can do"

Some are. If I was worried about the party selection, it would probably be best to leave me out of the party. But we have 5 people who have been in successful parties, including a party that I was in specifically. We could take the exact 4 people today as we had day 1, if we really wanted to. I don't see any reason to believe that that party wouldn't be successful today, when it was on day 1.

So, I don't see much reason not to include me.


My reason for not wanting to do that, silly though it seems, is never trust GreYMisT. I think he'd have some way to force us not to use the same party and keep winning with it every time. Because otherwise mafia has to kill party members and can't focus on good players who aren't in the party/claimed roles they want to eliminate/their SK read


But then again, if Greymist isn't going to let us lynch again, then mafia can pretty much do whatever the hell it wants...

Let's set aside speculation if we can.

The only thing we know is Keir has a low success modifier. And that is it...
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 00:47 GMT
#3846
On November 27 2012 09:41 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 09:38 goodkarma wrote:
On November 27 2012 09:33 Keirathi wrote:
On November 27 2012 09:31 goodkarma wrote:
On November 27 2012 09:28 TheChronicler wrote:
Why does Keir's modifier matter? We just keep using a winning team.


Since we have absolutely no idea how success rate is determined, why take any unnecessary risks?

Until such a time where the actual mechanics for determining success are revealed, I prefer to take what Keir has told us at face value...

You do realize I was in the night 1 party, right?


But we don't know if our chance of success was lowered by your presence that night. If your low success modifier as described in your PM is to be trusted, then bringing you this time around might not be the best idea.

Wat...?

It says ANY party that I'm in has a lower chance of success. That's pretty straight forward wording, and I (not should anyone else) have any reason to believe that it didn't apply day 1 for some unknown reason.


So let's say (hypothetically) bringing you night one took us from 100% to 70% success rate, but you succeeded.
But it could have been something like from 100% success rate to 10% to but you succeeded.

Same outcome, but very different likelihoods of success...

We can continue to speculate on this, but it just doesn't make sense to me why we should bring you today since we don't know that we'll have the same outcome this time around as last time with you in the party.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 00:56 GMT
#3861
On November 27 2012 09:44 Promethelax wrote:
Another reason I think Dieno makes more sense if there are rewards based on the player and not which quest they lead to victory he will get the masamune.


Unless Greymist chose to disregard Chrono Trigger's max HP (and I believe this to be unlikely), 999 is the most Dieno has.

Dieno has already taken in excess of 400 damage, and if he becomes party leader mafia will obviously target him. Given the amount of damage we've seen mafia is capable of, it is extremely likely that he would get killed in one night. Make Dieno party leader and even if he were to get the Masamune there is no way he'd have the chance to use it...
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 01:03 GMT
#3873
@Oats:

Did you get anything for being party leader this round?

I'd certainly hope so given there's no lynch...
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 01:09 GMT
#3880
Hapa has my support <3

##Unvote
##Vote: Hapa


Although I would highly recommend keeping only confirmed townies besides yourself in the party, if we're not going to be allowed to lynch we might as well take some advantage of the party mechanic we're given to help confirm additional town.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 01:19 GMT
#3905
On November 27 2012 10:16 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 10:12 Hapahauli wrote:
On November 27 2012 10:10 Keirathi wrote:
On November 27 2012 10:06 Hapahauli wrote:
I would like to run for party leader

My party will be Dienosaur, Kei, and either Chronicler or Acro
If you for whatever reason do not feel safe with Chronicler/Acro, I can add Oatsmaster in that slot.

Why you can trust me
I think the parties I proposed above are as near confirmed town as we can get in this situation. Given this player pool, you can trust me. Why? Because if we failed the mission, I would be holding a neon-sign saying "LYNCH ME." This is suicidal for me to do as scum.

I see no reason to put 2 non successful party members in the party today (You, and Chronicler/Acro). And, you couldn't replace Acro/Chronicler with Oats. The only possible way you could replace them would be with syllo.


Oh I totes confused names for some reason. Yes Syllo instead of Chronicler/Acro.

Whaddya think? I'm in a position where I'm not under suspicion, and I (as hypothetical scum) would only have everything to lose by presenting myself like this.

I'm not strongly opposed to you going along. I still prefer Djodref or Chronicler. I see no reason for you to be leader, though. Whatever these events do, it might be worthwhile to scum to sacrifice one to fail the event. We don't seem to be getting many lynches and already have Toad's head on the chopping block.



Is there really a big difference between him being party leader, or going in the party, if in the event the party succeeds he comes out confirmed town either way?

That being said, I do feel Djo is also a strong choice for fresh blood to bring.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 01:38 GMT
#3924
Instead of changing votes every five minutes, I'll come back in a couple hours and hopefully this settles itself out...

But please please please agree to send at least one new candidate in that we all can agree is very likely town. With the absence of a lynch, the party mechanic is all we have...

Be back in a bit...
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 06:02 GMT
#4026
On November 27 2012 14:51 Keirathi wrote:
Anyways, I've finalized my proposed party:

Me, syllo, Oats, Djodref


This is a party I find completely acceptable. Apparently no one else is too worried about your low success modifier... I'll cross my fingers and hope that the success determination mechanic is similar to what you've said + Show Spoiler +
(I find it consoling that the more I think about it the more unlikely it feels that it's anything like what I proposed...)
. And I hope that your special powers from being in a party are crazy good...

##Unvote
##Vote: Keirathi


Final answer.



And in case you're wondering, the largest reason is satisfaction with your party selection. Confirming Djo as town is a good move.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 08:25 GMT
#4072
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 08:39 GMT
#4077
On November 27 2012 17:27 Promethelax wrote:
you are in this game. Don't you popcorn me. have an opinion, state it and play the damn game.

should I claim my full ability etc. and why?

Is Syllo being dumb on purpose? (no need for a why here, we'll find out eventually)


You are in a better spot than I to know if claiming your role and abilities is appropriate. However, if Syllo is just going to RB you all game and you are town, that's two town whose abilities aren't being used well...

Syllo definitely doesn't have a good read on you if he can't come to a conclusion on if you're scum without you role claiming. I could see it easily being the fastest way for him to determine if you're scum, but you also have 12+ pages of filter. I find it incredibly hard to believe he couldn't get a good read on you outside of your claimed abilities to date, even if you held back on your role information...

But to answer your question: he's not being dumb. Enough said.


And if the two of you are going to continue a petty exchange maybe taking some time to cool off would be best. There's a reason I popcorned. This has gone beyond being productive and devolved into OMGUSing...
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 08:52 GMT
#4087
On November 27 2012 17:45 Oatsmaster wrote:
ITEMS MY BOY, ITEMS.
Other than the fact that Djo defended you, which I think its his meta, is there anything else that makes you think he is scum?
I think that Dien should be leader at least to see if he gets his sword back+if all town's healing is on him, he probably wont die


You sure about that? Keep in mind he's heavily damaged, and Marv's reduce damage by half ability is gone. That's pretty huge...
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 09:50 GMT
#4098
On November 27 2012 17:58 Promethelax wrote:
Dammit Syllo: I was about to accept that you had a good reason for your crazy tunneling which I could understand and we'd reconcile and wander off into the sunset holding hands or whatever. Now I'm back to thinking that you are crazy.

If I full claim theoretically Syllo will back off and allow me to fully protect dieno from anything coming at him this cycle just as I intended to last cycle. I want dieno as the leader, Oats has confirmed that the reward was role based (I assume since he agreed with me that Deino would get Masamune), Syllo would you confirm/deny this as well please.



So, just to be clear, if you do claim you could get Syllo off your back and convince him you're town? Now I'm a little confused, as this would seem to be best for us right now.

I gave the noble "you know best" answer for claiming before, but honestly the ability you have already claimed is crazy op and if you are really town scum would be braindead not to RB or shoot you on a nightly basis. In this context, I can see where Syllo is coming from.

Add to that that looking through your filter you seem moreso defensive than cooperative in trying to clear your own name in some spots. Hapa is right that you seem to kind of halfheartedly go after your scum suspects with no followup... It's clear that you aren't playing all that well if you are town.

However, you outlined that you are going to have a different posting style this game. And some of your early posts seemed surprisingly opinionated to reflect a disinterested scum. And early interest in the game in fact seemed genuine to me... I've mislynched you once before and if you're town I'd hate to do it again .

However, I can see where those accusing you are coming from. I can't imagine how claiming your abilities would be detrimental at this point. You have made it clear to scum that they are powerful, so if you're town you should fully expect KP or RB being directed your way as long as you should live anyway... Claiming imho could only help you to clear yourself at this point in the game.

In conclusion:
I can see what others do as to why Prox could potentially be scum, but I don't get the strong scumread that syllo does. Knowing nothing about Prox and his circumstances, I'd say slight scumread. As it is, I'd say null read. It is very plausible he is scum, but there are stronger scum prospects to investigate in depth imho.

Between Acro/TheChronicler/Hopeless which is scum? Coming to a conclusion here, as one of them is almost certainly scum, is a better use of our time in my opinion. This is where I personally plan to devote some time tomorrow.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 21:18 GMT
#4306
On November 28 2012 06:11 Promethelax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 06:09 Dienosore wrote:
Fuck, I keep forgetting Oats can't be in it... I remember now that I said TheChronicler earlier, but honestly I'm open to all suggestions.


well stop being open to suggestions. Scum must have some influence on this game. Get your butt in gear and make one town read on your own.


This. Your relationship map and bowl should help you on your quest.

+ Show Spoiler +
And yes. That's sarcasm.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 21:37 GMT
#4314
On November 28 2012 06:25 Dienosore wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 06:11 Promethelax wrote:
On November 28 2012 06:09 Dienosore wrote:
Fuck, I keep forgetting Oats can't be in it... I remember now that I said TheChronicler earlier, but honestly I'm open to all suggestions.


well stop being open to suggestions. Scum must have some influence on this game. Get your butt in gear and make one town read on your own.


Unless I hear the majority of people telling me to change my vote, I have chosen TheChronicler based on my town read.

Why are you insisting that scum must have some influence? Are you perhaps threatened by the fact that you don't think your viewpoints aren't being heard or agreed on by the general populace? Enough so, that it makes you want to reinforce to the admitted new guy that scum are constantly lurking around, so you can verify to yourself that what you are doing is actually working?

You should really stop making your anger at me because I just wont fucking die so obvious.



So you're saying you don't trust your own reads, and consider scum (who you've gone to no lengths to spot) are automatically a non-threat? Please play some newbie games after you're done here, so a coach can teach you how to play...


As for electing you leader I've been thinking that having a heavily HP-damaged town get a item would make him a strong mafia target, and by electing you we'd lose the item and a "confirmed town."

But then I remembered that there are several "confirmed town" 10X more useful than you. It won't be an easy decision for scum to kill you, and I actually would rather have you die than them. To that end anything that could make you a stronger target than someone such as Syllo or Keir is something I'm completely for.



##Unvote
##Vote: Deino


However incompetent I think you are, I also have a town read on TC, and am confident that the party you've proposed will succeed.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
November 27 2012 23:01 GMT
#4325
On November 28 2012 07:24 strongandbig wrote:
hey guys

just caught up with teh threadzor

so correct me if i'm wrong but we're picking dienosore to be party leader because he might get masamune? keirathi do you think it would help you at all to be the party leader instead of a party follower?

also i think that hopeless is scum even though it turns out acro is 3p - some of the things that hopeless has done since being checked seem to me like scum in desperation

like the whole thing about being on a party - this and hapa's thing and the chronicler all have done it - like i said to hapa before, i'm suspicious of anyone who says "put me in the party" instead of just relying on their townieness to be self-evident or whatever, because scum might have more information than we do and they might be starting to really want us to fail a mission

some other stuff:

Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 12:49 Hopeless1der wrote:
I think we've decided that our Party leader is going to be one of our previous party members. Oats cannot lead. That leaves:
  1. Syllogism
  2. Keirathi
  3. Dienosore
  4. Clarity_nl
This could very well be the party that runs today's event.

Only one of Dienosore and Oatsmaster can be on the party due to setup restrictions.
Oatsmaster and Syllogism have already led a party before and have items to show for it.

I believe the leaders receive an item upon a successful mission completion. Either we try to pool resources to one player (i.e. syllo today) or we divvy up the spoils among as many players as possible while maintaining a successful party. I don't like the idea of powering up one player for a number of reasons:

Scum might be able to steal items
Items may be lost upon death
The player may in fact be scum

I'd prefer syllo and oats not be in the party at all because they currently hold items, but if we can't identify a 4th for the team, I'd pick dieno over oats and have syllo step in to fill the last spot.

My choice for party leader is one of Keir, Dieno and Clarity. As I've already stated, I'd like to be included in the party. If any of them are inclined to give me the 4th spot, I'd be delighted and they will receive my vote. In the meantime, I'm fine sheeping the current votelead on Keir.
##Vote: Keirathi

Also, I hereby state that I won't put a last-minute voteswitch onto Toad today, in case anyone suspects shenanigans.


like, seriously - what is the point of saying that last bit...

then there's the fact that his response to a red check from tc was "bring it bitches"
like, he answers the whole case point by point and then he doesn't address the check itself...

tc's long case post was actually pretty bad, but after hopeless went through the case and answered it point by point, instead of actually addressing the dt check, he's just like "bring it" - that doesn't feel very town to me

then there's this "im untargetable tonight" thing. i don't understand what he's trying to head off here - townies would use negative abilities on toad, and scum would use negative abilities on pretty much anyone other than h1 or toad. the only thing that seems likely to hit h1 is maybe another dt check, so i don't see how him making himself untargetable or telling us he's untargetable are helpful to town


This case is pretty bad. The singlemindedness with which you push hopeless without any thought for how he could have town motivations for his actions is pretty suspicious...
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