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Newbie Mini Mafia XXX - Page 79

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Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 07 2012 12:55 GMT
#1561
@ Clarity

You have played well. I've found you because you were too neutral and because you have reacted aggressivly to my advice on your list. Cheese claim was unfortunate for everybody and you should have not commented at that time.

And you were too much of a punching ball under my pressure. Townies are usually indignated under pressure.
If you had claimed VT when Rad was hard defending you (just before or.just after my claim), I think I would have entered a period of doubts.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 07 2012 13:37 GMT
#1562
I would like to nominate Cheese as town MVP for his nicely timed claim...
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-07 14:22:47
November 07 2012 13:44 GMT
#1563
Djodref, much as I love my newbies having their posting hats on, 9 consecutive posts may be a little too much...

[image loading]
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
November 07 2012 13:58 GMT
#1564
I woke up some time ago, was worried for a while about everyone asking me to claim for seemingly no reason, then the post I made during the clusterfuck, then relief at the Gem from Clarity about being cop.

Clarity is most likely lying, as I do not think there would be a second Cop.

The reason for that is that I'm cop. I knew that Djod was telling the truth about roleblocking me last night, but I wasn't sure how "sure" I could be about his roleclaim being correct. I know I was because I did not get a result. I investigated Obzy last night because I was worried about him having such a strong town read on both me and Rad(who I at the time thought was town). My terrible crumb for that claim can be found here: + Show Spoiler +
On November 06 2012 07:03 Alsn wrote:
Ok, just would like to say that I've been looking over Clarity and Djodref today.

I feel like Clarity has a good chance of being town. He tried to break up the fight between debears and Rad over the percentage, he made a case against debears at a time where I thought myself that debears might be scum. I don't get the feeling that he's only trying to stay consistent. If he was worried about that I don't think he would have jumped on Cheese for the claim as hard as he did. Since a scum Clarity would have known that Cheese was town, I'd be much more suspicious of him if he chickened out and voted debears in order to stay consistent. Instead he attacked Cheese pretty hard for claiming, something which was sure to bring him a lot of attention seeing as he would have known how the Cheese lynch would end.

I'm however not as sure about Djod. He's definitely acting like I would expect a town Djod to act(acting like Clarity has "lost" the game and should just reveal his partner and stuff like that definitely fits with town Djod from XXVIII. I also don't see why he would ask about scum mechanics(framer mechanics, specifically) out in the open if he was scum. Nor why he would attack Cheese(who a scum Djod would know was town) for joking.

All those things considered, I find most of his accusations to be really empty, like he's looking for "excuses" to attack someone, rather than actually considering their motives. He attacks sylver for vote pressuring, something which Cheese pointed out and that I commended him for, but I dismissed it later because I was thinking "nah, that's just Djod!". His case against Clarity then accuses clarity of blending in and not following up on his reads. Yet Clarity actually gave pretty convincing answers for why he hadn't done so. He kept saying he was going to make a case in the latter half of D1, he did. He had also stated that well before Djod made his case against him. The latter half of Djod's case against Clarity is seeing ghosts where there are none. He accuses Clarity of denying making a list but the post Djod quotes says nothing of the sort.

I'm suspecting maybe there's some confirmation bias shenanigans going on here, but I can see where Cheese was coming from with regards to how hard it is to read Djod. That being said, if there aren't any other scummy looking people tomorrow, Djod is looking like my vote is best placed for now.

I haven't yet looked into sylver very much since the beginning half of D1, but we have two days. I'm thinking I might need to look at Obzy next, or possibly Rad as I don't have much other than that I like their posting so far. And I'd also like it if da0ud answered my question from earlier today. With that, I feel like things need to start rolling again before I know for sure who I want to lynch tomorrow.

I'm off to sleep, although I can check in after I finish watching the DS9 episode I'm currently watching if anyone wants to know something.

Unfortunately, I didn't really expect that I wouldn't be able to breadcrumb my result and that was the best I could come up with for my good night post. I investigated him because I thought he'd be the least likely of being framed, and because I knew if there was a possible framer, a green check was more reliable than a red check. I also read in Ace's vigi/cop guide that investigating "lynch bait" was bad form, so I went with the highest scum read I had at the time that was in no danger of being lynched.

However, I have a breadcrumb for my actual role.
On November 05 2012 10:17 Alsn wrote:
This flavour... I feel like I'm part of a snut film or some weird fanfic.

But well, that truly sucks, I seriously hoped I was actually right because this is a pretty shitty situation. It would have been way better if people had been forced to actually vote for someone with reasoning other than pretty much the entire wagon sheeping. That being said, I'm confident that there's something of value among all these votes and the chaos pre-lynch. That'll have to wait for tomorrow however as I really need to be getting some sleep.
Snut = Swedish slang for cop, snut film = cop movie. Go google translate swedish -> english and type "snut" if you'd like. Djod, thanks for the inspiration as it's outright plagiarism of your XXVIII claim.

I was pretty worried that Djod was on the wrong track with Clarity when I went to bed last night. Suffice to say, I'm not any longer.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 07 2012 14:04 GMT
#1565
lol roleblock fail

sorry Alsn
sorry debears

Alsn roleclaim is legit btw the way, we share the extra info in common but I have failed to see it N1
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
November 07 2012 14:06 GMT
#1566
Will continue reading the last couple of pages now, just saw the claim post from Clarity and felt like I should counter-claim sooner rather than later. With Rad already outing me as a blue I the only way I see of actually getting any more investigations off is if Djod manages to block scum at night.

Unfortunately, I think the claim was bait to get me to claim due to scum seeing Clarity as a lost cause but things being as they were I didn't want to risk Clarity getting away. I guess I'll just have to be happy with being a glorified VT.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
November 07 2012 14:09 GMT
#1567
Djod, I'm a little worried that you are getting ahead of yourself however. In my mind the second scum isn't confirmed in the slightest. Heck, up until Clarity's claim, I wasn't even sure he was scum yet.

I will need to leave for a couple of hours soon, but I'll only be gone for max two hours and then I'll be around until lynch.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
November 07 2012 14:09 GMT
#1568
On November 07 2012 21:49 Djodref wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2012 14:40 sylverfyre wrote:
No surprises here. Nothing he's said has absolved him. And I have no reason to doubt Djo's alignment (though I still reserve the right to doubt his strategy calls - as risky as it was to claim, it worked. Well.

##Vote Clarity

Sorry I haven't been very active today. It's kinda my birthday and I had a really long day (I'm sure a few of you noticed the icon on me while server was on November 6)

da0ud, are you saying I'm preferred based on WIFOM that rad is more associated with clarity, therefore it ISN'T Rad? I attacked clarity pretty much right after the lynch Day 1.


You can detect a scum bussing his partner here because sylverfyre shows absolutely no doubt about Clarity alignment.
But sylver play was very scummy anyway. Active lurking, low investment in the game, poor scumhunting. Almost too scummy to be scum...

Clarity should have bussed him D1 imho...

I'm a bit offended by the "active lurking" part. Until yesterday I was plenty active. Yesterday I was pretty well convinced that Clarity was scum, every time I peek at the thread, Djo is still going crazy and Clarity is still scummy, and I still don't know where the second scum is. Yesterday was MY BRITHDAY.

A lot of my scumhunting has been criticizing people for using questionable tactics. Questionable tactics are a great way for scum to hide while looking like they're being effective townies, I see no problem with using it as a way to scumhunt.
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
November 07 2012 14:15 GMT
#1569
On November 07 2012 21:49 Djodref wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2012 14:40 sylverfyre wrote:
No surprises here. Nothing he's said has absolved him. And I have no reason to doubt Djo's alignment (though I still reserve the right to doubt his strategy calls - as risky as it was to claim, it worked. Well.

##Vote Clarity

Sorry I haven't been very active today. It's kinda my birthday and I had a really long day (I'm sure a few of you noticed the icon on me while server was on November 6)

da0ud, are you saying I'm preferred based on WIFOM that rad is more associated with clarity, therefore it ISN'T Rad? I attacked clarity pretty much right after the lynch Day 1.


You can detect a scum bussing his partner here because sylverfyre shows absolutely no doubt about Clarity alignment.
But sylver play was very scummy anyway. Active lurking, low investment in the game, poor scumhunting. Almost too scummy to be scum...

Clarity should have bussed him D1 imho...

You also showed absolutely no doubt about his alignment. You want to know what I found damning?
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
November 07 2012 14:15 GMT
#1570
And oh my god @marv edit. Sorry, I just had to. Djodref Potter, master wizardposter indeed.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
November 07 2012 14:19 GMT
#1571
I'll also point out you aren't flaming anyone else for being sure about Clarity. Why me? I was posting about him early, but one of the last ones to vote because I wasn't sure and your arguments don't make sense to me.
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
November 07 2012 14:31 GMT
#1572
On November 05 2012 12:05 sylverfyre wrote:
So. Cheesecake does his flavor-roleclaim. Who follows? Clarity's the first to really manipulate people into looking at him favorably. (when he had looked bad all game)
FOS: Clarity
Debears is involved as well, but he doesn't make much of it for a bit - he sits back and lets it play out. He's not for or against it. It's not until Rad warns about dropping blue targets that debears backs off.
FOS Debears.
Strong Town read on Rad.


Shortly after night 1 started.

I was targetting Clarity here because knowingly manipulated cheesecake into "confirming" him as VT based on flavor.

I don't understand your arguments about flavor between you and Clarity today at ALL though. I really would rather throw these flavor arguments out the window because it's pretty clear to me at this point that marv has no intention of flavor being a mechanic for outing people this game, and I've thought this since he posted that everyone has the VT flavor PM. I also think it's perfectly reasonable for Clarity, who got modkilled last game, to PM marv with all the rules questions he possibly could have.
This has 0 effect on my scum read on Clarity.

A big thing which pushed me over the edge is how he is defending himself before his roleclaim with "why should I claim?" - I think that's something a real town player - especially a blue - would decide for themselves, rather than let their accuser make a case for why they should claim. On the other hand, I think I have perfectly normal motivations for why I was trying to get Djo to stop calling for a claim.

As for why I asked Djo to stop calling for a claim - I'm sitting on the sidelines here. It was pretty clear to see that Clarity claiming blue, fake OR real, means that both our blues are out in the open. 9 player games typically have 2 mafia 2 blue (I run them IRL all the time, and that's what I run with, anyway. Obviously it's different and I don't know the setup, but I have no reason to believe that there's 3 blue.)

As for who I think is scummy? I'm thinking it's Obzy or da0ud. Rad still seems genuine to me, Alsn counterclaimed the way he was forced to.
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
November 07 2012 14:54 GMT
#1573
I gotta leave for those two hours I was talking about pretty soon. But I'd like to point out that there's a pretty easy way to proceed once Clarity flips red. Djod blocks someone he thinks is the last scum(and tells us, last minute I think is best, since he could theoretically be blocking a town who got attacked, although I'd say the chances of that are slim to none), if Djod or someone else dies, whoever Djod blocked is guaranteed to be town. If no one dies, we have less information, but we have a prime lynch candidate because even if the last scum "faked" not killing anyone, we get another chance at having Djod block is top scum read the next night, and so on, until we find the real scum.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
November 07 2012 15:03 GMT
#1574
Kinda wish you let djo come to his own conclusion on that. Now scum knows the Night action plan too. Though I guess if Djo doesn't like it, the scum ends up in a WIFOM situation trying to outsmart the blue powers?
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
November 07 2012 15:09 GMT
#1575
On November 08 2012 00:03 sylverfyre wrote:
Kinda wish you let djo come to his own conclusion on that. Now scum knows the Night action plan too. Though I guess if Djo doesn't like it, the scum ends up in a WIFOM situation trying to outsmart the blue powers?
"Plan"? What in my statement was anywhere complicated enough that it constitutes a "plan"? I don't see any scenario where trying to "catch" the last scum with the JK roleblock is anything but the optimal strategy, known or not. Trying to protect anyone from being killed when you also have a roleblock attached is silly imho. Going after someone who's scummy(and revealing the name) is by far the best option. If he hits scum, scum can't NK or frame or roleblock at all that night. If he doesn't, the entire thread gains information equal to a cop check with only one exception, if scum decides not to kill anyone. It's a win-win.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
November 07 2012 15:09 GMT
#1576
Anyway, I'm off now. See you all in ~two hours.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 07 2012 15:27 GMT
#1577
@ marv

I lol'd

Sorry I was phone posting and very excited ^^
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
November 07 2012 15:33 GMT
#1578
Djo, reply to me not marv ;o;
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 07 2012 15:33 GMT
#1579
On November 07 2012 23:15 sylverfyre wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2012 21:49 Djodref wrote:
On November 07 2012 14:40 sylverfyre wrote:
No surprises here. Nothing he's said has absolved him. And I have no reason to doubt Djo's alignment (though I still reserve the right to doubt his strategy calls - as risky as it was to claim, it worked. Well.

##Vote Clarity

Sorry I haven't been very active today. It's kinda my birthday and I had a really long day (I'm sure a few of you noticed the icon on me while server was on November 6)

da0ud, are you saying I'm preferred based on WIFOM that rad is more associated with clarity, therefore it ISN'T Rad? I attacked clarity pretty much right after the lynch Day 1.


You can detect a scum bussing his partner here because sylverfyre shows absolutely no doubt about Clarity alignment.
But sylver play was very scummy anyway. Active lurking, low investment in the game, poor scumhunting. Almost too scummy to be scum...

Clarity should have bussed him D1 imho...

You also showed absolutely no doubt about his alignment. You want to know what I found damning?


@ Sylver

Are you accusing me to be scum ?

I've never said I was 100% sure of myself before his claim. Maybe I've said 95%...
As I've said, we have extra info (Alsn and me) to know for sure that blue Clarity was impossible.

Anyway, argue all the way you want, you are my next "tunnel to the death" target and you are spending your night in jail.
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
November 07 2012 15:36 GMT
#1580
Fine by me, if I spend my night in jail I can prove myself clean and still be alive. We'll have 3 players alive, at most 1 will die, you can jail another tomorrow night and we'll have 2 confirmed townies or a confirmed scum 3player LyLo. I think we're guaranteed a town victory at this point regardless of what you think about me.
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