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Newbie Mini Mafia XXVI - Page 4

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 06 2012 23:33 GMT
#572
If you do flip green and xatalos does come back however that puts a really bad light on drazak kreb and killing (as he will be the inactive/active not saying much person) Also if we go with the fact that kreb and killing defended each other and both jumped on stutters. Also he admits to giving to much town creed to drazak who would be the third in this party. Not much hope for any lynch changes but I may as well start researching now. Also this makes me second guess the xatalos lynch vote.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 06 2012 23:33 GMT
#573
But not in favour of kville that said I don't have enough to go for anyone else.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 06 2012 23:48 GMT
#577
I am hypothetical again don’t mind me... However if kville does flip red then kreb is free in a way. However just from looking at his posts and everyone has the opinion he is town (it seems) so, that said most people have the same opinion about kreb and he has been acting townish with ok analysis all game.

Also the change to kush is really really odd. Looks like not wanting to be connected to the lynch, nobody has votes on kush that is a day 3 case if anything.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 00:00 GMT
#579
Well before your death can you explian why your posting has been so bad for the most part?
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 00:03 GMT
#580
Actually I am begining to think both xatalos and kville are town.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 00:14 GMT
#582
Well with the way things have been pushed... I am jumping the gun but I think it was something in krebs filter. I will have to recheck and wait for him to go on his weekend to see his posting to be sure however as I have an assigment due today that I have to ace.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 00:35 GMT
#584
Well most people think he is town, myself kush you now (maybe sonic as well). The only problem is if xatalos does flip town we are screwed. and kville doesn't seem to think xatalos is scum or do you?
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 00:37 GMT
#586
Because if kville doesn't think xatalos is town then may as well just vote for k-pop as we get mroe information. however if he does thing he is scum (and I mean actually thing that remember play for the town even if it means your life) then we should lynch xatalos. Also will he keep his recent posting?
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 00:38 GMT
#587
Yeah exactly he is playing for the town seeing xatalos as town (if he flips red then lynch xatols)
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 00:48 GMT
#588
In other words we messed up this lynch horribly (assuming he flips green) I guess I will just wait the 10 minutes to be sure.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 00:58 GMT
#590
Haha I know right.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 01:11 GMT
#596
On September 07 2012 10:06 kushm4sta wrote:
Well at least he was a miller...


Well mafia could role claim cop and go herp derp I though he was scum. (although I would assume there is a bread crumb) I have to admit I am very annoyed at kush sheeping but I think he is town. Need to look into drazak killing and kreb. xatalos is almost freed due to the kville flip with kville saying he is town (honest intentions at least and he did have reasons) Kreb maybe not as much as drazak and killing though. With the flip puts killing in a worse light and I am sure stutters agrees as he was his second scum read.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 01:12 GMT
#597
But I need to get this assigment done so I am peacing out till night. (lol as if... but I should anyway)
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 01:41 GMT
#599
Hey I am back! ...

On September 07 2012 10:18 kushm4sta wrote:
@ jacob
yeah I sheeped because I didn't see anyone else that people would agree on. There was no other bandwagon that would work. And yeah I could have voted for someone else but that vote would have done nothing but given me "i told ya so" rights after the fact.


yeah I know this is why I think you are town. I just think you limited the voting group a little to much trying to get a lynch. (before thie voting got going)


On September 07 2012 10:18 kushm4sta wrote:
Also how the f does this clear xatalos? Just because kville said xatalos is town does not make it so. I really fail to see your reasoning with that. Kville is not some expert analyst. He's a borderline troll who voted for himself d1. His playstyle is distinctly antitown. I would not want to be in another game that he is in.


No that is true. But I think he is more town than killing is. I guess I jumped on the fact he promised to post more on the weekend and assumed he was town without time to make his reads as solid. Where as killing is un-commital and stuff. In my opinion then we should still look at xatalos but just not as much due to recent events. Well we should watch him anyway. I'll post a big thing on it tonight in anycase before the nk happens.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 09:37 GMT
#605
Sorry to say Kush is known for his OMGUS-mode I will post a big thing later with my reads and stuff but I don't think this is any reason to suspect him. I Think Kush is town as probably evident if my recent posts.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 10:51 GMT
#608
Mafia
Drazak (although need to give it a little more thought)
Killingtime

On the Fence
Xatalos
Stutters
Kreb (I feel he should be town but I haven't given it much though going to do that later)

Town
Sonic
Iamcasey
Kush
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 11:56 GMT
#611
On September 07 2012 20:36 Kreb wrote:
How can people have townreads on imcasey? Actually, how can people have any reads on him? He isnt doing more than his predecessor WeeTee. One weak case on Xatalos and barely posting.

He is an absolute nullread. Which, considering we'll soon be down to 8 players, more and more looks mafia-ish.


Yeah cause our thing of lynching lurkers has worked out so well for us. Or wait no it hasn't... we should lynch someone we can actually find a scum slip on not someone who is convenient.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 11:56 GMT
#612
Also if you check back in my filter I give my reasons for town read on imcasey/WeeTee
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 14:01 GMT
#618
This is a large post but it has been cut into sections of Defense of Imcasey, defense on stutters, case on killing, case on drazak. I will save Kreb for another time as it would be too long otherwise. I just hope the formating works.

Ok this is the start of a very long post as of such I will try to be as clear and concise as possible.

Kreb you missed a large section of my argument for why WeeTee Imcasey is town. First off I will show you the backstory. If you look at WeeTees first posts it includes this.
On September 02 2012 21:19 WeeTee wrote:
Good to see you here @jacob should be a good game this time!


It is evident that he and I know each other. Why else would he single me out? In other words I know how he plays. I know his meta better than anybody in this thread. Also watching his last mafia game he has used the exact same play style. Now you mention that it isn’t an imcasey read it’s a WeeTee read. Yes but they are the same person. It’s as if you put someone with multiple personalities in the thread but they are the same person. If I am 99% sure WeeTee is town I can assume that translates over to imcasey. Also there are plenty of reasons for the less posting style. With him having to leave this means he was unlikely to be able to form cases day one. Also with the replacement going into his first game a day in so much to read and this would also contribute to the lack of posting.
I will post the part you missed about my argument for WeeTee.

On September 05 2012 19:22 JacobStrangelove wrote:
I probably should point out that part of the reason I had a town read for WeeTee is that I happen to know his style (see his first post where he mentions it’s good to see me) and it reeks of town. With this (although he may have fooled me) I thought Xatatos read of WeeTee when Stutters was available strange. Also with killing he is sceptical of “meta” reads

Show nested quote +
On September 03 2012 23:57 KillingTime wrote:
My point was that I did not think your town reads added much to the thread, partly because I am very sceptical of "meta" reads at this point given that we all have 3 or less games.

Sure but its more information, that can only be helpful. If WeeTee fits his meta (he does) and he fits the meta I know he is unlikely to be scum. This and the fact that he had to leave due to time problems(although that may have been after my time line is a little messed up) then surely stutters were a better lynch.

While the argument in context might be a little out of date the facts about WeeTee remain the same.

Also there is this from kville (he was talking to xatalos at the time), while kville was a little trolish you can’t tell me this doesn’t make sense.
On September 05 2012 22:55 Kville wrote:
Well WeeTee Did get replaced which could be the reason why he was playing so "safe" and conservative. He badnwagoned to avoid a modkill in order to fulfill the replacement, so it seems. The fact that there is little to no evidence other than "he was playing safe" doesn't really seem like a sure vote to go for, unless you are trying for another mislynch. You vote and leave the first day and you do it again the second time. It seems like your strategy seems to be "POP" then lurk. which seems a bit suspicious.


And finally we have nothing proven scum against him. I am sure if we examine the filters of people we can come up with a far better target. Non of this let’s backup vote imcasey stuff, that just makes it more likely the scum will spread confusion and force us to vote for him.

Now I would also like to point out this.
On September 07 2012 15:09 KillingTime wrote:
... well that is annoying. I agree that the reason that we ended up with a Xatalos v Kville situation was because we were all accusing each other. I said at the start of the day I really hoped that we could come up with a better lynch target.. but we did not. Scum have succeeded in thoroughly bamboozling me I have to say. I will look into the thread this evening and I'll be happy to answer questions from those who have suspicions of me.


After the flip Kush and I immediately analyse it talk about it start making reads etc... Kililng comes in and makes a “annoyed post” and also says he is bamboozled and says he is happy to answer questions about himself. He makes no mention of scum hunting. Why? Because he doesn’t need to hunt scum, he is scum. This is another fluff post saying he is confused. Surely he would have an opinion on what happened. He says so much however his major posts are lists and he is very non committal. Surely someone else sees this! While my arguments up until this points haven’t been the clearest if you think I am town why do you think I hardly left Killings side. Intuition has to could for something and it has.

He was not able to answer why he was so non committal his only reply was
On September 07 2012 00:01 KillingTime wrote:
First, if you feel I have been non-committal or weak in my play then I can only apologise and say this is my first game and I am definitely learning as I go. That is not an excuse, but it is the most likely explanation for "weak" town play on my part. I think Kreb, Drazak & Sonic are town, everyone else I am currently suspicious of.


This is not really a reply, for me it is an excuse that anybody could use. Also his case on stutters is due to kush/xatalos pushing the conversation away from him. His one major non listed case was based on association.
On September 06 2012 17:02 KillingTime wrote:
Ok, having re-read through a bunch of filters today I think we should lynch Stutters695 - Yes his posting/lurking has been/is reason enough to lynch him. But, reading back through filters there has been way to much redirection of discussion away from him as a good lynch - particularly from kush.
...
Now, this does not mean that both Kush & Xatalos are mafia if stutters flips - but that is WAY too much subtle redirecting of a target for me. Stutters is as scummy as anyone at this point, if he flips we will have some strong targets for d3.
If we lynch him and he is not mafia, town is in a bad spot - but we are in a bad spot regardless of who we lynch if they flip and are not mafia (kreb has convinced me of this with his case against kville that there is no point not going for lurkers.).


I would also like to point out that kush seems to be following his meta as well. Admittedly meta talk in a newbie game is a little hard but you would think rolling scum would mess with how they would act. Also if you notice stutters filter and replies I will tell you why he is likely town.

He did have a slow start day one. Considering drazak kville weetee cubu all had slow day one starts two who are confirmed town and one who I pointed out seems confirmed town to me this is no reason for a scum read. What you should look at is the quality and logical reasoning in his filter. You should read the whole post but in particular.

On September 06 2012 18:28 Stutters695 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2012 17:02 KillingTime wrote:
I think kville is not a terrible lynch. But Stutters is better and more scummy, and throws alot of suspicions on others who seem to have been redirecting a/the serious Stutters wagon so far...

Please explain what part of my play has been more scummy than someone who has been trolling the thread and not contributed anything?
##FoS Killing Time
I need to go through his filter but this isn't the first time he hasn't taken a stance on issues while posting "reads" that don't actually commit longterm.


While kville did show up as town in the lynch he was an easy lynch, scum would want to lynch the slightly harder targets so they have a free win by the time they get to end game. For example if we lynched stutters it would be easy to convince town to lynch kville. If anything if we spent another day with him in the game we would have been frustrated into lynching him.

Also he returns fire on killing time and is way more active engaged asking questions giving responces. He questions kush and drazak on the issues and responds on a manner I can only call logical. His filter isn’t filled with fluff so I suggest you read it for yourself as everything he says comes across in a pro town questioning way.


Now I am going to transition to drazak.
His vote on kush only caused confusion and was purely a slug fest with no real reasoning behind it. After being “caught out” as such by kville and stutters plus the kush argument he backs out and doesn’t comment. He hardly provides good reasons for his mistakes, Also he has a bad habit of calling kville useless. However enough of that I will provide posts and reasons.



On September 06 2012 18:03 drazak wrote:
My accusation wasn't out of nowhere, I made a read based on what happened, I reasoned, carefully. I saw that Kush wasn't scumhunting day 1. If you're not scumhunting, you're not furthering town, if you're not furthering town... you're mafia. I then saw kush slipped by overreacting to me. Feel free to poke holes in my actual reasoning instead of calling me scum for making a reasoned accusation.


Kush wasn’t scum hunting day one? I’m a freaking unicycling unicorn. First his Kush isn’t scum hunting read is based on this.

On September 05 2012 11:55 drazak wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2012 03:01 kushm4sta wrote:
Why town should all vote for cuba

Worst case scenario:he flips green
No big deal, we lynched the worst townie (barring WeeTee whose behavior fits his meta like a glove, and kville who is being replaced). From his posts it's clear he has no intention of contributing more than he is already, which is nothing. Plus that would give thrawn some serious town points in my book, since he refuses to vote for him. Thrawn is good for town atmosphere and very active. It would be quite useful to our scumhunt if we could trust thrawn.

Best case scenario: he is mafia
If Cuba is mafia, I think there is a very high chance that thrawn is also mafia. In which case we will know 2 mafia first day and basically win the game.
People who are specifically against lynching cuba: cuba, thrawn.
People who have voted for or accused drazak: cuba, thrawn.
Twice now thrawn has attempted to redirect the lynch vote away from cuba onto somebody else.
Thrawn says he won't vote for cuba because unlike stutters, cuba has participated in the scumhunt. By scumhunt you mean his failed attempt to bandwagon drazak with you?

We need three more votes on cuba.


I'm bringing this post, and Kushm4sta into suspiscion. It seemed like you didn't actually think Cubu was mafia. Your reasoning (and lack there of) makes it clear that you weren't voting because you thought Cubu was mafia, but because you thought there was a slim chance of it and that then Thrawn would be a townie. T I think you might be mafia trying to lead town into bad lynches.

Why would you vote people who you don't think are mafia if you're town? I think you're mafia, Kush.
##Vote Kushm4sta

But then his day one post was this
On September 03 2012 21:24 drazak wrote:
My best read is cubu. He's tried to throw suspiscion, he stopped posting when he had nobody to lay thin accusations on. Cubu has posted only with low content, low value posts, he hasn't had any real reads other than discussing statistics and how afk I was. I think Cubu isn't a great D1 lynch though, which is why he doesn't currently have my vote, if he continues to have such low content posts tomorrow, he will certainly have my vote. Cubu is someone we can try to analyze tomorrow and figure out if he really is mafia, we can't analyze kville, and if we wait to lynch kville it's not going to get better, we don't even have a baseline for him.

To that point, I'm someone you can analyze D2, you have several posts by me, with fairly decent content. Even if kville isn't mafia, he isn't helping anyone. In addition, I felt that going for cubu would just be bandwagoning at this point, which as town doesn't help me at all, espescially considering I do have my own unique thoughts, which I have shared with everyone.

The whole “even if kville isn’t mafia he isn’t helping anyone” isn’t this the same thing? They are both talking about lynching the worst townie however drazak covers himself better (something a scum would do over a town) refering to the bandwagon and trying to convince people he is town by pointing out he is town not just assuming everyone knows he is town. “which as town doesn't help me at all” This would be obvious if he was town.

Anyway these are my thoughts on Drazak.
Because of the lengh of this post I will save Krebs analises for my next post probably (if I find anything) My intuitive thoughts are “he has seemed town but he is saying some strange stuff that I need to look into.”




JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
September 07 2012 15:43 GMT
#620
Well I have looked at krebs filter and honeslty I have nothing. He seems so completely town to me, the only thing that is odd is his frustrations regarding the kville thing

On September 07 2012 07:40 Kreb wrote:
Im barely reading this thread anymore since Kville came back. Its all just a shitfest last 2 pages. Cant we just put the thread on hold until he gets kicked out and resume after?

(however this would be unlikely to be said my mafia now that I think about it)

and the fact he missed my case on imcasey. This guy seems as town as you get. I guess I should recheck sonic and xatalos and even kush while I am at it (although considering my scum reads I find this unlikely). But I strongly Suggest from my post above either a kililng or drazak lynch. It's 1 am though and I need to sleep for the morning so I must depart now. Although if I can't sleep I might be back.

Just incase I die in the night before I post sonic seems more town than xatalos but he seems to also have it out for me.
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