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Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 00:08 GMT
#1158
If I die tonight, again: cop check Lvdr, lynch IamP. Please. Thank you.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 03:25 GMT
#1163
On August 28 2012 12:19 Bluelightz wrote:
I got... RBed!


Someone step forward and claim RB N1, or else BL will need to be cop checked
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 03:26 GMT
#1164
On August 28 2012 12:18 iamperfection wrote:
well might as well get this started

## Vote Djagulingu

Nothing he says make sense to me.

His arguments all rest on the idea that voting patterns is the be all end all of discussion. I find this to be unture and he is simply try to link players in order to get more mis lynches. The scum have perfect information when they make votes they can influence where they position themselves in regards to other players. Djagulingu arguments make no sense therfore i read this
Show nested quote +
On August 27 2012 06:45 Djagulingu wrote:
Lvdr lynch will give a big time info to us. If he flips scum, we're good. If he is townie, then we have all the reasons to suspect Chezinu.

as a scum slip.


DJ already explained his scum association theory pretty well. Do you have any additional arguments against him?
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 03:29 GMT
#1165
On August 28 2012 11:02 Kville wrote:
Is it safe to accuse VE or his replacement becuase of this 'no kill'? or is scum just not paying attention?


There are three scum. Doubt that one of them did not attempt a NK.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 03:43 GMT
#1166
A couple possibilities with the Daypost:

1) Scum did not use their KP.
2) Scum used their KP but JK jailed a scum.
3) Scum used their KP but JK jailed their target.
4) Scum used their KP but medic healed the target.

I'm still kind of new at this, so I'm not going to hazard a guess as to which scenario is most likely. You should all form your own conclusions on this.

However, I will say that today should be a day in which we center on 2 lynch candidates, at most, by the end of 24 hours. We need to avoid a repeat of the D2 no-lynch.

My first case will be on IamP.

I think he has actively lurked throughout D1, and also sheeped onto the Obv vote D1 and started the DJ train moving against Lvdr D2. I find both behaviors scummy. His continued attacks on DJ using the same line of logic that he used in last nights post further adds to my suspicion, since DJ already addressed the accusation.

##Vote IamPerfection

I would also like to FoS Lvdr and Marv. I think Lvdr has not adequately addressed the suspicions re: sheeping the D1 mislynch, nor has he contributed as actively to scumhunting as he could be capable of (anyone who is interested may check out his Newbie XXV filter, for example.)

As for Marv, something feels off about all his cases thus far. I can't really pin it down, but with every one of his cases, I get the feeling that he's arguing to our prejudices rather than basing his analysis on a read of the facts. I haven't yet seen him put out a case on someone where someone hasn't already accused his target before. I sense a bit of hesitancy, almost like a turtle afraid to stick its neck out. While mild, it's a scumtell nonetheless, and when coupled with his suspicious leading of the BL switching, makes me eager to pressure him.

FoS Lvdr
FoS Marvellosity
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 03:58 GMT
#1167
Also, we should give whoever is VE's replacement the benefit of the doubt over the coming day. With that being said though, could I have everyone give their read on VE right now, before the replacement comes in?
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 15:36 GMT
#1211
IamP, what's your read on Chez? Not DJ or anyone else, just Chez.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 16:14 GMT
#1215
On August 29 2012 00:40 iamperfection wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2012 00:36 Shady Sands wrote:
IamP, what's your read on Chez? Not DJ or anyone else, just Chez.

He is a troll so I dont know.

That's it?
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 18:13 GMT
#1219
On August 29 2012 02:48 talismania wrote:
No response?

I don't think I'm reading this wrong. dj claimed after being asked to explain the post that apparently got him in trouble that he partly intended for it to be part of a trap (hence, "bait"). But I don't know what the actual intended trap was, except that he claims later that the same post accidentally allowed him to detect bandwagonners since it created a bandwagon on him. None of it makes sense. I understand looking at people who bandwagon. But I don't understand how that post is possibly "baiting" a bandwagon if the person he was interested in (Chez) was already on that wagon.


So you've got a scum read on DJ then?
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 18:56 GMT
#1223
On August 29 2012 03:28 Chezinu wrote:
my list:

1.) marvellosity
2.) talismania
3.) Lvdr
8.) Djagulingu
10.) Kville
11.) Miltonkram

so far I think almost everyone is comfortable saying bluelight is town? Add in that I believe shady is innocent along with iamperfection and you get the above list. So now, let everyone highlight 3 names on that list that they think are mafia like this:

1.) marvellosity
2.) talismania
3.) Lvdr
8.) Djagulingu
10.) Kville
11.) Miltonkram


Why do you have a town read on IamP?
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 19:18 GMT
#1224
On August 29 2012 03:50 talismania wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2012 03:13 Shady Sands wrote:
On August 29 2012 02:48 talismania wrote:
No response?

I don't think I'm reading this wrong. dj claimed after being asked to explain the post that apparently got him in trouble that he partly intended for it to be part of a trap (hence, "bait"). But I don't know what the actual intended trap was, except that he claims later that the same post accidentally allowed him to detect bandwagonners since it created a bandwagon on him. None of it makes sense. I understand looking at people who bandwagon. But I don't understand how that post is possibly "baiting" a bandwagon if the person he was interested in (Chez) was already on that wagon.


So you've got a scum read on DJ then?


I had one before and still do. I was hoping to get some reaction from him before jumping down his throat or anything though.


Got it.

Alright town it's getting close to that 24 hour deadline now. I'd like everyone to make cases on one or two people and post them before Midnight EDT (sometime in the next nine hours.)

Lurkers will get priority on any lynch/vigi lists I draw up. Move it.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 21:04 GMT
#1234
On August 29 2012 06:01 Chezinu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2012 05:24 Djagulingu wrote:

Sorry to say but he's bandwagoning for 2 days of game time without providing reasons. He bandwagoned on Obvious, then Lvdr, then me. After bandwagoning on me on D2, I'm only 8th in his list in D3. Some things don't make sense here.


Read my filter. If you really want reasons so bad, I will tell you. Palmar is known to be a great player as well as VE. They were really the only two people I focused on during day 1. If any one was going to get lynched, it was suspects chosen by one of the two. We end up trying to lynch lvdr first. He was one of my first suspects. Then I saw VE defending him and accused VE. Palmar comes into the thread suspecting obvious. Knowing Palmar had a talent of finding scum I voted obvious along with him. I had suspicions at the time that mafia was trying to get a no lynch because the votes were so spread out. So, I tried to get people to consolidate their vote. No one was voting obvious, so I think I might have switch to lvdr after that - I don't fully recall, you can check if you want. I know I was busy in RL at the time and disappeared for a while. When I came back somehow everyone was voting bluelight - I don't recall the reason. To aviod a no lynch, I jumped on board. Then blue was acting as if he was already dead. I remember writing in the thread that I thought it wasn't insta lynch - which I ended up being right. Blue has an ephany and realizes that he wasn't dead and posts a document calling almost everyone town. It was funny and we all laughed. Then we realized that mafia would never let one of their own members do something so foolish. So we decided to switch after the realization that everyone was actively lurking (we could see how many people viewed the document). So we jumped on to Palmar's suspect, Obvious. Cause Palmar had the best chance of catching scum. Unfortunately, obvious was town. Then mafia killed Palmar, who was the most towniest of all of us. It reminded me of when WBG died in my last game (however this reference is meaningless this game cause VE is no longer playing and no one will get my references), Now for Day 2...day 2 is kind of a blurr to me. I do remember voting lvdr to finally try to get him to flip. I come back at the end of the day and no one was voting for lvdr. However there was 3 votes on you (Dj), two of which were Iamperfection and Shady. Two people I trust to be town - they both have defended me. Mafia would never defend a troll like me. Most mafia would actually do the opposite and try and get me lynched. From experience, I am inclined to trust them. There happy, I responded to you!

Holy crap the troll actually responded decently.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 28 2012 23:06 GMT
#1241
On August 29 2012 07:45 Miltonkram wrote:
Hey all, I've been busy ever since I replaced in and I'll be leaving for work in a few minutes. Once I get back from work tonight I'll do my best to get caught up on the game and give you guys my reads. With that I'll leave you with my standard intro.

First things first, here is a list of games I've played in and links to my filters from those games. I start all my games with a list like this because it helps me improve. If I'm scum, I have to avoid playing closely to my scum meta. If I'm town, I put pressure on myself to make good reads. The list is spoilered so as not to take up space.
+ Show Spoiler +
NMM XIV: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=337671&user=240210
I was a Mafia Goon in this game.

NMM XV: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=340298&user=240210
I was a Vanilla Townie in this game.

NMM XVII: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=344270&user=240210
I was a Mafia Goon in this game.

NMM XVIII: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=345447&user=240210
I replaced into this game. I was a Vanilla Townie.

NMM XIX: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=347856&user=240210
I replaced into this game. I was a Vanilla Townie.

I Can't Believe It's Not Themed MiniMafia: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=351147&user=240210
I was a Vanilla Townie in this game.


What are your reads?
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 29 2012 00:39 GMT
#1243
On August 29 2012 08:18 Lvdr wrote:
I'm back. I was focusing on my other game. Still read along here, but didn't have much jump out at me. Going to do a close reading.


Any reads?
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 29 2012 00:50 GMT
#1244
Lvdr, I'd like to hear an explanation as to why you decided to sheep Marv's wagon for Talis when your read on Talis was the following:

Regarding talis, I would give him no better than a null read. 2 points that stuck out to me.
1. The activity is quite low, and not particularly filled with content. I wouldn't call it downright scummy though.
2. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836&currentpage=25#497
This post latches on to a stretch of a case, complete agreement, no further points made, never revisited beyond his initial AHA moment.


Also, your play in this game is completely different from your town play in XXV. Part of the reason I quit XXV was so that I could clearly call everyone's attention here to your confirmed town play there versus your play here. I would encourage everyone who is still on the fence about Lvdr to see his play there versus his play here:

Lvdr's filter from this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836&user=278119
Lvdr's filter from XXV, where he was confirmed town: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=361579&user=278119

Look at how much more engaged Lvdr is when he plays town--look at how much he sticks around at lynch time and tries to drive a read home rather than going AFK and saying he has to eat, then sheeping other players.

Anyhow, at this point I think lynching him will give us more of a read on a bunch of other players too. I'm going to switch things around.

## Unvote
## Vote Lvdr
## FoS IamP
## FoS Marv


I think he is our best D2 lynch candidate. I will be around tomorrow prior to 2-3 hours prior to lynch time to round up votes.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 29 2012 01:30 GMT
#1247
On August 29 2012 10:14 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2012 09:50 Shady Sands wrote:
Lvdr, I'd like to hear an explanation as to why you decided to sheep Marv's wagon for Talis when your read on Talis was the following:

Regarding talis, I would give him no better than a null read. 2 points that stuck out to me.
1. The activity is quite low, and not particularly filled with content. I wouldn't call it downright scummy though.
2. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836&currentpage=25#497
This post latches on to a stretch of a case, complete agreement, no further points made, never revisited beyond his initial AHA moment.


Also, your play in this game is completely different from your town play in XXV. Part of the reason I quit XXV was so that I could clearly call everyone's attention here to your confirmed town play there versus your play here. I would encourage everyone who is still on the fence about Lvdr to see his play there versus his play here:

Lvdr's filter from this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836&user=278119
Lvdr's filter from XXV, where he was confirmed town: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=361579&user=278119

Look at how much more engaged Lvdr is when he plays town--look at how much he sticks around at lynch time and tries to drive a read home rather than going AFK and saying he has to eat, then sheeping other players.

Anyhow, at this point I think lynching him will give us more of a read on a bunch of other players too. I'm going to switch things around.

## Unvote
## Vote Lvdr
## FoS IamP
## FoS Marv


I think he is our best D2 lynch candidate. I will be around tomorrow prior to 2-3 hours prior to lynch time to round up votes.


Some of this case is actually pretty good. As for the bold, I went digging and found the following. This is around the Day 1 lynch deadline:

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 10:06 Lvdr wrote:
I'm willing to consolodate on obvious, but i dont like tht so many people are afk so close to the deadline. This is pathetic.

##obvious.660


Berating town for being afk. Then on Day 2, we have instead:

Show nested quote +
On August 27 2012 05:17 Lvdr wrote:
##Vote: Talismania

Let's see what happens.


followed by a post a few minutes after. Then not a peep from him in the next 6 or so hours coming up to lynch time. My previous read on him had related to how he was engaged and participating with town (check my filter) and firstly this hasn't been the case recently, and secondly the fairly glaring contradiction above, is making me reconsider. I'm quite conflicted, because quite a lot of his early play was pretty townie. As town knows I didn't think at all his scumslip was a scumslip, and he's been present and active at least some of the time, compared to...

...talis, who still needs to die die die. He's useless and he's never useless as town. He was totally absent for both lynches and seemingly doesn't give a shit who gets lynched.

I outlined the case against iamperfection earlier in the day. What makes me doubt my read is this response to me on the DJ-lingu issue:

Show nested quote +
On August 28 2012 23:45 iamperfection wrote:
marvelosity is smarter than me.

## unvote



Usually scum stick to their guns and don't back down with humility like that. It very much reminds me of Mattchew in Magic Mini backing down and voting for my scumread there (I can dig it out if people really want).

We should really be lynching talismania today. I can't imagine a scenario where he's town. Nothing he's done tells me he might be town.

##Vote: talismania



Here's the thing though--going purely off someone's meta to generate a read on them (when they've been lurky/afk otherwise) is a poor substitute for scumhunting. I trust you probably know that better than I do. Also, what Talis has posted is this:

On August 29 2012 05:47 talismania wrote:
ok dj I understand what you're trying to say but it doesn't hang together.

This is the post that you said later was intended half as bait:

Show nested quote +
On August 27 2012 06:45 Djagulingu wrote:
Lvdr lynch will give a big time info to us. If he flips scum, we're good. If he is townie, then we have all the reasons to suspect Chezinu.


Your claimed trap was to push a lynch on lvdr, who you supposedly think might be scum. if he is, great, if he isn't maybe you can catch people bandwagoning. So far... ok. But at the time you made that post, you already had two people voting behind you. So the actual trap part wasn't this post, it was the part where you voted lvdr. This doesn't contribute to the supposed trap. Instead it sounds like what it probably is: lynch lvdr, if he flips town, lynch chez. In essence, justifying two days of votes at once, which smells like scum. That isn't bait for anything, and calling it that is a clumsy way to recast your actions.


This, after a long discussion with DJ that substantially helped my own read on the whole DJ/Chez/IamP clusterfuck. I'm willing to give benefit of the doubt to his IRL commitments keeping his activity down. As such I think you should join me in voting Lvdr.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 29 2012 02:00 GMT
#1249
On August 29 2012 10:53 marvellosity wrote:
Feigning some contribution day 3 does not mean he's town.

This is my 6th? (maybe 7th) game with talis, so I've probably played with him more than he's played with anyone else on TL Mafia. When I subbed into Mad Men Day 3, I hadn't really read the thread properly yet, but:

Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 07:56 marvellosity wrote:
it was my breadcrumb, donkeyface.

anyway i mostly followed day 1 and kinda tapered off day 2 so have some catching up to do.

my preliminary reads coming in are that talis is town

wbg is scum for his case on grush


and then I didn't wanna lynch him even though he had a red-check on him (he turned out miller). I know a town talis when I see one. The thing is the meta points to him being scum, but in addition he's done jack shit this game. His vote was useless and abandoned day 1, day 2 he only turned up right at the end to sheep. That's scummy play all on its own.


How do you know he's only feigning contribution or not? Instead of looking to quantity, look to quality. Talis' posts really forced Chez and IamP to go straight with their trap/baiting claims on each other. That's very helpful. Look at Lvdr now. Can you honestly say the same?
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 29 2012 02:09 GMT
#1251
On August 29 2012 11:05 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2012 11:00 Shady Sands wrote:
On August 29 2012 10:53 marvellosity wrote:
Feigning some contribution day 3 does not mean he's town.

This is my 6th? (maybe 7th) game with talis, so I've probably played with him more than he's played with anyone else on TL Mafia. When I subbed into Mad Men Day 3, I hadn't really read the thread properly yet, but:

On August 09 2012 07:56 marvellosity wrote:
it was my breadcrumb, donkeyface.

anyway i mostly followed day 1 and kinda tapered off day 2 so have some catching up to do.

my preliminary reads coming in are that talis is town

wbg is scum for his case on grush


and then I didn't wanna lynch him even though he had a red-check on him (he turned out miller). I know a town talis when I see one. The thing is the meta points to him being scum, but in addition he's done jack shit this game. His vote was useless and abandoned day 1, day 2 he only turned up right at the end to sheep. That's scummy play all on its own.


How do you know he's only feigning contribution or not? Instead of looking to quantity, look to quality. Talis' posts really forced Chez and IamP to go straight with their trap/baiting claims on each other. That's very helpful. Look at Lvdr now. Can you honestly say the same?


Yes, I would say overall Lvdr has been more proactive and helpful. At least he cared enough to participate in the day 1 lynch. He may be scum, but talis is scum.

Lvdr participated in the D1 lynch, up until BL was about to go, then when the switch happened, he switched within 1 minute of you but did not even bother explaining his choice (his read on Obvious was null until then.) Then he proceeded actively lurk (making posts about how he was eating) up until Obvious returned to the thread, whereby he said that Obvious' expression of anger cemented his previously non-existent scumread.

Talis is quiet, but Lvdr is scum.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 29 2012 02:12 GMT
#1253
On August 29 2012 11:11 marvellosity wrote:
I think we could go tit for tat all day here. I think the town needs more contribution than just us two talking.

Well us talking isn't going to hurt the effort to get more people into the conversation.
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
August 29 2012 02:16 GMT
#1255
On August 29 2012 03:50 talismania wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2012 03:13 Shady Sands wrote:
On August 29 2012 02:48 talismania wrote:
No response?

I don't think I'm reading this wrong. dj claimed after being asked to explain the post that apparently got him in trouble that he partly intended for it to be part of a trap (hence, "bait"). But I don't know what the actual intended trap was, except that he claims later that the same post accidentally allowed him to detect bandwagonners since it created a bandwagon on him. None of it makes sense. I understand looking at people who bandwagon. But I don't understand how that post is possibly "baiting" a bandwagon if the person he was interested in (Chez) was already on that wagon.


So you've got a scum read on DJ then?


I had one before and still do. I was hoping to get some reaction from him before jumping down his throat or anything though.


Talis, if you're still in the thread, could you give us a clear read on Lvdr?
Что?
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