I've never played before and have no idea how these things will go.
Newbie Mini XIV
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I've never played before and have no idea how these things will go. | ||
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does that include PM? | ||
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On May 22 2012 08:44 Mordanis wrote: So my last game began with a discussion of whether to vote or not that wasn't very productive. We got lucky and scored a good D1 lynch, but it felt very, well, luck based. So I'll start this out by saying that if we don't lynch today, we'll probably be in a really shitty situation. In short, I am for a vote today. Also, it's good to be working together with Golden again! For Liquidia! Is this day cycle going to be an extra couple of hours? I only ask because it was in my first game and I'd like to make sure what the situation is. Thanks You say that you are for a vote, but you state that your other vote was luck based. Considering you said "very luck based", doesn't that mean to say that we are not going to experience the same luck? If we don't experience the same luck, we will very much end up lynching a townie, which makes your "for a vote" seem like you want to lynch a townie. Also, why are you talking about the last game? You should be more concerned with this game and find out ways for pointing out scum rather than ways not to. This seems more like filler. The useful part of your post can be summarized by: We should have a lynch today. A no-lynch would be detrimental. ##FOS: Mordanis | ||
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On May 22 2012 09:25 Mufaa wrote: I was Mafia in XIII and the amount of lurkers in a 12 person game ruined it. We won after a misread by the vig n3 because 2 of the mafia lurked all 3 days and so did 2 townies and he guessed wrong. If we want to find the scum we need as much content out of everyone as possible. More content means more room for mafia mistakes while townies can't make a mistake if they're being honest. First bold: Logical, a bit obvious, but should be stated. Second bold: Are you saying that townies will always show townie posts? This is certainly not the case. Townies can and do make mistakes, which is probably the cause of 99% of mislynches in mafia. Honest =/= True. For example, if you are being "honest" in this post, you have clearly made a "mistake." Is that to suggest that you are Mafia? A better word for "mistake" in this context is "slip", and i advise people to use slip in the future because it more accurately denotes what a bad mafia would do. | ||
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On May 22 2012 09:36 sciberbia wrote: 1) First of all, can we all agree that it is in our best interest to lynch today? 2) Can we all accept that we might have to vote for our 2nd or 3rd top choice? 3)Can anyone think of a scenario where a day 1 roleclaim is a good idea? One other point I want to bring up is the subject of day 1 roleclaims. I have never played a semi-open setup before, so this is new territory for me. It seems to me that there is no circumstance in which it makes sense to roleclaim on day 1. - I'm sure the game is set up so that mass roleclaim is a bad idea. It would give the mafia too much information. - No role can claim with assured protection of medic because we are not guaranteed a medic. - The final scenario where you might want to roleclaim is if you are about to be lynched. But my question is, should the fact that someone roleclaims deter us from lynching them? Consider the following hypothetical scenario: I am mafia (hypothetically!) and you all decide that my posts are extremely scummy and unanimously vote to lynch me day 1. If I'm mafia (which I'm not), I might as well claim DT or something. I can't really be counterclaimed because for all we know there are 2 DT's. So, should the fact that I claimed DT really make you all change your minds about the lynch? I think not. So, if you are townie are getting bandwaggoned, I think you should defend yourself as best as possible without roleclaiming. I don't think roleclaiming should sway our vote, and it just gives the mafia more information (because they are the only ones that know you're telling the truth.) Finally, Release just asked for opinion on lurkers. If someone is lurking, I will consider them slightly more likely to be mafia than someone who is not, all things being even. But I'd rather draw my scum reads from actual posts. I agree with Mufaa that more quality contributions from everyone can only help. I'm actually going to sleep soon. I'll be back online in about 9 hours at which time I will read the thread. Hope to see lots of discussion. Night. 1) Of course we should lynch. Anyone who doesn't vote for a lynch is immediately put under suspicion. 2) Isn't this just repeating question #1? If we don't say yes to 2, we don't say yes to 1. 3) Roleclaim can't be confirmed either way. It turns into WIFOM; useless. Actually, it's worse than useless because it gives the mafia an opportunity to see which roles people have (if they claim truthfully) or makes townies suspicious of each other (claim false). Roleclaim on Day 1 is a bad idea. Your hypothetical is just that: completely hypothetical and it leaves no room for solid evidence. I am getting awfully suspicious of you because of this post: First, you ask a question to which both myself and Mordanis have answered yes to. If you wanted to further ask the others, there is no need to include the small tidbits of information that don't really help people make an informative decision. In fact, the part where you include Role... Role ... Role.. looks like an attempt to confuse people. Second, your second question is a mere restatement of your first question with even more filler. Why do you feel obligated to post this if it doesn't contribute to do anything useful? Third, i already explain some of it above, but to further my point: You have a conclusion that is " I think you should defend yourself as best as possible without roleclaiming. I don't think roleclaiming should sway our vote, and it just gives the mafia more information (because they are the only ones that know you're telling the truth.)" Why did you need to post all of that other stuff that is just WIFOM territory? ##FOS: Sciberbia | ||
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But i do understand where you're coming from, and it is not my intention to stop others from posting. Also, the reason i mentioned the way you used your previous game was that you had a point you wanted to make and your previous game was not entirely consistent with that point.(luck vs still want a lynch despite low chance of luck). | ||
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##unFOS: Mordanis What is your opinion on Sciberia's post as a "post"? (i'm not asking you to answer the question, but rather to view it from a townie/scum perspective.) | ||
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On May 22 2012 18:06 O.Golden_ne wrote: + Show Spoiler + Good evening all, Well i've been following everything today via iPhone at work, but i'll be most active in the evenings. Such as now! Okay to start things off, Release has taken a very aggressive stance. This seems standard, someone always needs to shake things up. That being said, it was fairly amusing watching him post #FOS at anyone posting. I had a LOL at my desk. While it is good to shake things up, which he is doing. I do feel like he sort of shut down several good points that both Mordanis and Sciberbia have made, and is picking on some very minor problems with their posts that would be expected so early in the game. Please dont focus on the semantics so much Release. + Show Spoiler + A better word for "mistake" in this context is "slip", and i advise people to use slip in the future because it more accurately denotes what a bad mafia would do. I think take a bit to absorb what everyone is saying. Please remember that there are 7 of us Town and while discouraging fluff is essential in dissecting the mafia from the pack you need to keep in mind that the majority of us are town and we WANT to promote discussion. Pointing the finger at everyone that talks, for semantics OR their opinions is perhaps not the best way to encourage people to engage in a profitable discussion. To add my 2 cents on the DayOneLynch (D1L) I agree with hegeo, Release and Mordanis. It is my opinion that on day one we need to lynch someone, it provides a lot of information and in the optimum situation we can get lucky and hit a mafia. I'd rather mislynch one of our own, then wait a day and one of us get sniped. Ending up in a similar circumstance to the start of D1 just minus a player. Ugh. Also, i consider lurkers to be quite scummy. So unless a lurker posts some seriously good content every day, they will be under some scrutiny from myself. @Miltonkram, what is your on opinion on hegeo's statement: Furthermore, I think it might be a good idea to not share your town reads early on, since this will make "weaker" town reads an easy target for scum and will give scum safety when they see themselves being seen as strong town reads. By doing so, they will need to justify their posts/opinions and it will be easier to keep the pressure high and find inconsistencies. " Please dont focus on the semantics so much Release. + Show Spoiler + A better word for "mistake" in this context is "slip", and i advise people to use slip in the future because it more accurately denotes what a bad mafia would do. My point is that Townies can make mistakes, but townies don't make slips. Mafia make can make mistakes; usually their mistake is to make a slip. I want to make that very clear. We shouldn't end up lynching for a mistake. We should lynch someone who makes a slip. From Newbie II game + Show Spoiler + Probulous got a AKCT lynched. That was a mistake. He was clearly contributing so even though he made a mistake, he shouldn't get lynched. (he didn't) Sheth however, does slip in trying to save his scumbuddy and got lynched for that. | ||
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On May 22 2012 16:33 Mordanis wrote: + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 15:45 Release wrote: EBWOP: I understand your post so for now: ##unFOS: Mordanis What is your opinion on Sciberia's post as a "post"? (i'm not asking you to answer the question, but rather to view it from a townie/scum perspective.) I don't see any major reason for suspicion. All he really does is say that he's for lynch and against roleclaiming. This seems like a fairly obvious stance. Then he asks us what our stances areon these issues. If anything, this is suspicious because there are a lot of words to convey a few simple ideas. That being said, I think it is a good thing to convey thoughts completely. I'd rather read a wall of text every 15 minutes than have no idea what people are thinking when they vote. Obviously we can't give any weight to the fact that he explicitly said he's town. If we did, everyone would, and we'd be back at square one, minus however many hours it took us to get there. Frankly, this is a newbie game, and he seems relatively logical. Even though I'll never be able to say with 100% confidence that he is town, this post reads like an inexperienced town. That being said, I've dismissed a scum from my suspicion because I thought he was just being illogical, so I'd say we should keep our collective eye on him. I don't see nearly enough evidence though to push for a lynch. On that train of thought, when do you think we need to start panicking? I mean this question for everyone. If we panic too early, we'll vote early and have little information for that vote and also little information for the next vote. If we go to late, we risk a no-lynch, which as (I think) everyone agrees, would not be a good decision. I'm thinking that with about 12 hours left, we should start consolodating for a lynch. Can everybody be fairly active for at least a few posts in the 12 hours leading up to the vote? + Show Spoiler + One last thing: That is pretty scary timing Hegeo. You don't post at all for the 5 hours after the D1 post (which is in itself understandable, with sleep and such), but then you post (to defend yourself) 3 minutes past the first time someone calls you out (sort of?). The coincidence seems just a bit much. As someone who has watched (too much) House, I don't really believe in coincidences. We need to start panicking if no one votes and it is a short time before the deadline. This is textbook no lynch territory. In this case, we need to start piling our votes on one candidate who has appeared the most scummy. Worst case scenario, we look at lurkers and choose to lynch one of them. Still, we need more information, especially because this is Day1 and we only have some 8 hours left and no concrete scum yet. | ||
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On May 23 2012 00:15 s0Lstice wrote: + Show Spoiler + We lynch day 1, period. Debating about whether or not to lynch only happens if we have no reads to go off of, which to me makes the debate a non-factor.. We've heard from everyone now I believe, solid reads will come with a little time. Can we stop discussion about policy now please? It creates an environment where scum can comfortably post and be 'CREDIT TO TEAM.' Scumhunting must begin now. I'm looking first to sciberbia. I'm not sure if Release reads you as green, but I currently do. More fluff and I'll change my mind though. Your stated purpose was to generate discussion...mission accomplished. I'll be looking for you to make something out of it. ShiaoPi has a small filter as well. You just like that back off your suspicions on sciberbia? Scum post fluffy quasi-useful posts all the time. They want to appear to be contributing without actually saying anything incriminating. Miltonkram confuses me. You say you don't want people to share town reads because it's giving information to the mafia. What? Scum know who is town and who is not. Scumhunting is ALL ABOUT posting your reads on people. They are accused, and must defend. You smell fishy to me Milton. ##FOS: Miltonkram Posting reads on people is a slippery slope. If one of us happens to post a townie read on one of the scum, then they'll know that their play is working fine and can continue to keep playing this way. If this is coupled with a scum read on one of the townies, i could easily see a bandwagon forming. And this is just a general thing that we all have to do to differentiate townies from scum: Form your own ideas; doing this allows us to dissect as much scumminess as we can. Do not simply repeat ideas and agree with other people without sufficient reasoning. You have been warned. Second, people need to post more. If we don't post more, this gives more opportunities for the scum to hide without taking any heat. | ||
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On May 23 2012 01:29 hegeo wrote: Sciberbia bringing the heat via analysis, I like it. Hey Release, some thoughts about your posts, and why I think you're not always helping town with them: a) Even though I understand where you're coming from, this is kind of pseudo-pressuring people, which is futile in the beginning of the game. This makes for an anti-town-atmosphere, since posting should be encouraged. b) It's not the best case to lynch lurkers, but if they don't contribute to town then it is at least good riddance. c) You are posting at least a considerable amount of non-productive posts right now, e.g. to this post... ... your answer was this: You consistently do this "#FOS"-stuff and then, you FOS Sciberibia... ..before even un##FOSing Mordanis: To answer in your own words: Even though there are many players that have a way shorter filter than you, what you do is generating "noise" (not always, you have your points that I can agree with and you definitely contribute). It seems as though you either just want to stir up anything you can (because both of these #FOSes came to nothing, which would make you a little scummy) or I read it as an overly motivated try to get information. Response to a) my point was that contributing useless information is worse than having no contribution at all. My example was Sciberia's asking the same question twice, which has since, been given some clarification. b) Lynching a lurker is not "good riddance". I don't see why a townie should feel that way. Lynching a lurker (if there are more than one) is random to a townie, but clear to the mafia. The mafia will obviously choose the lurker whom is a townie, therefore causing us to mislynch. Advocating a lurker lynch instead of focusing on those who are suspicious is a Mafia's way of thinking. In fact, you don't even list some alternative, despite it not being a best case scenario. c)my answer was this: "My point is that Townies can make mistakes, but townies don't make slips. Mafia make can make mistakes; usually their mistake is to make a slip. I want to make that very clear. We shouldn't end up lynching for a mistake. We should lynch someone who makes a slip." From Newbie II game + Show Spoiler + Probulous got a AKCT lynched. That was a mistake. He was clearly contributing so even though he made a mistake, he shouldn't get lynched. (he didn't) Sheth however, does slip in trying to save his scumbuddy and got lynched for that. this was in support of the above point i made. Your c) and reasoning behind are Blatant Lies; you intentionally leave out my actual point to make it seem like i am posting filler. If i didn't know better, you know that i am town, and see that i am dangerous to your scum motives. You are targeting me with a weak case based on incomplete evidence. In regard to the FOS before unFOS, i did it to show that i was putting both of them under suspicion. There are 3 mafia. I only had 2. Are you seriously trying to convince to to avoid the larger picture and completely ignore anyone (other than the person who i am targeting at the moment) who might be Mafia? The FOS's got people talking. Talking is good for the town. Again, this is an example of where you completely ignore the larger picture. "overly motivated try to get information." All townies want information. After all, we don't know much. You however, seem perfectly content to let this day slip by without extracting a lot of information from it (presumably because you already have the information because you are scum). I see no other option as of yet (or until you reply) but to: ##Vote: Hegeo | ||
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For now, he is focusing on less important aspects of ShaoPi's play than scum/town. This is not to say i completely disagree and ShaoPi is above suspicion, but Hegeo is far more scummy than ShaoPi is right now. | ||
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Reading too much Newbie Mafia II. They used a 9-3 setup. Still my point remains. 2=2. And more people will appear suspicious than will flip scum. I don't see why this would be a scummy idea. | ||
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On May 23 2012 05:14 sciberbia wrote: + Show Spoiler + My thoughts on Mordanis's accusation of hegeo: Your primary accusation and most tangible peace of evidence is that hegeo's first post was 10 minutes after Milton called out the three people left to post. I don't find this very inciminating. If hegeo was mafia and worried about looking like a lurker, he'd just have posted a fluffy sorta "hi all" first post, similar to Milton, solstice etc. If he's mafia and not that worried about looking like a lurker, why would he panic so much? It just doesn't make much sense to me. If you were mafia, would you watch the thread, wait until someone calls you out as lurking, and then post 10 minutes later? Seems dumb. I see where you're coming from, and I agree it's a bit fishy, but I guess I'm just more willing to believe it's a coincadence than you are. And I liked the actual content of his first post. + Show Spoiler + Mordanis, your statement about working with Golden struck me strangely as well. I was expecting someone to comment on it. And it makes sense that he would criticize you because you had just accused him. Doesn't seem odd to me. His defense is a litte weird, but I don't find it particularly scummy. I'm really not quite sure what to make of his post about Release. I could see him posting it as either town or mafia. Also, you say that he isn't helping scumhunt, but he just assembled some evidence against shiaopi. Personally, I would be willing to vote for hegeo if it was between that and no-lynch, but I think we have better options. I don't really have a read on hegeo. I'll think about it more tomorrow if he's still in contention for lynching. I encourage everyone to weigh in as we have have quite a few accusations. Talk about filler. You had filler before and now more filler. This is purely WIFOM and does not help the town one bit. And the length of this WIFOM is absurd too. Wasting the townies' time. Still, hegeo seemed much worse about his response to my post than you are to mordanis. ##FOS: Sciberia I haven't read the subsequent posts yet but i need to make this heard. | ||
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On me, and that I "outright chasten[..] Release" + Show Spoiler + Sorry, did I quoted you wrong here? You said: On May 22 2012 15:08 Mordanis wrote: Also, Release: You're being very aggresive. Very agressive. I understand the need to get the scumhunt going as quickly as possible, but you've placed the only two players who have posted content under suspicion. I think this discourages people from posting content. Artanis, a player whom I trust, wrote that mafia are rarely aggresive. Based on that, I'll trust that you are just trying to get things stirred up. I just think that you're going overboard. We need to get the ball rolling, but we also need people to talk. So please stop with the extreme distrust for a while, and wait for a little while while everyone analyzes what we've just written. Also, I'd be very happy if you would be so kind as to explain to the rest of us why you're being so aggressive. If you really are town, then tell us, and trust us to be rational. If you're not, well you're certainly attracting a lot of attention. I just wanted to point out that I didn't want to repeat what you said. Do others think I quoted him wrong and do you think I did it in a dismissive way, hence "chastening" release? Wtf is this shit? So you say that you think my aggressiveness isn't helping. Fair comment. But again you take Mordanis's quote (like you did with mine) way out of context. Mordanis said that at the start after my double FOS very early in the game. I changed, he acknowledged, but you are trying to create an illusion that this hasn't happened. I can find scumminess in virtually every post that you've made so far. And i will repeat myself: The longer you wait to respond to my post On May 23 2012 04:45 Release wrote: the more scummy you appear. Respond soon if not now. Response to a) my point was that contributing useless information is worse than having no contribution at all. My example was Sciberia's asking the same question twice, which has since, been given some clarification. b) Lynching a lurker is not "good riddance". I don't see why a townie should feel that way. Lynching a lurker (if there are more than one) is random to a townie, but clear to the mafia. The mafia will obviously choose the lurker whom is a townie, therefore causing us to mislynch. Advocating a lurker lynch instead of focusing on those who are suspicious is a Mafia's way of thinking. In fact, you don't even list some alternative, despite it not being a best case scenario. c)my answer was this: "My point is that Townies can make mistakes, but townies don't make slips. Mafia make can make mistakes; usually their mistake is to make a slip. I want to make that very clear. We shouldn't end up lynching for a mistake. We should lynch someone who makes a slip." From Newbie II game + Show Spoiler + Probulous got a AKCT lynched. That was a mistake. He was clearly contributing so even though he made a mistake, he shouldn't get lynched. (he didn't) Sheth however, does slip in trying to save his scumbuddy and got lynched for that. this was in support of the above point i made. Your c) and reasoning behind are Blatant Lies; you intentionally leave out my actual point to make it seem like i am posting filler. If i didn't know better, you know that i am town, and see that i am dangerous to your scum motives. You are targeting me with a weak case based on incomplete evidence. In regard to the FOS before unFOS, i did it to show that i was putting both of them under suspicion. There are 3 mafia. I only had 2. Are you seriously trying to convince to to avoid the larger picture and completely ignore anyone (other than the person who i am targeting at the moment) who might be Mafia? The FOS's got people talking. Talking is good for the town. Again, this is an example of where you completely ignore the larger picture. "overly motivated try to get information." All townies want information. After all, we don't know much. You however, seem perfectly content to let this day slip by without extracting a lot of information from it (presumably because you already have the information because you are scum). I see no other option as of yet (or until you reply) but to: ##Vote: Hegeo | ||
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On May 23 2012 08:29 sciberbia wrote: I disagree that my thoughts on the "coincidence debacle" is purely WIFOM. Mordanis's argument was that hegeo made a knee-jerk reaction. A knee-jerk reaction wouldn't be WIFOM. I was stating that I'm skeptical that hegeo would panic so much. I'm gathering that it is frowned upon whenever I elaborate my thoughts too much, but I don't really see how this hurts town. I'm not just providing filler - I think I've already posted enough that I'm not going to be accused of lurking, so I don't see what mafia motive I could have for defending hegeo as I did. Whereas I do have a town motive: trying to decide on our best lynch target. And if you decide to unFOS me, please remember to do it twice, because I don't believe you ever removed your last FOS on me. That would be great :D I will be inactive for the next 17 hours or so due to studying, sleep, and a final. On the upside, I'll be able to be very active for the last 6 hours before the deadline. I think we should start figuring out who are our realistic lynch candidates for tomorrow. And MUFAA will you please contribute? The first part i'm not too unhappy about. It IS still a WIFOM thing, but their is analysis and reasoning. But what is the point of the second (hypothetical) part of that post? It does seem dumb... therefore i'll do it to confuse the others... but they'll have thought of that... but ... but See how this is WIFOM? It doesn't help. | ||
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On May 23 2012 08:27 hegeo wrote: @ releases answer to my questions + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 04:45 Release wrote: On May 23 2012 01:29 hegeo wrote: Sciberbia bringing the heat via analysis, I like it. Hey Release, some thoughts about your posts, and why I think you're not always helping town with them: On May 22 2012 14:35 Release wrote: 1) Of course we should lynch. a)Anyone who doesn't vote for a lynch is immediately put under suspicion. I am getting awfully suspicious of you because of this post: First, you ask a question to which both myself and Mordanis have answered yes to. If you wanted to further ask the others, there is no need to include the small tidbits of information that don't really help people make an informative decision. In fact, the part where you include Role... Role ... Role.. looks like an attempt to confuse people. Second, your second question is a mere restatement of your first question with even more filler. Why do you feel obligated to post this if it doesn't contribute to do anything useful? a) Even though I understand where you're coming from, this is kind of pseudo-pressuring people, which is futile in the beginning of the game. This makes for an anti-town-atmosphere, since posting should be encouraged. b) It's not the best case to lynch lurkers, but if they don't contribute to town then it is at least good riddance. c) You are posting at least a considerable amount of non-productive posts right now, e.g. to this post... ... your answer was this: You consistently do this "#FOS"-stuff and then, you FOS Sciberibia... ..before even un##FOSing Mordanis: To answer in your own words: Even though there are many players that have a way shorter filter than you, what you do is generating "noise" (not always, you have your points that I can agree with and you definitely contribute). It seems as though you either just want to stir up anything you can (because both of these #FOSes came to nothing, which would make you a little scummy) or I read it as an overly motivated try to get information. + Show Spoiler + Response to a) my point was that contributing useless information is worse than having no contribution at all. My example was Sciberia's asking the same question twice, which has since, been given some clarification. I agree. At that time, I wanted to point out that I found it slightly irritating, that you would try to pressure people before seeing a considerable amount of players posting their thoughts and directly tried to pressure a post that I read pro-town. Mordanis critizised you for that also, not only me. I said that it is not ideal to lynch lurkers. At the time I wrote that, 3 or more players didn't contribute anything (or not much). Still at this very moment, Mufaa hasn't written anything but "hello" basically. So we can't just let him stay in the game when he lurks in this extreme fashion. Do you agree on that? ------- + Show Spoiler + c)my answer was this: "My point is that Townies can make mistakes, but townies don't make slips. Mafia make can make mistakes; usually their mistake is to make a slip. I want to make that very clear. We shouldn't end up lynching for a mistake. We should lynch someone who makes a slip." From Newbie II game + Show Spoiler + Probulous got a AKCT lynched. That was a mistake. He was clearly contributing so even though he made a mistake, he shouldn't get lynched. (he didn't) Sheth however, does slip in trying to save his scumbuddy and got lynched for that. this was in support of the above point i made. Your c) and reasoning behind are Blatant Lies; you intentionally leave out my actual point to make it seem like i am posting filler. If i didn't know better, you know that i am town, and see that i am dangerous to your scum motives. You are targeting me with a weak case based on incomplete evidence. I misquoted you there, as you can see in your original post the text was somewhat strangely formatted, and part of the quote was displayed in normal fontsize so I misinterpreted it, your post makes more sense now, I apologize. ------- + Show Spoiler + In regard to the FOS before unFOS, i did it to show that i was putting both of them under suspicion. There are 3 mafia. I only had 2. Are you seriously trying to convince to to avoid the larger picture and completely ignore anyone (other than the person who i am targeting at the moment) who might be Mafia? The FOS's got people talking. Talking is good for the town. Again, this is an example of where you completely ignore the larger picture. Why don't you acknowledge that we (not only me but also e.g. Sciberbia) also tried to do the same that you say you tried, namely illuminate places where scum could hide? I called you, Mordanis, ShiaoPi (did I forget somebody?) out because of things that I was interested in, all of you answered and I tried to answer to your posts as well as I could. ------- + Show Spoiler + "overly motivated try to get information." All townies want information. After all, we don't know much. You however, seem perfectly content to let this day slip by without extracting a lot of information from it (presumably because you already have the information because you are scum). Please also try to quote correctly. I said: It seems as though you either just want to stir up anything you can (because both of these #FOSes came to nothing, which would make you a little scummy) or I read it as an overly motivated try to get information. I don't see anything wrong with my point here, I just wanted to make you aware of that. ----- So, I replied. In my answer to Mordanis, I added a spoilered paragraph stating what I think I contributed today (again, newbie here). I hope to read new input tomorrow morning, especially from Mufaa. You pointed my aggression out way too late. By then, i had already stopped the ridiculous amount of pressure i was spreading. Looked like you just wanted to copy his argue so as to appear like a townie. I do not agree with lynching Mufaa yet. Your case still appears far worse. "Why don't you acknowledge that we (not only me but also e.g. Sciberbia) also tried to do the same that you say you tried, namely illuminate places where scum could hide? I called you, Mordanis, ShiaoPi (did I forget somebody?) out because of things that I was interested in, all of you answered and I tried to answer to your posts as well as I could." -Hegeo Alright then, if you claim to be doing the same thing that i have done, why criticize me for it? If you're going to criticize me, then criticize yourself too. You're acting very much like a hypocrite here. Your responses have been poor at best. "I said: It seems as though you either just want to stir up anything you can (because both of these #FOSes came to nothing, which would make you a little scummy) or I read it as an overly motivated try to get information. I don't see anything wrong with my point here, I just wanted to make you aware of that. " - Hegeo That bolded part is the most ridiculous crap I've ever heard. I've posted my analysis on your case, Sciberia's case, and whomever else i targeted. The FOS's came to discussion as i've already mentioned. You, on the other hand, had a lot of filler and Bull against ShiaoPi. | ||
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Which case is more important: The Solstice/ShiaoPi/Milton or the Hegeo case? Whichever we decide on is the one where all of our votes should go. This brings me to my next point: We need to start voting. Pointing fingers is nice and all but we have to get down to business. One vote is worth a million fingers. And finally, Mufaa and GoldenNe, where are you guys? Start posting more. After Hegeo's lynch, you two are going to come under increasing pressure if the post quality * quantity is not improving. Especially Mufaa. | ||
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On May 23 2012 14:52 hegeo wrote: Good morning everyone! Not too many new posts in the last hours, especially not from Mufaa: Sorry Mufaa, but you didn't post anything at all in 28 hours. Please get active. ##Vote: Mufaa I think the post you quoted is too vague to support what you are doing (voting). Although the Mafia won, he could mean ruined as in the game itself was going nowhere and/or just no fun whatsoever. Also, you should really post a solid case on why you want to vote someone. Day1 Lurker lynching when we have 2 active cases against scummy players going on is crying out "scum." To Solstice/Milton/ShiaoPI, i recognize that your case against each other is important, but i think we can all agree that Hegeo is begging to get lynched. So i ask that you keep building your cases against each other, but place a vote on Hegeo. | ||
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Hegeo/Me/Mordanis/sciberia and solstice/golden/milton/shiaoPi. I am inclined to believing that dividing our attention has been the Mafia's strat all along because as it stands, we are likely to get 2 people with 3 votes each, 2 people with 1 vote each, and then Mufaa's vote. Regardless of how Mufaa votes, we don't get a lynch. I have to admit guilt: Up until this point, i have been giving the solstice/golden/milton/shiaoPi case secondary focus (from being too focused on Hegeo). I recommend that everyone take a look at the other case and we work as one unit, rather than two. Also, get your votes off Mufaa. He will be replaced/modkilled if he doesn't do crap. Otherwise, we can lynch him D2. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 16:02 Miltonkram wrote: Hey all, just got in from work. I'll wait on pressuring people to see who is a lurker or inactive, but I'm hoping that won't be a big issue. People who still haven't posted since the Day 1 post: -Golden -hegeo -ShiaoPi I'd really like these three players to check in at the very least, if not start to put some information out there. Makes a post to exclude himself from the lurkers when he doesn't provide anything useful. + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 16:25 Miltonkram wrote: Release- I like the way you're starting out this game. If we are going to catch scum we need to be aggressive about it. Don't worry too much about the tone of your posts. sciberbia's post does seem a bit suspicious. He repeats his ideas several times in different ways to make it look like he's putting out more info than he actually is. It seems quite scummy to me. Mordanis- Don't get too offended by aggressive behavior. If mafia doesn't actually think that a little pressure will lead to a lynch, then why should they answer any questions at all? We need to make sure that people are held accountable to what they say. sciberbia- What do you have to say about the accusations pointed at you? There's quite a bit of fluffy information in your post. Let's try to keep the conversation more focused on who might be scum, everything else is secondary. Repeats ideas already mentioned and seems perfectly content to let Sciberia take some heat. This is very early so this post probably helped generate discussion but again, it wasn't anything new to us. + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 19:55 Miltonkram wrote: This'll be my last post for a little while seeing as getting sleep is kind of important. ShiaoPi- While sciberbia's posting content was a bit suspect, I wouldn't read too much into his absence. He did state in his post that he was about to get some sleep. Let's hear what he has to say. Golden- This early in the game I think any town reads are going to be weak, so I don't see much value in posting them. We have to remember that mafia have 90% of the information here. Posting town reads can just cut into the 10% that they don't know. If there is a time when it's important that we post such information (e.g. we think we're about to die, we think the town is about to mislynch) then by all means post it, but right now is not one of those crucial times. The 10% they don't know is the roles which townie/scum reads doesn't give them. You appear to be trying to trick us into stopping the townies from spreading useful information. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 06:16 Miltonkram wrote: Sciberbia- I don't really see a whole lot wrong with what I've posted. Everything I've written, including my suspicions of you, was with the goal to generate discussion. With that being said, admittedly I wasn't active at scumhunting because of the lack of information to work from. With the discussion generated I think there is finally enough info for me to start making cases. I'm currently reading through people's filters and making notes on them. I'll post again soon with my scum reads. I'm getting more and more confident that I have a couple solid cases to make. seems kind of like an excuse for a scum slip to me. This is very vague and you don't seem to have a goal with this post. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 06:53 Miltonkram wrote: Alright, I've got a case that I think has some merit. s0Lstice Note that I'm not complaining about his suspicions of me. I think his suspicions are actually a good townie move. His statement about accusations and defense is really good too. This first post is consistent with good townie play. However, an hour later, without even waiting for my defense he posts: My point is he should have kept pressuring me. I realize that he misread my post somewhat, but he uses that last line of text to look like he's still pressuring me in some way. I think a townie would leave the FOS on me until I've actually done something to defend myself. Right now it seems like he's trying to apply just enough pressure to appear town, without actually committing to it. That's consistent with scum play in my eyes. ##FOS: s0Lstice This post is interesting because Solstice does look inconsistent with his play. Milton calls him out but he doesn't posting this now cause ran out of time. Will continue. | ||
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At this point, SOlstice's defense appears to be much more solid than your accusations, which is saying something because accusations are typed without pressure whereas defenses are typed under pressure. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 08:16 Miltonkram wrote: I already had suspicions of ShiaoPi, but his latest "defense" just makes him feel more scummy in my eyes. At this point ShiaoPi seems like he is just treading water. I think he's either bad town or panicking mafia. Please note the sections that I have bolded in his quote. He never addresses the fact that he's being attacked because his posts lack content. He keeps trying to focus attention on other players as a means of defending himself, rather than actually defending himself with content. Then he makes a list of active players, in order to make himself look like he's accomplishing something. How much does that list actually accomplish? If you look over his filter, how many people has he actually put real pressure on? He put some very weak pressure on hegeo, only after Mordanis pressured him first. He's been gunning for Mufaa, a very easy player to gun for since he's lurking like crazy. @ s0Lstice- Thank you for clearing up why you were suspicious of me. I'm still not sure you're town, but at the very least that clears up some of my suspicions. For now I'm lessening my focus on you and shifting it to ShiaoPi. ##unFOS: s0Lstice ##FOS: ShiaoPi Plucking at straws. He realizes that his arguement against solstice is fruitless so he points the torch at ShaoPi. He concerns over defense when SHaoPi aims towards pointing out scum. In Mafia, pointing out scum is more valuable than hugging fellow townies. Why wouldn't you want him to point out scum? If he has a stronger case than your case against him, the town will lynch for his case, rather than yours, thus providing a strong defense. Your post is illogical. The rest of the post is useless filler. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 08:34 Miltonkram wrote: Also, I think it's time we light a fire under Mufaa to get him posting. @ Mufaa- If you want me to change my vote for you, you better get in here and start posting. It's really hard to have good town play if even one person is lurking. ##Vote: Mufaa This is something I think everyone should keep in mind. We only have one player who is hardcore lurking. That means we have at least one mafia who is staying fairly active in the thread. I need some more time to think this line of thought through (What kind of active town benefits a mafia? What can we do to prevent that kind of town from happening?), but it's good to keep in mind when reading through a player's filter. pure crap. Voting for the lurker on D1 is never a good idea when there are obvious scum targets at hand. Very wishy-washy with his constant change in thought. Trying to confuse the town? i'll stop here because i ran out of time for real this time, but if i had to switch away from Hegeo, you would be my next target. | ||
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Also, hegeo and milton, get your votes off Mufaa and on either Milton or Hegeo. It would be best to vote ASAP so we can hammer out as many cases and see if there is a reputable defense. | ||
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ShiaoPi seems to be their deflection target. Not to say that he is above suspicion, but the other two have done so so little to actually contribute to finding scum. Another thing to look at is who the other scum is: as i've already said, my opinion is Hegeo + Milton. However, i still have my suspicion on the whole 'divide the game into two games' scenario. I need to look as to who was the main contributor to this type of play. I recommend you do too because this has clearly slowed us down tremendously. | ||
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Here is a short answer to a post which still appeared scummy (despite the fact that he turned out blue): I couldn't give two shits about Mordanis because your case was so much more scummy than his. | ||
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On May 24 2012 08:21 hegeo wrote: What I post now is in contrast to what I stated before, namely that I said I had no strong scumread. Truth is, I have. You will see/saw how I flipped. I apologize for playing bad or not optimal, but all I want is to win. And I win with town, wether I’m dead or alive. Since I’m about to get lynched (or shot at night for that matter if I'm correct), I present to you evidence for a scum team, that seemingly decided to play this game not as lurkers, but the direct opposite. I’m not trying to defend myself here, I accuse. I urge you to reread my posts and all the others I quoted if you really want to go into detail here. It will take more time than you have until deadline. I understand. I worked as quick as I can. The bold/italics for orientation only. There are also important points I couldn't highlight anymore. The beautiful scum duo Release and Mordanis 1. The Start + Show Spoiler + They started the day with a wonderful pas de deux before the thread really started of. Release was the attacking part quickly ##FOSing Mordanis for his first post, also critizising Sciberbia for a question "myself and Mordanis" already answered and calls it “WIFOM” (remember that word please!). Nice. Mordanis then said he was "glad for your early FOS", but told him to be "slightly more trusting" and that he was "very, very" aggressive (also citing a very nice opinion form Artanis: "Artanis, a player whom I trust, wrote that mafia are rarely aggresive. […] So please stop with the extreme distrust for a while, and wait for a little while while everyone analyzes what we've just written." We've written? He also answered very shortly to the question “Sciberia” asked. Sciberia [sic]? But more on that later. Release then answered “I understand your post so for now: unFOS: Mordanis”. Nice and easy. Release asks Mordanis about his opinion on Sciberia’s [sic!] post then, Mordanis replies “he asks us what our stances are on these issues”. Interim findings: So what was established by them for now is that a) agressive/active players aren't scum (I mean, why would they be, they could lurk around which is easier!) so both of them can't be scum, right? b) They were attacking each other (kind of). So they can’t be scumbuddies, right? Why would they do so. c) Everytime it’s “us” or “we”. Aren’t they nice buddies? d) They talk about Sciberia. Not Sciberbia. 2. The Interlude + Show Spoiler + I join the table (and you will all now know my flip) and I find it kind of interesting what I read from them, but couldn’t see through it at that point. I ask Mordanis out about some of his points (just to start my day basically) about “him and Golden” etc. Golden answers me very politely, Sciberbia also joins and we are all (the others more than me I have to admit) talking about each others opinions etc., Solstice focusses Miltonkram etc. ShiaoPI weighs in, good vibes. When Golden calls him out, Release answers with an example from an earlier game (please remember the “earlier game” stuff), while he earlier stated (right in the beginning): “Also, why are you talking about the last game? You should be more concerned with this … This seems more like filler.” I agree with you. Filler here. Release also answers to Mordanis post from earlier, where Mordanis asked “When do you think we need to start panicking?” (Mordanis quickly adds that he means “this question for everyone”. Glad you added this) Release points out that “we need more information”. And answering to solistices post : “people need to post more”. Activity!! Sciberbia calls milton out, I mention releases posts (look at my original post!), also saying that “you have your points that I can agree with and you definitely contribute”. I also added that Mordanis also stated that he (Release) was aggressive earlier (this was merely to be careful not to be called someone who copies stuff from others). At that point, I wanted to clarify why the both of them seemed so close. That was aggressive, yes, but before that I still believed in a strong but maybe accidental coincidence. I hoped to get at least one of them talking. Since I wasn’t sure (and a little excited, my first mafia yeah!), I also critizised ShiaoPi for his posting, others added to this. In the end, I was satisfied with what he said in defense, I had (and have) a strong town read on him and told him that, when suddently… 3. … the enfants terrible entered the room again! + Show Spoiler + Mordanis starts with a red “hegeo”. Uh, uh, I am screwed. He defends himself by accusing me of suspicious posting times (I already made mincemeat of his arguments, now I don't have to repeat them). AND he also defends his best buddy Release (the whole “chastens Release“ stuff), and I make him very angry because I remind him of his post in the beginning (where he said agressiveness could make someone look scummy). He says my analysis is bad. If you think so, Release- but I got what I wanted. Sciberbia asks Mordanis what he thinks about my posts on shiaopi. I assume Mordanis didn’t read them (only the two about himself and his scumbuddy). So he states “I was actually ignoring them on purpose”. Releases’s entrance: A post, direct accusation, nothing else! At that time, I smelled scum. I pointed it out: “Wow, release and mordanis coming back at the same time!“ They didn’t care to answer (after all 40mins between their posts, could have made me look bad here). After seeing how I made them angry, no comment on this?? For your own protection I suppose. Release called me a liar, (he bolded it to make sure everybody sees it!) and said he had no other option than to “##Vote: Hegeo” And then this wonderful gem: He thinks 3 mafia are in this game? (See how he bolded these numbers? Give it a quick glance how much text he has bolded overall. He stated way more important stuff without ever bolding it.) NP, his buddy helps him out, with a smiley, citing the first page of the thread. 3mins (!) after Releases post, this answer is posted. He must have read all of Releases post, searched for the first page etc. I think, if you try to read Releases post directly after he posted it (so basically 15 secs after the post), can you read everything critically to this point AND see his mistake AND care about it more than about his points against me AND go to the frontpage AND quote AND add a little smiley face AND post it? Nice try. Also, NO interaction between those two in thread! No “hello”, I think hegeo is stupid what do you think? They are just silently working together as the tag team they are, trying to keep the pressure up. (Release also says he will post an analysis of my post on ShiaoPi, maybe Mordanis reminded him to do so to make it less obvious…btw Release doesn’t deliver at all in this context) 4. Here comes the heat + Show Spoiler + Sciberbia is active during this period (while I was preparing my answers) to ask the terrible twins about their opinions. He also claims that he didn’t “find [Mordanis points on me] very inciminating”. Time for R&M to act! Sciberia is dangerous, we need to isolate hegeo and make Sciberia stop! (At the same time, ShiaoPi answers to my post. So much to read and write for me!) Lot’s of cross-talk between people now, everybody asking everybody else (starting at May 23 2012 06:11) about opinions etc. I’m still writing. So Mordanis calls “Sciberia” [sic!] out, telling him “this is not a very high level game” and that he should “Compare [his-Mordanis] post to Hegeo's accusation of ShiaoPi.” Do you really want people to do so, Mordanis? Sciberbia refuses to take a hit for being called “passive-aggressive”, manning up. Asking others on opinions about me. And why shouldn’t he? Mordanis is fluffing around, no quality posts whatsoever. When Sciberbia doesn’t stop, Mordanis cites one of his older games as reason (quoting ShiaoPis post on me only being weird but most likely not scum): “Perhaps I am biased, but in my last game I read one player as an illogical townie, and he turned out to be mafia. This was embarrasing, but I read part of the scum QT, and all of the scum laughed at me for that read.” Funny. Your point? – We come back to that later. But wait - didn’t Release mention earlier that he didn’t like people talk about older games and critizised Mordanis for it,.. but wait, didn’t he himself talk about them as a basis of how to play? Still no cross-talk (reread the timeframe I mention! Compare what others do!) between R&M. I answer to Mordanis (I worked hard to show his lack of content etc and structured it the best I could, reread it), later also to ShiaoPi. Note that Shiao has a fairly logical stand towards me, he is not angry although I really may have sounded mean to him. Mordanis comment on my post: “Wow, so much anger. …I am actually a bit angry about Hegeo's response and the game in general, so I'm gonna take a bit of time off before coming back. “ So he goes away for a… no wait! He posts 5 minutes later that “On second thought, that was not as angry as I thought. Still, its time to take a breather.” Then he goes. Had to talk to Release I suppose, sadly not in our thread. Let me remind you again, they are freaking angry at me (well, I don’t really think they are, but not to shabby acting there). Wait… did you say “they are angry”? We only see Mordanis’s post…Well: Release joins the table (departure angry Mordanis, entrance angry Release again-May 23 2012 07:59) and gets insta-mad at Sciberbia and does his “##FOS: Sciberia”-Stuff. Oh, quite funny, “Sciberia” again. Why can’t the both of you (and ONLY the both of you) write his name correctly? Like in “NEVER EVER” (Well, release writes “Sciberbia” once in the beginning. Mordanis even before game start omits the “b”. Quite the influence Mordanis has on you Release, no?) He calls Sciberbias post “WIFOM”. Where have we read this term the last time… let me see…ahh yes, Mordanis said it to me. And Release earlier to Sciberbia in the beginning. (Later on, Sciberbia will cite this term only to defend himself when called on WIFOMing, no one else uses it) And the best part of his post: “Still, hegeo seemed much worse about his response to my post than you are to mordanis.”?? - Well did I mention they kind of care for each other? While Mordanis states earlier that “Also, I think that we should stop defending for other people.”( May 23 2012 07:01) Mordanis never calls Release out on that, nor does he thank him for his help. No comment. Ever. No exchange of reads. Nothing. 6. So, I mean you should get my point by now, but I will procede... + Show Spoiler + To remind you where we stand: Two “angry” scumbuddies try to suffocate everybody else, taking turns on targeting the more active/aggressive players towards them (well, one is only lurking right now, but the other one fights for two). Release gets mad at me not posting (while I said I would need time, and I answered to Mordanis and ShiaoPi in the meantime with pretty long posts. Remember, this is not my mother tongue, I need time to write stuff) He repeats “The longer you wait to respond to my post the more scummy you appear. Respond soon if not now!” which reminds me of his earlier “be warned”. Uh oh. Why don’t you ask Mordanis about his reads on people in the meantime, or at least commiserate in this thread with your angry buddy? I mean, my passive-aggressiveness made him so angry, why don’t you say a word when he gets out because he needs to calm down? Oh wait, you do. Kind of. You attack me again for what you state “misquoting” Mordanis words on you in the beginning (May I post out, that you at that point seem to have read my post from 80mins ago): ”But again you take Mordanis's quote (like you did with mine) way out of context. Mordanis said that at the start after my double FOS very early in the game. I changed, he acknowledged, but you are trying to create an illusion that this hasn't happened. (May 23 2012 08:31)” You changed? Right before that, in that very post, you ask me “Wtf is this shit?” I can find scumminess in virtually every post that you've made so far. Oh wait, this is what you said about me. So I have to quote it: “I can find scumminess in virtually every post that you've made so far.” Sorry. And he repeats himself again on that I have to post now or I am scum. Release, you seemed pretty convinced I was scum (fellow townies, you see how I flip(ed)- don’t know when you read it), you didn’t give me ANY benefit of the doubt. I granted it to you, ShiaoPi and Mordanis (again, reread my posts). You saw me as an easy target. And I was. Then I post my answer to Release (while he attacks sciberbia again, mentioning “WIFOM”). I wont elaborate on that. Read what I said. In his “answer", this sentence here is nice btw: Quoting my post (“It seems as though you either just want to stir up anything you can…” [read original for full context) he answers “That bolded part is the most ridiculous crap I've ever heard.” Here I just rephrased your buddy btw: He said (May 22 2012 15:08) “I’ll trust that you are just trying to get things stirred up.” And at last, your standard ceterum censeo: “this is WIFOM territory”. Townies, reread his posts. That brings us to the “end” of this action packed night. 7. The aftermath + Show Spoiler + Two angry scummies. And just to remind everybody that I am a threat to town, I will quote Release: “Since we are closing in on the Night post, we have a few things to decide: Which case is more important: The Solstice/ShiaoPi/Milton or the Hegeo case?” And one sentence later: “After Hegeo's lynch, you two are going to come under increasing pressure…” Or to paraphrase your intentions: Hey all, we need to kill him. He is a threat to…well, at least me and Mordanis. You know how I flipped. You know who never EVER questioned wether he was right in my case (not before I was No.1 lynch target). I started my day voting for Mufaa (Milton did it earlier without comments by our scummies, I did it just to see wether my scummy friends are still awake). And look who’s coming at me again! Release: “i think we can all agree that Hegeo is begging to get lynched.” “place a vote on Hegeo.” (he also notes: Funny: You wake up when i go to sleep.” – I posted at 7:50AM of my time after rereading parts of the thread. I went to bed 2AMish. A classical 0 content post) See how safe he felt! He calls me scummy for voting Mufaa (I mean, come on, at least I didn’t do this “FOS her FOS there, FOS everywhere stuff”. Even marv is laughing about it.) And… Entrance Mordanis again, being apologetic for getting angry… whatever (Mordanis, if you’re serious and /outofgame here, I appreciate it). But then, you have to mention your best buddy again: “And finally, I think that Release has pretty much posted a refutation of your rebuttal.” Before your closing remarks on my emotions (how poetic, “on emotion”), I will quote them in full length: “Hegeo's play seems to be ruled by emotion. This is exactly why I waited until I could be rational and logical before posting. I may have overestimated the amount of anger in this post, but I still believe there is a fair amount. Whether this leads to him being scummy or not is hard to say, but the atmosphere of emotion may have contributed to the lack of posting in the previous hours.” To quote you on that topic when answering ShiaoPi (May 23 2012 07:01) “...,my pride is seeking revenge for the scum disguised as illogical townie.” Your pride and revenge? As in emotionally motivated? And finally, “I'm nervous about not lynching because people are afraid to jump on a bandwagon so early, so I'll vote now. I will however vote for whomever we can muster a majority for. ##Vote: hegeo” What I would like you to do + Show Spoiler + Fellow townies. I worked on my case instead of being in thread the last hours (sorry for that, but if I die today defending myself against scum and you, the evidence I have gets lost). Sorry for not contributing today. As you may see from this, my reads on other people are not anti-town at least, mostly green. (Well Mufaa…) You see/saw how I flipped. I admit I could have played better. But after understanding, that I didn’t only hit one but the two scumbuddies at the same time (that also chose a very aggressive stance in this game), the game was basically already over for me, when I don’t get lynched I’ll die quickly afterwards though. I tried to make my points as you can see, there are also numerous smaller things that could be a coincidence once, but 30 coincidences? Really? I tried to find them for anybody else, drew a network diagram who interacted etc. Do it and you see what I see (if you are not convinced). I hope you consider lynching at least one of them on D2. They will try to tell you that there was “so much evidence” and what not, that I was aggressive, that they realized that there were other cases also later on and were to focussed on me because I called them out, how could they have known that, they will try to prove to you that they are town yadayada. They started putting votes on me. They only interacted in thread when universalities were discussed in the beginning and pressured each other in the beginning with a slight tickle. Contradictions en masse. Tag-teaming. Wording. Feelings. Pressuring. Pushing cases no matter what, agressively. See how they pushed their case. Their ONLY case (until it was sure I would be killed) Look at what I wrote. Reread it. It cost me many hours. If one of them flips scum, kill the other. Question their intentions towards each other, ask them to point out what the other did wrong. Force errors. Make them sweat. Look at how they behave in the near future.Don't let them pick on single points. Dear Mordanis and Release Hopefully, I can read your QT in a while. If you are just two townies, I nominated you for best tag-team ever, you get on like a house on fire. It’s so obvious I doubted my read in the beginning. Disclaimer: I never was really angry or whatever towards anybody, I merely wanted to state that. It’s a game. I hope my read is correct, and that you understand why I had to work on that case rather than having futile discussions (imo) in thread 1 the start: Mordanis was the first to post something that was about our Mafia game. I wanted to get the discussion going so why not use a FOS? Clearly, it did get discussion going and i don't see why this should be questioned. It was a way to avoid the useless banter that tends to happen at the start of every other Mafia game i've read. 2 the interlude: much of your post here is actually mostly summary, but seeing as you turned blue, i will ignore that for now. Mordanis and I seemed close because we were both pushing for information and discussion. That and out of all the people in this thread, he is the one who actually notices (first) that i stopped doing the hyper aggressive posting. Made it seemed like he actually read the thread as opposed to skimming which allows him to make VALID contributions. 3 ... : The timing is a coincidence. Take it for what you will. I called you a liar because that's what you were at the time. Intentionally leaving out the important part of my contribution to make it look like i am posting filler. (Hegeo claimed it was a mis-quote, but i honestly still believe that he was pushing my case way too hard without any evidence). i said 3 mafia because of Newbie game II, which i had been reading into extensively before playing this game. And using a smiley face as evidence is pretty scummy; who pays attention to smilies in a Mafia game? Why do i need to ask Mordanis for his opinion when he is already giving it? You want me to clog up the thread? + Show Spoiler + after reading your post until here, i still can't believe that you actually flipped blue and not red. I didn't respond to your case on Shaopi because i was absolutely sure that you were scum and trying to deflect the attention. Your case on Shiaopi didn't really have a lot of conviction in it and i didn't want to distract people from focusing your case. 4 heat: + Show Spoiler + seriously? His name? I got it right the first time because i didn't know who posted it and copied it from his post. After that, i wrote his name wrong on accident and kept writing it that way. I will probably keep writing it incorrectly because i have it ingrained in my mind that it is Sciberia and not Sciberbia. ^^^ Not important WIFOM is a well known term in the Mafia community. Too bad if anyone else doesn't. + Show Spoiler + It is in the terms list I was just trying to make sure that people recognized that your case was much more scummy than the others'. I didn't give a shit about mordanis. I only care about making sure people were focused you. I didn't suspect him, he contributed, no need to aggravate him. 5: Will be continued | ||
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no 5. Strikes me as odd. Probably had a 5 but deleted it on second inspection. To me, sounds like grasping at straws and then realizing that the case against myself and mordanis is not as strong as he thought it was. 6. to be continued. | ||
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On May 24 2012 14:06 skware wrote: The way mordanis and release have responded to this post one at a time just seems to lend weight to the accusation. In a majority lynch situation I'd expect to find both mafia as votes for the lynch. Especially with how close it came to being a no lynch. As far as myself goes, I dont think anyone suspected mufaa of anything other than lurking and clearly it went beyond lurking to ignoring the game. I'll be contributing to the thread more after the day post so no one should have similar issues about me. Busy with real life. I didn't even get in before the night post. Believe it or don't believe it. | ||
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I didn't get mad at you. Stop putting feelings? in my mouth. I was stating a fact that delaying your post was never going to look good. I don't ask Mordanis because he just gave a pretty analytical post against you. No need to ask for something which is already there. I don't blame him, you seemed scummiest at the time of posting. Am i not allowed to answer to a post from 80min ago? Should i completely ignore that? You seem to want me to avoid reading that when it was one of your key scummy posts. Benefit of the doubt is what lets mafia get away with being townie, or at least avoiding a lynch. I didn't give you benefit of the doubt because i didn't see any reason to let such a scummy player get away with his life. I did, however, give plenty to milton, because your play was far more scummy than his play. The attack on sciberia was to get him to be more useful. WIFOM is a waste of time and i stand by that. 7. aftermath: I never questioned whether i was right or not because you gave me absolutely no reason to. The cases that you wrote didn't substantiate to anything useful. Your case on ShiaoPi was nice in trying to divide the town's intention though. I feel safe? It's the same as any other "i'm busy" posts or "i have to do something." Mine isn't special. Mufaa was a lurker who obviously wasn't doing anything and having a vote on him is solely to go for a no-lynch which has already been deemed as a waste of a day. Keeping your vote their makes you seem scummy. I'll defend Mordanis in spoilers, but really, this is an attack on your reasoning: + Show Spoiler + stop taking things out of context. He posted the pride thing, THEN posted "i waited." Not completely townie but not exactly scummy either. [8] What i would...: Just because we happen to lynch a townie (if that's what you were, we didn't know), that's not to say that we should be lynched. We should be inspected and roasted, but given a chance to defend. I started putting votes on you. I put a vote on you long before anyone else did because i was so certain. Mordanis probably read my post and responded. Now that that is done i have a few VERY important things to say _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ I have absolutely no reason why i should have to defend myself. I have posted analysis, i have made solid cases. These cases have not been disputed which means to say that i have been telling the truth. If you think i'm then look through my filter, point out my flaws, and build a case against me. Also, i will be looking into Mordanis to see if his actions are motivated by town/scum. He may have been preying on my case against Hegeo because he knew hegeo wasn't mafia, but i cannot say this with conviction until i have checked again. This brings me to my next point: We still have a nice a solid case against Milton. I think this is where we should head next (granted that there is not significant case against Mordanis or I). Also, i want everyone to take a close look at the bandwagon that formed right before Hegeo's death. My vote was the first, Mordanis followed, then a rapid outpouring of votes starting with milton. Milton claims - "there is at least a small chance of him being mafia." to subtly claim that he is townie with no real evidence. Solstice - appears to want a lynch. Votes for his previous posts. Sciberia - has suspicion on both. Seems to vote because Hegeo has not posted yet. Asks for more votes after majority, which i find a little strange. If we do see a sudden change of heart, we know who is scum. ShiaoPi - votes because sciberia said so. Still claims more scumminess from Milton. Thinks for himself, which is more than i can say for a good portion of you. Hegeo - Mordanis. Tries to intercept the bandwagon 5 minutes pre-night post. Didn't dissuade the bandwagon. So, what i get from this is that Sciberia and Mordanis have a little explaining to do. I already mentioned Mordanis above, but ill mention him again, he seemed to be content with following me. Sciberia seemed to be content to lynch Hegeo for the sake of a majority. People really need to start thinking themselves. This i congratualte ShiaoPi on and insist that you keep thinking for oyurself. Night, and i hope to read something useful by morning. | ||
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I wasn't blaming you. Merely casting suspicion. I know you posted first but I had only read up to hegeo's first post when I started typing my response. Didn't see his second or your post. It's what happens after these posts that gets me though. You use emOtion as reasoning which I don't buy. I think it is a cover up for a lack of analysis and just following the townie who has a strong case against another townie. You posted him in red and considering you didn't have any other solid scum reads, why didn't you vote for him? You sure seemed more content to vote for him after I voted. As it stands now your response to this is crucial to my judgement on you. Night for reals. Staying up way too late. | ||
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MEntioned it twice now. Busy with RL. Don't turn this into WIFOM. We had a majority, did we not? (5/9) WHy would you ask for the others to join us as well? If they didn't and we suddenly had a nolynch, we instantly know who is scum. THere is just no point for doing this considering how far away we are from LYLO. | ||
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I was the one trying to get a later deadline. 7PM EST i would get back. Unfortunately, something popped up. So i got back later. | ||
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On May 25 2012 00:56 skware wrote: Nolynch is preferable to lynching a blue. The fact that you disagree with that is pretty scummy. where did i mention i wanted to lynch a blue? You aren't contributing by posting random shit. | ||
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On May 24 2012 08:05 ShiaoPi wrote: So with all the switches we are now at Milton: Me Hegeo: Release, Mordanis, sciberbia, solstice, milton Mufaa: hegeo Not-voting: Golden, Mufaa I do admit Hegeo's absence is highly suspicious although it may be timezonerelated it is 1:00AM right now in CEST. But he had plenty of time beforehand. so let's say ShiaoPi is townie (for this case) and switches to hegeo. hegeo 6. Then milton switches and hegeo 5. Milton could claim that he is just screwing around because the majority is still there. Then ShiaoPi (or whoever else) has a change of heart and switches back to whom he has suspected all along and continued to suspect. That would leave ShiaoPi with a lot of suspicion and Miilton with less. I haven't acused you yet. Merely pointing suspicion. + Show Spoiler + I don't see why everyone gets so defensive at suspicion. This applies to everyone. Doesn't help the town to hold your nuts so tightly. I still say we look at milton because he still has a substantial case against him. | ||
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On May 25 2012 06:12 Miltonkram wrote: I think we all need to take a step back and look at the events of D1 a little more logically and less reactively. Why would a scum team both tunnel the same player? The only thing we're sure of is that hegeo flipped town, that doesn't make his analysis correct, anymore than it makes it incorrect. That being said, since Release and Mordanis were the two to put the most pressure on hegeo, I'd like to analyze their play under all possible circumstances. Mafia + Mafia Why would a scum team link their names D1 of the game? I think we all agree that Mordanis and Release were the most vocal against hegeo, and that could mean they tunneled him because they saw him as a weak target that they wouldn't get much flak for going against. If they are both scum, this is the most likely explanation of their actions. However, I just don't see a good enough reason for scum to band together on D1. That's a short-sighted play that would come back to bite them in the ass later. Possibility: least likely. Townie + Townie If both players were indeed town, an explanation of their actions could be that they just weren't ever satisfied with hegeo's defense. Let's face it, hegeo did not do a good job of defending himself. If he had, I would be the one lynched and he'd still be alive. So far, besides their knee-jerk reactions to hegeo's post, I'd say that they both have had decent, but not great town play. The bad news is, they've both played really scummy ever since hegeo's big reveal. Possibility: still unlikely, but more likely than M + M. Townie + Mafia Here's how I think it happened. The townie player felt he had a good case against his percieved scum target, and was encouraged that others felt the same way. The scum player knew he wouldn't be the only one targeted when hegeo flipped town and thus pulled the trigger and kept pressure on him. Worst case scenario for the scum player is a 50/50 situation where both he and the townie player are under pressure. Possibility: most likely situation. That is my read on last night's events. The good news is I think we have the scum player in the worst possible situation. A 50/50 lynch is still better than a 2/7 lynch. I'm going to go over both Mordanis' and Release's filters to see what kind of a case can be made against them. I've been thinking a lot about these events and I think my analysis is pretty good. Thoughts on this anyone? Just answering the last part first: 2/7? You really think that a lynch is completely random? Trying to draw the town away from doing a real case on someone like you( who already has a substantial case) so they can get that 50/50 lynch? Remember D1: we had a 50/50 lynch (in the town's eyes, it was 100/0 because both seemed scummy, but my point is that there were 2 candidates). Stop trying to trick others with the same illusions that Hegeo did; it's what got him lynched. This is so full of shit and scum. Mafia + Mafia: No. I have already posted on what the Mafia were actually doing when i was roasting hegeo: The Mafia were trying to split our attention between two cases (Hegeo vs Milton/ShiaoPi/Solstice). Then you post some WIFOM filler (not a big deal since you actually posted some analysis) Townie + Townie: Who's been playing scummy since hegeo's reveal? Mordanis knee-jerked, not me. I posted an analytical response to hegeo's post and why the new guy was playing rather poorly. Also, i was the only one to point out that Hegeo's post mysteriously did not have a #5. Townie + Mafia: Mordanis and i both had our own separate cases against Hegeo. There was a small overlap, but we had our own ideas, just against the same person. When that happens, it tends to look bad for that person. Note that i am not refuting either of TT or TM yet, just pointing out the misinformation you are posting. And so what if we pressured him? He seemed scummy. We're supposed to pressure scummy players. If we didn't, we would have your dream random lynch scenario where a townie is more likely lynched. You would love that wouldn't you? Your case was the alternative to Hegeo's case. We chose him and we seemed to have forgotten about you. I haven't. If i'm still alive after the day post, you better watch yourself. ##FOS: Milton | ||
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On May 24 2012 00:45 Release wrote: So right from the start, Milton acts like a Mafia: + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 16:02 Miltonkram wrote: Hey all, just got in from work. I'll wait on pressuring people to see who is a lurker or inactive, but I'm hoping that won't be a big issue. People who still haven't posted since the Day 1 post: -Golden -hegeo -ShiaoPi I'd really like these three players to check in at the very least, if not start to put some information out there. Makes a post to exclude himself from the lurkers when he doesn't provide anything useful. + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 16:25 Miltonkram wrote: Release- I like the way you're starting out this game. If we are going to catch scum we need to be aggressive about it. Don't worry too much about the tone of your posts. sciberbia's post does seem a bit suspicious. He repeats his ideas several times in different ways to make it look like he's putting out more info than he actually is. It seems quite scummy to me. Mordanis- Don't get too offended by aggressive behavior. If mafia doesn't actually think that a little pressure will lead to a lynch, then why should they answer any questions at all? We need to make sure that people are held accountable to what they say. sciberbia- What do you have to say about the accusations pointed at you? There's quite a bit of fluffy information in your post. Let's try to keep the conversation more focused on who might be scum, everything else is secondary. Repeats ideas already mentioned and seems perfectly content to let Sciberia take some heat. This is very early so this post probably helped generate discussion but again, it wasn't anything new to us. + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 19:55 Miltonkram wrote: This'll be my last post for a little while seeing as getting sleep is kind of important. ShiaoPi- While sciberbia's posting content was a bit suspect, I wouldn't read too much into his absence. He did state in his post that he was about to get some sleep. Let's hear what he has to say. Golden- This early in the game I think any town reads are going to be weak, so I don't see much value in posting them. We have to remember that mafia have 90% of the information here. Posting town reads can just cut into the 10% that they don't know. If there is a time when it's important that we post such information (e.g. we think we're about to die, we think the town is about to mislynch) then by all means post it, but right now is not one of those crucial times. The 10% they don't know is the roles which townie/scum reads doesn't give them. You appear to be trying to trick us into stopping the townies from spreading useful information. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 06:16 Miltonkram wrote: Sciberbia- I don't really see a whole lot wrong with what I've posted. Everything I've written, including my suspicions of you, was with the goal to generate discussion. With that being said, admittedly I wasn't active at scumhunting because of the lack of information to work from. With the discussion generated I think there is finally enough info for me to start making cases. I'm currently reading through people's filters and making notes on them. I'll post again soon with my scum reads. I'm getting more and more confident that I have a couple solid cases to make. seems kind of like an excuse for a scum slip to me. This is very vague and you don't seem to have a goal with this post. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 06:53 Miltonkram wrote: Alright, I've got a case that I think has some merit. s0Lstice Note that I'm not complaining about his suspicions of me. I think his suspicions are actually a good townie move. His statement about accusations and defense is really good too. This first post is consistent with good townie play. However, an hour later, without even waiting for my defense he posts: My point is he should have kept pressuring me. I realize that he misread my post somewhat, but he uses that last line of text to look like he's still pressuring me in some way. I think a townie would leave the FOS on me until I've actually done something to defend myself. Right now it seems like he's trying to apply just enough pressure to appear town, without actually committing to it. That's consistent with scum play in my eyes. ##FOS: s0Lstice This post is interesting because Solstice does look inconsistent with his play. Milton calls him out but he doesn't posting this now cause ran out of time. Will continue. On May 24 2012 00:56 Release wrote: EBWOP: ... Calls him out but he doesn't apply any REAL pressure. Not asking for a response of any kind. The FOS appears to be for courtesy rather than pressure. At this point, SOlstice's defense appears to be much more solid than your accusations, which is saying something because accusations are typed without pressure whereas defenses are typed under pressure. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 08:16 Miltonkram wrote: I already had suspicions of ShiaoPi, but his latest "defense" just makes him feel more scummy in my eyes. At this point ShiaoPi seems like he is just treading water. I think he's either bad town or panicking mafia. Please note the sections that I have bolded in his quote. He never addresses the fact that he's being attacked because his posts lack content. He keeps trying to focus attention on other players as a means of defending himself, rather than actually defending himself with content. Then he makes a list of active players, in order to make himself look like he's accomplishing something. How much does that list actually accomplish? If you look over his filter, how many people has he actually put real pressure on? He put some very weak pressure on hegeo, only after Mordanis pressured him first. He's been gunning for Mufaa, a very easy player to gun for since he's lurking like crazy. @ s0Lstice- Thank you for clearing up why you were suspicious of me. I'm still not sure you're town, but at the very least that clears up some of my suspicions. For now I'm lessening my focus on you and shifting it to ShiaoPi. ##unFOS: s0Lstice ##FOS: ShiaoPi Plucking at straws. He realizes that his arguement against solstice is fruitless so he points the torch at ShaoPi. He concerns over defense when SHaoPi aims towards pointing out scum. In Mafia, pointing out scum is more valuable than hugging fellow townies. Why wouldn't you want him to point out scum? If he has a stronger case than your case against him, the town will lynch for his case, rather than yours, thus providing a strong defense. Your post is illogical. The rest of the post is useless filler. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 08:34 Miltonkram wrote: Also, I think it's time we light a fire under Mufaa to get him posting. @ Mufaa- If you want me to change my vote for you, you better get in here and start posting. It's really hard to have good town play if even one person is lurking. ##Vote: Mufaa This is something I think everyone should keep in mind. We only have one player who is hardcore lurking. That means we have at least one mafia who is staying fairly active in the thread. I need some more time to think this line of thought through (What kind of active town benefits a mafia? What can we do to prevent that kind of town from happening?), but it's good to keep in mind when reading through a player's filter. pure crap. Voting for the lurker on D1 is never a good idea when there are obvious scum targets at hand. Very wishy-washy with his constant change in thought. Trying to confuse the town? i'll stop here because i ran out of time for real this time, but if i had to switch away from Hegeo, you would be my next target. Milton, you scumbag, respond to these. From long time ago and you still haven't responded. Too bad i was still focussed on Hegeo after i posted this... But that's what you wanted isn't it? You split the town's attention so that there would be two cases and i wouldn't focus as closely on one as i would the other. | ||
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The mafia wouldn't do this. It's too obvious and scummy. Oh, so they might do this to trick us. But maybe they think that they will trick us so they just stick to the original plan, and what if the town thought of that? Shit, let's switch... WIFOM | ||
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You have to realize how early in the game i posted that first comment about "focus on this game." I wanted to get us talking. Besides that, he seemed to make a point independent of the reference, and tell a story with his reference to the other game. I use my reference as a support for my statement; to clarify something that was otherwise considered insignificant or unclear. People had started to suggest that a mistake=Scum and i wanted to prove that wrong. will continue reading because i haven't finished solstice's entire post yet. | ||
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Also, Milton is confusing me right now with his play + Show Spoiler + not calling him mafia at this point but literally just confusing Also, Milton has made a sudden reappearance into the suspicion list. This feels like bandwagoning even though i have asked numerous times for people to think for themselves. The more i read into this, i more i feel like Milton is being put into the same situation that Hegeo was put in. For milton: Present me with a solid case about why you think Mordanis or I (or someone else if their filter shows something) is a scum. I don't want to see any more of the light pressure that got you suspicious in the first place. I don't want to see any of the half-hearted shit Hegeo pulled on us. If you want me to firmly believe that you are town material, you will do as a i ask. I'm giving you what Hegeo wanted but didn't receive: The benefit of the doubt. Don't betray this sentiment. | ||
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Next sentence is absolutely WIFOM. Completely useless i can't disagree with you there. But i do this to give people a sense of how i'm feeling. A bit emotional, if you will. I attacked him after this because his reasoning was poor (and false in c). + Show Spoiler + dont' look into the timing and say "oh, you replied 10 minutes after he wrote." I stated prethread that this is when i get home. | ||
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You pointed out an interesting problem: We have way too many people suspect because they are not posting useful information. This goes back to my earlier post which i said: If you're not going to post anything useful, why feel obligated to post? This seems like a dead end because Hegeo was the one who refuted this, but i need to look more carefull to see who else promoted non-useful posts. + Show Spoiler + I was much more active earlier and i'm not going to be able to keep that up. I am on some medication and it makes me kind of high and it makes my reading comprehension low, so i need to read more carefully before posting. | ||
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On May 26 2012 20:43 skware wrote: ##Vote: Release Going to sleep/work probably wont be back til after the vote may i ask why? During day 1 after reflecting on my push against Hegeo, i realized that we had two independent cases. I realized this was probably the Mafia's intention (to split our attention). now you post this + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2012 21:29 O.Golden_ne wrote: @s0lstice. 1. Scumhunting: You're saying that i havent been searching for scum? I've read as much of this thread as you have. Are you saying that i'm not scumhunting because i have focussed on a single player instead of flipping between several all the time. Accusing everyone? It's my opinion that there are different roles of town, and not every town needs to be flinging shit at everyone. Whether or not Release is a town, he's been doing this just fine. I initially got a town vibe from him but because of the Mordanis/Release link i'm still uncertain of his loyalty. I digress. 2. Accountability: yes i must admit i did plan on posting a more in depth post on the issue. And in hindsight its very stupid i didnt because now my case i easily tainted if i was on the right track. eg. if YOU s0lstice and milton were mafia this is a perfect deflection, "omg, where is your argument on milton.. you must be making filler" if you were to pick me for accountability can i point you to this filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=337671&user=154712 if anyone should be accountable it should be Mufaa's replacement. he has a total of 4 very small posts. perhaps there is a reason mufaa wasn't modkilled. my argument on Milton still stands. i should be online for a little longer. which is basically saying that you had no intentions of ever looking towards Hegeo's case seriously. This makes me believe that you are one of the mafia who tried to split our attention. do we have 3 hours left or 27 hours left? | ||
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On May 22 2012 18:06 O.Golden_ne wrote: Good evening all, Well i've been following everything today via iPhone at work, but i'll be most active in the evenings. Such as now! Okay to start things off, Release has taken a very aggressive stance. This seems standard, someone always needs to shake things up. That being said, it was fairly amusing watching him post #FOS at anyone posting. I had a LOL at my desk. While it is good to shake things up, which he is doing. I do feel like he sort of shut down several good points that both Mordanis and Sciberbia have made, and is picking on some very minor problems with their posts that would be expected so early in the game. Please dont focus on the semantics so much Release. + Show Spoiler + A better word for "mistake" in this context is "slip", and i advise people to use slip in the future because it more accurately denotes what a bad mafia would do. I think take a bit to absorb what everyone is saying. Please remember that there are 7 of us Town and while discouraging fluff is essential in dissecting the mafia from the pack you need to keep in mind that the majority of us are town and we WANT to promote discussion. Pointing the finger at everyone that talks, for semantics OR their opinions is perhaps not the best way to encourage people to engage in a profitable discussion. To add my 2 cents on the DayOneLynch (D1L) I agree with hegeo, Release and Mordanis. It is my opinion that on day one we need to lynch someone, it provides a lot of information and in the optimum situation we can get lucky and hit a mafia. I'd rather mislynch one of our own, then wait a day and one of us get sniped. Ending up in a similar circumstance to the start of D1 just minus a player. Ugh. Also, i consider lurkers to be quite scummy. So unless a lurker posts some seriously good content every day, they will be under some scrutiny from myself. @Miltonkram, what is your on opinion on hegeo's statement: You claim that i shut down Mordanis and Sciberia. This was extremely early game stuff that the town pretty much had a consensus for and i didn't want to spend all day discussing lynch vs nolynch. Next, you try to stop people from looking at my point that mistake=/= slip. This is an important point, not merely semantics. Pure BS. Pointing the finger DID get discussion going though. You seem to be allergic to the finger. + Show Spoiler + dont like pressure Next you agree with the consensus. No problem here. You consider lurkers quite scummy in the next part: It's day 1 and we should be looking for scum not lurkers. + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 20:45 O.Golden_ne wrote: @Miltonkram. good point. this early in the game it IS unlikely anyone will have a solid town or mafia read. I think it's crucial everyone establishes a list of who they suspect to be town and mafia. However, it might be wise to only publicly question, accuse and point suspicions once you've got several points of reasoning. As i don't want people to have to be defending themselves against 'scummy' accusations due to poor semantics and one-off poor wording. I think people's overall playstyle is a much greater indicator of their allegiance then a one-off slip (or mistake). Obviously other's may have a much more reactive play style where they will prefer to isolate single remarks. Though i want to take a look at a larger picture before casting my votes. Note that if other peoples reads on single-posts match with my overall read of a player i'll pay it attention. (and if someone makes some high level analysis of a post) TL;DR 1. Unlikely to have solid town/mafia reads this early. 2. Keep a personal list of reads. 3. Only post accusations when you've got some good reasoning rather than pointing the finger willy-nilly. 4. IMO. A players overall style should have a more considerable weighting than a one off post. I will vote accordingly unless there is a good analysis of why a players post may be a scum-slip. My intention for this post is to try add a little structure, so that when deadlines start looming we're not left flailing in the deep. Also, just reading Hegeo's recent posts. I didn't even notice Mordanis's comment about me. He was in my first (and last) game and i enjoyed his play style as he was fairly active. I however was not, and had to pull out of that game due to personal reasons. I plan on being quite active and want to keep my posting fairly succinct, my posts in the previous game became large walls of texts and i want to avoid this. So i have and will be including TL:DR's wherever applicable. Milton said that he doesn't want us to post reads with the town. My opinion is that this is wrong. You however, seem to agree and want to prevent the town from spreading crucial information. Next, again, you seem to be stopping the flow of information, asking people to wait. Essentially, you're letting scum get away with one slip, and only want to pressure them if they make more slips. Feels like you want to target newbies rather than scum. Next comes your excuse for not posting as much. However, you haven't really posted many times with multiple quotes despite that being your point. TL:DR is shit in mafia. Everyone should read entire posts when they have the time. TL:DR is more likely a way to subtly skew the information that was included in the entire post. For ex: 1 is a summary of what you wrote, but what you wrote actually implies that you don't want us to share information. by itself, 1 is completely useless. Some more mumbo-jumbo and your wish to be "quite active" clearly hasn't been followed. Accountability: Fail. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 06:14 O.Golden_ne wrote: @Sciberbia: RE: Miltonkram. I was getting exactly the same read. I have found all his posts to date fairly inline with what i have experienced as mafia in the past. I have wanted to hear more from him since his first post, that's why i directed my question to him. His answer has a good point about us not having much information currently to make any solid stances, however he DOES side with all the safest views and DOESNT put anything ground breaking or new into the public arena before sidelining and going to bed. Definitely need to hear more from him before the day is out if he plans on having a leg to stand on, as i can see at the very least a case forming on him for being fluffy lurker. @Mordanis: RE: Hegeo. You raise some good points, but like i said earlier i can't base a vote on just a single incriminating post. Sometime people only have a short amount of time to zip into the thread and post. and in my experience ALL rushed posts come off with a scum vibe. So i for one am going to let the "coincidence" debate slide on this one, and try read a little further into other statements today before casting my vote. This is very important to establish early on also, for everyone. If you're town, you've got nothing to worry about other than posting as much info as you can before you die. We all don't want to be lynched because playing is fun, however its more important to play WELL than to play for a LONG TIME. Play for the team, not for yourself as thats how scum play. @Hegeo. I'd love to see your response to Releases accusation. As his is the most tangible accusation to date. Because he's acctually got a vote behind it! Please rebut. I'll be posting more in my lunch break in 5 hours. c u soon Sciberia posts just before you (about mordanis/hegeo) and you respond about Milton. This is distracting and confusing to the town. Although maybe you haven't got ideas on Mordanis/Hegeo. But then, you should be taking your time to get some info on this case. You agree criticize Milton for the exact thing that you are doing. And you don't acknolwedge this in your post. Again, you appear to be trying to stop the flow of information and thoughts. Then you post some filler about townies playing for the town. Pretty obvious and useless... + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 17:05 O.Golden_ne wrote: @Release. Sorry, i am here don't stress, it 6:00pm and i finished at 5:00pm l logged on the moment i got home!! It's hard to make time except for after work. I am catching up on all the happenings and will post a more in depth post in a moment. i was hoping you'd post something useful when you came back, but this isn't anything important. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 18:14 O.Golden_ne wrote: I want to post a few of my reads so far in the public arena, hopefully my separation from todays events will give me a different perspective and perhaps help in focusing from the 4 or so cases down to a smaller number. 1. Mufaa. Obviously useless. I'm more than happy to give him the boot, however before we do i'd like to look into some other avenues of lynching because if he keeps up his current style and fails to post a vote before the day is out he will be modkilled. Why waste a lynch on someone who is most likely to get killed by moderators! haha. That being said if he posts intermittently just to hang into the game. then we instantly should usher him from the game as it's fairly obvious he's just hanging around to get his Mafia night kills in. 2. Miltonkram (open his filter in another window for this, it should be easy to follow and not too long.) Just to state the facts. His first few points were very summary-esque. I'm wary of these sorts of posts early in game as it means a player can conceal their views and reveal them at a later date when real discussion is happening. It gives the impression that he is contributing whereas he is actually delaying input so to clutter later on. next. he moves to pressure s0lstice. (after s0lstice posted, then removed his #FOS) in what i see as a defensive measure under the "rationale" that s0lstice should have continued with his pressure. it is my opinion that he did this to cement his 'innocence' by 'promoting' a more thorough pressuring in future. next. after his accusation of s0lstice (FOR ALTERNATING HIS #FOS TO QUICKLY) do you know what he does? His next post in his filter is moving his defensive #FOS against s0lstice (quite hypocritically i might add) onto another player (ShiaoPi). next. he avoids his next suspicion (ShiaoPi) and jumps on a bandwagon of voting against Mufaa. (which i'm fine with, except for the context its in) I feel that Miltonkram's play is quite scummy. 3. Hegeo I pretty much agree with Mordanis on this player, but i will reserve voting. 4. ShiaoPi This player has been very defensive the whole game. It's hard to get a read from someone when they are being defensive. He does a good job of trying to avert suspicion from him. The problem with defensive play is that you start to get suspicious of the person accusing you. Thoughts & Comments Obviously i need to read a little more into the other players but these are some i have focussed on so far. Miltonkram sticks out to me the most out of the non-lurkers however. I urge everyone, both people being defensive and offensive. To have a re-read over the person they are accusing/defending and try to see their other posts that arent aimed to you. Perhaps you will get a bit more insight into their position as remember there is 7 of us trying to figure this out! ##FOS Miltonkram Some obvious points about Mufaa. But considering he had votes against him, i can dismiss this. Again, criticizing Milton for doing the same things that you are doing. You post a lot of summary here with a few light pinches of analysis. You agree with mordanis. Mordanis thinks Hegeo is scum. You don't want to vote for the scum (or at least a scummy looking person) is what i get from this. The point about ShiaoPi has probably the most analysis in the whole post. But it doesn't include anything incriminating nor does it praise him for good townie play. You seem to be willing to go either way with ShiaoPi, ready to jump on the townies reads rather than providing your own opinions. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 19:27 O.Golden_ne wrote: @ShaoPi your #FOS of s0lstice seems to be more in retaliation to his argument against you that of any solid evidence. That being said. @s0lstice, i can't see any reason why you're going for ShaoPi. both of you seem to be tunnelling eachother for knee-jerk voting the other. could each of you please write in dot points your arguments. I just need a simplified summary of your cases as i'm having trouble following them. @Miltonkram. Thank you for your swift reply. I understand that you can now see the holes in your play and it looks like you're ready to get into the swing of posting a bit more content. To get that started.. can you clarify your stance on ShaoPi for me in dot points also. i'm still waiting to see the community's response to my post on you and i'd like some discussion before i remove or act on my #FOS. your comments have been noted. More support for your TL:DR. Read the damn posts. Read them twice if you don't get it the first time. Lazy play, or trying to waste the townies' time. Doesn't look good for you. Some more excuses for waiting rather than posting but at least you appear to be taking in others' opinions. Still, nothing brilliant here. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 19:35 O.Golden_ne wrote: I'm liking that concise post sciberbia. Goodluck in exam. I agree with this point. Mufaa is a very easy option for us to lynch day one. Consider that he may be used as an escape option for the Mafia in day one. I personally think he will be modkilled. If Mufaa isn't modkilled i'll be super suspicious of him. BECAUSE, the only thing that can him from a modkill is a vote. Lurking that hard, followed by a vote is good grounds for a vig snipe or a day 2 lynch. I'm out for while. More on Mufaa. This time, it seems like crap. You have already said it once, and there is no point in saying it again. And the thought of wasting a vigi shot on him is shit. Vigi should shoot for scum that don't appear to be getting lynched. + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2012 06:32 O.Golden_ne wrote: thank god i didn't miss the deadline. I went to sleep and forgot to vote. I'm going to stand by my earlier posts about miltonkram. but before i vote i want to say that i will change to Hegeo in the case that we dont get enough votes for a lynch, i like Mordanis and Releases argument on him. In the case the miltonkram flips town, i'm going seriously question ShiaoPi however. @Hegeo can you please swap your vote of Mufaa, he is most likely modkilled. ##Vote: Miltonkram Nice hop on the bandwagon there. Your earlier posts were not solid convictions. They were very light and gave you the option to hop on the bandwagon without providing solid evidence. Your entire play has lacked convicting posts, always very wishy-washy, non-commital play. + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2012 19:00 O.Golden_ne wrote: woah, Doctor killed. we're really behind now ![]() i'll mull over hegeo's final post before day two, it's really hard to draw links between players so early. but alot of what he has said works out. also Release, i dont think there was much of fiasco at the end of day one. the voting was fairly logical and it didnt seemed too rushed from anyone. people just switched over the the mis-lynch of hegeo. You seem to be overemphasizing Hegeo's post here. He died, but it doesn't automatically make him correct, but you seem to agree, yet you seem to not have looked through the early posts again. Trying to get a bandwagon started for myself and Mordanis is what i assume. + Show Spoiler + On May 25 2012 12:26 O.Golden_ne wrote: Okay this sucks. 2 team members down. I have been following but wok is super busy so I have to quickly duck in here during my lunch break on my phone. In going to write a large analysis this afternoon so about 5hours from thi post. Im not going to address sciberbias final post yet though I think it has credence. The most heated debate at the moment is between 3 candidates. Release, Morsanis and miltonkram. Here's my read on the events at the moment. Hegeos got smashed, and his final post carries the most weight of anything in this entire thread. Since this time both Morsanis and release have been scrambling to defend themselves and appear least scummy. By the fact that they are both quite defensive I feel that miltonkram is right in saying one of them is most likely scum. However miltonkram by posting this opinion in relationship to his former situation makes me feel like he's using this as a great opportunity to avert attention from himself over to shiaopi. It is my opinion so far that miltonkram is mafia, and one of either Morsanis or release is also. I also think that his repetition about the 50/50 things makes him look very scummy as there is little content for so much taking. I'll quote it in my big post this arvo if it's still relevant. Another empty promise. Another overemphasis on Hegeo's post. Agreeing with Milton's assumption based post= "i'll join the bandwagon if you start one" Trying to nail milton to the wall because i did. This is one of the posts that made me realize that Milton is more or less in the same situation as Hegeo. You seem to be one advocating this. + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2012 21:29 O.Golden_ne wrote: @s0lstice. 1. Scumhunting: You're saying that i havent been searching for scum? I've read as much of this thread as you have. Are you saying that i'm not scumhunting because i have focussed on a single player instead of flipping between several all the time. Accusing everyone? It's my opinion that there are different roles of town, and not every town needs to be flinging shit at everyone. Whether or not Release is a town, he's been doing this just fine. I initially got a town vibe from him but because of the Mordanis/Release link i'm still uncertain of his loyalty. I digress. 2. Accountability: yes i must admit i did plan on posting a more in depth post on the issue. And in hindsight its very stupid i didnt because now my case i easily tainted if i was on the right track. eg. if YOU s0lstice and milton were mafia this is a perfect deflection, "omg, where is your argument on milton.. you must be making filler" if you were to pick me for accountability can i point you to this filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=337671&user=154712 if anyone should be accountable it should be Mufaa's replacement. he has a total of 4 very small posts. perhaps there is a reason mufaa wasn't modkilled. my argument on Milton still stands. i should be online for a little longer. 1) I kind of already adressed this in my prior post. 2) Proven time and time again that you fail at this. good point about Skware though. I'll give you that. + Show Spoiler + On May 27 2012 02:41 O.Golden_ne wrote: Okay i'm not sure how this is going to sit with everyone, but since i need to get a little more active than i have been AND its the weekend i'm going to say that i re-read over Mordanis's entire refutation of the Hegeo's final post. I think that Mordanis and Release are victims of circumstance in this situation. Mordanis's posts strike me as well thought out and very analytical, especially in his rebuttal of his link to Release. Release; i've got a new-town vibe from him from the get go. Not afraid to get his hands dirty for the sake of the town. I'm however usually a little more reserved, i think town has places for both our kinds of players. I also find it strange that 2 people have posted their cases on Mordanis so swiftly. Shiaopi and Miltonkram. I don't think that it's too far of a leap to presume that Mordanis is a very easy case today. It's worth a little thought. Also, if there isn't a solid unified case today then Mufaa/Skware is a must-lynch. This is a useless player =/ thoughts? the deadline approaches. Now you finally disagree with yourself and say that Hegeo's final post shouldn't carry as much weight as it has. You actually make a fairly good point about Skware, but ifeel you need to rebuttal to at least one of the posts against you. Since beginning writing this post, more replies have come so i need to read before i can comment on SHiaoPi. + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + | ||
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On May 25 2012 08:17 Release wrote: Milton, you scumbag, respond to these. From long time ago and you still haven't responded. Too bad i was still focussed on Hegeo after i posted this... But that's what you wanted isn't it? You split the town's attention so that there would be two cases and i wouldn't focus as closely on one as i would the other. On May 25 2012 11:34 Miltonkram wrote: I'm going to be reading the filters for a while, so no posts from me for a bit. Right now my top scumreads are: -ShiaoPi: I think he excuses his scummy play by calling it play style. He came into the game with lurker/defensive play in mind, and only after he realized such play wouldn't cut it did he really get active. -Release/Mordanis: I'm not sure which one of these is scum, but I'm convinced that one of them used the other to cover their scumminess. Lastly, I've defended my play here: + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 19:02 @ Golden- You raise several good points, and I will do my best to explain my line of thinking. First you stated about me: The intention of my posts was to generate pressure and discussion. This being my first game, I felt that things such as the list I made and the pressure on sciberbia would be viewed as more threatening than they were actually taken. I believe s0Lstice used the term "weaksauce" to describe them, and looking back, I'm going to have to agree with him. In short, I think you're making a big deal out of some town play of mine that was admittedly less than stellar. The next part of your post states: This next part is actually kind of funny, it was a reading comprehension error on my part, a reading comprehension error of his reading comprehension error. I thought it was crazy how flimsy his FOS was, I feel a bit stupid now that I realize what he was saying. Essentially, I did the exact same thing to him that he did to me. As for the last part of your post towards me: I want you to know that I am still gunning for ShiaoPi. I hope we don't have to lynch Mufaa, but he needs to know that my vote for him will stand until he starts posting or I think he'll get modkilled/replaced. Right now, I'm going to continue pressuring ShiaoPi. Even if we don't lynch him today, our late game will be much better if we can get him to post something other than his wishy-washy defensive play. If you still have a problem with my defense that's fine. Quite honestly, I'm kind of expecting to get lynched tonight anyway. Maybe when/if I get lynched it will be for the best and people will actually take my accusations seriously, but I'm going to continue to play the best I can no matter what. I'll be back in a little while. i think your defense is shit. Do it again, properly, or My vote is going to be on you and is not going to change unless some claims to be sum with a case on themselves. + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2012 02:54 Miltonkram wrote: Regarding people's suspicions of me. I've already explained my line of reasoning. My pressure on s0Lstice was a mistake on my part, simple as that. I'm willing to switch my vote on Mufaa, since I think he will be replaced/modkilled. All people had been saying up to that point in time amounted to, "Mufaa, we'd really like to hear from you." I wanted to see if he would make a response to some real pressure. I think we can agree that voting for someone is the most pressure you can put on them. At the time I was trying to do two things at once, pressure ShiaoPi and pressure Mufaa. I guess I didn't make it clear what I was doing. Also, I hadn't considered this: He's guaranteed to be lynched D2 if he does pop in to vote, so I won't concern myself with him anymore. My top scumread is still ShiaoPi. Essentially, he plays scum exactly how I would. His entire D1 posts have been pretty wishy-washy and noncommittal, allowing him freedom later in the game because he hasn't actually tied himself strongly to the information or accusations in any of his posts. With that in mind let's look at his first post. + Show Spoiler + Just came back from university. First of all we should definetly go for a lynch, no-lynch is (at least in my opinion) utter nonsense. Regarding Lurkers, I believe that they should be put under suspicion especially in a 9 player setup. I was in the same game as mufaa and lurking screwed us over pretty badly in a 13 player game. I must say I really like release's approach until now, we won't get anything worthwhile from just being nice to each other. Pressuring is a great way to get some more information and should be utilizied. The only slightly suspicious thing until now was sciberbia's long post and his absence since then, but until he responds there is nothing to make of it. Here's what he does, he compliments the most active player early on (Release) and talks about playstyle. Then he adds some weak suspicions toward sciberbia. Suspicion that he can easily back down from, and that certainly isn't breaking any new ground. Wait, doesn't this sound a lot like another early post? + Show Spoiler + Release- I like the way you're starting out this game. If we are going to catch scum we need to be aggressive about it. Don't worry too much about the tone of your posts. sciberbia's post does seem a bit suspicious. He repeats his ideas several times in different ways to make it look like he's putting out more info than he actually is. It seems quite scummy to me. Mordanis- Don't get too offended by aggressive behavior. If mafia doesn't actually think that a little pressure will lead to a lynch, then why should they answer any questions at all? We need to make sure that people are held accountable to what they say. sciberbia- What do you have to say about the accusations pointed at you? There's quite a bit of fluffy information in your post. Let's try to keep the conversation more focused on who might be scum, everything else is secondary. That's right, his entire first post is a rehash of one of my first posts. A post I made before him. If my first post wasn't breaking any new ground, his certainly wasn't. It seems a good way to blend in with the crowd without sticking his neck out there. He goes on to immediately back down from his pressure with this post. + Show Spoiler + Maybe I should have rephrased my post on the suspicions towards you Sciberbia: I was not that much concerned about your absence but just on the amount of seemingly "useless" things within the post. Don't see anything wrong with your elaborations on it now. Here we get the first taste of ShiaoPi's tactic. He pressures someone and then states, "Oh, I wasn't actually pressuring you." It seems like a good way to blend in while also "contributing" as scum. This is just the first instance of his noncommittal aggression. Let's look at his suspicions of hegeo. + Show Spoiler + I am unsure what to make of hegeo. The one thing which seems suspicious to me is his timing after being called out, the other stuff could easily be bad townie or careful day 1 play. Seeing that I am getting flak for my style it is easy to see why he gets thoroughly investigated now. What stands out from his posts is the analytical part. It seems to be lacking solidity to make the longer posts which he does not really support (see: + Show Spoiler +) Basing from this statement he must himself believe to have solid cases going with his "wall of texts", but in my opinion they are not solid at all. Once again this is "suspicion" that he doesn't actually have to commit to, and he hopes he won't be held accountable for. I would ask you all this, who would be more damaging as scum? The actions I've taken in the game have all been actions that I've committed to. (barring the mistake I made with s0Lstice, but that was just me being dumb.) You can actually tie me to what I've written and hold me accountable later in the game, whereas ShiaoPi seems to have some sort of "escape clause" in almost every single one of his posts. The only thing he's been adamant about has been his FOS of s0Lstice, and that pressure has a built in escape to it, seeing as he can excuse himself by saying that s0Lstice had pressured him first. Anyway, what are people's thoughts on this? Seeing as I'll be away for an hour or two I'm going to go ahead and vote. ##unVote: Mufaa ##Vote: ShiaoPi you switch away and point out the obvious about Mufaa. Not useful at all, except that it stops people from accusing you of being obvious scum. ShiaoPi was being fair to sciberia, if anything. It was pretty much the first content post and clearly, sciberia was inexperienced and had questions to ask us. Ok, so you point out that SHiaoPi repeated your arguement. That's fair, but if you criticize him, go criticize yourself too. Sciberia was new to the game. he flipped town which confirms that his questions were a valid attempt to understand the game and ShiaoPi clearly just trying to see how Sciberia responds. I'll admit here that ShiaoPi is very noncommital, but i think your are being quite overcommital with your vote based on this case that you could almost apply to yourself. + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2012 07:39 Miltonkram wrote: ShiaoPi, I did not deliberately disregard your later posts. However, real life has gotten in the way of me posting more content and my follow up analysis of your later posts was left undone. Suffice to say, I think what you call play style is actually your built in excuse for your scummy behavior. I think the healthy town atmosphere has forced you to be more active than you originally planned, and only after you were pressured by s0Lstice and myself did you begin to post decent, but not good, content. If I may sum up your play style for the sake of time: -Lurk until there is pressure on you -Respond to pressure with mostly defensive statements -When that doesn't work, begin to put counter-pressure on your attacker -Bandwagon on me once you see that I'm a prime lynch I'd post more direct analysis, but once again, time is running short. Everyone, I hope you can figure out why this is scummy activity in my eyes. If I get lynched today, I hope you keep this in mind. The pressure seems to be off ShiaoPi right now, so unless I can miraculously convince you all to vote for him I guess I'll have to switch my targets. Here you try to apply some stereotypical Scum characteristics on him without too much elaboration. No time? I might have given you that if you posted an analysis after that post but i can't find any. You suddenly seem to have dropped his case. That is scummy + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2012 07:54 Miltonkram wrote: Very well, I don't like making this move, but if we lynch hegeo, there is at least a small chance of him being mafia. ##unVote: ShiaoPi ##Vote: hegeo For the record, if you lynch me and see me flip town, that doesn't mean hegeo is mafia. Too much of his case has been circumstantial, and too much of it has been just a few vocal players tunneling him. If you don't believe hegeo was scum, don't vote him. But you seem keen on joining the bandwagon for him. Also, no analysis here: so you don't have to defend yourself against false analysis and to claim that you just want a majority vote. + Show Spoiler + On May 25 2012 06:12 Miltonkram wrote: I think we all need to take a step back and look at the events of D1 a little more logically and less reactively. Why would a scum team both tunnel the same player? The only thing we're sure of is that hegeo flipped town, that doesn't make his analysis correct, anymore than it makes it incorrect. That being said, since Release and Mordanis were the two to put the most pressure on hegeo, I'd like to analyze their play under all possible circumstances. Mafia + Mafia Why would a scum team link their names D1 of the game? I think we all agree that Mordanis and Release were the most vocal against hegeo, and that could mean they tunneled him because they saw him as a weak target that they wouldn't get much flak for going against. If they are both scum, this is the most likely explanation of their actions. However, I just don't see a good enough reason for scum to band together on D1. That's a short-sighted play that would come back to bite them in the ass later. Possibility: least likely. Townie + Townie If both players were indeed town, an explanation of their actions could be that they just weren't ever satisfied with hegeo's defense. Let's face it, hegeo did not do a good job of defending himself. If he had, I would be the one lynched and he'd still be alive. So far, besides their knee-jerk reactions to hegeo's post, I'd say that they both have had decent, but not great town play. The bad news is, they've both played really scummy ever since hegeo's big reveal. Possibility: still unlikely, but more likely than M + M. Townie + Mafia Here's how I think it happened. The townie player felt he had a good case against his percieved scum target, and was encouraged that others felt the same way. The scum player knew he wouldn't be the only one targeted when hegeo flipped town and thus pulled the trigger and kept pressure on him. Worst case scenario for the scum player is a 50/50 situation where both he and the townie player are under pressure. Possibility: most likely situation. That is my read on last night's events. The good news is I think we have the scum player in the worst possible situation. A 50/50 lynch is still better than a 2/7 lynch. I'm going to go over both Mordanis' and Release's filters to see what kind of a case can be made against them. I've been thinking a lot about these events and I think my analysis is pretty good. Thoughts on this anyone? we've been over this: too many assumptions, an attempt to fool the town. + Show Spoiler + On May 25 2012 10:20 Miltonkram wrote: @ Release- Misinformation? Where? All I'm trying to do is explain the assumption that I'll be working from as I analyze you and Mordanis's posts. In my post I was stating all the possibilities so that I could begin eliminating those possibilities that are less likely. From this point on, I am assuming that between the two of you (Release, Mordanis), I'm pretty sure one of you is scum and one of you is town. Let me restate this plainly: I don't think both of you are mafia. I don't think both of you are town. I think one of you is mafia and one of you is town. I believe this for the reasons I stated in my last long post. an assumption based defense; scummy Accusing me of labeling analysis as WIFOM. Your assumptions absolutely were WIFOM because there is nothing concrete to go by. + Show Spoiler + [QUOTE]On May 25 2012 11:34 Miltonkram wrote: I'm going to be reading the filters for a while, so no posts from me for a bit. Right now my top scumreads are: -ShiaoPi: I think he excuses his scummy play by calling it play style. He came into the game with lurker/defensive play in mind, and only after he realized such play wouldn't cut it did he really get active. -Release/Mordanis: I'm not sure which one of these is scum, but I'm convinced that one of them used the other to cover their scumminess. Lastly, I've defended my play here: + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 19:02 @ Golden- You raise several good points, and I will do my best to explain my line of thinking. First you stated about me: If you still have a problem with my defense that's fine. Quite honestly, I'm kind of expecting to get lynched tonight anyway. Maybe when/if I get lynched it will be for the best and people will actually take my accusations seriously, but I'm going to continue to play the best I can no matter what. I'll be back in a little while. suddenly you seem to have remembered your case on ShiaoPi after the lynch. Why not keep pushing his case until the very end if you actually believed that he was scum? and from here, you make some statements on Mordanis and I that have since been addressed so i won't go over again. + Show Spoiler + [QUOTE]On May 27 2012 03:59 Miltonkram wrote: We need to come to a consensus on skware quickly. We have less than 5 hours until deadline. skware is a pure policy lynch at this point, we simply don't have enough information to make a case for him or against him. Since he stated that he likely won't be back until after the deadline we need to plan for the worst case scenario, that he won't make it back in time. We don't gain much info from him if he flips either way, under that line of reasoning he could very well be scum. Thoughts? Golden's defense does not satisfy me, and that leads me to believe he's having difficulty figuring out a way to defend his actions. With that in mind ##Vote: O.Golden_ne If we decide that skware is the policy lynch I will switch my vote to him. Mordanis, I want to hear a defense from you, otherwise I will consider switching my vote to you. A vote on Golden as well as some random talk about lynching Skware. Like with mufaa, we don't need to worry about Skware until he disappears and probably gets modkilled. Then, you make a sentence which essentially gives you an opportunity to jump on a Mordanis bandwagon, should it start. So, if i die tonight, i beg that you lynch Milton. Lynch him to hell. | ||
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We should not waste entire nights like these doing nothing. Don't go shooting yourself in the foot by posting a few responses. There is still a large amount of scummy play in there. Half assed posting is exactly what got Hegeo lynched. Don't repeat his mistakes. | ||
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##Vote: ShiaoPi | ||
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The way I see it, he and Milton are scum. Milton plays badly enough that we can always et him lynched. (he is an exception to the above rule because he had sEveral obvious pro-scum posts. | ||
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Milton, plz, if you are able to read this in time, don't go wasting your time defending yourself. I made that case by concluding that every single action = scum. Don't respond to that. Go build a case on someone else. | ||
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##vote: Mordanis On May 29 2012 03:08 Mordanis wrote: We've been duped I think. This is probably the bigger reason why we shouldn't have talked about policy. It's not so much that it is sort of filler and a way for scum to come off as protown, but more because it shows the scum what our attitudes are. Mufaa has already admitted to winning a previous game as scum by lurking + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 09:25 Mufaa wrote: I was Mafia in XIII and the amount of lurkers in a 12 person game ruined it. We won after a misread by the vig n3 because 2 of the mafia lurked all 3 days and so did 2 townies and he guessed wrong. If we want to find the scum we need as much content out of everyone as possible. More content means more room for mafia mistakes while townies can't make a mistake if they're being honest. On May 23 2012 00:30 Release wrote: We need to start panicking if no one votes and it is a short time before the deadline. This is textbook no lynch territory. In this case, we need to start piling our votes on one candidate who has appeared the most scummy. Worst case scenario, we look at lurkers and choose to lynch one of them. Still, we need more information, especially because this is Day1 and we only have some 8 hours left and no concrete scum yet. On May 23 2012 04:45 Release wrote: + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2012 01:29 hegeo wrote: Sciberbia bringing the heat via analysis, I like it. Hey Release, some thoughts about your posts, and why I think you're not always helping town with them: a) Even though I understand where you're coming from, this is kind of pseudo-pressuring people, which is futile in the beginning of the game. This makes for an anti-town-atmosphere, since posting should be encouraged. b) It's not the best case to lynch lurkers, but if they don't contribute to town then it is at least good riddance. c) You are posting at least a considerable amount of non-productive posts right now, e.g. to this post... ... your answer was this: You consistently do this "#FOS"-stuff and then, you FOS Sciberibia... ..before even un##FOSing Mordanis: To answer in your own words: Even though there are many players that have a way shorter filter than you, what you do is generating "noise" (not always, you have your points that I can agree with and you definitely contribute). It seems as though you either just want to stir up anything you can (because both of these #FOSes came to nothing, which would make you a little scummy) or I read it as an overly motivated try to get information. Response to a) my point was that contributing useless information is worse than having no contribution at all. My example was Sciberia's asking the same question twice, which has since, been given some clarification. b) Lynching a lurker is not "good riddance". I don't see why a townie should feel that way. Lynching a lurker (if there are more than one) is random to a townie, but clear to the mafia. The mafia will obviously choose the lurker whom is a townie, therefore causing us to mislynch. Advocating a lurker lynch instead of focusing on those who are suspicious is a Mafia's way of thinking. In fact, you don't even list some alternative, despite it not being a best case scenario. + Show Spoiler + c)my answer was this: "My point is that Townies can make mistakes, but townies don't make slips. Mafia make can make mistakes; usually their mistake is to make a slip. I want to make that very clear. We shouldn't end up lynching for a mistake. We should lynch someone who makes a slip." From Newbie II game + Show Spoiler + Probulous got a AKCT lynched. That was a mistake. He was clearly contributing so even though he made a mistake, he shouldn't get lynched. (he didn't) Sheth however, does slip in trying to save his scumbuddy and got lynched for that. this was in support of the above point i made. Your c) and reasoning behind are Blatant Lies; you intentionally leave out my actual point to make it seem like i am posting filler. If i didn't know better, you know that i am town, and see that i am dangerous to your scum motives. You are targeting me with a weak case based on incomplete evidence. In regard to the FOS before unFOS, i did it to show that i was putting both of them under suspicion. There are 3 mafia. I only had 2. Are you seriously trying to convince to to avoid the larger picture and completely ignore anyone (other than the person who i am targeting at the moment) who might be Mafia? The FOS's got people talking. Talking is good for the town. Again, this is an example of where you completely ignore the larger picture. "overly motivated try to get information." All townies want information. After all, we don't know much. You however, seem perfectly content to let this day slip by without extracting a lot of information from it (presumably because you already have the information because you are scum). I see no other option as of yet (or until you reply) but to: ##Vote: Hegeo And some other times we've said that lynching a lurker is really only an option if we don't have another case. As long as we don't all fall off the face of the earth, everyone but skware/Mufaa will be much more likely to be lynched than the person who hasn't posted basically at all. And even more importantly, we've already agreed to do just that. I'm thinking that we need to at least seriously consider skware as a candidate for being lynched. It is annoyingly luck-based, but so is not lynching him at this point. and On May 29 2012 03:19 Mordanis wrote: Skware's filter Here's even more evidence. Skware started out fairly actively, and posted pretty good analysis for someone who had just looked at the thread for the first time. He posts 3 semi-analytical posts in about 8 hours, and then claims that he will be inactive for a while due to sleep and work. Then he posts nothing more save a seemingly random vote for Release. The way I see it, he was fairly active in pointing out the things he saw until he read through the first few pages and found out that we would only "pressure" lurkers by maybe occasionally voting for one for a few hours, or putting a FOS on them, or even "being more suspicious" of them. That last part is sort of WIFOM, but I think we can agree that the facts seem suspicious. He is active, and when he gets time to analyze the thread, he disappears. And we said that we wouldn't lynch a lurker unless there isn't a better case. What are everyone else's thoughts? We really don't need to be talking about Mufaa/Skware right now. There are still two scum left and one of them is guaranteed to be outside of Skware, if not both. So we need to go finding cases on the active four. The lurker can wait another day. | ||
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On May 28 2012 08:28 Mordanis wrote: I think its much more likely that I'll be killed tonight than I had to be killed N1. That being said, I hope eveyone will take this post into consideration. It's starting to look like its time for a policy lynch. We don't know anything about skware/Mufaa, and therefore there is no solid case that can be made against him(them). He/They has/have forced us to at least consider a lynch. It's sad that this game might go down to a pure luck situation, but I don't know what else to do. @Release: baiting a mafia kp is probably the dumbest thing you can do. It makes your accusation seem like something that you wrote up just to pressure one player, and if it gains no information. Whether Milton is actually scum or not is not shown by baiting a kp. If he is, letting you live might make him seem more like town. If he isn't though, killing him might make the obvious case be against milton. On the other hand, If he's scum killing you would silence pressure against him. And if he's not scum, letting you live could also add to the conspiracy. It all leads to massive WIFOM, bringing confusion to the town. This one really gets me: Why do you need to make a post about me baiting a KP? Everyone knows I'm baiting a kp. There is no point to do this. | ||
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This last post really doesn't make you shine townie in my eyes. | ||
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On May 29 2012 06:18 Mordanis wrote: Do you see how this is ambiguous? It could mean through the entire game, through N2, or just what you've written D3, or anything in between. Don't blame me for misinterpreting when you aren't clear. Actually, why are you being so defensive? So far this cycle you've voted for two people and and said that you're trying to manipulate the game. And everything you've said against me is basically "OMGUS, you disagreed with me. OMGUS, you misinterpreted me.". Post real analysis. One more thing: Which was it? In the first post I quoted, you say that every one of Milton's actions was scummy. In the second post you say your accusation was bullshit. Which is it? bullshit from the long milton post until now. Every one of Milton's actions was scummy is the false assumption i used to create that bullshit post. | ||
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We lose by default if he is town and doesn't vote. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + Case 1:If Skware is a townie and doesn't vote, we automatically lose because the scum can force a mislynch. Case 2:However, if Skware is scum and doesn't vote, the town has control over the vote and should therefore vote him (due to the fact he is scum). How should we take this information? Only by doing this can we truly decide if we should lynch Skware or not. Which brings us to case 3: Skware does come online. In this case, we continue to proceed as we are now. Get online and stay online for the thirty minutes before the deadline. I don't give a shit if you have to tell your boss you're taking a shit or having to set an alarm for the middle of the night. Get online. | ||
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##unvote ##vote Skware i am scum + Show Spoiler + Bet you never red that in mafia before. | ||
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Might attract Skware. | ||
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We have to vote Skware until he comes online. Look at your pairs: Mordanis/ShiaoPi . Those two can force a nolynch regardless of our vote unless Skware helps us. Mordanis/Skware: Skware is scum? Vote him. This is why i repeat, we have to be online right before the deadline. | ||
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lynch proceed. Give us the inevitable VE. | ||
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To be honest I think town would have lost this game. If skware had come online, i would've busted all of our asses to get on mordanis. Then we would have another LYLO, (and if i survive the night), i would be on Skware like i would've been on Mordanis. Milton, I don't even remember what it was that got you my trust, but i pretty much completely thought you were town. | ||
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I still can't believe Milton is a scum though. | ||
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On May 30 2012 08:47 Mordanis wrote: I'm sorry Shiao and Release... I am ashamed to win because of this. I was happy to play scum, but this could have been so much better for everyone. I think the game would have been maybe one day longer, but in the end, i still think scum would have won. So be proud. | ||
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On May 30 2012 09:06 Mordanis wrote: Release, I must ask: Were you using Milton as a litmus test at the end? I thought you were trying to use whoever's bandwagon he jumped on to confirm someone as town. Also, why were you so suspicious of me? Everytime i read through your filter, I kept think bandwagon, bandwagon, bandwagon. The red hegeo w/o a vote and then you vote after my case and vote just stinked of scum all over. | ||
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You case on Golden mixed with ShiaoPi looked like: "i don't know who is will be lynched today, but ill go ahead and post both so i can hop on whichever bandwagon gets started." Solstice focused on Golden alone. Then he added a vote too. And i think it was he who actually convinced the town to vote golden. | ||
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