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Newbie Mini Mafia VIII - Page 19

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
April 13 2012 17:00 GMT
#361
Guys,

##Vote: Name to vote, don't forget ##
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
vonKlaust
Profile Joined September 2010
Sweden158 Posts
April 13 2012 17:07 GMT
#362
Oh, lol, I completely forgot to answer that part.

Here goes.

I didn't say, at any point, that I had a town read on imallinson... I just said my suspicions of him "dropped a bit" after he made some valid additional points about ArcticFox and voted for him. I didn't think Mafia would so eagerly jump on the first possibility of a bandwagon - from what I've seen, Mafia usually wait until lynching someone gathers strong enough support and then blend in with the mass of voters. I'm not saying Mafia have to play passive and/or leave the initiative for town, but imallinson's fast agreement with my vote didn't seem very Mafia-like to me (too reckless and careless - generally Mafia are cautious and avoid the spotlight).


Your suspicions dropped a bit because he provided evidence for a lynch rather than just wait and blindly bandwagon. Of course mafia would want to provide evidence for lynches to act more town. If they see a chance to put the spotlight on some townie, it would make sense for the mafia to try to frame that person.
Basically there is two strategies as town:
1. Try to blend in
2. Try to establish your innocense
Ofcourse these can be combined, but you seem to take for granted that Imallinson would go for blending in. It's just as likely that he would want to frame ArticFox if he thinks he can get away with it.
The fact that Imallinson provided evidence to your case says nothing about his alignment. It makes just as much sense for a scum trying to lynch a townie to provide evidence as it does for a townie trying to lynch a mafia members.
To me, it just feels like what Imallinson wrote shouldn't have been enough to explicilty state that your suspicions of him dropping.

You didn't adress the point about trying to justify your case on other grounds than it being a good case. I'm curious on your thoughts about that.
None.
vonKlaust
Profile Joined September 2010
Sweden158 Posts
April 13 2012 17:07 GMT
#363
Once again @ Xatalos. I've gotta start quoting better.
None.
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 13 2012 17:11 GMT
#364
##Vote: BroodkingEXE

Thanks for pointing that out.

Anyway, adding on and trying to be as transparent as I can since I'm pretty much getting lynched.
My other top scum reads are KharadBanar (He played well in Newbie VI if you see his OP and his filter, but he has posted little to nothing of worth, never stated an opinion on me, and now is jumping on my lynch because it's easy.
Here's his post:
On April 13 2012 20:31 KharadBanar wrote:
Okay, I just got up and caught up with the thread, and that huge post by Acrofales did change my priorities here somewhat:

Before, my biggest scum reads went something like this: Dittert, yomi, HiroPro, maybe BroodKing (?)
I had my vote on yomi to get him to contribute something useful, which isn't going to happen until shortly before the deadline so it's useless on him for that purpose and better off on one of my bigger scum reads.

Now Acrofales has posted his suspicion on willz, I see some extremely good points in that post and did as he said (read through willz's filter (1) "knowing" he was mafia and (2) "knowing" he was town) and the mafia explanation really does make a lot more sense.

Now my scum reads go as follows: willz, probably Dittert, and likely one of yomi and HiroPro the lurkers.
With this in mind, and the fact that willz really needs to explain himself, I will change my vote to him for he is my biggest scum read right now.

##Unvote
##Vote: willz22912

So his opinion of Mafia behavior is to bus someone else this early? Why would Dittert be Mafia yet push his teammate's lynch? How does this logic work? What basis do you have of your own opinion to vote me, considering you never even had me on your radar before.

My last suspicion is either imallinson or HiroPro, I called out imallinson because he was so quick to drop his stances on everything with a "good argument" and that Xatalos was letting him latch onto his case against ArcticFox without any questioning. HiroPro has also not contributed nearly as much as he could have.

Lastly, I am also willing to give Yomi the benefit of the doubt and assume he's an overly defensive newb (since this is his first game as well) Say what you want about me OMGUSing my suspicions, I'm going to be dead after today, you need to remember these names and remember what I posted. I will try and be active as I can until the deadline in order to be of the most use to town.
imallinson
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
United Kingdom3482 Posts
April 13 2012 17:19 GMT
#365
On April 14 2012 02:11 willz22912 wrote:
I called out imallinson because he was so quick to drop his stances on everything with a "good argument" and that Xatalos was letting him latch onto his case against ArcticFox without any questioning. HiroPro has also not contributed nearly as much as he could have.


I dropped my stance on Arctic after he and other people had poked holes in Xatalos' argument, which seems perfectly reasonable to me. Then I made a case against trumpetarn and have stuck with it when bandwaggoning you would have been the easiest thing in the world. I'm not entirely sure why you think I am so quick to drop my stances (especially confused about the plurality there I have only changed my vote once and that was due to a reasoned counter-argument).
Liquipedia
vonKlaust
Profile Joined September 2010
Sweden158 Posts
April 13 2012 17:21 GMT
#366
Ok, I can't write anything very elaborate right now, but @Willz


Then take a look at the part I highlighted in red, here he starts arguing against transparency and having town not release scumlists. How is that not anti-town behavior? Releasing scumlists helps us hunt scum, it's as simple as that, information not shared is information not known. Very scummy in my mind.


Then why have you acted like you wanted to follow his advice? You refused to share your suspicions because you "wanted to collect more evidence". Please give us an explanation about this behaviour. It's very inconcistant with your philosophy of town transperancy.
None.
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 13 2012 17:27 GMT
#367
@vonKlaust

That is a fair point, I should have not have been a hypocrite, I was worried that if I jumped the gun on my case and my suspicions too early, the Mafia would have enough time to coordinate a defense of it. In my mind this made sense, but I can see where everyone else thinks that it's hypocritical, which it is, but it's really too late to argue. I am posting my reads now, but if it's not going to sway you, it's not going to sway you.

I fully accept that I over-reached and was too aggressive and now I am getting lynched for it. I may disagree with the basis, but I understand why it has come. I will continue to poke holes in people's logic for why they are voting me in an attempt to save myself, but it's mostly so the rest of the town can see who's scum and hiding on my bandwagon.


willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 13 2012 17:33 GMT
#368
Xatalos, you may agree with the case against me, but please correct this statement here:

On April 13 2012 23:39 Xatalos wrote:

Acrofales, I looked at Willz's filter and I agree something is off about him. It's weird, because initially he was my strongest town read (replaced by you later), but his later posts have been more and more suspicious. ArcticFox and imallinson addressed my cases against them by calmly finding the holes in my logic, but Willz didn't actually respond to Dittert's (somewhat weak) accusations - instead he chose to start an OMGUS war against Dittert ("why do you want to lynch me, I didn't want to lynch you before, but now I do, because you want to lynch me!"). He has also been saying everyone should be transparent, but he himself has been the opposite of transparent. Why would a townie indeed want to hide his opinions so much?


I still don't want to lynch Dittert, I still believe he is a newbie town and he will be very chagrined by the alignment I flip. I did not really start the OMGUS war, because I see that the original basis for Dittert's case against me was that he thought I was trying to start a mis-lynch on him because of his rng-proposal. Technically, he has started the OMGUS war all along. I only got angry about it, which has led to my downfall. You even state here that it's (somewhat weak) accusations. I did try to address them, but it was mostly about specific posts I made (out of many) that he found suspicious. He never made a solid case against me, I just wanted him to stop.

If you are willing to lynch me because I became overly defensive when it came to a first time forum player continuing to attack me with what everyone agrees is poor logic, that's fine, but realize that I still don't think that Dittert is Mafia, and when I flip, please don't lynch him first, go after the others on my bandwagon.
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 13 2012 17:39 GMT
#369
On April 14 2012 02:19 imallinson wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2012 02:11 willz22912 wrote:
I called out imallinson because he was so quick to drop his stances on everything with a "good argument" and that Xatalos was letting him latch onto his case against ArcticFox without any questioning. HiroPro has also not contributed nearly as much as he could have.


I dropped my stance on Arctic after he and other people had poked holes in Xatalos' argument, which seems perfectly reasonable to me. Then I made a case against trumpetarn and have stuck with it when bandwaggoning you would have been the easiest thing in the world. I'm not entirely sure why you think I am so quick to drop my stances (especially confused about the plurality there I have only changed my vote once and that was due to a reasoned counter-argument).


I appreciate that you haven't jumped on my bandwagon as well, but that doesn't mean you're not one of the three. There's already enough votes on me to pretty much guarantee it, it would draw too much suspicion everyone voted me.

You may indeed be town after all, I'm only trying to be transparent until I die, it's better that I post what I think of you than for town to not know. It may help them in the end.

I think your case against Trumperarn has some merit because of how much he has lurked, but he also seems like a very newbie town in his first game, so I really don't know what to make of him really since he hasn't posted anything about me anyway. I would lean towards newbie town, but I have given that excuse to Dittert and Yomi so far, and look where that has gotten me =/
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 13 2012 17:40 GMT
#370
EBWOB: That doesn't mean you're not one of the three Mafia. Should be the correct statement/context.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 13 2012 17:42 GMT
#371
On April 14 2012 02:07 vonKlaust wrote:
Oh, lol, I completely forgot to answer that part.

Here goes.

Show nested quote +
I didn't say, at any point, that I had a town read on imallinson... I just said my suspicions of him "dropped a bit" after he made some valid additional points about ArcticFox and voted for him. I didn't think Mafia would so eagerly jump on the first possibility of a bandwagon - from what I've seen, Mafia usually wait until lynching someone gathers strong enough support and then blend in with the mass of voters. I'm not saying Mafia have to play passive and/or leave the initiative for town, but imallinson's fast agreement with my vote didn't seem very Mafia-like to me (too reckless and careless - generally Mafia are cautious and avoid the spotlight).


Your suspicions dropped a bit because he provided evidence for a lynch rather than just wait and blindly bandwagon. Of course mafia would want to provide evidence for lynches to act more town. If they see a chance to put the spotlight on some townie, it would make sense for the mafia to try to frame that person.
Basically there is two strategies as town:
1. Try to blend in
2. Try to establish your innocense
Ofcourse these can be combined, but you seem to take for granted that Imallinson would go for blending in. It's just as likely that he would want to frame ArticFox if he thinks he can get away with it.
The fact that Imallinson provided evidence to your case says nothing about his alignment. It makes just as much sense for a scum trying to lynch a townie to provide evidence as it does for a townie trying to lynch a mafia members.
To me, it just feels like what Imallinson wrote shouldn't have been enough to explicilty state that your suspicions of him dropping.

You didn't adress the point about trying to justify your case on other grounds than it being a good case. I'm curious on your thoughts about that.


(I take it you mean "two strategies as Mafia".) You are right, it's certainly possible imallinson is a Mafia player who is focusing on survival and town credibility over advancing Mafia agenda. It's not a strong Mafia play in the long run, but I can see why a new Mafia player would try that: it's more likely you will live past the first day(s), even though it will come to bite you later when your inconsistensies start to show more easily. In my previous Mafia game, 3 of us 4 were cautious semi-lurkers, while Acrofales was the only active poster with relevant content. So I'd say the odds are in favor of a town-like playstyle actually BEING town play, rather than trying your hardest to appear townie. Can you understand my logic? And I still haven't said that imallinson would be a town read for me. I'm pretty neutral on him at the moment, although I'm slightly leaning on Mafia if he doesn't become more active than he is currently.

If you didn't notice, there wasn't much material to make a case with when I made my case on ArcticFox. It was partly based on metagame, I agree, and probably I looked too much at how AGOT unfolded to choose my target. In AGOT 50% (2/4) of Mafia was under heavy suspicion only after a couple of hours had passed, and I myself came under suspicion by Mattchew soon after. Even small clues can be very useful, so I started the game aggressively and initiated a heavy pressure on the player I found most suspicious: ArcticFox (partly based on metagame, but also based on universally accepted Mafia tells I noticed from him). If you look at AGOT (I know, you hate metagame...), many players made pressures with MUCH worse arguments than I did against ArcticFox (such as the order of mentioning a certain post... WTF?) and I just thought it was good to get the pressure going as fast as possible, even if the arguments weren't exactly perfect yet. And in the end, the pressure did lead to ArcticFox being pretty townie in my eyes and created a lot of replies and opinions from various people, so I can't say it was a bad idea at all.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
KharadBanar
Profile Joined February 2011
Austria463 Posts
April 13 2012 17:43 GMT
#372
OK this case by willz doesn't seem very though out. Let's see what I see wrong with it (My annotations in italics):
On April 14 2012 01:47 willz22912 wrote:
My case against BroodKingEXE:

I advise everyone to in addition to this case where I point out his most glaring scumminess, take a look at his filter as a whole and see how much contribution he's really done. If you are accusing me of contributing without contributing, then what has he been doing?

1. Initially is suspicious of Dittert here, one of the top targets considering his RNG proposal and how hard it was shut down by myself and ArcticFox:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2012 11:38 BroodKingEXE wrote:
On April 12 2012 09:49 Dittert wrote:
@Dittert:
The whole RNG thing makes tons of problems. First, how do you decide who determines the random number? We can't just decide to randomize some number "as a group". And how do you keep the guy randomizing from just pulling a random number out of his ass? How do you know the guy coming up with the number isn't scum and treats this as the perfect opportunity to off the player of his liking?


All very good points that I did not think about prior to posting. I was just trying to get things flowing. As someone pointed out earlier, I saw someone suggest a seemingly "random" lynch in a couple other games, and in all of those cases the person doing the suggesting ended up getting lynched and being a townie. I thought this way we could get a discussion about lynching someone started without having to necessarily lynch whoever did the suggesting.

I feel it's okay if I have a terrible idea, with this being my first game of mafia in my whole life, and all...


We're all newbies at this game, why duck responsibility for your statement? And the discussion was already rolling why did you feel the need to redirect the topic? Trying to establish yourself as the topic starter after an active discussion was already going on: feels a little scummy to me.
How is this "an accusation against [...] how hard the proposal was shut down by ArcticFox and you"? What BroodKing wrote here seems like a totally fine point to make in my book.

2. Calls for a consolidation of the vote here to narrow down the likely suspects for a lynch so that Mafia have a easier time to hide behind the bandwagon:
Show nested quote +

@The Town: I am kind of worried about the state of the town right now. So far accusations have been flung at everyone in town. This is exactly what the mafia want: us to throw the blame at each other. My suggestion is everyone come up with a vote based on what we have heard in order to consolidate our ideas. This way there will be more pressure on the accused to act.

Of course consolidating votes is a good idea for town. If you consolidate your votes sure Mafia can bandwagon on them, but if you don't you give them every possibility to twist the outcome to their liking because nobody has a large enough edge over the other. Are you proposing we should do that?

3. Next, he follows up on his "suspicions" of Dittert by posting this:
Show nested quote +
I'm going to vote for Dittert. So far his only attempt at an accusation is willz. He states that willz may be lurking or working. We have far more solid cases than a lurker right now. His second argument makes sense, but he is missing the point. Wiliz thinks Dittert is a bad townie, usually bad townies are Mafia.
How is this statement scummy? It's not a decidedly town statement in itself but it's in no way more likely that it comes from a scum player.

4. I immediately call BroodKingEXE out for his vote on Dittert and here is his response:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 06:37 BroodKingEXE wrote:
@wiliz The problem I have with Dittert is his inactivity, after making an accusation. My vote is by no means confirmed by his inactivity, but its almost halfway through the day and he hasn't put in much effort at all. Hiro has offered nothing substantial as well, bandwagoning on the suspicions of Xatalos. Dittert's claim seems more shaky to me \so I'm going to keep my vote on him.

We have to becareful about releasing scumlists though, as they give the mafia can use them to guide their KP.

Notice that his reasoning for Dittert is very flimsy, he's willing to change his vote at anytime, but feels like picking on the easiest target with the most suspicion and gives little to no weight to his case. Then take a look at the part I highlighted in red, here he starts arguing against transparency and having town not release scumlists. How is that not anti-town behavior? Releasing scumlists helps us hunt scum, it's as simple as that, information not shared is information not known. Very scummy in my mind.
This seems like a totally fine point to make, not posting your scum reads is definitely not something you want to do as town. HOWEVER, you seem to have gone by that advice quite a bit today, not posting scum reads for a long time until now.

5. BroodKingEXE lets Dittert off the hook with 1 post! Here:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 10:17 BroodKingEXE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 13 2012 09:23 Dittert wrote:
Okay, time to post.

As for lurking, I was at work, where they expect me to... do work and not play TL mafia. I'll be at work tomorrow too. And Saturday! Just FYI, I will actually miss the voting cut-offs due to work, so don't expect any last-minute shenanigans from me.

As for my thoughts, I'm still on the willz22912 kick. He has my ##FoS. Here's what I think went down:

He saw my bad play and jumped on it, trying for a mislynch. I have explained already here:

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 12 2012 23:53 Dittert wrote:
@Xatalos I think you have a decent case against ArcticFox, and I would feel comfortable voting for him Day 1 (as things stand right now).

That being said, I am actually even more suspicious of willz22912. He's lurking now (or sleeping, or at work) after posting a decent number of posts in the first 2 hours of the game. In those posts, he says a couple of things that catch my attention. First,

Show nested quote +
On April 12 2012 09:05 willz22912 wrote:
Lynch all liars is dumb, don't dwell on that..


How does that not scream scum? It's not just that he doesn't want a Lynch all Liars policy (which would in theory encourage, or at least allow for, lying), but he dismisses it out of hand. "Don't dwell on liars" is exactly the kind of thing scum would say.

Second, we have this gem:

Show nested quote +
On April 12 2012 09:16 willz22912 wrote:
If the rest of you are going to let that comment by Dittert slide, I'm going to be unhappy. That comment was 100% useless and even if he is town I'm willing to sacrifice him to weed out the real scum.


Town willing to kill other town? Even a bad townie (or a townie with a bad idea) is still a townie. It seems to me that this is a numbers game, and you should want as many people on your team alive as possible.

I think willz22912 saw my bad RNG play as an opportunity to get the town to lynch one of their own, hence all the commotion about it. That ArcticFox immediately joined willz makes me even more suspicious of him (him being AF).


After that, yomi enters the discussion:

Show nested quote +
On April 12 2012 11:43 yomi wrote:
Hi I just got back from lifting.

I can't think of a more pointless discussion than the one we are having now. It is being led by Broodking, Kharadbanar, and Dittert. I have the most confidence in willz and to a slightly lesser extent arctic.

I'm not sure what we SHOULD be discussing since no investigation abilities have gone out yet, but I doubt this is it. Getting people to talk just for the sake of it is great but my fear is that this discussion will bleed into day 2 when we will have some actual information.


It struck me that he appeared to be jumping on the willz and AFox bandwagon. At this point, I was already suspicious of those two, so yomi siding with them made me suspicious of him as well. Surely though, he couldn't be so dumb as to list out the mafia team right there, could he? Realizing I had no way of figuring that out (maybe it's so dumb is clever, etc.), I let it be.

The next post that caught my attention was this one:

Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 01:30 yomi wrote:
On April 13 2012 01:00 ArcticFox wrote:
EBWOP: Also for Yomi -- why is the vote for Dittert if you're sure Brood's scum?

note arctic coming to the defense of dittert aka the most highly suspected player defending the second most highly suspected player.

first big slip?

not sure what to make of hiro accusing xatalos. I think the guy is kind of ridiculous but I think he (xatalos) is town.

arctic/ditt/hiropro mafia 1/2/3 ?


I think this was a ploy to distance yomi from AF and to increase the distance between AF and myself. Seeing as how at the time there was an "AF might be mafia" sentiment floating through the thread, this was a good way to link me to scum. Note how even though he lists the 1/2/3 mafia as AF/me/hiropro, he doesn't vote for #1, he votes for me.

As for willz, I found this post intriguing:

Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 06:19 willz22912 wrote:
Top town candidate so far besides myself is probably Xatalos, although his case against ArcticFox is highly misguided.


Why would you refer to yourself as the top town candidate unless you wanted to reinforce this belief in people's minds? No one is even remotely accusing you of being scum except for crazy ol' Dittert with his RNG ideas. This seems scummy to me.

After all that, I'm ready to cast my vote.

##Vote: Yomi

First off, this is not even a little bit an OMGUS vote, even though yomi did vote for me. I'm voting for Yomi over willz for several reasons.

1. I don't think anybody else will vote for willz, so essentially a vote for him is like a vote for Ralph Nader. It may be a good idea, but it's a wasted vote.
2. Everyone else seems to think he's town, as far as I can tell. With this being my first game, I admit that my reads may be off.

As far as AFox, people have been discussing X's case against him to death, with no real conclusions being drawn.

Yomi, on the other hand, has not really posted anything of value. His filter is more or less a repeated cry of "yes, I'm posting valid things! I shouldn't have to explain myself!" His vote is currently for me, which due to my lack of posting, is about the "safest" vote you can make.

As for my accusation that Yomi was lying, he did in fact make a statement that can be proved factually false. He had the tools at his disposal to check the facts before he posted. I don't know what else you want to consider "a lie." What you do with that information is up to you. I'm not advocating we policy lynch Yomi because of this "factually incorrect statement." I'm advocating we lynch him because his behavior is consistent with my understanding of scummy behavior.

Acrofales asked for my top 3 town reads, so I'll include those as well.

1. KB - His first vote on HiroPro was clearly to try and get a read on HiroPro's alignment. Mafia don't need to get reads on people's alignment, they already have them. He also did not jump on the "Dittert must be scum for his RNG idea" bandwagon. If he was scum, this would have been an ideal opportunity to try and frame an innocent.

2. Brood - He's reasonably active, but it's more like a scattershot than a laser. He's asking questions of everyone with seemingly no real agenda. Even though I think Brood is town, I also think he says some really stupid shit. For example:

Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 05:09 BroodKingEXE wrote:
Townies have no need to duck responsibility, their innocence will prevent them from being lynched. Mafia on the other hand will use their newbie status to duck responsibility if they make a bad read


Really? Your innocence will save you? Tell that to the victims of the Spanish Inquisition or the Salem Witch trials.

3. imallinson - He seems normal? I don't really have a strong inclination for anyone in this third town spot. He asks for KB's read on Hiro, which seems helpful to the town.

Okay, discuss!





Glad to see you post Dittert. Innocence will save you, a townie will act like a townie and mafia like a mafia. No matter how hard they try the Mafia will always make mistakes, and as long as you are actively speaking we will be able to see the difference. You've put some pretty good information up, so I'm going to take you off. I don't like your comment about an agenda though, as my only agenda should be helping the town. Me asking questions is my way of scumhunting, so I will continue to call out people on what I see.
##Unvote


So basically, the whole vote on Dittert was pointless, one post (not even saying what parts of it was "good information") lets him take off the vote? How strong are BroodKingEXE's convictions, how readily is he willing to drop his vote and change it to the most easiest target, currently myself? He calls out Yomi here:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 08:38 BroodKingEXE wrote:
@Yomi You vote for dittert. Which means you must make a case against him, or at least declare pressure vote. I started a policy discussion as well, so what makes Dittert more scummy than myself? If you think Artic is defending Dittert(if they are both mafia) I want to know what gives Dittert the lynch today and not tommorrow.

Did BroodkingExe in your minds declare a pressure vote, or make a decent case against Dittert? No? Then why is he calling out Yomi for his own hypocrisy?
I at least agree with you on this one, calling yomi out on not declaring a pressure vote is definitely hypocritical. This does however not mean that his pressure vote on Dittert earlier was a bad idea. It certainly was better than the failpressure plan I had against HiroPro.

6. When I defend myself against Dittert's accusation, and tell him to stop because he's not helping. I was admittedly angry because of how relentless he had become in his tunneling of me and took it out on Dittert.
BroodkingEXE however, jumps in with this:
Show nested quote +

This whole post reeks of scum to me. "Why are you continuing to waste discussion": well there is no such thing as wasted discussion if it is an accusation. If he thinks you are scum he has the right to that opinion. The opinion of every town member here (except mafia) is important. "I'm not even pushing for your lynch", so the only time we are allowed to challenge you is if you are attacking us?

The second paragraph is pretty bad you are flat out telling him to stop talking and that his opinion is worthless, this is very anti-town. It doesn't matter if he can't defend it others will analyze his post and make according conclusions of their own.

He says there is no wasted discussion, and every post is important, but he doesn't contribute anything of value except for commenting on my posts against Dittert. But note the red part I highlighted here, What is that sentence supposed to mean? How does he know who is mafia and who is town, and whose opinion is important, does he have the inside knowledge of who's who that only a Mafia would have at this point? You decide.
How do you know he meant it that way? If you have someone figured out to be scummy, you are naturally going to trust him less than people you have a town read on, it's not something you can only do if you have confirmation of someone to be town.

7. He continues to post comments about my "discussion" with Dittert:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 11:25 BroodKingEXE wrote:
@willz You clearly said that his opinion about you didn't matter. You say that you having been defending dittert the whole time. You've only done that once as far as I can see. Even if you were defending dittert he doesn't owe you anything, if he thinks you are scum he can't kiss up to save his own hide. If he is thinking on the wrong track then you need to put him back on the right track. This discussion isn't wasted either if we can prove the alignment of each other that is 2 less people the town have to analyze.

I stated that I believed Dittert to be a newbie town who is tunneling me because of a misguided notion that I was trying to mis-lynch him (when did I ever do this, where in the thread did I call on others to vote for Dittert?) Even if I was defending Dittert he doesn't owe me anything, what cause would I have for defending him other than believing he was town, and that town should defend other town? What possible reason could I have as Mafia to defend Dittert? Also note the red part I highlighted again, What is this statement mean as well? How are we supposed to prove the alignment of one another, how am I supposed to change Dittert's opinion of me if he continues to think I am Mafia when I am not?

8. I call BroodKingEXE out on his comments about my posts, and whether or not he has enough spine to actually adhere to a stance: His response is this:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 11:59 BroodKingEXE wrote:
@willz at the moment I dont see anything particularly damning about your other posts, but why waste time engaging dittert? If you really think he is a newbie, then he is really no threat to you. We as a town haven't come to a consensus to vote for you. I think that yomi's baseless accusations are still more damning.

So for all the posts he's made about me, he doesn't see anything wrong with any of my other posts, but currently thinks Yomi is still more suspicious than me. He was not willing to go out on his own and make a case against me supporting Dittert's accusations, he was willing to just post fluff and seem like he's contributing.
Why should he have made a case against you when he wasn't that suspicious of you at the time? He even said "I don't see anything particularly damning about your other posts". Do you want him to make a case on you when he thinks you're probably town?

9 Finally, his last post and the vote he makes on me:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2012 00:54 BroodKingEXE wrote:
I have had time to look over the thread and have come up with some more evidence against willz. His posts are scummy in that they shoot down ideas of people. He hasn't analyzed anyones posts based on their content and seems to be denying open discussion based on who he thinks is scum. I have a problem with this as he said he is all for open discussion, yet he is shooting down ideas. He said that he didn't want to waste time discussing useless things, yet he dug in quite hard on trying to defend dittert even though he thought he was a newbie (and thus had no power). Also, in his in own words the discussion with me was wasted. He didn't chose to uphold his own values, in order to engage me( he didn't even state if he thought I was scum or not).

Vote: willz22912

@AFox the reason I said that was to point out the hippocracy of the situation. He said himself we shouldn't be wasting time, so why did he need to engage dittert (as he said dittert had no case against him). He fell for the bait admitting that the whole thing was trivial, which leads me to believe he is a scum who won't stand by their values.

So now when 4 other people are against me and my lynch is all but assured, he jumps in at the last moment with this? This is plurality vote, 4 should have been enough already, but 5 is all but pointless. Even if you don't change your vote on me, please look at BroodKingEXE for bandwagoning on my lynch with little to no support when I flip town.
Yes, this is a good point. Why would he jump on the bandwagon that late if he wasn't suspicious of you before? I don't know, maybe because he read that excellent Acrofales case on you? I don't think that he did this for no reason.

Posting my rebuttal of all of your accusations now.


Now for your accusation against me:

On April 14 2012 02:11 willz22912 wrote:
My other top scum reads are KharadBanar (He played well in Newbie VI if you see his OP and his filter, but he has posted little to nothing of worth, never stated an opinion on me, and now is jumping on my lynch because it's easy.
Here's his post:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 20:31 KharadBanar wrote:
Okay, I just got up and caught up with the thread, and that huge post by Acrofales did change my priorities here somewhat:

Before, my biggest scum reads went something like this: Dittert, yomi, HiroPro, maybe BroodKing (?)
I had my vote on yomi to get him to contribute something useful, which isn't going to happen until shortly before the deadline so it's useless on him for that purpose and better off on one of my bigger scum reads.

Now Acrofales has posted his suspicion on willz, I see some extremely good points in that post and did as he said (read through willz's filter (1) "knowing" he was mafia and (2) "knowing" he was town) and the mafia explanation really does make a lot more sense.

Now my scum reads go as follows: willz, probably Dittert, and likely one of yomi and HiroPro the lurkers.
With this in mind, and the fact that willz really needs to explain himself, I will change my vote to him for he is my biggest scum read right now.

##Unvote
##Vote: willz22912

So his opinion of Mafia behavior is to bus someone else this early? Why would Dittert be Mafia yet push his teammate's lynch? How does this logic work? What basis do you have of your own opinion to vote me, considering you never even had me on your radar before.

I try only to post real reads when I'm pretty sure of them. Other than that, I post my thoughts on other people's reads if I think I am contributing to the overall discussion, and I try to explain my reasoning if people accuse me of being scum. This all together means I am not very vocal in Day 1 discussion except for the initial non-productive banter. I do not post my opinion of everyone and everything in this thread, and I don't generally post my town reads because it gives scum a nice list of people to kill at night. Since you were a townread in my book right up until Acrofales' well thought-out case, I "never stated an opinion on you" as you explained above.
It is not my "opinion of Mafia behaviour that they bus someone this early". However, you can never know what Mafia can come up with: If they know you're excluding the possibility of bussing this early, they will definitely try to do it, because then they have you confused. So I am not ruling out the possibility, and neither should you. As for basis of my own opinion to vote you, you have just given me more than enough source material with you BroodKingEXE accusation.

Since I begun writing this, there have been some other posts. I'll try responding to them if I have anything to say about them, but I'll put this out there for now.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17958 Posts
April 13 2012 17:54 GMT
#373
Ah shit. I knew this was going to happen. Go out, have some beers, come back and see willz' post and some other walls of text. This game never makes it easy for me. I have half an hour to make sense of this and vote for scum before beer + dinner + party pulls me away until tomorrow sometime. Cliffnotes would be helluva handy. Xatalos: you were happy Willz arrived, but haven't posted since. What do you think of him, his defense and his case?

Brb, reading his case and his defense.
ArcticFox
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1092 Posts
April 13 2012 17:55 GMT
#374
On April 14 2012 02:11 willz22912 wrote:
##Vote: BroodkingEXE

Thanks for pointing that out.

Anyway, adding on and trying to be as transparent as I can since I'm pretty much getting lynched.
My other top scum reads are KharadBanar (He played well in Newbie VI if you see his OP and his filter, but he has posted little to nothing of worth, never stated an opinion on me, and now is jumping on my lynch because it's easy.
Here's his post:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 20:31 KharadBanar wrote:
Okay, I just got up and caught up with the thread, and that huge post by Acrofales did change my priorities here somewhat:

Before, my biggest scum reads went something like this: Dittert, yomi, HiroPro, maybe BroodKing (?)
I had my vote on yomi to get him to contribute something useful, which isn't going to happen until shortly before the deadline so it's useless on him for that purpose and better off on one of my bigger scum reads.

Now Acrofales has posted his suspicion on willz, I see some extremely good points in that post and did as he said (read through willz's filter (1) "knowing" he was mafia and (2) "knowing" he was town) and the mafia explanation really does make a lot more sense.

Now my scum reads go as follows: willz, probably Dittert, and likely one of yomi and HiroPro the lurkers.
With this in mind, and the fact that willz really needs to explain himself, I will change my vote to him for he is my biggest scum read right now.

##Unvote
##Vote: willz22912

So his opinion of Mafia behavior is to bus someone else this early? Why would Dittert be Mafia yet push his teammate's lynch? How does this logic work? What basis do you have of your own opinion to vote me, considering you never even had me on your radar before.

My last suspicion is either imallinson or HiroPro, I called out imallinson because he was so quick to drop his stances on everything with a "good argument" and that Xatalos was letting him latch onto his case against ArcticFox without any questioning. HiroPro has also not contributed nearly as much as he could have.

Lastly, I am also willing to give Yomi the benefit of the doubt and assume he's an overly defensive newb (since this is his first game as well) Say what you want about me OMGUSing my suspicions, I'm going to be dead after today, you need to remember these names and remember what I posted. I will try and be active as I can until the deadline in order to be of the most use to town.

If you're actually town, fight to the end. We'll see your analysis if you end up lynched and flip green, so your most effective way to get out of this lynch (or leave a will, if you're pardon the pun) would be to focus on the scumhunting, not martyring.

For your arguments vs. Brood:

I agree with #4 -- that shot up a huge red flag to me as well, but why can you write off Dittert's assertions as noob, then see Brood's as malicious?

For your #6, I feel like you're just seeing a scumslip where there really isn't one.

The rest of the post is just defense over your argument with Dittert last night, or leadup to the argument for #4 -- it can mostly be written off the same way as Dittert's.

It's really a weak case, certainly not one worth waiting 42 hours for. Why are you so sure of Brood's guilt, but Dittert's innocence? I can read both filters as making noob mistakes.

As for KB, if you compare his filter to his other one, the case you could make here is so much stronger. The filter was looking close earlier in the day, but as the day's gone on KB has gone into full lurking and inactive mode. Why not choose KB as a stronger target?

Why not go after imallinson as well? Imallinson's filter reads SO scummy right now, it practically drips red.

What, other than the argument and OMGUSing from last night, is really leading you to Brood over everyone else?

I don't want you to get bandwagoned out, but some serious arguing needs to come in. So far you've voted for someone really on nobody's radar, with an argument that has serious flaws, and marked the only other people who've got serious scum vibes as a newb town. (Note that my vote is still on Yomi, as well as many others' suspicions.)

If you're town, don't give up. Get up and give us facts. If you're scum though, by all means keep martyring.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 13 2012 17:55 GMT
#375
On April 14 2012 02:33 willz22912 wrote:
Xatalos, you may agree with the case against me, but please correct this statement here:

Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 23:39 Xatalos wrote:

Acrofales, I looked at Willz's filter and I agree something is off about him. It's weird, because initially he was my strongest town read (replaced by you later), but his later posts have been more and more suspicious. ArcticFox and imallinson addressed my cases against them by calmly finding the holes in my logic, but Willz didn't actually respond to Dittert's (somewhat weak) accusations - instead he chose to start an OMGUS war against Dittert ("why do you want to lynch me, I didn't want to lynch you before, but now I do, because you want to lynch me!"). He has also been saying everyone should be transparent, but he himself has been the opposite of transparent. Why would a townie indeed want to hide his opinions so much?


I still don't want to lynch Dittert, I still believe he is a newbie town and he will be very chagrined by the alignment I flip. I did not really start the OMGUS war, because I see that the original basis for Dittert's case against me was that he thought I was trying to start a mis-lynch on him because of his rng-proposal. Technically, he has started the OMGUS war all along. I only got angry about it, which has led to my downfall. You even state here that it's (somewhat weak) accusations. I did try to address them, but it was mostly about specific posts I made (out of many) that he found suspicious. He never made a solid case against me, I just wanted him to stop.

If you are willing to lynch me because I became overly defensive when it came to a first time forum player continuing to attack me with what everyone agrees is poor logic, that's fine, but realize that I still don't think that Dittert is Mafia, and when I flip, please don't lynch him first, go after the others on my bandwagon.


Hmm.. I can see where you're coming from. It's reasonable you would get angry as a townie when someone keeps tunneling on you for 30+ hours with bad reasoning. A big part of why I agreed to vote for you was your refusal to share your opinions on (pretty much) anyone, and now you have done so, which decreases my will to lynch you. If I was Mafia and in such a situation as you are in now, I would just create chaos and not give away any new information to town, but you have made some very reasonable posts although your lynch seems likely. Keep posting, I'm already almost ready to consider another lynch target at this point. Even if you do get lynched regardless, if you flip town after that, everything you say now will carry great weight tomorrow.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 13 2012 17:55 GMT
#376
@ KharadBanar

You're really going to assume that this is a giant ploy by Mafia to bus me so Dittert gains credibility? I find that to be totally without basis and completely WIFOM on what Mafia would do. Fine, don't exclude it from your thinking, but do you really honestly believe that is the most likely scenario here? What about that we're both town and it's a mis-lynch, that is not likely at all to you? Why are you associating that Dittert and I are both Mafia in your minds so strongly? You've posted in the past about your suspicions about Dittert, but this is the first time you've linked us together as the Mafia team, and that logic is absurd and full of WIFOM.

Also, you post holes in my case about BroodKingEXE but you seem to gloss over the correlation between 8. and 9. So you're willing to let him slide for admitting that he saw nothing suspicious or wrong about anything else, but when Acrofales makes his case, he's allowed to go from 0 suspicion to voting me? So again, BroodKingEXE is not willing to make his own case, but he will eagerly follow anothers lead? Does this not strike you as scummy?

You also think the Acrofales case on me is the key point in my demise, okay, I will go write a rebuttal to that now.
yomi
Profile Blog Joined June 2004
United States773 Posts
April 13 2012 18:01 GMT
#377
My case against Dittert
It all starts with this bizarre proposal
On April 12 2012 08:58 Dittert wrote:
What if we all agree to a rng lynch... at least proposing someone to lynch via rng. Then we have something to take a stance on.

, I saw someone suggest a seemingly "random" lynch in a couple other games, and in all of those cases the person doing the suggesting ended up getting lynched and being a townie.

This is sort of humorous but I think it is a leveling play. I think he saw a strategy that DIDN’T work in other games, and wanted to employ it here. Believing it would again not work.

Now Dittert starts really posting and seems like a noob but really is just playing dumb.
On April 12 2012 23:53 Dittert wrote:


Show nested quote +
On April 12 2012 09:05 willz22912 wrote:
Lynch all liars is dumb, don't dwell on that..


How does that not scream scum? It's not just that he doesn't want a Lynch all Liars policy (which would in theory encourage, or at least allow for, lying), but he dismisses it out of hand. "Don't dwell on liars" is exactly the kind of thing scum would say

It doesn’t scream scum because he, like many others, is pointing out that a bad strategy is bad. Why does Dittert keep pushing us to employ bizarre tactics? Because if people use their intuition they will correctly land on him as a mafia player.
On April 12 2012 23:53 Dittert wrote:
Second, we have this gem:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2012 09:16 willz22912 wrote:
If the rest of you are going to let that comment by Dittert slide, I'm going to be unhappy. That comment was 100% useless and even if he is town I'm willing to sacrifice him to weed out the real scum.


Town willing to kill other town? Even a bad townie (or a townie with a bad idea) is still a townie. It seems to me that this is a numbers game, and you should want as many people on your team alive as possible.

He is saying that all lynches have risk but lynching you is less risky as our worst case scenario is lynching a bad player.

Him accusing willz who I am still the most confident in only raises my suspicion further.
On April 13 2012 09:23 Dittert wrote:
Note how even though he lists the 1/2/3 mafia as AF/me/hiropro, he doesn't vote for #1, he votes for me.

Derp? I don’t know how you read my post as implying an order of suspicion. Playing dumb again and trying to redirect.

On April 13 2012 10:49 Dittert wrote:

Well, I admitted that part was a little weak. I can change my read if you want, since I now think someone else is definitely town, but I won't say who or why for fear of endangering his life.

The mafia already know who their teammates are and you know this. There are no neutrals. Playing dumb to get out of an accusation. Typical dittert.

Contrast these statements:
On April 13 2012 22:54 Dittert wrote:

2. Though he has participated a lot, he has not really accused anyone of anything (with a nod to the token aggression towards iamallinson). I think he's waiting until the very end to make any concrete statement so he can judge what stance will be most beneficial to scum.

On April 13 2012 01:00 Dittert wrote:
You claim to be the first person in the thread to attack me, but willz and Arctic attacked me first.

Willz is ONE OF the first to make a suspicious list. Unfortunately I’m on it, but still.



Dittert is a ridiculous player that puts words in people’s mouths and posts a lot of nonsensical and stupid things. A lot of people had him pegged as noob town and I almost swung over to that belief but I just don’t buy it anymore. I thought he was mafia before and I still think he is. I’m staying on dittert and I think you guys need to reconsider willz.
KharadBanar
Profile Joined February 2011
Austria463 Posts
April 13 2012 18:06 GMT
#378
On April 14 2012 02:55 willz22912 wrote:
@ KharadBanar

You're really going to assume that this is a giant ploy by Mafia to bus me so Dittert gains credibility? I find that to be totally without basis and completely WIFOM on what Mafia would do. Fine, don't exclude it from your thinking, but do you really honestly believe that is the most likely scenario here? What about that we're both town and it's a mis-lynch, that is not likely at all to you? Why are you associating that Dittert and I are both Mafia in your minds so strongly? You've posted in the past about your suspicions about Dittert, but this is the first time you've linked us together as the Mafia team, and that logic is absurd and full of WIFOM.

Also, you post holes in my case about BroodKingEXE but you seem to gloss over the correlation between 8. and 9. So you're willing to let him slide for admitting that he saw nothing suspicious or wrong about anything else, but when Acrofales makes his case, he's allowed to go from 0 suspicion to voting me? So again, BroodKingEXE is not willing to make his own case, but he will eagerly follow anothers lead? Does this not strike you as scummy?

You also think the Acrofales case on me is the key point in my demise, okay, I will go write a rebuttal to that now.

About the bus: I don't have 100% scum reads on both you and Dittert. The fact that you're my strongest reads doesn't mean there is not actually a higher possibility of only one of you being scum, where this isn't a bus but either a scum member accusing a townie or a townie being right in his speculation. I just see a high possibility of there being a scum between the two of you.
If you manage to explain your motivations behind the things Acrofales pointed out about you, I'd probably be willing to take my vote off you, because yomi and HiroPro then seem more scummy to me at this point, so please go ahead.
yomi
Profile Blog Joined June 2004
United States773 Posts
April 13 2012 18:06 GMT
#379
haha I am reading back now and willz accuses brood. brilliant. you all are letting this guy (brood) get away with it. make him post more.
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 13 2012 18:07 GMT
#380
@ ArcticFox

You're right it probably wasn't worth waiting 42 hours over, but I can't help that now.

I'm going with my read on BroodKingEXE over everyone else at this point I suspect because I feel he is the most dangerous. Did you not look at points 8 and 9 in my list? How can you explain that behavior, I flat out asked him if he had any suspicions of me last night, he said no. This morning, I read that Acrofales has posted a case on me, and that allows BroodKingEXE to sheep the vote and say, "Why yes I have had my suspicions of willz22912 all along!"

I am pointing out that Dittert made several plays that can be concluded as newbie, such as the rng proposal, his defense saying that he's a newb, and the tunneling on me. I do not feel the same way towards BroodKingEXE because he has not been firm in his convictions or his voting patterns. He constantly waffles towards the easiest lynch and he is unwilling to show what he really thinks. I at least can respect Dittert for being decisive in his opinion, even if it's going to get me killed. I can not say the same for BroodKingEXE because he had ample opportunity to support Dittert's case but chose not to. If BroodKingEXE really thought I was Mafia then why didn't he just say so last night, he had enough evidence from my arguing with Dittert. Instead he chose to let the work fall on Acrofales. He screams bandwagoner and trying to blend in, far more so than anyone else.

You may also be right in that I finalized my opinion on him partly because he is one of the ones voting me more so than the others that I pointed out as scummy. I probably can't help that in being objective, I kind of want to get rid of the person who helped seal my fate first.
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IEM Cologne 2025
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