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TL Mafia XXXIX - Page 3

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 07 2011 23:01 GMT
#1007
No, I changed my mind about redtooth. His analysis on cthsazsa made me change my mind about him, and he's too fearless and outspoken of his opinions, so it's not very likely he is scum. His plan was misguided, and sometimes I misinterpret poor logic with scum behaviour. My main suspicion about redtooth was the fact that he was willing to lynch killerSOS (who hinted blue) day1 and he was stubborn about chaoser (which I have a town read on) being scum and providing weak reasoning.
If you noticed, I asked for Amber[Light]'s opinion on Redtooth, and that also contributed to changing my mind.
On the other hand, the analysis I will provide on Amber[Light] has nothing to do with poor logic. It will prove that the actions he has taken so far only make sense with a scum mentality.
You shouldn't attack my analysis before I even post it, that makes me wary of you.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 07 2011 23:03 GMT
#1008
The previous post was a response to Ethernalmisfit.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 07 2011 23:44 GMT
#1012
Amber never really defended anyone. He has been extremelly whish-washy. You can FoS me all you want but my analysis will be undeniable. That I promise.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 12:24 GMT
#1053
Alright, before you read this analysis, I would like you to go to the search function and check all the posts Amber[Light] has made so far. You will notice a common theme. He never takes a stance on anything! When asked for his opinion he only lists the possible scenarios, he never says what he actually thinks about anyone.
Ok, so now that's done I'd like you to focus on these posts:
First one is chaoser's:
On May 07 2011 02:38 chaoser wrote:
Amber[Light] has been playing lurker-ish
I'll come back to the Irish issue once he's posted and responded to our questions to him. Anyway onto Amber.

Amber is a vet player, and he generally posts a lot. Not just posts a lot, he also usually very active in calling people out and making FoS's on people he thinks is scummy. Except this game he hasn't.

Most of his posts have been either asking or answer questions; in fact, out of his 5 total (game relevant) posts in this thread, he's pretty much only asked and answered questions in 3 of them.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=22#426
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=22#427
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=22#439

In the two posts where he actually tries to take a stance on someone (In this case Kurumi), he pretty much says the reason he's voting for kurumi is because he wants information. He never outright says that he's suspicous of kurumi, just that:

Show nested quote +
Chaoser has really been digging deep into Kurumi and hasn't been letting up against other players. I almost want to see Kurumi flip to see how much we can trust his analysis.


and before, he questions where the Kurumi flip will lead:

Show nested quote +
Back to you Airblade... My question is do you think creating a chaoser vs/with kurumi vision is going to get us somewhere?


Clearly he doesn't really support the Kurumi lynch but when questioned on if he actually believes the vote though, he responds to redtooth with:

Show nested quote +
He's using a lot of diversion tactics and getting really defensive to the point where he was analyzing players that were either targeting him or easy pins for inactivity. It seems like it's more pseudo-analysis than actual content. You know, posting just to post.


Which seems like a throw-away reason.

For that, I ask that Amber start to post more. His excuse that he's at work and so he can't do much is nulled by the fact that he generally posts a lot anyway as can be seen in insane 1, and insane 2. He hasn't contributed much to the discussion even though he's clearly caught up to speed and has been reading the thread. This same sentiment is also applied to GGQ.

He gives the advice to DropBear:

Show nested quote +
There was no need for a PbP analysis here, you just needed to tell Lyter to post more and explain his vote


You need to better explain your reasoning for voting Kurumi (Pretty much that he was acting like serejai aka trolling and so he's probably scum) and why you're not posting as much

So, for the first time, chaoser says Amber[Light] is behaving suspiciously and would like him to explain a couple things.
Now look at Amber's extreme overreaction:
On May 07 2011 07:48 Amber[LighT] wrote:
If you want to read about me then read the below quote. If not hit scroll down to the next time you see the dotted lines for how I ended up voting for Kurumi.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

Show nested quote +
On May 07 2011 02:38 chaoser wrote:
Who died and made you the king...

Some of those points leave no wiggle room. "No more than 4 quotes"? "All new arguments can't be linked to old arguments"? Mistakes on one part of the assessment of a player doesn't mean the rest of it isn't true. Let's instead view these as "Guidelines" and not "Hard Rule" a la Pirates of the Caribbean. To restrict people so much is damaging, especially considering the subjective nature of arguments and getting people to agree with them. That being said, can you give your thoughts on who you think is scum? You haven't been really doing that at all.

Town's been doing fine so far. It's not like making a mistake day 1 mean town is fucked. We have a good atmosphere and people are taking stances and making arguments. That's better than almost all the town's I've been in where day 1 was spent discussing whether we should lynch inactives or not and then lynching an inactive player. This is definitely NOT the worst game you've ever played in. Hyperbolic statements don't help.

I ain't going to write "I, chaoser, blah blah blah". I will however, proposition this:

Amber[Light] has been playing lurker-ish
I'll come back to the Irish issue once he's posted and responded to our questions to him. Anyway onto Amber.

Amber is a vet player, and he generally posts a lot. Not just posts a lot, he also usually very active in calling people out and making FoS's on people he thinks is scummy. Except this game he hasn't.

Most of his posts have been either asking or answer questions; in fact, out of his 5 total (game relevant) posts in this thread, he's pretty much only asked and answered questions in 3 of them.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=22#426
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=22#427
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=22#439

In the two posts where he actually tries to take a stance on someone (In this case Kurumi), he pretty much says the reason he's voting for kurumi is because he wants information. He never outright says that he's suspicous of kurumi, just that:

Chaoser has really been digging deep into Kurumi and hasn't been letting up against other players. I almost want to see Kurumi flip to see how much we can trust his analysis.


and before, he questions where the Kurumi flip will lead:

Back to you Airblade... My question is do you think creating a chaoser vs/with kurumi vision is going to get us somewhere?


Clearly he doesn't really support the Kurumi lynch but when questioned on if he actually believes the vote though, he responds to redtooth with:

He's using a lot of diversion tactics and getting really defensive to the point where he was analyzing players that were either targeting him or easy pins for inactivity. It seems like it's more pseudo-analysis than actual content. You know, posting just to post.


Which seems like a throw-away reason.

For that, I ask that Amber start to post more. His excuse that he's at work and so he can't do much is nulled by the fact that he generally posts a lot anyway as can be seen in insane 1, and insane 2. He hasn't contributed much to the discussion even though he's clearly caught up to speed and has been reading the thread. This same sentiment is also applied to GGQ.

He gives the advice to DropBear:

There was no need for a PbP analysis here, you just needed to tell Lyter to post more and explain his vote


You need to better explain your reasoning for voting Kurumi (Pretty much that he was acting like serejai aka trolling and so he's probably scum) and why you're not posting as much


1){For the record I lurked in Insane 2, and I resent signing up for that game altogether because of the absolute bullshit that went on the entire game. I never really play the same style in these games anyway. Would you rather me Bill Murray this thread up with bullshit? I can definitely find some spare time to do that.

Since you wanted to bring up Insane 1 I would definitely like to chat about that game. Though I can't really tell if I was active or lurking [I think at this point I was much more active in games] throughout Insane 1, I remember my strategy for that game. I wanted to be killed. I was given a really cool role that required me to die, the Zombie role. It took me 5 days to die before I could activate my ability, and to my surprise I managed to get a mafia hook line and sinker. See Insane 1 Day 5 post below:

[spoiler]
Show nested quote +
On November 10 2010 08:46 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Day 5
[image loading]
Last night would be a night of mixed feelings. Amber[LighT] was making his way towards the late night grocery store when a crazed gunman lept up from behind him and shot him dead in the back. Amber[LighT] died a swift death.

Infinitestory was in distress. He had a feeling mafia would be coming, so he called in the aid of Veldril. Veldril soon discovered a case of Murrayitis in infinitestory's body, which resulted in him immediately dropping all other activities and started to heal infinitestory. Suddenly, a man opened the door. "I already took care of your other buddy", he smiled. Neither Infinitestory or Veldril was quick enough to respond to the hail of bullets.

Kitaman27 was watching on the rooftops of a suspect. He saw the suspect walking out, then doing something he had never seen anyone do before. He looked right at him. Two seconds later, a bullet came kitaman27's way, and he would never watch again.

Ace was returning home after a successful night of infecting people when he saw a man he had seen before. "You took out our busdriver." "Yes, I did." Ace quickly went for his gun, but couldn't find it. The man had already grabbed his gun, and pointed it at Ace. "May you never spread this foul plague again.", were the last words as the man faded into obscurity.

Amber[LighT] was pissed, real pissed. He never was a fan of dying and decided he didn't want to start now, so he crawled out of his grave and went for brainsthe person he thought had killed him. He entered RebirthOfLegend's house and celebrated his victory before once more returning to eternal darkness.

Amber[LighT] the Zombie is now dead.
You are the Zombie! Though you are just a normal townie, death pisses you off in unusual ways. Every day, you may PM me the name of one player. Should you die that day or night, you will crawl out of your grave and hit that player. You may choose not to PM me a name in which case the last person you PMed will still be hit should you die. You may also leave a death message of no more than 100 characters.

infinitestory the ADD Detective is now dead.
You are the ADD Detective! Once per night, oh wait is that a squirrel? You randomly walk into houses to ask people questions about their alignment. You don't get to choose who since you act on impulse, which makes one question your job choice to begin with.

Veldril the Plague Doctor is now dead.
You are the Plague Doctor. During the night you can protect someone. If you protect someone they are cured of Murrayitis (if they have it), and a possible hit is prevented. However, if mafia hits the person you are protecting and they have Murrayitis, you both are killed because you are too busy to defend yourself. On the first night, you won't be able to protect anyone as you're just finishing the cure to Murrayitis. Note that if you use night actions when you are infected, the people you come into contact with will get Murrayitis too.

Later added: If you protect someone and they have murrayitis and also get hit, both you and the person you protect die.
kitaman27 the Watcher (-_-) is now dead.
You are the watcher! Every day, you may PM me the naem of one player. You will be informed if that player leaves his house and what kind of action he performed.

RebirthOfLegend the Mafia Roleblocker is now dead.
You are the Mafia Roleblocker! Once per night, you may decide to roleblock one of the townies.

Ace the Mafia Lab Rat is now dead.
You are the Lab Rat! You can infect a person with Murrayitis once per night. Any day or night actions by infected players will cause the players they target to be infected as well (excluding lynch votes). If no one has Murrayitis at any point after night 2, you die.


Hello, this is the news today with Jasmine Insane, replacing Wacko Zacko due to a bad case of murrayitis. A man was seen preventing someone from entering a house. According to our sources, this man was later shot. More plague bearers have died today, and to the best of our knowledge, only three remain. Should the deadly plague ever reach a majority, insanity save us all.
And now for Radio Loony with your host Glasse! The story of the day being his supposed third party. Unfortunately, the radio has gone quiet as of late due to his identity being revealed.

It is now Day 5! You have 48 hours to vote. Remember that a double lynch is active, so you have to vote twice. Should everyone have voted earlier, I will close the votes earlier.


Was I lucky? Maybe. Oh wait no I wasn't.

Show nested quote +
On November 15 2010 01:23 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Awards!

Sniper award for suspecting most mafia members
This award goes to Amber[LighT]. The zombie that first targetted RebirthOfLegend on night 3. On night 5, he first targetted Ace, then switched to L, and finally settled on RebirthOfLegend again. Should he have had 3KP on night 5, 3 mafia would’ve been dead. Sick scumhunting skills.
.


Okay okay so now that I've managed to get your attention I'm sure everyones next question is "well that's great and all but you've skipped the more important Insane mafia 2 where you lurked and were mafia. How does that make you any less scummy since you're apparently doing similar tactics?" First off read that thread. I took lurking to a new level in that game. You want to talk about sliding through the cracks for DAYS without being killed by mods, let alone the town, I'll say that was not one of my best games. But Chaoser, master detective, only investigated a couple of games.

I was mafia once before in a smaller game, Mini Mafia 7. I think only Jackal and Chaoser were in that game with me, but if you want to read that thread I was pretty active and worked really hard to get my team a win in just a couple of days. They both should know that too. We had a flawless victory. }

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

Why did I end up voting for Kurumi?

The majority was hung up over this Irish vs. Kurumi thing. We had a number of other "suspects" that were accumulating small numbers of votes. This poses a VERY dangerous situation where we have to deal with the votes thinned out between large numbers of suspects. That means we enter scenarios where 1-2 votes can actually make a difference.

When it came down to it Kurumi was leading in votes and creating a bandwagon at the last minute almost always end up in a disappointing lynch, so lets go with the person the town believes is not going to be beneficial to us later for analysis. How often do we manage to lynch a mafia on the first day? Chaoser, you've been in almost as many games as me [since the old days in like 08/09 and how often have you seen that happen? Don't get hung up on the idea that "oh my god these people voted for Kurumi and he flipped green FoS ON ALL OF THEM!!!!!!!!1111one"

The town has been given so much information. We know what players stuck to their guns, what players switched, as well as what players felt threatened by others during the day. Redtooth, since the beginning of the game I've really taken a lot of your analysis seriously and I've had similar views throughout the whole game up to this point. I however don't think imposing rules is going to help us. The town is going to crumble. You want to add red tape to the game to force analysis? The quality is going to decrease significantly. I've never seen this done in a game, and I really don't understand why you're coming to the conclusion that we're playing so miserably.
2){I think we're playing pretty good. We had some good Day 1 discussion and we had a lot of players throwing out some great analysis. We didn't sit around all day talking about roles. This is one of the more impressive towns in any game of TL mafia I've played, especially with so many newbies.}

3){I have to agree with another post I found a bit amusing... [if you can't tell I'm still on page 42 so I'm catching up].

Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 23:18 sandroba wrote:
The list argument is pretty dumb. If I were mafia I would NEVER want to see kurumi dead. He was basically doing mafia's job for them. He was spaming the thread, creating a lot of confusion and posting a lot of nonsense. There is no way in hell you could know for sure kurumi was town unless you were mafia. My suspicions are on the people who came to his defensess for no reason, because he was "obvtown". Seriously, you guys must be on a whole other level, because calling kurumi obvtown is like calling a rape a beautiful act between two people in love. Give me a break.


I mean I think sandroba is pretty spot on with this post. If I were mafia I would have done whatever I could have to keep him around. His play was textbook scummy. Him and Irish are mimicking each other and they have a scent of scum on them. Does this make either of them mafia? No. Does this mean that we shouldn't pursue them? No. For Day 1 the most important thing was to discover who would want to keep him around and what benefits the town and mafia would have by keeping him alive. If he was left alive he would have been a target for days. This happens all the time. Ask L about being pinned down. Ace did it to him in like every game for a year straight and L would always be pro-town in the end. Irish or Chaoser should be checked tonight if the detective didn't already get this memo.}

4){Once day hits I'm going to post a bit more on the Kurumi aftermath. I just want everyone to be aware that we should not be in panic mode at this point.}
5){Mafia wants us to be fighting, trust me it's so easy when mafia can just sit back and relax while the town self-destructs. That lynch is going to compound over the next few days.}

Once again I apologize for the novel post. I'm still 3-4 pages behind so I will be posting more if I find some good posts.

I'm also openly against the Redtooth plan, if that's still being discussed.


I'm going to dissect it using the numbers I put on the quote and limit them using {}

1) Here he goes on and on about how he played other games and how he did great. This is completely non-relevant to this current game. Now let us look at this from different perspectives. As a townie, Amber's reaction doesn't make much sense. To quote Ver on this because I feel he's better with words than I am:
A townie might want to defend himself if someone accuses him, but only a mafia feels inherently guilty and has a need, perhaps even a desire to defend himself before he's even a blip on anyone's radar

It doesn't make sense as a blue, because you would never want to paint a target on your back saying you are such a great player/scumhunter. It doesn't make any sense as a vet because of his refusal to point fingers at anyone, as seen in all his other posts. As mafia it does make sense, because he has a need and a desire to instantly clear himself of any suspicion and make it look like he's contributing without actually doing so.

2) So he thinks this is one of the best towns he's played on, because "we had a lot of players throwing some great analysis". What basically happened day one is that everybody accused everybody (myself included), and town kept pointing fingers at each other while mafia could just sit back and relax. He know this is a great enviroment for mafia and I'll prove it further down.

3) So here he basically says he agree's with me and we should be suspicious of people who defended kurumi, but he refuses to find them suspicious. I asked later he's opinion on redtooth (who defended kurumi) and he said "I trust his opinion and I feel like he's a better leader for the town than chaoser". He simply refuses to be suspicious of anyone, even if he has stated before there's reason to be suspicious.

4) "Once the day hits..." You may think this is a minor point, but it's not. This is the mentality he's in when writing this post. He knows for sure he won't die, and he's already making plans on what he'll post once day hits. This is purely mafia mentality.

5) He proves point number 2. He spell's it right out for us, yet he thinks town is doing great. Surely it must be doing great from a Mafia perspective.

So to sum it up: He NEVER takes a stance on anything. He is OVERLY defensive. He is EXTREMELY whish-washy in all his posts. He feels in SO MUCH pressure he claims chaoser is tunneling him, when in reality, it was the first time chaose brought it up. He is a good player and has no excuse for behaving this way.

Amber[Light] is Scum.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 13:30 GMT
#1057
@Ethernalmisfit I won't bother arguing with you because you are clearly using Chainsaw defense. This is going to be my only post on the matter. If you trully beleive I'm scum go ahead and vote for me. I already stated my reasons for my change of heart regarding redtooh. Recently DropBear has had the same change of heart. Are you saying that we are all scum? Are you saying Redtooth is scum? Are you saying Amber is not scum? What are you saying?
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 14:14 GMT
#1061
My logic is not incoherent at all. Changing your mind is something you do quite often when you don't have a list of who exactly the scum team is.
On May 08 2011 08:01 sandroba wrote:
No, I changed my mind about redtooth. His analysis on cthsazsa made me change my mind about him, and he's too fearless and outspoken of his opinions, so it's not very likely he is scum. His plan was misguided, and sometimes I misinterpret poor logic with scum behaviour. My main suspicion about redtooth was the fact that he was willing to lynch killerSOS (who hinted blue) day1 and he was stubborn about chaoser (which I have a town read on) being scum and providing weak reasoning.
If you noticed, I asked for Amber[Light]'s opinion on Redtooth, and that also contributed to changing my mind.
On the other hand, the analysis I will provide on Amber[Light] has nothing to do with poor logic. It will prove that the actions he has taken so far only make sense with a scum mentality.
You shouldn't attack my analysis before I even post it, that makes me wary of you.


You have stated so yourself:

On May 05 2011 07:00 Eternalmisfit wrote:

Sandroba was quite finger-happy in Surprisingly Normal Mini Mafia as well where he was a DT. Now, this does not necessitate that he is town but his play-style in consistent with that game at the very least.

I am quite suspicious of Kurumi as he spammed the hell out of this thread with mostly meaningless posts. I was going to give him the benefit of doubt of him being a young kid or being not comfortable in English for his mostly incoherent posting, but he made a rather coherent analysis post as his last post of the day. Since his last post suggests that he is quite capable of making reasonable posts, his other posts seem scummy to me written in order to create confusion and derail discussion. But again, I have never been in a mafia game with him and am not sure of his mafia play habits.

I agree with AirBlade seeming anti-town. I am also for voting and lynching Kurumi if I think that he is scum (which seems probable to me at this point) but I would not vote/lynch him just because he posts horribly. This might be a lapse in judgment or scum trying to get a townie killed.
FoS: AirBladeOrange


So you were quite pleased at me when I was pointing my fingers at all directions, but now I'm pointing at Amber[Light], suddenly I must be scum.
The post you quoted reads exactly as it is: I couldn't tell for shit that kurumi wasn't town and arguing someone is scum based only on the list of people who voted for him is not a good move.

Do you agree that spreading our votes between many candidates is detrimental to the town?
Do you think none of those proposed candidates are scum? For what reasons?
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 14:18 GMT
#1062
@redtooth did you read my analysis on Amber? There are only 2 quotes in it so I hope you are happy. What do you think about it?
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 14:38 GMT
#1070
My god Redtooth. You are stuck on thinking chaoser is scum. If so, that makes me scum aswell right? What do you think about keeping the vote divided between me an Amber[Light] then?
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 15:11 GMT
#1078
Ok, vote for me or Amber[Light]. One of us is definitively scum.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 15:23 GMT
#1082
I've already made my argument. You can read my full analysis on amber here:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=53#1053
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 15:49 GMT
#1085
My comentary is in bold:
On May 09 2011 00:07 Amber[LighT] wrote:
Read this entire post. You are allowing players to say that because I'm defending myself that I must be scum, but most of the players who voted yesterday for Kurumi wanted him dead because he wasn't defending himself enough. This an asumption at best, a lie at worst This doesn't make sense. The town was doing great, but you haven't listened to me and I really fear that the wrong players are reading my posts, while the ones who should be reading it are ignoring them.. Chaoser has been misleading the town from the moment this game started. I'm tired of being worried that Chaoser will run this town to the ground.


Sandroba should be todays lynch target. All of a sudden on Day 2 he appears after a day of inactivity. This is a lie, I've been active in all cicles Let's look at some Sandroba highlights from Day 1:

Sandroba questioning Chaoser. What happened here? Didn't have enough to push against him?
No, Chaoser was taking the spotlight and I was trying to get a read on him. I've asked your opinion on redtooth also to get a read.

+ Show Spoiler +

On May 04 2011 22:48 sandroba wrote:
Ok, so I've caught up right now and something in particular has caught my attention.

Show nested quote +
On May 04 2011 18:33 chaoser wrote:
On May 04 2011 18:12 Forumite wrote:
On May 04 2011 15:09 AirbladeOrange wrote:
On May 04 2011 14:09 chaoser wrote:
Ok, so I posted that line just to see how people would respond. You can see that I didn't even post in the actual voting thread and already I think I've got some good reactions. Irish, why such a big response, going so far as to posting a link to another website, even saying that you would dismiss me and "not waste time on trying to convince someone I'm not scum". I didn't even actually vote for you, I posted some bolded words that could have easily been knocked down since there was no analysis behind it, and no logic behind it; it had nothing behind it. Why so serious? Why such a big reaction? Same thing to chaos13.

At the same time, why so much silence on the issue from people who were clearly present? Kitaman? You pop in to say that people shouldn't edit but you don't mention a single thing about Irish, a single thing about me, and a single thing about anything. What up?


I think this long of a post is more suspicious than anything irish punk dude said.

He does have a few points, people need to make constructive posts, even more so with a 30-player game. Also even this early it´s a good move to call out people on their scum-tells.


There's no real such thing as a scum-tell per say. TL doesn't really do the MS "You said good job to medic when he saved someone, you're scum!" kind of deal but there are limitations to what mafia can and can't do. Or at least feel comfortable with doing. If you look at XXXVII, you'll see that mafia found it very hard to make cases against each other and that ended up catching a lot of them. If you look at XXXXVIII, you can see that mafia were decently wishy-washy. By wishy-washy I don't mean they changed their opinions on things, but that they changed them based upon nothing, merely to please the rest of town.

In Simple Mafia, Town because Mafia were inactive and allowed town to dominate the discussion. Even so, you'll notice that most of the time it was town arguing against town, using weak arguments and trying to figure out alliances before anyone even flipped. That's bad play since you don't know how mafia will act towards each other. They could bus each other a bit, they could act friendly, or they might not interact at all. The point is that you should focus on a few people and then make judgements about connections AFTER the flip. On day one, conversation generation is the most important thing, even if it IS the 30th game we're discussing about lynching inactives or not. Pressure is also a good conversation generator and I know for a fact that GM's question asking helps too.

Mafia wants town to have no direction and I'm sure in this game, where it's filled with mostly newbies, the mafia aren't going to go out of their way to help newbie townies. As such, redtooth get's +townie points in my book. Townies should be sure to ask coaches for help and read over guides conveniently localed here:

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=215574


That's all fine and all but the thing I find extremelly suspicious about this post is this:
Chaoser points out how redtooth post is pro-town and then he proceeds to do exactly what redtooth did. Why are making such a huge effort to appear pro-town chaoser? This post would have exactly the same content without the bolded part. The only thing this part adds is making YOU look more town.



Chaoser does circles around Sandrobas question. Sandroba, your question was posted clear as day:

+ Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2011 00:34 sandroba wrote:
I can't really tell if I didn't word it correctly or you purposely missinterpreted my question, so here it goes again. What I find suspicious is not the fact that you are trying to help newbies, which is indeed pro-town, but the fact that you pointed it out in your post. That's why I'm not suspicious of redtooth, but of you.
If your intention was really just helping out newbies you had no reason to say: "Look, helping out newbies is pro town okay?"
What you did was copying someone's behaviour which you felt was pro-town and then made sure point it out.



Sandroba doesn't want to lynch Chaoser. You reem me out for not taking a stance but you don't seem to have the balls to dig further into his analysis. Then you leave us with this: At this point I was still suspicious of chaoser. He's actions further down the line made me think it was unlikely he was mafia.

+ Show Spoiler +

On May 05 2011 01:06 sandroba wrote:
You keep doing it in all your posts! Either way I don't feel like you are a good day1 lynch, but I'd like your opinion on this wall of nothingness:

Show nested quote +
On May 04 2011 23:29 Rising_Phoenix wrote:
On May 04 2011 22:11 Conversion wrote:
I played in two games, BrownBear's mafia game (if you could even call that playing) where I was town and DocH's newbie mafia where I was mafia. Still pretty bad at this game.

To be honest I really don't have any opinions on anyone atm. I still think there's too many lurkers. The only playstyle I'm somewhat familiar with is Phoenix's since we were scumbuddies in newbie mafia, but he's not posting. Come out, phoenix!


Sorry I can't post while I'm asleep >.< Hi buddy!

Also what's with all these vets posting huge guides of how to play the game? It's not like we can't read the guides already on this and other sites with useful information. We do need a leader to help lead conversation and we need to be certain that the person isn't mafia.

I'm against a "day 1 inactive lynch" Unless we REALLY need to do it. Usually inactives are just disinterested townies, and if we go around lynching random people chances are we'll just hit a townie (simple math says 20% chance of mafia)

I also don't see a point in talking about our previous games experience. Really it seems like an easy way to clutter a thread. If you want to see their previous games, go into their post history unless they have a smurf. It seems like we know the people with smurfs so does it really matter? And also isn't it illegal to have two accounts on the site?

I feel huge day1 "newbies guides" are kinda useless and suspicious. While we definitely need direction, guides IN THREAD about how to play the game ore mostly filler. Most of what people said have been said are in guides both on this and other sites. I'm not saying it's suspicious but I am saying it's unnecessary and in general a pretty useless post.


This post is the scummiest I've seen so far. He shuts down all ideas as useless, states the obvious multiple times and he even feels the need of repeating himself to make his post larger. He closes it in a beautiful whishy-washy fashion.



Chaoser suspects Sandroba as being scummy. Sandroba claims that Chaosers analysis is scummy as hell as well.

+ Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2011 01:54 sandroba wrote:
Please explain to me, what's your reason to find me scummy. Your reasoning so far is purely OMGUS.


On May 05 2011 01:54 sandroba wrote:
Also, shooting down ideas without sugesting something better IS scummy as hell.



Sandroba is convinced Kurumi is scum: Yes, I was.

+ Show Spoiler +

On May 05 2011 04:46 sandroba wrote:
What the hell? Kurumi you have easily earned my vote. You make no sense at all. How exactly you feel you are helping town by posting random crap and generating confusion? I read a bunch of other posts from you in other threads and I wonder how I can understand them so easily, while in this thread not at all.



Sandroba asking someone else about how they feel about a player:

+ Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2011 05:27 sandroba wrote:
orgolove, and how do you feel about kurumi insane posting and irish_13/Killer_SOS poping out of the blue to defend him for no apparent reason?



The Sandroba FoS list. It's funny how you forget about things you do between day 1 and day 2: I still think that Rising_Phoenix and Irish are scum. But they are probably getting modkilled so why would I post analysis on them? I've changed my mind about redtooth, as I've stated before. I was suspicious of KillerSOS, but I thought he was a bad day1 lynch because he hinted blue day1, so it was better to discuss him further down the line.

+ Show Spoiler +
On May 06 2011 03:41 sandroba wrote:
Here is my FOS list:
Kurumi
So, from what I can gather his plan was to behave like scum, add a lot of cconfusion, spam the thread like a mad man, just to see who would acuse him of being scum. Because, I mean, if you think someone who's being extremtly scummy is scum, then YOU must be scum, right? RIGHT? No.

Irish_Punk
Jumped in to kurumi's defense claiming he's made great posts, but nobody seems to be able to find them. Guess what, they do not exist. He either knows kurumi is town or he knows kurumi is scum. Either way he is scum.

Killer_SOS
Agrees with Irish_Punk for no reason. Then chainsaw's against chaos13. Has many fillers and one liners with no content. I feel this guy is scum, but he's not a good day1 lynch for obvious reasons.

Rising_Phoenix
I would like you to look at this post (which I already stated why I find it very scummy):
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2011 23:29 Rising_Phoenix wrote:
Sorry I can't post while I'm asleep >.< Hi buddy!

Also what's with all these vets posting huge guides of how to play the game? It's not like we can't read the guides already on this and other sites with useful information. We do need a leader to help lead conversation and we need to be certain that the person isn't mafia.

I'm against a "day 1 inactive lynch" Unless we REALLY need to do it. Usually inactives are just disinterested townies, and if we go around lynching random people chances are we'll just hit a townie (simple math says 20% chance of mafia)

I also don't see a point in talking about our previous games experience. Really it seems like an easy way to clutter a thread. If you want to see their previous games, go into their post history unless they have a smurf. It seems like we know the people with smurfs so does it really matter? And also isn't it illegal to have two accounts on the site?

I feel huge day1 "newbies guides" are kinda useless and suspicious. While we definitely need direction, guides IN THREAD about how to play the game ore mostly filler. Most of what people said have been said are in guides both on this and other sites. I'm not saying it's suspicious but I am saying it's unnecessary and in general a pretty useless post.

And then compare it to this post:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2011 04:50 Rising_Phoenix wrote:
##Unvote

Sorry I was at a horn concert and doing some other stuff as well.

First, looking at this mathematically there are 11 players, 3 of which are mafia. If you randomly choose a person there is a approx. 27% chance of getting it right. However, choosing randomly is a bad idea since you never know if you're lynching an important member (cop or medic).

The cop should look up a random member that isn't himself(obviously). That means there is a 3 in 10 chance of him being right (30%). If he is right, he should be able to hint to everyone else who is mafia. That leaves everyone else voting on another person. If you know who the cop/detective is, that leaves a 3 in 9 chance (33%) of being right. That's from 1/5 to 1/3 probability of being right. I don't know how well this works for day one but numbers are fun =].

----- Break for other half---
Leadership for townies is essential, and right now it looks like Conversion and Freestalker are the two most active in leading conversation and topics. Unless one of them slips up, I'd refrain from killing either of them for now.

Silent members have three possibilities:

1)They're trying to hide
2)They're lazy or disinterested in the game
3)It's a holiday and they're traveling

Going through we have these people being pretty inactive:

-jaminz: a few filler posts, nothing as contribution to the thread, pointing fingers
-aScle: one post?
-Enervate: very little posting as well

These players have said very little or immediately start pointing fingers (Enervate) when they start pointing. However, it doesn't make sense to choose him because he hasn't bothered defending any accusations or contributing anything to support his claim.

aScle and Jaminz have had very little to contribute. Their posts have little to no content and have not been active in general. Also, Jaminz has been very ready to point fingers but has little supporting evidence. I'll vote for him since he's just detracting from town synergy.

So, unless he can defend himself:
##vote Jaminz

This post is from newbie mini mafia I, in which he was scum and won a flawless victory. Note the similarities.

Redtooth
Holy shit, my whole team is exposing themselves like crazy. Time to chainsaw and discredit chaoser! I fail to see how this players you are calling obvtown are obvtown. Your logic is pretty fail: kurumi and irish_punk are so blatantly scum that they MUST NOT be scum so they MUST be town. If you keep following this logic doesn't this make them obvscum all over again? Then he picks Killer_SOS to focus on for day1 lynch. That's pretty dumb if you are town. That's all I have to say for now.



Supports a Redtooth lynch.

+ Show Spoiler +

On May 06 2011 04:13 sandroba wrote:
@GGQ I would fully suport redtooth lynch.



Sandroba thinking like a mafia. He claims that mafia would never want to see Kurumi dead, so why not pursue your list of suspects that you posted over 100 posts prior? Did those FoS-ee's tell you something?Yet, you stated in your previous post that you agree with this. I've explained why I'm not pursuing my previous suspects above. Also, now I have more information, so I can make a better call.

+ Show Spoiler +

On May 06 2011 23:18 sandroba wrote:
The list argument is pretty dumb. If I were mafia I would NEVER want to see kurumi dead. He was basically doing mafia's job for them. He was spaming the thread, creating a lot of confusion and posting a lot of nonsense. There is no way in hell you could know for sure kurumi was town unless you were mafia. My suspicions are on the people who came to his defensess for no reason, because he was "obvtown". Seriously, you guys must be on a whole other level, because calling kurumi obvtown is like calling a rape a beautiful act between two people in love. Give me a break.



Vote for Kurumi, say 2 other players are scum.Again, you agreed with this statement on your post.

+ Show Spoiler +
On May 06 2011 23:20 sandroba wrote:
And yes, I'm saying Irish and Redtooth are scum.



Doesn't like Jackals posts and calls him out as obv-town. Has anyone else called any other players out for being a town oriented role so far? Coincidence that Jackal also died the following night?

+ Show Spoiler +

On May 06 2011 23:45 sandroba wrote:
What a nice argument. Your last follow up question is a very logical leap (not). You must be obvtown as well, because it turns out people that make no sense flip green.



Now Sandroba all of a sudden supports REDTOOTH of all players coincidentally after Kurumi flips green. He suspects Irish of being mafia but doesn't act. I've already explained why I feel redtooth is not likely to be mafia at this point. Pursuing Irish when he's about to be modkilled is dumb.

+ Show Spoiler +
On May 07 2011 02:43 sandroba wrote:
I must admit I raged a bit when I saw your post because of your patronizing behaviour. While I do not agree with some of your points (first line should be implicit imo, not sure about restriction on quotes), I'm willing to give this a try and see how this goes, because I really like the cosponsor idea, as it would make it evident people hoping on bullshit analysis. You are putting a huge effort into organazing things, and I find it very unlikely you would be doing this if you were mafia. I still strongly believe (and will be held acountable) irish is mafia.



sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 15:54 GMT
#1087
@Forumite Redtooth posted his opinion on the analysis and even agreed with some points. You are entitled to your own opinion about it.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 15:57 GMT
#1088
I would like to state that my quote from ver in my analysis is from "How to Improve: Mafia XXX Analysis" and I'm not quoting nor paraphrasing any messages that we might or might not have exchanged.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 16:06 GMT
#1092
@Dropbear Oh my god. What Amber is doing is pretending to be contributing. Go read his posts and you will see there's no pointing to scum at all in any of them.
About the tunnelling of chaoser: Many of the previous mentions were not a FoS and were present along with several other members who were also inactive. The first time chaoser FoSed Amber was in the post I quoted in my analysis. This is NOT tunneling.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 16:15 GMT
#1094
@DropBear Do you really think that if he was blue he would have posted what a great scumhunter he was on past games?
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 16:16 GMT
#1095
Because those guys MIGHT be scum. Amber[Light] is scum for sure.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 16:26 GMT
#1099
It's not WHAT he has done. Surely defending yourself is not enough to call anyone scum. It's HOW and under what circumstances he has done it. Also, that's only one point on a plethora of arguments I've made that makes him scum. Go read my analysis carefully.
There's been only one bandwagon so far and that was kurumi's. Yes, I thought he was scum and I've stated my reasons why then. I think I was the first to vote for him. At one point I thought Redtooth was scum and I also have stated my reasons. Does that make me scum? No, it does not.
Look at the arguments Amber has made for calling me scum and look at my commentary on my previous post. Amber himself does not agree with them.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 16:33 GMT
#1103
@Ethernalmisfit This game is about reading people and trying to figure out their aligment. I think chaoser is town and it would be stupid to lynch him. I know my role, yet I don't know his. That's the same way I feel about redtooth. I don't think it's going to be good for town to bandwagon on either of them. It's not surprising at all to defend those player which you believe are town.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 17:27 GMT
#1112
@Everyone I'm pretty convinced Cthsazsa is scum. I'm 100% sure Amber[Light] is scum.
So here is why you should lynch Amber[Light]:
1)He is scum. But let's supose I am scum and he flips green. So now you have 2 guaranteed scum on me and chaoser. You can vig me/chaoser and proceed to lynch the other one. If we don't lynch Amber[Light] right now the same argument will come up again tomorrow, if mafia choses not to kill us.
2)He's going to flip red. We have a pretty accurate vig hit at night on Cthsazsa. If we lynch Cthsazsa we won't know who to hit between Amber and me/chaoser.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 08 2011 18:16 GMT
#1121
@Cthsazsa You are most likely scum because of Redtooth analysis on you and the fact that multiple people I believe are town are making analysis and voting for you. I'm sure there are some information roles left and I find it very likely someone has checked you on the night cycle.
Amber is scum and I'm sure of it. I've posted an extended analysis on him, which you seem not to be bothered to read. His analysis on me has many lies and other reasons which make no sense at all. No townie would try to manipulate analysis to get someone lynched. That's the mafia objective. Most people who don't believe Amber is mafia are stuck on the idea that chaoser is mafia or I am mafia. So lynching either him or me is going to reveal the most mafia.
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