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Рабоче-Крестьянская Красная Армия мафия - Page 37

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
March 08 2010 18:37 GMT
#721
Crescentia, ace it seems like your missing a major point. Lets use your example about end of day 6.

6 people have shot = 6 dead
the mafia could have killed 9 guys(they have already lost one kill)

that means 15 dead total, and 11 left alive. But this does not mean that there is only 5 people left alive that has not shot anyone, because the 6 that has shot can all have been taken out by the mafia. Making it 11 people left alive that has not shot anyone.

So the worst case at end of day 6 is 11 ppl alive none of them having made one shot. If its 4-5 mafia left then the town have lost.
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
March 08 2010 18:37 GMT
#722
I must be slow or something, so please explain this to me day by day.

Right now we have 2 "can shoot" players out of 23 people. Let's use Ace's "worst case" speculative number of 7 mafia. So we have a 7 vs. 16 situation. Next the mafia can kill 2 greens, making it 7 reds vs 14 players, with 2 confirmed greens. Then we shoot someone you want to shoot - Shock or myself or Incognito. They likely turn green/blue. The mafia kills 2 more people. Now we have 7 mafia vs. 11 greens, with only 3 confirmed "can shoot" players (BM, Mal, and 3rd shoter). Since according to you it does not matter anyway who we shoot, we kill someone else who is a "stupid green", let's say whoever is left of shcokkey/incognito/myself. Then the mafia kill 2 more townies. Now we have a 7 vs 8 situation, with only four confirmed shooters.

How is this a good plan (for the town, that is)? Please explain it to me slowly, day by day.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
March 08 2010 18:40 GMT
#723
BTW - the above is directed to Ace and d3.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 08 2010 18:42 GMT
#724
On March 09 2010 03:37 citi.zen wrote:
I must be slow or something, so please explain this to me day by day.

Right now we have 2 "can shoot" players out of 23 people. Let's use Ace's "worst case" speculative number of 7 mafia. So we have a 7 vs. 16 situation. Next the mafia can kill 2 greens, making it 7 reds vs 14 players, with 2 confirmed greens. Then we shoot someone you want to shoot - Shock or myself or Incognito. They likely turn green/blue. The mafia kills 2 more people. Now we have 7 mafia vs. 11 greens, with only 3 confirmed "can shoot" players (BM, Mal, and 3rd shoter). Since according to you it does not matter anyway who we shoot, we kill someone else who is a "stupid green", let's say whoever is left of shcokkey/incognito/myself. Then the mafia kill 2 more townies. Now we have a 7 vs 8 situation, with only four confirmed shooters.

How is this a good plan (for the town, that is)? Please explain it to me slowly, day by day.


Do you really think only townies are playing stupid?

Do you really, honestly think any rational townie is going to shoot an active player? well, wait nevermind about that point.

Hi, lets go through it like this:

16 vs 7.

Of our current player base, lets say 13 are active.

that leaves 10 inactives to shoot off.

Everyone who hasn't shot yet, start shooting.

If you hesitate and don't role claim, you get shot by someone else willing to do it. How does the town lose in this situation?

Worst case scenario that you described skips people trying to prove their role. Shockeyy already fucked up on his role claim. If you honestly believe he's truly a medic I have no hope for you. He's going to get shot by me, or some other sane townie reading this thread.

Like I said, stop worrying so much about me and read whats going on.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
March 08 2010 18:43 GMT
#725
On March 09 2010 03:37 sidesprang wrote:
Crescentia, ace it seems like your missing a major point. Lets use your example about end of day 6.

6 people have shot = 6 dead
the mafia could have killed 9 guys(they have already lost one kill)

that means 15 dead total, and 11 left alive. But this does not mean that there is only 5 people left alive that has not shot anyone, because the 6 that has shot can all have been taken out by the mafia. Making it 11 people left alive that has not shot anyone.

So the worst case at end of day 6 is 11 ppl alive none of them having made one shot. If its 4-5 mafia left then the town have lost.


Also an excellent point.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
Incognito
Profile Joined November 2008
United States2071 Posts
March 08 2010 18:43 GMT
#726
On March 09 2010 02:52 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 23:36 citi.zen wrote:
On March 08 2010 15:30 Ace wrote:
Town - we do not need confirmed innocents at all. None. This game can be won by straight up shootouts and Role Claims. Everything should be IN THE THREAD.

Stack everyone who can shoot vs everyone who can't shoot.

When all thats sorted and the goons are dead, kill the GF with normal scumhunting tactics.

Having anyone "confirmed" besides them shooting some slore in the face is nonsense.


Please explain this to me again, keeping in mind we have no idea how many reds there are in this game.



How many Mafia do you really think there are in this game? Even with 7 Mafia the town wins by straight shoot outs.

Look, Malongo and Bill Murray have already shot someone. Put them in the pool of probably innocent.

Everyone else that hasn't shot must prove they are town by shooting someone scummy.

Regular Mafia cant shoot.

With even 15 town vs 7 Mafia in that situation, the town wins.

Do you honestly think there are SEVEN Mafia in a 26 player game? That would be ludicrous. Like I said this setup has at most 5. 5 would be pushing imbalance, and 4 would be just right. You don't need to know how many Mafia there are in the game for this plan to work.

Are you starting to get my posts now?


Oh finally now you decide that the list plan is nice for killing regular mafia even at the expense of letting the GF through. This strat switch makes you look kind of...well, you know.

Either way, no we don't win with 15 v. 7. Mafia get 2 hits per night.
The bureaucracy is expanding to meet the needs of the expanding bureaucracy
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 08 2010 18:46 GMT
#727
On March 09 2010 03:37 sidesprang wrote:
Crescentia, ace it seems like your missing a major point. Lets use your example about end of day 6.

6 people have shot = 6 dead
the mafia could have killed 9 guys(they have already lost one kill)

that means 15 dead total, and 11 left alive. But this does not mean that there is only 5 people left alive that has not shot anyone, because the 6 that has shot can all have been taken out by the mafia. Making it 11 people left alive that has not shot anyone.

So the worst case at end of day 6 is 11 ppl alive none of them having made one shot. If its 4-5 mafia left then the town have lost.


Except that won't happen because of the post I just outlined.

I don't think your example takes into account forced role claims.

You're assuming that of the original 6 the people that get shot all flip Town, and that Mafia never get killed by Trigger Happy. Ok.

Even with all of that we go into Day 6 with all the shooters dead, that means all of that time not a single cop has gotten a guilty investigation and come forward?

The entire premise of shooting non-shooters is to apply pressure. You don't want people Mafia feeling they can safe claim without proving anything. Hell I don't even think we'll make it to Day 6 because the town can win this by Day 4 with Cops investigating lurkers and people scared of shooting. This is really an easy win but you are over thinking this way too much.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 08 2010 18:47 GMT
#728
On March 09 2010 03:43 Incognito wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 09 2010 02:52 Ace wrote:
On March 08 2010 23:36 citi.zen wrote:
On March 08 2010 15:30 Ace wrote:
Town - we do not need confirmed innocents at all. None. This game can be won by straight up shootouts and Role Claims. Everything should be IN THE THREAD.

Stack everyone who can shoot vs everyone who can't shoot.

When all thats sorted and the goons are dead, kill the GF with normal scumhunting tactics.

Having anyone "confirmed" besides them shooting some slore in the face is nonsense.


Please explain this to me again, keeping in mind we have no idea how many reds there are in this game.



How many Mafia do you really think there are in this game? Even with 7 Mafia the town wins by straight shoot outs.

Look, Malongo and Bill Murray have already shot someone. Put them in the pool of probably innocent.

Everyone else that hasn't shot must prove they are town by shooting someone scummy.

Regular Mafia cant shoot.

With even 15 town vs 7 Mafia in that situation, the town wins.

Do you honestly think there are SEVEN Mafia in a 26 player game? That would be ludicrous. Like I said this setup has at most 5. 5 would be pushing imbalance, and 4 would be just right. You don't need to know how many Mafia there are in the game for this plan to work.

Are you starting to get my posts now?


Oh finally now you decide that the list plan is nice for killing regular mafia even at the expense of letting the GF through. This strat switch makes you look kind of...well, you know.

Either way, no we don't win with 15 v. 7. Mafia get 2 hits per night.


Really? You mean my original idea of shooting players that shoot freely wasn't an attempt to stop the GF from getting through? You really are reading my ideas aren't you?
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
March 08 2010 18:47 GMT
#729
On March 09 2010 03:42 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 09 2010 03:37 citi.zen wrote:
I must be slow or something, so please explain this to me day by day.

Right now we have 2 "can shoot" players out of 23 people. Let's use Ace's "worst case" speculative number of 7 mafia. So we have a 7 vs. 16 situation. Next the mafia can kill 2 greens, making it 7 reds vs 14 players, with 2 confirmed greens. Then we shoot someone you want to shoot - Shock or myself or Incognito. They likely turn green/blue. The mafia kills 2 more people. Now we have 7 mafia vs. 11 greens, with only 3 confirmed "can shoot" players (BM, Mal, and 3rd shoter). Since according to you it does not matter anyway who we shoot, we kill someone else who is a "stupid green", let's say whoever is left of shcokkey/incognito/myself. Then the mafia kill 2 more townies. Now we have a 7 vs 8 situation, with only four confirmed shooters.

How is this a good plan (for the town, that is)? Please explain it to me slowly, day by day.


Do you really think only townies are playing stupid?

Do you really, honestly think any rational townie is going to shoot an active player? well, wait nevermind about that point.

Hi, lets go through it like this:

16 vs 7.

Of our current player base, lets say 13 are active.

that leaves 10 inactives to shoot off.

Everyone who hasn't shot yet, start shooting.

If you hesitate and don't role claim, you get shot by someone else willing to do it. How does the town lose in this situation?

Worst case scenario that you described skips people trying to prove their role. Shockeyy already fucked up on his role claim. If you honestly believe he's truly a medic I have no hope for you. He's going to get shot by me, or some other sane townie reading this thread.

Like I said, stop worrying so much about me and read whats going on.


I am trying to just "read what's going on" and focus on the plan which makes most sense to me - the one proposed by Incognito.

I just don't get why now you are against it, advocating chaos and for people to "stop worrying" and just shoot. Weren't you the one to think an ordered list was helpful? Isn't this in line with Incognito's plan?

What gives?
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
Incognito
Profile Joined November 2008
United States2071 Posts
March 08 2010 18:51 GMT
#730
On March 09 2010 03:34 Ace wrote:
Thats a pretty shitty theory.

BTW you should read that PM from February 28th and compare it to what I've done this game. You'll find something interesting going on. lulz.

I have no idea how Vivi is even connected to me. But I'm just about to shoot you anyway.

The town can't kill me once I shoot. Because then they'd have to kill Malongo and BM too. The Mafia want to kill probable innocent shooters. We've already shown we aren't going to punish people for shoot first ideals. So you lose. Keep up with the game and stop posting nonsense.


Oh Ace. Ignoring my entire post except for my sarcastic conspiracy theory. Which obviously is a joke. Unlike BM and Malongo, you're stirring up shit. So no, your case != their cases. Care to respond to the serious portions about my post about l10f?
The bureaucracy is expanding to meet the needs of the expanding bureaucracy
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
March 08 2010 18:52 GMT
#731
The more I read your Ace's messages the more deliberately he seems to spread chaos and break down attempts to organize... anything. I can't tell if this is just ego or not.

I will note that if we do kill Ace and he does turns red the original "randomized" list he posted would be very valuable.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
nemY
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States3119 Posts
March 08 2010 18:53 GMT
#732
Sorry haven't been here in a while and don't really have time to read thru the postings, all I can say is gj Medics, and you're still a fucking idiot BM
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 08 2010 18:55 GMT
#733
On March 09 2010 03:47 citi.zen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 09 2010 03:42 Ace wrote:
On March 09 2010 03:37 citi.zen wrote:
I must be slow or something, so please explain this to me day by day.

Right now we have 2 "can shoot" players out of 23 people. Let's use Ace's "worst case" speculative number of 7 mafia. So we have a 7 vs. 16 situation. Next the mafia can kill 2 greens, making it 7 reds vs 14 players, with 2 confirmed greens. Then we shoot someone you want to shoot - Shock or myself or Incognito. They likely turn green/blue. The mafia kills 2 more people. Now we have 7 mafia vs. 11 greens, with only 3 confirmed "can shoot" players (BM, Mal, and 3rd shoter). Since according to you it does not matter anyway who we shoot, we kill someone else who is a "stupid green", let's say whoever is left of shcokkey/incognito/myself. Then the mafia kill 2 more townies. Now we have a 7 vs 8 situation, with only four confirmed shooters.

How is this a good plan (for the town, that is)? Please explain it to me slowly, day by day.


Do you really think only townies are playing stupid?

Do you really, honestly think any rational townie is going to shoot an active player? well, wait nevermind about that point.

Hi, lets go through it like this:

16 vs 7.

Of our current player base, lets say 13 are active.

that leaves 10 inactives to shoot off.

Everyone who hasn't shot yet, start shooting.

If you hesitate and don't role claim, you get shot by someone else willing to do it. How does the town lose in this situation?

Worst case scenario that you described skips people trying to prove their role. Shockeyy already fucked up on his role claim. If you honestly believe he's truly a medic I have no hope for you. He's going to get shot by me, or some other sane townie reading this thread.

Like I said, stop worrying so much about me and read whats going on.


I am trying to just "read what's going on" and focus on the plan which makes most sense to me - the one proposed by Incognito.

I just don't get why now you are against it, advocating chaos and for people to "stop worrying" and just shoot. Weren't you the one to think an ordered list was helpful? Isn't this in line with Incognito's plan?

What gives?


no point in following an ordered plan anymore. Once Bill Murray shot L and no one even really considered punishing him after what happened with Malongo you have no control over what anyone does. Keep this in mind and I'll explain everything in the broader sense. Ok? Stick with me here.

When the game started I already had my plan of shooters down in my head. It's an easy win idea because Ordered Roleclaiming in this setup just owns. Then Malongo shoots Chezinu. Immediately it's in the best interests of the town to tell anyone who free shoots they are getting shot. We let Malongo get a pass. Bill Murray does it the very next day. He gets a pass.

Stop right here and think about it.

You've just let 2 townies free shoot after it was made clear not to. Anyone who shoots is now probably confirmed, and we'll deal with the GF situation later. Right here and now if I was the GF it would make the most sense to shoot an active contributor. The town can't do anything about it. You've already shown in the 2 previous instances you will ignore what happened and just move on.

If you're a sane townie at this point just stop even caring about ordered role claiming. The best way to confirm yourself is to shoot someone scummy or lurking. Following a plan is against your best interests as you might get shot. Take your chances and do the shooting first.

You guys allowed BM to skate off free. So I'm no longer trying to play the OC game. Every time I've told he town what we needed to do, you argue with me, complain, and then at the end of the game I'm proven right. Every single time. Oh you forgot about last game when I called out Dr.H and L for being Mafia right? People called me crazy and walla! I was right!

So do as you please. I'm going to do things my way. You can't get mad about it because you've already let 2 other players do as they please.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 08 2010 18:56 GMT
#734
On March 09 2010 03:51 Incognito wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 09 2010 03:34 Ace wrote:
Thats a pretty shitty theory.

BTW you should read that PM from February 28th and compare it to what I've done this game. You'll find something interesting going on. lulz.

I have no idea how Vivi is even connected to me. But I'm just about to shoot you anyway.

The town can't kill me once I shoot. Because then they'd have to kill Malongo and BM too. The Mafia want to kill probable innocent shooters. We've already shown we aren't going to punish people for shoot first ideals. So you lose. Keep up with the game and stop posting nonsense.


Oh Ace. Ignoring my entire post except for my sarcastic conspiracy theory. Which obviously is a joke. Unlike BM and Malongo, you're stirring up shit. So no, your case != their cases. Care to respond to the serious portions about my post about l10f?


I read the l10f part and put him in the same boat as shockeyy. Anyone lurking should be shot. Don't really care what his reasons are.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Incognito
Profile Joined November 2008
United States2071 Posts
March 08 2010 18:58 GMT
#735
Right here and now if I was the GF it would make the most sense to shoot an active contributor.


Oh look! I guess that's me.
The bureaucracy is expanding to meet the needs of the expanding bureaucracy
Incognito
Profile Joined November 2008
United States2071 Posts
March 08 2010 18:59 GMT
#736
On March 09 2010 03:56 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 09 2010 03:51 Incognito wrote:
On March 09 2010 03:34 Ace wrote:
Thats a pretty shitty theory.

BTW you should read that PM from February 28th and compare it to what I've done this game. You'll find something interesting going on. lulz.

I have no idea how Vivi is even connected to me. But I'm just about to shoot you anyway.

The town can't kill me once I shoot. Because then they'd have to kill Malongo and BM too. The Mafia want to kill probable innocent shooters. We've already shown we aren't going to punish people for shoot first ideals. So you lose. Keep up with the game and stop posting nonsense.


Oh Ace. Ignoring my entire post except for my sarcastic conspiracy theory. Which obviously is a joke. Unlike BM and Malongo, you're stirring up shit. So no, your case != their cases. Care to respond to the serious portions about my post about l10f?


I read the l10f part and put him in the same boat as shockeyy. Anyone lurking should be shot. Don't really care what his reasons are.


Great! So instead of shooting me, an active contributor, can we get to shooting some mafia?
The bureaucracy is expanding to meet the needs of the expanding bureaucracy
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 08 2010 18:59 GMT
#737
Have I shot anyone yet? Oh noes, you fail!
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
March 08 2010 19:00 GMT
#738
It is my belief BM can be reasonable from this point forward. Malongo I do not know, but he does not seem like a raging lunatic either.

Also, the rogue hits missed. This demonstrates to some extent they are not a great idea.

To my mind, this means it is not too late to establish order. What I don't get is why you are trying so hard to prove otherwise and let the game unravel. Pouting after 2 rogue kills is not the best strategy here as far as I can tell.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 08 2010 19:08 GMT
#739
Hey, you do things your way. I'll do them mine. I'm done trying to show you guys the right way to win. Kill me if you feel it's in your best interest. I'm done talking about this.

From now on I only speak with my bullets.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
March 08 2010 19:12 GMT
#740
Ok, go ahead and play the game like Malongo and Bill. My previous impression of you as a mafia player is changing rapidly. Unless it turns out you are red, in which case great job sawing chaos while making it all seem like nothing but an ego trip.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
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