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Рабоче-Крестьянская Красная Армия мафия - Page 20

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
March 07 2010 19:09 GMT
#381
On March 08 2010 03:35 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 03:33 Iaaan wrote:
Xelin, if you read the thread, its pretty clear that the reason to kill Malongo is to preserve the quality of future games more than it is because he is red. I dont know if I agree with it, but no one has really suggested a better target (I don't think).
Fulgrim, Abenson, the current most inactive player.

Many suggestions have been put out but people seem to be intentionally not talking about it.


I think we should try Ace's plan, except instead of having it completely random, why not start off with someone who is actually a little bit suspicious?
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
March 07 2010 19:21 GMT
#382
On March 08 2010 03:56 Fulgrim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 03:46 L wrote:
On March 08 2010 03:41 Fulgrim wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 08 2010 03:31 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 02:17 Ace wrote:
List order

dozko
Vivi57
Incognito
citi.zen
Meeple
XeliN
JeeJee
Bill Murray
CynanMachae
789
L
l10f
Fulgrim
d3_crescentia
Johnnyspazz
~OpZ~
Foolishness
Shockeyy
Nemy
Iaaan
Fishball
Sidesprang
Ace
Abenson

Plan of action:

dozko shoots Malongo unless there's a better target. I'm all for players that are clearly not thinking or criticizing the plan without giving us better options. Players that only criticize and offer nothing are playing anti-town and hence would be good to shoot.

DT check on Vivi57.





INVERT. THE. LIST.

Dt check Ace, Abenson is the first to hit.

Also JeeJee what have I missed? Quite frankly I don't see anything that you've said that isn't covered, so feel free to bring something up explicitly if you want me to deal with it.

Fulgrim: Rofl, basically you're pulling a standard "don't tread on me". Pretty sure your overreaction to a rather weak suspicion is indicative of mafia or blue.


It was more of the fact that you told me I was posting "shit", which I was pointing out you weren't doing much better, but whatever =).

Why are people so opposed to everyone making a list, and pming it to two people and then those people will post the list of whoever dies tonight?

Generally you need to actually be pointing out something that is true, and since I've been posting real content and you decided to take an upswing in activity by plopping out empty posts after someone threatened to kill inactives I've got a feeling that I'm still a shining white knight compared to you.

Why would
1) everyone make a list
2) pm it to 2 people
Is there a purpose there? Is there some importance to it? I mean I understand that we're going to try to randomize the list, but I really don't see why we'd do so in a way that lets people severely game the system and avoid detection.

Additionally; Plans that require EVERYONE to do something (rather than not do something) never work. Not once. The only exception is a 100% confirmed townsperson asking for roleclaims.


You could call it an upswing in participation, it was a saturday night I was out. I like posting my thoughts whether you think them trash or not.

Ok lets talk about the town's plan for a minute. We wanted a list of people that we could use to decide the order for who is doing the shooting each day. Ace came up with a list of people and declared Malongo to be the first target. So the issue with his list is that we don't know whether Ace is mafia or not, which could be solved by either A) Killing him, B) Rolechecking him, or C) Using a different list! I was trying to expand on citi.zen's idea that everyone could make a random list and pm it to two designated people. That way we could solve the problem without wasting a DT check (which Ace could be a CIA agent), or killing Ace. It makes the most sense to ME at least.

I agree with your last point at least, that getting a large amount of people to do something is difficult, but chances are the mafia would kill one of the people who are being active, and who would pm their list to these people.

Or we could flip the list and there's zero problems. If you think we're going to get 26 people throwing out 52 pms, you're pretty out of your mind. mafia killing someone who didn't bother to make a list essentially lets them have 2 people engineer a list. Additionally, someone having pmed the other dead target (kp is at least 2, remember? ) gives someone the ability to forge the list if he waits and no one speaks up.

Now do you see the 'gaming the system' part?
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
Fulgrim
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States560 Posts
March 07 2010 19:30 GMT
#383
On March 08 2010 04:21 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 03:56 Fulgrim wrote:
On March 08 2010 03:46 L wrote:
On March 08 2010 03:41 Fulgrim wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 08 2010 03:31 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 02:17 Ace wrote:
List order

dozko
Vivi57
Incognito
citi.zen
Meeple
XeliN
JeeJee
Bill Murray
CynanMachae
789
L
l10f
Fulgrim
d3_crescentia
Johnnyspazz
~OpZ~
Foolishness
Shockeyy
Nemy
Iaaan
Fishball
Sidesprang
Ace
Abenson

Plan of action:

dozko shoots Malongo unless there's a better target. I'm all for players that are clearly not thinking or criticizing the plan without giving us better options. Players that only criticize and offer nothing are playing anti-town and hence would be good to shoot.

DT check on Vivi57.





INVERT. THE. LIST.

Dt check Ace, Abenson is the first to hit.

Also JeeJee what have I missed? Quite frankly I don't see anything that you've said that isn't covered, so feel free to bring something up explicitly if you want me to deal with it.

Fulgrim: Rofl, basically you're pulling a standard "don't tread on me". Pretty sure your overreaction to a rather weak suspicion is indicative of mafia or blue.


It was more of the fact that you told me I was posting "shit", which I was pointing out you weren't doing much better, but whatever =).

Why are people so opposed to everyone making a list, and pming it to two people and then those people will post the list of whoever dies tonight?

Generally you need to actually be pointing out something that is true, and since I've been posting real content and you decided to take an upswing in activity by plopping out empty posts after someone threatened to kill inactives I've got a feeling that I'm still a shining white knight compared to you.

Why would
1) everyone make a list
2) pm it to 2 people
Is there a purpose there? Is there some importance to it? I mean I understand that we're going to try to randomize the list, but I really don't see why we'd do so in a way that lets people severely game the system and avoid detection.

Additionally; Plans that require EVERYONE to do something (rather than not do something) never work. Not once. The only exception is a 100% confirmed townsperson asking for roleclaims.


You could call it an upswing in participation, it was a saturday night I was out. I like posting my thoughts whether you think them trash or not.

Ok lets talk about the town's plan for a minute. We wanted a list of people that we could use to decide the order for who is doing the shooting each day. Ace came up with a list of people and declared Malongo to be the first target. So the issue with his list is that we don't know whether Ace is mafia or not, which could be solved by either A) Killing him, B) Rolechecking him, or C) Using a different list! I was trying to expand on citi.zen's idea that everyone could make a random list and pm it to two designated people. That way we could solve the problem without wasting a DT check (which Ace could be a CIA agent), or killing Ace. It makes the most sense to ME at least.

I agree with your last point at least, that getting a large amount of people to do something is difficult, but chances are the mafia would kill one of the people who are being active, and who would pm their list to these people.

Or we could flip the list and there's zero problems. If you think we're going to get 26 people throwing out 52 pms, you're pretty out of your mind. mafia killing someone who didn't bother to make a list essentially lets them have 2 people engineer a list. Additionally, someone having pmed the other dead target (kp is at least 2, remember? ) gives someone the ability to forge the list if he waits and no one speaks up.

Now do you see the 'gaming the system' part?


Alright fine. I guess it would be too hard to organize and execute, fair enough. Especially if the mafia killed the two people we choose to organize the lists. So I guess we just start having people shoot from one end of Ace's list and rolecheck down the other.
One does not simply walk into mordor
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
March 07 2010 19:34 GMT
#384
PMs don't work well without confirmed greens, that idea was bad and is a distraction.

ACE: lots of us like your plan, but feel uncomfortable with a single player proposing the list and controlling the entire flow of the game.

On record: Ace, are you comfortable inverting the list and moving on? If it is randomly generated, the reversed one will be as well. If not, well, you can figure out the rest.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 07 2010 20:12 GMT
#385
I'm fine with inverting the list. I also think 789's idea was even better. After a round of Shots/checks if we are good to go, then the person who shot (in this case it would be Abenson) gets to randomize the next list. Needless to say if Abenson starts acting up, I'll take the shot on him, and randomize the next list. DT just checks off the next person.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 07 2010 20:14 GMT
#386
Shockey play the game in the thread. Don't private message me asking me nonsensical questions that won't get you anywhere.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3472 Posts
March 07 2010 20:17 GMT
#387
Not even gonna try to defend me, just want to point before you hit think it twice because theres one party that benefits and its not the town /lawl i should even get a medic tonight/. So far the best thing to do is to start hitting nonposters. This has happened a billion times, mafia doesnt like to post at all. Foolishness, l10f, Shockeyy. Zero posts. Im just gonna put fishball there because of his "im lazy" presentation. Im thinking 2/4 is mafiya.
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 07 2010 13:27 Fishball wrote:
Just read my PM and noticed the game has started, but I have no idea wtf is going on.
Execute what?

And for the next shooter: force Abenson to take the shot. DTs dont fucking RC me, its useless.
Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
Caller
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Poland8075 Posts
March 07 2010 20:19 GMT
#388
if you haven't submitted ur night actions you have 4 hours before i get impatient
Watch me fail at Paradox: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=397564
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 07 2010 20:22 GMT
#389
On March 08 2010 03:29 XeliN wrote:
I disagree with Aces plan and quite frankly i would consider the simple fact that he is pressing to kill molongo, someone who to me seems highly likely to be green, as a valid reason in itself not to go along with it.

If aces plan is implemented I will not be following it and if this results in my death then meh, the life expectancy of Russians is probably quite low anyway.


no problem bucko.

After Abenson's situation is cleared, I think Xelin should be next to be shot barring any other obvious scum.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
dozko
Profile Joined December 2009
United Kingdom160 Posts
March 07 2010 20:28 GMT
#390
On March 08 2010 02:46 789 wrote:
Well if we are going to go with random lists that is made by a confirmed green. Here's my proposition. We start with Ace's inverted list which will have Abenson as the first to execute. I think you can all agree with me (no offense abenson) that it is unlikely abenson was chosen as the CIA agent. If he can shoot he is more than likely green. Then abenson could use the same method Ace did to create a list. This would give us a list that we will not have to worry about bias.


Your idea is good but your thought process is ridiculous. Judging by the length of the night the reds have not yet sent in their night actions to Caller. Therefore the CIA agent is yet to be chosen. Furthermore nothing stops the reds electing abenson as the cia (if he is one of them) and then simply telling him what to write/writing for him.

So basically here's how I would like our strategy. 1) We go with ace's initial idea of a random list 2) We go with 789's idea of letting the confirmed green shooter generate a new list every day 3) We DO NOT decide on how to rearrange the original random list by ace until it is Day 2.

Also just for the record the chance that Xelin is pro town in all 3 games (BC's, Incog's, Caller's [assuming 6 reds]) is 11%.
People respond to incentives; the rest is commentary.
Caller
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Poland8075 Posts
March 07 2010 20:34 GMT
#391
I should probably specify ahead of time that the CIA Agent was assigned

it doesn't make sense that a bunch of ukrainians would elect somebody to become a cia agent
Watch me fail at Paradox: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=397564
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
March 07 2010 20:45 GMT
#392
I still think that the list we have shouldn't be completely random, doesn't it make sense to put suspicious-er people at the top of the list? (ie, abenson/fulgrim/xelin/whoever else)
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 07 2010 20:50 GMT
#393
Iaaan not really. It's just as powerful to confirm townies as it is Mafia.

By having a randomized list of who's up next to prove their town AND a separate list of scummy looking players we are kind of going down 2 lists at once.

Secondly with a randomized list scum can't get the chance to claim bs their fake claims. They never know when it's going to come.

That said Abenson stop bullshitting and fucking post. Night is going to pass very soon and as soon as day time comes you're on the spot.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3472 Posts
March 07 2010 20:50 GMT
#394
On March 08 2010 05:28 dozko wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 02:46 789 wrote:
Well if we are going to go with random lists that is made by a confirmed green. Here's my proposition. We start with Ace's inverted list which will have Abenson as the first to execute. I think you can all agree with me (no offense abenson) that it is unlikely abenson was chosen as the CIA agent. If he can shoot he is more than likely green. Then abenson could use the same method Ace did to create a list. This would give us a list that we will not have to worry about bias.


Your idea is good but your thought process is ridiculous. Judging by the length of the night the reds have not yet sent in their night actions to Caller. Therefore the CIA agent is yet to be chosen. Furthermore nothing stops the reds electing abenson as the cia (if he is one of them) and then simply telling him what to write/writing for him.

So basically here's how I would like our strategy. 1) We go with ace's initial idea of a random list 2) We go with 789's idea of letting the confirmed green shooter generate a new list every day 3) We DO NOT decide on how to rearrange the original random list by ace until it is Day 2.

Also just for the record the chance that Xelin is pro town in all 3 games (BC's, Incog's, Caller's [assuming 6 reds]) is 11%.

I dont care about Xelin but i have been town 10 straight times counting this one. I got 1 veteran and 9 greens. Im like the definition of green.
Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
March 07 2010 21:01 GMT
#395
Dozko that is faulty logic, here is the link so you may correct this most silly of assumptions.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy

techinally actually it isn't but the insinuation is that my likelihood of being Mafia in this game is somehow greater than other peoples and in that sense it is faulty
Adonai bless
d3_crescentia
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4054 Posts
March 07 2010 21:15 GMT
#396
Okay, just reread all the posts since I logged off early this morning and my mind is feeling way clearer. Didn't realize that the CIA had the GF power; my bad for lacking reading comprehension at the time.

Dozko I have no idea where you got those numbers for XeliN and I don't think they're too helpful anyway.

I support the Ace/789 plan; still don't think Malongo is really worth a shot though. If Abenson doesn't post is he going to get modkilled?
once, not long ago, there was a moon here
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
March 07 2010 21:15 GMT
#397
There are no modkills iirc.
Fishball
Profile Joined December 2005
Canada4788 Posts
March 07 2010 21:16 GMT
#398
On March 08 2010 06:15 d3_crescentia wrote:
Okay, just reread all the posts since I logged off early this morning and my mind is feeling way clearer. Didn't realize that the CIA had the GF power; my bad for lacking reading comprehension at the time.

Dozko I have no idea where you got those numbers for XeliN and I don't think they're too helpful anyway.

I support the Ace/789 plan; still don't think Malongo is really worth a shot though. If Abenson doesn't post is he going to get modkilled?


There is no mod-kill.
靈魂交響曲
dozko
Profile Joined December 2009
United Kingdom160 Posts
March 07 2010 21:17 GMT
#399
On March 08 2010 06:01 XeliN wrote:
Dozko that is faulty logic, here is the link so you may correct this most silly of assumptions.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy

techinally actually it isn't but the insinuation is that my likelihood of being Mafia in this game is somehow greater than other peoples and in that sense it is faulty


No technically I am correct. The same way the probability of getting 3 heads IN A ROW is 1/8
People respond to incentives; the rest is commentary.
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
March 07 2010 21:19 GMT
#400
you have misinterpreted my post, however its not really relevant so cool story bro.
Adonai bless
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