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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 604

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
October 05 2023 19:57 GMT
#12061
--- Nuked ---
sertas
Profile Joined April 2012
Sweden890 Posts
October 05 2023 21:32 GMT
#12062
70k dead for ukraine and 130k dead for russia is still good numbers for ukraine and 70k dead for ukraine as video said they can keep this up for decades
Dav1oN
Profile Joined January 2012
Ukraine3164 Posts
October 05 2023 21:38 GMT
#12063
I hope the US congressman and some EU politicians are still remembering what is a definition of terrorism. And on which side of the history they may be

In memory of Geoff "iNcontroL" Robinson 11.09.1985 - 21.07.2019 A tribute to incredible man, embodiment of joy, esports titan, starcraft community pillar all in one. You will always be remembered!
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17843 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-05 23:51:04
October 05 2023 23:44 GMT
#12064
On October 06 2023 04:42 zeo wrote:
You mean the largest country in Europe after Russia which received more aid than the entire Marshal plan adjusted for inflation? I think you can do a lot better than this post


You mean the largest when it comes to area but nowhere near it when it comes to the population? Germany has twice the population of Ukraine and Poland has similar population while only having half the area.

By what measure do you judge the country as being "large"? What counts most in war is manpower and economy and in those regards Ukraine isn't anywhere near the premier spots in Europe. 8th in population and 23rd in economy.

Ukraine is a bit like most European countries' poor downtrodden cousin who's had an abusive father and is now trying to get out of it so we're glad to help.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
hexhaven
Profile Joined July 2014
Finland965 Posts
October 06 2023 06:22 GMT
#12065
On October 05 2023 22:05 KwarK wrote:
“They’re not winning fast enough”


Hey, at least he's more committed to his gimmick than Russia is to the Black Sea fleet.
WriterI shoot events. | http://www.jussi.co/esports
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4452 Posts
October 06 2023 08:17 GMT
#12066
On October 06 2023 06:32 sertas wrote:
70k dead for ukraine and 130k dead for russia is still good numbers for ukraine and 70k dead for ukraine as video said they can keep this up for decades

Decades? Very hard to see western support lasting decades considering the rate which support is dropping.
https://www.ktbs.com/news/national/us-public-support-declines-for-providing-weapons-to-ukraine-poll-shows/video_472f1c40-87be-584d-950f-8b44074f666c.html

According to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, only 41% of respondents felt that the U.S. should continue to "provide weapons to Ukraine.". 35% said that America should not provide the war-torn country with weapons, while the rest of respondents were unsure. In May of this year, 46% of Americans supported sending arms to Ukraine, and only 29% were opposed


I'm not seeing decades worth of support from these numbers, the trend is clear both in America and Europe.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6343 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-06 08:30:52
October 06 2023 08:27 GMT
#12067
On October 06 2023 06:32 sertas wrote:
70k dead for ukraine and 130k dead for russia is still good numbers for ukraine and 70k dead for ukraine as video said they can keep this up for decades

Its not about the number 70k. Its about the US changing its prediction from 15k to 70k dead since the offensive started. Thats a difference of over 50k in a few months for a few sq km.

Again, we dont know how much the Americans know, was it 15k or 200k dead before the offencive. But this is a drastic change in estimate and there is a reason they think Kiev has 4x as many dead. Its still 50k dead.
“What the public criticizes in you, cultivate. It is you.” - Jean Cocteau
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4641 Posts
October 06 2023 08:46 GMT
#12068
On October 06 2023 17:27 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 06 2023 06:32 sertas wrote:
70k dead for ukraine and 130k dead for russia is still good numbers for ukraine and 70k dead for ukraine as video said they can keep this up for decades

Its not about the number 70k. Its about the US changing its prediction from 15k to 70k dead since the offensive started. That's a difference of over 50k in a few months for a few sq km.

Again, we dont know how much the Americans know, was it 15k or 200k dead before the offensive. But this is a drastic change in estimate and there is a reason they think Kiev has 4x as many dead. Its still 50k dead.


You are looking at this all wrong, if they had not stopped the offensive at any cost, all Ukraine would have fallen.
When they first failed to defend the first attack, the cost was incredibly high for civilians. Mass torture and execution in the streets.

Technically, Ukraine cannot do anything else than what they are doing. Russia doesn't need anything in Ukraine. Imagine if NATO troops took half of Serbia, what would you do? I don't think at that point, the number of casualty would matter.

Remember that what is dead may never die but rises again and stronger.

You can think what kind of society Russia is that the choice to go fight in Ukraine is the better alternative. This will be Russia's Vietnam, Afganistan...

Western way is wonderful. You can't imagine how well our vision of the world works better. Take Germany after world war 2. Once they were kicked out from other country, did any territory end up being taken, or did Germany became an integral part of Europe... With a slight delay because of Russia of course, because why not?

Also you realise that the whole purpose of every single weapon in Europe today has always been to defend against Russia?

That's why we care so much about ethics. A better world is possible, but you can chose everyday a worse world just to be right alone in your corner.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
sertas
Profile Joined April 2012
Sweden890 Posts
October 06 2023 08:56 GMT
#12069
On October 06 2023 17:17 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 06 2023 06:32 sertas wrote:
70k dead for ukraine and 130k dead for russia is still good numbers for ukraine and 70k dead for ukraine as video said they can keep this up for decades

Decades? Very hard to see western support lasting decades considering the rate which support is dropping.
https://www.ktbs.com/news/national/us-public-support-declines-for-providing-weapons-to-ukraine-poll-shows/video_472f1c40-87be-584d-950f-8b44074f666c.html
Show nested quote +

According to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, only 41% of respondents felt that the U.S. should continue to "provide weapons to Ukraine.". 35% said that America should not provide the war-torn country with weapons, while the rest of respondents were unsure. In May of this year, 46% of Americans supported sending arms to Ukraine, and only 29% were opposed


I'm not seeing decades worth of support from these numbers, the trend is clear both in America and Europe.


Decades in terms of manpower, equipment who knows, europe seems to be united in support anyway for at least 3+ more years.

I don't think the russian economy can sustain another 2 years, and that's probably the only way other than a complete millitary victory to win the war
zatic
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Zurich15366 Posts
October 06 2023 09:01 GMT
#12070
There is no way around that the last week was maybe the worst for Ukraine since Severodonsk though.

Biden wavering, US support on a lifeline. Euros still somewhat united but also there Scholz denying long range missiles.

Putin's out of holding until Trump seems tremendously more likely than just 2 weeks ago.
ModeratorI know Teamliquid is known as a massive building
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
799 Posts
October 06 2023 10:35 GMT
#12071
Is Trump's win that realistic though? I don't follow US news that much but wasn't his career after losing the elections basically a loss after loss and an embarassment after embarassment?
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9331 Posts
October 06 2023 10:48 GMT
#12072
I honestly don't understand the panic about the problems with the American support. The next election is indeed something to worry about but the risks related to what's going on now seem very exaggerated.
You're now breathing manually
zatic
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Zurich15366 Posts
October 06 2023 11:15 GMT
#12073
Does it? Biden had promised another 24bn in military aid in 2023 to Ukraine, that is now off the table. As far as I know the Pentagon has still funding for military support up to 5bn. After that it's over.

It seems very unlikely that Biden gets additional support from Congress within the next 40 days. And then the government is out of money again and needs to renegotiate - again very unlikely that the outcome is fundamentally different from the one this week with regards to support to Ukraine.

So, as it looks right now there will be US support to the tune of 5bn for the rest of 2023. Not nothing, but barely a lifeline.

With regards to Trump: I am not saying that it is super likely he will return to office. But it is the one out Putin has. IF he can hold out until then a Trump election is Putin's best chance to walk away with something he can call a win.
ModeratorI know Teamliquid is known as a massive building
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17843 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-06 11:28:57
October 06 2023 11:27 GMT
#12074
On October 06 2023 20:15 zatic wrote:
With regards to Trump: I am not saying that it is super likely he will return to office. But it is the one out Putin has. IF he can hold out until then a Trump election is Putin's best chance to walk away with something he can call a win.


Didn't he lose some trial recently though? If it was the one about leaking national security files and such wouldn't this disqualify him from running for the office?

Not sure if he'd even be eligible while the trials aren't over since there might be some doubts about giving him the security clearance.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
799 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-06 11:32:39
October 06 2023 11:32 GMT
#12075
Giving Trump any type of security clearance or access to any secret documents looks like a dumbest thing possible.
I do not care for US Dems vs Reps infighting, but this guy is a walking disaster on so many levels.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22584 Posts
October 06 2023 11:36 GMT
#12076
On October 06 2023 20:15 zatic wrote:
Does it? Biden had promised another 24bn in military aid in 2023 to Ukraine, that is now off the table. As far as I know the Pentagon has still funding for military support up to 5bn. After that it's over.

It seems very unlikely that Biden gets additional support from Congress within the next 40 days. And then the government is out of money again and needs to renegotiate - again very unlikely that the outcome is fundamentally different from the one this week with regards to support to Ukraine.

So, as it looks right now there will be US support to the tune of 5bn for the rest of 2023. Not nothing, but barely a lifeline.

With regards to Trump: I am not saying that it is super likely he will return to office. But it is the one out Putin has. IF he can hold out until then a Trump election is Putin's best chance to walk away with something he can call a win.
Funding for Ukraine still has broad support even among Republicans in the House. It was just that McCarthy wanted to appease the far-right elements badly enough to trying and remove it.

I see no reason to assume additional aid is off the table.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11991 Posts
October 06 2023 11:36 GMT
#12077
On October 06 2023 20:32 ZeroByte13 wrote:
Giving Trump any type of security clearance or access to any secret documents looks like a dumbest thing possible.
I do not care for US Dems vs Reps infighting, but this guy is a walking disaster on so many levels.


Absolutely agreed, and that should be obvious to any sane person.

I am also quite certain that Trump wouldn't pass even the simplest background check for the lowest security clearance.

And yet, about half the US views stuff differently.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24354 Posts
October 06 2023 15:49 GMT
#12078
On October 06 2023 20:36 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 06 2023 20:15 zatic wrote:
Does it? Biden had promised another 24bn in military aid in 2023 to Ukraine, that is now off the table. As far as I know the Pentagon has still funding for military support up to 5bn. After that it's over.

It seems very unlikely that Biden gets additional support from Congress within the next 40 days. And then the government is out of money again and needs to renegotiate - again very unlikely that the outcome is fundamentally different from the one this week with regards to support to Ukraine.

So, as it looks right now there will be US support to the tune of 5bn for the rest of 2023. Not nothing, but barely a lifeline.

With regards to Trump: I am not saying that it is super likely he will return to office. But it is the one out Putin has. IF he can hold out until then a Trump election is Putin's best chance to walk away with something he can call a win.
Funding for Ukraine still has broad support even among Republicans in the House. It was just that McCarthy wanted to appease the far-right elements badly enough to trying and remove it.

I see no reason to assume additional aid is off the table.

It doesn't even have to be "off the table" for the current and future delays to be extremely costly for Ukraine.

Republicans basically said "if you want to keep the government open you have to scrap Ukraine aid" and Democrats took the deal. It bought the US ~45 days of keeping the government open and now their next negotiation will likely be with someone even more opposed to more aid to Ukraine, that will also be threatened with removal if they try to make a deal including more aid for Ukraine.

I personally wouldn't be surprised to see Ukraine funding end up like lots of stuff in the US where the infighting/system is the excuse for inaction until it is too late for the thing being fought about to get fixed. Could also end up one of those things Democrats would rather exploit the political expediency of blaming Republicans for the fallout than stop them.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17843 Posts
October 06 2023 17:49 GMT
#12079
On October 06 2023 20:32 ZeroByte13 wrote:
Giving Trump any type of security clearance or access to any secret documents looks like a dumbest thing possible.
I do not care for US Dems vs Reps infighting, but this guy is a walking disaster on so many levels.


Fortunately in the US you need money to win elections and it seems Trump won't have any quite soon. Trump Corp is now forbidden from doing business

Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
StorrZerg
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
United States13921 Posts
October 06 2023 20:15 GMT
#12080
Doesn't stop super pacs and Russia from financing him.
Hwaseung Oz fan for life. Swing out, always swing out.
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