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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 470

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
June 24 2023 11:03 GMT
#9381
Ka-52 helicopters blowing up oil depots in Voronez. Some wild stuff happening.

+ Show Spoiler +


And a Strela anti air system firing at a helicopter (no idea if same area)
+ Show Spoiler +
Neosteel Enthusiast
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2654 Posts
June 24 2023 11:05 GMT
#9382
The Ukrainian military is closely monitoring the events happening in Russia right now.

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/14hpph0/ua_pov_the_ukrainian_military_is_closely/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android_app&utm_name=androidcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
Dav1oN
Profile Joined January 2012
Ukraine3164 Posts
June 24 2023 11:18 GMT
#9383
Some people in twitter are noticing a stream of private jets moving from Moscow to Turkey direction

Financial markets are also reacting

Maybe am a bit too optimistic, but the signs of the collapse of the bloody regime are there, all things considered
In memory of Geoff "iNcontroL" Robinson 11.09.1985 - 21.07.2019 A tribute to incredible man, embodiment of joy, esports titan, starcraft community pillar all in one. You will always be remembered!
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria832 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-24 11:50:23
June 24 2023 11:42 GMT
#9384
On June 24 2023 20:18 Dav1oN wrote:
Some people in twitter are noticing a stream of private jets moving from Moscow to Turkey direction

Financial markets are also reacting

Maybe am a bit too optimistic, but the signs of the collapse of the bloody regime are there, all things considered


I'm not sure about this, both Prigozhin and Putin are criminals. Hoping one would be better than the other is pointless. Has Russia ever had a reasonable leader since their communist times? I don't think so. I expect more of the same.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
June 24 2023 11:58 GMT
#9385
If true, then some of the locals are comfortable with filming themselves handing food and water to the Wagner soldiers.

If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8190 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-24 11:59:10
June 24 2023 11:58 GMT
#9386
On June 24 2023 20:42 SC-Shield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2023 20:18 Dav1oN wrote:
Some people in twitter are noticing a stream of private jets moving from Moscow to Turkey direction

Financial markets are also reacting

Maybe am a bit too optimistic, but the signs of the collapse of the bloody regime are there, all things considered


I'm not sure about this, both Prigozhin and Putin are criminals. Hoping one would be better than the other is pointless. Has Russia ever had a reasonable leader since their communist times? I don't think so. I expect more of the same.


Not that I'm old enough to remember, so I'm sure someone is going to counter with a baby-eating case I haven't caught on to, but Gorbachev seemed like the most reasonable leader USSR had, at least in terms of personal freedom, approachable international politics, and being responsible for ending the cold war. I'm not sure he can single handedly be blamed for the collapse of the USSR either, as it was his approach to increased democracy that made the dominos start falling
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43262 Posts
June 24 2023 12:14 GMT
#9387
If Wagner wins the war in Ukraine will end because the last thing a new leader wants is to inherit the mistakes of his predecessor. It’s a unique opportunity to admit defeat without it being your fault. Also they know first hand how well armed Ukraine is and the commitment of the west to keep supplying.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4733 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-24 12:18:02
June 24 2023 12:17 GMT
#9388
The perception of Gorbachev and Yeltsin is very different in the west and in Russia. While we view them as corrupt/incompetent, but reasonable, Russians see them as those who brought down the empire. Deprived Russia of greatness it, in their opinion, deserve.
Pathetic Greta hater.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 24 2023 12:19 GMT
#9389
BBC confirmed Wagner in Lipetsk (430km from Moscow)

"Our BBC Verify team has verified a video showing a Wagner convoy of armed vehicles travelling on the M4 motorway, which links Voronezh and Moscow through the region of Lipetsk.

As we've mentioned, the governor of the Lipetsk region has asked residents to stay home and avoid travelling, either with public vehicles or on public transport.

Regional authorities in Lipetsk have said that all bus services in the region are cancelled until further notice."

Also some reports a presidential plane (maybe Putin) has fled to St Petersburg
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4591 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-24 12:21:34
June 24 2023 12:20 GMT
#9390
This has a bit of a game of throne feeling.
Navalny was Ned stark.
Ukraine is Dorne. (hmm can't think of a better one, Dorne was not really in war, but there was that duel with the mountain...)
Wagner is the Second sons...

Maybe there are even better parallels.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
778 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-24 12:28:00
June 24 2023 12:20 GMT
#9391
On June 24 2023 20:58 Excludos wrote:
Not that I'm old enough to remember, so I'm sure someone is going to counter with a baby-eating case I haven't caught on to, but Gorbachev seemed like the most reasonable leader USSR had
Few people who were adults during Gorbachev's reign remember him as a good leader.
Regardless of whether he did a lot of things right or not, situation in the country became turbulent while he was in power and then became even more turbulent right after - "crazy 90s" are called that for a reason.

And people tend to attribute problems to whoever is in power at the moment unless those in power really try to redirect the responsibilty, aka "it's the West working against us" - which is something Gorbachev did NOT do at all.
Which creates an obvious conclusion, right? It is all his fault then!

I didn't even hear anything about Gorbachev destroying the great empire from most people, it was more in the vein of - we lived stable lives and then he came and it became very turbulent and not stable at all.
A lot of people in 90s were sad USSR fell apart, but for most it wasn't because they lost "our big strong empire" - they lost stability which hits much closer to what's actually important for most people i.e. their personal life.
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9137 Posts
June 24 2023 12:45 GMT
#9392
In a situation like this no one wants to shoot, everyone wants to just choose the side that appears stronger. It will probably be decided on the outskirts of Moscow not by all out fighting but by whether official authorities can mount a big enough show of force/loyalty there to make Wagner troops abandon.

I'm starting to think Wagner have a decent chance. This long, slow, unimpended march makes the authorities appear weak and they're also much better at the telegram/social media game. TV propaganda has worked wonders for authorities with the older and rural demographics but that's not what young men use for information. Wagner might even reach Moscow with more men than it started if authorities make the mistake of ordering small forces to try and stop them along the way.
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28712 Posts
June 24 2023 12:49 GMT
#9393
Khrushchev is according to some wikipediaing I just did the Soviet leader with the most positive memory.
The Russian public's view of Khrushchev remains mixed. According to a major Russian pollster, the only eras of the 20th century that Russians in the 21st century evaluate positively are those under Nicholas II, and under Khrushchev. A poll in 1998 of young Russians found that they felt Nicholas II had done more good than harm, and all other 20th-century Russian leaders more harm than good—except Khrushchev, about whom they were evenly divided
Moderator
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 24 2023 12:54 GMT
#9394
There is no way, not sensibly at least, that Putin planned for any of this as excuse or anything else. Every hour this goes on makes him look weaker, and weaker. Several helicopters have already been shot down. Domestic units seem to be joining Wagner and so forth. The Ruble is collapsing, now imagine this continues in to Monday....

Then to add insult to injury what is trying to stem the Wagner forces? Chechens. In Western Russia. That will go over real well domestically.


"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Luolis
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Finland7140 Posts
June 24 2023 12:57 GMT
#9395
This is so fucking funny.

3 day march to Kiev turns into 3 day march to Moscow :D
pro cheese woman / Its never Sunny in Finland. Perkele / FinnishStarcraftTrivia
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 24 2023 13:01 GMT
#9396
Won't even be 3 days, they will probably be in Moscow tonight/early morning unless there is a big battle to stop them.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 24 2023 13:11 GMT
#9397
Only way I think this can end for Putin is he somehow gets Prigozhin assassinated. One has to think he doesn't want to battle against Wagner anywhere in Russia, let alone in or outside of Moscow.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21961 Posts
June 24 2023 13:13 GMT
#9398
On June 24 2023 21:45 Dan HH wrote:
In a situation like this no one wants to shoot, everyone wants to just choose the side that appears stronger. It will probably be decided on the outskirts of Moscow not by all out fighting but by whether official authorities can mount a big enough show of force/loyalty there to make Wagner troops abandon.

I'm starting to think Wagner have a decent chance. This long, slow, unimpended march makes the authorities appear weak and they're also much better at the telegram/social media game. TV propaganda has worked wonders for authorities with the older and rural demographics but that's not what young men use for information. Wagner might even reach Moscow with more men than it started if authorities make the mistake of ordering small forces to try and stop them along the way.
I question if Wagner would stand down if they meet actual opposition at the edge of Moscow, unless it is truly an overwhelming force.

Wagner are seasoned soldiers and they must know that an open coup and marching on Moscow against Putin is a death sentence. They have nothing to lose by fighting and are almost certainly dead if they stand down now.

Once Putin made his speech and publicly declared them traitors this was a case of victory or death.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-24 13:18:38
June 24 2023 13:15 GMT
#9399
Meanwhile Ukraine has announced they have captured, a week ago, positions held since 2014.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43262 Posts
June 24 2023 13:16 GMT
#9400
On June 24 2023 21:20 0x64 wrote:
This has a bit of a game of throne feeling.
Navalny was Ned stark.
Ukraine is Dorne. (hmm can't think of a better one, Dorne was not really in war, but there was that duel with the mountain...)
Wagner is the Second sons...

Maybe there are even better parallels.

It’s discount Caesar.
1. Commander becomes massively rich and popular waging an illegal war with his personal army loyal to him.
2. State begins to fear him and orders him to hand his army over to their command.
3. State orders him home to face charges.
4. Commander marches on the state.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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