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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 419

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14104 Posts
April 14 2023 19:23 GMT
#8361
The US has killed hundreds of russian "mercenaries" in syria over the recent years. There is a way for the US commander to inform the russians that its about to happen so its not war but there are a thousand ways to play off a citizen of one empire dieing by another empire.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43670 Posts
April 14 2023 21:13 GMT
#8362
On April 15 2023 04:23 Sermokala wrote:
The US has killed hundreds of russian "mercenaries" in syria over the recent years. There is a way for the US commander to inform the russians that its about to happen so its not war but there are a thousand ways to play off a citizen of one empire dieing by another empire.

This incident is one of the reasons for bad blood between the Russian army and Wagner. The US asked the Russian army if they had any soldiers in the area and a Russian officer said nope, go ahead. Wagner had a bad time.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3304 Posts
April 14 2023 21:25 GMT
#8363
On April 15 2023 02:18 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2023 02:06 ChristianS wrote:
On April 15 2023 01:48 KwarK wrote:
On April 15 2023 01:32 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:49 KwarK wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
Having troops in Ukraine does present a risk that they could be killed without being the target of an attack (whether they were the target, would undoubtedly be in contention). That obviously carries its own potentially catastrophic escalatory risks that can be avoided when they aren't in Ukraine.

Having a remix of Tongo Tongo in Ukraine could have far greater consequences.

Nah, great powers kill each other’s troops relatively frequently. Nobody starts WW3 over a private.

I think it's far from a given that a handful of US soldiers killed by Russia would mean immediate WW3, but I don't believe it can be dismissed as not a potential escalatory incident either.

When's the last time a US soldier in an ostensibly non-combat role was killed in hostilities by a nuclear power? I'm a bit skeptical of your assertion that it's a relatively frequent occurrence.

On April 15 2023 00:57 Manit0u wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
Having troops in Ukraine does present a risk that they could be killed without being the target of an attack (whether they were the target, would undoubtedly be in contention). That obviously carries its own potentially catastrophic escalatory risks that can be avoided when they aren't in Ukraine.

Having a remix of Tongo Tongo in Ukraine could have far greater consequences.


I think that everyone who went there and people who sent them are well aware of potential risks. Besides, I think they're all in Kyiv or other places away from the front, not running active missions near the hotzones. Remember that during the Tongo Tongo incident the US forces there were actually on a seek & destroy mission and got ambushed. As long as NATO members inside Ukraine aren't running similar black ops there shouldn't be any problems with escalation.

That's the catch, isn't it. They aren't going to tell us they are until/unless they get caught. Them (the US especially) not running similar black ops would be an anomaly though.

That said, being in Kyiv reduces but doesn't eliminate entirely the potential for US soldiers to be killed by Russian hostilities.

Specifically US soldiers isn’t what I said. I said great powers. India and China do it all the time.

It does seem like exactly the kind of thing the US would freak out about, though, even if other powers wouldn’t, right? Not guaranteed they (we) would, and maybe more unlikely for the fact that for once, the right-wing radicals are more dovish in this conflict. Under other circumstances it’s easy for me to imagine Fox running wall-to-wall coverage of a single black ops dude getting killed and plastering his yearbook photos everywhere trying to gin up support for a hot war. As it is, it’s more likely they’d do it advocating for cutting military aid to Ukraine.

But in general the US has a pretty long history of looking at millions of foreign deaths and saying “that’s a shame” and then one good old boy from Georgia dies and it’s an outrage that must be avenged. Don’t you think it’s unwise to extrapolate US behavior from how China and India handle border skirmishes?


To that point, the US is still exploiting Pat Tillman for recruitment. The perversity of which can't be overstated.

I winced when I saw the buzzfeed news URL, but also yeah that’s fucking insane.
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8235 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-04-15 00:00:10
April 14 2023 23:59 GMT
#8364
On April 15 2023 06:25 ChristianS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2023 02:18 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 15 2023 02:06 ChristianS wrote:
On April 15 2023 01:48 KwarK wrote:
On April 15 2023 01:32 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:49 KwarK wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
Having troops in Ukraine does present a risk that they could be killed without being the target of an attack (whether they were the target, would undoubtedly be in contention). That obviously carries its own potentially catastrophic escalatory risks that can be avoided when they aren't in Ukraine.

Having a remix of Tongo Tongo in Ukraine could have far greater consequences.

Nah, great powers kill each other’s troops relatively frequently. Nobody starts WW3 over a private.

I think it's far from a given that a handful of US soldiers killed by Russia would mean immediate WW3, but I don't believe it can be dismissed as not a potential escalatory incident either.

When's the last time a US soldier in an ostensibly non-combat role was killed in hostilities by a nuclear power? I'm a bit skeptical of your assertion that it's a relatively frequent occurrence.

On April 15 2023 00:57 Manit0u wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
Having troops in Ukraine does present a risk that they could be killed without being the target of an attack (whether they were the target, would undoubtedly be in contention). That obviously carries its own potentially catastrophic escalatory risks that can be avoided when they aren't in Ukraine.

Having a remix of Tongo Tongo in Ukraine could have far greater consequences.


I think that everyone who went there and people who sent them are well aware of potential risks. Besides, I think they're all in Kyiv or other places away from the front, not running active missions near the hotzones. Remember that during the Tongo Tongo incident the US forces there were actually on a seek & destroy mission and got ambushed. As long as NATO members inside Ukraine aren't running similar black ops there shouldn't be any problems with escalation.

That's the catch, isn't it. They aren't going to tell us they are until/unless they get caught. Them (the US especially) not running similar black ops would be an anomaly though.

That said, being in Kyiv reduces but doesn't eliminate entirely the potential for US soldiers to be killed by Russian hostilities.

Specifically US soldiers isn’t what I said. I said great powers. India and China do it all the time.

It does seem like exactly the kind of thing the US would freak out about, though, even if other powers wouldn’t, right? Not guaranteed they (we) would, and maybe more unlikely for the fact that for once, the right-wing radicals are more dovish in this conflict. Under other circumstances it’s easy for me to imagine Fox running wall-to-wall coverage of a single black ops dude getting killed and plastering his yearbook photos everywhere trying to gin up support for a hot war. As it is, it’s more likely they’d do it advocating for cutting military aid to Ukraine.

But in general the US has a pretty long history of looking at millions of foreign deaths and saying “that’s a shame” and then one good old boy from Georgia dies and it’s an outrage that must be avenged. Don’t you think it’s unwise to extrapolate US behavior from how China and India handle border skirmishes?


To that point, the US is still exploiting Pat Tillman for recruitment. The perversity of which can't be overstated.

I winced when I saw the buzzfeed news URL, but also yeah that’s fucking insane.


What's wrong with buzzfeed news? While having the same owners, they are not the same as regular buzzfeed. They've done some of the better journalism over the last few years, and generally does not rely on clickbait
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3304 Posts
April 15 2023 08:46 GMT
#8365
On April 15 2023 08:59 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2023 06:25 ChristianS wrote:
On April 15 2023 02:18 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 15 2023 02:06 ChristianS wrote:
On April 15 2023 01:48 KwarK wrote:
On April 15 2023 01:32 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:49 KwarK wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
Having troops in Ukraine does present a risk that they could be killed without being the target of an attack (whether they were the target, would undoubtedly be in contention). That obviously carries its own potentially catastrophic escalatory risks that can be avoided when they aren't in Ukraine.

Having a remix of Tongo Tongo in Ukraine could have far greater consequences.

Nah, great powers kill each other’s troops relatively frequently. Nobody starts WW3 over a private.

I think it's far from a given that a handful of US soldiers killed by Russia would mean immediate WW3, but I don't believe it can be dismissed as not a potential escalatory incident either.

When's the last time a US soldier in an ostensibly non-combat role was killed in hostilities by a nuclear power? I'm a bit skeptical of your assertion that it's a relatively frequent occurrence.

On April 15 2023 00:57 Manit0u wrote:
On April 15 2023 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
Having troops in Ukraine does present a risk that they could be killed without being the target of an attack (whether they were the target, would undoubtedly be in contention). That obviously carries its own potentially catastrophic escalatory risks that can be avoided when they aren't in Ukraine.

Having a remix of Tongo Tongo in Ukraine could have far greater consequences.


I think that everyone who went there and people who sent them are well aware of potential risks. Besides, I think they're all in Kyiv or other places away from the front, not running active missions near the hotzones. Remember that during the Tongo Tongo incident the US forces there were actually on a seek & destroy mission and got ambushed. As long as NATO members inside Ukraine aren't running similar black ops there shouldn't be any problems with escalation.

That's the catch, isn't it. They aren't going to tell us they are until/unless they get caught. Them (the US especially) not running similar black ops would be an anomaly though.

That said, being in Kyiv reduces but doesn't eliminate entirely the potential for US soldiers to be killed by Russian hostilities.

Specifically US soldiers isn’t what I said. I said great powers. India and China do it all the time.

It does seem like exactly the kind of thing the US would freak out about, though, even if other powers wouldn’t, right? Not guaranteed they (we) would, and maybe more unlikely for the fact that for once, the right-wing radicals are more dovish in this conflict. Under other circumstances it’s easy for me to imagine Fox running wall-to-wall coverage of a single black ops dude getting killed and plastering his yearbook photos everywhere trying to gin up support for a hot war. As it is, it’s more likely they’d do it advocating for cutting military aid to Ukraine.

But in general the US has a pretty long history of looking at millions of foreign deaths and saying “that’s a shame” and then one good old boy from Georgia dies and it’s an outrage that must be avenged. Don’t you think it’s unwise to extrapolate US behavior from how China and India handle border skirmishes?


To that point, the US is still exploiting Pat Tillman for recruitment. The perversity of which can't be overstated.

I winced when I saw the buzzfeed news URL, but also yeah that’s fucking insane.


What's wrong with buzzfeed news? While having the same owners, they are not the same as regular buzzfeed. They've done some of the better journalism over the last few years, and generally does not rely on clickbait

That may be true, but an article premised on “here’s an assortment of Tweets I thought were pretty funny about a thing that happened at the Super Bowl” is not exactly distancing themselves from the main Buzzfeed’s style of content.
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
April 16 2023 13:48 GMT
#8366
Kinda strange news. Prigozhin demanded on his blog (?) that the Russian forces no longer continue their war efforts, claiming that enough territory has been captured and there was no use in further fighting.
I can't tell if this is legit, it's not been posted by any of the more reputable news outlets. Can someone confirm?
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8235 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-04-16 14:04:45
April 16 2023 14:01 GMT
#8367
On April 16 2023 22:48 Magic Powers wrote:
Kinda strange news. Prigozhin demanded on his blog (?) that the Russian forces no longer continue their war efforts, claiming that enough territory has been captured and there was no use in further fighting.
I can't tell if this is legit, it's not been posted by any of the more reputable news outlets. Can someone confirm?


Man who's job it is to run meat through grinder runs out of meat

There's no "hold the territory they've captured" option. They're not going to be able to hold anything once the western MPTs starts rolling in and the spring counterattacks starts
pmp10
Profile Joined April 2012
3389 Posts
April 16 2023 14:05 GMT
#8368
It's true.
But no one important jumped on the opportunity to support it.
In fact, from what I've seen it hasn't even produced an eye-roll from the Kremlin.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
April 16 2023 14:38 GMT
#8369
Thanks, that's interesting. Maybe the plan is to let the man slide off the public radar. If he receives less and less mainstream attention, he'll be more easily disposed of.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
April 16 2023 14:52 GMT
#8370
On April 16 2023 23:05 pmp10 wrote:
It's true.
But no one important jumped on the opportunity to support it.
In fact, from what I've seen it hasn't even produced an eye-roll from the Kremlin.


Nope, it is not. It is just clickbaity quoting stuff completely out of context to make it exactly the opposite of what was said.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-15-2023
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2726 Posts
April 17 2023 17:33 GMT
#8371
Anyone else feel like this war is getting to them psychologically?
I try to avoid looking at things I know I don't want to see but I still want to follow what is happening. I have a small kid and just with the things you get exposed to in the periphery even when trying to censor your news-flow I can honestly say that I now hate Russia. And not only the country itself, I think my view on any Russian male (and most women) who currently live in Russia and are not actively against the war is that they are basically subhumans at this point.

From an intellectual point of view I realise that war is hell and always has been hell and that de-humanising people is an extremely dark path to take. But it'still pretty hard to think logically about it when they keep killing kids.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9284 Posts
April 17 2023 18:05 GMT
#8372
I think you can have negative opinion of Russians in general without judging them as individuals. I don't have any strong feelings about those who don't actively oppose the war. I don't hate them but also wouldn't feel bad if their life got worse because of the war.
You're now breathing manually
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
785 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-04-17 19:54:18
April 17 2023 19:30 GMT
#8373
On April 18 2023 02:33 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
I think my view on any Russian male (and most women) who currently live in Russia and are not actively against the war is that they are basically subhumans at this point..
I don't want to sound condensending, but if you never lived there you have no idea what it means to be "actively against the war" in Russia now.

The spiteful side of me would say I'd want to see you - and other similarily "brave on the internet" people - try that yourself, but at the same time why would I wish such a dangerous thing to anyone. You'd be beaten to a bloody pulp with no repercussions to people who did that, then thrown to jail - and not a comfy Sweden jail, but a much worse Russian jail.

I heard about riots in Sweden and how police handles that - from my swede colleagues' words it did sound laughably ultra-soft. If you as much as touch (not punch - just touch) a policeman in Russia, you most probably be in a big trouble, it usually ends in many years in jail.

I live and work in Sweden so I personally know 10-12 swedes pretty close, and 20-40 more close enough to discuss a lot of different topics with them - nobody of them had any clues about life in Russia. Stories I tell them often terrify them, which I find both funny and sad, because it gives me better reflection on what's normal and what's not.
So I don't expect people from Sweden to actually understand the reality of life there - just like my father, who was never abroad, will never understand some realities of life in Sweden.
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2726 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-04-17 19:55:15
April 17 2023 19:54 GMT
#8374
On April 18 2023 04:30 ZeroByte13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2023 02:33 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
I think my view on any Russian male (and most women) who currently live in Russia and are not actively against the war is that they are basically subhumans at this point..
I don't want to sound condensending, but if you never lived there you have no idea what it means to be "actively against the war" in Russia now.

Spiteful side of me would say I'd want to see you - and other similarily "brave on the internet" people - try that yourself, but at the same time why would I wish such a dangerous thing to anyone. You'd be beaten to a bloody pulp with no repercussions to people who did that, then thrown to jail - and not a comfy Sweden jail, but a much worse Russian jail.

I live and work in Sweden so I personally know 10-12 swedes pretty close, and 20-40 more close enough to discuss a lot of different topics with them - nobody of them had any clues about life in Russia. Stories I tell them often terrify them.
So I don't expect people from Sweden to actually understand the reality of life there.


I mean more in the context of at least thinking that they are against the war. Either you don't care about it (or just care about the inconvenience it causes you). Or you are against it (even if you can do almost nothing about it). Or you support it.
There is a lot of videos of perfectly safe Russians (living in western countries) that choose to actively support a genocidal war when all they have to do not say anything.

You don't have to go out and protest or write on the internet to oppose something. You can stop saying you agree with it or simply drop out of the conversation. It's still resisting. Not everyone in Iran are out protesting (and facing the risk of getting killed). Many refuse to wear a veil instead, or even just refuse to join in on oppressing women who do it. So there are avenues for being against something even in countries as bad as Russia or Iran.

Edit: Or you can actively cheer for killing children. I'm sure those who do that are also perfectly fine people...
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
785 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-04-17 20:09:08
April 17 2023 19:57 GMT
#8375
But I'd guess it's a smaller part of population who actually support it - maybe 25-30%.
It's just that only these people are given freedom to express their views. This in turn creates an illusion that most Russians support it.

I know hundreds of Russians, and maybe a hundred whose opinions I can be sure about, mostly 25-45 yo.
Maybe 5-10 of them support it. I'm yet to hear anyone out of these hundreds I know to cheer for killing children.
Of course, my experience is just that - my personal experience. We surround ourselves with people who're like us or who we like more than others. Obviously there are also people who can say that most of their friends support the war, and they don't understand those who don't.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43670 Posts
April 17 2023 20:12 GMT
#8376
I ran into Casper (Russian Terran) in a game of starcraft and he was simping for Putin to an almost fetishistic degree. Spamming Z in in game chat and gloating about the defeat of the west. Shit was weird, I’m pretty sure he uses the topless photo of Putin to get in the mood to fuck his Putin bodypillow.

Just one interaction but you have to be really propagandized to be that into a politician or their policies. I have politicians I vote for but I’m not going to get tattoos of them or anything.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
785 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-04-17 20:25:00
April 17 2023 20:24 GMT
#8377
Again, there probably were many more Russian players you played with/against during last year who never mentioned their stance on the situation. And unless you know most players by their nicknames - for most of them you'd probably wouldn't even know they're Russians.
So rare outliers like Casper stand out, and that's what people remember and what at least partially forms the opinions and feelings they have. I understand that and most probably am also succeptible to this.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8235 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-04-17 20:32:15
April 17 2023 20:31 GMT
#8378
On April 18 2023 05:24 ZeroByte13 wrote:
Again, there probably were many more Russian players you played with/against during last year who never mentioned their stance on the situation. And unless you know most players by their nicknames - for most of them you'd probably wouldn't even know they're Russians.
So rare outliers like Casper stand out, and that's what people remember and what at least partially forms the opinions and feelings they have. I understand that and most probably am also succeptible to this.


I'm not sure what you think you're arguing for or against atm. No one is saying every Russian is an asshole or Putin lover, or even has the impression that they are

The only point that is being made is that people who support Putin and the war are human trash, and there are a lot of them
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5760 Posts
April 17 2023 20:31 GMT
#8379
On April 18 2023 04:57 ZeroByte13 wrote:
But I'd guess it's a smaller part of population who actually support it - maybe 25-30%.
It's just that only these people are given freedom to express their views. This in turn creates an illusion that most Russians support it.

I know hundreds of Russians, and maybe a hundred whose opinions I can be sure about, mostly 25-45 yo.
Maybe 5-10 of them support it. I'm yet to hear anyone out of these hundreds I know to cheer for killing children.
Of course, my experience is just that - my personal experience. We surround ourselves with people who're like us or who we like more than others. Obviously there are also people who can say that most of their friends support the war, and they don't understand those who don't.

25-30% of the population supporting a genocidal war, with an additional 40-60% not giving a shit is pretty fucking appalling...

The war definitely changed my opinion on Russians for the worse. It used to be neutral. Now, while I withhold judgement until I get to know the person, my expectation is that if I meet a random Russian person, they're more likely than not to be a deplorable person.
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
785 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-04-17 20:39:44
April 17 2023 20:33 GMT
#8380
On April 18 2023 05:31 Excludos wrote:
No one is saying every Russian is an asshole or Putin lover, or even has the impression that they are
Wasn't I answering to a somewhat similar opinion?
"my view on any Russian male (and most women) who currently live in Russia and are not actively against the war is that they are basically subhumans at this point."

On April 18 2023 05:31 maybenexttime wrote:
40-60% not giving a shit is pretty fucking appalling...
...my expectation is that if I meet a random Russian person, they're more likely than not to be a deplorable person.
40-60% are not "not giving a shit", most of them don't like what is happening but feel they can't do much about it.
But of course nothing will be able to change your opinion about it in next few years at least, so I guess why bother.
I don't expect anyone on the internet to change their opinions because of what I say, just like what you think about Russians won't change what I know about Russians.
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