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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 284

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11921 Posts
October 13 2022 16:49 GMT
#5661
So suddenly everyone is sending air defense systems to Ukraine at once? Do they need all of those?
Artesimo
Profile Joined February 2015
Germany598 Posts
October 13 2022 16:52 GMT
#5662
On October 14 2022 01:49 Simberto wrote:
So suddenly everyone is sending air defense systems to Ukraine at once? Do they need all of those?


Given how saturated ukraine currently gets with missiles I'd say yeah, they will be of great use to avoid a lot of attrition. Not as useful for offensive operations of course. But since russia decided to escalate their attacks on the civilian population further I'd say they can really use them.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9319 Posts
October 13 2022 16:57 GMT
#5663
On October 14 2022 01:49 Simberto wrote:
So suddenly everyone is sending air defense systems to Ukraine at once? Do they need all of those?


I heard in the news that Zelensky supposedly said Ukraine has only 10% of air defense it needs.
You're now breathing manually
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
October 13 2022 17:04 GMT
#5664
--- Nuked ---
r00ty
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany1080 Posts
October 13 2022 17:23 GMT
#5665
On October 14 2022 02:04 plasmidghost wrote:
Is there a tactical advantage outside of helping Ukraine to moving all those air defense units there? As in, would this help stop any missile launches that could target deeper into Europe? I would assume not really, but I'm not sure


I'm not aware of any modern active service systems being sent to Ukraine. The German one was produced for Egypt and arrangements were made.
Don't worry, missile strikes "deeper into Europe" is a very unrealistic scenario.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44181 Posts
October 13 2022 17:41 GMT
#5666
On October 14 2022 02:04 plasmidghost wrote:
Is there a tactical advantage outside of helping Ukraine to moving all those air defense units there? As in, would this help stop any missile launches that could target deeper into Europe? I would assume not really, but I'm not sure

The standard western doctrine for missile defence is to obtain overwhelming air superiority on day 1 of any conflict and to destroy the capability to launch missiles of the opponent. The west is not configured to fight a ground war without air superiority the way Ukraine is being forced, the military was built around wholly different capabilities and assumptions.

That remains true, Europe doesn’t need missile defences, it has NATO and American aircraft carriers. It is, however, extremely useful to test the operational capabilities of these systems in real world conditions. The customers for western missile defence systems will most likely be buying them due to threats from nations buying Russian missiles. The data from this conflict will be invaluable for systems manufacturers.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
October 13 2022 17:47 GMT
#5667
On October 14 2022 02:41 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 14 2022 02:04 plasmidghost wrote:
Is there a tactical advantage outside of helping Ukraine to moving all those air defense units there? As in, would this help stop any missile launches that could target deeper into Europe? I would assume not really, but I'm not sure

The standard western doctrine for missile defence is to obtain overwhelming air superiority on day 1 of any conflict and to destroy the capability to launch missiles of the opponent. The west is not configured to fight a ground war without air superiority the way Ukraine is being forced, the military was built around wholly different capabilities and assumptions.

That remains true, Europe doesn’t need missile defences, it has NATO and American aircraft carriers. It is, however, extremely useful to test the operational capabilities of these systems in real world conditions. The customers for western missile defence systems will most likely be buying them due to threats from nations buying Russian missiles. The data from this conflict will be invaluable for systems manufacturers.


That must be the reason why 14 European nations (including Britain) signed the European Sky Shield initiative today regarding investing in a rather massive shared anti-air / missile defense network.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germany-13-nato-allies-aim-jointly-procure-air-defence-systems-2022-10-13/
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22454 Posts
October 13 2022 17:57 GMT
#5668
Its only an intent and great for lobbyist. Would we need more anti missile systems in the event of a real war on Eu soil? Probably.

But that doesn't make Kwark wrong. Attacking the Eu means declaring war on Nato, and no one wants to open that can of worms.

It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44181 Posts
October 13 2022 18:05 GMT
#5669
On October 14 2022 02:47 mahrgell wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 14 2022 02:41 KwarK wrote:
On October 14 2022 02:04 plasmidghost wrote:
Is there a tactical advantage outside of helping Ukraine to moving all those air defense units there? As in, would this help stop any missile launches that could target deeper into Europe? I would assume not really, but I'm not sure

The standard western doctrine for missile defence is to obtain overwhelming air superiority on day 1 of any conflict and to destroy the capability to launch missiles of the opponent. The west is not configured to fight a ground war without air superiority the way Ukraine is being forced, the military was built around wholly different capabilities and assumptions.

That remains true, Europe doesn’t need missile defences, it has NATO and American aircraft carriers. It is, however, extremely useful to test the operational capabilities of these systems in real world conditions. The customers for western missile defence systems will most likely be buying them due to threats from nations buying Russian missiles. The data from this conflict will be invaluable for systems manufacturers.


That must be the reason why 14 European nations (including Britain) signed the European Sky Shield initiative today regarding investing in a rather massive shared anti-air / missile defense network.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germany-13-nato-allies-aim-jointly-procure-air-defence-systems-2022-10-13/

A shared missile defence network across a geographically contiguous allied region is a common sense cost saving efficiency proposal. It doesn’t make sense for individual nations with identical interests to duplicate the work.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14155 Posts
October 13 2022 18:09 GMT
#5670
On October 14 2022 01:49 Simberto wrote:
So suddenly everyone is sending air defense systems to Ukraine at once? Do they need all of those?

The guy Putin just made in charge of the invasion is an Air force general known for carpet bombing Aleppo into dust. He started his tenure by having a massive series of missile strikes onto civilian infrastructure during busy communiting times for maximum terror. For as bad as we've seen from the Russians so far they've treated the war with baby gloves compared to how this new general treated Syria.

You could theoretically use the air defence missiles in a strategic role like we've seen from the russians but they're woefully poor for that. Also all the Euro nations know exactly what Ukraine is doing with their stuff so I do not think that will come to pass. Air defence is the closest to defensive aid you can donate to, so the crowds that have been anxious about sending tanks or planes can help without going full Poland.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
RolleMcKnolle
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany1054 Posts
October 13 2022 18:11 GMT
#5671
On October 12 2022 21:45 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2022 18:36 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
On October 12 2022 16:50 Broetchenholer wrote:
Yeah, because back then the northern front was so incredibly overextended that even Russian political leadership understood that it was untenable. And in the south they probably wanted to wait until they actually controlled all of the regions they now claimed as part of Russia. They still had hopes that their special operation would end in a victory, allowing them to hold a little less ridiculous referendums. In regards to Germany trying to bleed out a geopolitical opponent, dude, if anything, Germany is an economic empire. The only thing that would make sense for Germany to increase its imperial standing would be to end this war as quickly as possible to go back to normal. How stupid would German government need to be to intentionally stagnate the economy for economic imperial reasons?

I was actually unclear in my wording, the main power trying to bleed out Russia are the US. Germany is/was interested in ambivalent relations to Russia, cutting into their zone of influence while still keeping the trade relations up. So the US are doubly winning here by bleeding out Russia on the one hand and destroying European-Russian relations on the other hand. All projects of Euro-Asian integration like NordStream 2 or by now even NordStream 1 and Russian trade are off the table. This takes away a lot of potential German influence independent of the US, especially since Europe is now going to be very dependent of LNG which can be way easier influenced by the US than Russian gas. I think Germany would have preferred to not have this war break out and Russia be a petrol station. The US on the other hand are very happy about it.

The war did not break out, Russia invaded and surely this was not due to american influence. (Or do you think it was? If so why and how?)

So then the question of bleeding out is do you think the world should have just let Russia win or should have they helped more to stop Russia? And how is the US against way more interests keeping it at the bleeding out stage?

Finally who in the US is making these calls, while it may end up good for the US in the long term (a claim i would think is pretty up for debate) it is not in the short term and with elections around the corner it would not make sense for the dems. Heck the economic benifits might not hit for decades and most of the US politicians are in their 70s. Whos pulling the strings?


I am okay with putting it like that. This is an aggressive and criminal act of aggression by Russia and obviously the USA did not start it. They probably even kinda feared it as they, at least officially, thought it would be a matter of a few days for Russia to overrun Ukraine. But as soon as it became apparent that this would not be the case the rhetoric and actions of the US have been aimed at prolonging the war to weaken Russia. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61214176
There have been little efforts to find a peaceful solution other than "victory" for Ukraine, even though there are reports of peace talks happening. Don't you think the American rhetoric could be drastically different if they were really interested in finding a solution that would save as many people as possible? The pure demonization of Putin and Russians is working exactly against that.

Well who is making foreign policy in the US? The president, the state department, the ministry of defence and so on. Usually supporting wars has been a boon in reelection, in this case u get the boon without the cost of American lives, which would be detrimental over time. Doesnt seem such a bad deal to me.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
October 13 2022 18:13 GMT
#5672
Its kind of amazing how support for Ukraine is increasing with time whereas it feels like Russia was hoping it would decrease with time. Right now it is looking like Europe is understanding buffing the living shit out of Ukraine to serve as a "main tank" for Europe makes a lot of sense.

Ukraine is:

1) Extremely resource rich

2) Plays nice with the West

3) Has a very competent military basically singularly focused on "take a shit on Russia"

4) is geographically perfectly positioned

From a dollars and cents perspective, it just makes sense to dump buckets of weapons and money on Ukraine. They are not only a way to have someone else do the West's work to shove dicks in Russia's ass, but they are an efficient means to do so. They are effective and efficient. This is a huge win and it sounds like Europe is realizing leaning into this situation is a really good idea.

Russia got desperate, started bombing a bunch of infrastructure, and now Ukraine is going to be 2nd only to Israel in missile defense. They just keep losing.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14155 Posts
October 13 2022 18:20 GMT
#5673
On October 14 2022 03:11 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2022 21:45 JimmiC wrote:
On October 12 2022 18:36 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
On October 12 2022 16:50 Broetchenholer wrote:
Yeah, because back then the northern front was so incredibly overextended that even Russian political leadership understood that it was untenable. And in the south they probably wanted to wait until they actually controlled all of the regions they now claimed as part of Russia. They still had hopes that their special operation would end in a victory, allowing them to hold a little less ridiculous referendums. In regards to Germany trying to bleed out a geopolitical opponent, dude, if anything, Germany is an economic empire. The only thing that would make sense for Germany to increase its imperial standing would be to end this war as quickly as possible to go back to normal. How stupid would German government need to be to intentionally stagnate the economy for economic imperial reasons?

I was actually unclear in my wording, the main power trying to bleed out Russia are the US. Germany is/was interested in ambivalent relations to Russia, cutting into their zone of influence while still keeping the trade relations up. So the US are doubly winning here by bleeding out Russia on the one hand and destroying European-Russian relations on the other hand. All projects of Euro-Asian integration like NordStream 2 or by now even NordStream 1 and Russian trade are off the table. This takes away a lot of potential German influence independent of the US, especially since Europe is now going to be very dependent of LNG which can be way easier influenced by the US than Russian gas. I think Germany would have preferred to not have this war break out and Russia be a petrol station. The US on the other hand are very happy about it.

The war did not break out, Russia invaded and surely this was not due to american influence. (Or do you think it was? If so why and how?)

So then the question of bleeding out is do you think the world should have just let Russia win or should have they helped more to stop Russia? And how is the US against way more interests keeping it at the bleeding out stage?

Finally who in the US is making these calls, while it may end up good for the US in the long term (a claim i would think is pretty up for debate) it is not in the short term and with elections around the corner it would not make sense for the dems. Heck the economic benifits might not hit for decades and most of the US politicians are in their 70s. Whos pulling the strings?


I am okay with putting it like that. This is an aggressive and criminal act of aggression by Russia and obviously the USA did not start it. They probably even kinda feared it as they, at least officially, thought it would be a matter of a few days for Russia to overrun Ukraine. But as soon as it became apparent that this would not be the case the rhetoric and actions of the US have been aimed at prolonging the war to weaken Russia. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61214176
There have been little efforts to find a peaceful solution other than "victory" for Ukraine, even though there are reports of peace talks happening. Don't you think the American rhetoric could be drastically different if they were really interested in finding a solution that would save as many people as possible? The pure demonization of Putin and Russians is working exactly against that.

Well who is making foreign policy in the US? The president, the state department, the ministry of defence and so on. Usually supporting wars has been a boon in reelection, in this case u get the boon without the cost of American lives, which would be detrimental over time. Doesnt seem such a bad deal to me.

The efforts to find a peaceful solution has been going on for the last 8 years from when russia started their invasion of Ukraine. That its failed recently is because Europe has seen what happened the last time they appeased a warmongering dictator in Europe.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22454 Posts
October 13 2022 18:23 GMT
#5674
On October 14 2022 03:11 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2022 21:45 JimmiC wrote:
On October 12 2022 18:36 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
On October 12 2022 16:50 Broetchenholer wrote:
Yeah, because back then the northern front was so incredibly overextended that even Russian political leadership understood that it was untenable. And in the south they probably wanted to wait until they actually controlled all of the regions they now claimed as part of Russia. They still had hopes that their special operation would end in a victory, allowing them to hold a little less ridiculous referendums. In regards to Germany trying to bleed out a geopolitical opponent, dude, if anything, Germany is an economic empire. The only thing that would make sense for Germany to increase its imperial standing would be to end this war as quickly as possible to go back to normal. How stupid would German government need to be to intentionally stagnate the economy for economic imperial reasons?

I was actually unclear in my wording, the main power trying to bleed out Russia are the US. Germany is/was interested in ambivalent relations to Russia, cutting into their zone of influence while still keeping the trade relations up. So the US are doubly winning here by bleeding out Russia on the one hand and destroying European-Russian relations on the other hand. All projects of Euro-Asian integration like NordStream 2 or by now even NordStream 1 and Russian trade are off the table. This takes away a lot of potential German influence independent of the US, especially since Europe is now going to be very dependent of LNG which can be way easier influenced by the US than Russian gas. I think Germany would have preferred to not have this war break out and Russia be a petrol station. The US on the other hand are very happy about it.

The war did not break out, Russia invaded and surely this was not due to american influence. (Or do you think it was? If so why and how?)

So then the question of bleeding out is do you think the world should have just let Russia win or should have they helped more to stop Russia? And how is the US against way more interests keeping it at the bleeding out stage?

Finally who in the US is making these calls, while it may end up good for the US in the long term (a claim i would think is pretty up for debate) it is not in the short term and with elections around the corner it would not make sense for the dems. Heck the economic benifits might not hit for decades and most of the US politicians are in their 70s. Whos pulling the strings?


I am okay with putting it like that. This is an aggressive and criminal act of aggression by Russia and obviously the USA did not start it. They probably even kinda feared it as they, at least officially, thought it would be a matter of a few days for Russia to overrun Ukraine. But as soon as it became apparent that this would not be the case the rhetoric and actions of the US have been aimed at prolonging the war to weaken Russia. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61214176
There have been little efforts to find a peaceful solution other than "victory" for Ukraine, even though there are reports of peace talks happening. Don't you think the American rhetoric could be drastically different if they were really interested in finding a solution that would save as many people as possible? The pure demonization of Putin and Russians is working exactly against that.

Well who is making foreign policy in the US? The president, the state department, the ministry of defence and so on. Usually supporting wars has been a boon in reelection, in this case u get the boon without the cost of American lives, which would be detrimental over time. Doesnt seem such a bad deal to me.
We know what happens when you appease aggressive imperialistic nations by letting them slowly absorb their neighbours, and not just the start of ww2 but as recent as Crimea.

The reason no one is ok with peace until Ukraine entirely belongs to Ukraine again is because we know how the other scenario ends. Or rather, doesn't end.
Its not about saving lives, its never been. Its about stopping an aggressive imperalistic nation on and near our border before they decide to try how far they can go against NATO itself and start WW3.
We, hopefully, all know Russia would not stop with Ukraine.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5837 Posts
October 13 2022 18:30 GMT
#5675
On October 14 2022 03:11 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2022 21:45 JimmiC wrote:
On October 12 2022 18:36 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
On October 12 2022 16:50 Broetchenholer wrote:
Yeah, because back then the northern front was so incredibly overextended that even Russian political leadership understood that it was untenable. And in the south they probably wanted to wait until they actually controlled all of the regions they now claimed as part of Russia. They still had hopes that their special operation would end in a victory, allowing them to hold a little less ridiculous referendums. In regards to Germany trying to bleed out a geopolitical opponent, dude, if anything, Germany is an economic empire. The only thing that would make sense for Germany to increase its imperial standing would be to end this war as quickly as possible to go back to normal. How stupid would German government need to be to intentionally stagnate the economy for economic imperial reasons?

I was actually unclear in my wording, the main power trying to bleed out Russia are the US. Germany is/was interested in ambivalent relations to Russia, cutting into their zone of influence while still keeping the trade relations up. So the US are doubly winning here by bleeding out Russia on the one hand and destroying European-Russian relations on the other hand. All projects of Euro-Asian integration like NordStream 2 or by now even NordStream 1 and Russian trade are off the table. This takes away a lot of potential German influence independent of the US, especially since Europe is now going to be very dependent of LNG which can be way easier influenced by the US than Russian gas. I think Germany would have preferred to not have this war break out and Russia be a petrol station. The US on the other hand are very happy about it.

The war did not break out, Russia invaded and surely this was not due to american influence. (Or do you think it was? If so why and how?)

So then the question of bleeding out is do you think the world should have just let Russia win or should have they helped more to stop Russia? And how is the US against way more interests keeping it at the bleeding out stage?

Finally who in the US is making these calls, while it may end up good for the US in the long term (a claim i would think is pretty up for debate) it is not in the short term and with elections around the corner it would not make sense for the dems. Heck the economic benifits might not hit for decades and most of the US politicians are in their 70s. Whos pulling the strings?


I am okay with putting it like that. This is an aggressive and criminal act of aggression by Russia and obviously the USA did not start it. They probably even kinda feared it as they, at least officially, thought it would be a matter of a few days for Russia to overrun Ukraine. But as soon as it became apparent that this would not be the case the rhetoric and actions of the US have been aimed at prolonging the war to weaken Russia. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61214176
There have been little efforts to find a peaceful solution other than "victory" for Ukraine, even though there are reports of peace talks happening. Don't you think the American rhetoric could be drastically different if they were really interested in finding a solution that would save as many people as possible? The pure demonization of Putin and Russians is working exactly against that.

Well who is making foreign policy in the US? The president, the state department, the ministry of defence and so on. Usually supporting wars has been a boon in reelection, in this case u get the boon without the cost of American lives, which would be detrimental over time. Doesnt seem such a bad deal to me.

How do you find a compromise between one side wanting lasting peace and the other wanting to genocide the former?
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
October 13 2022 18:38 GMT
#5676
--- Nuked ---
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
October 13 2022 18:49 GMT
#5677
--- Nuked ---
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 13 2022 19:49 GMT
#5678
The first casualties of the general mobilization are starting to come home to the most import regions of Russia.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Vinekh
Profile Joined September 2021
131 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-10-13 19:55:08
October 13 2022 19:53 GMT
#5679
I suspect that soon there will be an increase in the demand for white Lada. Hopefully AvotVAZ can keep up.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44181 Posts
October 13 2022 20:26 GMT
#5680
On October 14 2022 03:11 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2022 21:45 JimmiC wrote:
On October 12 2022 18:36 RolleMcKnolle wrote:
On October 12 2022 16:50 Broetchenholer wrote:
Yeah, because back then the northern front was so incredibly overextended that even Russian political leadership understood that it was untenable. And in the south they probably wanted to wait until they actually controlled all of the regions they now claimed as part of Russia. They still had hopes that their special operation would end in a victory, allowing them to hold a little less ridiculous referendums. In regards to Germany trying to bleed out a geopolitical opponent, dude, if anything, Germany is an economic empire. The only thing that would make sense for Germany to increase its imperial standing would be to end this war as quickly as possible to go back to normal. How stupid would German government need to be to intentionally stagnate the economy for economic imperial reasons?

I was actually unclear in my wording, the main power trying to bleed out Russia are the US. Germany is/was interested in ambivalent relations to Russia, cutting into their zone of influence while still keeping the trade relations up. So the US are doubly winning here by bleeding out Russia on the one hand and destroying European-Russian relations on the other hand. All projects of Euro-Asian integration like NordStream 2 or by now even NordStream 1 and Russian trade are off the table. This takes away a lot of potential German influence independent of the US, especially since Europe is now going to be very dependent of LNG which can be way easier influenced by the US than Russian gas. I think Germany would have preferred to not have this war break out and Russia be a petrol station. The US on the other hand are very happy about it.

The war did not break out, Russia invaded and surely this was not due to american influence. (Or do you think it was? If so why and how?)

So then the question of bleeding out is do you think the world should have just let Russia win or should have they helped more to stop Russia? And how is the US against way more interests keeping it at the bleeding out stage?

Finally who in the US is making these calls, while it may end up good for the US in the long term (a claim i would think is pretty up for debate) it is not in the short term and with elections around the corner it would not make sense for the dems. Heck the economic benifits might not hit for decades and most of the US politicians are in their 70s. Whos pulling the strings?


I am okay with putting it like that. This is an aggressive and criminal act of aggression by Russia and obviously the USA did not start it. They probably even kinda feared it as they, at least officially, thought it would be a matter of a few days for Russia to overrun Ukraine. But as soon as it became apparent that this would not be the case the rhetoric and actions of the US have been aimed at prolonging the war to weaken Russia. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61214176
There have been little efforts to find a peaceful solution other than "victory" for Ukraine, even though there are reports of peace talks happening. Don't you think the American rhetoric could be drastically different if they were really interested in finding a solution that would save as many people as possible? The pure demonization of Putin and Russians is working exactly against that.

Well who is making foreign policy in the US? The president, the state department, the ministry of defence and so on. Usually supporting wars has been a boon in reelection, in this case u get the boon without the cost of American lives, which would be detrimental over time. Doesnt seem such a bad deal to me.

Describe a peaceful solution.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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