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2020 US Election - Page 95

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{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 04 2020 14:33 GMT
#1881
The US should adopt the French model. Strong labor unions, and solidarity.

The Government refuses to listen, time to mass protest and riot.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 14:40:28
November 04 2020 14:39 GMT
#1882
On November 04 2020 23:27 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
In other news Oregon has decriminalized hard drugs so we will have a Portugal experiment going on in the west coast.

The DSA won 26 out of the 30 races they were in.

Florida voted to raise the minimum wage to $15.


Florida is going to hugely regret that vote. Passed by 1% so disappointed. I do think voting for $$$$ should be prohibited on ballots. These things almost always pass no matter what via direct democracy referendums. It's the equivalent of Vote Yes if you want free 5000$ Vote No if you don't. Legal graft imho.

By the way I've never understood how people believe you can create wealth by edict then low-ball themselves. Why 15$? Why not 18$? 22$? It's so arbitrary. (Why will 15$ Min Wage improve the economy more than a 20$ min wage? At what point do Min Wage advocates believe the wage creates massive unemployment?)
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
November 04 2020 14:39 GMT
#1883
Amazon is such a key thing to unionize, they can’t do two day shipping without the local shipping plants so the workers have a lot of leverage to get shit done if they tried it.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24212 Posts
November 04 2020 14:40 GMT
#1884
On November 04 2020 23:33 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The US should adopt the French model. Strong labor unions, and solidarity.

The Government refuses to listen, time to mass protest and riot.


Firefighters fist fighting cops is something I'm guilty of romanticizing.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27238 Posts
November 04 2020 14:40 GMT
#1885
On November 04 2020 23:23 Wegandi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 23:21 m4ini wrote:
On November 04 2020 23:07 Wegandi wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:55 m4ini wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:52 Wegandi wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:48 m4ini wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:39 Wegandi wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:31 KungKras wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:28 Gorsameth wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:24 Zambrah wrote:
[quote]

Poised to win in a nailbiter against one of the most unbelievably terrible presidents in American history.

This isn’t a win, this is a loss, even if Biden is president that it’s this close is a SHAMEFUL example of what should have been a slam dunk election being made close by relying on “flexible voters” instead of an Obama style campaign of enthusiasm.
Does it say something about Biden (and Clinton) or does it say more about the American voter?

I'd wager you could run a chipmunk against Trump in many countries and the chipmunk would win in a landslide, especially after 4 years of Trump.
I think the issue is much more the American voter then the candidate.


It's definitely a side-effect of having the world's best education system by far in the 50:ies and then defunding it to nothingness over the following decades. Democracies rely on populations trained in critical thinking.


Where do people get their "facts"? This myth is infuriating and it's not even hard to find the relevant data.

https://nces.ed.gov/programs/digest/d18/tables/dt18_236.55.asp
https://twitter.com/deangeliscorey/status/1211813953069817857?lang=en

Real education spending per pupil increased by 271% since 1960.

1960: $3,978
2016: $14,756

What are we getting for our money?

Yes, the data are inflation-adjusted


Yes, the data is also cherry picked and leaves out the big picture, purely to look like it's in your favour which it isn't.

And yes, i'm willing to bet money that you know how flawed this "argument" is and simply try to argue in bad faith.


How can you say that education has been defunded since the 1930s or whatever when the Government data is crystal clear that it hasn't. What is cherry picked here?


It has been. Just not directly. We had the same argument over here in the UK in regards to wages for NHS staff.

Yes, the numbers went up if you looked at the "funding" by itself. Then you looked at the real world impact, and the numbers were down.

Let me ask you this: do you think the price of education stayed the same? Social services?

The very fact that private schools are included in your number - what does that number look like if you adjust for public schools only?

Again. Yes, the number for funding went up. No, you're nowhere near spending as much on pure education than in the 60s.


Relevant: 4 Excludes "Other current expenditures," such as community services, private school programs, adult education, and other programs not allocable to expenditures per student at public schools.

Row 4 also happens to be...you guessed it inflation adjusted total expenditure. I don't even know what you mean by "real world impact". How is that even quantified / defined? The fact is we spend more than 250% than we did per pupil on public education in elementary and secondary schooling (High school) in 1960. That's indisputable.

More money does not mean better outcomes. How many times folks have to get this through their heads. (I'm sure you'll bring up healthcare spending per GDP and US having worse outcomes than comparable first-world countries....right?)


https://www.epi.org/publication/books_wheremoneygone/

I don't need to bring up american "healthcare" to prove any point.

It's quite cute how you try to smoke screen the factual decrease in education by arguing "well spending increased tho". And real world impact? That's simple. Everything gets more expensive. If you don't adjust for that, the real world impact is that you get less.

As i said: this happened (and is happening) in the UK right now, where NHS staff had their wages increase, but not to the point where it outweighs the increase in living cost - leaving NHS staff poorer now than they were at a point in time where they earned factually less.

It's not rocket science and you know it.


Dude, you realize the Government figures are inflation adjusted and based on CPI? Like...why do I even bother. The reason I brought up the common criticism from EU posters about US healthcare is precisely that we pay more and get worse outcomes but you solution for education is just throwing money at the problem and expecting better outcomes. You have an a priori assertion that has no basis in fact. Money =/= outcomes (sans reductio ad absurdum, of course 0$ public spending will result in no public education outcomes, etc., but the fact that spending has increased since the 50s and outcomes have went down is relevant).

I think you’re right here, albeit depends how education funding is distributed too. We could have a net average spend increase but it be less equitably spread for example.

Education isn’t simply well, education in the classroom on a tangent. It’s a society-wide thing reinforced and perpetuated in all sorts of domain, especially the media which is one’s lens to the wider world after all.

Market trends and culture have dumbed down the dissemination of much news and analysis to the point of it being hard to gleam any value or wider understanding from. Not to mention the partisanship that came with such trends, but it only takes a cursory glance at old news shows or Presidential speeches to notice the removal of articulation of complex ideas and values.

The flip side of that is the market niches and technological advances have opened up forums for reading and discussion that are more sophisticated and rich for those who want to make use of them.

I would hazard a guess the negatives of the former outweigh the positives of the latter unless you’re a politics nerd/hobbyist.

I’m not a particular expert on US education by a long shot, for all I know it could be very good but that’s merely one facet of having an educated and discerning populace and the wider culture doesn’t look especially conducive to that (don’t get me wrong the U.K. isn’t exactly great here either).
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 14:41:35
November 04 2020 14:40 GMT
#1886
On November 04 2020 23:16 Dante08 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 23:04 Simberto wrote:
What this elections tells me is that the US is lost at this point.

Your only chance was to slamdunk Trump into the dumpster. That was the only way your country had to normalize in some way. But you didn't. Despite horribly failing at his job in every possible way, and generally being about the most disgusting human being you can imagine, the election is still close, and Trump might actually still win. So you will keep getting Trumps, feelings over facts, and all that other bullshit. And your country doesn't care.

But even if he doesn't win, the best case scenario is a Biden president without a senate. So nothing happens for 4 years, then republicans blame Biden for nothing happening despite making sure that nothing happens. They somehow manage to find an even more disgusting asshole than Trump, and he gets elected.

You elected Bush twice. We though you learned your lesson afterwards, but instead you elect Trump. And even after this horror of a 4 year presidency, you still don't manage to beat him consistently, and he in fact somehow GAINED votes.

It is beyond my understanding what is going on in the US. But it really seems to be beyond salvation. It is only going to get worse from here on. Half your country is simply too stupid or insane.

To all the sane Americans, i can only advise you to somehow find a way to get out while you still can. The US is broken, and it doesn't want to be fixed. Half the country thinks that Donald Trump is a good choice for president.


Instead of thinking it's crazy maybe people should actually figure out why Donald Trump can garner so many votes. I mean doing it once is crazy enough but getting so many votes twice? People should really thinking about it instead of dismissing people who vote for Trump as stupid or insane.

It's not exactly complex.

Partisanship, racism, and lack of education in critical thinking skills.

None of these are new, Trump just went harder on the 2nd and 3rd points than any past president.

The average american is tribalistic and under-educated. Just watch our football.

The first is how he got most republicans to vote for him. The second is how he increased his vote share among non-college educated whites in 2016 (and apparently Cubans in 2020).

To those that say Trump isn't racist, fine, whatever. It's his appeal to and courting of the racist vote. It's his opposition to legal immigration. Everyone, on both sides, said they opposed illegal immigration. It was only Trump that wanted to cut legal immigration from, as he puts it, shithole countries.

Political analysts (yes, both democrats and republicans) have always known that appealing to racists is a winning strategy to get a higher % of the white vote. Do you know why it hasn't been done so blatantly before? Because of their fears about the long-term impact on the party if they become known as the party of racism.

The last point, though, is the most important. Critical thinking isn't a description of how vital it is, it is a description of what it is. Those are the skills that are taught to people that allow them to find the weaknesses in arguments. This lets someone deflate most of Trump's rhetorical techniques and logical fallacies. For an example, anyone who has taken English 101 in College will generally get a crash course on logical fallacies (my class used Hitler's speeches). Until about 2014 this wasn't really a partisan thing either - it was easy to find flaws in democrats or GOP speeches.

With Trump out of power, I think the GOP senate is going to actually be in disarray. Especially if he winds up in jail and has his assets seized by Deutshe Bank, as seems extremely likely. They've tethered themselves so strongly to him that they literally had no policies as a party when they campaigned.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46248 Posts
November 04 2020 14:41 GMT
#1887
On November 04 2020 23:28 Zambrah wrote:
I hear Mississippi (!!!!!) legalized marijuana too.


New Jersey did too

On November 04 2020 23:21 PhoenixVoid wrote:
In the event of a Biden presidency, I hope he still has his Senate negotiating skills he's renowned for, because a 48-52 or 49-51 Senate under McConnell is going to obstruct everything he wants to achieve. It makes 2022 even more vital to win if they want to pass legislature or anything close to discussing reforms to the Supreme Court.


Agreed. It'll come down to convincing a few Republican Senators to vote against their own party, when it comes time to push through important legislature.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27238 Posts
November 04 2020 14:42 GMT
#1888
On November 04 2020 23:39 Wegandi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 23:27 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
In other news Oregon has decriminalized hard drugs so we will have a Portugal experiment going on in the west coast.

The DSA won 26 out of the 30 races they were in.

Florida voted to raise the minimum wage to $15.


Florida is going to hugely regret that vote. Passed by 1% so disappointed. I do think voting for $$$$ should be prohibited on ballots. These things almost always pass no matter what via direct democracy referendums. It's the equivalent of Vote Yes if you want free 5000$ Vote No if you don't. Legal graft imho.

By the way I've never understood how people believe you can create wealth by edict then low-ball themselves. Why 15$? Why not 18$? 22$? It's so arbitrary. (Why will 15$ Min Wage improve the economy more than a 20$ min wage? At what point do Min Wage advocates believe the wage creates massive unemployment?)

Do other tax policies appear on such ballots for direct voting or is tax policy ringfenced for the legislatures themselves to dictated
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
AsariCommando
Profile Joined August 2017
United States18 Posts
November 04 2020 14:44 GMT
#1889
--- Nuked ---
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
November 04 2020 14:45 GMT
#1890
Another interesting side story here is that many people (like Wegandi) tried to dunk hard on pollsters and modelers like 538, whereas every model had the current projected outcome within the realm of their "likely" outcomes.

There will be a lot of talk about how polling of individual states was off (like FL), but the actual models did a pretty damn good job.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
November 04 2020 14:47 GMT
#1891
On November 04 2020 23:42 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 23:39 Wegandi wrote:
On November 04 2020 23:27 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
In other news Oregon has decriminalized hard drugs so we will have a Portugal experiment going on in the west coast.

The DSA won 26 out of the 30 races they were in.

Florida voted to raise the minimum wage to $15.


Florida is going to hugely regret that vote. Passed by 1% so disappointed. I do think voting for $$$$ should be prohibited on ballots. These things almost always pass no matter what via direct democracy referendums. It's the equivalent of Vote Yes if you want free 5000$ Vote No if you don't. Legal graft imho.

By the way I've never understood how people believe you can create wealth by edict then low-ball themselves. Why 15$? Why not 18$? 22$? It's so arbitrary. (Why will 15$ Min Wage improve the economy more than a 20$ min wage? At what point do Min Wage advocates believe the wage creates massive unemployment?)

Do other tax policies appear on such ballots for direct voting or is tax policy ringfenced for the legislatures themselves to dictated


Generally tax issues will be on the ballot but not specific #'s. Eg. We had 2 tax issues on the ballot this year, but it was for extending benefits to veteran widows and increasing one benefit from 2 years to 3. (Both being basically a decrease in property tax revenue, but not adjusting the actual millage rates) Likewise I think tax # and policy should not be on the ballot as well.
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany7347 Posts
November 04 2020 14:47 GMT
#1892
So if this right now would be how it ends, we have 270 : 267? Then everyone would sue everyone and you guys don't have a (legal?) POTUS for the next 4 years?
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 14:48:31
November 04 2020 14:48 GMT
#1893
270 wins. 269 is the tie vote, which gets voted on in an obscure manner that would give Trump the presidency.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 04 2020 14:49 GMT
#1894
There's a couple places Trump can gain some ground back in MI-but I do not think he'll be able to overcome the outstanding Wayne votes unless the sites I'm seeing are radically off.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8153 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 14:54:19
November 04 2020 14:49 GMT
#1895
On November 04 2020 23:33 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The US should adopt the French model. Strong labor unions, and solidarity.

The Government refuses to listen, time to mass protest and riot.

The french unions are a total shitshow. VERY few workers are unionized, and they just say no to anything the government puts forward, even when it makes perfect sense. We have strikes all the time, and half of the time it's to defend completely outdated and absurd privileges acquired 80 years ago by a lucky minority. As a result, unions are never part of reforms, are not being listened to by the government and are super unpopular. Their only contribution is purely defensive.

Germany or Scandinavia, where almost every worker is unionized and where the government and the unions actually work together, is a much, much, much better model.

That being said, I prefer bad unions to no unions, but France is really not glamorous on that front.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
November 04 2020 14:49 GMT
#1896
On November 04 2020 23:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 23:33 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The US should adopt the French model. Strong labor unions, and solidarity.

The Government refuses to listen, time to mass protest and riot.


Firefighters fist fighting cops is something I'm guilty of romanticizing.


Firefighters would side with cops 95% of the time.

The entire first responder culture is extremely toxic in America.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24212 Posts
November 04 2020 14:51 GMT
#1897
I feel like there's still another big shoe to drop soon. Like a bunch of votes materialize or disappear/get destroyed inexplicably for either candidate or something. Maybe I've just been up too long and am hallucinating.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 14:53:40
November 04 2020 14:51 GMT
#1898
On November 04 2020 23:45 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Another interesting side story here is that many people (like Wegandi) tried to dunk hard on pollsters and modelers like 538, whereas every model had the current projected outcome within the realm of their "likely" outcomes.

There will be a lot of talk about how polling of individual states was off (like FL), but the actual models did a pretty damn good job.


What? The polls had Biden beating Trump by 1% in Florida (that's a huge error), had Biden winning WI by 7%, MI by 4-5%, etc. It is across the board the polls are off by 4%+ in one direction. The polls sucked and weren't close.

Look how bad this is lol

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27238 Posts
November 04 2020 14:52 GMT
#1899
On November 04 2020 23:40 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 23:16 Dante08 wrote:
On November 04 2020 23:04 Simberto wrote:
What this elections tells me is that the US is lost at this point.

Your only chance was to slamdunk Trump into the dumpster. That was the only way your country had to normalize in some way. But you didn't. Despite horribly failing at his job in every possible way, and generally being about the most disgusting human being you can imagine, the election is still close, and Trump might actually still win. So you will keep getting Trumps, feelings over facts, and all that other bullshit. And your country doesn't care.

But even if he doesn't win, the best case scenario is a Biden president without a senate. So nothing happens for 4 years, then republicans blame Biden for nothing happening despite making sure that nothing happens. They somehow manage to find an even more disgusting asshole than Trump, and he gets elected.

You elected Bush twice. We though you learned your lesson afterwards, but instead you elect Trump. And even after this horror of a 4 year presidency, you still don't manage to beat him consistently, and he in fact somehow GAINED votes.

It is beyond my understanding what is going on in the US. But it really seems to be beyond salvation. It is only going to get worse from here on. Half your country is simply too stupid or insane.

To all the sane Americans, i can only advise you to somehow find a way to get out while you still can. The US is broken, and it doesn't want to be fixed. Half the country thinks that Donald Trump is a good choice for president.


Instead of thinking it's crazy maybe people should actually figure out why Donald Trump can garner so many votes. I mean doing it once is crazy enough but getting so many votes twice? People should really thinking about it instead of dismissing people who vote for Trump as stupid or insane.

It's not exactly complex.

Partisanship, racism, and lack of education in critical thinking skills.

None of these are new, Trump just went harder on the 2nd and 3rd points than any past president.

The average american is tribalistic and under-educated. Just watch our football.

The first is how he got most republicans to vote for him. The second is how he increased his vote share among non-college educated whites in 2016 (and apparently Cubans in 2020).

To those that say Trump isn't racist, fine, whatever. It's his appeal to and courting of the racist vote. It's his opposition to legal immigration. Everyone, on both sides, said they opposed illegal immigration. It was only Trump that wanted to cut legal immigration from, as he puts it, shithole countries.

Political analysts (yes, both democrats and republicans) have always known that appealing to racists is a winning strategy to get a higher % of the white vote. Do you know why it hasn't been done so blatantly before? Because of their fears about the long-term impact on the party if they become known as the party of racism.

The last point, though, is the most important. Critical thinking isn't a description of how vital it is, it is a description of what it is. Those are the skills that are taught to people that allow them to find the weaknesses in arguments. This lets someone deflate most of Trump's rhetorical techniques and logical fallacies. For an example, anyone who has taken English 101 in College will generally get a crash course on logical fallacies (my class used Hitler's speeches). Until about 2014 this wasn't really a partisan thing either - it was easy to find flaws in democrats or GOP speeches.

With Trump out of power, I think the GOP senate is going to actually be in disarray. Especially if he winds up in jail and has his assets seized by Deutshe Bank, as seems extremely likely. They've tethered themselves so strongly to him that they literally had no policies as a party when they campaigned.

Trump doesn’t really have arguments this is the confusing thing to me. I mean he will say diametrically opposing things a day apart or whatever and if you point it out it’s fingers in the ears time.

My best guess is for many they’re not deficient in these skills he’s just become the emotional avatar in a war against their other gripes against the libs/deep state or what have you.

As per your football example, I’m a big fan of our football but in a neutral kind of capacity and enjoy watching in bars. It is quite illuminating the differences in perception to calls between myself or other neutrals and fans of the teams that are playing, who can be quite myopically biased.

Then you have hardcore partisan fans who are still able to criticise their team, or admit when they got a lucky call etc. It’s quite interesting how emotional attachment and rationality intersect differently in different people.

'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 04 2020 14:53 GMT
#1900
On November 04 2020 23:51 GreenHorizons wrote:
I feel like there's still another big shoe to drop soon. Like a bunch of votes materialize or disappear/get destroyed inexplicably for either candidate or something. Maybe I've just been up too long and am hallucinating.


Pretty sure regardless of what actually happens people will claim that's happening-the idea that early votes are counted first in some states and last in others appears to be too much for the American public.
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