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2020 US Election - Page 249

Forum Index > General Forum
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TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-07 15:38:25
November 07 2020 15:36 GMT
#4961
The only reason for not calling NV is to save Fox and AP from calling the election. I don't think there's any rational stats-based justification (especially by Fox and AP-I'm sure their models suggest a Biden +2 or +3 win in NV at this point and a 0.0001% chance of a 0.5% lead if it projected a win in AZ way back when).
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23954 Posts
November 07 2020 15:38 GMT
#4962
Just a tidbit about the betting markets and when they call the race:

The 2020 U.S. election is shaping up to be the biggest betting event of all time, betting companies say.

Around half the bets on the UK-based Smarkets Exchange are on the result being declared on Tuesday or Wednesday, Patrick Flynn, political analyst at Smarkets, told GMF.

The other half of those bets are on Thursday or beyond, with the majority of those on the “9 November or later” contract, Flynn said.


www.reuters.com

Also for those feeling bold there's 33/1 odds on Trump "To be in Russia on 1st Feb 2021"
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-07 15:46:19
November 07 2020 15:45 GMT
#4963


Election is over bois, nothing to see here. Good luck next time.

Can't wait to see the presser now lol.
On track to MA1950A.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-07 15:46:57
November 07 2020 15:46 GMT
#4964
On November 08 2020 00:38 GreenHorizons wrote:


Also for those feeling bold there's 33/1 odds on Trump "To be in Russia on 1st Feb 2021"

I should take that. This landscaping company deal is probably to get just enough cash to pay for Barron's ticket

[image loading]

look at this lol

https://www.google.nl/maps/@40.02637,-75.0304402,3a,75y,98.48h,76.85t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1sZtb5Q_Yl3hkYS-RoNhga0Q!2e0!7i16384!8i8192

Neosteel Enthusiast
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9847 Posts
November 07 2020 15:47 GMT
#4965
Is this meltdown gonna continue until January?
Its only going to be funny for a month or so.
RIP Meatloaf <3
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-07 15:49:19
November 07 2020 15:48 GMT
#4966
I would consider Russia to be one of the least likely nations to harbour him.

It simply dies not fit their MO, they want to play both sides, always creating more or less plausible deniability. Taking Trump would do the opposite.
So 5/1 for outside the US, that would sound good enough for me. But Russia specifically... Can't imagine them believing this would help their plan. He kinda lost his use personally, even though surely their diversion seeking social media initiatives will still appreciate him being around and will guel the fire.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 07 2020 15:49 GMT
#4967
--- Nuked ---
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
November 07 2020 15:52 GMT
#4968
On November 08 2020 00:48 mahrgell wrote:
I would consider Russia to be one of the least likely nations to harbour him.

It simply dies not fit their MO, they want to play both sides, always creating more or less plausible deniability. Taking Trump would do the opposite.
So 5/1 for outside the US, that would sound good enough for me. But Russia specifically... Can't imagine them believing this would help their plan. He kinda lost his use personally, even though surely their diversion seeking social media initiatives will still appreciate him being around and will guel the fire.

The destabilization effects on the US of Trump having a daily Russia Today talkshow would be worth it. Not to mention the state secrets.
Neosteel Enthusiast
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
November 07 2020 15:53 GMT
#4969
On November 08 2020 00:49 JimmiC wrote:
Nothing says classy and legit like throwing your major press conference at a local business for money. If he only had this idea earlier think of all the money he could have had having Whitehouse press briefings at Joe's Plumbing or Whataburger. Really to bad for him that this grift idea came late.


.. while playing golf somewhere else, we wanna add.

What a train wreck.
On track to MA1950A.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11835 Posts
November 07 2020 15:55 GMT
#4970
You are not thinking far enough.

Have the press conference at a Trump tower or Maralago or whatever, and charge all the journalists a few hundred bucks entrance fee. Also charge the country for your own stay at your own property, and for your security team, and so forth.
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32747 Posts
November 07 2020 15:55 GMT
#4971
The very idea we're discussing whether a (very, very likely) former president will be in exile shacked up in Russia or Saudi Arabia and probably facing NY state charges embodies just how norm-breaking these four years have been.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-07 15:57:29
November 07 2020 15:55 GMT
#4972
On November 08 2020 00:52 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 08 2020 00:48 mahrgell wrote:
I would consider Russia to be one of the least likely nations to harbour him.

It simply dies not fit their MO, they want to play both sides, always creating more or less plausible deniability. Taking Trump would do the opposite.
So 5/1 for outside the US, that would sound good enough for me. But Russia specifically... Can't imagine them believing this would help their plan. He kinda lost his use personally, even though surely their diversion seeking social media initiatives will still appreciate him being around and will guel the fire.

The destabilization effects on the US of Trump having a daily Russia Today talkshow would be worth it. Not to mention the state secrets.


Nah. A, russia would know these state secrets by now (assuming that Trump has the capacity to actually remember stuff).

They'd also lose their kingmaker, who can influence their politics more than he ever could've if he went to russia. Imagine him peddling QAnon dipshits to his base (his base won't disappear), etc.

Him going to russia is the dumbest thing he could do.

edit

[image loading]


Queue the funny reviews for that landscaping company.
On track to MA1950A.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22367 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-07 16:00:13
November 07 2020 16:00 GMT
#4973
On November 08 2020 00:55 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 08 2020 00:52 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
On November 08 2020 00:48 mahrgell wrote:
I would consider Russia to be one of the least likely nations to harbour him.

It simply dies not fit their MO, they want to play both sides, always creating more or less plausible deniability. Taking Trump would do the opposite.
So 5/1 for outside the US, that would sound good enough for me. But Russia specifically... Can't imagine them believing this would help their plan. He kinda lost his use personally, even though surely their diversion seeking social media initiatives will still appreciate him being around and will guel the fire.

The destabilization effects on the US of Trump having a daily Russia Today talkshow would be worth it. Not to mention the state secrets.


Nah. A, russia would know these state secrets by now (assuming that Trump has the capacity to actually remember stuff).

They'd also lose their kingmaker, who can influence their politics more than he ever could've if he went to russia. Imagine him peddling QAnon dipshits to his base (his base won't disappear), etc.

Him going to russia is the dumbest thing he could do.
Queue the funny reviews for that landscaping company.
I imagine Trump cares about not going to jail (or more likely house arrest since a former president in jail is probably a protection nightmare) a lot more then he cares about playing kingmaker for the GOP.

Him fleeing to Russia would be to avoid the avalanche of court cases.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-07 16:06:41
November 07 2020 16:05 GMT
#4974
On November 08 2020 01:00 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 08 2020 00:55 m4ini wrote:
On November 08 2020 00:52 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
On November 08 2020 00:48 mahrgell wrote:
I would consider Russia to be one of the least likely nations to harbour him.

It simply dies not fit their MO, they want to play both sides, always creating more or less plausible deniability. Taking Trump would do the opposite.
So 5/1 for outside the US, that would sound good enough for me. But Russia specifically... Can't imagine them believing this would help their plan. He kinda lost his use personally, even though surely their diversion seeking social media initiatives will still appreciate him being around and will guel the fire.

The destabilization effects on the US of Trump having a daily Russia Today talkshow would be worth it. Not to mention the state secrets.


Nah. A, russia would know these state secrets by now (assuming that Trump has the capacity to actually remember stuff).

They'd also lose their kingmaker, who can influence their politics more than he ever could've if he went to russia. Imagine him peddling QAnon dipshits to his base (his base won't disappear), etc.

Him going to russia is the dumbest thing he could do.
Queue the funny reviews for that landscaping company.
I imagine Trump cares about not going to jail (or more likely house arrest since a former president in jail is probably a protection nightmare) a lot more then he cares about playing kingmaker for the GOP.

Him fleeing to Russia would be to avoid the avalanche of court cases.


Well only problem is that Trump doesn't attend security briefings. Pence was put in charge of that. So Russia would mostly strike out with such a deal, also any pilots, bodyguards with him would never be allowed back in the country as they would be arrested. Not to mention they might have targets on their back.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28797 Posts
November 07 2020 16:08 GMT
#4975
On November 07 2020 23:44 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Savage comeback a year after by Greta Thunberg. She annoys me most of the time but she is fiercely smart:




Seriously? She annoys you most of the time?
Moderator
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9207 Posts
November 07 2020 16:11 GMT
#4976
On November 08 2020 00:48 mahrgell wrote:
I would consider Russia to be one of the least likely nations to harbour him.

It simply dies not fit their MO, they want to play both sides, always creating more or less plausible deniability. Taking Trump would do the opposite.
So 5/1 for outside the US, that would sound good enough for me. But Russia specifically... Can't imagine them believing this would help their plan. He kinda lost his use personally, even though surely their diversion seeking social media initiatives will still appreciate him being around and will guel the fire.

The point of taking Trump would be to paint the US as persecuting political dissidents, a la Navalny. They don't give a shit about the parties themselves.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 07 2020 16:11 GMT
#4977
This is our country. I mean expect some cringe moments at least.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
KungKras
Profile Joined August 2008
Sweden484 Posts
November 07 2020 16:14 GMT
#4978
On November 08 2020 00:35 mahrgell wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 08 2020 00:25 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
A landscaping company? What in the


If they blow off Cali and the other west coast states from the US mainland and declarie them as a second Puerto Rico he has a shot at winning.

Thats the contract off their lives.


Don't give them ideas
"When life gives me lemons, I go look for oranges"
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
November 07 2020 16:14 GMT
#4979
Trump has fired the individual overseeing the nuclear weapons safety program (NNSA, Lisa Gordon-Hagerty). However, he did so after she was retweeting pro-Trump whining about election fraud.

Lisa Gordon-Hagerty, administrator of the National Nuclear Security Administration, the first woman to oversee the agency in charge of the nuclear stockpile. She was required to resign on Friday.
Bonnie Glick, deputy administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development. She was replaced by the acting administrator John Barsa, who had run out of time for his more senior role under the Federal Vacancies Reform Act.
Neil Chatterjee, chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and a former aide to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. He was replaced as chairman, though he will remain at FERC, an independent agency, as a commissioner.

https://www.npr.org/sections/live-updates-2020-election-results/2020/11/06/932376507/trump-dumps-3-agency-leaders-in-wake-of-election?t=1604755476522
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
November 07 2020 16:15 GMT
#4980
On November 08 2020 00:45 m4ini wrote:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325099845045071873

Election is over bois, nothing to see here. Good luck next time.

Can't wait to see the presser now lol.

His pattern of always saying the exact opposite of what's true holds.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
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