We do know that the vast majority of the people who are dieing of covid are unvaccinated, despite them making a smaller and smaller minority of the population.
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Sermokala
United States13822 Posts
We do know that the vast majority of the people who are dieing of covid are unvaccinated, despite them making a smaller and smaller minority of the population. | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
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iPlaY.NettleS
Australia4329 Posts
https://mobile.twitter.com/PremierScottMoe/status/1487460075102871554 Trudeau needs to be showing more leadership during this new crisis instead of going into hiding.Wouldn’t surprise me to see him back down on a few of the requirements. | ||
Razyda
624 Posts
On January 30 2022 12:21 JimmiC wrote: You need to read what selection bias is again. So me and you can both get covid and choose to get tested or not. If me and you both get a milder version who do you think is going to choose to get tested? If you were sick but not needing hospitalization would you get testeaad or would you not want to deal with the isolation or even the inconvience. Next most "high risk" jobs have vaccine rules that create 99% + vaccination rate, for example and those people have high incedences of risk of catching it then say a job with much lower rates like trucking which has much fewer high risk interactions. Vaccinated people are allowed to go to returaunts, theaters, arenas, malls so on, unvaccinated are not. It would be like looking up that there are way more shark attacks on people who live in Miami then Philly and concluding that it is safer for people from Philly to swim in a tank of sharks then some one from Miami. + Show Spoiler + its probably not that people from Philly taste worse to sharks or are more resistent their bites, its more likely that they dont swim in the ocean as much as people from Miami. But I dont have any data on that either so if you camt critically think or make logical conclusions about things you do know, or understand that experts can, I guess you could contine to assert that peopke from Philly taste worse and I couldnt "proove" you wrong either. I really dont. If anything we have here example of following: "Rejection of bad data on arbitrary grounds" Italic - See now, this is bias. I test at least once a week (just because I am going to visit some friends, or such), and if I were employed in the same company, but not working from home I would have to test twice a week on top of that. Vaccinated person wouldn't have to. I also recall mentioning somewhere in this topic that I had Covid and self isolated? Bolded - this are actual variables which should be researched in previously mentioned articles, rather than stating "probably" One expert can be of opinion that numbers are like this, because unvaccinated arent getting tested, another that because vaccine have negative efficiency - neither of those opinions is worth anything till backed up by data. Examples of bad statistics getting pretty tiring so I'll just ignore it. PS: "Vaccinated people are allowed to go to returaunts, theaters, arenas, malls so on, unvaccinated are not" - that seems to work out well ![]() | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
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Razyda
624 Posts
On January 30 2022 23:18 JimmiC wrote: It does, because they are not filling up the hospitals ICUs or morgues. If the vaccine does not work, and increases infection rates how do you explain that people without it are 5x-7x more likely to end up in the hospital or ICU? If doctors and the government are not being forthright about the numbers, why would they show they show the infection rate? Or say we should dig into it? And that 2 shots does not help with infection rate for omicron? These all seem like unwise data to release if you are manipulating it. Ive told you the logical explaination for the infection rates from experts, id love to hear your logical explaination for hospital rates, icu rates and death rates from the unvaccinated being so much higher from the vaccinated, other than the vaccination working. We discussing research suggesting increased incidence among vaccinated after certain period of time. Your post seems unrelated to the topic? I must admit I am baffled why would anyone be against researching this further, as given amount of vaccinated people it seems quite important. | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
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Sermokala
United States13822 Posts
I just don't see you even trying to make an argument against more vaccination and are simply trying to wedge some logic behind those that have gotten covid once might be better off than a vaccination against getting the next varient. Which may make sense but is still founded in the idea that getting covid with no vax is better than getting covid with vax, which isn't true. | ||
Slydie
1913 Posts
There are 2 reasons for requiring vaccines: #1: Require them in high risk situations as the vaccines should reduce the spread of the virus. #2: Indirectly forcing people to get the vaccine by making not having them as unpractical as possible. For Omnicron, policies are made for reason #2, but they are often masked as reason #1. If you do not want the vaccine, that obviously pisses people off. There were already vaccine requirements for all travelers to South-Africa when Omnicron broke out, but needless to say, they did a horrible job at containing that strain. I have still not seen any research confirming that vaccine passports etc. have any direct impact on this pandemic. If you are conciously trying to make life difficult for unvaccinated to force them to get the shots, you have to be honest about it, and not wrap it in bullshit arguments. | ||
Sermokala
United States13822 Posts
On February 01 2022 05:14 Slydie wrote: It is a proven fact that the vaccines do a surprisingly bad job at preventing transmission of Omnicron. So does natural immunity, as the Delta variant is not closely related to Omnicron, double infection is VERY normal, and can even happen if vaccinated on top of that! For serious illness and death, the story is very different. There are 2 reasons for requiring vaccines: #1: Require them in high risk situations as the vaccines should reduce the spread of the virus. #2: Indirectly forcing people to get the vaccine by making not having them as unpractical as possible. For Omnicron, policies are made for reason #2, but they are often masked as reason #1. If you do not want the vaccine, that obviously pisses people off. There were already vaccine requirements for all travelers to South-Africa when Omnicron broke out, but needless to say, they did a horrible job at containing that strain. I have still not seen any research confirming that vaccine passports etc. have any direct impact on this pandemic. If you are conciously trying to make life difficult for unvaccinated to force them to get the shots, you have to be honest about it, and not wrap it in bullshit arguments. There is a third reason for requiring vaccines: They cause less people to die and less people to take up hospital space for everyone else. Do you think people aren't dieing because so much hospital space is being taken up by people who are too selfish to get something that is free, safe, and convenient to get? Please tell be a legitimate reason why people don't want to get specifically the covid vaccine and not the list of other vaccines you were mandated to get for the public good as a child? | ||
Lmui
Canada6211 Posts
On February 01 2022 05:14 Slydie wrote: It is a proven fact that the vaccines do a surprisingly bad job at preventing transmission of Omnicron. So does natural immunity, as the Delta variant is not closely related to Omnicron, double infection is VERY normal, and can even happen if vaccinated on top of that! For serious illness and death, the story is very different. There are 2 reasons for requiring vaccines: #1: Require them in high risk situations as the vaccines should reduce the spread of the virus. #2: Indirectly forcing people to get the vaccine by making not having them as unpractical as possible. For Omnicron, policies are made for reason #2, but they are often masked as reason #1. If you do not want the vaccine, that obviously pisses people off. There were already vaccine requirements for all travelers to South-Africa when Omnicron broke out, but needless to say, they did a horrible job at containing that strain. I have still not seen any research confirming that vaccine passports etc. have any direct impact on this pandemic. If you are conciously trying to make life difficult for unvaccinated to force them to get the shots, you have to be honest about it, and not wrap it in bullshit arguments. Bad, but better than nothing, especially when you take into account the booster efficacy. In my province: Past week, cases per 100,000 population after adjusting for age (Jan. 21-27) Not vaccinated: 430 Partially vaccinated: 180.4 Fully vaccinated: 215.7 Around 40% of the population has received boosters with enough time for them to take effect. It's not the 90% that you had earlier, but it's measurable. This is in addition to the massive differences in hospitalization and death rates seen. A unvaccinated person in their 30s has a similar risk of death as a vaccinated person in their 70s. Given the fact that age is the biggest predictor of severity/risk, that's pretty staggering. | ||
Slydie
1913 Posts
On February 01 2022 07:09 Sermokala wrote: There is a third reason for requiring vaccines: They cause less people to die and less people to take up hospital space for everyone else. Do you think people aren't dieing because so much hospital space is being taken up by people who are too selfish to get something that is free, safe, and convenient to get? Please tell be a legitimate reason why people don't want to get specifically the covid vaccine and not the list of other vaccines you were mandated to get for the public good as a child? Come on, man. COVID is a rapidly changing respiratory virus which is not approved for small children, and the effect of vaccinating children for such diseases is highly debatable. Flu shots are not mandatory for kids either. The vaccine effectiveness against COVID infection already dropped from 94% to ~30%. There are some very good reasons why flu shots are typically reserved for the vulnerable and some HC-workers, COVID shots will just be added to the list, and they can likely even be give the same time. Our immune systems take care of the rest, and we can live with getting knocked out once every 5-10 years. | ||
DarkPlasmaBall
United States44074 Posts
On February 02 2022 02:43 Slydie wrote: Come on, man. COVID is a rapidly changing respiratory virus which is not approved for small children, and the effect of vaccinating children for such diseases is highly debatable. Flu shots are not mandatory for kids either. The vaccine effectiveness against COVID infection already dropped from 94% to ~30%. There are some very good reasons why flu shots are typically reserved for the vulnerable and some HC-workers, COVID shots will just be added to the list, and they can likely even be give the same time. Our immune systems take care of the rest, and we can live with getting knocked out once every 5-10 years. The covid vaccine can be given to all school-age children though (5 years old, and older), who come in contact with dozens, if not hundreds, of individuals every day, which is far more important than babies/toddlers who have a much more limited number of interactions. Also, I've never heard of flu shots being reserved for only the vulnerable; that's certainly not true in the United States, where you can walk into just about any pharmacy and get a free flu shot without any sort of check-up or health diagnostic, because we basically have infinitely many doses. Finally, what do you mean by "effectiveness" when you say "The vaccine effectiveness against COVID infection already dropped from 94% to ~30%." What are these percentages in reference to? Preventing infection? Transmission? Death? Hospitalizations? | ||
Sermokala
United States13822 Posts
On February 02 2022 02:43 Slydie wrote: Come on, man. COVID is a rapidly changing respiratory virus which is not approved for small children, and the effect of vaccinating children for such diseases is highly debatable. Flu shots are not mandatory for kids either. The vaccine effectiveness against COVID infection already dropped from 94% to ~30%. There are some very good reasons why flu shots are typically reserved for the vulnerable and some HC-workers, COVID shots will just be added to the list, and they can likely even be give the same time. Our immune systems take care of the rest, and we can live with getting knocked out once every 5-10 years. I have no idea what you're trying to say. I do belive you are explaining the logic of why we need to vaccinate everyone for covid but are somehow trying to frame that logic like covid is the flue and not killing hundreds of thousands as well as filling up entire hospitals, even through exceptional restrictions and efforts by the public. Do you think people get cases of covid only once every 5-10 years, getting immunity to it and all varients for half a decade? Are you under the impression that the 30% improvement on something that is free, safe, and easy to get isn't of value? Are you unaware of the list of vaccines that are mandated for children to go to school like measles rubella polio and the like? The extremely important reason why children are given these vaccinations before they're allowed to attend school with the general public? | ||
BlackJack
United States10356 Posts
On February 02 2022 03:02 DarkPlasmaBall wrote: The covid vaccine can be given to all school-age children though (5 years old, and older), who come in contact with dozens, if not hundreds, of individuals every day, which is far more important than babies/toddlers who have a much more limited number of interactions. Also, I've never heard of flu shots being reserved for only the vulnerable; that's certainly not true in the United States, where you can walk into just about any pharmacy and get a free flu shot without any sort of check-up or health diagnostic, because we basically have infinitely many doses. Finally, what do you mean by "effectiveness" when you say "The vaccine effectiveness against COVID infection already dropped from 94% to ~30%." What are these percentages in reference to? Preventing infection? Transmission? Death? Hospitalizations? You're STILL using the argument that we have to vaccinate children because they come into contact with other people? Have you missed the news that the vaccines are not very good at preventing you from contracting and spreading COVID? 2 doses of pfizer provide 10% protection against infection after 20 weeks. 3 doses of pfizer provides 45% protection against infection after only 10 weeks. Source So if you're concerned about children spreading COVID with those they come into contact you should be really concerned that the vaccines only offer decent protection for a couple months before they quickly wane to almost no protection. Israel says even a 4th shot is likely not enough against Omicron. So allow me to update your argument in light of this new information: What we need is MORE BOOSTERS FOR KIDS. Obviously we need to be updating their protection every 3~ months to protect the hundreds of people they come into contact with. The logistics can be solved quite easily - just cross-train teachers to give out booster shots every 3 months. Every time the students get a report card they can get a shot in the arm to go along with it. How is that any different from an MMR vaccine? | ||
DarkPlasmaBall
United States44074 Posts
On February 02 2022 05:07 BlackJack wrote: You're STILL using the argument that we have to vaccinate children because they come into contact with other people? Have you missed the news that the vaccines are not very good at preventing you from contracting and spreading COVID? 2 doses of pfizer provide 10% protection against infection after 20 weeks. 3 doses of pfizer provides 45% protection against infection after only 10 weeks. Source So if you're concerned about children spreading COVID with those they come into contact you should be really concerned that the vaccines only offer decent protection for a couple months before they quickly wane to almost no protection. Israel says even a 4th shot is likely not enough against Omicron. So allow me to update your argument in light of this new information: What we need is MORE BOOSTERS FOR KIDS. Obviously we need to be updating their protection every 3~ months to protect the hundreds of people they come into contact with. The logistics can be solved quite easily - just cross-train teachers to give out booster shots every 3 months. Every time the students get a report card they can get a shot in the arm to go along with it. How is that any different from an MMR vaccine? It's really weird to read "You're STILL using the argument that we have to vaccinate children because they come into contact with other people?" and then right after that, read that you fully concede that there are infection-related benefits to getting vaccinated, but okay ![]() I was going to completely ignore your last paragraph, as it came off as ridiculous trolling and/or slippery sloping into absurdity, but giving you the benefit of the doubt that you actually believe that this is what I think, I'll respond to it: Although things may change, it seems to be the case that newer variants end up being less deadly. If newer strains continue to be less harmful as covid-19 becomes endemic, then it'll be less impactful to become infected with covid-19. Obviously, it'll be helpful to learn about the effects of long-covid, but as more effective treatments (both proactively and reactively) are researched and developed, we'll likely be able to deal with the virus a lot better, perhaps eventually relegating it to "the scientific and medical communities still recommend that you get your annual flu shot and your annual covid-19 shot, because you'd probably get a little sick if you get infected, and you could spread those viruses to others, but the daily updates of death tolls are long gone". In other words, I'm pretty optimistic that our experts will continue to help us get through this and that covid-19 will become less threatening, not more threatening. I don't see us needing to get vaccinated every 3 months in the future, but also that's irrelevant to the fact that children should already be vaccinated in the present. | ||
BlackJack
United States10356 Posts
On February 02 2022 05:47 DarkPlasmaBall wrote: It's really weird to read "You're STILL using the argument that we have to vaccinate children because they come into contact with other people?" and then right after that, read that you fully concede that there are infection-related benefits to getting vaccinated, but okay ![]() I was going to completely ignore your last paragraph, as it came off as ridiculous trolling and/or slippery sloping into absurdity, but giving you the benefit of the doubt that you actually believe that this is what I think, I'll respond to it: Although things may change, it seems to be the case that newer variants end up being less deadly. If newer strains continue to be less harmful as covid-19 becomes endemic, then it'll be less impactful to become infected with covid-19. Obviously, it'll be helpful to learn about the effects of long-covid, but as more effective treatments (both proactively and reactively) are researched and developed, we'll likely be able to deal with the virus a lot better, perhaps eventually relegating it to "the scientific and medical communities still recommend that you get your annual flu shot and your annual covid-19 shot, because you'd probably get a little sick if you get infected, and you could spread those viruses to others, but the daily updates of death tolls are long gone". In other words, I'm pretty optimistic that our experts will continue to help us get through this and that covid-19 will become less threatening, not more threatening. I don't see us needing to get vaccinated every 3 months in the future, but also that's irrelevant to the fact that children should already be vaccinated in the present. What other way is there to interpret your argument? If a 2-dose series only offers 10% efficacy after 20 weeks then vaccinating school aged children in the summer before school starts means that by winter they have almost no protection from contracting and spreading COVID. If that were my argument I would certainly be advocating for frequent boosters. If I wanted to stop/slow transmission in the Fall then I would want to stop/slow transmission in the Winter as well, no? I surmise from your 2nd paragraph that your viewpoint is that you generally trust the recommendations of "our experts" to see us through this pandemic and they are currently recommending for children to be vaccinated and you agree. So I'm curious if you and I were born in Sweden where their experts are not recommending for children to be vaccinated would you still trust "our experts." Is your view on childhood COVID vaccination predicated on where you happened to be birthed? | ||
DarkPlasmaBall
United States44074 Posts
On February 02 2022 07:22 BlackJack wrote: What other way is there to interpret your argument? If a 2-dose series only offers 10% efficacy after 20 weeks then vaccinating school aged children in the summer before school starts means that by winter they have almost no protection from contracting and spreading COVID. If that were my argument I would certainly be advocating for frequent boosters. If I wanted to stop/slow transmission in the Fall then I would want to stop/slow transmission in the Winter as well, no? I surmise from your 2nd paragraph that your viewpoint is that you generally trust the recommendations of "our experts" to see us through this pandemic and they are currently recommending for children to be vaccinated and you agree. So I'm curious if you and I were born in Sweden where their experts are not recommending for children to be vaccinated would you still trust "our experts." Is your view on childhood COVID vaccination predicated on where you happened to be birthed? It seems weird to me that you have an issue with having additional protection, when the alternative is no protection. Even if it's only 10% protection, that's literally 10% more than not being vaccinated. That's two or three extra students in every single one of my classes, each of which could bring their infection home and infect their older family members. By the way, I read your source, and you conveniently quote mined a lot of information. Here are some other numbers, from your own source, that you left out: "A booster dose, on the other hand, is up to 75% effective at preventing symptomatic infection and 88% effective at preventing hospitalization, according to the data." "The U.K. Health Security Agency also found that boosters are only 40% to 50% effective against infection 10 weeks after receiving the shot. [you lowballed at 40%]" "Israel found that fourth doses increase protective antibodies fivefold." Even if the 75% effectiveness or 5x protective antibodies dwindles over a few months, that's still additional protection! These aren't nominal precautions, whether we're talking about lowering infection rate, or hospitalization rate, or death rate. We know that countless lives have been saved as a result. I haven't been following Sweden's handling of coronavirus, and I don't know much about Sweden, so I can't comment on what they're doing or why they're doing it. | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
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Magic Powers
Austria3738 Posts
Findings: 1) Despite protection against infection by Omicron being lower than with previous variants, hospitalization rates after an Omicron infection are much lower for individuals who have received a booster more recently. 2) Waning overall protection over time is not specific to Omicron, it's a general observation with all covid variants. https://www.webmd.com/vaccines/covid-19-vaccine/news/20220124/booster-shots-effective-preventing-omicron-hospitalizations-cdc How has Omicron affected children? "And indeed, a recent report from the American Academy of Pediatrics indicates that the denominator—specifically, the number of pediatric cases—is growing at an enormous rate. Out of the nearly 9.5 million children who have tested positive for COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic, nearly 20 percent of these cases occurred in just the first two weeks of January." For children the risk of hospitalization after an infection by Omicron is 1 percent as compared to 3 percent by previous variants, but, due to the very sharp rise in infections, total hospitalizations have increased by a factor of 2-4 among children under the age of five. "Nationwide, an average of 881 children under age 17 are being admitted to hospitals with COVID each day, according to the most recent data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Hospitalizations of children under the age of five, who are not eligible for the COVID vaccine, have soared to levels two to four times that of previous peaks." https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/why-omicron-is-putting-more-kids-in-the-hospital/ | ||
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