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Coronavirus and You - Page 45

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
whaski
Profile Joined December 2012
Finland577 Posts
March 16 2020 18:47 GMT
#881
https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/coronavirus_latest_large_events_banned_109_confirmed_cases/11249610


Finland is going under lockdown, but it is too late. Since weekend only urgent patients were tested, estimated number of infections is something like 20-30 times higher than those given.
it's not just a music it's something else
r00ty
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany1070 Posts
March 16 2020 18:56 GMT
#882
Another story how people are handling this in Germany:
I just called an ex-colleague how things are going at my old job: Boss, bosswife and the 4 management stooges were in Sölden, Austria until they HAD to leave. They worked normally last week but were informed, that there are confirmed cases amongst the staff in their hotel, with multiple direct contacts to a now hospitalised barkeeper. They joked about it, changed the seating a bit and everything is supposed to continue as normal. That was Friday. Today 2 management stooges went into self quarantine. The others continue to work inhouse and keep visiting customers, no action was taken. Well they got hand sanitizer on friday, so that's something.

This is not going well.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23907 Posts
March 16 2020 19:06 GMT
#883
Lots of symptomatic workers unable to get tested and still having to work in my neck of the woods.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 16 2020 19:07 GMT
#884
A lot of countries in the 2-3 digit range are starting to look scary to me. Day-on-day 20-50% rises in number of active cases, such that major fallout from the pandemic coming to them is only a matter of time.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
iFU.pauline
Profile Joined September 2009
France1710 Posts
March 16 2020 19:15 GMT
#885
Confinement for France official. God fuck I can't stand Macron keeps repeating we are at war and talks like fucking Zola
No coward soul is mine, No trembler in the world's storm-troubled sphere, I see Heaven's glories shine, And Faith shines equal arming me from Fear
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12084 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-16 19:43:26
March 16 2020 19:37 GMT
#886
On March 17 2020 04:06 GreenHorizons wrote:
Lots of symptomatic workers unable to get tested and still having to work in my neck of the woods.


At least that isn't a problem here. Show any symptoms and your co-workers would throw you out if you showed up. Paid governmental leave from day 1 without any testing or checks.

As an example my sister called her manager because somebody showed up with a single symptom wondering if the person should be sent home or not.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-16 19:41:26
March 16 2020 19:40 GMT
#887
Series of updates :
Gatherings of 10 or more are now being recommended against for ALL of the US.
It's expected to last until at least July or August. (Ohio Governor's press conference stated that September is currently considered the truly safe zone).


WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26736 Posts
March 16 2020 20:15 GMT
#888
Not sure what the fuck we’re doing here, we’re gradually closing everything fun but not closing things like schools or taking any serious measures.

'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22292 Posts
March 16 2020 20:18 GMT
#889
On March 17 2020 04:15 iFU.pauline wrote:
Confinement for France official. God fuck I can't stand Macron keeps repeating we are at war and talks like fucking Zola
Are you from France? I saw somewhere, cant remember if it was here or on another site, that apparently hospitals in the north of France at at/near capacity?

Could get ugly situations if that's the case and make these measures likely to late.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1935 Posts
March 16 2020 20:34 GMT
#890
Probably the best approach I have read about, from a smart and prepared Taiwanese government:
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/what-taiwan-can-teach-the-world-on-fighting-the-coronavirus/ar-BB11aPLD?li=AAggFp4&fbclid=IwAR1ZLr_igr4iXH7Ve-zCPXxjI1QHypS3mMQFN5rHy1L0qr0Zx8qlqBtcEQk
Some might think using temperature sensitive cameras at airports and track people by their phones is intrusive, but it seems justifiable in this situation.

Also an illustration of why Sweden and the UK has a different approach than most other European countries:


It is basically about that you can only quarantine the population for so long, and the helathcare system could end up being overloaded at a later stage anyway.

Buff the siegetank
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-16 20:39:54
March 16 2020 20:36 GMT
#891
My province revealed their own program: 573$ a week for everyone who's off work because they have coronavirus symptom, but aren't allowed on the federal help (such as self employed people) hopefully more will come for the people who's workplace has been shutdown.

https://www.lapresse.ca/covid-19/202003/16/01-5264821-coronavirus-les-developpements-du-16-mars.php
Just in french sorry.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22292 Posts
March 16 2020 20:46 GMT
#892
On March 17 2020 05:34 Slydie wrote:
Probably the best approach I have read about, from a smart and prepared Taiwanese government:
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/what-taiwan-can-teach-the-world-on-fighting-the-coronavirus/ar-BB11aPLD?li=AAggFp4&fbclid=IwAR1ZLr_igr4iXH7Ve-zCPXxjI1QHypS3mMQFN5rHy1L0qr0Zx8qlqBtcEQk
Some might think using temperature sensitive cameras at airports and track people by their phones is intrusive, but it seems justifiable in this situation.

Also an illustration of why Sweden and the UK has a different approach than most other European countries:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nl6tTwxzCi8&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR064flUHoU3MjvG00_7KD-lGasgLC9UEtvbGG61eLeTylXsFfplO-vmjvk

It is basically about that you can only quarantine the population for so long, and the helathcare system could end up being overloaded at a later stage anyway.

The entire issue with what he does it that he ignores the incubation period. If you stop the spread just before your overwhelmed you get overwhelmed because its another ~2 weeks before you see the actual effects of the quarantine halting spread.
Your not dealing with the infected population now, your pre-empting what your infected population will be in 2 weeks, remembering that the amount of cases grows exponentially and looks to double every 3-4 days.
That is where Italy screwed up and potentially France & Spain (not sure what the current situation is in in both).
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
IntoTheWow
Profile Blog Joined May 2004
is awesome32278 Posts
March 16 2020 20:48 GMT
#893
On March 13 2020 22:42 IntoTheWow wrote:
We got our first domestic cases in Argentina.

On the bright side we got a head start seeing the mess in asia and europe, so our authorities were kind of scared and took some measures.

But on the other side I think more needs to be done asap, like cancelling all gatherings (currently only the ones with more than 200 people are), cinemas, theaters, etc.

Classes are still running and I think they should be cancelled. Most companies are waiting on official announcements to make any move, so government inactivity translates into more vectors in private companies as well.

Right now measures are getting stricter day by day, maybe by next week we will be on full lockdown.


Slowly approaching full lockdown in Argentina.

So far:
- classes cancelled.
- no big gatherings (theaters, cinemas, big markets, weddings, spots events, etc are closed or cancelled).
- most private companies enforcing work from home schemes.
- government analyzing using home office for public workers as well, specially for parents whose kids have to stay at home now.
- all flights from outside grounded (just the national airline with flights to bring people from abroad back). They will be limiting travelling inside the country as well.
- fines for people who break their quarantines.

Probably some measures coming for small companies (pubs, restaurants, etc) to alleviate their business loss.
Moderator<:3-/-<
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
March 16 2020 20:51 GMT
#894
On March 17 2020 05:34 Slydie wrote:
Probably the best approach I have read about, from a smart and prepared Taiwanese government:
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/what-taiwan-can-teach-the-world-on-fighting-the-coronavirus/ar-BB11aPLD?li=AAggFp4&fbclid=IwAR1ZLr_igr4iXH7Ve-zCPXxjI1QHypS3mMQFN5rHy1L0qr0Zx8qlqBtcEQk
Some might think using temperature sensitive cameras at airports and track people by their phones is intrusive, but it seems justifiable in this situation.

Also an illustration of why Sweden and the UK has a different approach than most other European countries:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nl6tTwxzCi8&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR064flUHoU3MjvG00_7KD-lGasgLC9UEtvbGG61eLeTylXsFfplO-vmjvk

It is basically about that you can only quarantine the population for so long, and the healthcare system could end up being overloaded at a later stage anyway.



Some very obvious problems with that take are that the rate of infection lags the official numbers, as you can see in Germany, Spain and so forth even with the measures in place numbers will continue to rise, so putting a quarantine in place when you're already on the steep slope of your growth curve is too late. Even in Wuhan, this could be seen. They cracked down after about 400 official cases and the end result was 80k before they contained the virus.

Secondly saying "we can't quarantine people for more than four weeks" reeks of fatalism. Of course, you can, why not? Movement needs to be slowed down however long it takes until this is under control.
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
March 16 2020 20:53 GMT
#895
On March 17 2020 04:37 Yurie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 17 2020 04:06 GreenHorizons wrote:
Lots of symptomatic workers unable to get tested and still having to work in my neck of the woods.


At least that isn't a problem here. Show any symptoms and your co-workers would throw you out if you showed up. Paid governmental leave from day 1 without any testing or checks.

As an example my sister called her manager because somebody showed up with a single symptom wondering if the person should be sent home or not.


I frequently work as a paramedic for a large healthcare system.

Corporate has instigated free two weeks of paid leave for anyone that 1) has a confirmed positive test or 2) has a close family member that does.

A step in the right direction, especially compared to some other health systems here.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
Cele
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Germany4016 Posts
March 16 2020 20:59 GMT
#896
Germany here, workplace: social care for a major german city, specifically for asylum cases.

We are aporoaching complete shutdown in tiny baby steps, i expect we will reach full lockdown during this week. By then, my agency will only work via phone/mail/fax with welfare recipients, rumor has it most employees will be ordered to stay home and a skeleton crew will remain.

It's also possible we will receive order to help out in the health or order department of the city when they engage in full crisis mode.
Broodwar for life!
johnnywup
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States3858 Posts
March 16 2020 21:08 GMT
#897
I live in SF. As of midnight tonight we're prohibited from leaving our homes except for basic needs like food or going to the doctor. Shit's crazy. I'm lucky I have a job that I can WFH effectively.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 16 2020 21:09 GMT
#898
--- Nuked ---
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
March 16 2020 21:11 GMT
#899
On March 17 2020 05:18 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 17 2020 04:15 iFU.pauline wrote:
Confinement for France official. God fuck I can't stand Macron keeps repeating we are at war and talks like fucking Zola
Are you from France? I saw somewhere, cant remember if it was here or on another site, that apparently hospitals in the north of France at at/near capacity?

Could get ugly situations if that's the case and make these measures likely to late.

In the east. We are deploying an army field hospital to help, and the army will assist in Moving patients to areas with free beds.
NoiR
Longshank
Profile Joined March 2010
1648 Posts
March 16 2020 21:14 GMT
#900
On March 17 2020 05:51 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 17 2020 05:34 Slydie wrote:
Probably the best approach I have read about, from a smart and prepared Taiwanese government:
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/what-taiwan-can-teach-the-world-on-fighting-the-coronavirus/ar-BB11aPLD?li=AAggFp4&fbclid=IwAR1ZLr_igr4iXH7Ve-zCPXxjI1QHypS3mMQFN5rHy1L0qr0Zx8qlqBtcEQk
Some might think using temperature sensitive cameras at airports and track people by their phones is intrusive, but it seems justifiable in this situation.

Also an illustration of why Sweden and the UK has a different approach than most other European countries:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nl6tTwxzCi8&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR064flUHoU3MjvG00_7KD-lGasgLC9UEtvbGG61eLeTylXsFfplO-vmjvk

It is basically about that you can only quarantine the population for so long, and the healthcare system could end up being overloaded at a later stage anyway.



Some very obvious problems with that take are that the rate of infection lags the official numbers, as you can see in Germany, Spain and so forth even with the measures in place numbers will continue to rise, so putting a quarantine in place when you're already on the steep slope of your growth curve is too late. Even in Wuhan, this could be seen. They cracked down after about 400 official cases and the end result was 80k before they contained the virus.

Secondly saying "we can't quarantine people for more than four weeks" reeks of fatalism. Of course, you can, why not? Movement needs to be slowed down however long it takes until this is under control.

The official or otherwise numbers are not important in this instance. What matters is at what capacity the NHS is working at. Is the UK able to give critical care to those who needs it? As long as that is managable, the total number of infected is of lesser concern.

@Gorsameth above you: The model accounts for incubation time.
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